Derby have some pretty unsteady form behind them at the moment, but they have still managed to cling onto a top six place. But that is a bit tenuous and they are going to have to raise their game considerably to stay there. Stoke will turn up being unbeaten in five. Read our Derby v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
Derby were held at home in a 1-1 draw by Sheffield Wednesday on the weekend. That leaves the Rams with only the one win in their last six league outings (D2 L3). So they aren’t on song at the moment at all. That result on the weekend leaves them at W9 D6 L3 for the season. Their home form hasn’t been bad with three wins in their last four at Pride Park (L1) and in all of their home wins this season in the Championship, Derby have scored at least two goals. Dery have just one clean sheet in six home games.
Home and away, the Rams have not taken a clean sheet in their last six played. So their defence has been letting them down a bit. In total Derby have taken a clean sheet in 28% of their home games this season, with both teams having scored at 61% of their home fixtures. None of their nine home win this season have been by a margin of more than two goals. The Rams have only been trailing at half time three times at home this term, conceding 61% of their home goals in the second half of fixtures.
Stoke claimed a 2-1 home success over Derby earlier this season
Stoke have won three of the last four meetings in all competition (L1)
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Derby have lost their last two at home against Stoke by a 2-0 scoreline
Stoke earned a point away at QPR on the weekend. That was their fourth draw in their last five games (W1). So they are proving hard to beat at the moment. Their away campaign has been a real bust for them this season with just a W2 D11 L5 record having been posted. Their last away victory was record back towards the end of October. They are on a ten-match undefeated streak of form since then on their travels. Each of their last four away games have ended up under 2.5 goals. Each of their last eight games, home and away have gone under the goal line.
Stoke have averaged under a goal per game on their travels this season. The Potters have two clean sheets in their last three away games (both 0-0 scorelines) but they have scored just one goal in their last four away from home. Stoke have taken a clean sheet in a total of one-third of their away games. Four of Stoke’s five away defeats this season have been by a two-goal margin. The Potters have only opened the scoring in five of their 18 road fixtures so far this season. They have the sixth-best defensive record in the second tier currently.
Stoke look to have enough about them to go and claim a point at Pride Park on the weekend. The Rams certainly are nothing too much for them to fear at the moment. The 1-1 correct score looks a solid proposition.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke will be looking to knock their rivals West Brom down a peg as they play host to the Baggies on Saturday evening. Stoke’s season hasn’t quite lived up to expectation, whereas West Brom are on a big promotion push. Read our Stoke v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 8th, 2019 at 2:33 p.m.)
Stoke are really going through a rough patch of form lately as they have lost five of their last seven (W1 D1). That has seen them lodge themselves firmly in the bottom half of the table. This massive collapse has been after they were unbeaten in ten games in the second tier. So it has gone downhill quickly. Stoke are W7 D3 L5 at home this season in the Championship now. They have lost two for their last three at home, both of those were 2-0 reverses against Bristol City then Preston.
Stoke have actually failed to score in five of their last seven league outings, so there’s a clear problem there. Only five teams have scored fewer league goals than they have managed this season. Four of their last five league losses have been by a 2-0 scoreline. Just 33% of Stoke’s home games this season have gone above 2.5 goals. Stoke have opened the scoring in eight of their fifteen home games.
There was a 2-1 home win for West Brom over Stoke earlier this season
West Brom are W2 D2 L1 in their last five against the Potters
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last six clashes
Stoke are unbeaten in two on home soil against Albion (W1 D1)
The Baggies haven’t quite been at their best lately eight though. They lost a top clash against Middlesbrough last weekend, going down 2-3 at home against Boro. That leaves the Baggies with only the one win in their last five (D2 L2) so there have been vulnerabilities creeping in. However, if you break it down and look at their away form, they have won three of their last four out on the road (L1). Overall this season the Baggies are W7 D3 L4 on their travels.
West Brom have averaged 1.7 goals per away games, but have only taken the two clean sheets away from home. Those have both been in their last three road fixtures. West Brom have scored in each of their last thirteen league outings (home and away combined) and they are still the top-scoring side in the division. Albion have been level at the break in 8 of their 14 away games and they boast the fourth-best away record of all Championship sides.
Stoke just haven’t been scoring and they have fallen badly out of form. It hasn’t been the greatest spell from West Brom, but they may be able to go and collect a valuable three points against their rivals. West Brom to win and under 2.5 goals looks a solid proposition.
8th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This will be the first league meeting between Stoke and Rotherham for over a decade. The Millers have been having their struggles this season and have lost four of their last six. The Potters, who were expected to go strongly this season are right there in bottom half of the table level on points with them. Read our Rotherham v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 26th, 2018 at 11:44 p.m.)
Rotherham have been having a few problems this season in the Championship and go into this next round of action on a two-match losing streak. They are really struggling to hit the back of the net and have failed to score in three of their last four games (one goal in total). So we are going to take a look under 2.5 goals for our Rotherham v Stoke betting tips which is at 19/20 odds and a nice chunk of value* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm).
On home soil, Rotherham have actually produced a bit of form with a W3 L1 record going and each of those three home wins have been by a 1-0 scoreline. A Rotherham 1-0 correct score is at 10/1 odds* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm) to see that trend extended. They have scored exactly one goal in each of their four home games this term. To their credit, they are three points better off than they were at this stage of the season the last time they were in the Championship (2016/17). Maintaining their unbeaten home form would be a good result here.
It hasn’t quite been the season that was expected from Stoke who have been stuttering along without any consistency. The Potters are only W2 D3 L4 for the season. There has been just the one victory in their four league games (D1 L2). So they aren’t in great shape and it gets even worse when you look at just their away form. They are D2 L2 on their travels in the Championship this term and they have been leaking goals all over the place. Stoke have conceded at least two goals in each of their away games this season.
With that in mind a Rotherham/Draw Double Chance is decent value at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm). The Potters have been scoring regularly enough though so do have that going for them with six goals in their four road games this term. 75% of their away games have actually seen at least 2.5 goals. They have been slow starters to matches as well because two-thirds of the goals that Stoke have conceded away from home have happened in the second half of matches. Benik Afobe is their top scorer with four goals, three of those away from home so is worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market.
Stoke and Rotherham last met back in 2008 in a Carling Cup tie which the Potters won 2-0 at home. The last league meetings were actually in the Championship and the only two previous Championship meetings between them. Rotherham collected four points from the two games.
The Millers have done pretty well on home soil but their defence is going to have to be at its best against a Stoke side who are scoring but are still struggling for wins. The draw has the most appeal in the outright market, but that Rotherham/Draw Double Chance does appeal.
28th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Both West Brom and Stoke will have expected to have had better starts to life down in the Championship than they have respectively had. The Baggies are doing better though having picked up two points more than the Potters have done. Still, for two of the pre-season strong contenders for promotion, it hasn’t quite happened for either. Read our West Brom v Stoke betting tips for more.
West Brom even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Baggies are at full strength so there is going to be no reason for them to go changing things up too much. They lost out at Middlesbrough last weekend, but it was only a 1-0 loss after having been level at half time. The half time draw at bet365 appeals greatly in this one at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.) and that is because West Brom have been level at half time in all five of their league matches this season. So a good trend is there.
This is West Brom’s third home match of the season having lost to Bolton and then having smashed QPR 7-1 at the Hawthorns so far. They had produced good back to back wins before that slip against Boro last weekend, so there were signs that they were starting to get it together. Jay Rodriguez has been in some great scoring form recently and he makes for a great anytime goalscorer option in this game at 13/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.).
The Potters have been struggling along for the large part of the season only picking up two points from their first four games. They posted their first win of the season last weekend in beating Hull at the Bet365 Stadium so that will have given them a bit of confidence. Their defence hasn’t looked good though really though and they may struggle to bag a clean sheet in this one. We are going to push for both teams to score at 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.).
They will get Ashley Williams back into service as he returns after his suspension. Benik Afobe and Bojan both came off the bench last weekend against Hull but may be pushed into the starting line up. Stoke have shipped the five goals in their two away games so far, a heavy loss at Leeds and then a draw out at Preston. They were trailing at half time in both of those games and two-thirds of their goals overall this season conceded have been in the first half of matches.
Stoke picked up four points from their two Premier League meetings with West Brom last season. This corresponding fixture last season produced a 1-1 draw. That is the only win that the Potters have picked up in their last seven games against West Brom in the league. The Baggies have a W3 D1 record in their last four home games against Stoke.
We are going to back West Brom to get the home win here just because they are on home soil. They lost last weekend but that was a tough match against Middlesbrough and may get more opportunities here against a Potters side who haven’t checked yet.
30th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The early season is looking like a bit of a bust for Stoke as three games into the new term they are yet to pick up a win. So it has been far from a smooth transition down from the top flight after their relegation last season. Wigan were promoted up to the second tier last season and they look to be finding their feet after a mixed bag of results. Read our betting tips for Stoke v Wigan.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.)
The Potters are still seeking their first win of the new season. They opened in poor style going down 3-1 at Leeds and then they have produced back to back drawing games against Brentford and Preston. To be fair that’s not a particularly easy sequence of games in the context of the Championship. The alarming thing will be the amount of goals they are conceding and with no clean sheet in sight so far for them, both teams to score at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) and that leads our betting tips for Stoke v Wigan. This could end up being a really entertaining affair. Benik Afobe is their top scorer for the season with two goals to his name so far.
Afobe is the 5/1 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) for the fixture. There should be chances for the Potters in this one against the Latics who have struggled a bit at the back. They had that rough time of things in the Premier League last season and having kept the bulk of their squad together from that, it is a surprise that they haven’t started stronger. Conceding an average of two goals per game though so far definitely points to some issues for Gary Rowett’s troops. We are going to lean on the game going over 2.5 goals at 21/10 which looks great value considering the defensive display of these two so far* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.).
The Latics are going to take some time to settle into life in the Championship after their well-deserved promotion from League One last season. They opened the season with a thrilling 3-2 win over Sheffield Wednesday, then they went out and lost to Aston Villa by a 3-2 scoreline. Over the weekend they played out a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest. So the goals have certainly not been a problem for them and Nick Powell has tallied up three goals for the season so far in the Championship.
Powell is a 12/5 anytime goalscorer option* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) for Wednesday’s trip to the Bet365 Stadium. The look as if they are going to continue to entertain and last season out on the road in League One the Latics earned a tremendous W16 D3 L4 record and averaged over two goals per game. The quality that they will face is higher this season obviously, but they don’t appear to have lost that scoring touch.
Wigan are the ones who are ahead in the recent head to head with a W2 D4 record going against the Potters. The last time they met was in the 2012/13 Premier League with both meetings ending in a 2-2 draw. Interestingly the last four drawn matches between the two clubs have all been 2-2 results. The two wins for Wigan in that sequence were both with a clean sheet.
Two sides who are probably going to concede unless things change. We can actually see a bit of value in Wigan pulling something out of the game in this one and because of the goals they are scoring a Wigan-Draw Double Chance is at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) and leads our Stoke v Wigan betting tips.
22nd August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Preston have earned three points from their opening two games of the season and will be keen to build on their home success from the opening weekend of the new term. Preston just missed out on the play off last season in the second tier. They will play host to Stoke who have made a less than spectacular start to life in the Championship as the Potters are still looking for their first win. Read our Preston v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 10:08 p.m.)
The Lilywhites opened with a 1-0 home win over QPR for the season in the Championship but they couldn’t add to their tally in their second match. Preston suffered a 1-0 loss at Swansea in their second fixture of the season. So we are expecting another low scoring affair involving the Lilywhites to be churned out and under 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 10:08 p.m.). Preston put together a good season in the Championship last term as they came home seventh, missing out on the play offs by just two points as they produced some fine form down the back stretch.
They produced a W9 D8 L6 record in the league at Deepdale last term and they were only losing at half time in four home games. Taking that forward we are going to back the half-time draw at bet365 for our Preston v Stoke betting tips. The Lilywhites have produced 13.5 shots per game on average in the league so far this term. This would be a good recovery for them after their loss against Swansea last weekend.
Things haven’t kicked into gear for Stoke yet in the Championship. They suffered a heavy loss out at Leeds on the opening weekend of the season and they could only manage a point in their first home game of the season in a 1-1 draw with Brentford. In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 10:08 p.m.). For having one of the better and more experienced of squads in the Championship this season, they haven’t looked great.
There has been a lot of individual errors and they have let too much through their defence really. Benik Afobe though has started well with a brace of goals for them and he is the 7/4 anytime goalscorer favourite for the fixture* (Betting Odds were taken on August 14th, 2018 at 10:08 p.m.). They did at least get a break in midweek as they didn’t have an extra EFL Cup to go through like Preston did. Will that give them an edge as they go in search of their first league win of the season?
The Lilywhites have won three of their last four home games against Stoke so they have that to look at. This will be the first meeting between the two sides since the 2007/08 Championship when the two sides traded home wins. From the eight previous Champions meetings, Preston are narrowly ahead with a W3 D3 L2 record against the Potters.
Stoke haven’t looked anything special so far in their Championship games and we are expecting Preston to be strong once more on home soil. This early in the season Stoke look there for the taking and we are just backing the home win in the match outright.
16th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke begin their campaign to try and get themselves back up to the top flight as they make a tricky trip to Elland Road on Sunday. The Potters have pretty much kept their squad from last season together and they are the 5/1 outright favourites to win the Championship* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.). Leeds had another disappointing season, particularly over the second half of the term, getting only a mid-table finish.
* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.)
Leeds didn’t do too badly at home last season, posting a W10 D6 L7 record. But they only took one home win against the top eight finishers in the league. So they couldn’t live with the better teams in the league. They had a really bad patch of form from the end of September to the beginning of November but their season really fell apart at the turn of the net year. They won just four times over the season half of the season. After a strong start, their defence became a huge liability and there hasn’t been a great deal to fix that over the summer.
However, in head coach Marcelo Bielsa they have a very savvy boss who should get them into shape. We are going to be looking at goals in this fixture and both teams to score is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.) and that is one of our top betting tips for Leeds v Stoke. Leeds won their last two pre-season friendly games before the start of the season against Guiseley and Las Palmas. This is going to be an important start for them to try and get themselves some early confidence.
Stoke then are the outright favourites to win the Championship this season, not because they have been out and spending lots of cash in the summer, they haven’t. It is because they have, to their credit, managed to hang on to the bulk of the squad that they had last season. Their big summer transfer was the sale of Xherdan Shaqiri. They have added to their squad with Tom Ince, James McClean and Adam Federici coming in and so they have done some smart business as well. So they look strong overall and in the bet365 correct score market a Stoke 2-1 success isn’t unappealing really at 9/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.). This is just early season of course and we’ve no real idea of how sharp defences are, so we are going to snap up the value of 21/20 on the game going over 2.5 goals* (Betting Odds were taken from July 31st, 2018 at 8:46 p.m.) regardless of the final scoreline.
The last time Stoke and Leeds met was in the 2006 Championship with Stoke winning both games, scoring a total of seven goals as well. There have been the six previous Championship meetings between the two and things are even with two wins each and two draws. Both teams scored in just one of those six meetings and Leeds are D2 L1 on home soil in the Championship against the Potters.
We think Stoke are going to start strongly as they have a point to prove that they are too good to be in the Championship. With the squad that they have brought down with them, that is surely what they will be thinking. You never know what is to come from Leeds so we are backing an away win & both teams to score.
31st July 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting