Southampton are still doing enough to keep themselves out of the drop zone after playing out a 1-1 away draw at Burnley last weekend. Next up for them is Cardiff who are still in the bottom three, but the Welsh club gave themselves a huge lift last time out as they managed to take a victory at home over Bournemouth. Read our Southampton v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
Southampton are still trending well towards safety as they are now five matches undefeated in the Premier League. They played out a somewhat controversial 1-1 draw against Burnley last weekend, which leaves them with back-to-back results in the EPL by that very scoreline. Their home form still leaves a lot to be desired in terms of successes as they are only at W2 D6 L4 at St Marys this season in the top flight. But they have earned four points from their last two league home games, with a win over Everton and a draw against Crystal Palace. There are certainly making themselves a lot harder to beat.
There are still some defensive issues their because they have no clean sheet in their last four games and just one in their last 15 league fixtures. Southampton have drawn all four home games played this season against sides currently 13th or lower in the table. The Saints have averaged just over a goal per game at home this season and 67% of their league fixtures at St Mary’s have ended up over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in all but one of Southampton’s last eight Premier League games.
Cardiff have won their last two against Southampton by a 1-0 scoreline
The Saints are W1 D1 L3 in their last five against Cardiff
Four of the last six meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Three of the last four meetings at St Mary’s have ended in a 1-0 scoreline
Cardiff beat Bournemouth 2-0 last time out which was a very welcome three points for them. It snapped a four-match sequence where they normally managed to pick up the one point. It has been a very tough season for the Bluebirds away from home in the top flight. They have managed to earn just a W1 D2 L9 record so far. The only positive to take from that is that all of their away points have been earned against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. Cardiff have scored just seven league away goals this season.
The Bluebirds have been struggling for goals lately as they have failed to score in four of their last seven. Across their 12 away league games, Cardiff have conceded 23 goals in total. They have picked up a clean sheet in 25% of the road games. Cardiff, however have conceded at least two goals in their last two away fixtures. Four of the six league victories that Cardiff have earned the season have only been by the one-goal margin. The second half periods of their away games have certainly been busier. Cardiff have scored 86% of their away goals after the half-time break, while they have conceded 70% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures. Only Fulham have a worse away record then Cardiff to this term
Even though Cardiff have a bit of head-to-head form against Southampton, we are going to lean on the Saints to improve their situation from this game. It will probably be a tight low scoring affair. Southampton to win to nil option looks a solid proposition.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Burnley and Southampton picked up draws in their midweek action. The Clarets very nearly got themselves a fantastic three points at Old Trafford but just couldn’t hold on. Southampton collected a point in an evenly matched home duel with Crystal Palace. Read our Burnley v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
The Clarets came so close to collecting a victory out at Manchester United on Tuesday night. Going into the final 10 mins of the game they were 2-0 ahead but just couldn’t hold out in the end. They had to settle for a share of the spoils. But still that was a big point and for them, as it extended their unbeaten streak of league form to 5 matches. It was the fourth time in their last five league games in which Burnley had scored exactly 2 goals. Burnley are on a two-match winning streak at home where they have posted a W4 D1 L6 record this season.
All four of Burnley’s home victories this season have been against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. The Clarets have scored an average of 1.3 goals per home game this season. 45% of league fixtures at Turf Moor this term have ended up over 3.5 goals. In their home campaign, Burnley have taken a clean sheet in 27% of their fixtures and two of those have been in their last four home games. Of the 14 goals which they have produced at home in the EPL, 11 of them have been in the first half of matches.
There was a 0-0 draw at St Mary’s between them back in August
That is back to back league draws between them
Each of the last four meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Burnley are W2 D1 in their three previous EPL home games against the Saints
Southampton earned a point towards their survival on Wednesday evening as they played out at home draw against Crystal Palace. That leaves Southampton on a four-match undefeated streak of form now in the Premier League, winning two of those. They are currently unbeaten in three away games, winning two of those out at Leicester and Huddersfield.
The draw in that most recent sequence of away games was a very well earned point at Chelsea. Overall this season, Southampton are W3 D2 L7 on their travels. It has been a transformation of their season and while still not particularly clear of the drop zone, their survival hopes certainly look a lot better than they did before they changed managers.
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home this season and they have scored five in their last three away, which again includes their 0-0 draw at Chelsea. Southampton have taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their away fixtures this season. A third of their away games have ended over 3.5 goals.
Southampton are still struggling for clean sheets as they have taken only the one in their last 14 played now (home and away combined). At this stage of the season, going up against a side who are very close to them in the league standings, even avoiding defeat can be seen as a victory.
This is probably going to be an evenly matched fixture so the only thing to split them up could be the home advantage. Burnley have been coming up with the goals and better form recently. They may be able to bag themselves a good three points.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints have really done ever so well to give themselves a good shot at survival. They will be looking for their third win in a row as they play host to Crystal Palace on Tuesday night. The Eagles are on a slide after back to back defeats and are level on points with Southampton. and our Southampton v Crystal Palace betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 25th, 2019 at 11:54 p.m.)
What a turnaround in Southampton’s season it has been since their managerial change. The Saints are undefeated in their last three games, having won the last two back-to-back. Both of those wins were 2-1 scoreline victories over Leicester and then Everton. At home, this season Southampton are W-2 D5 L4. Both home wins have both been inside their last four home fixtures and were against Arsenal and then Everton. Southampton have totalled 13 goals at home this season, conceding 18. 73% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Southampton have earned a clean sheet in 18% of their home games this season, but both teams have scored 73% of games at St Mary’s. The Saints are currently on a six-match scoring streak at home, but on the flip side of that, they have conceded in each of their last six as well. Each of the last five EPL fixtures at St Mary’s have ended up over 2.5 goals so there is a trend there. Southampton have conceded 61% of their home goals this season in the second half of matches.
The Saints took a 2-0 win at Selhurst Park in September
The Saints are W3 L1 in their last four EPL games against Palace
Palace have lost six of their last seven League visits to St Marys
Both teams have scored in two of the five League meetings
While they have had some tough fixtures lately, Crystal Palace are starting to slide back towards the Premier League drop zone. A 4-3 loss at Liverpool in their last League fixture has seen them lose three of their last four played (W1). Overall this season Crystal Palace have taken a W4 D1 L7 record on their travels. They had put together back-to-back away League victories over Manchester City and Wolves before losing at Anfield in their last game. In total Crystal Palace have scored 17 goals on their travels this season, conceding 21.
442% of Crystal Palace’s away games so far have ended up over 3.5 goals. The Eagles have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their away games and have actually only failed to score in two road fixtures this season. They are on a five-match scoring streak away from Selhurst Park at the moment. Palace have actually scored at least two goals in each of their last four League away games. Palace have conceded 71% of away goals in the second half of matches, while they have scored 65% of their road goals after the halftime break. Their survival seems to be heavily reliant on their away form.
The Saints are improving while Palace, despite some really spirited efforts are going in the other direction. It could be another great chance for Southampton to come up with some big survival points for themselves, especially after resting on the weekend.
28th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints collected an important three points last weekend with a surprise away win at Leicester. That life them out of the drop zone and up into sixteenth. Can They build no that? Everton dug out a tough home win over Bournemouth but still haven’t been carrying a great deal of form. Read our Southampton v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Saints dug out a big three points out at Leicester last weekend
That is four points from their last two league games
Still, their home form leaves a lot to be desired at W1 D5 L4 this season
Southampton had to play an FA Cup replay against Derby in midweek
The Saints have lost their last two home games, conceding five goals in total
They have produced 11 goals on home soil this season, conceding 17
In total, they have come up with two clean sheets at St Mary’s
70% of league games at St Mary’s have gone over 2.5 goals
Of the 11 home goals, 7 of them have been scored in the first period of matches
Southampton have no clean sheet in their last five at home in the EPL
In fact, the Saints have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four home games
Newcastle and Huddersfield are the only two sides with worse home records than Southampton in the top flight
The Saints start the weekend now one point clear of the relegation zone
Everton took a 2-1 league home win over the Saints back in mid-August
Southampton won this co fixture last season through 4-1
Both teams have scored in four of the last ten meetings
The Saints have won their last two at home against the Toffees in the EPL
The Toffees earned a 2-0 home win over Bournemouth last Sunday
That leaves them at W2 D2 L4 in their last eight league games
Overall this season they have produced just two away wins (W2 D3 L5)
They have scored 13 and have conceded 15 goals on their travels
Five of their thirteen away goals came in a recent win at Burnley
Everton have lost three of their last four on the road (W1)
They have managed just the one win in their last six road games in the top flight
60% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals
The Toffees have produced only the one clean sheet this season away from home
Everton’s half time away record is W1 D7 L2 this season
Five of their half time away scores have been 0-0
They have conceded two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of away games
Each of their last three league games have gone under 2.5 goals (home and away)
The draw is the most appealing option in the match outright here. The Saints had extra midweek work in the FA Cup which could work against them. Everton haven’t been great on the road and may just find the Saints too tough to crack. Draw.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There could be another tight duel between the two sides as they look for a place in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Southampton survived a tricky away test at Pride Park, now can they make the most of home soil advantage? The winner makes a trip to League One side Accrington in the next round. Read our Southampton v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 13th, 2019 at 4:47 p.m.)
The Saints earned a great 2-1 away win at Leicester on the weekend to give their survival hopes in the Premier League a massive boost. That is a three-match undefeated streak of form that they are on now. In the middle of that streak was their 2-2 draw at Derby in this FA Cup third round tie. Twice the Saints took the lead at Pride Park but they were pegged back on both occasions. Nathan Redmond got both of Southampton’s goals in the game.
The Saints didn’t take the game lightly in terms of sending out an understrength side, which was nice to see. Can they finish this tie at home? The Saints have won just the one home game all season and have lost their last two there. Each of their last four home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Overall Southampton are W1 D5 L4 on home soil this term. They have just the two clean sheets but have netted in each of their last five there.
The Rams suffered a 2-0 away defeat at league leaders Leeds in Championship action on Friday. So they have at least had a little extra rest. Frank Lampard’s troops have just been struggling for form as they have taken just the one win in their last seven games now in all competitions (D4 L2). So they have gone off the boil a bit. Their promotion push at the end of the day is always going to be more important than the FA Cup.
Derby have alternated between a loss and a win in their last seven away games. Next in the sequence would be a win. The Rams have netted in all but one of their last ten games on the road, so that is a positive for them. The negative in that is that they have struggled really bad for clean sheets. They have only one in their last fourteen away from Pride Park. This is their first trip St Marys since a Championship visit in 2012 which they lost 4-0.
The Saints haven’t delivered much of a season on home soil, but they seem to have a little extra in their step since their managerial change. They Could have just enough to edge their way past the visiting Derby. Home win.
14th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Foxes have won three of their last four in the top flight and they will start the weekend in seventh place. A bit more strong momentum could see them push towards Europe next season. Southampton earned a great point for themselves at Chelsea to start the new year. But the Saints remain lodged in the bottom three. Read our Leicester v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
The Foxes took a 1-0 away win at Everton on New Year’s Day
That’s three wins in their last four games now
They did suffer a reverse in their last home game, a 1-0 loss against Cardiff
Leicester are W4 D2 L4 on home soil in the EPL this season
They have only produced the 12 goals in their ten home games
But have conceded an average of a goal per game against
Only 40% of their home games this season have ended over 2.5 goals
Leicester have tallied up the three clean sheets at home so far
Leicester have been level at half time in half of their home games (W2 L3)
They are without a clean sheet in three at the King Power
Of the goals that they have conceded at home 70% of them have been in the first period
Leicester have only opened the scoring at home twice this term
Leicester won 2-1 at Southampton in August in an EPL meeting
There was a 0-0 draw then at the King Power in the EFL Cup (Foxes won on penalties)
The last three games between them at Leicester have ended 0-0
Both teams have scored in just three of the last eleven meetings
The Saints picked up a great point in a 0-0 draw at Chelsea on January 2nd
Their away form is W2 D2 L7 this season now after that
They have remained undefeated in their last two away from St Marys
Southampton have produced only then 10 away goals, conceding 21
36% of their away games this season have gone over 3.5 goals
The saints have lost six of their last eight away from home in the top flight (W1 D1)
They have earned a clean sheet in three road games this season
Southampton have been level at half time in five of their away EPL fixtures
The Saints have produced the opening goal of just three of their eleven away games
Only three teams have a worse away record in the EPL than the Saints have
In total home and away Southampton have one clean sheet in eleven league outings
The Foxes should be the ones on the front foot for most of the game and they may be able to take advantage of home soil. The Saints may just fall a little bit short and so a low scoring home win looks the best fit.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Rams will believe their chances of getting past a Premier league opponent in this one are pretty good. They have been strong at Pride Park this season in the Championship and they take eona Southampton team who have had their fair share of problems. Can the Saints survive this tricky away tie? Read our Derby v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Derby are a top six side in the Championship and they are not going to be a pushover here, not even against Premier League opposition. They are pretty solid are the Rams as they have lost just one of their last seven games. They have only suffered two defaults at Pride Park all season and one of those was on the opening weekend of the season. The Rams are unbeaten in their last four home games, but each of their last three have been drawn. But Frank Lampard’s’ troops do appear to have a decent shot at producing something good here. Last season in the third round they lost at Old Trafford against Man Utd and this could be a significantly more favourable tie. This will be their first game against Southampton since the 2011/12 Championship season. The Rams are winless in five against the Saints.
It is no secret of course about the struggles that Southampton have had this season, which saw boss Mark Hughes get the sack. To be fair to new boss Ralph Hasenhuttl things have started to look a little better for them. But they are still with that threat of relegation hanging over them at the moment and you wonder if they will really be as gung-ho about this time as Derby are going to be. This is a tricky FA Cup tie for them because their away form overall this season is just poor, for the want of a better word. It hasn’t’ really happened in front of goal for them and this will be a big test. But perhaps they can pull inspiration from their run to the semifinals last season against the odds. They do also have the head to head form against the Rams, despite not having met them for a while. How much focus do they put on this?
It is one of those times where the underdog on home soil looks a pretty decent proposition. There’s nothing wrong with Derby’s form at Pride Park and they can have a right go at this. Derby to win outright at 9/5 odds is our prediction* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 8:26 pm)
3rd January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Chelsea made it back to back Premier League wins as they collected a good three points at Selhurst Park against Crystal Palace on Sunday. That gave them a nice cushion inside the top four. They will be looking to push on against Southampton who have fallen into losing ways again. The Saints have lost their last two. Read our Chelsea v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 31st, 2018 at 1:08 a.m.)
The Blues earned a 1-0 win at Crystal Palace on Sunday
That is back to back league wins for them now
Chelsea have taken a good W4 L1 record in their last five games
Overall this season the Blues have posted a W6 D3 L1 record at home in the EPL
The Blues suffered their first home defeat of the season in their last fixture at Stamford Bridge (Leicester)
Chelsea have tallied 19 goals in ten home games, conceding just eight
Less than half of their home games have gone above 2.5 goals
Chelsea have won 30% of their home games to nil this season
Each of the last five league games at Stamford Bridge have ended under 2.5 goals
Chelsea have not been losing at the break in any home fixture this season
They have conceded 62% of their home goals in the second period of matches
The Blues have opened the scoring in all but three of their home fixtures
The Blues eased to a 3-0 win at St Mary’s in the season’s first meeting
Chelsea are on a seven-match winning streak in all competitions against Southampton
Southampton have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven against Chelsea
The Saints are on a three-match losing streak at home against the Blues
Southampton have landed back to back losses after a 3-1 defeat against Man City on Sunday
That is five defeats in their last eight Premier League fixtures (W2 D1)
Overall this season Southampton have a W2 D1 L7 record on their top-flight travels
They won their last away game which was at Huddersfield
They were a four-match losing streak away before that
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home
60% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
They have been losing at the half time break in five of their ten road games
There has been no clean sheet for Southampton in their last ten league games
They have put together a four-match scoring streak in the league though
Just three times away from home have Southampton got the first goal of a game
There are only four sides with a worse away record than that of the Saints
Only Burnley and Fulham have conceded more goals than they have
The Blues are looking a little more robust at the moment and they should get the home win. Southampton are still conceding goals and Chelsea have the quality to see them off. Chelsea to win to nil.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints had their small positive burst of form snapped in midweek as they lost against West Ham. They stay at home for the weekend when Manchester City come for a visit. The Citizens suffered another shock on Boxing day as they were uttered by Leicester, making it three defeats in four games. What next for them? Read our Southampton v Manchester City betting tips for more.
Man City 1/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 28th, 2018 at 3:00 p.m.)
The Saints suffered a 2-1 home defeat against West Ham on Thursday night
They had won back to back games against Arsenal and Huddersfield before that
Their overall home form is W1 D5 L3 for the season
Southampton have produced only the ten home goals
Six of their ten home goals have been scored in their last three at St Marys
Southampton have conceded 14 goals in their nine home fixtures
67% of games at St Marys have gone over 2.5 goals
A third of league fixtures at St Mary’s have produced at least four goals
Southampton are looking for just their third home clean sheet
They have conceded in each of their last nine EPL games
There has been no home clean sheet for Southampton in their last four
Just once this season have the Saints been behind at the half time break on home soil (W3 D5)
Southampton have conceded at least two goals in each for their last three home games
71%$ of their goals conceded at St Marys have been in the second half of fixtures
City collected a 6-1 home win over Southampton earlier this season
The Citizens are on a four-match EPL winning streak against the Saints
Southampton are winless in six league games against Man City
Five of the last seven meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Manchester City are off the boil after losing at Leicester On Boxing Day
That is a W1 L3 record in their last four Premier League games
It also means that they have lost back to back road games in the top flight
City’s defence have shipped eight goals in their last four league games
There has been no EPL clean sheet for Manchester City in their last six games
Overall this season Man City have posted a W5 D2 L2 away record
Eight of City’s last nine league games have gone over 2.5 goals
The Citizens have produced 16 away goals this season, conceding 6
Four of their six away goals conceded have been in the last two on the road
City have earned a clean sheet in 56% of their away games
Less than half of their away games have gone above 2.5 goals
Manchester City have no clean sheet in their last three away games
They have scored 62% of away goals in the first half of matches
Their half time record on their travels is at W5 D3 L1
The Citizens have opened the scoring in six of their nine away games
City are the top scorers in the league this season and only Liverpool have conceded fewer
It’s not happening for Manchester City. They are looking nervous at the back. Will Southampton have enough punch going forward to take them down? Even with their drop in form, Man City should still win this one. But look at the Man City to win & both teams to score option.
29th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints have landed back to back league wins after beating Huddersfield in a big basement scrap on the weekend. So their future is starting to look a little brighter. They get a home game against West Ham on Thursday. The Hammers had their four-match winning streak snapped in a loss against Watford on the weekend. Read our Southampton v West Ham betting tips for more.
West Ham 11/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 2:12 p.m.)
Southampton collected a 3-1 win at Huddersfield on the weekend
That left them with back to back league wins after winning one of their first sixteen
Their home form for the season is W1 D5 L2
The Saints collected a surprise 3-2 win over Arsenal in their last home game
Southampton are on a four-match undefeated streak at home (W1 D3)
They have tallied the nine goals in their eight home fixtures this season
62% of league games at St Mary’s have gone over 2.5 goals
A quarter of league games at St Mary’s this season have been over 2.5 goals at half time
The Saints are without a top-flight clean sheet in eight
They have scored in each of their last three home games
Southampton have been trailing at the midway point of just one home game this term
The Saints have scored two-thirds of their home goals in the first half of games
They have conceded two-thirds of their home goals in the second half
Southampton have actually scored first in five of their eight home games
Only three sides have a worse EPL defensive record than Southampton this season
Southampton and West Ham traded home wins in last season’s EPL
Things are even with three wins each in the last six league clashes
Five of the last six clashes have gone over 2.5 goals
Southampton have lost just one of their last nine at home against West Ham
The Hammers suffered a 2-0 loss at Watford on the weekend
They had been on a four-match winning streak before that
The Irons are W3 D2 L3 this season on their Premier League travels
They have scored 11 and conceded 11 in their away games
50% of their away games have gone above the 2.5 goal line
The Hammers have won their last two away games, both to nil
Those are their only two clean sheets away from home this season
They have remained undefeated in their last four on the road (W2 D2)
Five of West Ham’s seven league wins this season have been by a two-goal margin
They are on a four-match scoring streak away from home
The London club have scored 64% of their away goals in the first half of games
Home and away combined West Ham have suffered two defeats in their last nine
The Saints have to have a decent chance of coming up with something. They have started scoring and confidence will be back with them. West Ham are in pretty decent shape though and we like the look of the draw in the match outright.
26th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting