Charlton v Sunderland League One Play-Off Final Preview, 26th May 3.00pm
This should be an intriguing final because there doesn’t look to be too much between them. It wouldn’t be a huge surprise if this one needed to go beyond the regulation 90 minutes. In terms of current form, it is the Addicks who are in the stronger shape. The bookmakers don’t know who to split these two. It should be tense. Read our Charlton v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 21st, 2019 at 1:44 a.m.)
Charlton finished the regular season by collecting a win in seven of their final eight games (L1). It was terrific form by the Addicks and they came through a thriller against Doncaster in their playoff semi-final. Charlton had taken a 2-1 first leg win away from home, so they were expected to cruise back at The Valley. But Doncaster came back hard at them and Charleton were on the ropes in extra time before a defensive mistake by their opponents gave Charlton the lifeline they needed. They lost 2-3 on the night but won the subsequent penalty shootout.
The lost against Doncaster was just their second defeat in their last seventeen games played. Charlton finished the regular season with the second-best defensive record in the division. They collected 21 points from their final eight games of the campaign, more than any other team managed in that sequence of fixtures. The Addicks averaged 1.6 goals per match across the course of the regular season, while they conceded at under a goal per game. Their defence was so strong and it carried them so far. Can it get them promotion?
Sunderland took four points off Charlton in this season’s campaign
Charlton have won three of the last five meetings (D1 L1)
They met in the 1998 Championship playoff with Charlton winning on penalties
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last nine meetings
Sunderland drew a massive total of 19 of their 46 league games this season. It was interesting though that their form fell away right at the end of the term. They were going so strong and looked in a prime position to have a shot at automatic promotion. It fell apart for them in early April, and they closed out the season with just a W1 D3 L3 record on the board. During that sequence, the Black Cats lost their unbeaten home record for the term in a 4-5 loss against Coventry.
That slump in form was costly as they missed automatic promotion and they did look nervous in their semi-final playoff. They faced up against Portsmouth in their playoff semi-final and as expected it was a really tight affair. Sunderland earned a 1-0 win in the first leg at home, and they relied heavily on their defence as they played out a 0-0 draw at Fratton Park to squeeze through. Sunderland conceded an average of just over a goal per game during the regular season, but they took just one clean sheet in their eight games of the regular season.
Charlton missed out at the semi-final stage of last season’s playoffs, so have already gone one better. This just has the look of being a really tight war of attrition at Wembley. However, with Charlton carrying the better form of the two of them, it may be the Addicks, who manage to scrap their way through to promotion even if it is not at the end of 90 minutes.
22nd May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Pompey have some work to do to get themselves back into this tie. They trail 1-0 from their trip to the Stadium of Light in the first leg of this semi-final. This was always going to be a tight scrap between two very good teams. Can Portsmouth mount a response back at home? They may get a chance to, with the Black Cats having struggled for away results at the end of the regular season. Read our Portsmouth v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Pompey produced a W12 D7 L4 record at home across the course of the regular season. They are going to need to call on all of their home strengths of theirs. They were doing great at Fratton Park at the end of the regular season. They were on a four-match winning streak (seven undefeated) before a 2-3 reverse there against Peterborough in their final home game of the term. They closed out the season by scoring at least two goals in each of their last five home fixtures. In total, they averaged 1.8 goals per home game this season in their League One campaign. They conceded under a goal per game.
So this is still likely to be a tight game. Pompey took a clean sheet in 30% of their home games, which was a great effort. They did fail to get one in any of their final four at Fratton Park through this season. In total, home and away Portsmouth did not get a clean sheet in any of their last seven games. Pompey though scored in each of their final dozen games of the campaign. Of the twelve home wins that they recorded this season, eight of them were by a one-goal margin. Pompey scored 71% of their home goals for the season in the second period of fixtures, scoring the opening goal in 12 of their 23 home fixtures.
The Black Cats shook off a little slump in end of season form to give themselves an advantage in this tie. They failed to win any of their final four regular season games, taking the two points only in that sequence. Sunderland took just one win in their final seven games of the campaign. The Black Cats posted a W10 D9 L4 away record for the season in the division and interestingly they did struggle for away wins at teams in the top half of the table. Sunderland posted a W2 D6 L3 record this season in such matches.
The Black Cats took one point from their final three away games of the season and they failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last four on the road. They do have a positive of having scored in each of their last eleven games now, including the first leg of this semi-final. Of the four away defeats that Sunderland suffered this season, three of them were by a one-goal margin. They closed out their away campaign with back to back 2-1 defeats at Fleetwood and Southend. Of the goals which they shipped on their travels, 68% of them happened after the halftime break in game. Sunderland scored 65% of their away goals in the second half of games. They did open the scoring 14 road games for the season.
Given the pressure of the situation, this is likely going to be another tight scrap between the two teams. There is enough in Portsmouth’s form at home to hint that they will be working their way back into this tie. Portsmouth to win by a one-goal margin.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Sunderland have the chance at getting themselves back up to the second tier, but the fallen giant struggled for form down the back stretch of the season. Portsmouth finished three points above them in the play-off places but they too saw their winning touch desert them at the end of the season. Read our Sunderland v Portsmouth betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
So this will be an interesting clash as neither were particularly in great form at the end of the season. After such a strong and powerful campaign for pretty much its entirety, Sunderland ran out of steam about midway through April. They posted just one victory in their last seven games of the season, losing three of those. They closed out the season with back-to-back 2-1 away defeats at Fleetwood and Southend. The home record of Sunderland was highly impressive during the regular season as the Black Cats produced a W12 D10 L1 home record. They remained undefeated all the way through to their third-from-last home fixture of the season when they were toppled by Coventry in a thrilling 5-4 defeat.
Sunderland did manage to score in each and every home game played and they closed out the season on a 10 match scoring streak, home and away combined. So that is a big strength of theirs and they averaged exactly 2 goals per home game across the course of the season. But it is interesting to see that during the regular season Sunderland only claimed three victories in their 11 games against the final top 12 (D7 L1). Sunderland conceded just over a goal per game at home across the course of the season. Of the goals which they did concede home, 64% of them were conceded in the first-half of fixtures. Seven of their 12 wins at the Stadium of Light were by a margin of at least two goals during the regular season. Sunderland opened the scoring in 12 of their 23 home fixtures. Sunderland finished the regular season with the joint third highest tally of goals and the fourth best defensive record in League One.
Three of the last four league meetings have ended in a draw
There have been back to back 1-1 draw at the Stadium of Light
Both teams have scored in each of the last eight meetings
Sunderland are winless in three at home against Pompey
Portsmouth had some powerful form during their run in. From the start of March, they produced eight wins in their final 12 fixtures of the season (D2 L2). That was some finish from them and at one point they put together a seven-match winning streak, scoring a least two goals in each of those seven victories. Overall during the regular season, Portsmouth produced an away record of W13 D6 L4. However their away record against the other top six finishers at the end of the season was just a winless D3 L2 return. So Pompey did struggle their away games against the better sides in the division which makes this fascinating. Out on their travels during the regular season, Portsmouth averaged 1.8 goals per away game and 61% of all of their road fixtures went over 2.5 goals.
Because of a lack of clean sheets across the course of the season, that played a part in some high-scoring away fixtures for Portsmouth. Pompey claimed a clean sheet in just 17% of away games and both teams scored in 78% of their away fixtures. Portsmouth scored in each of their last 11 away games of the season but they claimed just the one clean sheet in their last 14 games out on the road. Home and away combined Pompey have no clean sheet in their last seven games. Of their 13 away wins posted during the regular season, 10 of them were by a one-goal margin. Portsmouth are leading at the halftime break in 12 of their 23 away fixtures. They conceded 66% of their away goals in the second period of games
There should be a really evenly matched contest over the two legs between these two. The home record from Sunderland across the course of the season cannot be ignored at all, but Portsmouth have the scoring power to trouble them. The draw in this first leg has the most appeal in the match outright.
8th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Fleetwood are set for a mid-table finish this season but they have failed to win any of their last five games played. They have a tough one coming up in midweek as they play host to Sunderland. The chance at automatic promotion looks to have gone for Sunderland this season unless they can win their last two games and overturn a seven-goal deficit in the goal difference to second-placed Barnsley. Read our Fleetwood v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 28th, 2019 at 7:12 p.m.)
Fleetwood are on a five-match winless streak of form at the moment in the division. They are D3 L2 in those five games and each of the drawn matches in that sequence were on home soil. Fleetwood are actually undefeated in their last five home fixtures in the league, winning one and drawing four. That is part of an overall home record that they have taken this season of W8 D9 L5. In their three home games played this season against top four sides, Fleetwood have lost all of them conceding a least two goals in each. While they are unbeaten in five home games, they have taken just one home win in their last six.
In total Fleetwood have earned a clean sheet in a third of their home games this season and they have averaged 1.4 goals per home fixture. Of the eight home victories which they have picked up this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Fleetwood have been level at the break in 11 of their home games so far this term and of the goals which they have conceded, 73% of them have been in the second period of fixtures. They are set for a mid-table finish and if they were to collect three points in this one it would only move them up one place into 11th place.
This will be Fleetwood’s first ever home game against Sunderland
The meeting at the Stadium of Light earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw
That was first-ever competitive game between the two clubs
Sunderland and then only have outside shot at earning automatic promotion this season. They are six points behind second-placed Barnsley but are worse off in the goal difference to them by seven. Not only that but they have Portsmouth in third place for two points ahead of them still with two games to play. So all Sunderland can do is try and post a couple of big wins and hope for the best. They have had a very good season of things away from home as they are W 0 D9 L2 out on the road in League One this season. The Black Cats are undefeated in their last 10 away fixtures. Home and away combined they are on an eight-match scoring streak in the division.
Sunderland have averaged 1.5 goals per away game this season but only 38% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals. A large reason for that is because the Black Cats have been very good in defence as they have conceded at under a goal per game on their travels. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in a third of their road games. Of the 10 wins, they have recorded away from home half of them have been by a margin of at least two goals. Sunderland have scored two-thirds of their away goals in the second period of fixtures, but they have also conceded two-thirds of their away goals after the half-time break. Portsmouth are the only side in the division to hold a better away record than Sunderland this season in League One.
This matters for Sunderland a lot more than it does for Fleetwood and that should push things towards the away win. It’s worth backing both teams to score in the game though because Sunderland have been struggling for clean sheets recently. Away win.
29th April 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
This is a catch-up game for Sunderland in League One. A win for them will move them up into third place in the table, still with two games in hand over the top-two of Luton and Barnsley. So this is an important game for the Black Cats. Accrington have pressure on them at the other end of the table, staring only two points clear of the drop zone. Read our Accrington v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 31st, 2019 at 7:33 p.m.)
Accrington are feeling the heat in a congested fight for survival in League One. They lost 1-0 out at Fleetwood on the weekend. That was their fifth defeat in their last six games (W1). Stanley are W5 D6 L7 at home this season in the league and they have scored a total of 19 home games this campaign. They have conceded at an average of 1.3 goals per home game. Just 39% of their home games have made it over 2.5 goals this season, and that is despite them taking a clean sheet in just 11% of home fixtures.
Accrington are currently on a three-match losing streak at home and they are without a clean sheet in any of their last five. Home and away, they have not earned a clean sheet in any of their last ten league fixtures. Accrington have scored 63% of their home goals in the second half of games. There are only three sides in the division with worse home records than what Accrington have.
This will be the first meeting between the two at the Crown Ground
Sunderland and Accrington drew 2-2 at the Stadium of Light in February
The Black Cats picked up a 2-1 home win over Walsall on the weekend, which kept their undefeated home form intact for them. Their away record for the term is at W8 D8 L2 and they are currently undefeated in their last seven out on the road. Home and away they have not suffered a defeat in any of their last sixteen. It is all about momentum now and putting in a powerful finish.
Just 33% of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals with them having conceding at under a goal per away game this season. Each of their last seven away games have gone under the 2.5 goal line. The Black Cats have earned a clean sheet in 33% of their League One away fixtures. Sunderland have scored 65% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. They have opened the scoring in 11 of their 18 road games.
These games in hand that Sunderland have over the others in the race for an automatic promotion spot are so important. Given that Accrington are so poorly out of form at the moment, and given the defensive strengths of Sunderland, the away win fits.
1st April 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
There is a Cup Final to look forward to on Sunday as League One sides Portsmouth and Sunderland will face off at Wembley in the FA Trophy Final. It’s going to be a big day out for both and with little to choose between them in league action this season, it should be a great battle. Read our Portsmouth v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 2:51 p.m.)
Pompey are on a good promotion push then in then in League One and have the chance to try and secure some silverware. Kenny Jackett’s men have just started to come back into form, importantly at the right time then for this final. They were on an eight-match winless streak of form (D6 L2) across all competitions. But they have stepped it up to a W5 L1 record in their last six played and that run started with an FA Trophy semi-final win over Bury at the end of February. Pompey have won all seven games played in this season’s tournament, collecting a clean sheet in five of those. Pompey scored at least two goals in five of their seven FA Trophy games this season. This is Pompey’s first ever appearance in the final of this particular competition.
Portsmouth beat Sunderland 3-1 in league action in December
Pompey are undefeated in their last seven against Sunderland
Both teams have scored in each of the last six meetings
Sunderland have won only one of their last ten against Portsmouth in all competitions
The Black Cats are right up on the heels of Portsmouth inside the top four in League One, trailing Pompey by one point, but having two games in hand over the third-placed side. Sunderland saw off Bristol Rovers in their semi-final clash and that moved them on to a six-match winning streak (90 minutes) in this season’s competition. In their first group stage game of this season’s tournament, they played out a 0-0 draw with Stoke but won on penalties. Sunderland have conceded just one goal in their seven FA Trophy matches this season. The Mackems are on a long undefeated streak of form in all competitions at the moment. It is 19 match unbeaten streak they are on currently. They have won five of their last seven played. In that seven-game sequence, they have conceded just the two goals. This is Sunderland’s first ever FA Trophy final.
You have two very good defensive sides going up against each other here. Given the occasion as well, it is likely to be a little bit cagey. Therefore a low scoring game should play itself out at Wembley. It’s tough to pick a winner, but Pompey do have head to head form going over Sunderland.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
In their push for promotion Sunderland still can’t shake off the habit of drawing league fixtures at the moment. Will they be able to convert at home against Gillingham, who are hovering around the bottom half of the table? Read our Sunderland v Gillingham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 17th, 2019 at 6:42 p.m.)
Sunderland had to settle for a point at home agents Accrington on the weekend. That was their sixth draw in their last seven league games (W1). It also means that they have drawn four of their last five League One games at the Stadium of Light (W1). So it’s just not been happening for them recently. A point out of this could lift them up into third in midweek, at the expense of Portsmouth (if Pompey get nothing at home against Bristol Rovers that night). Sunderland are still unbeaten at home through this season which is a huge positive.
The Black Cats are W8 D8 L0 at home now this season in the league. They have won just two of their seven home games against sides currently in the top half of the table (D5). So they have performed better against lower-ranked teams. Sunderland have averaged 1.9 goals per home game, taking a clean sheet in a quarter of their home games. They have hit the back of the net in every league game played this season, but are without a clean sheet in three. Sunderland haven’t scored a first-half goal in any of their last five league games. They have been losing 1-0 at halftime in each of their last three.
Sunderland were 4-1 winners over Gillingham in August
The Black Cats are unbeaten in their last eight against Gillingham
Gillingham’s overall head to head against Sunderland is W1 D2 L6
This is their first meet at the Stadium of Light since 2005
Gillingham got a boost of three points on the weekend as they beat Scunthorpe 1-0 at home. That snapped a four-match winless streak of form that they were on. Overall this season they are W5 D3 L7 on their travels and they have collected four points from their last two road games. They have done alright away from home in having only lost two of six games on the road against sides currently in the top half of the table. In their last four on the road, they are W1 D1 L2.
They have failed to earn a clean sheet in any of their last four on the road. A big let-down for them this season has been their defence. Only Scunthorpe and Rochdale have worse defensive records in League One than the Gills have. They have collected the one clean sheet in their last eight games (home and away). They have tallied up three of them all season on their travels. The Gills start midweek action only three points away from the relegation zone.
Sunderland are such a hard side to beat as proven time and time again. We are going to back them to sneak over the line with three points in this one against the Gills who are in the bottom half of the table.
17th February 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Sunderland can move up into third in League One if they can take the home win in this fixture. This is the first-ever game between the two clubs incidentally. Accrington have been struggling for league wins recently. Read our Sunderland v Accrington betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 13th, 2019 at 3:34 a.m.)
The Black Cats will be defending an unbeaten home record this season in League One. They are W8 D7 L0 overall in the division at the Stadium of Light. However, they have just lost their winning touch a little bit as they are W1 D3 in their last four league home games. Actually, home and away combined, Sunderland have drawn six of their last eight league games. Each of the six drawn games in that sequence were all 1-1 draws.
Each of Sunderland’s last three league victories have been 1-0 score lines. Sunderland have averaged just 0.87 goals against them at home this season. Remarkably the Black Cats have scored in every single league game this season. Overall home and away they are unbeaten in nine (W3 D6). Each of the nine games in that sequence ended under 2.5 goals as well.
Accrington are down in the bottom half of the table, not so far from the drop zone. They are out of form as well at the moment with just two points from their last six played. Stanley have only taken the one point from their last four out on the road as well. There is another telling factor in their form. They haven’t scored in any of their last six played.
Overall this season Accrington have produced a W5 D4 L7 record on their travels in League One. Just one of those away victories was against a side currently in the top half of the table. In total Accrington have produced a poor return of only 14 goals in sixteen away games this season. They have been level at the halftime break in one of those away games. Only bottom side Wimbledon have produced fewer league goals in the division than Accrington have.
Sunderland have proven to be a very tough nut to crack on home soil. They need a win to put pressure on those around them. A home win to nil looks a good fit for this Friday night action.
13th February 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Sunderland will fancy their chances back on home soil now in this second round play. They played out a 1-1 draw in the first meeting and they are odds-on favourites back at the Stadium of Light in this all League One duel. The winner goes to Bolton in the next round. Read our Sunderland v Walsall betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 11th, 2018 at 3:11 p.m.)
Sunderland are on a good promotion push in League One sitting up in the third spot, despite not even playing over the weekend. Sunderland have gone undefeated in their last thirteen games in all competitions and aren’t likely to roll over easily in this one. They are unbeaten in their last nine games at the Stadium of Light as well. The Black Cats have scored at least two goals in four of their last five home games. In the last round of the FA Cup, they took a 2-1 win at Port Vale.
Sunderland haven’t managed a clean sheet to their name in any of their last five games in all competitions. Their 1-1 draw at Walsall in this FA Cup tie followed a 2-2 league draw between them at the Bescot earlier this season. Sunderland have won their last two home games against Walsall. Although, this season’s meetings are the first since the 2003/04 Division 1 season.
The Saddlers are sat in mid-table in League One and on the weekend they got themselves a nice home win over Coventry. That was much-needed as well because it snapped a four-match winless streak that they were on (D3 L1). Walsall though have lost three of their last four away games (D1) and have failed to net in any of those four games. So the Saddlers could be up against it now.
They had gone W5 D2 in their opening seven away games of the season before this dip in form. They have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four away games. In the last round of the FA Cup, they took out fellow League One side Coventry. In four cup ties (FA Cup and EFL Cup combined) played out this season, Walsall have scored exactly three goals in three of those four. They have also only failed to score in one of their last five trips to the Stadium of Light.
Sunderland to win & both teams not to score at 13/5
Under 2.5 goals at 17/20
* (betting odds taken on December 10th, 2018 at 5:11 pm)
Sunderland should be able to complete the job on home soil. They are the better of the two sides and can edge this tie. It will likely be low scoring though. Home win and under 2.5 goals.
10th December 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Sunderland are running in some very strong form at the moment with a five-match winning streak behind them. They will be looking to keep up the pressure on league leaders Portsmouth this weekend with another three-point haul for themselves. Wycombe are down in the bottom half of the table, but their output has started to improve over their recent run of fixtures. Read our Sunderland v Wycombe betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 15th, 2018 at 1.12 p.m.)
It is a five-match winning streak of form that Sunderland are on in League One after beating Plymouth 2-0 last weekend. Their form at the Stadium of Light this season in the division reads W4 D3 L0 so they should be good enough to avoid defeat here. The Black Cats have not conceded a goal in any of their last four games (home and away combined) for a total of 398 minutes without having conceded a league goal. Sunderland to win to nil is at 13/8 odds for this fixture* (Betting odds taken on November 15th, 2018 at 4:41 pm).
They have averaged over two goals per fixture at the Stadium of Light this season, with 71% of their home fixtures having made it above the 2.5 goal line. Over 2.5 goals is at 17/20 odds* (Betting odds taken on November 15th, 2018 at 4:41 pm). Each of the last three played there have made it above the goal line. Because the current leaders Portsmouth are not in action this weekend then Sunderland will go top with a win, courtesy of goal difference.
Even though the Black Cats have not lost at home yet this season twice they have been trailing 1-0 at halftime at home. They have been winning at halftime in four of their seven home games so that is pretty strong and could push things towards a Sunderland/Sunderland half-time/ full-time consideration. Sunderland are currently 16 matches unbeaten in the league.
Sunderland and Wycombe will be meeting for the first time
There has been definite improvements coming from Wycombe as they have recorded four wins in their last six games. The notable thing about that though is that each of those were at home by the Chairboys. They took a 1-0 win over Peterborough last weekend. Both teams to score is at 10/11 odds* (Betting odds taken on November 15th, 2018 at 4:41 pm). The away form of Wycombe in League One this season reads W1 D3 L4 and the Chairboys have failed to win any of their last five on the road, losing their last two.
Out on the road, this season in league Two One Wycombe haven’t managed to get themselves a clean sheet so far. Going forward themselves, of the away goals that they have produced, 62% of them have come in the second half of games. In three of their eight games out on the road, they have been losing 1-0 at halftime. They have also conceded at least two goals all but two of their last six away games. In the correct score market a Sunderland 2-1 option is at 7/1 odds* (Betting odds taken on November 15th, 2018 at 4:41 pm). Wycombe may be able to cause the home side some problems but can they do enough to record a victory?
This could be an entertaining game as Wycombe are capable of producing in front of goal. Sunderland are still looking sharp though and a Sunderland to Win & Both Teams To Score option fits the bill nicely at the Stadium of Light.
15th November 2018 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting