The draw for the semi-finals of the FA Cup sees outright favourites Manchester City take on Brighton and Wolves going up against Watford. It was another fantastic weekend of Cup action with Watford the first to reach the final four.
Man City 1/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 17th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.)
Andre Gray came off the bench to get the winning goal at Vicarage Road for Watford against Crystal Palace. They will go up against Wolves who produced a fantastic display to dispatch Manchester United on Saturday evening at Molineux. It continues a fine season from Nuno Espirito Santo’s men in both league and cup.
Manchester City had to mount a big fightback to reach the final four. They found themselves 2-0 down at Championship side Swansea but managed to haul themselves through to the next round with a 3-2 turnaround. It leaves Manchester City as 1/3 outright favourites* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 17th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.).
The Citizens, who are still firing on four different fronts this season play host to Brighton. The Seagulls managed to scrape through a tough match at Millwall on Sunday, equalising in the 95th minute after a mistake front the Lions’ keeper. That gave them the lifeline they needed and they came through a penalty shootout to reach the final four.
18th March 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This could well be a good old ding-dong battle of an FA Cup tie. Watford will be happy enough to have home advantage here, but they will know that they are facing a Crystal Palace side who have had a better time of things away from home this season. Read our Watford v Crystal Palace betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 8:39 p.m.)
The Hornets aren’t in bad current form at the moment. They have won four of their last six played (L2). The two defeats in what sequence happened in away games at Liverpool and Manchester City, which is nothing to be overly concerned about. So they are shaping up well and they have lost just one of their last six at Vicarage Road as well. So far in this season’s FA Cup Watford have played all of their games away from home, winning at Woking, Newcastle and QPR without having conceded a single goal. Can they make the best of home advantage in this one?
Watford won both league games this season 2-1 against Palace
Watford are unbeaten in three at home against Palace (W1 D2)
Palace are without a win in three games against the Hornets
Palace won the last FA Cup meeting, a semi-final in 2016
The Eagles have been shaping up much better in 2019 than they had been over the first half of the season. They have lost only two of their last nine games in all competitions. Those two defeats were at home as well. They have been a bigger threat in their away games than at home. They did take a home win over Spurs in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Palace are on a three-match winning streak away from home in all competitions, unbeaten in four. They have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven on the road as well. Their only loss in their last seven away games (W5 D1) was at Liverpool in the league. They have only one clean sheet in five away from home though.
This should be a close contest but Watford may just be able to get across the finish line. We see them being pushed all the way but home advantage may just swing it. Watford to win in the match outright at 13/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 8:39 p.m.)
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Manchester City could open up a four-point lead at the top of the table if they can keep their winning streak going. Challengers Liverpool will be playing on Sunday. So City have a huge change to put some pressure on the Reds. Watford have won three of their last four played but have struggled in recent matches against City. Read our Manchester City v Watford betting tips for more.
Man City 1/7
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on 7th March 2019 at 6:07 p.m.)
Manchester City are now on a five-match winning streak in the top flight as they push towards the title. They collected three points from a 1-0 victory against Bournemouth last weekend. That is back-to-back 1-0 wins that Manchester city have recorded in the top flight. When it comes down to the title race at this stage of the season, sometimes it just is about grinding out those results in whatever fashion possible. Their clean sheet at the Vitality Stadium was their fourth in a row, home and away. Manchester City have taken victory in seven of their last eight league games and at home, they are W14 L1 from their 15 played.
Manchester City are at exactly 50 home goals scored this season, which is an average of 3.3 goals per home game that they have returned at this season. Manchester City have conceded only 11 goals in their home campaign, with 60% of their home games going over 3.5 goals. In total, the Citizens have earned a clean sheet in 40% of home games. City have conceded in just one of their last four home league fixtures. Sergio Aguero has seven goals in his last three home games. Just three of their fourteen home successes this season in the EPL have been by a margin of only one goal.
Man City earned a 2-1 win at Vicarage Road back in December
The Citizens are on a nine-match winning streak against Watford
The Hornets have scored one goal in their four previous EPL visits to Man City
Watford have scored just three goals in their last seven against Man City, home and away
Watford left it very late but they produced three points at home against Leicester last weekend. That made it three wins in four league games for the Hornets. So they do have a little bit of form running behind them. There Watford have only a taken two defeats in their last 10 Premier League games. Their away form stands at W5 D5 L5 and they have averaged 1.5 goals per road game. They did not have a great time of things out on the road in their last fixture as they were hammered 5-0 at Anfield by Liverpool.
It is worth noting that the last two league defeats that Watford have suffered have both been against sides who are currently in the top three. Overall home and away this season, from eight games played against the current top six, Watford are just W1 L7. So they have certainly struggled when it comes to taking on the top sides. Watford have taken a clean sheet in just 20% of away games. Each of their last three, home and away have ended up going over 2.5 goals. To their great credit, they are seven points better off than they were at the same stage of last season’s campaign.
We can only see another three points coming for Manchester City in this one. Watford have had a really hard time in the Premier League against the Citizens. We expect that to continue. Man City to win to nil.
8th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford took a bit of a hammering out at Anfield in midweek. They will be looking for a big bounce-back performance on home soil this weekend. Leicester will have new manager Brendan Rodgers taking charge for the first time in this one. Read our Watford v Leicester betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 27th, 2019 at 10:34 p.m.)
The Hornets will want to quickly forget about midweek as they suffered a big 5-0 defeat at Anfield against Liverpool. That was after having won back to back league games as well. That result against Liverpool leaves Watford at W3 D3 L2 in their last eight league fixtures. They have posted a W6 D2 L5 record on home soil this season and most of their home problems have been against the top six sides. Watford have only lost one of seven home games this season against sides currently in the bottom half of the table.
The Hornets have scored 17 and have conceded 18 home goals this season with 69% of fixtures at Vicarage Road going over 2.5 goals. They have earned a clean sheet in 31% of their home games. Watford have taken three clean sheets in their last six, home and away. Four of their six home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin only. They are currently on a three-match undefeated streak of home form, all three of those going under 2.5 goals. The Hornets have scored 71% of their home goals not the second half of fixtures.
Watford have won their last two home games 2-1 against the Foxes
Leicester have taken back to back 2-0 league wins over Watford
The Foxes have won just two of their last nine against Watford
Both teams have scored in just two of the last six meetings
Leicester now have Brendan Rodgers in charge and he has been talking up better things to come for the Foxes. In midweek they stepped out and posted a 2-1 home win over Brighton to lift the cloud a bit after Claude Puel was sacked. Leicester had taken just the one point from their six previous league games. So that win was much needed. Away from home this eaves Leicester are at W5 D3 L6 and they have tallied up 18 goals on their travels.
While Leicester have earned a clean sheet in 29% of away games, they have conceded at an average of 1.5 goals per road game. In their last three away games, the Foxes have earned just the one point and have conceded a total of eight goals. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last seven in the top flight, home and away. The Foxes have been trailing at the halftime break in exactly half of their away games this season. They have scored 83% of their road goals in the second half of games.
Hard game to call. The safest option may be taking a look at the outright draw in the fixture really. Watford will be happy enough to avoid defeat after midweek. Leicester may be lifted in their efforts for the new boss.
1st March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Premier League leaders Liverpool could only manage another draw, making it three in their last four played now. They were held at bay in a low key game at Manchester United on the weekend. Watford are now carrying a good bit of form with them as they make their trip to Anfield. The Hornets have won their last two League games. Read our Liverpool v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 24th, 2019 at 7:43 p.m.)
So again it didn’t quite happen for Liverpool as their attack was nullified very well by Manchester United at Old Trafford on the weekend in a 0-0 draw. That leaves Liverpool with a W1 D3 record in their last four Premier League fixtures. Their form at Anfield this season reads W11 D2 L0 so that is a huge positive for them. Liverpool did also bank a comfortable home win in their last Premier League home fixture as they beat Bournemouth 3-0. Liverpool have scored at least three goals in three of their last four League home games.
Overall this season Liverpool have averaged 2.7 goals per home game and their defence has only shipped seven. 46% of Liverpool’s home games in the top flight this term have gone over 2.5 goals. They have earned a clean sheet in 62% of home fixtures. They are currently on a nine-match scoring streak at Anfield in the Premier League and they have also been leading at the halftime break in eight of their fixtures at Anfield. Liverpool have opened the scoring in all but three of their Premier League home games this season. They have been dropping points recently and need a big home performance to steady the ship a little bit.
The Reds earned a 3-0 win at Watford earlier this season
Liverpool are unbeaten in six against the Hornets
Liverpool are on a five-match home winning streak against Watford
Both teams have scored in two of the last eleven meetings
Watford have a pretty solid and stable recently and they took a big 5-1 victory away at Cardiff last Friday. That makes it back-to-back League wins for the Hornets. Watford have actually only suffered one defeat in their last 10 Premier League games now. That low defeat happened on a trip to Tottenham at the end of January, the Hornets losing 2-1. Watford have played two away games at sides currently sat in the top four. They lost both of them at Arsenal and Tottenham. In fact, Watford have played seven games against current top six sides and have lost all but one of them.
Watford’s overall away form in the Premier League this season is W5 D5 L4. The recent defeat they suffered out at Tottenham is their only away loss in their last seven on the road. So it has been pretty good stuff from them. Less than half of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. Watford have averaged 1.6 goals per away game, while they have taken a clean sheet in 21% of their road fixtures. Starring in front of goal for them on the weekend at Cardiff was Gerard Deulofeu who got himself a hat-trick, while Troy Deeney weighed in with a brace. Watford have opened the scoring in seven of their 14 away games.
Watford are a little bit of a handful at the moment because they are hard to beat. Liverpool have not quite been firing on all cylinders lately, but their home form does look as if it will be enough to get them the three points. As Liverpool’s home defence has been so good, the Reds to win to nil does still offer appeal
26th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Cardiff are just about keeping their heads above the relegation zone, having done so well to record back to back wins. They need to ride that wave for as long as possible. But Watford will be showing up in decent enough form on Friday night. Read our Cardiff v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 18th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Bluebirds have taken back to back league wins over Bournemouth and Southampton to move just clear of the drop zone. They aren’t clear of danger yet, but that win over the Saints was massive for them. Cardiff have taken a W5 D2 L6 record at home in the league this season and they have done pretty well really. Four of their five defeats have been against current top-five sides. So they have handled themselves well enough otherwise.
Cardiff have taken four points from their last two home games. The Bluebirds have tallied up 15 home goals this conceded and 62% of their home fixtures have ended up over 2.5 goals. Cardiff have managed to take back to back clean sheets at home as well. In eight of their thirteen home games in the EPL this term, Cardiff have been level at the half time break. 60% of their home goals have been produced in the second half of mixtures. Only two sides have scored fewer Premier League goals than Cardiff this season.
Cardiff suffered a 3-2 loss at Vicarage Road earlier this season
Watford have won the last two league games against Cardiff
Cardiff have lost only one of their last six home games against Watford
Both teams have scored in each of the last seven meetings at Cardiff
The Hornets have only lost one of their last seven Premier League games and that was against Spurs away from home. And only by a one-goal margin. They moved through to the FA Cup quarter-finals too on the weekend. So they are doing well at the moment, proving tough to beat. They have drawn four of their last seven league games though (W2 D4 L1). Away from home in the top flight, they are at W4 D5 L4 for the season.
The defeat at Spurs in a recent away game snapped a four-match undefeated streak of away form that the Hornets were on. That is their only loss in their last six road fixtures though. Only 38% of Watford’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They played out a 0-0 draw at Brighton in their last road game. Only five teams in the top flight currently have a better defensive record than Watford have.
This has the look of being a low scoring game. Watford are a tough side to beat at the moment but haven’t done a tremendous amount of winning lately. So the draw in the match outright has the most appeal.
19th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The quarter finals of the FA Cup was made on Monday evening. The final game of the fifth round saw Manchester United take what was a comfortably easy away win at Chelsea. That was a repeat of last season’s FA Cup Final line up, with Chelsea prevailing. So the holders are out and Manchester United are now running as second favourites to lift this season’s title.
Man City 4/5
Man Utd 10/3
Crystal Palace 14/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 18th, 2019 at 10:32 pm)
Manchester United are 10/3 to win the FA Cup this season* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 18th, 2019 at 10:32 pm). Having played away at Arsenal and then Chelsea in the last two rounds, once again they’ll be back out on the road against Premier League opposition. United go to Wolves in the final eight.
Their rivals Manchester City remain the favourites to win outright at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 18th, 2019 at 10:32 pm). The Citizens are also out on the road in the quarterfinals, making a trip to south Wales to face Championship side Swansea.
Swansea are one of two Championship sides left in the competition along with Millwall. Manchester United and Manchester United are the only two from the so-called Big Six of English football to remain in the competition.
Swansea v Man City
Watford v Crystal Palace
Wolves v Man Utd
Millwall v Brighton
Ties to be played March 15-17
19th February 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The fifth round of the FA Cup starts at Loftus Road on Friday night where Championship side QPR will be looking to pull off a Cup upset. Premier League side Watford though have been proving to be a hard side to beat recently. Read our QPR v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 13th, 2019 at 3:34 a.m.)
Things haven’t been going too smoothly for the R’s recently. Their victory over Portsmouth in the last round of the FA cup is their only victory in their last seven games played across all competitions. That also has been their only clean sheet in their last nine games across all competitions. So far in this season’s FA Cup, QPR opened in the third round with an upset over then-Championship leaders Leeds.
But then the R’s needed a replay to get past League One’s Pompey. Even though they aren’t in great form, their form at Loftus Road isn’t all that bad. QPR have won four of their last seven on home turf (D1 L2). Those two losses though were both in their last three home games and Rangers conceded exactly four goals in each. Still, QPR have only failed to score in one of their last twelve home games in all competitions.
Watford’s ship is pretty steady at the moment. They have only suffered one defeat in their last nine games in all competitions. That was an away defeat at Spurs in the Premier League and only by a one-goal margin. Watford have shown plenty of strengths on the road having posted a W4 D3 L1 in their last eight away from Vicarage Road in all competitions.
A 0-0 draw at Brighton in their last away game snapped a seven-match scoring streak they were on away from home. So far in this season’s FA Cup Watford have taken back to back 2-0 away wins over Woking and Newcastle. They have been pretty tight at the back as well recently with four clean sheets in their last five played in all tournaments. Andre Gray has scored two of their last four goals.
QPR haven’t been goal shy and they can give a good account of themselves here with nothing to lose. We can still see Watford getting over the finish line though. Away win but both teams to score.
13th February 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Watford are just missing a winning touch from their current form, which has been pretty solid and stable. They have lost just one of their last six played and will be looking to make the most of home advantage in this one. Everton will go into this one after back to back defeats. Read our Watford v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
The Hornets drew again last weekend as they played out a 0-0 draw at Brighton. They came under some pressure in the game as well, keeper Ben Foster keeping Watford in it. That is four draw matches in their last six played now for Watford (W1 D1). However, their performances at Vicarage Road against teams currently in the top half of the table are worth noting. They are W1 L5 from six against top ten opponents this season. So that’s been a pretty poor return. Overall they have a W5 D2 L5 home return.
Watford have scored 16 home goals and have conceded 18. A high percentage of 75% of their games at Vicarage Road have gone over 2.5 goals. They have earned a clean sheet in a quarter of their home games and in two of their last three home and away combined. Three of Watford’s five home wins have been by a one-goal margin. The Hornets have scored 69% of their goals at home in the second half of fixtures this season. Just four times they have opened the scoring at home and they have conceded in 75% of home fixtures.
There was an entertaining 2-2 draw between these two earlier this season
Watford have won their last two at home against Everton, unbeaten in three
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Six of the last eight comings-together have gone over 2.5 goals
The Toffees lost against Wolves last weekend in the top flight and then had an extra shift in midweek, suffering another loss against Manchester City. That has left Everton with a W3 L5 record in their last eight top-flight games. Overall this season they have only managed to put together a W3 D3 L6 record on their travels. It has been three losses in their last four on the road, the only exception being a 1-0 win out at bottom side Huddersfield. Everton still haven’t won an away game this season against any of the current top-ten side.
Everton have returned 15 goals in their away games this season, having conceded 19. They have only earned the two clean sheets away from Goodison Park in this season’s EPL. They have been level at the break in eight of their thirteen road games. Six of those eight were 0-0 half time scores. Their loss at Man City on Wednesday saw them have a four-match scoring streak snapped. Everton have conceded a heavy bulk of their away goals this season in the second half of fixtures.
Everton have been in decline but Watford have struggled for wins at home against the better sides this season. The thing about the Hornets is that they are capable of playing well at times and may have enough to edge this.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton v Watford Premier League Preview, 2nd February 3.00pm
Watford looked as if they were going to get three points out of a trip to Tottenham on Wednesday evening. However, it fell apart for them inside final 10 mins as they ended up suffering a loss. Speaking of losses Brighton suffered their third in a row as they were torn apart by the relegation-threatened Fulham on Tuesday. Read our Brighton v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
Brighton found themselves 2-0 ahead at half-time away at Fulham in midweek. Come the end of the game they had been beaten heavily 4-2. That leaves the Seagulls on a three-match losing streak in the Premier League. It leaves them with just the one victory in their last nine league games, Brighton losing six of those. So they are struggling for form at the moment. Overall this season on home soil, Brighton have posted a W5 D3 L3 record. Each of their last three there have ended under 2.5 goals.
Brighton have come up with 15 goals across their home fixtures this season in the league, while they have taken a clean sheet in 27% of them. To their credit, they have only been trailing at the halftime break in three of their 11 home games this season. Four of the five home victories which they have recorded have all been by a one-goal margin. As a positive Brighton have scored in all but one of their home league games this season. They go into this match certainly needing a huge boost of three points to try and steady the ship.
Watford earned a 2-0 home win over Brighton back in the middle of August
Brighton have taken one win in their last nine games against Watford
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Only one of the last nine games between them have managed to get above 2.5 goals
It was so near yet so far for Watford on Wednesday evening as they couldn’t hold onto their one-goal lead at Tottenham. Watford ended up losing the game 2-1 late on. That ended a four-match undefeated streak of form that Watford were on in the top flight. But still, that was just their second defeat in their last eight games, the other one in that sequence being against the current top five side Chelsea.
Away from home this season Watford have posted an even W4 D4 L4 record. They can take some heart from having won two of their last four road games as well (D1 L1). Watford have scored at least two goals in four of their last five on the road. The Hornets are on a five-match scoring streak on their travels in the top flight. In total they have managed 17 away goals this season, conceding 16.
42% of their away games have ended over 2.5 goals. Clean sheets in general for them this season away from home have been a struggle. Watford have just the three but two of them have been in their last three road games. Watford have opened the scoring in half of their away fixtures. Wherever you can look for them all of their stats just come out around average. For example, the half-time away record is W4 D4 L4 as well away from home this season. Watford’s last three away games have all gone over 2.5 goals
It seems like a decent opportunity to have a punt on a draw in the match outright. Brighton have done pretty well on home soil, but they will be smarting after the way they lost in midweek. Watford are a team who can blow a bit hot and cold away from home. Draw.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting