Liverpool were left frustrated after their 2-2 draw at home against Spurs last weekend and they will be looking to get back immediately to winning ways as they head to the south coast. Southampton snapped a long winless streak of form that they were on in the top flight with a great 3-2 victory at West Brom. Can they grind something out of this one?
Liverpool 3/4, Draw 11/4, Southampton 10/3* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 8:13 p.m.)
Southampton finally got that elusive win on the board as thy rolled out a 3-2 away win at West Brom last weekend. That was a huge victory for Southampton who started the weekend in the drop zone and it meant that it left West Brom on the bottom. That’s just what the Saints need to produce for themselves given the situation that they were in. That is a four-match undefeated streak of form that Southampton have put together now in the top flight (W1 D3) so that has been a bit better from them. Their last two league outings at St Mary’s have ended in a 1-1 draw and four of their last six at home have ended by that scoreline. In the bet365 correct score market a 1-1 draw is at 7/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 8:13 p.m.). Can they drive on from that important win last weekend? It may be tough in this one as the Saints have only won three league home games this season (D6 L5) and are on a six-match winless streak at home at the moment. They have scored in each of their last seven home games but have conceded in each of their last eight. Still, it may add up nicely to a both teams to score option offering a bit of value.
Liverpool almost had the beating of Spurs last weekend but conceded a penalty late into stoppage time to play out a draw. That is only the one defeat though that they have suffered in the top flight since losing against Tottenham way back in October so overall their form is still pretty solid. The only league loss that they have suffered in their last seven league match was at Swansea recently, but Liverpool immediately snapped back to winning away form as they took a 3-0 win at Huddersfield in their next game. Liverpool are W7 D3 L3 this season away from Anfield and they have scored so freely at an average of 2.5 goals per game away from home which has been an impressive return. However their defence has been pretty leaky on the road and many times this season we have seen many examples this term of them throwing away leads. 62% of their away games have gone over 3.5 which is staggering. Mo Salah was at it again last weekend with a brace and he is the bet365 7/2 outright first goalscorer favorite* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 8:13 p.m.). The Reds have been ahead at half time in seven of their away games this season and they have split their goals evenly over the first and second half of matches. The Reds have actually opened the scoring in 9 of their 13 road games.
The Saints were outclassed in a heavy defeat at Anfield earlier in the season and over the last eight meetings, the Saints are W3 D3 L3 against Liverpool in all competitions. The Saints have lost just one of their last six games against Liverpool home and away in all competitions. Down on the south coast, the Saints are unbeaten in their last two home games against Liverpool in the Premier League (W1 D1). Four of the last five games between these two of them have gone under 2.5 goals.
The draw may not be a bad option going into his one. The Saints will have new belief after that important in last season and time and time against Liverpool have shown how easily they can throw games away.
9th February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It is a busy January for Liverpool, made worse after their draw at Anfield with Plymouth in the FA Cup on the weekend. The Reds go into their EFL Cup semi final against Southampton as favourites to make it through to Wembley. They are catching a Southampton side who are struggling a bit at the moment and who have gone without a win in any of their last four games. With the defensive toughness lacking with the Saints at the moment, will the Reds, who are obviously going to be sending out a stronger lineup than they did on Saturday, be able to gain an important first leg advantage? Liverpool are 5/4 with the draw at 12/5 and Southampton at 12/5.
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The Saints drew 0-0 at home in the Premier League against Liverpool back in November, but in the game, the Saints failed to manage a single shot on target themselves. The current form that they are carrying doesn’t suggest particularly that they are going to go out and land a win in this one as they have gone D3 L1 in their four games across all competitions. Claude Puel’s men are struggling to keep clean sheets and they have shipped eleven goals now in their last four games played. That’s straggling bad for them as they had shipped just two in their previous four. So with their defence gone, they don’t pack enough of a punch going forward to cover that up. Only twice in their last fourteen games have their managed more than two goals in a single game. This match to go under 2.5 goals with William Hill is a quote of 4/5.
Southampton’s home form this season is pretty good actually as they have gone W8 D4 L3 but two of those losses have come in their last two home games (against Spurs and West Brom in the league). The Saints are crying out for some potency up front and running in the anytime goalscorer market for them in this one is Shane Long at a price of 2/1, the same as Jay Rodriguez. You have a decent quote of even money on both teams not to score with William Hill here. Both teams have scored in just two of the last five between these on the south coast, Liverpool winning two of those games to nil. These two were together in last season’s’ League Cup and the Reds rolled off a 6-1 victory at St Mary’s despite going behind in the first minute of the game. Can Southampton withstand the challenge of the Reds?
Liverpool rested pretty much everyone on the weekend for their FA Cup game against Plymouth, so they will be stronger for this one. In the anytime goalscorer market they have Daniel Sturridge as 6/4 favourite, with Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino at 9/5. The Reds have lost just one of their last four visits to Southampton in all competitions and will fancy their chances here of putting a strong lead on the board. Away from home this season Liverpool have gone W8 D3 L2 in all competitions and have taken away wins with a clean sheet at Burton and Derby in the EFL Cup this term. Liverpool to win to nil at William Hill is a price of 11/4. The Reds have the firepower to unlock defences and after a good rest on the weekend, they will be expected to find a way through the shaky Southampton defence. Look under the 2.5 goal line on the game though as it could be tight.
This may be a tight and tense affair more likely for the two to go out and push the pace in this one, leaving Southampton to grind their way through the 90 minutes. The Saints don’t look capable of pulling off an upset in this one, so their best progress is going to be made by just trying to hang in there and pulling out a draw to give themselves a fighting chance back at Anfield. However, in a game under 2.5 goals, Liverpool are just likely to snatch and advantage.
9th January 2017 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This should be a great clash down on the south cast on Saturday afternoon. Southampton have just one off the boil with back to back defeats in the top flight and they have won just one of their last five played now. So they are just struggling to put things together and they play host to Liverpool, who go into the weekend as Premier League leaders. Liverpool need no second invitation to tear apart a defense as they have kept up their impressive scoring. Will they be able to get the better of an out-of-sorts Saints on the weekend and solidify their place at the top of the Premier League table? Liverpool are 23/20 for the win, with the draw at 13/5 and Southampton at 5/2.
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So can Southampton stop the free-scoring Liverpool? Southampton have suffered just the one home loss in their last thirteen games played and although they have been a little out of sorts as of late, they took a morale boosting home win over Inter Milan just before the international break at St Mary’s. So the Saints have actually gone W6 L1 in their last seven home games across all competitions, the defeat in that sequence coming in the Premier League recently against Chelsea. That is the only home game this term in which they have failed to score in as well. Both teams to score in this one will return you a price of 8/13 with online betting site Sky Bet. Last season this produced a thrilling 3-2 win for Southampton and there have been over 2.5 goals in three of the last four between these on the south coast.
Southampton have Charlie Austin (who has eight goals this season across all competitions) at 6/4 in the anytime goalscorer market for this one and that 3-2 win in last season’s corresponding fixture for Southampton, saw them snap a four match Premier League winless streak against the Reds. Worryingly for the Saints, they have gone W1 D2 L2 in their last five, and they have dropped more points from leading positions than any other team this season (8), and they are facing the side which has collected more from behind than anyone else has this season. The last time that Southampton beat the current top side in the Premier League happened to be against Liverpool back in September 2013. They have gone D3 L3 in subsequent games against league leaders on the day.
So Liverpool are flying with just the two dropped points in their last six games. They have scored more goals than anyone else in the top flight this season, but their defence does still remain a bit vulnerable. Even though they lost in the league at Southampton last season, they carded a 6-1 league Cup win there, with Divock Origi netting a hattrick and Daniel Sturridge getting a brace. Sturridge is 6/5 shot with Bet365 in the anytime goalscorer market, with Origin at 6/4. Philippe Coutinho, who is in stunning form at the moment is an 15/8 shot to net. Coutinho scored eight league goals last season, he has five already this term. No team has managed to win more Premier League games than Liverpool have in the 2016 calendar year and out on the road they have gone W4 D1 L1 and are on a three match winning streak. They have scored at least two goals in four of their six away games this season. The Reds have scored 13 goals in total in their last four visits to Southampton in all competitions.
Liverpool just have the goals to get themselves out of any sticky situation it would seem. It’s impressive stuff that they are playing and it doesn’t seem to matter if their defence isn’t the strongest at all. Southampton are a fantastic home side, but have only won twice in five at home this term. Look for Liverpool to edge this one in a game which does go over 2.5 goals on the day.
18th November 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
These two head into Premier League battle on Sunday both sat level on 44 points in the league. However, the Reds have two games in hand over the Saints. Both are in decent form and Liverpool seem to be coming on pretty strong down the final stretch of the season. However, how much will their Europa League battle against Manchester United on Thursday night have taken out of them for the trip to St Mary’s. Perhaps the fresher legs of the Saints will take them closer to earning the three points. Southampton are 6/4 favourites for the game with Liverpool at 7/4 and the draw at 23/10.
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Liverpool have averaged three goals per game across their last six league matches
Liverpool are on a three match winning streak in all competitions at St Mary’s
The Saints have won four and lost one of their last six league matches at home
Saints keeper Fraser Forster could claim his 20th Premier League clean sheet in what would be just his 41st game
The Saints have been a little hit and miss recently, but they returned to winning ways last time out after a three match winless streak as they beat Stoke 2-1 at the Britannia. The Saints have lost just one of their last six Premier League home games, so that is going well for them at the moment. They have won four of their last six at St Mary’s, but neither of the last two there (D1 L1). The Saints have lost their last two home games in the top flight against the Reds but they haven’t lost three successive ones on home turf against them since back in 1996. Southampton, after putting together a six match clean-sheet streak have conceded in each of their last four. Fraser Forster is on the brink of his 20th Premier League clean sheet and if it comes on Sunday he will be the fourth quickest keeper to get to that mark in the Premier League as it will be just his 41st Premier League appearance.
Graziano Pelle netted much needed goals against Stoke last weekend. He hit a brace and that snapped a twelve match league streak without a goal for him. Strangely enough since his time without Southampton he has managed to score in successive league games just once. He is a 2/1 anytime goalscorer option along with Shane Long. Southampton have posted a W7 D3 L5 records home this season and have been leading at half time in nine of their fifteen home matches. They may well benefit from Liverpool having had to go through their Europa League second league against Manchester United on Thursday night. Only 53% of their home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals and this one is a price of 23/20 at online betting site Betfair to go above the goal line.
Liverpool are doing alright at the moment. They have won four of their last six Premier League matches and have averaged three goals per game in that sequence. The last time they won four in a row in the top flight was in March last year. They went to St Mary’s in the League Cup earlier this season and they cared a massive 6-1 win and that is on top of wins in their last two league visits there. So they have good form down on the south coast. Going back to their goalscoring exploits, they have netted 13 goals in their last four Premier League away games and Daniel Sturridge is trading at 2/1 in the anytime goalscorer market with the brilliant Philippe Coutinho at 3/1. Liverpool have won three of their last four out on the road and could well push the Saints hard.
Take Liverpool’s Thursday night game out of the equation and they would offer a little more value. Southampton are a good home side and should be the fresher of the two sides. The Saints really should be good enough to pick up a point in this one with Liverpool perhaps being a little heavy in the legs. There should be goals in the game so a good score draw result could be happening.
18th March 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The only all-Premier League clash in the final eight of the Capital One Cup this season. It’s also the only one of the four ties being played on Wednesday night this week. So who will get the honours in the big clash? Liverpool have won their last two visits to St Mary’s and the Saints have just been stuttering a little bit lately. Can Jurgen Klopp take a step closer to securing some silverware in his first season with the Reds? Southampton are 6/4 for the win, with Liverpool at 7/4 and the draw at 12/5
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The Saints were stunned by a brilliant start by Manchester City in their 3-1 defeat at the Etihad in the Premier League on the weekend. The Saints did actually end up banking more possession in the game but it didn’t stop them slumping to their second defeat on the bounce after losing at home against Stoke the week before. The Saints have won five and lost three of their ten home matches across all competitions this season and five of the last seven have gone over 2.5 goals. It may not be a bad idea then to expect this one to see three or more goals by going over the goal line at a price of 10/11 with online bookmaker Ladbrokes.
Southampton have scored at least two goals in all but one of their last seven home games across all competitions and Graziano Pelle is trading at a price of 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market for the match. Liverpool’s main options in the game are Daniel Sturridge and Christian Benteke who are both 13/8 quotes. The Saints have lost their last two home games against the Reds without having put a goal on the board, but they played out a 1-1 draw at Anfield against them in the Premier League back at the end of October. Over the last six meetings home and away honours are pretty even with two wins for the Saints, three for the Reds and a draw.
Liverpool may be at a disadvantage having played late on Sunday in the Premier League and having faced a UEFA Europa League tie last Thursday as well. Jurgen Klopp isn’t likely to make a whole bunch of changes for the game you would think and including their home win over Swansea on Sunday, they are in good form with five wins and just the one defeat in their last six in all competitions. The Reds have only lost the one away game all season (at Old Trafford) in all competitions, having posted a W4 D4 L1 record. This may be a pretty tight contest down on the south coast.
Tough to pick out a winner in Wednesday night’s tie. Southampton have been scoring very well on home soil lately but tripped up in their last game there against Stoke. Liverpool are still a little bit hit and miss but have been better on the road than at home. May be worth pushing for the draw over ninety minutes on this one.
30th November 2015 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This could turn out to be a very important clash in the race for a top four spot. Liverpool could really get themselves in the mix with an away win against the Saints. They will take on Southampton’s strong home form though, but Liverpool are on a good streak of form themselves overall, but will their Thursday night excursions in the Europa League affect them? Southampton are 6/4 for the win, with Liverpool at 9/5 and the Draw at 23/10.
Could be a tight game down at St Marys so look for Bet365’s great 0-0 Bore Draw Insurance. Place a pre match wager on the half time/full time, correct score & scorecast markets and if the game doesn’t produce a goal in 90 minutes, then the bookmaker will refund your lost stake as a free bet. Customers placing their first mobile wager with the bookie will get the value of the wager matched 100% with a free bet in Bet365’s On The Move Promotion.
The Saints are a good home side and should pose a problem for the Reds. They have put up a W7 D3 L3 record for the season at St Marys, however, following on from five successive wins there, Southampton have won just two of their last seven Premier League home matches (W2 D2 L3). Interestingly, they have won only one of their last seven at home where the opposition has scored, so basically if they don’t ban a clean sheet then they don’t get a win on the board. Overall, they have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game at home this term. They have allowed their opponents just 66 shots on target this season, fewer than any other Premier League side.
Even though their home form has slumped a little, they are in good overall form. Southampton have posted a W5 D2 L1 record over their last eight matches played. Graziano Pelle has fired off more shots than any other player in the Premier League player this season but his last league goal was all the way back on December 20th last year. Pelle is still up there as a 5/1 joint favourite in the Bet365 First Goalscorer market, the same price as Liverpool’s Daniel Sturridge. Saido Mane looks a better option at 7/1 though for the Saints. Raheem Sterling has scored in both of his last two Premier League games against Southampton and is also a 7/1 quote.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last nine Barclays Premier League matches (W6 D3) are in pretty good form and looking confident. Working against them could be their Europa League match on Thursday night which could come into effect later in the game. Brendan Rodgers’ side have already shipped 62% of their goals in the second half, the highest proportion in the top flight. The Reds are on the rise and they did bank a 2-1 win over the Saints at Anfield at the start of the season. That’s two wins in a row for the Reds over the Saints now as they won this corresponding fixture 3-0 last term. They are unbeaten in their last four on the road (W3 D1) so may be value to avoid defeat.
Really tough match to call with the two sides looking evenly matched. Both are in decent form and both are carrying merits to back here. The goals have just dried up a little for the Saints lately, they’ll be aware of that, so will step up defensively, so look for the game to go under 2.5 goals. It will probably be tight and parity isn’t far from expectancy.
19th February 2015 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton v Liverpool Betting Preview
Well the Reds don’t seem to do anything without some exciting drama and this looks as if there could be a great match in prospect. Brendan Rodger’s men are still aiming to keep themselves in the hunt for the league title, while the Saints have largely returned to their resilient ways, their defence is likely to come under heavy pressure.
Southampton v Liverpool Betting Odds at online bookmaker William Hill
Liverpool Evens, Draw 5/2, Southampton 12/5
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Southampton v Liverpool Betting Tips:
The Saints have lost just one of their last seven in the Premier League now, that defeat coming last time out against West Ham. At St Mary’s they have gone three unbeaten now, the last two ending in 2-2 draws. You are probably looking at a high scoring game in this one as five of Southampton’s last six games have gone over 2.5 goals. With the attacking power that Liverpool can bring, going over 2.5 goals for a price of 4/7 is an obvious place to look, while Both Teams To Score is better value at a price of 1/2. You never quite know what you are going to get from Southampton as no-one has dropped more points from winning positions than they have this term. Still they have good home form against Liverpool, winning four of their five Premier League games at St Mary’s against the Reds, including the last three in a row.
Southampton have been the only team to have beaten Liverpool at Anfield in the Premier League this season too. So they have some backers. They are also only one of two teams to have kept a clean sheet against Liverpool this season. The obvious targets of Jay Rodriguez and Ricker Lambert are both trading at a price of 5/2 in the anytime goalscorer market. At St Mary’s this season, Southampton have posted a W5 D5 L3 record, so they have largely been hard to break down. In their three home defeats, they conceded exactly three goals in each of them. The Saints have only kept two clean sheets in their last nine league games, so expect some goals to come in this one.
Liverpool have just been scoring for fun and they are the league’s top scorers this season, with 70. They have netted twelve in their last three games, and it’s just as well because they look pretty disorganised at the back. But they have the attacking power to make up for all of their defensive inabilities. They have conceded six in their last three. Daniel Sturridge just keeps going and going and is value at 6/5 in the anytime goalscorer market. Luis Suarez is just playing a support role in the England man’s shadow at the moment. The Reds have failed to score in two of their last three visits to St Mary’s, but would expect them to find the back of the net. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last three games on the road, with two wins and a draw.
It really should be a high scoring game and they should both go toe to toe in an end to end match here. Liverpool have the better quality going forward but aren’t good at the back. There’s good value in backing Liverpool outright in this one, they just seem to find goals to get themselves out of holes.
Form (all competitions)
Southampton DWDWLL, Liverpool WDWWLW
Daniel Sturridge has scored in eight consecutive league appearances
Southampton have won four of their five league games at home against Liverpool
The Reds have scored twelve goals in their last three league games
The Saints are just one of two teams to keep a clean sheet against the Reds this season
27th February 2014 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting