With Spurs having to cope without Harry Kane now, this FA Cup tie gets a little bit more interesting. The Swans have produced some fine home form recently and will be up for this challenge at the Liberty Stadium. After losing out in the Champions League round of sixteen, this is the last shot at silverware for the Lilywhites this term.
Tottenham 9/20, Draw 16/5, Swansea 13/2* (betting odds taken on March 14th, 2018 at 3:32 p.m.)
Swansea will look to make the most of home advantage as they face up to Spurs in the quarter finals. They are certainly carrying the home form to do just that. Remarkably the Welsh club are on a seven-match winning streak at home which includes wins over Liverpool and Arsenal in that sequence. In the FA Cup they have taken out Championship high-fliers Wolves, put eight goals past Notts County and saw off current boss Carlos Carvalhal’s former club Sheffield Wednesday. So they have certainly taken their chances at home and should be really competitive in this one and it’s worth backing both teams to score at even money odds at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 14th, 2018 at 3:32 p.m.). That has happened in three of the last four between these two at the Liberty Stadium.
Swansea’s last home win over Spurs was back in the 1991 League Cup and are D2 L5 since then against the Lilywhites in South Wales. This season they did pick up a creditable draw at Wembley in the league before falling 2-0 at home against Spurs in early January. This will be the first ever FA Cup game between Swansea and Tottenham.
Spurs have scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight games against Swansea but they are missing Harry Kane now for a lengthy time through injury. How will they cope? In the bet365 First Goalscorer market is Fernando Llorente who is now the 3/1 outright favourite* (betting odds taken on March 14th, 2018 at 3:32 p.m.). Can he step up to the plate as he goes against his former club? Spurs are not actually in that great of winning form away from home. They are W2 D5 in their last seven on the road and they have just the one clean sheet in that sequence but have scored in each of their last thirteen away games in all competitions. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 is a decent option to consider for this one. Tottenham have made hard work of things in the FA Cup itself having needed replays against Rochdale and Newport at home to get through earlier rounds.
The Swans are in home form at the moment and they may be strong enough and positive enough to get a draw out of this one at 90 minutes. There will be no replay, just extra time and penalties if needed. Tottenham’s loss of Harry Kane could well galvanise the home side even more. So back the draw at the end of regulation.
15th March 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
There is no way that the Swans are going to be looking forward to this game against a top side. Swansea are looking increasingly likely to be playing Championship football next season and have only won twice at home so far this season. Spurs have not had the greatest run of form out on the road recently, but a win at Burnley in their last road game will have renewed their confidence a bit as they go and face the struggling Welsh outfit. Spurs are 2/7 odds on favourites to get the win under their belt with the draw at 4/1 and Swansea out at 11/1.
This looks to be a bit of a thankless task for Swansea. The Welsh club have produced a W2 D2 L6 record at the Liberty Stadium this season but they have only lost one of their last four there (W1 D2) so have at least improved a bit. They badly need someone to show up in front of goal for them as they have managed just the six home goals all season long. In contrast, they have conceded at a rate of 1.5 goals per games and only 40% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Still with Spurs likely to turn up and dominate them, over 2.5 goals at Betfair is going to be a decent option. The Swans have only been leading at half time in one home game this season while four of their six home losses have been by just the one goal margin. Their defence has looked a little more vulnerable as of late though. 83% of the goals that the Swans have managed on home soil this season on the top flight have come in the second half of matches and they have opened the scoring in just two of their home fixtures. Tammy Abraham is their top scorer on home soil with a three goal haul for the season and he is an 11/4 anytime goalscorer option. How much will that win at Watford on the weekend, in Carlos Carvahal’s first game in charge, have lifted them?
Tottenham strung together a really poor five match sequence of away games without a win (D1 L4) but they finally managed to get themselves out of their away slump with a solid 3-0 win at Burnley just before Christmas in their most recent road game. Harry Kane was on fire over Christmas and in the Betfair first goalscorer market, he is the 2/1 outright favourite. There has been a lack of clean sheets for the Lilywhites recently but they are going to be seriously considered at 5/6 to win to nil in this away game. Four of the five away games that they have recorded this season (W5D1 L4) on their travels have been with a clean sheet so there is a bit of trend there. Spurs have netted 18 away goals in ten games so have returned a solid amount of goals on their travels, but hey have conceded at an average of over a goal per game away from home. Spurs have four clean sheets on their travels and they have been leading for an average of 31 minutes per away game this season. In the correct score market a Tottenham 2-0 is at 11/2 odds, the shortest priced option.
Swansea surprisingly held out for a point at Wembley earlier in the season but Spurs are undefeated in their thirteen previous Premier League games against the Welsh club with a W8 D5 record against them. Tottenham have scored at least two goals in each of their last five visits to the Liberty Stadium.
Tottenham should find enough to go and take a win at the Liberty Stadium in this one and there is every reason to go and back them to win to nil as well. They should possess the quality at the back to keep the Swans, who lack a serious threat, off the board. Spurs to win to nil.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham and Chelsea are the best sides left running this season and without Harry Kane, the Lilywhites edged to a win at Burnley to keep their hopes alive of reeling in the Blues. Swansea missed a golden opportunity on home soil on the weekend to put some distance between themselves and the drop zone in a home draw with Middlesbrough. Will they be taken out by Spurs? Spurs are 13/20 for the win, with the draw at 3/1 and Swansea out at 15/4.
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Swansea missed a good shot at three points at home against Boro on the weekend. Will that come back to haunt them in the long term? The Welsh Club sit just the one point outside of the drop zone and are still under pressure. Swansea have gone unbeaten in their last four on home soil, though (W3 D1) and that will give them some hope but they missed Fernando Llorente up top on the weekend in their draw. Overall this season they have gone W5 D3 L7 at home, but as mentioned, currently are doing well there. Swansea were smashed 5-0 at White Hart Lane earlier in the season and they have failed to beat Tottenham in 11 attempts in the Premier League (D2 L9). So a very difficult game for them. Both teams to score at Bet365 is a price of 4/5 and that has happened in each of the last five between these at the Liberty Stadium. Over 2.5 goals looks likely and that is a price of 4/5 at Bet365.
It was a good weekend for Tottenham, winning at Burnley and then seeing leaders Chelsea lose. Spurs have scored in each of their previous 11 Premier League games against Swansea (an average of 2.3 goals per game) and they are bang in form at the moment with a four-match winning streak going, scoring at least two goals in each of those wins. Dele Alli has 8 goals in 11 Premier League games for Spurs this year and he is a price of 6/4 in the Bet365 anytime goalscorer market, with Son Heung-Min at 6/5. Tottenham’s overall record this season is W5 D6 L3 and that was a good win for them at Turf Moor on the weekend, not an easy place to go to. They have lost just the one of their last six away games now. Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino has a W6 D2 record against Swansea in the Premier League as a manager. Spurs (26) have won more points in 2017 than any other Premier League team (W8 D2 L1).
Spurs Away Win: The Lilywhites have won three of their last four visits to the Liberty Stadium and the way that they are playing at the moment, they are worth backing to go and land another victory there.
3rd April 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Swansea v Tottenham Betting Preview
The Welsh outfit have forgotten how to win league games, as they are now seven in the top flight without picking up three points in a game. So things still aren’t happening for them and having lost four of their last five, they’ll go as underdogs against a Spurs side who have transitioned well into life under Tim Sherwood.
Swansea v Tottenham Betting Odds at online bookmaker Stan James
Spurs 11/8, Swansea 2/1, Draw 12/5
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Swansea v Tottenham Betting Tips:
The Swans have only managed to post two home wins all season in the Premier League and that is going to be make punters very unsure of them. The Liberty Stadium isn’t a fortress any more, far from it, and the Swans are going to be nervously looking over their shoulder at the drop zone if they fail to pick up any points here. Michael Laudrup’s men have faced up to a tough run in their fixture list, having faced Everton, Chelsea and both Manchester City and Man United in their last five games. There’s little respite for them at the moment. They have lost their last two at the Liberty Stadium and both of those defeats were by a one goal margin, so that may be around the right mark to look at, and lead punters to a Spurs 1 Goal Winning Margin bet for a price of 3/1 with Stan James. There hasn’t been anyone consistently netting for Swansea this season, which hasn’t helped and so it’s worth avoiding the goalscorer markets on them.
Overall, Swansea have won just two of their last 15 Premier League home matches now (W2 D6 L7). No ground in the English top flight has seen more second half goals scored than the Liberty Stadium this season. So while Swansea have taken a league high amount of possession from their games this season (60%) they just haven’t been able to convert it into as many points as they should and naturally punters will avoid them until that chances. Another reason why bettors will be leaning towards Spurs in this is one is that Tottenham have won four and lost none of the five Premier League meetings with the Swans. Spurs are in pretty good shape at the moment, and a road trip to Swansea doesn’t immediately look as if it is going to upset them too much. Spurs have only lost three of their last 21 away games in the top flight, and they have won their last four on the road outside of White Hart Lane. That should rightly hand them firm favouritism here.
Spurs have lost just one of their last eight in the Premier League (W6 D1) so are in decent form, helped out by boss Tim Sherwood sticking a couple of forwards up front for more impact. Under Sherwood Spurs have averaged 2.2 goals per game in the Premier League, compared to 0.94 they produced under Andre Villas-Boas. Spurs came away with a 2-1 win this last season’s corresponding fixture and back in August they secured a 1-0 home win over the Welsh outfit. A Draw/Spurs Half Time/Full Time bet could be well worth a shout in this one. Spurs have scored 65% of their goals this season in the second half, along with the flurry of second half goals that the Liberty Stadium has seen this season. Roberto Soldado is top option in the Anytime Goalscorer market at a price of 7/4, just in ahead of Emmanuel Adebayor and Swansea’s Wilfried Boy at 2/1.
This is a winnable enough game for Spurs to take on an be positive in. So therefore, with them being away from home and running in red hot form outside of White Hart Lane, there is big value in their price of 11/8 in the outright market on them.
Form (all competitions)
Swansea LLDLWL, Spurs WDWWLW
Spurs are unbeaten in five previous Premier League clashes with Swansea (W4 D1)
Swansea have won just two of their last 15 Premier League home matches
Spurs have lost just three of their last 21 away games in the top flight
The Liberty Stadium has seen more second half goals than any other EPL ground this season
17th January 2014 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting