Derby have some pretty unsteady form behind them at the moment, but they have still managed to cling onto a top six place. But that is a bit tenuous and they are going to have to raise their game considerably to stay there. Stoke will turn up being unbeaten in five. Read our Derby v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
Derby were held at home in a 1-1 draw by Sheffield Wednesday on the weekend. That leaves the Rams with only the one win in their last six league outings (D2 L3). So they aren’t on song at the moment at all. That result on the weekend leaves them at W9 D6 L3 for the season. Their home form hasn’t been bad with three wins in their last four at Pride Park (L1) and in all of their home wins this season in the Championship, Derby have scored at least two goals. Dery have just one clean sheet in six home games.
Home and away, the Rams have not taken a clean sheet in their last six played. So their defence has been letting them down a bit. In total Derby have taken a clean sheet in 28% of their home games this season, with both teams having scored at 61% of their home fixtures. None of their nine home win this season have been by a margin of more than two goals. The Rams have only been trailing at half time three times at home this term, conceding 61% of their home goals in the second half of fixtures.
Stoke claimed a 2-1 home success over Derby earlier this season
Stoke have won three of the last four meetings in all competition (L1)
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Derby have lost their last two at home against Stoke by a 2-0 scoreline
Stoke earned a point away at QPR on the weekend. That was their fourth draw in their last five games (W1). So they are proving hard to beat at the moment. Their away campaign has been a real bust for them this season with just a W2 D11 L5 record having been posted. Their last away victory was record back towards the end of October. They are on a ten-match undefeated streak of form since then on their travels. Each of their last four away games have ended up under 2.5 goals. Each of their last eight games, home and away have gone under the goal line.
Stoke have averaged under a goal per game on their travels this season. The Potters have two clean sheets in their last three away games (both 0-0 scorelines) but they have scored just one goal in their last four away from home. Stoke have taken a clean sheet in a total of one-third of their away games. Four of Stoke’s five away defeats this season have been by a two-goal margin. The Potters have only opened the scoring in five of their 18 road fixtures so far this season. They have the sixth-best defensive record in the second tier currently.
Stoke look to have enough about them to go and claim a point at Pride Park on the weekend. The Rams certainly are nothing too much for them to fear at the moment. The 1-1 correct score looks a solid proposition.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke will be looking to knock their rivals West Brom down a peg as they play host to the Baggies on Saturday evening. Stoke’s season hasn’t quite lived up to expectation, whereas West Brom are on a big promotion push. Read our Stoke v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 8th, 2019 at 2:33 p.m.)
Stoke are really going through a rough patch of form lately as they have lost five of their last seven (W1 D1). That has seen them lodge themselves firmly in the bottom half of the table. This massive collapse has been after they were unbeaten in ten games in the second tier. So it has gone downhill quickly. Stoke are W7 D3 L5 at home this season in the Championship now. They have lost two for their last three at home, both of those were 2-0 reverses against Bristol City then Preston.
Stoke have actually failed to score in five of their last seven league outings, so there’s a clear problem there. Only five teams have scored fewer league goals than they have managed this season. Four of their last five league losses have been by a 2-0 scoreline. Just 33% of Stoke’s home games this season have gone above 2.5 goals. Stoke have opened the scoring in eight of their fifteen home games.
There was a 2-1 home win for West Brom over Stoke earlier this season
West Brom are W2 D2 L1 in their last five against the Potters
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last six clashes
Stoke are unbeaten in two on home soil against Albion (W1 D1)
The Baggies haven’t quite been at their best lately eight though. They lost a top clash against Middlesbrough last weekend, going down 2-3 at home against Boro. That leaves the Baggies with only the one win in their last five (D2 L2) so there have been vulnerabilities creeping in. However, if you break it down and look at their away form, they have won three of their last four out on the road (L1). Overall this season the Baggies are W7 D3 L4 on their travels.
West Brom have averaged 1.7 goals per away games, but have only taken the two clean sheets away from home. Those have both been in their last three road fixtures. West Brom have scored in each of their last thirteen league outings (home and away combined) and they are still the top-scoring side in the division. Albion have been level at the break in 8 of their 14 away games and they boast the fourth-best away record of all Championship sides.
Stoke just haven’t been scoring and they have fallen badly out of form. It hasn’t been the greatest spell from West Brom, but they may be able to go and collect a valuable three points against their rivals. West Brom to win and under 2.5 goals looks a solid proposition.
8th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke got at it again against Shrewsbury in this battle for a place in the fourth round of the FA Cup. The two of them played out a 1-1 draw at the first attempt with Peter Crouch rescuing the Potters at the New Meadow. Will Championship side Stoke now covert on home soil? The winner hosts Premier League side Wolves in the next round. Read our Stoke v Shrewsbury betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 13th, 2019 at 4:47 p.m.)
The Potters have not been in the greatest of form and they are currently on a five-match winless streak in all competitions. That includes the 1-1 draw which they played out at New Meadow against the Shrews in this third round tie. Peter Crouch got their equaliser twelve minutes from time. Will home advantage now see them drive forward to the next round?
Stoke lost their last home game, a league fixture against Bristol City right at the start of the year. But they had been on a three-match winning streak before that on home soil. The loss against Bristol City accidentally snapped a five-match sequence of unbeaten home form which they had been on. Stoke have banked two clean sheets in their last three home games. This will be their first home game against the Shrews since a 2010 League Cup meeting which the Potters won 2-1.
League One side Shrewsbury are searching for form really. They have failed to win any of their last five games and in their last eight, they have won just once. In none of their six have they managed more than one goal in a game. They have not had the greatest of seasons away from home and it does look as if it is one of those ties where they underdog missed their chance at home at the first attempt. The Shrews have won just two away games all season and have lost three of their last four (D1). The problem for them really has been keeping the ball out of the back of the net. The Shrews have not collected a clean sheet in any of their last nine out on their travels. It looks as if it could be an uphill struggle for them to pull themselves through to the fourth round.
Replays are rarely overly exciting, especially when it features the underdog heading out on the road against a team from above them in the tiers. Our prediction for the outcome is the home win, but only by a one-goal margin.
14th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The teams will get a break next weekend with the third round of the FA Cup swinging into action. So this is going to be an important push for three points for the teams on Tuesday. It will be a great way to start the new year with three points in the bag. Over the weekend the top two of Leeds and Norwich both lost.
Will they get back to winning ways? Will West Brom be able to muscle their way into the top-two? Down at the other end, Ipswich are now seven points adrift of safety after yet another defeat.
Here are our Championship Predictions and Tips for January 1st, 2019 and these are all 3.00 pm kickoffs.
Villa drew for the third time in five matches as they had to settle for a point out at Preston on the weekend. The Villains have lost only one of their last ten games now but they haven’t managed a win in any of their last three on home soil (D2 L1). Their defence keeps failing them time and time again. QPR are having a surprisingly good season and are unbeaten in four (W3 D1) after taking a point at Reading on the weekend. Their away form hasn’t been great but a win at Notts Forest in their last road game shows what they are capable off.
QPR are more than good enough to get a point at Villa Park. Rangers haven’t conceded in their last three and while they aren’t a high-scoringside, they can frustrate the hosts. The draw is at 14/5 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
The Tigers stepped up to the plate on the weekend as they sprung a surprise win out at league leaders Leeds. It was a solid 2-0 victory as well for the Tigers. That improved their current form to W5 D2 in their last seven and it was their fourth win on the bounce. They fired themselves up to mid-table safety on the weekend. They take on Bolton who can’t shake off the attention of the drop zone right beneath them. The Trotters were held to 0-0 draw at home against Stoke and are winless in ten on the road, losing their last three.
The Tigers are flowing with confidence at the moment and Hull to win to nil at 7/5 is a great looking option* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm). Bolton aren’t a threat in front of goal.
The Tractor Boys just can’t winning momentum going to help them get away from the foot of the table. They are five points behind Reading who are second from bottom now. Ipswich go at home in midweek against Millwall who are just above the drop zone after having picked up back to back wins. That’s the kind of thing Ipswich can only dream of at the moment. Millwall got themselves a fantastic three points at home against Nottingham Forest on the weekend. Their back to back wins have been at home though and the Lions have lost their last two away games and are searching for their first away success of the season.
If Millwall are ever going to break that winless duck away from home this season, it has to be in this one. They have form behind them and the simple option here is backing the away win at 13/10 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
This is a mid-table clash between the two sides who are sat level on 35 points each after 25 games of the season down. The Potters could only manage a 0-0 draw out at the struggling Bolton over the weekend. They are carrying a big home form though having won their last two on home soil to nil. They were wins against Ipswich and Millwall who are both in the bottom five though. They’ll get a tougher challenge from Bristol City. The Robins are undefeated in seven games now after edging Rotherham on the weekend. They don’t score a lot, but they score frequently.
The Robins may have enough about them to go and get a win. They did recently win at Birmingham who are up in seventh place. This just has a draw written all over it through. The outright draw is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
The Latics have slipped back lately and they need that great home form to resurface again. After such a great season on home soil where they lost just one of their opening ten home games, they have lost back to back fixtures there. It was that home form keeping them afloat too because it’s been rough on the road for them. Can the Latics rediscover their winning touch? It’s going to be tough with Sheffield United coming to town. The Blades are up into fourth after having posted back to back wins over Blackburn and Derby in the last weekend. They scored exactly three goals in both of those as well. With a four math u run going away from home, they could extend their winning streak.
The Blades look the more likely of the two to get the job done. It’s been good stuff from them over the last weekend and Wigan have a big slump to try and dig themselves out of. The straightforward away win at 11/10 odds is a good proposition* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm).
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This should be a good contest as Stoke look to be on the up a little bit. They have definitely started to improve their overall form but are still only holding around mid-table. Middlesbrough head into the weekend in third place in the division but they have won just one of their last four played in the league. Read our Stoke v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 31st, 2018 at 6:23 p.m.)
The Potters got three points at Bristol City last weekend which leaves them on a W3 D1 L1 record in their last five league games. They get back to home soil this weekend where their record for the season is W3 D1 L3. The Potters are on a WLWL sequence of form at home in the league and two of their three home wins have been against sides currently sat down in the bottom six in the league. They have both scored and conceded eight goals on home soil this season.
Each of their three home wins for the season (actually ALL of their home wins combined) have come with a clean sheet. So that is a trend and Stoke to win to nil is at 11/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 31st, 2018 at 4:01 pm). It is likely for the outlook that this is going to be a low scoring game as just 29% of Stoke’s home game have gone above 2.5 goals. They have done alright at the back, keeping a clean sheet in 43% of home games. They have actually been leading 1-0 at home time in three of their home games in the Championship. So a Stoke half time win is at 21/10 odds* (betting odds taken on October 31st, 2018 at 4:01 pm).
Stoke have won their last two home games against Boro to nil
This will be the first meeting since the 2016/17 Premier League
In that season Stoke earned four points against Boro
Stoke are unbeaten in three games against Boro (W2 D1)
Each of the last three meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough were held to a 1-1 draw against Derby at the Riverside last weekend and that leaves them on a run of three straight games now in league action. They have only suffered the one defeat in their last eight games, producing a W3 D4 L1 record in that sequence. Out on the road for the season they are W3 D3 L1 and they have strung together a three-match undefeated streak of form, posting back to back wins recently. In their last two away games they have scored exactly two goals in each and overall in four of their away fixtures this season. Still, only 29% of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals and that is down to their defence.
Middlesbrough have picked up a clean sheet in 43% of their games away from home this term. Of the goals which they have conceded on the road, 60% of them have been after the half time break. You have the shortest priced correct score option of a 1-1 draw at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 31st, 2018 at 4:01 pm) and that is the shortest-priced option available. They are without a goal in their last two visits to Stoke though and both teams NOT to score in the fixture returns a quote of 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on October 31st, 2018 at 4:01 pm). In eight of their league games this season Middlesbrough have been level at 0-0 at half time.
There have been more positives from Stoke recently but Middlesbrough are not going to be a pushover for them. Our betting tip is the draw in the match outright because Stoke may have their problems in breaking down a very well-organized Boro defence.
31st October 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This will be the first league meeting between Stoke and Rotherham for over a decade. The Millers have been having their struggles this season and have lost four of their last six. The Potters, who were expected to go strongly this season are right there in bottom half of the table level on points with them. Read our Rotherham v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 26th, 2018 at 11:44 p.m.)
Rotherham have been having a few problems this season in the Championship and go into this next round of action on a two-match losing streak. They are really struggling to hit the back of the net and have failed to score in three of their last four games (one goal in total). So we are going to take a look under 2.5 goals for our Rotherham v Stoke betting tips which is at 19/20 odds and a nice chunk of value* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm).
On home soil, Rotherham have actually produced a bit of form with a W3 L1 record going and each of those three home wins have been by a 1-0 scoreline. A Rotherham 1-0 correct score is at 10/1 odds* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm) to see that trend extended. They have scored exactly one goal in each of their four home games this term. To their credit, they are three points better off than they were at this stage of the season the last time they were in the Championship (2016/17). Maintaining their unbeaten home form would be a good result here.
It hasn’t quite been the season that was expected from Stoke who have been stuttering along without any consistency. The Potters are only W2 D3 L4 for the season. There has been just the one victory in their four league games (D1 L2). So they aren’t in great shape and it gets even worse when you look at just their away form. They are D2 L2 on their travels in the Championship this term and they have been leaking goals all over the place. Stoke have conceded at least two goals in each of their away games this season.
With that in mind a Rotherham/Draw Double Chance is decent value at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on September 27th, 2018 at 5:28 pm). The Potters have been scoring regularly enough though so do have that going for them with six goals in their four road games this term. 75% of their away games have actually seen at least 2.5 goals. They have been slow starters to matches as well because two-thirds of the goals that Stoke have conceded away from home have happened in the second half of matches. Benik Afobe is their top scorer with four goals, three of those away from home so is worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market.
Stoke and Rotherham last met back in 2008 in a Carling Cup tie which the Potters won 2-0 at home. The last league meetings were actually in the Championship and the only two previous Championship meetings between them. Rotherham collected four points from the two games.
The Millers have done pretty well on home soil but their defence is going to have to be at its best against a Stoke side who are scoring but are still struggling for wins. The draw has the most appeal in the outright market, but that Rotherham/Draw Double Chance does appeal.
28th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Both West Brom and Stoke will have expected to have had better starts to life down in the Championship than they have respectively had. The Baggies are doing better though having picked up two points more than the Potters have done. Still, for two of the pre-season strong contenders for promotion, it hasn’t quite happened for either. Read our West Brom v Stoke betting tips for more.
West Brom even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Baggies are at full strength so there is going to be no reason for them to go changing things up too much. They lost out at Middlesbrough last weekend, but it was only a 1-0 loss after having been level at half time. The half time draw at bet365 appeals greatly in this one at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.) and that is because West Brom have been level at half time in all five of their league matches this season. So a good trend is there.
This is West Brom’s third home match of the season having lost to Bolton and then having smashed QPR 7-1 at the Hawthorns so far. They had produced good back to back wins before that slip against Boro last weekend, so there were signs that they were starting to get it together. Jay Rodriguez has been in some great scoring form recently and he makes for a great anytime goalscorer option in this game at 13/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.).
The Potters have been struggling along for the large part of the season only picking up two points from their first four games. They posted their first win of the season last weekend in beating Hull at the Bet365 Stadium so that will have given them a bit of confidence. Their defence hasn’t looked good though really though and they may struggle to bag a clean sheet in this one. We are going to push for both teams to score at 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.).
They will get Ashley Williams back into service as he returns after his suspension. Benik Afobe and Bojan both came off the bench last weekend against Hull but may be pushed into the starting line up. Stoke have shipped the five goals in their two away games so far, a heavy loss at Leeds and then a draw out at Preston. They were trailing at half time in both of those games and two-thirds of their goals overall this season conceded have been in the first half of matches.
Stoke picked up four points from their two Premier League meetings with West Brom last season. This corresponding fixture last season produced a 1-1 draw. That is the only win that the Potters have picked up in their last seven games against West Brom in the league. The Baggies have a W3 D1 record in their last four home games against Stoke.
We are going to back West Brom to get the home win here just because they are on home soil. They lost last weekend but that was a tough match against Middlesbrough and may get more opportunities here against a Potters side who haven’t checked yet.
30th August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There is plenty of betting opportunities around in midweek with the second round of the EFL Cup kicking off. Most of the games are on Tuesday, August 28th, but a few are on Wednesday 29th. This is the round where all Premier League sides who are not involved in European action this season, join the fray.
It is usually the first chance that Premier League managers have to rest some of their regular starting eleven. So you will see a lot of understrength top-flight teams heading out into action in midweek for this low-priority tournament and that could lead to some great betting opportunities in backing underdogs.
Here are some EFL Cup Second Round Betting Odds & Predictions for games involving Premier League sides.
We can only predict that this is going to be a tight battle, between a somewhat hardened Swans side and an understrength Palace. The thing about the Eagles is that if they don’t have Wilfried Zaha knocking around then it is hard to see where the goals are going to come from. He has scored two of their three Premier League goals this season for example. It’s unlikely that he’ll be used unless he really has to be. Swansea aren’t a side who appear to be stacked with goals but they have a decent chance of digging in here, in one of the more high-profile games of the second round. We have a feeling this will need more than 90 minutes and Swansea To Qualify at 5/4 odds* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm) appeals greatly.
West Ham have had a dreadful start to the season and you aren’t going to see much more naive defending around than from them at the moment. Manuel Pellegrini appears to have a bigger task ahead of him than expected. They have enough quality to get everything settled down eventually but with they have their cage rattled at Wimbledon on Tuesday night? Given the number of goals that the Hammers have given up this season, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise. But the Dons just aren’t carrying any kind of form with them and we can see the depth that West Ham have just winning out on the day. We see enough to back West Ham at a -1.25 Asian Handicap.
Cardiff have so far been Cardiff. Tight, organized, combative. Everything you would expect from them under boss Neil Warnock. They have taken two points from their three Premier League games this season but they haven’t managed to come up with a goal just yet. That’s going to be problematic for them unless they sort things out quickly. With their Premier League survival a higher priority than this, then we have to look at Norwich to pull something out of the bag in this one. This is a chance for the Canaries to blow off steam and even though they have had some poor defensive displays this season, they are facing a side who won’t exactly give to threat too much. Norwich to Qualify as at 13/8 odds* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm).
With their first win of the Championship having been landed on the weekend, SToke will be feeling a bit better about themselves. So they will be up for the challenge here against Premier League Huddersfield and we have to say that we can’t overlook the 6/5 odds appeal on Stoke to win outright* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm). They are at home and taking on a Terriers side who aren’t blessed with a particularly deep squad and who are out of form as well. There can’t be too much interested in this for the Terriers. Home win.
Nottingham Forest have gone unbeaten for the new season in the Championship and so because of that, and because they are at home where they have to be value to throw down a big old challenge to the Magpies. Newcastle really looked as if the needed to make some serious transfers over the summer to strength not only the core but their depth as well. They won’t be at full strength here and that will leave them somewhat vulnerable. This is probably going to be a tight tussle, but the value for us is on Nottingham Forest To Qualify at even money* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm)
27th August 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Championship side Stoke are favourites for this EFL Cup tie. The Potters were playing up in the top flight alongside Huddersfield last season but now even though they are done in the second tier, they will have backing on home soil here. The Terriers are more likely going to be worried about their Premier League survival than this midweek cup game. Read our Stoke v Huddersfield betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.)
The Potters broke their league duck on the weekend as they collected their first win of the new Championship season, which was a 2-0 success over Hull. That will have eased some tension but now they turn their attention to their first EFL Cup match of the season. So far Stoke are W1 D2 L2 this season overall and from their three home games, they have gone just W1 D1 L1.
What has been interesting is that their win over Hull on the weekend was their first clean sheet of the season. But as they are taking on an understrength Huddersfield most likely in this one, Stoke to win to nil isn’t a bad option at 11/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.).
In the Premier League meetings between these two last season, it was Stoke who came out on top with four points from the two games. Those were their first since the 2001/02 Division 2 season. There have been just the two previous League Cup meetings between them with Stoke holding a W1 D1 record from the games which were back in 1984.
Huddersfield have collected only the one point from their three Premier League games of the season and got their first point of the term on the point with a 0-0 draw at home against Cardiff on the weekend. That is just the one goal in three games from them and so the output just isn’t there from them. Both teams not to score is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.). Even though two of their games this season have been against Chelsea and Man City, their misfire against Cardiff will be a worry for them. It is hard to see where the output of goals are truly going to come from for them.
For our Stoke v Huddersfield betting tip we are going with the home side. Huddersfield probably won’t send out a strong starting eleven as this isn’t a high priority for them. We are backing Stoke to win to nil.
26th August 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Potters have had an awful start to life back in the Championship. They took a high-profile tumble from the Premier League last season but they were one of the pre-season favourites to earn promotion this season in the Championship.
However, after a poor start which has seen them take just two points from four games, punters are backing them to take another drop.
Sheffield Wednesday 7/2
Bristol City 11/1
* (betting odds taken on August 23rd, 2018 at 8:36 pm)
Gary Rowett’s men have gone D2 L2 and in midweek suffered a hammer blow of a 3-0 home defeat against Wigan. The Latics were the League One winners last season so have come up a tier. Now going into the weekend Stoke find themselves in the bottom three of the Championship table and with pressure building.
What is interesting really is the comparison to what is happening with Stoke this season and what happened to Sunderland last season. The Black Cats fell from the Premier League and then suffered a shocking season in the Championship when they were expected to be alright. It was so bad they suffered another straight relegation and are now playing in League One.
Does the same fate await Stoke in the long run? The Potters were 50/1 shots to suffer relegation and now that price has been slashed in half as they are 25/1 at Paddy Power now in the Championship relegation market* (betting odds taken on August 23rd, 2018 at 8:36 pm).
The newly promoted Rotherham are the 8/11 odds-on favourites to take the drop this season* (betting odds taken on August 23rd, 2018 at 8:36 pm). QPR have also received plenty of backing after a horrific start to the term, the London club having lost each of their opening four matches, conceding 13 goals and scoring just the two.
23rd August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting