The Gunners misfired last weekend throwing away a lead at Newcastle to end up suffering a defeat. That was a huge blow to their hopes of finishing in the top five this season. They get back to home soil this weekend as they face a West Ham side who narrowly avoided defeat at home on Monday night. The Hammers found themselves trailing relegation-threatened Stoke before Andy Carroll popped up with a late equaliser to save their blushes.
Arsenal 1/2, Draw 13/4, West Ham 24/5* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Gunners slipped to a 2-1 defeat at Newcastle last weekend after having taken the lead in the match. That snapped a three-match winning streak that they were on. But it just another part of their poor away season that they have had. They are on a three-match winning streak at home and have won five of their last six at the Emirates (L1) the loss in that sequence happening against Manchester City. Arsenal’s overall home form for the season is W13 D2 L2 and they have scored at least three goals in five of their last six on home soil. As Arsenal have been leading at half time so often at home this season then an Arsenal/Arsenal half-time/ full-time bet with Coral at 13/10 odds should appeal* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). The Gunners have scored well at home this term with 45 goals in their 17 games and 76% of their home fixtures have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Each of their last eight at the Emirates have done so. They have actually collected a clean sheet in 47% of their home games as well.
The Hammers rescued a late point at home against Stoke on Monday night thanks to Andy Carroll. That left them in a pretty good spot, seven points clear of the drop zone. They are now on a three-match unbeaten streak of form in the top flight (W1 D2), with their last two both being 1-1 draws. Their away form will be a little bit of a concern for them though as they have taken only the one point from their last four road games, but that was in a good draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in their last road game. West Ham have collected only one clean sheet in their last six games so are going to get exposed at the back and overall they have only won twice on their travels this season in a W2 D6 L9 record. Both teams to score with Coral is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) and the Irons have scored in each of their last nine away games, with exactly one in each of their last four. So it may be worth backing them to get on the scoresheet even if the final result doesn’t go their way. An Arsenal 2-1 correct score option at Coral is at 7/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). It’s just about grinding to the end of the season now for the Hammers to ensure they hold on to their safety.
The Gunners were held to a 0-0 draw at West Ham earlier this season in the league but they did also meet up with the Hammers in the EFL Cup in December, with Arsenal taking a 1-0 home win. The Gunners have three straight clean sheets against West Ham in all competitions now and they are unbeaten in their last five against them (W4D1). Arsenal are on a nine-match undefeated streak at home against West Ham in the league, scoring exactly three goals in each of their last four.
The Gunners have been good enough at home this season to suggest that they can win out in this London derby. They have a higher priority in winning the UEFA Europa League this season but still, they should collect three home points, but back both teams to score.
19th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hammers rescued a good point for themselves last weekend in a London derby against Chelsea. That was a useful point towards their survival hopes. They head into the next round of matches six points away from the drop zone and they are looking as if they will be alright. There should be three points on offer at home for them here to further their cause, against a Stoke side who are on a four-match losing streak.
West Ham even money, Draw 11/5, Stoke 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 00:33 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
It was a good point that the Hammers picked up at Chelsea last weekend, showing some real belief in the final quarter of the match to get their spoils. They have won two of their last three home games (L1) part of an overall record of W6 D4 L5 this season on home soil. They have actually gone W3 D2 L1 in their last six home fixtures so it hasn’t been all that bad from them really. Their last two wins at home have been to nil and West Ham to win to nil at Coral is at 11/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:06 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) and a bit of a tempter. West Ham average 1.3 goals per home game this season in the top flight, but as they have been leading at half time just three times, it’s worth having a look at the half time draw. The Irons go into the weekend six points clear of the relegation zone and anything out of this would help their survival cause. They are the top scoring side in the bottom seven currently (ahead of the weekend’s action) and given they are taking on Stoke who have the worst defensive in the league, it could be a good afternoon for the Irons.
After losing four in a row, things are looking desperate now for Stoke. Even a win wouldn’t get them out of the drop zone on the weekend. They have had a rough run of games (Spurs, Man City and Arsenal in their last four) but they just aren’t even really looking close to coming up with solutions. They are winless in their last nine league games now and away from home have failed to win any of their last eleven. The Potters have failed to score in five of their last seven road games and in the Coral correct score market a West Ham 1-0 is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:06 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). Including this one there are manageable and even winnable matches still to come for Stoke, but getting them is going to be a different matter entirely. The Potters have just twelve away goals all season and have conceded an average of 2.25 goals per away game. They could be sinking into further trouble on the weekend.
West Ham were comfortable 3-0 winners at Stoke earlier this season and they are unbeaten in their last three Premier League games against the Potters now (W1 D2). The Hammers are unbeaten in their last three on home soil against Stoke but all of those have ended in a draw. They have been five draws in the last seven Premier League meetings between the two with a win each in the other two in that sequence.
West Ham are likely to drive home their home advantage in this one. It is such a good chance for them to ease their way to a safer position. Stoke, although they have had a tough fixture list lately, just don’t look as if they have a recovery in them.
14th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Chelsea’s hopes of a top-four finish this season were dashed as they blew a lead at home against Tottenham to suffer a 3-1 loss. That leaves them eight points out of fourth place and running out of matches. So now it’s a matter of holding off Arsenal for fifth. West Ham landed a much-needed win over Southampton last weekend, how will they fare on the road in this London derby?
Chelsea 2/7, Draw 4/1, West Ham 11/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:00 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
Chelsea’s season pretty much came to a crashing halt last weekend as they were beaten 3-1 at home by Spurs. That is five defeats in their last seven league games now (W2). Both of those wins were at home and they have a W10 D2 L4 record at Stamford Bridge this season. They have only lost two of their last dozen on home soil in the top flight though. Their defence is not looking all that sharp at the moment though and both teams to score at bet365 is a viable option for this still at 21/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). On top of that, they have not looked sharp up front either, aside from the occasional big performance from Eden Hazard or Willian. Alvaro Morata opened the scoring against Spurs last weekend and he is the 11/4 bet365 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Each of their last four home games have gone over 2.5 goals that is despite them still having conceded an average of under a goal per game this term. Their season has pretty much petered out and now just have the fifth place finish to play for.
The Hammers relieved some pressure with a great 3-0 home win over Southampton last weekend. Marko Arnautovic had a great game up front and he is a 3/1 bet365 anytime goalscorer for the game* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). The Hammers on a three-match losing streak away from home and overall this season have only put up figures of W2 D5 L9. The Hammers have tallied an average of 1.25 goals per away game this season, but their defence has been pretty horrible on the road having conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game and they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last six away from home. They have scored in each of their last eight away games though so over 2.5 goals at bet365 should have plenty of appeal in this one. 65% of West Ham’s goals conceded away from home this season have come in the second half of matches. That win last weekend left them five points clear of the drop zone.
The Hammers bagged a 1-0 victory over Chelsea earlier in the season and they haven’t done all that bad against the Blues recently in the top flight. In the last five league meetings, things are even with two wins each and one draw. Chelsea though are unbeaten at Stamford Bridge against West Ham in over a decade now.
Chelsea have to come out and play in this one to at least show some fight and team spirit. They should find the gaps against the West Ham back line which hasn’t been good on the road. The Blues are lacking clinical finishing but they should win this in a game which goes over 2.5 goals.
6th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hammers are in trouble on a three-match losing streak and unrest with the home support in their last home match as well. This is a huge basement battle now against Southampton who are one place beneath them in the drop zone, two points back. The Hammers could do themselves a huge favour in this one, but can they produce the victory over the Saints?
Southampton 8/5, West Ham 9/5, Draw 21/10* (Betting Odds taken at 05:40 a.m. on March 26th, 2018)
The Hammers will be in big trouble if they suffer a defeat in this one. They hold a two-point advantage above Southampton and that’s it, so would fall into the relegation zone if they were to lose this. Their last home game ended in disaster as they were pummeled 3-0 by Burnley, sparking unrest in the crowd. That is a W1 L4 record that the Hammers have posted in their last five league outings. But they have only lost one of their last five home games (the loss against Burnley) in a W2 D2 L1 stretch of form. Things are just going a bit sour for them and this is such a crucial game as far as their survival hopes go right now. West Ham have scored sixteen goals in their fourteen home games, while they have conceded an average of 1.4 per game. Of the goals that they have produced on home soil, they have scored 69% of them in the second half of matches so a half-time draw at Ladbrokes does look a decent option to get behind in this one. With them having conceded at least two goals in each of their last three league games (eleven goals conceded in total), then there are big holes to plug at the back.
The Saints are in danger of being cut adrift a bit further if they were to lose this away game. They suffered a 3-0 loss at Newcastle in their last road game but that snapped a good four-match unbeaten streak of form that they were on away from St Marys (W1 D3). The Saints have won one game only since the end of November but they have shown a degree of resilience in a W1 D5 L2 record, in their last eight league fixtures. They have not been good enough to turn those drawn matches into wins though. In the Ladbrokes correct score market, a 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 05:42 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) and that result has some appeal in this one. It’s a game neither can afford to lose. The Saints have won just twice on the road this season, averaging under a goal per game, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away game. They are without a clean sheet in their last four on the road. The pressure is well and truly on.
The Saints delivered a 3-2 home win over West Ham earlier in the season and in the last five Premier League meetings, it is the Saints who are narrowly 3-2 ahead. Southampton won 3-0 in this corresponding fixture last season. Four of the last five meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.
Huge stakes here and Southampton can cash in. Their recent away points at Burnley and West Brom suggest they won’t lose and with West Ham looking a shambles at the moment, the Saints can land a massive three points.
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
A significant slump in form has left West Ham just the three points above the drop zone heading into the weekend so they have been putting a lot of pressure back on themselves. They get a home game against a Burnley side who finally managed to snap their long winless streak of form with success at Turf Moor over Everton last weekend. Another loss for the Hammers could heap massive pressure on them.
West Ham 5/4, Draw 2/1, Burnley 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 11:39 p.m. on March 6th, 2018)
A win at home on the weekend would certainly ease a bit of pressure off the shoulders of West Ham. They have lost three of their last four games, but each of those defeats were away from home. They won their last home fixture, a 2-0 success over Watford and that has left them undefeated in their last four home games (W2 D2). Overall for the season they are W5 D4 L4 in the top flight at home but with them only having taken one clean sheet in their last eleven league games, even against a low scoring side like Burnley they are going to be a little vulnerable and therefore it is worth taking a punt on both teams to score at Coral for 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:58 p.m. on March 7th, 2018). Surprisingly though only 38% of West Ham’s home games have gone above the 2.5 goal line so it’s worth sticking under. Each of their last three home games have finished beneath the goal line, despite the Hammers having scored in each of their last five home fixtures. Almost 70% of their home goals this season have been in the second half of matches and the Hammers have been level at half time in seven of their home games.
The Clarets collected a 2-1 home win over Everton last weekend and that finally snapped their winless streak which was at eleven games. The Clarets have struggled on the road to put wins on theboard though and they are without one in their last six road games (D4 L2). They went down 1-0 at Swansea in their last Premier League away game and you would have or expect that they will keep this tight. They have scored just the twelve goals in their fourteen road games, while they have conceded an average of a goal per game. Just 29% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. The Clarets have actually failed to score in 43% of their away games this term so expect this to be low scoring. In the Coral correct score market, the 1-1 draw is right at 5/1 odds, the joint-shortest option as a West Ham 1-0 victory. Burnley have scored 67% of their home goals in the first half of away games and have conceded 71% of their away goals after the half time break. Six times this season they’ve been level at 0-0 at half time in road games.
There was a 1-1 draw played out between them earlier in the season and that leave the Hammers unbeaten in their last seven games against Burnley in all competitions. So that’s a good streak for them and they have won four of the five previous Premier League clashes in all of that. The Irons have won their last two on home soil against the Clarets in the top flight, both 1-0 victories.
West Ham may be worth backing on home soil to get the three points in this one. They need to ease some pressure off themselves with a good performance and Burnley haven’t done enough away from home to really look great value.
8th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Swansea took a hard hit last weekend in a big 4-1 defeat out at Brighton which saw the Swans fall back into the relegation zone. Can they respond, especially having had extra work to do in midweek in an FA Cup replay? West Ham also suffered a 4-1 loss last weekend as they were downed by a rampant Liverpool at Anfield.
Swansea 11/8, West Ham 15/8, Draw 2/1* (Betting Odds taken at 04:50 a.m. on February 26th, 2018)
Swans are back in the Premier League relegation zone after a 4-1 away loss at Brighton last weekend. That snapped a five-match undefeated streak of form that they were on (W3 D2). They are on a three-match winning streak at home, part of an overall record of W5 D2 L7 at the Liberty Stadium this season. They need that positive sequence to continue so that they can be in with a chance of getting back out of the bottom three. Swansea have only scored the eleven home goals in the league this season while they have conceded at a rate of 1.3 goals per game. But two of their last three wins have been by a 1-0 scoreline and in the Betfair correct score market a 1-0 Swansea win is at 7/1 with only the 1-1 shorter priced at 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:31 p.m. on February 26th, 2018). Just 36% of their home games in the league have gone over 2.5 goals so this is probably going to be a low scoring affair. Swansea have scored 73% of their home goals in the second half of matches this season. The Swans have actually have failed to score in 43% of their home matches.
The Hammers took another way pounding last weekend in a 4-1 loss at Liverpool, which followed a 3-1 loss at Brighton in their previous away game. So that leaves the Irons with just the one win in their last five away games and they have shipped in each of their last five road games now. Overall they have conceded at an average of 2.2 goals per away game this season and 53% of their road games have gone over 3.5 goals this season. They are on an eleven match scoring streak in the Premier League and they have netted in each of their last seven on the road so that does suggest that they are at least going to get on the board in the game. The Hammers have netted in each of their last seven away games. They will also have the advantage of being fresher as Swansea were in midweek FA Cup replay action while the Hammers were resting up. West Ham are W2 D5 L8 for the season away from home and both of the wins were by a three-goal margin. Two-thirds of the goals they have conceded away from home have come in the second half of matches. Only Stoke have a worse away record than the Hammers do this season.
The Swans slipped to a 1-0 loss out at West Ham back in September and that is back to back 1-0 defeats that they have suffered in the top flight against the Irons. West Ham are on a three-match winning streak against the Swans in the top flight and have lost just two of the previous eleven Premier League fixtures against the Welsh club (W6 D4 L2). The Hammers ran out big 4-1 winners in last season’s corresponding fixture and each of the last four meetings have either produced a 1-0 home win or a 4-1 away win.
Swansea have been producing well on home soil and it’s worth having a look at them to take down the Hammers who have not been very good at the back in defence away from home recently. The Swans need that home form to continue.
27th February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Reds will be looking to produce a victory which would see them climb into second place at least temporarily, at the expense of Manchester United. They are favourites to get those three points in the bag as well, especially after the nightmare that West Ham had in their last away games, losing heavily at Brighton.
Liverpool 1/7, Draw 5/1, West Ham 14/1* (Betting Odds taken at 1:09 a.m. on February 20th, 2018)
Liverpool have the chance on Saturday to ramp up some pressure on Manchester United in the race for second place in the League. The Reds are W7 D6 L0 for the season on home soil and they have won three of their last four at Anfield now (D1). In their last four outings in the league at home, they have scored a total of thirteen goals so they are likely to produce well in this one. Liverpool are averaging two goals per game at home and in the Paddy Power correct score market a Liverpool 2-0 is the shortest-priced option at 6/1 with a 3-0 at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 8.49 p.m. on February 20th, 2018). Liverpool have shipped just the nine goals on home soil this season, but they are without a clean sheet in any of their last three. 31% of Liverpool’s home games this season have gone over 3.5 goals and 67% of Liverpool’s home games this term have come after the break and they have also conceded 67% of their goals after half time as well. Mo Salah is up as the first goalscorer favourite at 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8.49 p.m. on February 20th, 2018). Liverpool have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 home matches.
The Hammers will be looking to improve their away form, which has seen them win just twice this season on their travels in the top flight. They have however gone W2 D2 L1 in their last five away from home, but their last away game ended up being a disaster for them as they crashed heavily in a 3-1 loss at Brighton. Overall home and away that loss against Brighton is their only defeat in their last eight played now. They picked up a 2-0 home win over Watford last time out in the league and that snapped an eight match sequence of games without a clean sheet. So there is a decent probability that they will concede. West Ham have conceded an average of two goals per game away from home this season and 60% of their road games have seen at least four goals. Over 3.5 goals at Paddy Power for this game is at even money odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8.49 p.m. on February 20th, 2018). As a positive though West Ham have scored in each of their last ten league games home and away and both teams to score is at 8/11* (Betting Odds taken at 8.49 p.m. on February 20th, 2018).
Liverpool are easy winners out on the road over West Ham earlier in the season and that have gone W2 D1 in their last three league games against the Irons, scoring a total of ten goals in those fixtures. The Red are actually winless in their last three home games against West Ham though in all competitions (D2 L1). Each of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.
Liverpool will be comfortable in this one and it is worth backing them to get a good score on the board as well. The incentive of climbing into second is there and they aren’t likely to miss that. Look for the Reds to win by a three goal margin.
22nd February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
West Ham didn’t do themselves any favours on the weekend as they suffered a loss against Brighton which leaves them in that tight battle in the bottom half of the table. That snapped a good streak of unbeaten form that they were on. Watford will be looking to improve on some pretty dodgy away form through which has really been dragging them down.
West Ham 13//10, Watford 11/5, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 2:33 a.m.)
The Hammers were on a good six-match undefeated streak of form (W2 D4) before losing heavily out at Brighton on the weekend. That was a pretty poor response from them, but they are unbeaten in three at home at least (W1 D2). Overall this season the Hammers have gone W4 D4 L4 at home, but they have only lost one of their last six on home soil now (W2 D3) so they do have that going for them. Their last two home games against Bournemouth and Crystal Palace have ended in a 1-1 draw and in the BetVictor Correct Score market the 1-1 draw option is at 19/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 2:33 a.m.). The Irons have not been overly prolific at home this season having scored just the fourteen goals in their twelve games so far. They have netted in each of their last six though at the London Stadium and overall home and away have scored in each of their last nine, so that’s another positive for them. They have only been ahead at half time just once at home this term, so the half time draw should appeal.
Watford have collected only one point from their last six away games now, that point coming in a 0-0 draw at Stoke in their last away fixture. During that six-match away sequence the Hornets failed to score in half of those games as well, so they have been really travel sick lately. Their defence has really had a hard time in earning clean sheets since the end of November really and overall for the entire season have taken a clean sheet in just 24% of their league games. With their lack of goals on the road recently, both teams not to score at BetVictor for a 4/5 quote* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 2:33 a.m.) may have some appeal to punters. All of a sudden they are now stuck in that bottom half of the table where pretty much anything can happen and teams beneath them having been picking up points more consistently than they have lately. So now the Hornets really have to dig to get themselves going out on the road. Under 2.5 goals is probably going to be the option to roll with in this one as neither are going to want to give up points in what should be a tight duel. Their big win over Chelsea at Vicarage Road on Monday may well have been the catalyst they needed to get themselves some momentum.
Watford were 2-0 home winners over the Hammers earlier in the season and that is a three-match undefeated streak that the Hornets have put together against West Ham (W2 D1). The Hornets won this corresponding fixture last season 4-2. West Ham have won just one of their last six against Watford now and at home, they have won only one of their four previous Premier League games against the Hornets (W1 D1 L2).
West Ham may have enough in the tank to find a win from somewhere in this one. It will be a tight battle all the way most likely. The Hammers were doing alright in not losing games before they bumped into Brighton last weekend. The same can’t be said of Watford. Home win.
6th February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton really need to improve their home form to be in with a fighting chance of at least getting themselves safe this season. They haven’t done too badly recently at the Amex though and they will be taking on a patched-up West Ham side. The Hammers are struggling a bit with injuries but they have improved well to go unbeaten in four on the road though.
Brighton 13/10, Draw 2/1, West Ham 12/5* (Betting Odds taken on January 30th, 2018 at 9:23 p.m.)
The Seagulls are increasingly getting concerned about relegation this season from the Premier League. They had a three match undefeated streak of form at the Amex broken when they were hammered 4-0 by Chelsea in their last home game. It leaves them with just the one win in their last nine home games, but if you look at the W1 D6 L2 record in that sequence, they have been grinding out points at least. A lack of goals has been hurting them this term and the Seagulls have managed only the twelve of them on home soil and they have been leading at half time in just one home fixture. So this probably will be a low scoring game and under 2.5 goals at William Hill is at 1/2* (betting odds taken January 31st at 5:15 p.m.). That will be partly based on Brighton having taken three clean sheets in their last five at the Amex. 75% of their goals at home this season have been after the half time break so a half time draw is a really good prospect for this game. Brighton have been level at half time in seven of their twelve games at the Amex so there is a trend there.
The Hammers have improved a lot since early December and they have become a lot more difficult to beat under David Moyes. They have managed to go undefeated in their last four games away from home in the top flight now, winning their last road game out at Huddersfield. They are having issues at the back though as they have been struggling badly for clean sheets with one in their last seven league outings following a 1-1 draw at home against Crystal Palace in midweek. Overall home and away the Irons are undefeated in six and have lost just one of their last ten now. Their away record isn’t particularly pretty this season as it is just W2 D5 L6 and they have conceded an average of two goals per game. The Irons have scored in each of their last five games away from the London Stadium, but have conceded in each of their last three. Both teams to score at William Hill for odds of even money will carry appeal* (betting odds taken January 31st at 5:15 p.m.) and as the Hammers have drawn three of their last four league outings by a 1-1 scoreline, that is going to be a decent option to consider in the correct score market.
Brighton bagged a brilliant 3-0 win out at West Ham earlier in the season, arguably one of their best performances of the season. That, however, snapped a four-match winless streak of form that they were on against West Ham (D1 L3). Brighton have collected one point from their last two league home games against the Irons and both teams have not scored in seven of the last eight meetings.
Brighton need something badly to get themselves safe and they should be able to stick in here for a draw. West Ham are below strength at the moment and this is an occasion where the Seagulls should really take advantage of that. However, with that said, it’s worth backing a draw though as West Ham are unbeaten on the road in four.
31st January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
West Ham’s season is looking much better at the moment as they are sat in eleventh. Still, that is only four points above the drop zone still and this is a huge scrap for them against Crystal Palace who are just a point behind them. There are three precious survival points up for grabs in this one and it should be a good game between two sides who have become tough to beat. Crystal Palace are 8/5 at William Hill for the win, with West Ham at 7/4 and the draw at 11/5* (Betting Odds taken on January 28th, 2018 at 5:50 p.m.)
The Hammers have improved to a five-match undefeated sequence of form in the Premier League (W2 D3) and have lost just the one game in their last nine played now. So definitely much better for them, however, they are still struggling to get a clean sheet on the board. They have not taken one in any of their last six league outings now so there is a high chance of getting a return from a both teams to score bet at William Hill for the fixture. West Ham’s home form reads W2 D2 L1 in their last five at the London Stadium and at least they have been showing a bit of fight. Their goal output isn’t high with an average of just under 1.2 goals per home game this season and the Hammers have been leading at half time just once this season on home soil in the top flight, so a half time draw could tempt punters here. To add some more weight to that option, 77% of West Ham’s goals at home have come in the second half of matches. The Hammers were dumped out of the FA Cup at League One leaders Wigan on the weekend so they will have their tails between their legs a bit. But there is a chance for a response here as they have scored in each of their last seven league games. Over 2.5 goals at William Hill has to be worth considering.
The Eagles have lost only two games only in the league since mid-November and both of those were recent contests against Arsenal. Other than that, they have been strong and they were on a great five-match undefeated streak of form on their travels before losing at the Emirates back on January 20th. Overall Crystal Palace have posted a W2 D3 L7 away record this season in the top flight but they have scored now in each of their last four on the road. In the William Hill correct score market the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 11/2* (betting odds taken January 28th, 2018 at 9:46 p.m.). The Eagles have scored only the seven goals on the road this season but all of those have come in their last four away games. They will have the benefit of having rested on the weekend while West Ham were in FA Cup action so that could help them out at the London Stadium. Luka Milivojevic is on a three-match scoring streak on the road for the Eagles and therefore could be worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market for the match. There should be goals in this one in the hunt for a crucial three points in that congested fight down in the bottom half of the table.
Crystal Palace and West Ham played out a 2-2 draw when they met back in October and that extended West Ham’s undefeated streak of form against Palace to five (W3 D2). So they have a positive head to head record going. They have won just one of their last five home games against the Eagles though (W1 D2 L2) so it balances out. Surprisingly six of the last seven meetings between the two clubs have found their way over 2.5 goals.
Hard to pick a winner out of this one as both have been far more resilient lately and neither particularly look like losing. Because of that the draw in the match outright just looks to be the most appeal in this London derby.
29th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting