West Brom have only managed to take the one point from their last three Championship fixtures and need to get some momentum back. Their slump was enough to see boss Darren Moore sacked. They play host to Swansea in midweek, with the Welsh club having lost four of their last six. Can the Baggies make the most of home advantage? Read our West Brom v Swansea betting tips for more.
West Brom 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
West Brom have taken one point from their last three played in the Championship and that was from a tie against bottom side Ipswich on the weekend. At home this season they are W7 D7 L4 but their last home success came back on Boxing Day. They are just D4 L2 in their last six league outings at the Hawthorns which is a huge drop in home form to what they produced over the first half of the season. They have consistently scored well though as they are still averaging over 2 goals per home fixture.
West Brom have only taken two clean sheets at home this campaign and both teams have scored in 83% of matches at the Hawthorns. They have not managed to take a clean sheet in any of their last on home soil. Their last two at home have both ended under 2.5 goals. Of the goals which they have produced at the Hawthorns, 68% of them have been after the half time break. The Baggies are the second highest scorers in this season’s Championship having scored in 94% of all their matches played.
The Baggies earned a 2-1 success at the Liberty Stadium in November
Things are even at two wins each and a draw in the last five meetings
West Brom are undefeated in their last four at home against the Swans
Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings
The Swans lost 1-0 at Norwich on the weekend which was their third defeat in their last four (W1). They have been having a rough time of things on their travels because that defeat at Carrow Road was their fourth in a row on their travels. It leaves them at W5 D4 L9 away from the Liberty Stadium this season. Sania have scored at an average of just over a goal per game away from home in the second tier.
The Swansea have earned one point from their last five away games, winning just one of their last seven on the road. They have not managed to collect a clean sheet in any of their last nine away games. Swansea have been level at the halftime break in exactly half of their road fixtures this season. All nine of those half time draws away from home were 0-0 score lines. The Welsh club have conceded 61% of their away goals in the second half of games.
The Baggies have really been struggling to find their winning touch on home soil and the Swans may test their patience. But because Swansea have been poor on the road, a narrow home win by a one-goal margin for West Brom fits.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Canaries are well on the march to the Premier League at the moment. They are sitting top of the Championship and with a hot streak of three straight wins going. Will they be able to drive on as the visiting Swans come for a visit? Read our Norwich v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 6th, 2019 at 6:14 p.m.)
Norwich are on a three-match winning streak at the moment in the league after taking a win at Millwall last weekend. They are now W5 L1 in their last six league outings. Norwich have scored at least three goals in each of their last six league victories as well. This season Norwich are W11 D2 L4 at home, where they have averaged well over two goals per game. 71% of all Norwich’s home games in the Championship this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Norwich are the top scorers in the division.
The Canaries are undefeated in four at Carrow Road in the Championship currently, winning three of those. They have returned at least two goals now in each of their last nine league home games (W6 D2 L1). Home and away, Norwich have scored in each of their last sixteen league games and in each of their last eleven on home soil. They have bagged 70% of their home goals in the second half of matches. Three points at home on Friday opens up a five-point lead at the top over Leeds.
Norwich were 4-1 winners over Swansea in November
Norwich are unbeaten in five at Carrow Road against Swansea
The away team has scored in just one of the last four meetings
7 of the last 10 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Swansea earned a 2-0 home win over Bolton last weekend which saw them snap back to back defeats in the division. However, their away form just is not there at the moment. The Swans are on a three-match losing streak on their travels. In nine away games played this season against current top half of the table teams, Swansea have claimed just the one victory. Their form on the road for the Championship campaign reads W5 D4 L8.
The Welsh club have managed only the one win in their last six away from the Liberty Stadium (D1 L1). So it’s certainly not been strong from them. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three league away games as well. That could be problematic in taking on the free-scoring Canaries. Swansea have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last eight away games. Six of their eight away defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin.
Norwich are in great form at the moment and they should be strong enough to claim three points at home against Swansea. The Swans have been having a rough time of things on their travels recently.
8th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Blades continued their positive run of form with their fourth straight win last weekend. That saw them move up into second place in the table. They head out on the road to the Liberty Stadium to face Swansea on Saturday evening. That would be another good three points earned if they could get them. Read our Swansea v Sheffield United betting tips for more.
Sheffield United 6/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 11:43 p.m.)
The Swans played out a 1-1 draw at Preston last weekend
That has left Swansea on a three-match undefeated streak in the second tier (W1 D2)
Their home form for the season is W5 D3 L5
They have not won at home against any of the current top ten sides they have faced (D2 L3)
Swansea have produced 19 goals at home, conceding 17
62% of matches at the Liberty Stadium this season have gone over 2.5 goals
The Swans have taken a clean sheet in 31% of their home fixtures
Overall home and away they have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last ten games
They have conceded in each of their last five home games
Four of their five home defeats this season have been by one goal margin
The Swans have been losing at half time in six of their thirteen home games (W3 D4)
Swansea have conceded 71% of their home goals before the halftime break in matches
They have scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches
Swansea have opened the scoring in six of their thirteen games at the Liberty Stadium
The Swans have the joint fourth-worst home record in this season’s Championship
Swansea earned a 2-1 away win over the Blades earlier this season
That is back to back wins the Welsh club have taken over United
Sheffield United lost their last trip to the Liberty 4-0 in the 2011 Championship
Five of the last six meetings have produced a win for the home side
The Blades earned a 1-0 home win over QPR last weekend
That was their fourth straight Championship victory
It was also Sheffield United’s third straight clean-sheet victory
Overall this season they have gone W7 D2 L4 on their travels in the league
They are currently running on a five-match undefeated streak of form on their travels
Sheffield United are unbeaten in seven games home and away combined
The Blades have taken a clean sheet in 31% of their away games this season
62% of their away games this term have ended over 2.5 goals
Just twice this season on their travels have Sheffield United been losing at the half time break
They currently have the joint second-best defensive record in the Championship
Only three teams have earned more away points this season than the Blades have done
Six of the seven defeats that they have taken this season have only been by a one-goal margin
Sheffield United to win by a one-goal margin at 3/1
Under 2.5 goals a 4/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 11:43 p.m.)
Swansea aren’t really that much of a pushover and we can see them do enough to frustrate a draw out of the visitors. The Blades probably wouldn’t be too unhappy with that at the end of the day. Draw.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It had been a difficult season for Hull in the Championship but since the end of October, they have turned their fortunes around. A win last weekend over Brentford strengthened their survival fight. Swansea start the weekend up in the top ten and need to keep picking up points to stay in touch with the top six. Read our Hull v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 18th, 2018 at 3:55 p.m.)
Hull have moved on to a very good W4 D3 L1 record over their last eight Championship fixtures. Last weekend they got a very good solid home 2-0 win over Brentford. That took them out to a W3 D3 L5 record this season on home soil in league action. Two of the three wins in that form were only against sides currently lumped in the bottom six of the Championship. Hull have only managed the nine home goals this season and they have conceded a total of eleven at the KCom this term. Only 18% of all league games at Hull this season have gone above 2.5 goals
The Tigers have earned a clean sheet in 36% of their home games which isn’t too bad. Of their eleven home games in the second tier their, six of them have been level at the halftime break. Hull have not been beaten in any of their last four games home and away in the Championship (W2 D2). They produced at least two goals in each of their last three league outings. Of the goals which they have conceded at home this season, 73% of them have been in the second period of matches. Each of their last eight home fixtures have ended under 2.5 goals. Just three sides have taken were some points in the Championship than Hull have managed this season.
Hull have won their last three home games against Swansea
They beat them twice at home in 2017 (League & FA Cup)
The Tigers are no a four-match winnings streak against Swansea
The Swansea have failed to score in five of their last seven against the Tigers
Swansea landed a 2-1 home win over Sheffield Wednesday last weekend which left them with back to back wins in the Championship. Before that, they had lost three in a row. Their away form this season is W4 D3 L4 and are W2 L2 in their last four on the road. In their away games the Swans have tallied 10 and have conceded 10 this season. Less than half of their away fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals so the indicators are that this will be a low scoring game between them. Swansea have earned a clean sheet in 36% of their away games
The Welsh club have been level at halftime in six of their eleven road games, so another strong option appears to be the halftime draw. All six of Swansea’s half time away draws were 0-0 scorelines. Despite that, they haven’t drawn any of their last eleven games in the top flight.
They are on a nine-match scoring streak in the Championship. Swansea have not managed to pick up a clean sheet in any of their last five games and actually, they are on a run of five games which have finished over 2.5 goals. They have scored first in just three of their away games this season.
Given that the Tigers have a good home record against the Welsh club in recent times they look a good proposition to win this. They have good momentum going as well and even though the Swans have upped their game, it’s a home win for us.
19th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Wigan have done really well following their promotion up to the Championship. They are sitting in the top ten heading into the midweek action. Swansea are right there with them level on sixteen points so this is going to be a pretty big clash between the pair of them. Read our Wigan v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 29th, 2018 at 11.35 p.m.)
The Latics have done really well this season but there is a clear trend going on with them. They have won five games this term and four of those have cropped up on home soil. They are undefeated at home in the Championship this season with a W4 D1 record posted. Each of their four wins have been by a one-goal margin as well. A Wigan to win by a one-goal margin is at 13/5 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm). They have won their last three in a row at home.
Given their output, under 2.5 goals is at 3/4 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm). The Latics have scored in each of their home games this season and they have not been trailing at half time in any of their home games so far. 64% of the goals that they have scored in the second division this season been in the first half of matches. Wigan have the joint best home form in the entire Championship this season (alongside Brentford and Middlesbrough).
The Swans have a W4 D4 L2 record for the season so it has been pretty solid stuff from them along the way. Over the weekend they produced a good 3-0 home win over QPR on home soil and that snapped a three-game sequence of no goals scored by the Swans. They have averaged exactly a goal per game this season in the Championship and have failed to score in half of their league matches, home and away combined. Both teams not to score is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 8:58 pm).
Away from home this season the Swans are W2 D2 L1 and have collected just the one win in their last four. Going back to their lack of scoring, they have failed to score in three of their last four games away from the Liberty Stadium. Swans have yet to score a single first-half away goal this season as well and three of their four road goals have come in the final fifteen minutes of matches. To be fair their defence has been good. They haven’t shipped an away goal in the first half of any match and have conceded just three goals in five road games.
The last time that Wigan and Swansea met up was in the 2012/13 Premier League season. Swansea collected a win on both occasions that season, each of them by a one-goal margin. Swansea are actually on a three-match winning streak against the Latics and are unbeaten in four against them. Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven meetings in all competitions.
We can only predict a low-scoring game cropping up in this one really. The Latics have done well on home soil and Wigan are a pretty solid defensive side. Still, in looking for a winner, we fancy Wigan to come up with a one-goal margin success.
30th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This is a clash between two sides who have struggled to find much-winning momentum this season. Swansea are winless in their last three league outings, while the Lions have picked up just the one win from their five games played. This should be a tight battle at The Den between two sides looking for a boost. Read our Millwall v Swansea betting tips for more.
Millwall even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.)
Millwall have posted a W1 D2 L2 record so far this season in the Championship so they haven’t been able to find that winning momentum yet. They are unbeaten at home from their two games so far though, having held Middlesbrough to a 2-2 draw and then having taken a win over Derby. Those were two tough home games actually and they came through the tests, so there is a reasonable chance that they could avoid defeat in this one.
Millwall have scored exactly two goals in both home games this season but we easily see this game going under 2.5 goals at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.). They have not quite hit their stride yet, but they were strong on home soil last season in the Championship and have lost just one of their last 17 league fixtures at The Den. Lee Gregory is their top scorer with two goals and is the favourite in the bet365 first goalscorer market.
The Swans started the season very brightly with back to back wins, but it has gone into a bit of a decline since having drawn two and lost one. Their first defeat of the season came at home against Bristol City last weekend and they have failed to score in two for their last three league outings now. Overall on the road, they have taken four points from their two games and really the question about them would be whether or not they really had the edge to push through and grind out the away victory at The Den?
In the correct score market the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 4/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 28th, 2018 at 2:01 a.m.). This just has the look of being a tight game between two fairly evenly matched side. The Swans have a goalscoring asset in Ollie McBurnie who has netted three times this season and has taken plenty of backing to end the term as the Championship top goalscorer.
This will be the first meeting between Millwall and Swansea since the 2010/11 Championship. Swansea collected four points from those two meetings, which are incidentally the only two previous meetings in the Championship. So there’s not too much to go on but both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings.
This one does have a draw written all over it. Neither team look particularly strong enough to go out and break the other down. Swansea will want to prove a point after their first loss of the season last time out, but Millwall are a very strong home side. Draw.
29th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Swansea have made an undefeated start to life back in the Championship after they picked up a point out at Birmingham on Friday night. This home game against Leeds in midweek is going to be a big test for them though. Leeds has made a flying start under Marcelo Bielsa, winning all three of their games and scoring freely. Will they be able to keep their streak going on their visit to the Liberty Stadium? Read our betting tips for Swansea v Leeds.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.)
So it has been a really positive start from Swansea who opened with back to back one-goal margin wins over Sheffield and then Preston. They then played out a 0-0 draw on the weekend against Birmingham. It has been pretty decent stuff from them, but in their last two games, you are just starting to wonder about their goal output. This is a top seven clash and for it, we are going to have to under 2.5 goals for our Swansea v Leeds betting tips which is at 17/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.). There has only been the one goal conceded by the Swans this season in the league.
This is going to be an important early home game for them in which to try and sustain some good momentum. They have looked pretty strong at their defensive and they are going to need to be against a very strong, attack-minded Leeds that are going to be showing up. Even though Leeds have been scoring well we have to lean towards both teams not to score at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.). That is because the Swans are not bursting at the seams with attacking power. Ollie McBurnie is their shortest priced option in the first goalscorer market for the future.
It has been a tremendous start from Leeds then under Marcelo Bielsa. It is three wins from three from them so far and they also landed as success in the EFL Cup. So they are motoring well and they have scored at least two goals in each of their games played this season. They opened with a 3-1 home win over Stoke to set them on the right path and then pounded out a fantastic 4-1 away success against Derby. That made punters sit up and take notice. With a 2-0 win over Rotherham on the weekend, they are going into this game as favourites. But three of their four wins this season have been at home and they will be going up against a good defence.
Leeds have Kemar Roofe as their top scorer for the season with three goals on the board already in the Championship. Roofe is the joint 5/1 first goalscorer favourite for the game* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) alongside Patrick Bamford and Swansea’s McBurnie. Roofe is their top away scorer with two. If they keep this up they are going to take some stopping and Bielsa was always likely to have a big influence on them. But winning streaks are hard things to maintain but twice last season they won four games on the bounce in the league. Leeds produced a W7 D3 L13 record away from home last season. They will be in this.
The last time these two sides were together was in the 2010/11 Championship season. They traded home wins in that season in what are the only previous Championship fixtures in which they have met. Four of the last five games between the two have seen over 2.5 goals though and the Swans are undefeated in their last four home games against Leeds (W3 D1). There hasn’t been an away win in any meeting between them in the last nine fixtures.
We are going to settle on the draw being churned out in this one and that will be done by backing the defence of the home side coming through. You basically have a good defence up against a strong attack. It evens out. Draw.
19th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There is some early pressure mounting on Birmingham after picking up just the one points from their opening two games of the new season. It is likely that they won’t get an easy home game on Friday night either as they play host to Swansea. The Swans have come firing out of the gate banking back to back wins and they are going into the fixture as favourites. Read our Birmingham v Swansea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 7:08 p.m.)
After their struggles against relegation last season, Birmingham would have been hoping for a more positive start to the new Championship season. It has not quite happened though for them after they opened with a 2-2 home draw against Norwich and then suffered a 1-0 defeat out at Middlesbrough. The Blues had Craig Gardner sent off late at the Riverside. So that is no clean sheet for them so far but we are going to go with the option of both teams not to score at 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 7:08 p.m.) as we see this being a low-scoring game.
So far the Blues haven’t looked particularly good in possession and not particularly clinical in front of goal although Lukas Jutkiewicz has looked sharp and he is a 5/2 anytime goalscorer option for the Blues* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 7:08 p.m.). Last season the Blues produced a W10 D3 L10 record on home soil in the Championship. A win here relieves some pressure for boss Garry Monk who will be facing his former team.
The Swans have made a flying start to the new season with them having collected back to back wins over Sheffield United and Preston. Both of those successes were by a one-goal margin and a Swansea to win by a one-goal margin is at 3/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 7:08 p.m.) and is one of our top Birmingham v Swansea betting tips. In their first game of the season against Sheffield United, the Swans fought back from a goal down on the road to take the win and then held out after a first-half goal against Preston.
They do actually look pretty organised and strong at the back while going forward they have averaged 9.5 shots per game so far. There probably were concerns at the start of the season as to where the goals were going to come from, but it has been a positive start from them and they will have plenty of appeal to go out and get a win in this one. We see the game ending under 2.5 goals though at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 17th, 2018 at 7:08 p.m.).
Swansea and Birmingham last met in the 2013/14 season in Cup action. Birmingham won a League Cup tie on home soil against the Swans and then suffered an FA Cup home defeat against the Welsh club later that season. The last league meeting between them was in the 2008/09 Championship with Birmingham collecting four points from the two meetings. The overall head to head has Birmingham 16-8 up with the seven drawn matches.
We are siding with the Swans to get a one-goal margin victory out at St Andrew’s. They showed good character in taking a win at Bramall Lane on the opening weekend and they may find Birmingham not quite so much of a challenge.
16th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Swansea couldn’t hold onto their Premier League status last season and so have to go and scrap things out in the second tier now. They get a tough opener out on the road as well as they have to go to Bramall Lane to face Sheffield United. The Blades were one of the early front-runners for promotion last season but fell away over the second half of the season. Can they get back in the picture?
Sheffield United 5/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.)
The Blades had a blistering start in the Championship last season after their promotion from League One. They were a real force to be reckoned with at Bramall Lane and that makes them very appealing to come away with the wind in this one. At 5/4 odds in the match outright as well* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.), we like that as one of our top betting tips for Sheffield United v Swansea. Ultimately the Blades couldn’t sustain their form over the course of the season and they ended up down in tenth place but overall it was a pretty big success for them having just been promoted to the second tier for that season.
The question is, can they push on from there? They have been relatively quiet in the summer transfer market but did spend £4 million on John Egan from Brentford which was a big investment. But they shipped off David Brooks to Bournemouth for almost triple that so they have spending cash. In the bet365 correct score market a Sheffield United 1-0 is sitting at a good tempting price of 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.), especially given the home form of Sheffield United against Swansea. Seven of Sheffield United’s home wins last season in the league were by a one-goal margin.
So how do Swansea respond having suffered relegation last season? That was rough on the club and boss Graham Potter has some work to do here. They have never been a club with a great deal of cash to splash around and they haven’t done that in the summer. So it is pretty much as they were last season really, which is a good thing for them. That is plenty experience of top-flight football that their squad has had, and that should be able to steel them for a decent season in the season tier.
One of the huge problems that Swansea had last season was putting the ball in the back of the net and we’re not entirely sure where the goals are going to come from them for them this season? Jordan Ayew? Wilfried Bony? We are going to take a chance on both teams not to score at 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.). Swansea results in the pre-season won’t have instilled a lot of confidence having lost three in a row ahead of the new season.
This will be the first meeting between the two clubs since the 2010/11 Championship season and on that occasion, the two of them traded home wins. Four of the last five meetings between Sheffield United and Swansea have ended in a win for the home side. In the last six meetings (all Championship fixtures) Sheffield United are up with a W3 D1 L2 record. All three of those wins for them were on home soil.
We are leaning on the home side to come up with the points. They produced some great performances on home soil last season and they won’t make life easy for the Swans. It’s not an easy place for anyone to visit. Back the Blades to open with a three-point haul.
31st July 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting