The Saints have had their struggles on home soil this season and will be out looking to try and snap a three match winless streak of form that they are on at St Mary’s when they face Palace on Monday. Palace have been battening down the hatches out on the road to carry a four match unbeaten streak of form away from home at the moment. Southampton are 10/11 to take the home win with the draw at 12/5 and Crystal Palace at 3/1.
There have been just the three clean sheets for Southampton at St Mary’s this season in the Premier League and they have failed to win any of their last three there going into this (D2 L1). The two draws in that sequence were both 1-1 draws against Arsenal and Huddersfield and in the Coral correct score market, a 1-1 draw is a price of 11/2, making it the shortest priced option in the market. There have been 13 home goals from the Saints this season, which is average at best but they are on a four match scoring streak of form at St Mary’s in the top flight. Both teams to score in the game has to be a decent proposition because the Saints have also conceded at least one goal in each of their last five league home games. With just 36% for their games at St Mary’s going over 2.5 goals, then that 1-1 correct score at Coral has a decent amount of appeal really. Southampton have failed to score in three of their eleven home games while they have taken a clean sheet in just two of them. They go into the game on the back of an away draw at Old Trafford against Manchester United on the weekend.
Palace were the ones who stopped Man City’s winning streak as they held out for a 0-0 draw against the Citizens at Selhurst Park over the weekend. They missed a penalty at the end of the match too, missing a great chance for three points. The Eagles are unbeaten in four away games in the top flight and are going well. They are only W1 D3 in that four match stretch though and their last road game saw them play out a 1-1 draw at the struggling Swansea. Palace really mount good attacking threats in games, but most of it isn’t sustained. Wilfried Zaha is bang on top of his game at the moment and is 11/4 value in the Coral anytime goalscorer market for this one. The Eagles are only W1 D3 L6 for the season away from Selhurst Park but are on the up on the road. There have been just the four away goals all season from them, but those four have come in their last two away games. Only 30% of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals and therefore under 2.5 goals at Coral looks a decent option. There has been just the one clean sheet for them on the road.
Southampton took a 1-0 win at Selhurst Park back September and that has left them with back to back league wins over the Eagles. Southampton have won their last three matches against Crystal Palace at home in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in each of these. The Saints have won all four of their previous Premier League home games against Crystal Palace.
The draw will be running with great appeal for the fixture here because the Eagles have been drawing a lot out on the road lately and Southampton are not convincing anyone that they can dig things out and produce a win. The 1-1 draw looks good.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints played out a home draw with Bournemouth on the weekend and they haven’t been in great winning touch. They face up against Crystal Palace who are steaming along at the moment on a four-match winning streak and who caused a massive upset on the weekend in taking a win at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea. Southampton are 7/10 for the win, with the draw at 5/2 and Crystal Palace at 17/4.
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The Saints failed to get the better of Bournemouth in a battle of the south coast on Sunday. That has left them with just the one win in their last five home games now in the Premier League (D1 L3). So they aren’t going great guns at all and overall they have posted just a W5 D4 L4 record at St Mary’s this season. They are one of those sides who are just hit and miss, but they have lost only one of their last 13 home games against Palace in the league (W9 D3) and are on a five-match winning streak against the Eagles at St Mary’s. The Saints did lose at Selhurst Park earlier in the season but haven’t lost both league games in a season against Crystal Palace since 1990-91, when the Eagles finished third in the old First Division. Southampton’s scoring output hasn’t been great this season and under 2.5 goals at Sky Bet is a price of 3/4. Losing Manolo Gabbiadini to injury leaves them limited up front and they have Shane Long and Jay Rodriguez as 6/4 joint anytime goalscorer favourites.
Crystal Palace are on a high at the moment with a four-match winning streak. Their concerns over relegation are diminishing with each passing fixture. They produced a brilliant defensive display to take a 2-1 win at Chelsea against the odds on the weekend and the Eagles have only won five in a row in the competition on two other occasions (April 2014 and December 1992). The Eagles have won two of their last three league games against Southampton (both at home, though) after failing to win any of their previous twelve against them. Palace have three clean sheets in their last four games now and they are a quote of 7/2 at SkyBet for a clean sheet in this one. In the correct score market a Southampton 1-0 is the shortest priced option at 6/1. The impressive Wilfried Zaha has two goals in his last three league games and a 7/2 anytime goalscorer option. Palace have gone W3 L1 in their last four away games, part of an overall away record of W5 D3 L7 this season.
Southampton Home Win: The Saints generally have had the rub of the green against Palace In recent meetings and therefore there could be value in them sneaking a win in this one and bringing the soaring Eagles back down to earth with a bump.
3rd April 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
A great looking tie for the third round of the League Cup from St Mary’s. Southampton have had a good week on home soil finally with back to back wins in the Europa League and Premier League setting themselves up nicely here. Meanwhile though, Crystal Palace have started to hit their stride with three wins in their last four games played, going unbeaten in those. So this could be a great match up between the two in this all-Premier League clash. It is a game which Southampton are favourites for at a price of even money, with the Eagles at 29/10 and the draw at 27/10.
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Interestingly these two have met three times in each of the last two seasons, an FA Cup game in both of the seasons accompanying their usual Premier League battles. Palace posted a W2 L1 record in the three meetings last season and the season before that it was Southampton who came out on top with a W2 D1 record. The last meeting between the two of them at St Mary’s ended in a 4-1 win for the Saints so may be they can take some finance form that. They have had a good week there, beating out Sparta Prague 3-0 before landing a 1-0 win over Swansea on the weekend, their first league win of the new season.
So better from them and that’s a two game streak without conceding a goal and it’s been a long while since that happened. You can back both teams to score in this one at a price of 7/10 and that’s likely to happen as both have been on the scoresheet in four of their last six comings together. Over 2.5 goals is trading at a price of 17/20 for the match as well. There’s plenty of options knocking around the First Goalscorer market for the Saints with Charlie Austin and Shane Long both going into his one at a quote of 9/2 to open the scoring. Southampton have scored in nine of their last ten against Palace.
Palace have seen an upward turn in fortunes then as well with back to back wins in the Premier League. Throw in their 2-0 win over Blackpool in the last round of the League Cup, then they have posted a W3 D1 record in their last four games played. Things are suddenly looking brighter for them at the moment after their 4-1 win over Stoke on the weekend in a much deserved victory. Christian Benteke wasn’t on the scoresheet for them on the weekend, but he is up at a price of 6/1 in the first goal scorer market for Wednesday night’s game. Palace took a 2-1 FA Cup win at Southampton last season.
The last time they were together in the League Cup was in 2001 with Palace winning that meeting 2-0. Actually four of the last eight meetings has produced a 2-0 scoreline and you can back a Palace 2-0 at 18/1 or a Southampton 2-0 at 17/2. Palace have a good side assembled and maybe they are just starting to click now. They have scored in each of their last four games so the momentum is there to see them get on the scoreboard. This could be real end to end stuff here in a battle to make it to the last 16 of the Cup.
This really could swing either way and that’s reflected in the match outright. Southampton have had a much better week after their slow start, but Palace have found their feet as well and have traded blows evenly with the Saints over the last couple of season. Expect both teams to get on the scoresheet in this one and it may just be worth siding with home advantage here with the Saints edging the contest.
19th September 2016 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Saints could finish as high as fifth if they put a win on the board and Manchester United lose. They are also duelling with West Ham in the battle for top six spots though so would need a lot of other stuff to go their way. The Saints will be full of confidence after beating Tottenham last time out though and they take on a Palace side who have offered very little in the way of victories in 2016. The Saints are 2/5 odds on to win, with the draw at 7/2 and Palace at 7/1.
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Palace have won one of their last thirteen against the Saints in the Premier League
The Saints have a W7 D1 L1 record at home in their last nine league games
Palace are winless in their last ten league games away from home
The Saints have only lost one of their previous nine home games at home on the final day of a Premier League season (W4 D4 L1)
The Saints are coming along in some great form and they will have immensely enjoyed their win at Tottenham last weekend. The Saints could still finish as high as fifth in the Premier league, starting the weekend down in seventh and are in line for a Europa League spot. They did take a loss earlier in the season against the Eagles and ended a great run of form of having won eight and drawn four of the previous twelve top flight meetings against them. So when you look at it, Southampton are still strong in the recent head to heads with them and they are a team on fire at home currently. The Saints have put seven wins on the board in their last nine home games in the Premier league (D1 L1) and look likely to sign off in style with another on Sunday. Southampton have lost just one of their final day Premier League games on home soil (W4 D4 L1).
So the Saints really are in some fine form at the moment and they have scored at least two goals in six of their last eight Premier league games. This one to go over 2.5 goals is an 8/13 poke while Southampton to win to nil will return you a price of 11/10. That’s a big price because the Saints are without a clean sheet in any of their last eleven Premier League games and therefore backing both teams to score at 19/20 may have a little more appeal. Up in the anytime goalscorer market you have Shane Long at even money with Graziano Pelle at 11/10. Sadio Mane who has also been in great form lately is a price of 3/2 to net. The only team that has gotten the better of Southampton in their last nine league matches has been the champions, Leicester.
Crystal Palace have failed to win any of their last 10 away games in the top flight in a D5 L5 record. They have won just two of their last twenty Premier League matches overall home and away and out on the road they have lost their last two back to back without scoring. The Eagles have only netted the 19 away goals this season on the road, which has seen them go to a W5 D6 L7 record away from Selhurst Park. Palace have failed to win any of their previous four away games on the final day of a Premier League season (D2 L2). Palace also have scored the highest percentage of goals from set pieces in the Premier League this season (47%) and have conceded the lowest percentage of goals from set pieces of any team this season (21%).
There should be plenty of opportunities here for the Saints to put three points on the board. Ronald Koeman’s men have been going so very well lately at home in the top flight and their confidence will be sky high after winning at Spurs last weekend too. Palace haven’t even at the races on the road and will likely find the Saints too much to handle. Home win.
13th May 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
An all-Premier League clash on the south coast for a pace in the fifth round of this season’s FA Cup. Alan Pardew’s return to Palace seems to have given the club a breath of fresh air, while Southampton continue to run along nicely in impressive form. Can the Eagles do a smash and grab at St Mary’s on Saturday? Southampton are 4/6 favourites for the win, with the draw at 3/1 and Palace victory quoted at 5/1.
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You simply can’t fault Southampton at the moment. They were frustrated on home soil in the third round by Ipswich Town in a 1-1 draw, but it was a game that they dominated and it was just one of those frustrating afternoons where they couldn’t convert. They got the job done in the replay against the Tractor Boys, winning 1-0. The Saints are unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions, so are in good form. During that spell, they have taken wins over Arsenal and Manchester United and have held Chelsea to a draw in the top flight.
Boss Ronald Koeman went with a strong eleven against Ipswich in the last round, so will probably do the same. They have good marks in the anytime goalscorer market in Shane Long and Graziano Pelle to look towards. Palace haven’t got a great, solid defence so the Saints will create chances in the game through one route or another. A big strength of Southampton’s’ season has been their defence, and they have won their last three home games against Palace by a clean sheet. Decent trend there.
Alan Pardew seems to be back where he belongs, having guided the Eagles to Premier League victories over Spurs and Burnley. Palace lit up the scoreboard in the third round when they won 4-0 away at Dover, by can they get anything out of St Mary’s? Well, to their credit, they have done well in their last two matches under Pardew, they look a bit more organised and threatening going forward. Palace have netted nine goals in their last three games in all competitions. They aren’t up to the high standards of the Saints yet, but you know that under Pardew, they will scrap for spoils.
Palace seem to have a bit more fire in their belly with the new manager coming in. That does actually make them a little bit tempting to sneak something here. But the pragmatic bettors will stick with the neat home form of the Saints, simply because Komen’s men don’t give up that many goals. It may be closer than expected, but would expect the Saints just to edge through the trial.
23rd January 2015 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting