Swansea will be finishing in the top half of the table this season but haven’t done enough to get themselves into the playoff picture. This is a huge game for Derby though who are occupying the sixth place in the table heading into midweek action. A win will leave them with a three-point cushion over the chasing Middlesbrough and with a far superior goal difference over them. Anything less and they could still be caught on the final day. Read our Swansea v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
Swansea are carrying some good form at the moment and will it be enough to scupper some important points for the visiting Derby? Swansea have won five of their last seven Championship fixtures, home and away (D1 L1). Their home form is absolutely superb at the moment having won six of their last seven at the Liberty Stadium. Going back further they are currently undefeated in their last 10 Championship home fixtures, winning seven.
So that is not something Derby really want to hear right now. Swansea have scored well at an average of 1.9 goals per home game this season and 64% of all fixtures at the liberty stadium have made it over 2.5 goals. Actually, 45% of Swansea’s home games have made it over 3.5 goals. The Swans have taken a clean sheet in 36% of their home fixtures this season and seven of their 12 home wins have been by a margin of at least two goals.
Looking at their goal scoring at the moment Swansea have scored at least two goals in each of their last six home games. They are however without a clean sheet in their last four. They were at home on the weekend when they played out a 2-2 draw against Hull. Swansea are on a 10 match scoring streak at the moment on home soil and they have been leading at the halftime break in eight of their home fixtures. Swansea have opened the scoring in 14 of their 22 home fixtures and over the last eight rounds of Championship action, there are only two teams in the league who have earned more points in that span of games than what Swansea have done.
Derby took a 2-1 home win over Swansea back at the start of December
That is back-to-back wins in the league at that Derby have taken over Swansea, both 2-1 wins
Swansea are winless in three league games against Derby
The Swans Are unbeaten in their last four home games against Derby, three of those being a draw
Derby got themselves a huge result in a tough away game at Bristol City on the weekend. The Rams took a 2-0 win at Ashton Gate. That it is three wins in their last four league games now, so they have come back into form at the perfect time to make a run at the playoffs. A victory in this one will all but guarantee that they get there, because of their superior goal difference over Middlesbrough. Derby have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven league games, so like Swansea, they are in pretty good shape at the moment.
The Rams have suffered only one defeat in their last 10 league fixtures, home and away. While there are a lot of positives when for them at the moment, their victory at Bristol City on the weekend snapped a eight-match away winless streak that they were on. The overall away form of Derby this season is W7 D6 L9. In the away games during this campaign Derby have averaged 1.3 goals per road fixture. They have conceded at an average of 1.5.
There has been a significant lack of clean sheets from them. Derby have taken a clean sheet in just 14% of their away games. But it is worth noting that they have earned a clean sheet in three of their last four league games, home and away. Of the seven wins that Derby have recorded this season away from pride Park, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. If they only manage to get a draw in this one, or no points at all, they are going to have to fight on the final day of the season
There is certainly enough about the home form of Swansea at the moment to warrant backing them to get something out of this game. Derby need a win to be able to relax somewhat on the final day of the season, but the draw in the match outright in this one looks a pretty good proposition.
29th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Rotherham are running out of time to get themselves safe. They will go into Friday action at the Liberty Stadium, three points clear of safety. Can they lend themselves a huge lifeline by sinking the Swans? That may be easier said than done with Swansea in some hot home form at the moment. Read our Swansea v Rotherham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 11:18 p.m.)
The Swans are on course for a mid-table finish. They had a rough weekend though losing 4-0 away at QPR. But their home form is bang on point at the moment with a superb five-match winning streak going at the Liberty Stadium. They are unbeaten in their last eight on home soil in the Championship now. That is an eight-match scoring streak at home which they have also put together. So it’s been impressive stuff from them. They have only lost one game this season at home against sides currently 10th or lower in the division. That though was against rock-bottom side Ipswich.
Swansea’s home form is W11 D4 L5 this season and they have averaged 1.75 goals per home fixture. Swansea have scored at least two goals in each of their last four on home soil. Seven of their eleven home wins this term have been by a margin of at least two goals. In total they have taken a clean sheet in 40% of home games, so have been tight at the back. They have conceded an average of 1.1 goals per home game, and have taken a clean sheet in four of their last six on home soil. Of the goals which they have conceded at home, two-thirds of them have been in the first half of matches.
Rotherham took a 2-1 home success over Swansea in November
Rotherham have lost one of their last five league games against the Swans
This will be just the second ever Championship game between them
Swansea are W1 D2 L1 in their last four home games against the Millers in all competitions
The Millers collected a point last weekend out at Stoke. Every point counts for them at this point. They have not done bad recently at all as they have lost just two of their last seven out on the road (W1 D4). So they have been digging out points here and there. A win in this one would do their survival hopes the power of good. Rotherham have netted in each of their last three games on the road but they do average under a goal per away game this season in the division. They have conceded an average of 1.9 goals per away game.
There has been a clean sheet for Rotherham in two away matches only this term. The Millers have been trailing at the halftime break in 11 of their 21 away games. They haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 12 league games, home and away. Of the goals which they have scored away from home, a massive 88% of them have been in the second period of fixtures. Right now it doesn’t matter that only one team have a worse away record in the league than they do. It’s about them raising their game right now on Friday and taking a shot at survival.
Swansea have just got brilliant home form behind them and although there is far more riding on this for the Millers, they may well fall short in south Wales. Swansea can land the win but it is worth having a look at both teams to score.
18th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Swans got themselves a good home win over Brentford last weekend to give themselves a lift towards a mid-table finish. As for Middlesbrough, their whole season is collapsing around them. They lost against Bristol City last time out, their fifth straight league defeat. Read our Swansea v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 5:11 p.m.)
Swansea earned a 3-0 success over Brentford last weekend. That was a welcome relief for them as it snapped a three-match losing streak that they were on. They have managed to maintain some pretty good home form though. The Swans are W9 D4 L5 at home this season in the Championship and they are on a three-match winning streak there. Each of those three wins were with a clean sheet as well. The Swans are undefeated in their last six at the Liberty Stadium so will pose a challenge to Boro.
Swansea have averaged 1.6 goals per home game this season, conceding at just over a goal per game on average. They have been solid defensively in having claimed a clean sheet in 44% of their home games this season. Swansea have scored in each of their last six home games and they have not conceded in their last three at home. The Swans have scored five goals in their last two games at home. Of their home goals this season, 62% have come after the half time break. Swansea have opened the scoring in 11 of their 18 home games.
There was a 0-0 draw at the Riverside in September
That’s back to back league 0-0 draws between these two
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Swansea are W2 D1 in their last three at home against Boro
Boro lost 1-0 at home against Bristol City last weekend, which leaves them on a five-match losing streak. That was the third game in a row in which they had failed to score as well. They have actually only scored a total of two goals in their last six games, missing the mark in four of those six. Their away form for the season is at W8 D7 L4 and in their last away game, they suffered a 3-0 defeat at Villa Park against Aston Villa. Boro have averaged just over a goal per game away from home this term.
They have managed to take a clean sheet in 37% of away games and they do have two in their last three. In their last four away games, they have a W1 D1 L2 record under their belt. Boro have been level at the half time break in 10 of their 19 road fixtures this season. They have scored 67% of their away goals after the halftime break in matches. Surprisingly for a side who are still in contention for a playoff place, there are only three teams in the entire division who have scored fewer goals than Boro have done this season. At the other end of the scale, they have the best defensive record by a long shot.
Swansea have great home form going at the moment while Middlesbrough have totally fallen apart. There has to be a great chance for the Swans to get another solid home success under their belt. Home win.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Swansea are having a tough time of things at the moment as they are on a three-match losing streak. They suffered a loss out at Nottingham Forest on the weekend. Brentford come for a visit in midweek, with the Bees just in midtable, three points ahead of the Swansea. There’s little at stake for either of these at this point. Read our Swansea v Brentford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 31st, 2019 at 7:33 p.m.)
Swansea suffered a 2-1 reverse out at Nottingham Forest on the weekend, which moved them onto a three-match losing streak in the league. They have lost six of their last eight (W2). However, all six of the defeated in that sequence of games were out on the road. The home form of the Swans isn’t bad at all. They are undefeated in their last five at the Liberty Stadium, winning their last two there with a clean sheet against Millwall and then Bolton. Swansea have averaged 1.5 goals per home game this season.
The Welsh outfit have conceded at 1.2 goals per home game on average, having taken a clean sheet in 41% of their home games. That’s not bad at all from them. They have three clean sheets in their last four home games. Swansea are currently on a five-match scoring streak on home soil and 65% of their home goals have been scored in the second half of fixtures. Swansea have opened the scoring 10 of their 17 home games this season.
Swansea were 3-2 winners at Brentford earlier this season
They then beat the Bees in the FA Cup at the Liberty Stadium
Swansea are undefeated in nine against the Bees
Brentford lost their last league visit to Swansea 2-0 in 2007
The Bees played out a 0-0 draw at Wigan on the weekend, which saw them move to a three-match winless streak (D1 L2). They didn’t manage a single goal in that sequence either. Brentford have a terrible away record this season in the championship. It is at W2 D8 L9. They are W1 D1 L2 in their last four on the road, failing to score in three of the four games in that sequence. Although their away record is poor, the positive for them is that their two away wins have both come up in their last six away games.
The Bees have only managed a clean sheet in 11% of their away games this season. They have averaged just over a goal per game on their travels, having conceded at 1.6 per game. Only 37% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. None of their nine away defeats this season have been a margin of more than two goals. The Bees have been trailing at the halftime break in 10 of their 19 away games. They have scored 70% of their away goals in the second half of games.
There is nothing at stake for either team in this one at all. The Bees are a little bit out of form at the moment and they are taking on a Swansea side who are in great home form at the moment. The Swans will likely have too much for them. Home win.
1st April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
West Brom have only managed to take the one point from their last three Championship fixtures and need to get some momentum back. Their slump was enough to see boss Darren Moore sacked. They play host to Swansea in midweek, with the Welsh club having lost four of their last six. Can the Baggies make the most of home advantage? Read our West Brom v Swansea betting tips for more.
West Brom 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
West Brom have taken one point from their last three played in the Championship and that was from a tie against bottom side Ipswich on the weekend. At home this season they are W7 D7 L4 but their last home success came back on Boxing Day. They are just D4 L2 in their last six league outings at the Hawthorns which is a huge drop in home form to what they produced over the first half of the season. They have consistently scored well though as they are still averaging over 2 goals per home fixture.
West Brom have only taken two clean sheets at home this campaign and both teams have scored in 83% of matches at the Hawthorns. They have not managed to take a clean sheet in any of their last on home soil. Their last two at home have both ended under 2.5 goals. Of the goals which they have produced at the Hawthorns, 68% of them have been after the half time break. The Baggies are the second highest scorers in this season’s Championship having scored in 94% of all their matches played.
The Baggies earned a 2-1 success at the Liberty Stadium in November
Things are even at two wins each and a draw in the last five meetings
West Brom are undefeated in their last four at home against the Swans
Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings
The Swans lost 1-0 at Norwich on the weekend which was their third defeat in their last four (W1). They have been having a rough time of things on their travels because that defeat at Carrow Road was their fourth in a row on their travels. It leaves them at W5 D4 L9 away from the Liberty Stadium this season. Sania have scored at an average of just over a goal per game away from home in the second tier.
The Swansea have earned one point from their last five away games, winning just one of their last seven on the road. They have not managed to collect a clean sheet in any of their last nine away games. Swansea have been level at the halftime break in exactly half of their road fixtures this season. All nine of those half time draws away from home were 0-0 score lines. The Welsh club have conceded 61% of their away goals in the second half of games.
The Baggies have really been struggling to find their winning touch on home soil and the Swans may test their patience. But because Swansea have been poor on the road, a narrow home win by a one-goal margin for West Brom fits.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Canaries are well on the march to the Premier League at the moment. They are sitting top of the Championship and with a hot streak of three straight wins going. Will they be able to drive on as the visiting Swans come for a visit? Read our Norwich v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 6th, 2019 at 6:14 p.m.)
Norwich are on a three-match winning streak at the moment in the league after taking a win at Millwall last weekend. They are now W5 L1 in their last six league outings. Norwich have scored at least three goals in each of their last six league victories as well. This season Norwich are W11 D2 L4 at home, where they have averaged well over two goals per game. 71% of all Norwich’s home games in the Championship this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Norwich are the top scorers in the division.
The Canaries are undefeated in four at Carrow Road in the Championship currently, winning three of those. They have returned at least two goals now in each of their last nine league home games (W6 D2 L1). Home and away, Norwich have scored in each of their last sixteen league games and in each of their last eleven on home soil. They have bagged 70% of their home goals in the second half of matches. Three points at home on Friday opens up a five-point lead at the top over Leeds.
Norwich were 4-1 winners over Swansea in November
Norwich are unbeaten in five at Carrow Road against Swansea
The away team has scored in just one of the last four meetings
7 of the last 10 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Swansea earned a 2-0 home win over Bolton last weekend which saw them snap back to back defeats in the division. However, their away form just is not there at the moment. The Swans are on a three-match losing streak on their travels. In nine away games played this season against current top half of the table teams, Swansea have claimed just the one victory. Their form on the road for the Championship campaign reads W5 D4 L8.
The Welsh club have managed only the one win in their last six away from the Liberty Stadium (D1 L1). So it’s certainly not been strong from them. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three league away games as well. That could be problematic in taking on the free-scoring Canaries. Swansea have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last eight away games. Six of their eight away defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin.
Norwich are in great form at the moment and they should be strong enough to claim three points at home against Swansea. The Swans have been having a rough time of things on their travels recently.
8th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Blades continued their positive run of form with their fourth straight win last weekend. That saw them move up into second place in the table. They head out on the road to the Liberty Stadium to face Swansea on Saturday evening. That would be another good three points earned if they could get them. Read our Swansea v Sheffield United betting tips for more.
Sheffield United 6/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 11:43 p.m.)
The Swans played out a 1-1 draw at Preston last weekend
That has left Swansea on a three-match undefeated streak in the second tier (W1 D2)
Their home form for the season is W5 D3 L5
They have not won at home against any of the current top ten sides they have faced (D2 L3)
Swansea have produced 19 goals at home, conceding 17
62% of matches at the Liberty Stadium this season have gone over 2.5 goals
The Swans have taken a clean sheet in 31% of their home fixtures
Overall home and away they have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last ten games
They have conceded in each of their last five home games
Four of their five home defeats this season have been by one goal margin
The Swans have been losing at half time in six of their thirteen home games (W3 D4)
Swansea have conceded 71% of their home goals before the halftime break in matches
They have scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches
Swansea have opened the scoring in six of their thirteen games at the Liberty Stadium
The Swans have the joint fourth-worst home record in this season’s Championship
Swansea earned a 2-1 away win over the Blades earlier this season
That is back to back wins the Welsh club have taken over United
Sheffield United lost their last trip to the Liberty 4-0 in the 2011 Championship
Five of the last six meetings have produced a win for the home side
The Blades earned a 1-0 home win over QPR last weekend
That was their fourth straight Championship victory
It was also Sheffield United’s third straight clean-sheet victory
Overall this season they have gone W7 D2 L4 on their travels in the league
They are currently running on a five-match undefeated streak of form on their travels
Sheffield United are unbeaten in seven games home and away combined
The Blades have taken a clean sheet in 31% of their away games this season
62% of their away games this term have ended over 2.5 goals
Just twice this season on their travels have Sheffield United been losing at the half time break
They currently have the joint second-best defensive record in the Championship
Only three teams have earned more away points this season than the Blades have done
Six of the seven defeats that they have taken this season have only been by a one-goal margin
Sheffield United to win by a one-goal margin at 3/1
Under 2.5 goals a 4/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 11:43 p.m.)
Swansea aren’t really that much of a pushover and we can see them do enough to frustrate a draw out of the visitors. The Blades probably wouldn’t be too unhappy with that at the end of the day. Draw.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It had been a difficult season for Hull in the Championship but since the end of October, they have turned their fortunes around. A win last weekend over Brentford strengthened their survival fight. Swansea start the weekend up in the top ten and need to keep picking up points to stay in touch with the top six. Read our Hull v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 18th, 2018 at 3:55 p.m.)
Hull have moved on to a very good W4 D3 L1 record over their last eight Championship fixtures. Last weekend they got a very good solid home 2-0 win over Brentford. That took them out to a W3 D3 L5 record this season on home soil in league action. Two of the three wins in that form were only against sides currently lumped in the bottom six of the Championship. Hull have only managed the nine home goals this season and they have conceded a total of eleven at the KCom this term. Only 18% of all league games at Hull this season have gone above 2.5 goals
The Tigers have earned a clean sheet in 36% of their home games which isn’t too bad. Of their eleven home games in the second tier their, six of them have been level at the halftime break. Hull have not been beaten in any of their last four games home and away in the Championship (W2 D2). They produced at least two goals in each of their last three league outings. Of the goals which they have conceded at home this season, 73% of them have been in the second period of matches. Each of their last eight home fixtures have ended under 2.5 goals. Just three sides have taken were some points in the Championship than Hull have managed this season.
Hull have won their last three home games against Swansea
They beat them twice at home in 2017 (League & FA Cup)
The Tigers are no a four-match winnings streak against Swansea
The Swansea have failed to score in five of their last seven against the Tigers
Swansea landed a 2-1 home win over Sheffield Wednesday last weekend which left them with back to back wins in the Championship. Before that, they had lost three in a row. Their away form this season is W4 D3 L4 and are W2 L2 in their last four on the road. In their away games the Swans have tallied 10 and have conceded 10 this season. Less than half of their away fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals so the indicators are that this will be a low scoring game between them. Swansea have earned a clean sheet in 36% of their away games
The Welsh club have been level at halftime in six of their eleven road games, so another strong option appears to be the halftime draw. All six of Swansea’s half time away draws were 0-0 scorelines. Despite that, they haven’t drawn any of their last eleven games in the top flight.
They are on a nine-match scoring streak in the Championship. Swansea have not managed to pick up a clean sheet in any of their last five games and actually, they are on a run of five games which have finished over 2.5 goals. They have scored first in just three of their away games this season.
Given that the Tigers have a good home record against the Welsh club in recent times they look a good proposition to win this. They have good momentum going as well and even though the Swans have upped their game, it’s a home win for us.
19th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Wigan have done really well following their promotion up to the Championship. They are sitting in the top ten heading into the midweek action. Swansea are right there with them level on sixteen points so this is going to be a pretty big clash between the pair of them. Read our Wigan v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 29th, 2018 at 11.35 p.m.)
The Latics have done really well this season but there is a clear trend going on with them. They have won five games this term and four of those have cropped up on home soil. They are undefeated at home in the Championship this season with a W4 D1 record posted. Each of their four wins have been by a one-goal margin as well. A Wigan to win by a one-goal margin is at 13/5 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm). They have won their last three in a row at home.
Given their output, under 2.5 goals is at 3/4 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm). The Latics have scored in each of their home games this season and they have not been trailing at half time in any of their home games so far. 64% of the goals that they have scored in the second division this season been in the first half of matches. Wigan have the joint best home form in the entire Championship this season (alongside Brentford and Middlesbrough).
The Swans have a W4 D4 L2 record for the season so it has been pretty solid stuff from them along the way. Over the weekend they produced a good 3-0 home win over QPR on home soil and that snapped a three-game sequence of no goals scored by the Swans. They have averaged exactly a goal per game this season in the Championship and have failed to score in half of their league matches, home and away combined. Both teams not to score is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm).
Away from home this season the Swans are W2 D2 L1 and have collected just the one win in their last four. Going back to their lack of scoring, they have failed to score in three of their last four games away from the Liberty Stadium. Swans have yet to score a single first-half away goal this season as well and three of their four road goals have come in the final fifteen minutes of matches. To be fair their defence has been good. They haven’t shipped an away goal in the first half of any match and have conceded just three goals in five road games.
The last time that Wigan and Swansea met up was in the 2012/13 Premier League season. Swansea collected a win on both occasions that season, each of them by a one-goal margin. Swansea are actually on a three-match winning streak against the Latics and are unbeaten in four against them. Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven meetings in all competitions.
We can only predict a low-scoring game cropping up in this one really. The Latics have done well on home soil and Wigan are a pretty solid defensive side. Still, in looking for a winner, we fancy Wigan to come up with a one-goal margin success.
30th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This is a clash between two sides who have struggled to find much-winning momentum this season. Swansea are winless in their last three league outings, while the Lions have picked up just the one win from their five games played. This should be a tight battle at The Den between two sides looking for a boost. Read our Millwall v Swansea betting tips for more.
Millwall even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.)
Millwall have posted a W1 D2 L2 record so far this season in the Championship so they haven’t been able to find that winning momentum yet. They are unbeaten at home from their two games so far though, having held Middlesbrough to a 2-2 draw and then having taken a win over Derby. Those were two tough home games actually and they came through the tests, so there is a reasonable chance that they could avoid defeat in this one.
Millwall have scored exactly two goals in both home games this season but we easily see this game going under 2.5 goals at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.). They have not quite hit their stride yet, but they were strong on home soil last season in the Championship and have lost just one of their last 17 league fixtures at The Den. Lee Gregory is their top scorer with two goals and is the favourite in the bet365 first goalscorer market.
The Swans started the season very brightly with back to back wins, but it has gone into a bit of a decline since having drawn two and lost one. Their first defeat of the season came at home against Bristol City last weekend and they have failed to score in two for their last three league outings now. Overall on the road, they have taken four points from their two games and really the question about them would be whether or not they really had the edge to push through and grind out the away victory at The Den?
In the correct score market the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 4/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.). This just has the look of being a tight game between two fairly evenly matched side. The Swans have a goalscoring asset in Ollie McBurnie who has netted three times this season and has taken plenty of backing to end the term as the Championship top goalscorer.
This will be the first meeting between Millwall and Swansea since the 2010/11 Championship. Swansea collected four points from those two meetings, which are incidentally the only two previous meetings in the Championship. So there’s not too much to go on but both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings.
This one does have a draw written all over it. Neither team look particularly strong enough to go out and break the other down. Swansea will want to prove a point after their first loss of the season last time out, but Millwall are a very strong home side. Draw.
29th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting