Watford v Burnley Premier League Preview, 19th January 3.00pm
The Hornets got a good away win at Crystal Palace last weekend to move up to seventh in the table. They are starting to look in good shape again and will fancy their chances at home against Burnley. However, the Clarets have suddenly come to life with a three-match winning streak going. Read our Watford v Burnley betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Hornets got a good away win at Crystal Palace last weekend
That moved them on to a three-match unbeaten streak of form league form (W1 D2)
Watford have only lost one of their last seven now in the top flight (D3 L1)
The Hornets have a home record of W5 D1 L5 this season
Four of their five home losses have been against current top-six sides
They have tallied 16 goals on home soil this season, conceding 18
82% of league games at Vicarage Road have gone over 2.5 goals this term
Both teams have scored in 64% of Watford’s home games
They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last five
The Hornets are currently on an eight-match scoring streak in the top flight
Watford have scored 69% of their home goals this season in the second period of matches
Watford have opened the scoring in four of their eleven home games
The Hornets earned a 3-1 away win at Burnley when they met in August 2018
Burnley are W3 D4 L2 in their last nine games against Watford
Three of the last four EPL meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Watford have lost only one of their last five home games against the Clarets (W2 D2)
The Clarets are on a three-match winning streak in the top flight
That is their best form of the season
Overall their away record is W2 D2 L7 this campaign
They won their last road game, a 2-1 success at Huddersfield
That snapped a D1 L5 run that they were on in the EPL away from Turf Moor
Burnley have scored only the nine away goals
They have struggled at the back having conceded exactly two goals per game on average
36% of their away games have gone over 3.5 goals
Burnley have no clean sheet in their last four on the road
They have strung together a five-match scoring streak home and away
Their half time record is D7 L4 on their travels this season
Five of those seven half time draws were 0-0 score lines
Fulham are currently the only side to have conceded more league goals this term than Burnley
Just three sides have earned fewer away points this season than the Clarets have
Watford to win & both teams to score at 5/2
Over 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Clarets have done so well lately but this won’t be an easy away game for them. Watford are proving difficult to beat at the moment. We see enough in the Hornets to back the home win in what could be a good entertaining game.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Eagles have improved well enough to have left some good distance between themselves and the drop zone. They started the new year with a win and will be looking for more as they host Watford on Saturday. The Hornets are holding ground inside the top ten and have only lost one of their last six. Read our Crystal Palace v Watford betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
Palace took three points from a trip to Wolves to start the new year
That is three wins in their last five games they have taken now (D1 L1)
The Eagles are only W2 D3 L5 at Selhurst Park this season
But they are W2 D1 L1 in their last four on home soil
There have been only the five home goals produced by Palace this season
They have conceded at under a goal per home game on average
Just one league game at Selhurst Park this season has gone over 2.5 goals
Each of the last five there have ended under the goal line
Palace have earned a clean sheet in 40% of their home games
But they have also failed to score in 70% of league home fixtures
Palace have scored 89% of their home goals in the second period of matches
They have opened the scoring in three home games this season
Watford were 2-1 winners when they met Palace earlier this season
That is Watford’s only win in their last six against the Eagles
Palace have won four of their last five at home against Watford in all competitions
Watford have lost two of their three EPL trips to Selhurst Park (W1)
The Hornet’s drew a 3-3 thriller with Bournemouth last time out
That is back to back draw in the top flight from them
Watford have lost just one of their last six league games (W2 D3)
Their away record for the season is W3 D4 L3
They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game
Only 30% of their road games this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Watford have earned two clean sheets in ten away games
They are currently undefeated in their last three away from home (W1 D2)
The Hornets have scored at least two goals in each of their last three on the road
Watford have opened the scoring in five of their ten road games
Watford are currently on a seven-match scoring streak in the top flight
They have lost just one of eight away games against sides currently 9th or lower
There may not be too much to choose between the two of them at Selhurst Park on the weekend. Neither would be that disappointed in picking up a point you would feel. The draw in the match outright looks a good fit.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford make the trip to non-league side Woking and the Hornets will be hot favourites to power their way through to the next round. Woking are the lowest ranked side left in the tournament and would need an epic outing on home soil to keep their campaign going. Read our Woking v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on 3rd January 2019 at 11:43 p.m.)
Woking, from the Football Conference South, have a great draw for themselves in the third round of the FA Cup. They have produced a fantastic season and going into this one they have a four-match winning streak going. How will they come under the pressure of forcing a Premier League side? They have worked hard to get here.
In the first round of the competition, they beat Torquay and then pulled off quite the Cup upset as they took out Swindon in the second round. Now comes their biggest challenge of the entire season. Their best ever performance in the FA Cup came in the 1990/91 season when the did make it through to the fourth round.
Watford will be expected to win this and comfortably so really. But these are the types of games where it is about the favourite holding their nerve and just doing a professional job. Watford haven’t been in great winning form, having collected only two wins since the start of November last year. That is a W2 D4 L5 record that they have put up in that spell. So it’s not been great though.
Out on the road they have actually managed to take one win in their last six (D3 L2). So while there are vulnerabilities where you have to keep in mind the distance between the two clubs in the league standings. Watford have scored at least two goals in each of their last three on the road, including a 3-3 draw at Bournemouth in their last road game.
There is a big gap between the two of them in the league standings and that should mean that Watford manages to get the job done. They just need a composed and professional performance but it may be worth having a look at the home side to get on the scoresheet at least. Watford to win & both teams to score 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 3rd, 2019 at 9:45 pm)
5th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Cherries continued their slide on the weekend with a loss against Manchester United. That’s four defeats in six now for Bournemouth. Watford pay a visit after earning a draw against Newcastle. Will they have fun against the leaky defence of the Cherries? Read our Bournemouth v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 31st, 2018 at 1:08 a.m.)
The Cherries suffered a big 4-1 defeat out at Manchester United on Sunday
That’s nine goals conceded in their last two Premier League games
They have lost six of their last eight league fixtures now (W2)
The Cherries have won two of their last three at home though, beating Brighton and Huddersfield
Bournemouth have conceded at least two goals in six of their last eight
Their overall home form for the season is W5 D2 L3
The Cherries have gone W2 L3 in their last five home fixtures
They have tallied up the sixteen home goals, conceding fourteen
70% of fixtures at the Vitality this season have gone over 2.5 goals
The Cherries have taken three clean sheets at home this season
They have been leading at halftime in exactly half of their home fixtures (D4 L1)
Bournemouth have conceded 71% of their home goals in the second period of games
Only four teams have a worse defensive record in the EPL than the Cherries
Bournemouth won 4-0 at Vicarage Road in early October
The Cherries have lost only one of their last ten against Watford
Five of the last seven meetings have been drawn
Four of the last five meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
The Hornets played out a 1-1 draw at home against Newcastle on the weekend
They have only lost one of their last five league games (W2 D2)
Their overall away record of W3 D3 L3
The Hornets have gone undefeated in their last two road games
They have scored 11 goals on their travels, conceding 10
Just 22% of their away games have gone above 2.5 goals
Watford have scored in each of their last six league fixtures home and away
Two-thirds of their away games have finished with exactly two goals scored
All three of their away wins this season have been by a two-goal margin
They have scored at least two goals in each of their last two on the road
All season Watford have lost just two games against sides currently 10th or lower
The Hornets have taken one clean sheet in their last five away games
The Cherries are really unpredictable defensively and even though Watford tend to go hot and cold, there may be enough to warrant backing them to get the away win. That is basically down to how bad Bournemouth are at the back.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford suffered a home loss against Chelsea in the late kick-off on Boxing Day. That dented their current form having won back to back games prior to that. Newcastle come for a visit on the weekend after they were trounced at Anfield against Liverpool. Read our Watford v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 26th, 2018 at 8:48 p.m.)
Watford lost 2-1 against Chelsea on Boxing Day
They had gone W2 D1 in their three games prior to that in the top flight
It leaves their home record for the season at W5 D0 L4
They have collected just the one win in their last four home games (D1 L2)
They have tallied 14 goals at home, conceding 15
89% of games at Vicarage Road this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Each of their last eight at home in the EPL have ended that way
Wolves have banked two home clean sheets this season but none in three
Their half time record on home soil is W3 D3 L3 so far this term
All three of the draws in that sequence were 0-0 score lines
Watford have scored in each of their last five league games
They have conceded the opening goal in five of their nine home games
Watford lost 1-0 away at Newcastle in early November
The Hornets were on a five-match winning streak against them before that (all competitions)
Watford have won their last three home games against Newcastle by a one-goal margin
The Magpies have lost 2-1 in their last two visits to Vicarage Road
Newcastle were beaten heavily 4-0 at Anfield against Liverpool in midweek
That is a W3 D2 L3 record for them in their last eight
Overall this season on their travels they have posted a W2 D4 L3 record
Their three away losses have all been against current top-six sides
Newcastle have managed seven away goals this season, conceding 11
They have banked a clean sheet in 44% of their EPL road games
They have also failed to score in 44% of away games
Newcastle have scored just one goal in their last three league games
They have scored in just two of their last six top-flight fixtures
The Magpies have been level at the break in six of their nine road games
Of the goals they have conceded on the road, 64% of them have been in the second period of games
Huddersfield are the only side to have scored fewer EPL league goals than Newcastle
Watford are the more likely of the two to come up with a winner in this one. Newcastle don’t pack a great offensive punch and may struggle to get much change out of the Hornets. Watford to win to nil looks a solid proposition.
28th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hornets collected a really good win out at West Ham on the weekend, with a huge chunk of help from keeper Ben Foster. Watford are an unpredictable side though but after Chelsea suffered a shock home defeat against Leicester on the weekend, the Hornets may fancy their chances at Vicarage Road against the Blues. Read our Watford v Chelsea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 2:12 p.m.)
Watford banked a 2-0 away win at West Ham over the weekend
That is back to back league wins for them
The Hornets are unbeaten in three league games now (W2 D1)
They have trended to having scored exactly two goals in each of their last three games
Watford are W5 L4 in nine home fixtures this season
Currently, in seventh, they are W1 L3 at home against sides currently above them
Watford have produced 14 goals at home this season, conceding 15
89% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals
67% of matches at Vicarage Road in the EPL have seen exactly three goals scored
Watford have taken a clean sheet in 22% of their games at home
Of the goals that the Hornets have produced at home, 71% have been after the break
Each of Watford’s last eight home games have gone over 2.5 goals
Home and away the Hornets have scored in each of their last four games
Watford and Chelsea traded home wins in the top flight last season
Chelsea are W3 D2 L1 in their last six league games against Watford
Five of the last six meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Watford are W1 D1 L2 in four previous EPL home games against the Blues
The Blues lost 1-0 at home against Leicester on the weekend
It leaves Chelsea at W3 D1 L3 in their last seven league games
So they have not been running with consistency lately
The Blues are W5 D1 L2 away from Stamford Bridge in the top flight
They have lost two for their last three away games (W1)
Chelsea collected 2-1 success at Brighton in their last away game
Chelsea have scored 16 goals on their travels, conceding 7
88% of their road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals
Each of Chelsea’s last five away games have gone over the goal line
Both teams have scored in half of Chelsea’s road games
Chelsea’s half-time away record is W5 D2 L1 this season
They have scored in each of their last five away from Stamford Bridge
71% of their away goals conceded have been in the second half of games
The Blues have opened the scoring in six of their eight league away games
Only Liverpool and Man City have conceded fewer goals than they have
There has to be a decent chance for Watford to get something out of this. They are totally hit and miss on the day but Chelsea have become more vulnerable and lose away from home the longer the season has gone on. Watford Double Chance.
25th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hammers are one of the current form teams in the EPL at the moment having put together a fantastic four-match winning streak. They get the chance to extend that on home soil on the weekend as Watford come for the visit. The Hornets squeezed out a home win over Cardiff last weekend to leave themselves level on points with West Ham in the middle of the table. Read our West Ham v Watford betting tips for more.
West Ham 13/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 18th, 2018 at 1:37 p.m.)
West Ham rolled out their fourth straight Premier League win with a 2-0 success at Fulham last weekend. So they are in a great bit of form at the moment. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four games as well. The Hammers have posted a record of W5 D2 L1 in their last eight league fixtures. But it is worth looking at that in context because all of the wins that they have record in the sequence were against sides currently 14th and lower in the table. Overall the Irons are W4 D1 L4 at home, winning three of their last four there (L1)
West Ham have scored at least three goals in three of their last four at home so have every reason to fancy their chances here. They have scored 14 and have conceded 14 goals in their home games this season. 56% of their EPL home games this season have gone over 3.5 goals. One negative about them really is that they have not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six home games. Each of their last four Premier League home games have gone above 2.5 goals. West Ham have scored 10 of their fourteen home goals this season in the second half of games.
The two traded home 2-0 wins last season in the EPL
West Ham are W2 D1 L1 in their last four home games against Watford
Five of the last seven meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
West Ham are W26 D7 L11 in the overall head to head against the Hornets
Watford got themselves three points at home over Cardiff last weekend, but they had to sweat it out. With ten minutes left in the clash at Vigarage Road, Watford had been 3-0 up. They survived though and it snapped a six-match winless streak of form that they had been running on prior to that success (D2 L4). There has been just the one point from their last three away games though. Overall away from Vicarage Road this season in the EPL, the Hornets have a W2 D3 L3 record. They have only scored in two of their last four road games as well.
In total they have produced nine goals on their travels, conceding 10. Only a quarter of their away games this season have managed to get over the 2.5 goal line. They have been struggling at the back with no clean sheet in their last seven games (home and away combined) and looking deeper, they have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five games. All but one of their last five league outings have seen at least three goals in them. The Hornets have failed to score in 38% of their away games this season. They have also conceded the opening goal in five of their eight away games
Watford have been struggling for wins recently, whereas West Ham are in full flow. We can lean on the Hammer’s well enough here for them to get the win. But the real appeal on the game is a West Ham to win & both teams to score option.
19th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford have failed to produce a win in any of their last six games and really are just having a tough in getting things to go their way. They were denied a win in the 96th minute of their game at Everton last Monday for example. Cardiff have done well to pull clear of the drop zone but their away form is pretty questionable. Read our Watford v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 11th, 2018 at 8:43 p.m.)
The Hornets almost got themselves a good win at Everton last weekend. They conceded a 96th-minute equaliser though to deny them. That draw at Goodison Park leaves them with a record of D2 L4 in their last six league games now. At home in the top flight, this term the Hornets have produced a W4 L4 record. They have suffered back to back home defeats though but were against Liverpool and Manchester City just to put that into context. They have won all three home games played against sides currently in the bottom half of the table
The Hornets have scored 11 goals at home, conceding 13 and in total, 88% of their games at Vicarage Road have made it over 2.5 goals. So there’s a strong trend, in fact, the last seven league home games for Watford have gone above the goal line. There has been no clean sheet from Watford in their last six league games and they have conceded at least two in their last two home fixtures. They have scored 73% of their home goals in the second half of games. Watford have conceded the opening goal in five of their eight home games
This is the first meeting since the 2014/15 Championship season
The two traded away wins that season
Cardiff have lost just one of their last seven against Watford (W3 D3 L1)
Watford are winless in three home games against the Bluebirds (D2 L1)
Cardiff did their survival hopes further good with a 1-0 home win over Southampton last weekend. That was more good work from the Bluebirds but their survival hopes seem to be pinned on their home performances. Cardiff are just D1 L6 this season on their top-flight travels. They suffered a 3-1 reverse out at West Ham in their last away game. In their away games Cardiff have only managed to find the back of the net three times in total. That has been a failure to score in 57% of their road games in the EPL.
43% of their away games though have ended up finishing over 3.5 goals this season. They have only banked the one clean sheet on their travels as well. Home and away combined Cardiff have gone without a clean sheet in any of their last five league games. They have been losing at halftime in all but three of their seven away games in the top flight. As a positive, they have scored in each of their last three league fixtures. They have the joint-worst away record in the Premier League alongside Fulham. Only Burnley and Fulham have conceded more goals than the Bluebirds this season
* (betting odds taken on December 11th, 2018 at 9:50 pm)
We are going to predict a home win. Even though they didn’t beat Everton Watford can still take positives from that performance. Cardiff just haven’t delivered enough away from home to warrant a decent look.
14th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Only three points separates Everton never Watford in the league heading into this Monday night showdown, but the two are trending in opposite directions in terms of form. Everton are on the up and have returned a good season at Goodison Park. Watford meanwhile are struggling for form having earned just one point in their last five league games. Read our Everton v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 6th, 2018 at 9:47 p.m.)
The Toffees somehow failed to win a home game against Newcastle in midweek. They had to settle for a 1-1 draw despite totally dominating the fixture. That moved the Merseysiders onto a W5 D2 L1 record on home soil this season. The Toffees have put together a five-match unbeaten streak at Goodison Park currently. As Watford are currently sitting 11th ahead of the weekend, it still means that Everton haven’t faced a side from the current top-half of the table this season at home. Everton have scored 14 goals in their eight home fixtures this season, conceding seven. Home and away combined they have banked a clean sheet in three of their last five fixtures.
The Toffees have trended with being level at half time in six of their eight home games this season (W1 D1). Seven times actually, looking at all of their fixtures (home and away), they have been at 0-0 at half time. Each to their last four league games have gone under 2.5 goals. 71% of the goals Everton have conceded at home this season have been in the first half of games. As a positive, Everton have scored in each and every home game played this season and have opened the scoring in all but three at Goodison Park. Only Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea have earned more home points than Everton this season.
The two traded home wins in the EPL last season
Each of the last four meetings have been won by the home side
Things are even with two wins each and two draws in the last six meetings
Everton are W12 D1 in thirteen previous home games against Watford in all competitions
Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings at Goodison Park
The Hornets were sunk in 2-1 home loss against Manchester City in midweek. That moved them on a disappointing three match losing streak in the top flight now and are going to have to start digging deep to snap out of it. Looking back a little further the Hornets have earned one point in their last five league games only. During that run of games, they have scored just the two goals. Away from home, the Hornets have tallied seven goals this season, conceding eight. In their last three fixtures away from Vicarage Road the Hornets have come up with just the one point. There has been no clean sheet in those three games.
Only one of Watford’s away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals so that’s a big trend to consider. Each of their last six away games have gone under 2.5 goals. They have failed to bank themselves a clean sheet in any of their last five league games. Watford have played two away games this season against sides currently above them in the table. They lost both without scoring (Leicester and Arsenal). In fact, from eight games against sides currently in the top half of the table, Watford are just W2 L6. They are currently sitting two points worse off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign.
Everton should find a way to make the most of this home fixture against a side who are out of sorts at the moment. The Toffees don’t look likely to lose. Watford’s lack of away goals are likely to prevent them winning. Home win.
8th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Manchester City made it six wins in a row on the weekend as they eased their way past Bournemouth at the Etihad. They make a road trip on Tuesday night as they go to Vicarage Road. Watford suffered a setback against Leicester on the weekend leaving them with only the one point earned in their last four games. Read our Watford v Manchester City betting tips for more.
Man City 1/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 2nd, 2018 at 12:47 p.m.)
Watford had another setback over the weekend as they suffered a 2-0 loss out at Leicester. That left them with back to back league losses. The Hornets failed to score in either of those defeats as well. Across their last four games, Watford are now only D1 L3. Watford have produced only the one goal in their last four league games in total. At Vicarage Road this season in the league, their home record this season is W4 D0 L3. In their home games, Watford have come up with ten goals while having conceded eleven.
86% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Each of their last six league outings at Vicarage Road have gone over the goal line so there has been a trend there. Over the goals that they have produced at home, 70% of them have been in the second half of games. Watford have shipped the first goal in four of their seven home games this season in the top flight. There is going to be a long way back for the Hornets if they concede first against the reigning champions.
City won the corresponding fixture from last season 6-0
Manchester City are on an eight-match winnings streak against Watford in all competitions
Six of the last eight meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Watford have lost their last three home game to City conceding 13 goals
Watford are winless in 13 games against Man City in all competitions
City eased to a 3-1 home win over Bournemouth on the weekend. It was a win which moved them out to a six-match winning streak in the Premier League. Their high-scoring output has remained constant as they have scored at least three goals in each of their last four games home and away combined. In their last six games alone they have come up with 22 goals. Over 3.5 goals is at 11/10 odds* (betting odds taken on December 2nd, 2018 at 1:07 pm). City have won their last two away games, at Spurs and West Ham
Overall away from the Etihad in the top flight this season, Manchester City have produced a W4 D2 record. In that sequence of games, they have come up with 13 goals. Far more impressive is the fact that they have conceded just one away goal all season. Bearing that in mind then Manchester City to win to nil is at 6/5 odds* (betting odds taken on December 2nd, 2018 at 1:07 pm). City have been ahead at the half time break this season in all but two of their away games. Surprisingly just 33% of their away games this season have made it over 2.5 goals. A Manchester City/Manchester City half-time/full-time option will have appeal for the game.
Manchester City looks irresistible at the moment and it is going to take something very special to stop them in their tracks. The form of Watford doesn’t appear to be there at the moment to pull off such an upset. The away win to nil has appeal.
2nd December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting