This tie is still very much in the balance after the Villains took a 2-1 home win in the first leg of this semi-final tie. Will that be enough for them to defend as they head out to the Hawthorns? West Brom have been carrying some massively strong home form recently and may well be able to mount a fightback in this Midlands derby. Read our West Brom v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
West Brom 7/5
Aston Villa 7/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
The Baggies have some home form behind them and that away goal in the first leg could prove to be crucial. It would have been a long way back without that one. West Brom have won their last five home games in a row, undefeated in seven now at the Hawthorns. It’s not just that, but they have been on fire in front of goal as well. Albion have netted at least two goals in each of their last five home games, so have enough in their current scoring form to turn this tie around. Each of the last five games played at the Hawthorns have ended up going over 2.5 goals. West Brom scored 68% of their home goals in the second half of matches but did also conceded 65% of goals after the break.
West Brom averaged 2.3 goals per home game this season, with 65% of games there making it over 2.5 goals. What should make this exciting is that they didn’t particularly have a great season of things in defence. West Brom only managed a clean sheet in 13% of their home games this season. That led to 83% of fixtures at the Hawthorns seeing both teams score in the game. Of the twelve home wins that West Brom took during the season, eight of them were by a margin of at least two goals.
The Villains are on a fantastic run of seven matches undefeated away from home. It has been brilliant stuff from them, with Villa picking up a win in five of those seven games. That was a five-match away winning streak that they had been on before they picked up a 1-1 draw at Leeds in their final away game of the regular season. The Villains though did fail to take an away win in any of their four games against the teams who finished above them (D2 L2). One of those was a 2-2 draw at West Brom, which would suit them just fine if it happened again. The overall away form of Villa during the regular season was W9 D8 L6.
Villa averaged 1.4 goals per away game, conceding at just over a goal per game. Of the wins that they took, six of the nine were by a margin of at least two goals. Aston Villa are on seven match scoring streak on their travels, scoring in each of their last fourteen games played now after the first leg of this semi-final. The Villains were sat level at the break in 14 of their 23 away games for the season. They produced 66% of their away goals in the second half of matches. Aston Villa finished the regular season as the third highest scorers in the Premier League games. One of the two teams to score more was West Brom.
West Brom do have the home form to get themselves back into this tie, with plenty of goals having been put on the scoreboard recently at the Hawthorns. However, Villa are a threat and it’s not going to be that easy for the home side. West Brom to win by a one-goal margin.
12th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa make another attempt at the Championship play-offs, just as they did last season. The Villains who finished the season in pretty strong form will be taking on their Midlands rivals West Brom in what should be a heated play-off tie. There is not likely to be too many quarters given between them in this one. It should be a fiercely competitive nailbiter. Read our Aston Villa v West Brom betting tips for more.
Aston Villa evens
West Brom 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
If you’re back towards the end of last year they didn’t look as if Aston Villa were going to be anywhere near the playoffs. However, when the start of March came along the Villains managed to put together a massive 10 match winning streak in the Championship. That got them over the finish line. They failed win either of their last two games in the regular season, claiming an away draw at Leeds before losing their very final game of the season against Championship winners Norwich. They won’t care about that though, they are in the playoffs with another shot at getting back to the top flight. During the course of the regular season, Aston Villa produced a home record of W11 D8 L4.
During the course of those games, Aston Villa averaged over two goals per home game and 74% of all fixtures at Villa Park went over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 70% of league fixtures there. Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 13 league games and in each of their last six on home soil. The Villains were also leading at the halftime break in 11 of their home fixtures this season. Aston Villa were on a five-match winning streak in the league at home before their final day reverse against Norwich. Of the goals which they did concede at home during the regular season, 64% were in the second half of fixtures. Aston Villa opened the scoring in 14 of their 23 home fixtures.
West Brom have won their last two visits to Villa Park
West Brom have three clean sheets in four against Villa
Villa are winless in four against the Baggies
Both teams have scored in one of the last five meetings
West Brom put together a pretty strong finish towards the end of the season, winning three of their final five matches (D1 L1). They did suffer a loss out at Derby, another of the playoff teams, on the final day of the season now. What really pushed them towards the finish was some powerful form at the Hawthorns. Funnily enough, they were going so strongly away from home up and still around mid-February and then things started to fall apart a bit with their away form. West Brom have claimed just one victory in their last six away games, losing four of those in a sequence. So that is a bit of a question mark over them for this first leg.
The overall away form of West Brom this season is W11 D4 L8 and they did win three of their four away games against other top five finishers this season (L1). That includes their 2-0 away victory at Villa Park. During the regular season campaign, West Brom averaged 1.5 goals per away game but this struggle defensively with a clean sheet in just 26% of fixtures. The Baggies have earned just one clean sheet in their last seven games out on the road. Of the 11 away wins that West Brom took during the regular season, eight of those were by a one-goal margin. West Brom were just one of two sides to score more league goals during their Championship campaign them Aston Villa.
This should be some fantastic play-off semi-final action between these two. There should be plenty of goals flying around over the course of the two matches. Perhaps West Brom’s away form isn’t quite there at the moment, so it may well be Aston Villa who claim an advantage in this fixture. Home win.
7th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Derby missed a chance in midweek to lock down the final playoff spot. They could only manage a draw at Swansea, meaning that they can still be caught now on the final weekend by either Middlesbrough or Bristol City. So the Rams have to sweat. This is no easy game for them either against the in-form Albion. Read our Derby v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 14/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 3rd, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
The Rams claimed a point in a 1-1 draw at Swansea in midweek, which was their game in hand over the others in the playoff race. If they had won that they would be sitting three points clear of Middlesbrough with a massive goal difference advantage over Boro. So they would really have claimed the sixth spot. They didn’t win though and now they need a big shift at home against West Brom. Derby are W12 D7 L3 this season on home soil in the second tier, they have won their last three at Pride Park.
Home and away the Rams have suffered just one defeat in their last eleven league games now, winning five of those games in that sequence. Derby have produced an average of 1.7 goals per home game this season, claiming a clean sheet in 36% of fixtures. Derby has scored at least two goals in each of their last three home games so have that going for them. They have gone without a clean sheet in any of their last five though, home and away. The Rams have been level at the half time break in 10 of their home games this season. A point in this one won’t guarantee them the sixth place, so they have to push for a positive result.
Derby claimed a 4-1 away win at West Brom in October
The Rams are W1 D1 in their two previous CHampionship home games against WBA
West Brom have won one of their last five against the Rams in all competitions
Both teams have scored in each of the last four meetings
The Baggies have locked down a playoff spot and they could finish third if they win and third-placed Leeds lose. West Brom have come into a bit of form with three wins in their last four games played (D1). West Brom have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league games now and out on the road they have taken a W11 D4 L7 record this season. Even though their form has been going well, it’s interesting that each of their last five wins have been against teams who are 12th or lower in the table.
West Brom average 1.5 goals per away game this season and they are winless in three on their travels, winning one of their last five away games. They have actually failed to scored in two of their last three away games now. They played out a 0-0 draw at Reading in their last road fixture. In total West Brom have earned a clean sheet in 27% of away games, but home and away they have managed just one in their last seven fixtures. Of their eleven road victories this season, eight of them have been by a one-goal margin. Five of their seven away losses have been by a one-goal margin.
Huge pressure is on Derby and this is a difficult home game for them on the final day of the season. There has to be nerves going on here. West Brom will be a threat and the Baggies may well have enough about them to deny the Rams that win. Draw.
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
West Brom have done enough to secure themselves a playoff spot already this season, so this is just about keeping some positive momentum going before heading to those playoffs. The Baggies have hit a better steak of form. Rotherham are in desperate need of a win to keep their survival hopes alive. They will be sunk if they don’t get a point in this one. Read our West Brom v Rotherham betting tips for more.
West Brom 13/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 26th, 2019 at 6:58 p.m.)
The Baggies were held to a 0-0 draw at Reading last weekend, which was a surprising result for them. West Brom had won their two previous games in the league before that. The home form of West Brom is strong at the moment as they are on a four-match winning streak at the Hawthorns in the league. They scored at least three goals in each of those four successes as well. Overall they are now unbeaten in their last five on home soil in the second tier. The overall home record of the Baggies this season is W11 D7 L4. They have averaged 2.3 goals per game there.
64% of league games at the Hawthorns this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Actually half of their home games have gone over 3.5 goals and that is largely down to their scoring. But they haven’t been watertight at the back with a clean sheet earned in just 14% of home games. Both teams have scored in 82% of Albion’s home games. West Brom are on a five-match scoring streak at home at the moment and they have scored 67% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures. They have also conceded the majority of their home goals after the halftime break.
West Brom were 4-0 winners at Rotherham in December
The Baggies have won three of the last four meetings (L1)
West Brom’s last home game over Rotherham was a Carling Cup 4-3 win in 2009
Both teams have scored in one of the last four meetings
To say Rotherham are desperate is an understatement. They really need to win at the Hawthorns. They started the weekend three points behind Millwall who are fourth from bottom. However, Millwall have a far superior goal difference to that of the Millers. So basically Rotherham have to better whatever Millwall do on the weekend. That’s not the end of their problems though because Millwall have a game in hand over them as well. Rotherham could be down this weekend, even if they get a win. But what’s the likelihood of them pulling out a victory? Given their current form, not high.
They have lost all five away games played against the current top six sides, so that doesn’t bode well for them. Overall this season the Millers have won one away game only (D8 L13). They have lost three of their last five away games (W1 D1). But they are on a four-match scoring streak away from home so that is some kind of positive from them. The trouble is they have no clean sheet in seven road games. Rotherham have averaged under a goal per away game this season and they have conceded at a rate of almost two goals per road fixture. The Millers have been losing at half time in 11 of their 22 away games.
West Brom should have enough in attack to take down the Millers. It’s been a tough season for Rotherham and going into such a difficult away game at this stage of the season is far from ideal. West Brom to win & both teams to score.
26th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Reading have based their survival off of their home form this season pretty much. They have won their last two home games and a third in a row would ease their relegation worries. West Brom are still on course for a solid top six finish. Read our Reading v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom evens
* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
Reading picked up a great three points from their last home game, a 2-1 success over Brentford. That is back to back wins that they have taken on home soil now and they have won three of their last four at the Madejski. Overall this season they have taken a W8 D4 L9 record at home and they haven’t managed to earn a clean sheet in any of their last six on home soil.
Each of their last four there have gone over 2.5 goals as well. Of Reading’s eight home wins, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. They have averaged at 1.4 goals per home game with 67% of their home fixtures going over 2.5 goals. They have struggled for clean sheets though with three managed all season at home. Over the last eight rounds of Championship action, only four teams had picked more points than Reading had done heading into the weekend action.
Reading have won their last two home games against West Brom in all competitions
West Brom collected a 4-1 home win over the Royals in October
Each of the last three meetings have gone over 3.5 goals
Reading are unbeaten in their last ten home games against the Baggies
The away form of West Brom hasn’t been great lately. They have lost three of their last four on the road, winning the other one. The win was over mid-table Brentford. The Baggies are at W11 D3 L7 this season on their travels in the Championship. They are one of the higher-scoring teams in the league and they have averaged 1.6 goals per away game this season.
West Brom have taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their away games this term. West Brom have only managed the three goals in their last four away games, failing to score in two of those. Of the eleven away wins that they have recorded, eight of them have been by a one-goal margin. They have not been involved in an away draw in their last 15 played now. They could face a tricky test at the Madejski.
Reading haven’t done bad on home soil recently and they may be able to dig out a point in this one. The Baggies haven’t had the best of time on the road recently so the draw in the match outright at 23/10 does have some appeal, especially with the Royals so badly not wanting to lose this* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
20th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Baggies got an important win on the board last weekend to snap out of some losses. They look on course now for a top-four finish but this is no easy game for them. Hull are starting the weekend just the two points outside of the top six but can they get some away form going in this important clash at the Hawthorns? Read our West Brom v Hull betting tips for more.
West Brom 5/6
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 4:58 p.m.)
The Baggies got a good 4-1 home win over Preston on the weekend to keep their hot streak going at the Hawthorns. That is a three-match winning streak that they are on there at the moment in the Championship. They have scored at least three goals in each of those wins as well. West Brom have a home record of W10 D7 L4 this season and they have averaged 2.3 goals per home fixture this term.
62% of all league games at the Hawthorns this season have made it over 2.5 goals, around half going over 3.5 goals. West Brom are on a four-match scoring streak at home, scoring at least two goals in each of their last eleven there. 67% of their home goals have come after the half time break. Home and away, The Baggies have managed only the two clean sheets in their last ten played. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in just 14% of home fixtures.
Hull took a 1-0 home win over the Baggies in November
The Tigers have won one of their last six against West Brom (D2 L3)
West Brom won their last home game against Hull 3-1 in 2017
Four of the last five meetings have gone under 2.5 goals
The Tigers were really trending towards the play-off places but had a setback last time out. They lost 1-0 at Middlesbrough, snapping a three-match winning streak that they were on. Hull are still within touch of the top six but really have to produce a win in this one to boost their chances. They have only gone W1 D1 L5 from their seven away games against current top seven sides this season though. Their overall record in the Championship is W6 D4 L11 this season.
They have lost six of their last seven away games (W1) so it really is their home form which has put them in playoff contention. Hull have actually taken one win in their last eight on the road. They have tallied a clean sheet in just 14% of away games, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per road fixture. 57% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. Hull have scored 60% of their away goals in the first half of fixtures.
West Brom have good home form behind them and this could be the telling factor here. Hull haven’t been that hot on their travels, highlighted by their recent loss at Middlesbrough. West Brom can collect the victory.
16th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
West Brom took a hit on the weekend as they suffered a loss at Millwall. That snapped a three-match winning streak that they were on in the Championship. They start midweek action still in fourth place though. Bristol City are just hanging on to six, but have games in hand over the top five and three points would be huge for their hopes of making the playoffs. Read our Bristol City v West Brom betting tips for more.
Bristol City 29/20
West Brom 15/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 7th, 2019 at 4:02 p.m.)
Bristol city collected a point in a home draw against Wigan over the weekend. That was their fourth game in a row without defeat (W2 D2). They have only won two of their last seven Championship fixtures, and the Robins have drawn their last two home games. Bristol City have failed to pick up a win in any of their last four played at Ashton Gate. Overall this season, the Robins have a W7 D7 L6 record on the board at home. From their home campaign in the Championship this season, Bristol City have come up with an average of 1.2 goals per home fixture.
Across the course of the season on home soil, they have produced an average of 1.2 goals per home game. They have taken a clean sheet in 20% of their fixtures, but are without one in any of their last five. Only three times have the Robins been behind at the half-time break in a home fixture. 75% of the goals that they have scored at home this season have come after the half-time break. There are just two sides currently in the division who have better defensive records than what Bristol City have managed. The Robins have scored in all but one of their last 11 home fixtures.
West Brom were 4-2 home winners over Bristol City this season
The Baggies have won the last two meetings
Bristol City have won one of their last four at home against West Brom
Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine meetings
West Brom took a surprise hit on the weekend as they suffered a 2-0 defeat at Millwall. They had a good stretch of form going before that, going undefeated in four. They were on a three-match winning streak in the Championship before the weekend’s defeat at the Den. West Brom have produced a W11 D3 L6 away record in the second tier this season. They have averaged 1.5 goals per away game as well on their travels. Their recent away form has been pretty good with five wins in their last seven played. However they have lost two of their last three and in those two defeats, West Brom failed to score.
The Baggies have claimed a clean sheet in a quarter of their away fixtures, while 8 of their 11 away wins have been by just the one-goal margin. The half-time record that West Brom have taken on their travels this season is W6 D10 L4. Albion have scored 64% of their away goals after the half-time break and they have not been involved in a draw in any of their last 14 away from the Hawthorns. Norwich are the only side to have outscored West Brom in the Championship this season and Norwich are the only side with better away record than that of West Brom too.
West Brom can have a good run at the three points out of this trip to Ashton Gate. They have been in pretty good shape on the road recently, even though they had that slip up on the weekend at Millwall. Bristol City haven’t done a lot of winning recently, so away win.
8th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Lions still can’t shake themselves free of relegation worries at the moment and they are in some poor form. They get a tricky home game on the weekend as they face up against West Brom. Albion seem to have recovered from a sticky patch of form, having put a three-match winning streak under their belt as they drive to a top six finish. Read our Millwall v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 31/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 11:17 p.m.)
Millwall are in a spot of bother at the moment. They have lost five of their last six league games (W1). The lone win in that sequence of form happened out a Birmingham in a recent road game. Last weekend they battled hard at Elland Road against Leeds but fell to a 3-2 loss. Millwall have lost their last two league games at the Den, both of those 3-1 defeats against Preston and Norwich. They are winless in five currently on home soil in the league (D2 L3).
Millwall’s home form reads W6 D6 L6 this season in the Championship. During their home campaign, they have scored 22 goals, but have conceded a total of 24. From their three games at home this season against other top four sides, Millwall are D1 L2, but they did score in each of those. The Lions have scored in each of their last seven games in the Championship. They have one clean sheet in six. Five of their six home wins recorded this season have been by a one-goal margin.
West Brom are winless in their last four visits to the Den (D2 L2)
West Brom took a 2-0 home win over the Lions earlier this season
Millwall are winless in three against WBA (D1 L2)
Both teams have scored in two of the last six meetings
The Baggies found themselves in a little bit of a slump recently which saw them sack boss, Darren Moore. They have recovered well though with a three-match winning streak going. In those three matches, they scored a total of seven goals as well, while Albion took a clean sheet in two of the three. Their record away from home reads W11 D3 L5 this season and they have been pretty strong on their travels. They have won five of their last six out on the road (L1).
The only defeat suffered in that sequence was at top-two side Leeds in early March. West Brom have averaged 1.6 goals per away game, and they do have four clean sheets in their last six road fixtures. Eight of the eleven way wins that West Brom have picked up this season have been by a one-goal margin. Their record at half time on their travels this season is W6 D10 L3. They have scored in 79% of their away fixtures this season and only leaders Norwich boast a better away record than West Brom. West Brom are also the second-highest scorers in the division.
WBA have just come back into form at the right time it would seem to strengthen their shot at a playoff place. Millwall are struggling badly in contrast and could slip under the pressure at home again. Away win.
5th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
These two Midlands rivals will scrap it out on Friday night to start another fantastic weekend of Championship football. The Baggies have turned their form around and are looking odds-on for a top six finish. Birmingham, on the other hand, have seen their form fall away and they were hit with a big points penalty. Read our West Brom v Birmingham betting tips for more.
West Brom 3/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 26th, 2019 at 4:42 p.m.)
The Baggies have started to improve their form again having taken back to back Championship wins over Swansea and Brentford. They needed that after only one point earned from their three previous games. So maybe they have settled back down and will be targeting a big three points out of this Midlands derby on Friday. West Brom though are not in great form at the Hawthorns with just one win in their last seven there. That lone win was in their last game, a 3-0 success over Swansea.
The Baggies have scored an average of over two goals per home game in the Championship and 58% of their home games going over 2.5 goals. Surprisingly though they have only earned a clean sheet in 16% of their home games. Of the wins that they picked up on home soil this season, only one of them has been by a one-goal margin. 68% of West Brom’s home goals have come in the second half of games. They have opened the scoring in 11 of their 19 home fixtures in the Championship this term. The Baggies are the second-highest scorers in the division currently.
West Brom earned a point in a 1-1 draw against the Blues earlier this season
The Baggies are undefeated in their last five against Birmingham
Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings
This is the first meeting at the Hawthorns since the 2011 Premier League
It has not been great news for Birmingham recently. Their league form took a massive nosedive as they are currently on a four-match losing streak in the division. They didn’t hit the back of the net in any of those either, and it saw their outside hopes of battling for a top six finish, crash. However, on top of that, they were then slapped with a 9-point deduction which has seen them tumble down to 18th and only five points above the drop zone. So they really need to dig now against all this adversity.
Birmingham’s away form this season is at W6 D6 L7 and they have averaged 1.4 goals per road fixture. The Blues have lost back to back away games, going down without netting a goal against Hull and Preston. Birmingham have taken just two wins in their last seven road fixtures, picking up a clean sheet in a total of 21% of their away games. Birmingham don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last seven road games. Home and away, they are without one in eight played. Have they had the stuffing fully knocked out of them, or will they pull together?
Even though they haven’t won many home games recently, the home win for the Baggies makes sense. Birmingham’s form alone has been bad lately and then that hammer blow of a points deduction will really have knocked them back. West Brom to win to nil.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
West Brom gave themselves a good lift in midweek with a home win over Swansea City. That strengthens their place inside the top four. They head out on the road on the weekend as they make a trip to Brentford who are in the mid-table area, but they have some fine home form going behind them. Read our Brentford v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 15th, 2019 at 9:09 p.m.)
Brentford suffered a 2-0 midweek defeat out at automatic promotion contenders at Sheffield United. Still, Brentford have won five of their last eight league games played. They have some scintillating home form going at the moment as well which suggests that they can easily threaten the visiting Baggies. Brentford are currently on a five-match winning streak on home soil, going unbeaten in eight at Griffin Park. They have been a wonderful attacking side to watch this season and they have averaged 2.2 goals per home game this season.
They have also been tight at the back with just one goal conceded in their last three home games. Within their last four league victories, Brentford have beaten two of the current top eight with successes over Aston Villa and Middlesbrough. The Bees have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their home games this season. They are currently on an 11 match scoring streak on home soil in the championship. Brentford have opened the scoring in 12 of their 18 home games this season. Only the current top three in the table have a better home record than Brentford do this season in the second tier.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two earlier in the season at the Hawthorns
Brentford won their last league home game 3-0 against West Brom which was back in 1998
West Brom lead the overall head-to-head W11 D3 L3 against Brentford
West Brom earned a 3-0 home win over Swansea in midweek which snapped a three-match winless streak of form that they were on in the division. That was a good win for them because it strengthened their spot inside the top four in the table. West Brom have won more times out on the road in the Championship this season then they have done at the Hawthorns. Their away record is W10 D3 L5. They were on a four-match winning streak on their travels before suffering a 4-0 reverse at Leeds in their last away fixture.
West Brom have averaged 1.7 goals per away game this season having taken a clean sheet in 22% of their road fixtures. They have earned a clean sheet in five of their last seven out on the road. Caretaker manager James Shan stays in charge for this weekend after the club sacked Darren Moore last weekend after a tame 1-1 home draw against bottom side Ipswich. Seven of West Brom’s 10 away victories this season have been by a one-goal margin only. Only leaders Norwich have scored more league goals and West Brom have done in the Championship this season.
The Bees have such good home form behind them that they are well worth a look in this game. Given how badly West Brom collapsed in their last away game and with the turmoil of losing their manager, the home win looks a solid proposition.
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting