The Cherries return to league action sat in sixth place in the league and won three of their four games before the international break. So it’s all smiles at the Vitality and they will be expecting more out of this south coast derby. Southampton are once again in a mess having lost their last three games. Read our Bournemouth v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 15th, 2018 at 7:16 p.m.)
It has been a great season from Bournemouth so far with a W5 D1 L2 record on the board. That has been enough to see them start up again after the international break in sixth place in the table. This could be a good home game for them too as they face up to their south coast rivals who are out of form. The Cherries have won back to back games so are looking for their third straight fixture in a row.
Bournemouth have not put on a great defensive show this season but are appealing at 11/4 to win to nil* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 5:41 pm). They are undefeated at home this season with a tremendously positive W3 D1 record on the board.
They have scored at least two goals in each of their league home games as well. So in Bournemouth v Southampton betting tips a 2-0 correct score for the home side looks a decent proposition at 10/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm).
Of the ten home goals that they have come up with this season, four of them have been in the final fifteen minutes of matches. They have yet to concede a single goal in the first half of any home game this term. A Bournemouth half time win should, therefore, have some decent appeal.
The Saints have been having a tough time of things again this season and pressure is on boss Mark Hughes for sure. They have just the one victory this season and they head back into action on a three-match losing streak. The reading in that gets worse because they failed to score in any of those three losses.
Both teams not to score is at 11/10 odds for Bournemouth v Southampton predictions* (betting odds taken on October 16th, 2018 at 4:53 pm). Southampton have posted a W1 L3 record this season on their travels, having lost their last two (again without scoring) at Liverpool and the newly promoted Wolves.
They have shipped at least two goals in each of their three away defeats this season and although they avoided defeat against the Cherries last term they may have difficulties in doing so again. Southampton have scored just six goals this season, the joint third-lowest tally in the top flight so far.
Southampton collected four points from their two games against Bournemouth last season. In the six previous Premier League meetings between the two south coast sides, Southampton are W3 D2 L1 against the Cherries. Bournemouth are W1 D1 L1 in their three home games against Southampton. Two of the six Premier League meetings made it over 2.5 goals.
The Cherries are more likely to acquit themselves better to the task at hand and you can see the Saints just turning up and trying to contain. Bournemouth are bold enough in attack to break their rivals. Home win.
17th October 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints need to dig deep to try and turn the corner as they are in pretty bad shape with just the one win on the board this season. They go into this one after back to back defeats in this one and this is a tough game for them. Chelsea have dropped points in their last two league games in back to back draws. Read our Southampton v Chelsea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 3rd, 2018 at 9:14 p.m.)
The Saints are having a really rough time of things and have failed to win in three league outings now. They have suffered back to back defeats against Liverpool and Wolves and Southampton failed to hit the back of the net in either of those. Overall this season Mark Hughes has seen his troops win just once in a W1 D2 L4 record.
Their home form stands at D2 L1. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three games which leaves them vulnerable for the visit of the powerful Chelsea attack. Both teams to NOT score is at 19/20 odds* (betting odds taken on October 4th, 2018 at 5:01 pm)
After their struggles last season, Southampton are actually three points worse off than they were at this stage last term. So there is a decline from them. They have produced only the six league goals this season and just four teams have come up with fewer than that, three of those are sat in the relegation zone.
Surprisingly though, despite their lack of output, the Saints have had 14.6 shots per game on average this season so far in the Premier League, the fifth best. In context, Spurs average less than 14 per game but have scored 14. Southampton have concede an average of 13.6 shots per game against them this season
The Blues have been in great form this season in the top flight and will be defending their unbeaten start under Mauricio Sarri. The Blues have a W5 D2 record for the season, the draws have happened in their last two games against West Ham and Liverpool. The Blues are W2 D1 away from home this season in the league.
Their only failure to win away from home was in a 0-0 draw at West Ham in their last road game. Chelsea have two clean sheets in three away games. Chelsea to win to nil at 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 4th, 2018 at 5:01 pm).
Eden Hazard has been on another level this season and he is at 15/4 odds in the first goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 4th, 2018 at 5:01 pm). The Blues have conceded only the one away goal all season and that was in the second half of the match.
For your Southampton v Chelsea betting tips it may be worth looking at a Chelsea/Chelsea half-time/full-time option to push for some extra odds. They have been level at 0-0 in two of their three away games, but are facing a relatively weak Southampton side here.
There was back to back wins for Chelsea over Southampton last season and both of those successes were by a one-goal margin. The Blues are on a six-match winning streak against Southampton in all competitions. Both teams have scored in six of the last eight Premier League meetings.
Chelsea have looked so sharp and full of attacking intent that it is hard to see the Southampton defence holding out against them. Even though they are out on the road, this may be just about as routine as it gets for the Blues. Away win.
5th October 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Wolves have done really well to hold their own up in the top flight and they collected a good point at Old Trafford against Manchester United last weekend. They will be looking for three home points this weekend as they play host to Southampton. The Saints are still stuck with the just the one win this season. Read our Wolves v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 24th, 2018 at 11:52 p.m.)
Wolves have only been beaten once this season in the top flight and they are unbeaten in their last four games played (W2 D2). So they have done very well and their performance at Old Trafford last weekend in picking up a 1-1 draw with Manchester United proved that. They were good value for that tie as well. Really the only thing missing from their season would be a higher goal-output as they have only managed to score more than one goal in a game on one occasion this season.
Wolves have scored exactly one goal in each of their last four games and a Wolves 1-0 correct score is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 24th, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.). This has to be a good chance for them to improve their home form which stands at W1 D2 so far this term, beating Burnley and holding Everton and Manchester City to draws. Raul Jimenez has scored both of his goals this season on home soil and is the leading option in the anytime goalscorer market for them. Five of the six league goals they have scored have been in the second half of games.
The Saints are stuck on just the one win for the season which was out at Crystal Palace on September 1st. They suffered a 3-0 loss at Liverpool last weekend, which is no embarrassment and they were really never in the game. Their away form is W1 L2 for the term and their defeat at Anfield snapped a four-match scoring streak that they were on, which was a pretty decent return for them as they don’t look staked with a lot of goalscoring power.
They are facing a good Wolves side here and both teams not to score takes our fancy for Wolve v Southampton betting tips. That can be backed at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 24th, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.). Southampton have won just two of their last ten away games in the Premier League (D3 L5) so haven’t been good travellers at all. As a boost, they will get their top scorer Danny Ings back after missing last weekend’s game at Liverpool against his parent club.
The last time these two met ended in Wolves getting a win over the Saints in the EFL Cup. Wolves are actually on a three-match winning streak against Southampton and they are undefeated in their last five games against them in all competitions. This will be their first league meeting since the 2008/09 Championship.
Wolves have shown enough that they can get a win on the board in this one and we are going to support the home win cropping up. The Saints will get Danny Ings back but that’s unlikely to be enough to stop a Wolves win.
27th September 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It is all positives around Anfield at the moment with a strong winning start in the Premier League and a success over PSG in their opening Champions League match in midweek. They are a force to be reckoned with given their strengths and form right now. Southampton have just the one win on the board for the season and could face a tough afternoon at Anfield. Read our Liverpool v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 19th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
It has been a rocking start to the new season by Liverpool with five wins from five. They have shipped just the two goals as well so have laid down some big defensive improvements from last season. They have conceded in their last two games though, both 2-1 successes out on the road against Leicester and Tottenham. Liverpool have scored at least two goals in four of their five games this season and the Liverpool 2-0 correct score has a decent chunk of appeal at 6/1 odds for this weekend’s fixture* (Betting Odds were taken from September 19th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.). It is hard seeing them getting tripped up here.
Their two home league games have produced a 4-0 win over West Ham and a 1-0 success over Brighton. So there is the simple option of Liverpool to win to nil at 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 19th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.). Liverpool have actually kept a clean sheet in their last seven Premier League home games which is a fantastic record. They are undefeated in their last 23 home matches as well in the top flight. There is another trend with them as they have been winning at half time and full time in each of their last six games.
Not an easy game for the Saints here who are looking for just their second win of the season. Their record so far this term reads W1 D2 L2, their lone success happening out on the road against Crystal Palace. Their other away game ended in a 2-1 loss against Everton. Last weekend they played a 2-2 home draw in a south coast derby against Brighton, throwing away a good lead. Looking very much a side who are going to struggle for a high output in front of goal, they have scored exactly two goals in their last two games.
Their main performer in getting goals, Danny Ings isn’t going to be available for this one as he would be up against his parent club. So it could be Charlie Austin coming in to lead the line instead. As we don’t see them scoring in the game under 2.5 goals is well worth a flutter at 8/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 19th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.). Liverpool have more scoring power in them, but we are taking into consideration the effort of the Reds in the Champions League in midweek.
Liverpool took comfortable back to back wins over Southampton last season, both with a clean sheet. The Reds are unbeaten in four league contests against the Saints with a W2 D2 record. None of the last six meetings in all competitions have seen both teams score in a fixture. Liverpool are W3 D2 L1 in their last Premier League games against Southampton and are W2 D2 on home soil against them.
Liverpool just look unstoppable at the moment and given what we have seen from the saints so far, it is unlikely that investors are going to trip up the Reds. For our Liverpool v Southampton betting tips, we are looking at the simple Liverpool to win to nil option.
19th September 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Premier League action this weeks rounds off with a south coast battle between Southampton and Brighton. There shouldn’t be too much to choose between them either as both teams are sat level on four points each. This may not be a high scoring, high octane rollercoaster ride. Read our Southampton v Brighton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 13th, 2018 at 8:16 p.m.)
The Saints will have been mightily relieved to have picked up their first win of the season which came in a 2-0 success out at Crystal Palace just before the international break. That moved them on to four points from their four games for the season. Their two home performances have yielded just the one point which was in a 0-0 draw against Burnley right at the start of the season. Southampton are not a side in great home form at all as they have failed to win 12 of their last 13 home games in the Premier League now. Because we see the win over Palace doing the Saints a power of good though, Southampton to win by a 1 goal margin is at 13/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 13th, 2018 at 8:16 p.m.)
Boss Mark Hughes pretty much has a full squad to choose from and whichever way this swings we can only see it going under 2.5 goals and that is an 8/13 odds option at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on September 13th, 2018 at 8:16 p.m.). Each of the last three between these two have gone under the line. It is still hard to see how Southampton are actually going to get a lot of goals on the board this season. Danny Ings has two of their three league goals this term. All four of their goals this season have come in the second half of matches so the half time draw should have big appeal.
Brighton have put four points on the board in the Premier League this season but all of those points were delivered on home soil with a win over Manchester United and then a draw against Fulham just before the international break. So they have found some nice form and scoring at the Amex but the story on the road is totally different for them. They are without a point and without a single goal away from home. Both teams to NOT score is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on September 13th, 2018 at 8:16 p.m.). Both of Brighton’s away games this season have ended up that way.
Brighton are without a win in any of their last fifteen away games in the Premier League now and we spot a trend in their games. They have been losing at half time and at full time in each of their last four road games in the top flight. A Southampton/Southampton half time/full time bet is at 5/2 odds and is one of our top Southampton v Brighton betting tips. Their defence has been a concern as they have conceded exactly two goals in three of their four games played this term.
The two south coast rivals have met already this season with the Saints taking a 1-0 EFL Cup win at Brighton. There were 1-1 draws in both league meetings between them last season and those were the first games between them since the 2011/12 Champions League. Both teams have scored in just three of the last seven classes. Southampton are unbeaten in three on home soil against the Seagulls (W1 D2).
Brighton have done well this season to collect the points they have done, but those were on home soil. We have to roll with the Saints collecting a narrow win in this one. So for our Southampton v Brighton betting tips, we are going with a Southampton to win by a one-goal margin effort.
15th September 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Eagles are stuck on just the three points for the season having now suffered back to back defeats. So they will want to stop the rot as quickly as possible. As expected there has been a low output from Southampton so far who have managed to pick up just the one point so far and have been struggling as an offensive unit. Read our Crystal Palace v Southampton betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 19/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Eagles need to snap their losing streak having suffered back to back losses against Liverpool and then Watford. Of the three league goals that the Eagles have scored this season Wilfried Zaha has two of them and he is the 7/4 joint anytime goalscorer favourite for this one alongside teammate Christian Benteke who is yet to get off the mark* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). All three of Palace’s goals this season have come from open play. This will be just the second home game for Palace this season having battled well but still losing a tough fixture against Liverpool there. It was a 2-1 loss out at Watford for them last weekend.
They will get defender Aaron Wan-Bissaka back after his ban but they are missing Pape Souare and Scott Dann. Surprisingly the Eagles haven’t actually averaged as many shots per game as Southampton had done this season but regardless of that, they have scored one goal more than Saturdays’ opponents this term. We don’t see a lot of goals flying around in his one and under 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). Palace were on a three-match winning streak in the league at home before that recent loss against Liverpool there. They finished last season with a W7 D5 L7 record at Selhurst Park.
The Saints are on the hunt for their first win of the season. They opened with a home draw against Burnley and then suffered back to back defeats against Leicester. Both losses were by a one-goal margin. A Crystal Palace 1-0 correct score for this one is at 17/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.) and it’s not too easy to see how the Saints are going to come up with a win in this one at all.
Southampton have now failed to win 25 of their last 28 games in the Premier League. A failure to do so in this one surely has to leave boss Mark Hughes under pressure and he is at 9/2 in the Premier League Next Manager To Go market* (Betting Odds were taken from August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). The Saints won just three-times on their travels last season and they averaged under a goal per game away from St Mary’s. Nothing much seems to have changed.
There was an away win in both meetings last season and both of those wins were by a one-goal margin only. Things are just set evenly over the last six league meetings with three wins each. Southampton have won three of their last four home games against Palace in all competitions and surprisingly three of the last four meetings between them in the Premier League have actually produced over 2.5 goals.
The Eagles get our nod in the match outright as our simple betting tip for the Crystal Palace v Southampton game. They just have more about them going forward, they will get stuck in more and Wilfried Zaha could simply be the difference. Home win.
30th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton are on the hunt for their first win of the season having collected just eat one point from their two games played so far. Not the strongest start then from them and they will get at tricky home game on the weekend. Leicester gave themselves a big boost with a solid home win over the newly promoted Wolves in the Midlands derby last weekend. They won’t have Jamie Vardy though after his red card. Read our Southampton v Leicester betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 21st, 2018 at 11:19 p.m.)
The output from Southampton this season does look as if it is going to be low on the evidence of their opening couple of games. After a 0-0 draw at home against Burnley on the opening weekend, the Saints suffered a 2-1 loss at Everton last weekend having been 2-0 down at the break. It was Danny Ings who got their consolation goal in the game and he is at 11/5 odds for this one in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken on August 21st, 2018 at 11:19 p.m.). Only teammate Charlie Austin in a shorter price in the market. The Saints still have doubts over their summer signings Mohamed Elyounoussi and Jannik Vestergaard who didn’t play last weekend. Punters will have a tough time getting behind the Saints who have failed to win 11 of their last 12 league home games.
They have actually produced more shots on average per game than Leicester have done this season, but the accuracy up front hasn’t been there. Their pass success rate has been low as well, under 70% per game on average. Their goal last weekend came from a set piece and they haven’t been afraid to launch long balls and indeed, long shots. Southampton had a tough time of things on home soil last season in the Premier League as they picked up just a W4 D7 L8 record at St Mary’s and they scored 20 goals in their 19 home games. We have to roll with under 2.5 goals for our Southampton v Leicester prediction which is at 8/13 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 21st, 2018 at 11:19 p.m.).
Leicester will be without Jamie Vardy who launched a horror tackle last weekend as the Foxes beat Wolves in a Midlands derby. That is a significant loss for them. Vardy was already on the scoreboard for the season as he scored in their 2-1 loss at Man Utd on the opening weekend of the season. Their goals last weekend came from an own goal and summer signings James Maddison. With Vardy out it is likely going to be Kelechi Iheanacho leading the line for the Foxes and he is an 11/5 odds anytime goalscorer option* (Betting Odds were taken on August 21st, 2018 at 11:19 p.m.). As well as Vardy missing, the Foxes are missing Caglar Söyüncü and Shinji Okazaki because of lack of match fitness, while Matty James is sidelined through injury. Leicester are actually on a four-match losing streak on the road in the Premier League.
The Foxes have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four away games and even though there have been over 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight road games, that’s hard to back in this one. Last season Leicester produced a pretty poor W5 D5 L9 record away from the King Power and boss Claude Puel has been under some pressure. So he will at least be relieved by their three points last weekend. Leicester were level at halftime in eleven of their away games last season and because we expect this game at St Marys to be tight, a half-time draw at even money with bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 21st, 2018 at 11:19 p.m.) is a nice little option for our Southampton v Leicester betting tips.
Leicester collected four points from their two meetings with Southampton last season in the Premier League, including a big 4-1 win at St Marys. In the last six Premier League meetings the Foxes just shade things with a W2 D2 L1 record over the Saints and they are W1 D1 L1 in their last three trips to the South Coast to meet them. Both teams have scored in just one of the last five league meetings.
There really hasn’t been too much to choose between the two of them in recent meetings, but because Leicester are offering a little more in terms of offences, then we just have to roll with the Foxes getting a nice away win on the board for themselves.
25th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Toffees battled out a point against the newly promoted Wolves on the opening weekend of the season. That was out on the road so they will get their first taste of action at Goodison Park in this one. They will be taking on a Southampton side who also drew their opening game of the season, a somewhat predictable 0-0 draw against Burnley. Read our Everton v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 16th, 2018 at 4:13 p.m.)
It was just a point for Everton out at Wolves last weekend in an exciting 2-2 draw. They had Phil Jagielka sent off in the game so they are forced into a chance at the back. Richarlison, who got both of Everton’s goals in the game picked up a calf injury so is a bit of a doubt for this one. The Toffees have made a lot of changes over the summer under new manager Marco Silva and it’s going to take time for it all to come together. Everton striker Cenk Tosun is the 8/5 anytime goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds were taken on August 16th, 2018 at 4:13 p.m.) and does look as if he could have a profitable season for the Toffees.
Everton picked up a fairly decent home record last season of W10 D4 L5 and while they never recorded a home win against any of the seven sides who finished above them, they posted a W10 D2 record in their home games against the dozen sides who finished beneath them. Everton are undefeated in their last 12 home games against the Saints in all competitions and as there have been under 2.5 goals in each of Everton’s last three Premier League home games, we are going to look at the trend continuing. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 16th, 2018 at 4:13 p.m.).
The Saints could only manage a home draw against Burnley last weekend, which was really no great shock. We can see Southampton once against struggling for goals and both teams not to score at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 16th, 2018 at 4:13 p.m.). Southampton had a miserable time of things on the road last season, posting just the three wins away from St Marys (D8 L8). Along with a clean sheet in just 26% of their away games, they averaged just 0.9 goals per away game. Not enough was done over the summer to really change their output, although Mohamed Elyounoussi did have a decent debut against Burnley off the bench.
The Saints didn’t have a bad game at the back with Alex McCarthy between the sticks last weekend, but that was against a somewhat limited Burnley attack. So that really has to be taken into context. There will just be doubts about their ability to do enough pushing forward. In the bet365 correct score market an Everton 1-0 is right there at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 16th, 2018 at 4:13 p.m.) heading up the market.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two at Goodison Park last season and that was after Southampton have picked up a resounding home win against the Toffees. Three of the four meetings between the two sides in the top flight have ended in a home win. In the last six league meetings, things are even with two wins each and the two drawn matches. Both draws in that sequence were 1-1 ties.
We can really only expect more of the same from these two really and we are going to stick with the draw outcome to happen. Everton are on a long unbeaten run of home form against the Saints but are going to take time to settle under Silva and with all the new players. We are backing the Saints to get a point.
16th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It wasn’t a particularly good season from Southampton last season and it will be interesting to see what they can churn out this go around. They didn’t have a great time of things at St Mary’s and that could leave them at risk. Burnley have already been sharpening their teeth this season with participation in the Europa League qualifiers and may just be that little bit sharper.
* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.)
Southampton finished just above the drop zone in the Premier League last season and won just four times at home. It was a really poor return and even though Mark Hughes, who they have kept on, came in to try and rescue them, wins were still few and far between. They do have a fairly comfortable start to the season in terms of fixtures but all that they have done in the transfer market is bring in keeper Angus Gunn and defender Jannik Vestergaard. That really doesn’t do a great deal to improve their overall balance and the outlook for the season ahead and for this opener at St Mary’s we can only look under 1.5 goals at 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.). It’s hard to see the goals flying around in this one.
Each of Southampton’s final three games of last season went under 2.5 goals and five of their last six against Burnley in all competitions have gone that way. The Saints struggled to an average of less than a goal per game overall last season in the Premier League and haven’t done much about fixing it other than Danny Ings coming in on a loan deal and Mohamed Elyounoussi on the left. So there naturally is going to be some pressure on them in this one because of that because they will be facing a team who are defensively so well drilled. The positive is, is that they don’t have any injury problems ahead of the new season. The Saints have failed to win all but one of their last eleven Premier League home games.
Burnley have already had a busy summer with their Europa League qualification campaign going on. They were in action on Thursday night, playing out a solid 0-0 draw out in Israel against Istanbul Basaksehir. They gave a club debut to Joe Hart between the sticks too after his summer move and he looked pretty solid. There is going to be a bit of a balancing act for boss Sean Dyche to do here, maybe changing up the side a bit from the one which played in midweek. For example, they didn’t use record signing Ben Gibson on Thursday and neither did striker Matej Vydra who looks as if he could be a great capture for the Clarets. In the bet365 correct score market a Burnley 1-0 is at 10/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.) and it’s hard to see an away win happening by any other scoreline.
Burnley failed to win any of their final five games of last season and surprisingly they did slip back a bit as there was over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Burnley’s final ten games. But they are fresh again now and we expect them to be tight. They did concede a goal in both legs of their Europa League tie against Aberdeen but they looked so much stronger and more like themselves on Thursday out in Israel. The Clarets collected a W7 D7 L5 record on the road last season which was a great return and helped them bank that seventh-place finish in the table. They netted just the 20 goals in their 19 road games though.
As expected there were two low scoring games between Southampton and Burnley last season. The Clarets collected four points from the two games though, getting the win at St Marys. The Clarets are unbeaten (W2D1) in their last three Premier League games against the Saints but they have lost two of their three previous Premier League trips to the south coast. Five of the six previous meetings in the Premier League ended under 2.5 goals.
Southampton struggled last season and we see an opportunity for the Clarets to show up and sting them in this one. Burnley will have a slight edge in terms of match sharpness and they can make it count in a low scoring game. A Burnley 1-0 correct score isn’t without its appeal in Southampton v Burnley betting tips.
10th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton got the job done by collecting three points at Swansea in midweek which gives them a great cushion of a nine-point goal difference over the Swans. This was always going to be a tough finish for them and the job for them will not be to lose heavily. Manchester City picked up a win over Brighton in midweek in their final home game.
Man City 2/5, Draw 15/4, Southampton 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 9th, 2018)
Southampton are pretty much safe for the season. They would have to lose this heavily and have Swansea heavily beat Stoke on the final day of the season to take a tumble down a tier. The Saints are just W4 D7 L7 at home this season and they have won just one of their last ten at St Mary’s. The lone win in that sequence did happen in their last home match though as edged out south coast rivals Bournemouth at the end of April. Overall home and away the Saints are unbeaten in four (W2 D2) and they took a win of huge importance out at Swansea in midweek to put them on the brink of survival. Southampton have produced 20 goals in 18 home games this season and they will probably be thankful that Manchester City have already won the title and had their celebrations. That will increase the chances of the visitors being off-key. Just 29% of Southampton’s home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals but as this is Man City regardless of their focus over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). Only West Brom have a worse home record than Southampton do this season and while a win for them is not too likely, all the same, they just don’t have to lose by much.
The Citizens eased their way past Brighton in their final home match of the season in midweek, giving Yaya Toure a good send off. The Citizens are W4 D1 in their last five games and their away form is a five-match winning streak. Overall their away record for the season stands at W15 D2 L1. The goals are still flowing from them as they have scored at least three goals in five of their last seven games played and in the bet365 correct score market a Manchester City 2-0 is at 15/2 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.) the joint shortest-price along with a 2-1 success for them. Away from home specifically they have scored at least three goals in each of their last five and a Man City 3-0 is at 11/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). Manchester City have averaged 2.4 goals per away game this season and they have been tight at the back with a clean sheet in 50% of their road games and conceding at well under a goal per game on average. They are unbeaten in six away from home and have scored in each of their last seven road game. City have already broken the record for most goals and most points in a single Premier League season.
Southampton did alright at the Etihad earlier in the season only taking a 2-1 loss but that is back to back defeats against the Citizens now in the top flight. In the last five Premier League meetings between the two clubs, Southampton are W1 D1 L3 against the Citizens. Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings and the Saints are W2 D1 L2 in their last five home games against Manchester City.
Manchester City are enjoying themselves still at the end of the season and will be relaxed enough on the south coast. Southampton basically just have to watch how many goals they concede on the day to just make sure of their survival. Away win and under 2.5 goals.
11th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting