The Saints are still just above the drop zone but it has been a while since they tasted what a winning feeling feels like. They blew a two-goal lead to end up drawing with Watford last weekend and it’s pretty frustrating for them. Spurs have ramped up their form again and destroyed Everton last weekend. Tottenham are 4/6 at William Hill to take the away win, with the draw at 14/5 and Southampton at 4/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 16th, 2018 at 7:30 p.m.)
The Saints are now winless in their last ten fixtures in the top flight and have won just one of their last fourteen. It is has been a miserable run of form from them and even after playing themselves into a great position last weekend, going 2-0 up at Watford they could only manage a draw at the end of the day. They are not a high scoring side and there have been some really poor defensive performances from them recently as well as they have conceded nine goals in their last four games played. Five of those were in their heavy Boxing Day defeat out at Spurs. Southampton are just W3 D4 L5 on the road this season and they have gone just D2 L2 in their last four there, scoring just the four goals as well. They have scored just the fourteen goals in their twelve home games while they have conceded at a rate of 1.4 per home game. Charlie Austin is their top scorer at home this season with five of his six league goals this term coming at St Mary’s. Both teams to score in this one with William Hill is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken on January 17th, 2018 at 10:08 p.m.) given what happened between them recently.
Spurs are ticking over in great form again now with thirteen points picked up from their last five league games. They have scored at least two goals in six of their last eight league outings and they have won their last two away games, both to nil as well in victories over Burnley and Swansea. Overall this season Spurs have posted a W6 D1 L4 record on their top-flight travels but they have only collected the two wins in their last seven road fixtures. But their recent upswing suggests that they are fully back in business. Harry Kane has eight league goals in his last five appearances and he naturally is the William Hill First Goalscorer favourite for the match. Tottenham have averaged 1.8 goals per game on their travels this season while they have collected a clean sheet in 45% of their away games. 55% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals so that’s probably a decent option to look at for this one. Of the six away wins they have recorded this season only one of them have been by a one-goal margin.
Spurs romped to a 5-2 win over Southampton back on Boxing Day and that was their third Premier League win in a row over the Saints. Both teams have actually scored in each of the last four meetings so there is a decent trend running there. Southampton have won just one of their last eleven Premier League fixtures against Tottenham. The Saints have lost their last two at home against the Lilywhites are winless in their last five there against Tottenham.
Tottenham should be fairly comfortable in this one. They are back in form again while Southampton just cannot get anything going and after their recent heavy defeat against the Lilywhites, you would expect more of the same in this one. Spurs to win by a two-goal margin looks value.
19th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham’s home form has stood up pretty well for them this season and they will be keen to collect another three points at Wembley. They are already facing a battle to get into the top four places this season. Everton have failed to win any of their last four league games now, losing their last two and won’t get an easy evening in the Capital. Spurs are 1/4 odds-on favourites at Betfair for the win, with the draw at 5/1 and Everton out at 12/1* (Betting Odds were taken January 11th, 2018 at 3.51 am)
Tottenham’s home for this season is pretty solid and they have won three of their last four games at Wembley at the moment in the top flight. They have scored thirteen goals in their last four there and Harry Kane has five of those. It’s been another astounding season for him and he heads up the First and Anytime goalscorer markets at Betfair. Spurs were held to a 1-1 draw at home against West Ham on New Year’s Day as the Hammers turned up and parked the bus. It has left them unbeaten in their last four home and away in the top flight though. Overall Tottenham’s home form is W6 D4 L1 this season and they haven’t been pretty reliable at the back, shipping just the nine goals while they are averaging exactly two per game going forward. They start the weekend outside of the top four though and they are five points worse off than they were at this stage last season. Just 36% of their home games have seen more than two goals so under 2.5 goals at Betfair at 11/10* (Betting Odds were taken January 11th, 2018 at 6.27 pm) should be the way to swing here for the game. There is, of course, always the option to back Spurs to win to nil and half of their home wins have been achieved by that.
Everton will just be a little concerned again about the goals having dried up. They have scored just the one goal in their last four games played now (D2 L2) and they have lost their last two back to back. One of those were against Manchester United which is excusable to a degree, the other thought was a big blow against Bournemouth. Everton are stuck on just the one away win for the season with a W1 D5 L5 record having been posted and they have fired off just the eight away goals this season as well. To be fair they have improved somewhat to a W1 D2 L1 record in their last four road games, but still, it’s not great. Again, hinting a low scoring game is the fact that only 36% of Everton’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals. Seven of the nine second-half goals that Everton have conceded this term have had all been in the final fifteen minutes of matches. The Toffees have only stuck the opening goal in two away games this season so they probably aren’t going to come firing out of the blocks and get Spurs rattled. Indeed, it may be another long afternoon of them just holding on and only three sides currently have collected fewe away points than the Toffees have done this season.
Spurs have won their last two league games against Everton, scoring exactly three goals in both of those victories. Prior to that, there were three straight Premier League draws between the two of them. The Lilywhites are unbeaten in their last ten league outings against the Toffees, holding a W5 D5 record against Everton in that sequence. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last eight home games in the top flight against Everton.
Tottenham should be good enough to collect the points on home soil here. They were frustrated last time out against West Ham but should have learned something from that and Everton have don’t look a great threat going forward again. Home win to nil.
12th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There is still plenty of action to come from the Third Round of the FA Cup as eight ties still needing to be settled through replays. The big shock of the Third Round was the fall of Arsenal who suffered a 4-2 defeat at the City Ground against Championship side Nottingham Forest. Arsene Wenger risked fielding a weakened side and paid the price, losing in the Third Round for the first time ever in charge of the Gunners. Manchester City had no such problems as they cruised past fellow Premier League side Burnley at the Etihad, while Manchester United steeled themselves to see off a stern challenge from Championship promotion hopefuls Derby.
Liverpool made their way through to the Fourth Round at the first attempt with a home victory over rivals Everton in a thrilling Merseyside derby, while Tottenham were on cruise control against Wimbledon. It leaves Manchester City as 3/1 favourites at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken January 8th, 2018 at 11.42pm) to win the trophy this season, followed up by joint second-favourites Manchester United and Liverpool. Chelsea’s odds may shorten a bit if they get past Norwich in their replay at Stamford Bridge, while Leicester needs another attempt to try and get past League One opponents, Fleetwood.
League Two side Newport recorded a big shock in the Third Round of the FA Cup as they dumped out Championship side Leeds and they have pulled in a huge tie of facing Premier League opponents Tottenham. Yeovil, also from League Two get a dream home game against Manchester United while Coventry, who took out Premier League opposition in Stoke in the third round make a visit to the MK Dons.
Man City 3/1, Man United 5/1, Liverpool 5/1, Chelsea 11/2, Tottenham 13/2, Leicester 25/1, Southampton 40/1, Newcastle 50/1, Watford 50/1, West Ham 50/1, 66/1 bar* (Betting Odds taken January 8th, 2018 at 11.42pm)
Liverpool v West Brom
Peterborough v Fleetwood/Leicester
Huddersfield v Birmingham
Notts County v Wolves/Swansea
Yeovil v Manchester United
Carlisle/Sheffield Wednesday v Stevenage/Reading
Cardiff/Mansfield v Manchester City
MK Dons v Coventry
Millwall v Rochdale
Southampton v Watford
Middlesbrough v Brighton/Crystal Palace
Bournemouth/Wigan v Shrewsbury/West Ham
Hull v Nottingham Forest
Newport County v Tottenham
Norwich/Chelsea v Newcastle
Sheffield United v Preston
Leicester v Fleetwood
Mansfield v Cardiff
Reading v Stevenage
Sheffield Wednesday v Carlisle
West Ham v Shrewsbury
Wigan v Bournemouth
Swansea v Wolves
Chelsea v Norwich
9th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Spurs had a pretty comfortable night down at the Liberty Stadium in midweek as they took a win over Swansea. That extended their winning streak in the league to three games and now they move on to squeeze in this extra fixture. The Hammers had a big night on Tuesday as they dramatically sunk West Brom in stoppage time. That was a big three points for the move them out of the drop zone. Tottenham are 2/7 odds on favourites to win with the draw at 5/1 and West Ham out at 11/1.
Spurs have won their last three games at Wembley now in the league and they have remained unbeaten in nine there. However, both teams to score at William Hill for 19/20 has some appeal in this one because the Lilywhites have collected just the one clean sheet in their last four league home games. Harry Kane was left out of the starting lineup against Swansea in midweek as Spurs won 2-0, but he did get on as a sub. Kane has six goals in his last four home games in the Premier League and he will be trading as the first goalscorer favourite for the match then and overall the Lilywhite are W6 D3 L1 on home soil this season. Spurs have scored 21 goals in their ten home games so far, picking up a clean sheet in four of them (eight goals conceded in total). 67% of the goals that Spurs have scored have cropped up in the second half of matches. Tottenham have scored in each of their last nine games now and they have scored in each of their last seven on home soil. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last three home fixtures.
West Ham earned a big home win for themselves in midweek against West Brom on Tuesday and that saw them climb out of the relegation zone. They have gone unbeaten in their last two away games, netting three goals exactly in both of those a draw at Bournemouth and a win at West Ham. Their defence has become a big concern again, especially in this one against a top side, as the Irons have conceded seven goals in their last three games. Over 2.5 goals at William Hill is a price of 4/7 for this one and Andy Carroll netted a brace in their victory over the Baggies and he is a 7/2 option in the anytime goalscorer market. Three of the last four games between these have produced a 3-2 scoreline (two wins for Spurs and one for West Ham). A Spurs 3-2 correct score is a big 25/1 price in this one. West Ham have held their own against Tottenham recently but they are winless in three out on the road in the top flight against Spurs (D1 L2). Overall this season West Ham’s away form reads W1 D4 L6 and they have conceded an average of over two goals per game on the road.
These two have already met this season, with Spurs taking a 3-2 win at West Ham in the league, with the Hammers getting a revenge 3-2 win at Spurs in the EFL Cup. In the last six Premier League meetings things are even as the Lilywhites are on a W3 D1 L2 record from that. Five of the last seven meetings in all conditions have been over the 2.5 goal line and Tottenham are unbeaten in three home league games against the Irons (W2 D1).
Tottenham should go out and collect another win for themselves in this one as West Ham still looks thoroughly beatable under David Moyes. Tottenham have strong form going at home as well in the league and can take a win in this one, but it may be worth backing both teams to score though looking at recent games between them.
3rd January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There is no way that the Swans are going to be looking forward to this game against a top side. Swansea are looking increasingly likely to be playing Championship football next season and have only won twice at home so far this season. Spurs have not had the greatest run of form out on the road recently, but a win at Burnley in their last road game will have renewed their confidence a bit as they go and face the struggling Welsh outfit. Spurs are 2/7 odds on favourites to get the win under their belt with the draw at 4/1 and Swansea out at 11/1.
This looks to be a bit of a thankless task for Swansea. The Welsh club have produced a W2 D2 L6 record at the Liberty Stadium this season but they have only lost one of their last four there (W1 D2) so have at least improved a bit. They badly need someone to show up in front of goal for them as they have managed just the six home goals all season long. In contrast, they have conceded at a rate of 1.5 goals per games and only 40% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Still with Spurs likely to turn up and dominate them, over 2.5 goals at Betfair is going to be a decent option. The Swans have only been leading at half time in one home game this season while four of their six home losses have been by just the one goal margin. Their defence has looked a little more vulnerable as of late though. 83% of the goals that the Swans have managed on home soil this season on the top flight have come in the second half of matches and they have opened the scoring in just two of their home fixtures. Tammy Abraham is their top scorer on home soil with a three goal haul for the season and he is an 11/4 anytime goalscorer option. How much will that win at Watford on the weekend, in Carlos Carvahal’s first game in charge, have lifted them?
Tottenham strung together a really poor five match sequence of away games without a win (D1 L4) but they finally managed to get themselves out of their away slump with a solid 3-0 win at Burnley just before Christmas in their most recent road game. Harry Kane was on fire over Christmas and in the Betfair first goalscorer market, he is the 2/1 outright favourite. There has been a lack of clean sheets for the Lilywhites recently but they are going to be seriously considered at 5/6 to win to nil in this away game. Four of the five away games that they have recorded this season (W5D1 L4) on their travels have been with a clean sheet so there is a bit of trend there. Spurs have netted 18 away goals in ten games so have returned a solid amount of goals on their travels, but hey have conceded at an average of over a goal per game away from home. Spurs have four clean sheets on their travels and they have been leading for an average of 31 minutes per away game this season. In the correct score market a Tottenham 2-0 is at 11/2 odds, the shortest priced option.
Swansea surprisingly held out for a point at Wembley earlier in the season but Spurs are undefeated in their thirteen previous Premier League games against the Welsh club with a W8 D5 record against them. Tottenham have scored at least two goals in each of their last five visits to the Liberty Stadium.
Tottenham should find enough to go and take a win at the Liberty Stadium in this one and there is every reason to go and back them to win to nil as well. They should possess the quality at the back to keep the Swans, who lack a serious threat, off the board. Spurs to win to nil.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Lilywhites have been carrying some decent home form in the league this season and are unbeaten in their last eight there. So they will fancy their chances on Boxing Day against the Saints who have been struggling all season away from home. Southampton have managed only the one away win all season and will go as underdogs at Wembley. Spurs are 2/5 odds on at Betfair to win this with the draw at 18/5 and Southampton are a big 7/1 price.
Tottenham really can’t afford to take their foot off the gas on home soil at all. They are unbeaten in their last eight games there and they have won their last two back to back at Wembley and because of their poor away form, they need their home form to continue. They have some work to do to get back in the picture for a top four finish at the moment. Spurs have returned 16 goals in their nine games at Wembley this season and defensively they have been very sound with just the six goals conceded. That’s clean sheets in 44% of their home fixtures and Spurs to win to nil in this has to be a great option. 69% of Tottenham’s home goals have come the second half of matches this season and there is pretty much only one man you look to for Tottenham goals and that is Harry Kane. Of his league goal haul this season, five of them have come at home and goes as the First Goal Scorer outright favourite.
The struggles for the Saints have continued pretty badly, particularly on the road. They have only won the one away game all season with a very poor W1 D3 L4 return and they have collected just the one point from their last four road games as well. The Saints have managed only the five away goals in their eight road games so far, while they haven’t been defensively terrible having conceded at an average of 1.25 goals per away game, they just don’t have the attacking threat to get themselves into games. The Saints haven’t managed to score more than one goal in any away game this term. They have only opened the scoring in two of their eight road games so far and this game has every chance of going under 2.5 goals. But the Saints may struggle for any returns to take back to the south coast with them.
Spurs won both league meetings against Southampton last season and they have lost just one of their last ten Premier League games against the Saints, winning eight of those, so they are well up in the head to head. Six of the last eight games between them incidentally have gone over 2.5 goals.
Tottenham should have enough about them to get a home win on the board in this one. Southampton aren’t likely going to rattle them too much and Spurs to win to nil should have a decent amount of appeal.
24th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This should be a really interesting contest to see how Burnley handle the challenge of Tottenham. The Clarets go into the game in sixth place in the league, a point above the Lilywhites and so you can see how important the three points would be for them. To be a top six side at Christmas would be phenomenal. Spurs were rocked heavily by Man City last weekend, will they pick themselves up from that? Spurs are 1/2 to pick up the win, with the draw at 3/1 and Burnley at 6/1
The Clarets collected a 0-0 draw out at Brighton last weekend to make it three games unbeaten in the top flight. They have done magnificently well this season and hold a W5 D2 L2 record on home soil this term, winning their last two three and three of their last four at Turf Moor. Three of their last four wins have been by a 1-0 scoreline and a Burnley 1-0 correct score at Bwin for the match up is a big price of 14/1. The defence of Burnley has been rock solid so far this season and they have three clean sheets in their last three and they held out for a 1-1 draw at Tottenham earlier in the season, so could be value to get something out of this back on home soil. Burnley have only scored seven goals in their nine home games and their home defeats, against Arsenal and West Brom, were both by a 1-0 loss only. Three of their four defeats this season home and away have been by that scoreline. It could well be worth looking under 2.5 goals for the game which is a price of 3/4 because Burnley can hold their own. They would just need a point out of this game to ensure that they are a top six side at Christmas. A win could get them as high as fourth. Chris Wood is their shortest priced anytime goalscorer option at 2/1.
The Clarets may get a shot because Tottenham are not doing well out on the road at the moment. They have gone D1 L4 in their last five road games and so are tanking a bit. They were destroyed 4-1 at Man City last weekend and the other road defeats were against Man Utd, Arsenal and Leicester. They have now managed just the three away goals in their last five games away from Wembley so have been strangely struggling in front of goal a bit. With Harry Kane on the pitch, they will always have a chance of course and he is the 5/6 anytime goalscorer favourite for the match. Can Tottenham pull this together? Surprisingly they have only taken one clean sheet in their last seven league games home and away and both teams to score at Bwin may be worth a flutter at 11/10 because that could lead to the 1-1 draw in the correct score market which is pretty well priced. Tottenham looked a pretty tired side against Man City last weekend and things haven’t been clicking for the Lilywhites. A defeat in this one would leave them out of touch from the top six.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two at Wembley earlier in the season and that extended Tottenham’s unbeaten streak of form against Burnley to seven matches across all competitions. Burnley’s last win over Spurs was a 4-2 home success in 2010. They are W1 D1 L1 in their three previous Premier League home games against Spurs.
There’s no knocking Burnley’s home form and even their loss against Arsenal at Turf Moor recently could easily have been a draw. It may be worth backing the Clarets in a double chance because they are so strong, Spurs are looking tired and aren’t carrying away form.
20th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens marched on in midweek as they took a resounding win at Swansea to extend their winning streak this season even further. They are just looking pretty unstoppable at the moment and this would be another big three points for them. Tottenham have improved to back to back wins in the league after their victory over Stoke last weekend and over Brighton in midweek. Still, the Lilywhites are heavy underdogs for this one. Manchester City are 1/2 to take another three points at the Etihad, with the draw at 10/3 and Tottenham at 5/1.
The Citizens have made it to fifteen straight wins now in the Premier League after thumping Swansea 4-0 in midweek at the Etihad. They will be looking for their eighth straight win on home soil in the top flight as they face up to Tottenham on the weekend in Saturday’s evening kick off. The clean sheet against the Swans was City’s first in five matches and there is a decent chance of both teams to score for 8/13 returning some value in this one. The Citizens have picked up just the one clean sheet in their last five home fixtures in the top flight. City have scored 28 goals in their eight home fixtures this season at an average of 3.5 goals per game and they have conceded only the six goals. 88% of their games at the Etihad have gone over 2.5 goals and 71% of their goals scored in front of their home support this term have come in the second half of matches. They have opened the scoring in all but two of their home games and have been leading at half time in five. A Man City/Man City Half Time/Full time wager at William Hill is at 13/10 odds. Sergio Aguero was on the scoresheet again in midweek and is the 10/3 first goalscorer favourite for the match. The Citizens have scored at least two goals now in each of their last ten games in the top flight home and away.
Big game for Spurs, more so because of their poor away form. The Lilywhites have failed to win any of their last four league games out on the road now (D1 L3) and they have had some misfires in their big fixtures this season. They have lost against Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal already this season and that should mean that they are vulnerable for this trip. Spurs have scored just the two goals in their last four road games but they gave themselves a decent boost over the last week in winning back to back home games against Stoke and Brighton. Overall the Lilywhites are W4 D1 L3 this season on their travels and they have averaged 1.75 goals per game away from home while they have conceded an average of 1 goal per game away from Wembley. In the William Hill Correct score market a Man City 2-1 win is the shortest priced option at 8/1. Three of their four away losses this season have only been by a one goal margin and only Burnley, Man City and Man Utd have conceded fewer goals than they have. Harry Kane has netted seven away goals for the club this season in the top flight and he is a price of 5/4 to get one in this game.
The Citizens have only taken one point from their last two home games against Spurs in the league and are actually struggling overall home and away. Spurs have a W3 D1 record in their last four Premier League fixtures against Manchester City. Of the last eight meetings, City are just up with a 4-3 lead and one draw. Eight of the last ten meetings have produced over 2.5 goals.
This should be a decent competitive game and because a lot of City’s wins recently have only been narrow ones, it may be worth backing the Citizens to edge it by just the one goal margin. Spurs just haven’t been carrying the away form, nor form in their big games to suggest that they can bag three points.
15th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham looked back to their domestic best on the weekend as they tore apart Stoke, aided by some shocking defending by the Potters. That snapped Tottenham’s four match winless streak of form in the top flight and they get a chance to build momentum now as they face Brighton on Wednesday evening. The Seagulls were struck down at Huddersfield on the weekend losing a bit of ground in the table in the process. Tottenham are 1/4 to collect the win, with the draw at 11/2 and Brighton are out at 14/1 odds.
The Lilywhites snapped their four match winless streak of form in the league with a thumping 5-1 home win over Stoke on the weekend. They made it look really easy and Harry Kane added another couple of goals to his tally for the season and the England man is going as first goalscorer favourite with William Hill for the match. He has scored in three of his last four Premier League matches at Wembley now. That took his home tally to five goals in the league this season. Tottenham’s home form this season is W4 D3 L1 and they have gone unbeaten in their last seven at Wembley, winning four of their last five there. Spurs have shipped just the six goals at home (0.75 goals per game) and so they are going to be value to back to win to nil at William Hill which is up at a price of 4/5. They have three clean sheets in eight so far this season at Wembley. They have scored the bulk of their home goals (71% of them) so far in the second half of their home fixtures so the half time draw may not be too bad of an option going on, as Brighton will naturally be turning up in a pretty defensive mode.
The Seagulls took a bad hit in a loss at Huddersfield on the weekend, that was a great chance for them to add a bit of security to their season. That is back to back league losses for them now and this is a tough game for them. Brighton are winless in their last five fixtures now (D2 L3) and they have failed to score in three of their last four games now as well. Their away form reads W2 D1 L5 for them and they have lost back to back away games without scoring. The Seagulls have only netted the five away goals all season in the top flight, but their defence has been pretty solid in having only conceded the nine goals in eight games out on their travels. Just 25% of their away games in the top flight have gone over 2.5 goals. Glenn Murray is their top scorer on the road this season with three and he is a 4/1 anytime goalscorer option in the fixture. In the William Hill correct score market, a Tottenham 2-0 is the shortest priced option at 5/1 while a 1-0 home result is there at 13/2. The Seagulls, given their current form and lack of scoring power, may have a real struggle in breaking down the tough Tottenham defence in this one.
The last time that Spurs and Brighton faced off in the league was back in the old Division 1 in the 1982/83 season and the two of them traded home wins on that occasions. Their most recent meeting though was a 2014 Capital One Cup tie which Spurs won 2-0 at White Hart Lane. The overall head to head is in Tottenham’s favour at 8-3 with the three drawn matches between them.
The Lilywhites looked back on song over the weekend and they can deliver again in this one. Brighton’s loss at Huddersfield will have been hugely disappointing for them and Spurs will likely heap a bit more misery on them in this one. Spurs to win to nil looks viable.
13th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Five Premier League sides made it through to the round of sixteen in the UEFA Champions League, which is the first time that that amount of teams from one nation has successfully made it through to that stage of the competition. But which one of those will be marching through to the quarter finals? Manchester City are the new Champions League outright favourites having been trimmed to 3/1 at Bwin to get their hands on the title for the first time, while in contrast, Chelsea received one of the worst draws that they could have gotten as they have to take on the might of Barcelona in the round of sixteen.
We look ahead to the Champions League Round of Sixteen where generally favouritism rests on the sides who have gone through as group winners (teams playing the second leg at home). Because group stage winners have progressed in 72.3% of round of 16 ties since the current competition format was introduced.
Tottenham got themselves a tough draw but they won’t have anything to fear really after having taken down Real Madrid comfortably in the group stage of the competition. The Lilywhites will have plenty of belief as the Old Lady haven’t quite looked like their defensively brilliant selves this season. Still, this will be a real test for the Lilywhites and they are the 6/5 underdogs at Bwin to qualify from the tie which will probably tempt some punters. That first leg out on the road is going to be all important, the Lilywhites have to hang in there.
Manchester City landed a fantastic draw for themselves as they go up against FC Basel from Switzerland. That draw has seen Pep Guardiola’s men move into the position of outright favourites to win the tournament now, that and along with how the rest of the draw has panned out. Manchester City and Basel have never met before competitively, but Basel went up against Manchester United in the group stage this season and lost at Old Trafford heavily before taking a win back on home soil against the Red Devils. Still, they are tournament outsiders now because of this draw and are 7/1 underdogs to qualify with City at 1/12 odds on.
These two have met before as they were paired up in the 2000/01 UEFA Cup quarter finals and then again in the Champions League 2007/08 group stage. Liverpool have won both of their home games against the Portuguese side while drawing both of the games out on the road against them. Porto were in England last season as they hammered Leicester on match day six of the group stage, with the Foxes having already qualified at that point. The superior quality of the Reds, who did make hard work of their group stage it has to be said, are 2/5 odds on at Bwin to get through.
The Red Devils won’t be too unhappy with this draw but it is a bit of a tricky one really. Sevilla were up against Liverpool in the group stage and the Spaniards played out two draws with the Premier League side. This is a clash between the two most recent winners of the UEFA Europa League, with the Spaniards winning it three times on the trot between 2013/14 and 2015/16 before United rolled up and took it last season. Sevilla are a tough side on home soil and they will make United work, but the Red Devils are 2/5 odds on favourites to qualify from the tie.
What a duel this should be. Reigning champions Real Madrid get a really tough draw after having failed to win their group over Tottenham. Real Madrid just haven’t looked themselves this season on any front and with PSG having already received plenty of backing to go all the way in the Champions League this season, Madrid will be under threat here and they are even money underdogs to qualify. PSG invested heavily in the summer to propel themselves to the next level in Europe and this will be a great litmus test for them. PSG are 4/5 odds on favourites at William Hill To Qualify and it is hard to argue with that.
This is the tie that will be flying totally under the radar of most people, but for both Shakhtar Donetsk and Roma they will be happy enough in facing each other. That is because there were much tougher tests that could have come out of the hat for them. The Ukrainians are a very good side on home soil and they are here after finishing second behind Manchester City, who they beat on match day six and this could even be an evenly matched contest. The Ukrainians are 7/4 at William Hill to qualify, with Roma at 4/9, so the underdogs are going to have appeal as they did beat Man City in the group stage. Roma held off Chelsea to win their group and are favourites to progress.
Chelsea were really running the risk of getting a horrid draw and it happened. With five Premier League teams getting through, and Chelsea not being able to face anyone from their group, there was a massive chance that they were going to have it rough in the round of sixteen. But Chelsea are 4-3 up in the head to head against Barcelona from previous European meetings and they beat them in the 2012 semi finals on their way to winning the title. They beat Barcelona 5-4 in the 2004/05 round of sixteen as well. Lionel Messi has incidentally never scored in eight previous appearances against Chelsea but still, the Catalans have been in great form this season and are 3/10 odds on favourites To Qualify, with Chelsea 5/2 underdogs at William Hill.
Bayern Munich avoided any real trouble in the round of sixteen with this tie. The Germans only finished second in their group behind PSG so dodged a bit of a bullet here as they take on Besiktas who were one of the surprise group winners getting through. Thee two have met before back in the 1997/98 group stage with Bayern winning both of those ties by a 2-0 scoreline. Their powerful response against PSG on match day six shows that you can’t write Bayern off.
Manchester City 3/1, Bayern Munich 9/2, Paris St Germain 5/1, Barcelona 15/2, Real Madrid 8/1, Manchester United 14/1, Liverpool 16/1, Juventus 16/1, Tottenham 25/1, Chelsea 33/1, Roma 33/1, bar 100/1
Because of the Shakhtar v Roam tie, both of those received a pretty good positive odds shift in teh outright winner market after the draw. Shakhtar actually took the biggest price cut of all teams going through to the round of sixteen. Manchester City were priced up at 5/1 to win the Champions League before the draw, but after getting Basel, they have been cut down to 3/1 while Liverpool took an even bigger cut coming in from 25/1 to 16/1 thanks to their draw against Porto. Naturally, the odds on PSG and Real Madrid drifted because of their coming together, while the English side who got the biggest odds drift, was Chelsea who went from 22/1 to 33/1, while Spurs did go on the drift as well.
12th December 2017 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting