The only way that Liverpool now get the title this season is to go and produce a victory over Wolves and hope that Manchester City fail to get a win out at Brighton. Is there one final dramatic twist left in what has been a brilliant title race, or will Liverpool be coming up just a tiny bit short at the end of the day? Read our Liverpool v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
Liverpool have a very simple task ahead of them on Sunday. With nothing left to lose at this point, they have to go out and collect three points at home against Wolves. Whether that would still be enough to win the title this season will depend on Manchester City’s result against Brighton. In order for Liverpool to get the title, they will need some help from Brighton in that game, namely preventing a win for the Citizens. So not everything is in Liverpool’s own hands.
Their home form is on point at the moment in the Premier League as the Reds are on a six-match winning streak at Anfield and they have remained undefeated there are all season, winning 16 of their 18 games. Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their last six home fixtures as well. In total, they have averaged just under three goals per home game this season and 67% of league fixtures at Anfield have made it over 2.5 goals. But this season Liverpool have not just been all about attacking power.
They have been rock solid at the back conceding just 10 goals across the course of the season on home soil. In total, they have claimed a clean sheet in 61% of their home fixtures. Of their 16 home wins recorded this season only four of them have been by a margin of one goal only. Liverpool are on a 14 match scoring streak at home, and home and away have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight. The Reds have also been leading at the half-time break in 12 of their home games, opening the scoring in all but four of their Anfield fixtures.
Liverpool earned a 2-0 league win at Wolves in December
Wolves then beat the Reds at home in the FA Cup in January
Wolves have lost their last four EPL games against Liverpool
Both teams have scored in one of the last eight league meetings
Outside of the big six, Wolves have been the success story of the Premier League season. They are locked in for a seventh-place finish this season which is a fantastic reward for them. They are currently on a three-match winning streak in the league, going unbeaten in four. In this current sequence of wins, they did collect a victory over Arsenal. Actually the record against the big six teams away from home this season is well worth mentioning.
From their five away games played against the top six finishers, Wolves have produced a fine W1 D3 L1 record. The one defeat in that sequence was at Manchester City when Wolves played with 10 men for a large portion of the fixture. The overall away record of Wolves this season is W6 D5 L7. With just the one victory in their last six away games played (D2 L3), it does not exactly hint at them pulling out the victory at Anfield.
But they are a side who are often hard to get the better of. Wolves have averaged just a shade over a goal per away game this season and only 39% of their away fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. They haven’t been bad in defence but only from the perspective that they have not conceded heavily in a lot of games. They have managed to claim a clean sheet in only 11% of away games this season. It is interesting that of the seven away defeats which they have suffered this season, five of them have been against teams currently sitting in the bottom six. So they have known how to raise their game against stronger opposition.
This is on actually the easiest of home games for Liverpool because Wolves are a good side and have performed well against the big guns in the league. However, Liverpool have to get their foot on the gas and basically have nothing to lose at this point. Liverpool to win and both teams to score.
10th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hornets claimed a point in a 1-1 home draw against Southampton in midweek. They are still in a good position to make a run at a top seven finish in the league and a win over Wolves, who are sitting seventh would go a long way. Can Wolves earn some revenge for their FA Cup semi-final loss against the Hornets? Read our Watford v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 25th, 2019 at 7:36 p.m.)
Watford have only lost one of their last seven home games in the league (W3 D3) so they have a pretty good record going. In their last home game, they grabbed a late equaliser against Southampton to get a share of the spoils. Watford are W8 D3 L6 this season on home soil in the top flight but they have had their struggles against the stronger teams in the league. From the six home games played against sides currently above them in the table, Watford have gone W1 L5, the lone victory coming against Spurs.
Watford have averaged 1.4 goals per home game this season and 65% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in 25% of games at Vicarage Road. Of the eight wins that they have taken at home this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last four games on home soil, nor in any of their last nine, home and away combined. Watford have scored 71% of their home goals this season in the second half of matches. Surprisingly they have only managed to open the scoring in 7 of their 17 home games this term. If you look at their most recent home form it is three wins in five (D1 L1) and this is big game for a shot at Europe next season.
Watford claimed a 2-0 win at Wolves earlier this season
The Hornets are unbeaten in their last three games against Wolves in all competitions
Both teams have scored in all but two of the last eight meetings
Wolves have won two of their last three league visits to Vicarage Road (L1)
Wolves were in midweek action as well as they played host to Arsenal. They had a pretty good time of things as well, beating the Gunners 3-1 to strengthen their position in seventh spot. That was another good home success and Wolves have been strong on home soil recently. Their away form, however, is in stark contrast to that. Wolves are currently winless in their last five out on the road, claiming just the two points in that sequence. Their last two away games have ended in two-goal margin defeats against Burnley and Southampton.
Wolves have only taken a clean sheet in 12% of away games this season and they have averaged exactly a goal per away game. They have conceded at an average of 1.3 per game and only 35% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. There has been no clean sheet for Wolves in their last thirteen played away from Molineaux and they have conceded five goals in their last two road games combined. Four of their seven away defeats this season have been by a margin of at least two goals.
Wolves seem to have that extra bit in their step only on home soil at the moment. Watford have some good home form behind them and once again, may be able to get the better of Wolves in this meeting. Home win.
25th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Wolves played out a point against Brighton on the weekend which will have been a little bit of a disappointing return from them in their race for a top seven finish. Arsenal were hit on home soil though on Sunday as Crystal Palace rattled off a 3-2 victory over them. That was the last thing that the Gunners needed in their push for a top-four finish. Read our Wolves v Arsenal betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 22nd, 2019 at 3:04 p.m.)
A 0-0 draw at home against Brighton was all that Wolves could manage on the weekend. That leaves them with only the one victory in their last five top-flight fixtures. So they are just a little bit of pace at the moment. There are still in with a good shot at a top seven finish though but will need to make the most of home advantage in fixtures like this. The overall home record of Wolves this season in the Premier League reads W8 D4 L5 and they are undefeated in their last six on home soil. In their five home games played against others from the big six this season, Wolves are W2 D1 L2.
Wolves have scored at least two goals in four of their last six on home soil and they are averaging 1.4 goals per game this season. Only 35% of fixtures at Molineux this term have made it over 2.5 goals. Playing a part in that is the very solid defence of Wolves which has taken a clean sheet in 35% of home games. Wolves have been level at the halftime break in nine of their home games this season. 71% of the goals that they have scored on home soil in the top flight this season have been in the second half of fixtures.
Wolves took a 1-1 draw from their trip to the Emirates in November
Arsenal are unbeaten in 20 games against Wolves
Wolves have lost all four previous EPL home games against Arsenal
Both teams have scored in just two of the last six meetings
Arsenal have setback on the weekend as they lost 2-3 at home against Crystal Palace. Considering that their home form had been so strong that was a bit of an upset. Even more upsetting really is that their home form has been keeping their chances of a top-four finish alive because the Gunners have been poor on the road this season. Arsenal are just W6 D4 L6 away from home this season in the top flight. Arsenal have lost three of their six away games played during 2019 (W2 D1) so it hasn’t been overly convincing stuff from them.
They did win their last away game though, a 1-0 success at Watford. That win against their 10 men of the Hornets, saw Arsenal claim their first away clean sheet of the season. Arsenal have averaged 1.7 goals per away game this season, which is roughly the same amount at which they have conceded at. 69% of Arsenal’s away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 81% of Arsenal’s road games this season. Of the six away wins that Arsenal have recorded this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Arsenal have opened the scoring in 10 of their away fixtures this season.
Arsenal have been good on the road this season in particular, while Wolves are on a good undefeated streak of home form. The home side may have enough to keep the visitors at they and a share of the spoils looks a good fit. Draw.
22nd April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints suffered a home defeat against Liverpool last weekend but put in another decent shift. They will be hoping for a slightly easier time of things as they play host to Wolves on the weekend. They need a boost too, sitting just five points above the drop zone. How much will that epic FA Cup semi-final loss have taken out of Wolves? Read our Southampton v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 9th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
There is still a bit of pressure on Southampton at the moment as they start the weekend five points above the drop zone. They put in a good display last time out on home soil against Liverpool but ended up losing 3-1 after having taken the lead in the game. Southampton have won three of their last five league fixtures and two of those were at St Mary’s. The Saints have only won four home games this season (D6 L6) but they have been producing much better their recently. Southampton are currently on an 11 match scoring streak on home soil in the top flight.
Southampton average 1.25 goals per home games this season and 69% of all games at St Mary’s in the top flight have made it over 2.5 goals this term. Southampton have taken a clean sheet in 19% of home games, while both teams have scored 75% of all of Southampton’s home fixtures. Three of their four wins on home soil this season have been by a one-goal margin. In nine of 16 home games, this season Southampton have managed to open the scoring. Still, there are only three teams with a worse home record in the top flight than Southampton.
Wolves were 2-0 home winners over Southampton earlier this season
Wolves are on a four-match winning streak against the Saints
Both teams have scored in just two of the last ten meetings
The Saints have lost just one of their last five league home games against Wolves (W2 D2)
Last weekend Wolves looked as if they were on their way to an FA Cup final appearance, leading Watford 2-0 at Wembley with 10 min on the clock. But then they suffered a late collapse only to lose in extra time against the Hornets. That was an exhausting game for Wolves and it must have taken something out of them both physically and mentally. That was such a disappointment from the position which they have played themselves into. Out on the road in the Premier League, this season Wolves have produced a W5 D5 L6 record.
Wolves are currently winless in their last four road games, losing two of those. They have averaged exactly a goal per game on their travels this season while they have conceded at an average of just 1.2 goals per road games. 31% of all of Wolves away games this season have finished over 2.5 goals only. Wolves have claimed a clean sheet in 12% of away games this season and they have conceded in each of their last 12 on their travels. Wolves have scored 69% of their away goals this season in the second half of matches.
The Saints look a bit of value to go and get the win on the board here. They have been playing so much better lately and that Wembley loss has to taken something out of Wolves, physically and mentally. Home win.
10th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This is a huge occasion for both of these sides as they look to make it through to the FA Cup Final. There is only a point separating the two of them in the Premier League table, with both pushing for a top seven finish. Who will be crowning their season with an FA Cup final appearance? Read our Watford v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 11:17 p.m.)
The Hornets have been carrying some good form with them lately. Although at first glance they have lost three of their last six (W3) that has to be taken into context. Each of those three defeats were away against some of the top sides in the EPL, namely Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd. So with that in mind and looking back further at a W6 L3 record they have, the Hornets are in good shape. They have scored in each of their last five games in all competitions, but they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last seven.
It has been a fairly comfortable ride for Watford in the FA Cup this season. They opened with back to back 2-0 away wins at Woking and then Newcastle. That set up a fifth-round trip to Championship side QPR. Watford handled that tricky away game with a 1-0 win. That set them up for their first home game in the competition this season, where they hosted Crystal Palace. Watford finished the job with a 2-1 win, that goal against being the only one that have conceded in this season’s tournament. Watford have scored exactly two goals in three of their four FA Cup games. The last time the Hornets made the FA Cup final was in 1984, losing to Everton.
Watford took a 2-0 win out at Wolves earlier this season in the EPL
Watford have lost one of their last five against Wolves (W2 D2)
The one previous FA Cup meeting was in 2008 with Wolves winning 4-1
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Wolves haven’t been to the FA Cup Final since 1960 when they beat Blackburn. This has been a truly wonderful season by Wolves. They are pushing for a place in Europe next season after coming up from the Championship. Like Watford, they have some strong form with just the two defeats in their last fourteen games across all competitions. In midweek they had to fit in an extra Premier League game, which saw them take a 2-1 home success over Manchester United.
In the quarterfinals of this season’s FA Cup Wolves beat Manchester United at home by a 2-1 scoreline as well. That isn’t heir only upset in this season’s campaign either. In the third round, they played host to Liverpool and took down the Reds at Molineux by the same scoreline. They followed that up in needing a home replay win over Shrewsbury in the fourth round, before knocking out Championship side Bristol City in a tricky away game. Four of their five FA Cup games this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
Watford may just have the edge on the day in what is likely going to be an even match up. Given the pressures of the day and what is at stake, it is likely going to be cautious. Watford may just have the extra edge about them up front to sneak it.
6th April 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Wolves suffered a disappointing defeat out at Burnley in league action on the weekend. But they have some solid form at home behind them. Man Utd have already lost at Molineux this season, will they suffer the same fate on their return? Read our Wolves v Manchester United betting tips for more.
Man Utd 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 31st, 2019 at 4:16 p.m.)
Wolves suffered a tame 2-0 loss out at Burnley on the weekend. That is only their second defeat in their last nine played though. The two defeats in that sequence were away from home as well. Wolves are on a four-match undefeated streak of form at home (W3 D1) currently. They won their last home fixture 2-0 against Cardiff. Wolves have produced a total of 22 goals at home this season, while they have conceded 19. Just 33% of league games at Molineux have gone over 2.5 goals. Wolves have earned a clean sheet in a third of their home games.
Wolves have produced at least two goals in each of the last three home wins. Each of Wolves’ last six league games, home and away have gone under 2.5 goals at the final whistle. Of the goals that Wolves have come up with at home, 73% of them have been in the second half of matches. Just three times this season have Wolves been leading at half time in a home fixture. They have opened the scoring in 7 of their 15 games at Molineux so far. Raul Jimenez has scored in three of their last five league games.
There was a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford between them in September
Wolves beat Man Utd 2-1 at home in this season’s FA Cup
Six of the last seven meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Wolves are W2 L2 in their four previous EPL home games against United
The Red Devils collected a 2-1 smash and grab job against Watford on the weekend at Old Trafford. Away from home, this season Manchester United are at W9 D2 L5 for the season. They suffered a defeat in their last road game, a 2-0 loss out at top-four rivals Arsenal. Manchester United have scored a total of 30 goals away from home this term, while they have conceded at an average of 1.4 goals per game. United have taken a clean sheet in 31% of their games, four of their five coming in their last six on the road.
United though have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last four, home and away. 69% of United’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. Four of the five fixtures which they have suffered on the road this season have been by a two-goal margin. The Red Devils have had their struggles against Wolves this season, only managing a 1-1 draw at home against them in the league, before exiting the FA Cup against them at Molineux. United have opened the scoring in half of their away games this term, and only Arsenal, Liverpool and Man City have scored more league goals than they have produced.
Wolves are a solid unit on home soil and have shown already that they can frustrate the Red Devils. This may be another case of the same thing happening. Wolves will be up for the challenge and they could well get out of the duel with a share of the spoils. Draw.
31st March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Burnley are back in trouble as they have fallen badly out of form. It is a four-match losing streak that the Clarets are on. They welcome Wolves to Turf Moor on the weekend, with the visitors looking for more points as they push for a top-seven finish. Read our Burnley v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 24th, 2019 at 10:18 p.m.)
It is trouble for the Clarets at the moment who are on a four-match losing streak. They suffered a 2-1 reverse against Leicester last time out, which was with Leicester going down to ten men early in the first half. That was a huge dent in Burnley’s survival hopes. The Clarets are W5 D2 L8 on home soil in the top flight this season, losing their last two there. Burnley have scored in seven of their last eight games, so they have that going for them. They didn’t manage a clean sheet in any of those eight games though.
67% of fixtures at Turf Moor this season have gone over 2.5 goals, with 40% going over 3.5 goals. Both teams have scored in two-thirds of games there. Three of Burnley’s five home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin. They are actually on a ten-match scoring streak at Turf Moor and have scored 67% of home goals in the first half of matches. Burnley are without a clean sheet in five at home in the EPL. They have conceded five goals in their last two home games.
Wolves were 1-0 winners at home against Burnley in September
Wolves won their one previous EPL visit to Turf Moor in 2010
Burnley have scored one goal in their last three against Wolves
Four of the last five meetings have gone under 2.5 goals
Wolves haven’t played in the league since back on March 10th, but they did make it through to the FA Cup semi-finals at the expense of Manchester United since then. Wolves have only suffered a defeat in their last eight league games now. They have been a little bit stronger on home soil during that sequence it needs to be said. They are winless in three on their travels (D2 L1) and have won only one of their last five away from home in the EPL. Wolves have tallied up sixteen goals on their travels which has taken them to a W5 D5 L5 record away from Molineaux.
Strangely Wolves are just D1 L3 this season away at sides currently in the bottom six. Just 33% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals, despite them only taking a clean sheet in just 13% road games. Of the five away losses that they have suffered, three of them have been by a one-goal margin only. Wolves have a half time record of W3 D7 L5 away from home. They have not managed to take a clean sheet in last eleven on the road. Each of their last five games, home and away, have gone under 2.5 goals. Wolves have scored 69% of their road goals in the second half of games.
Wolves haven’t quite delivered away from home against teams near the bottom. So there could be a chance for Burnley to come up with something in this one. But that’s most likely a point as Wolves are so difficult to beat.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The draw for the semi-finals of the FA Cup sees outright favourites Manchester City take on Brighton and Wolves going up against Watford. It was another fantastic weekend of Cup action with Watford the first to reach the final four.
Man City 1/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 17th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.)
Andre Gray came off the bench to get the winning goal at Vicarage Road for Watford against Crystal Palace. They will go up against Wolves who produced a fantastic display to dispatch Manchester United on Saturday evening at Molineux. It continues a fine season from Nuno Espirito Santo’s men in both league and cup.
Manchester City had to mount a big fightback to reach the final four. They found themselves 2-0 down at Championship side Swansea but managed to haul themselves through to the next round with a 3-2 turnaround. It leaves Manchester City as 1/3 outright favourites* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 17th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.).
The Citizens, who are still firing on four different fronts this season play host to Brighton. The Seagulls managed to scrape through a tough match at Millwall on Sunday, equalising in the 95th minute after a mistake front the Lions’ keeper. That gave them the lifeline they needed and they came through a penalty shootout to reach the final four.
18th March 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This is an all-Premier League clash and it could be an interesting one at Molineux as well. Wolves have shown plenty of strengths this season in taking on the stronger clubs in competition. Will they be able to deny Manchester United who head into the tie as favourites?
Read our Wolves v Manchester United betting tips for more.
Man Utd 13/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 8:39 p.m.)
Wolves are carrying some pretty decent form into this one. They have only lost one of their last eleven games, home and away across all competitions. So they are not going to be a pushover in this fixture by any stretch of the imagination. The home form of Wolves is actually rock solid at W5 D1 in their last six at Molineux in all competitions. During that sequence, each of the five wins saw Wolves score at least two goals. So they are going well and there was a win over Liverpool in this season’s FA Cup in that sequence, back in the third round. Following that, they took out Shrewsbury in a replay and then Bristol City.
There was 1-1 league draw at Old Trafford between them in September
Manchester United have won eight of the last ten against Wolves (D1 L1)
The last FA Cup meeting was won 3-0 by United at Molineux in 2006
United lead the FA Cup head to head W4 D2 L2
The Red Devils have had a great FA Cup campaign. It all started with a comfortable third-round home win over Reading. Then they took an away win at Arsenal and then another road success at Chelsea. So Manchester United have come through some big challenges. The Red Devils lost at Arsenal in the Premier League in their last away game. That snapped a tremendous nine-match winning streak away from home in all competitions that they were on. Manchester United have scored at least two goals in four of their last five away from Old Trafford. All three of their FA Cup wins this season have been by a two-goal margin.
Manchester United have already proven this season that they can go out on the road in FA Cup challenges against strong sides and get through. This may be no exception and Manchester United to win in the match outright at 13/10 odds is a solid proposition* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 8:39 p.m.).
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Blues start the weekend in sixth and need to keep some winning momentum going to push for a top-four finish. Chelsea have won their last two League games. They will be looking for some revenge at the Bridge on Sunday against Wolves, who beat them back in December. Read our Chelsea v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 8th, 2019 at 3:40 p.m.)
Chelsea have taken back-to-back League wins over Spurs and Fulham. That leaves them with three wins in their last four League outings. They do also have some pretty good home form running on their side at the moment having won each of their last three at Stamford Bridge. Overall this season Chelsea are W9 D4 L1 on home soil in the top flight. The Blues are undefeated in their last four on home turf since a loss against Leicester back on December 22. The Blues have averaged exactly 2 goals per home game this season, while they have conceded just nine goals in their 14 played at the Bridge.
The Blues have earned a clean sheet in 50% of their home League games this season, and less than half of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Chelsea have conceded just the two goals in their last eight League home games. Home and away they have only managed two clean sheets in their last seven played though. The Blues have not been losing at the halftime break in any home League game this season. They have returned at least two goals in each of their last three at Stamford Bridge. Five of their last seven games (home and away) have ended up going over 2.5 goals. Of their nine home wins this season, five of them have been by a two goal margin. Only the current top two in the League have a better defensive record in the Premier League than Chelsea.
Wolves pulled off a 2-1 home success over Chelsea earlier this season
The Blues had won four in a row over Wolves prior to that
Chelsea have won all four previous EPL home games against Wolves
Both teams have scored in just two of the last nine meetings
It has been a tremendous season for Wolves up in the top flight but they collected a 2-0 win at home of Cardiff last weekend, snapping a three-match winless streak they were on (D2 L1). Wolves have recorded a W5 D4 L5 season on their top-flight travels and from their six away games played against current top half of the table sides, Wolves have lost just one, which was at Manchester City. They have picked up draws at both Arsenal and Manchester United, and collected three points away at Tottenham. That has been a fantastic return.
So they should be a threat in this one. Wolves have scored 15 goals in their 14 away games this season, and only 36% of their away games have managed to go over 2.5 goals. Wolves have struggled for clean sheets away from home having taken just the two. Wolves have not earned a clean sheet away from home in any of their last 10 though. 67% of the away goals that they have scored this season have been produced in the second half of matches. To their a huge credit, Chelsea are only one of four sides in the division to hold a better defensive record than Wolves.
Wolves are likely to put up a decent challenge in this one and it is worth backing both teams to get on the scoresheet, especially with Chelsea having been in Europa League action on Thursday. But still they should produce a home win and therefore Chelsea to win and both teams to score is a good proposition.
9th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting