Newcastle start the weekend seven points clear of the drop zone so should be comfortably safe at the end of the season. Southampton have done a brilliant job lately as well of easing some relegation concerns. They are five points clear of the drop zone heading into the weekend. Read our Newcastle v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 11:57 p.m.)
The Magpies got a great three points in an away win at Leicester last time out. On home soil they were on a fantastic five-match winning streak of form before toppled in their last home fixture, which was against Crystal Palace. The overall home form of Newcastle this season is W7 D1 L9. Of their home defeats this season, six of them have happened against teams currently in the top eight. So that may put them in decent stead for this one against the Saints who are at the other end of the table.
Newcastle have been a bit of a goal-shy team this season, and they have scored 19 goals in their 17 home fixtures. But they haven’t done all that bad at the back really. Three of their last five wins on home soil have been with a clean sheet. They have tallied a clean sheet in 29% of their home fixtures this season. Both teams have scored in just 41% of Newcastle’s home games. Four of Newcastle’s seven home wins have been by a one-goal margin and they have scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches.
There was a 0-0 draw at St Mary’s between them earlier this season
Newcastle are undefeated in three against Southampton
Newcastle won this corresponding fixture last season 3-0
The Saints have won only one of their last fourteen trips to St James’ Park
The Saints ran out 3-1 winners at home over Wolves last time out, which was a big lift for them. That is three wins in their last four games played now and then once exception in that sequence was a defeat against Liverpool. Southampton did win their last away game, which was out at Brighton, but they were winless in three before that (D1 L2). The Saints have managed to pick up just the four away successes this season in the top flight.
But their away form has improved over the second half of the season going D2 D2 L2 in their six road games in 2019. Their overall away form is W4 D3 L9 this season, just to show how much their away form has picked up. The Saints average exactly one goal per away game this season, but they have conceded heavily at an average of 1.75 per fixture. Home and away in the league, the Saints have scored in their last six games and they will be backing themselves to have enough to at least avoid defeat in this one.
You would imagine that neither of these would really be disappointed with a drawn outcome here. It could nudge them both further towards safety. It’s not a game either would want to lose on the other hands, so this may just be a stalemate. Draw.
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Saints suffered a home defeat against Liverpool last weekend but put in another decent shift. They will be hoping for a slightly easier time of things as they play host to Wolves on the weekend. They need a boost too, sitting just five points above the drop zone. How much will that epic FA Cup semi-final loss have taken out of Wolves? Read our Southampton v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 9th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
There is still a bit of pressure on Southampton at the moment as they start the weekend five points above the drop zone. They put in a good display last time out on home soil against Liverpool but ended up losing 3-1 after having taken the lead in the game. Southampton have won three of their last five league fixtures and two of those were at St Mary’s. The Saints have only won four home games this season (D6 L6) but they have been producing much better their recently. Southampton are currently on an 11 match scoring streak on home soil in the top flight.
Southampton average 1.25 goals per home games this season and 69% of all games at St Mary’s in the top flight have made it over 2.5 goals this term. Southampton have taken a clean sheet in 19% of home games, while both teams have scored 75% of all of Southampton’s home fixtures. Three of their four wins on home soil this season have been by a one-goal margin. In nine of 16 home games, this season Southampton have managed to open the scoring. Still, there are only three teams with a worse home record in the top flight than Southampton.
Wolves were 2-0 home winners over Southampton earlier this season
Wolves are on a four-match winning streak against the Saints
Both teams have scored in just two of the last ten meetings
The Saints have lost just one of their last five league home games against Wolves (W2 D2)
Last weekend Wolves looked as if they were on their way to an FA Cup final appearance, leading Watford 2-0 at Wembley with 10 min on the clock. But then they suffered a late collapse only to lose in extra time against the Hornets. That was an exhausting game for Wolves and it must have taken something out of them both physically and mentally. That was such a disappointment from the position which they have played themselves into. Out on the road in the Premier League, this season Wolves have produced a W5 D5 L6 record.
Wolves are currently winless in their last four road games, losing two of those. They have averaged exactly a goal per game on their travels this season while they have conceded at an average of just 1.2 goals per road games. 31% of all of Wolves away games this season have finished over 2.5 goals only. Wolves have claimed a clean sheet in 12% of away games this season and they have conceded in each of their last 12 on their travels. Wolves have scored 69% of their away goals this season in the second half of matches.
The Saints look a bit of value to go and get the win on the board here. They have been playing so much better lately and that Wembley loss has to taken something out of Wolves, physically and mentally. Home win.
10th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Liverpool will look to get their title challenge more points as they step out at St Mary’s against Southampton on Friday night. With Man City in FA Cup action on the weekend, Liverpool will again find themselves a game ahead of the Citizens. Southampton gave their survival hopes a boost last weekend with a win over Brighton. Read our Southampton v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 2nd, 2019 at 3:55 p.m.)
The Saints battled to a 1-0 win at Brighton last weekend. That was a tremendous result for them as it nudged them away from the drop zone. It was also their third win in their last four league games too. They had a huge success in their last home game, getting three points off of the visiting Tottenham. That is back to back home wins that the Saints have now recorded in the top flight. Overall this season they have only won four on home soil (D6 L5) so there has been a marked improvement recently. Getting something out of this game would be huge for them.
The Saints have scored in each of their last ten at home, so have that going for them too. Two-thirds of Southampton’s home games this term have made it over the 2.5 goal line. The Saints have conceded at an average of 1.5 goals per game, only picking up the three clean sheets at St Marys this season. Both teams have scored in 73% of Southampton’s home games. Just three teams have a worse home record than Southampton have in this season’s top flight, but there have been drastic recent improvements.
Liverpool took a 3-0 home win over Southampton in September
The Reds are on a three-match winning streak over the Saints
Both teams have scored in none of the last seven meetings
The Saints are winless in five against Liverpool in the league
Is fate on Liverpool’s side in the title race? Last weekend they were outplayed at home by Tottenham in the second half of their fixture, but then the Reds still managed to get all three points thanks to a late own goal by the Lilywhites. That moved Liverpool on to a three-match winning streak in the league and continued their good home form. However, they have only won two of their last five away from Anfield in the top flight (W1 L1) and that is where they have been feeling the pressure in this title race. Their last two away wins have been by a one-goal margin over Brighton and Fulham.
Liverpool are W10 D5 L1 this season on their travels, but they have won all six away games played against sides lower than 12th place in the division. The Reds have averaged 1.6 goals per away game this season, with only nine goal conceded. Less than half of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals because they have been so tight at the back. Liverpool have claimed a clean sheet in 50% of their road fixtures. The Reds have scored 65% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Liverpool have opened the scoring in 11 of their 16 away games. No team has conceded fewer league goals than Liverpool.
Recent meetings between these two have been fairly tight and more could be expected on Friday night. It’s just about getting the job done for Liverpool at this stage of the season. Back the visitors to grind out a one-goal margin win.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton have won back to back league games to bolster their chances of staying up this season. This is a big south coast clash now against Southampton who are one place beneath them. The Saints are three points adrift of the Seagulls only in the bottom six. There’s a massive three points up for grabs. Read our Brighton v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 24th, 2019 at 10:18 p.m.)
Brighton have taken back to back league wins over Huddersfield and Crystal Palace. That was such a welcome relief for them after taking just two points from their seven games prior to that. That has lifted them to five points clear of the drop zone. If they were to win this against the Saints, that would be a tremendous push towards safety for the Seagulls. Brighton are at W6 D4 L4 for the season at the Amex. A win over Huddersfield in their last home game snapped a three-match winless streak on the south coast for them.
Less than half of the league games this season at the Amex have gone over 2.5 goals. Brighton have taken a clean sheet in 36% of their home fixtures, which isn’t bad. They have two in their last three as well. Brighton have come up with 17 goals in their 14 home fixtures. They are currently on a four-match scoring streak in the league and five of their six home wins have been by a one-goal margin only. The Seagulls have opened the scoring in exactly half of their home fixtures this season.
Brighton earned a point in a 2-2 draw at St Marys this season
Three of the last four meetings have ended in a draw
Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings
The Saints are W23 D13 L8 in the head to head
The Saints need these points to pull level with Brighton then. Southampton pulled off a shock three-points last time out as they toppled Tottenham 2-1 at St Marys. While their home form has been good, they have lost their last two on the road and they are winless in three on their travels. To be fair the away defeats in what sequence were at Arsenal and Manchester United. But this season, Southampton have lost away at two of the bottom three too (Cardiff and Fulham). Their overall away record is W3 D3 L9.
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home this season, but they have conceded at an average of 1.9 on the road. They have managed to pick up a clean sheet in 20% of their road games this season, with 53% of Southampton’s away games ending over 2.5 goals. Southampton have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last four away home, connecting at least two goals in their last two. This is absolutely massive for them. What can give them hope is that they have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last three played, home and away.
The Saints have gotten some good results recently and will be a threat in this one. That means Brighton have to be positive because they will be challenged. The draw does look to be the most likely outcome in his one.
29th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham will be looking to arrest a slump in league form on the weekend, as they have managed just the one point from their last three games. Southampton will be digging in and trying to get some valuable salvation points on the board at St Marys. Read our Southampton v Tottenham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on 7th March 2019 at 6:07 p.m.)
Southampton put in a battling performance at Old Trafford last weekend but came away empty-handed in a 3-2 loss against Manchester United. Southampton are W3 D2 L3 in their last eight league games. However, they have only taken one victory in their last six played. Southampton have only won three home games all season (D6 L5), but they have been carrying better form at St Mary’s.
Southampton have posted a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four home games. Southampton have produced a total of 17 goals at home this season in the top flight, which is an average of 1.2 per game. They are currently on a nine-match scoring streak at St Marys.
Southampton have being level at the halftime break in seven home games this season, having opened the scoring in eight of their 14 home fixtures. They have had trouble closing it games and defending leads. Southampton have earned only one clean sheet in their last eight top-flight games, home and away.
At St Mary’s, 64% of all league fixtures there have gone over 2.5 goals. Crystal Palace and Huddersfield are the only sides in the top flight currently with a worse home record than that of Southampton’s.
Spurs were 3-1 home winners over Southampton earlier this season
Tottenham are unbeaten in six league visits to Southampton (W4 D2)
Both teams have scored in each of the last six meetings
The Saints earned a 1-1 draw in last season’s corresponding fixture
Tottenham have earned one point only from their last three Premier League games. That point came from a 1-1 draw in the North London Derby against Arsenal last weekend. At the end of the match, Arsenal missed a penalty kick so Spurs were fortunate in the end to get a point on the board at the Emirates stadium.
That was the first league draw that Spurs have been involved in this season. But on their travels Tottenham have recorded a fantastic W11 D0 L4 return, however, they are currently on back-to-back defeats away from home. Those losses were at Burnley and then Chelsea, Spurs conceding exactly 2 goals in both of those games.
Spurs have produced an average of over two goals per away game this season. 67% of their away games have gone over the 2.5 goals line. Spurs have taken a clean sheet in 40% of away fixtures in the EPL this term. Six of the 11 away victories which they have recorded have been by a one-goal margin.
Tottenham have been leading at the halftime break in 9 of their 15 away games. The goals which Spurs have conceded away from home this season 76% of them have come after the halftime break. Spurs are without a clean sheet now in four top-flight games, home and away.
Southampton may not quite have enough to prevent Spurs from getting away from the South Coast without a win. Tottenham really need a boost and the presence of Harry Kane may just help them get over the line.
8th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Red Devils have some good home form behind them recently, and even with their big injury problems at the moment, will be expected to convert against Southampton. The Saints are still facing a lot of work to try and get themselves safe from the drop at the end of the season. Read our Manchester United v Southampton betting tips for more.
Manchester United 9/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 27th, 2019 at 6:06 p.m.)
The Red Devils earned a 0-0 draw at home against Liverpool in their last home fixture. That is back to back draws which they have actually taken on home turf now in the league. So they will be keen to get back to winning ways in this one.
The Red Devils are undefeated in their last eleven at Old Trafford in the top flight so there is nothing wrong with their home form. They have won six of eight (D2) games at home this season against sides currently in the bottom half of the table.
Overall their home form for the season reads W7 D5 L1. United have averaged 1.9 goals per home game this term with 77% of their home fixtures having ended above the 2.5 goal line. Their clean sheet against Liverpool last weekend was just their second in the league at home this term.
United have been winning at halftime in 7 of 13 home games in the top flight. They have conceded 75% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures this term.
There was a 2-2 draw between these two at St Mary’s in December
Three of the last four league meetings have ended in a draw
The Red Devils are undefeated in five Premier League games against the Saints
Southampton are W1 D1 L1 in their last three visits to Old Trafford in the league
Southampton earned survival points at home against Fulham in midweek. The Saints suffered a 2-0 reverse out at Arsenal last weekend in their last road game. Their record in away matches this season against sides currently in the top half of the table is just D1 L6. So that doesn’t bode well for them. Their overall away record is W3 D3 L8 this season.
They were on a three-match undefeated streak of form on their travels before that defeat at Arsenal (W1 D2). Southampton have come up a bit short in front of goal away from home, having scored only 13 goals in their 14 road games. The Saints have failed to score in two of their last four on the road.
They have conceded at an average of 1.8 goals on their travels. In total, the Saints have taken a clean sheet in 21% of road games. Southampton have been trailing at the break in 6 of their 14 road games. Both teams have scored in just half of their road games.
Manchester United should have enough about them to put together a win here. They aren’t at full strength and so this may be a low scoring game. Manchester United to win to nil does have appeal.
28th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton suffered an away defeat at Arsenal on the weekend which leaves them in some relegation trouble still. They will be looking to earn a huge lift in midweek as they face up to Fulham who are stuck down in the bottom three along with them. Read our Southampton v Fulham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 24th, 2019 at 7:43 p.m.)
The revival of Southampton has just gone a little bit sour after having suffered back-to-back defeats against Cardiff and then Arsenal. It leaves Southampton winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2). The home form of the Saints is W2 D6 L5 this season. They are undefeated in their last two there after having beaten Everton and then playing out a draw with Crystal Palace. Southampton have scored 15 goals in their 13 home fixtures so far. 69% of League games at St Marys this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
There are still clear defensive problems for Southampton as they have taken only the one clean sheet since the beginning of November last year. They have conceded in each of their last eight Premier League home games. But as a positive, they have scored in each of those eight games as well. They have no clean sheet in their last six home and away. Almost two-thirds of the goals which Southampton have conceded at home this season have been in the second half of matches. Bottom side Huddersfield are the only side who have claimed fewer home points this season in the Premier League than Southampton have.
Fulham earned a 3-2 home win over Southampton in November
The Saints had won the three previous meetings between them
Each of Southampton’s last three wins over Fulham have been with a clean sheet
Fulham are winless in seven at Southampton
Absolutely nothing is working for Fulham at the moment as they suffered their third straight Premier League defeat on the weekend. They made a trip to West Ham and suffered a 3-1 reverse. Fulham are still looking for their first away win of the season having lost 12 of 14 played. A the cottagers are currently on a four-match losing streak away from home and have taken just the one point from their last 12 road fixtures. It has been that bad from them. Fulham have scored just nine away goals all season, but have conceded at an average of 2.5 per game.
Fulham only have one-way clean sheet all season and 64% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals. 43% of their away games have made it over 3.5 goals. Six of Fulham’s 10 away defeats this season have been by a two goal margin. Home and away they don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last seven played and they have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four road fixtures. Fulham have also been losing at the halftime break in 10 of their 14 away games. The Cottagers have the worst away record and the worst defensive record in this season’s top-flight.
This should be a big game for Southampton as they push on and collect three points against Fulham. The Cottagers just don’t appear to have any kind of solution to their many problems. Home win.
26th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Arsenal are still in the fight for a top-four finish this season, but their form has been a bit up-and-down. However, they have been strong on home soil in the top flight and will be looking to make the most of this home game against a side who are starting the weekend down in the relegation zone. Southampton had their recovery snapped with a defeat against Cardiff last time out. Read our Arsenal v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 21st, 2019 at 6:57 p.m.)
While Arsenal are only W4 D1 L3 in their last eight Premier League games, they are currently running on a fantastic six-match winning streak at home. There are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League fixtures at the Emirates Stadium, scoring in each of those dozen games. So there really is nothing wrong with their home form, even though their defence does look vulnerable still at times. Arsenal have only taken one clean sheet since a 1-0 home victory over Huddersfield back at the start of December. So that is just the one in 10 from them home and away combined.
Arsenal have averaged over two goals per game at home this season in the top flight, but less than half of their games have ended up over 2.5 goals at the Emirates. Arsenal have scored at least two goals in each of their last four home fixtures and seven of their 10 home victories have been by a two goal margin. Overall this season, Arsenal’s home record is W10 D2 L1. The Gunners have produced 75% of their home goals this season after the halftime break. Manchester United and Liverpool are the only two sides who have a better home record in the top flight than the Gunners have.
Southampton took a surprise 3-2 home win over Arsenal in the season
Arsenal are on a five-match undefeated streak of league form against Southampton
The Gunners are undefeated in their last 23 home league games against the Saints
Southampton have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five games in all competitions against Arsenal
Southampton were on a five-match undefeated streak of form in the top flight, but that came crashing down in a 2-1 home defeat against Cardiff. That loss was a big blow for Southampton as it meant that the Bluebirds jumped out of the drop zone at the very expense of Southampton. Now, this is going to be about how soon can Southampton get some momentum back? Overall this season on their travels Southampton are W3 D3 L7. They are undefeated in their last three on the road, taking a win at Leicester and drawing at Chelsea and Burnley.
The goal output of Southampton away from home hasn’t been particularly high at just 13 scored, an average of exactly a goal per game. However, they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game against them. The Saints have not won an away game in any of their six played against current top half of the table teams, losing five of those. Southampton failed to score in three of those five such games. The Saints have not collected clean sheet in any of their last five games home and away combined. Southampton’s halfe time away record this season reads W2 D6 L5.
The defence of Arsenal could be improved greatly, but they should have enough to get past the challenge of Southampton at the Emirates on the weekend. Arsenal to win by a comfortable two goal margin is a good proposition.
22nd February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton are still doing enough to keep themselves out of the drop zone after playing out a 1-1 away draw at Burnley last weekend. Next up for them is Cardiff who are still in the bottom three, but the Welsh club gave themselves a huge lift last time out as they managed to take a victory at home over Bournemouth. Read our Southampton v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
Southampton are still trending well towards safety as they are now five matches undefeated in the Premier League. They played out a somewhat controversial 1-1 draw against Burnley last weekend, which leaves them with back-to-back results in the EPL by that very scoreline. Their home form still leaves a lot to be desired in terms of successes as they are only at W2 D6 L4 at St Marys this season in the top flight. But they have earned four points from their last two league home games, with a win over Everton and a draw against Crystal Palace. There are certainly making themselves a lot harder to beat.
There are still some defensive issues their because they have no clean sheet in their last four games and just one in their last 15 league fixtures. Southampton have drawn all four home games played this season against sides currently 13th or lower in the table. The Saints have averaged just over a goal per game at home this season and 67% of their league fixtures at St Mary’s have ended up over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in all but one of Southampton’s last eight Premier League games.
Cardiff have won their last two against Southampton by a 1-0 scoreline
The Saints are W1 D1 L3 in their last five against Cardiff
Four of the last six meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Three of the last four meetings at St Mary’s have ended in a 1-0 scoreline
Cardiff beat Bournemouth 2-0 last time out which was a very welcome three points for them. It snapped a four-match sequence where they normally managed to pick up the one point. It has been a very tough season for the Bluebirds away from home in the top flight. They have managed to earn just a W1 D2 L9 record so far. The only positive to take from that is that all of their away points have been earned against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. Cardiff have scored just seven league away goals this season.
The Bluebirds have been struggling for goals lately as they have failed to score in four of their last seven. Across their 12 away league games, Cardiff have conceded 23 goals in total. They have picked up a clean sheet in 25% of the road games. Cardiff, however have conceded at least two goals in their last two away fixtures. Four of the six league victories that Cardiff have earned the season have only been by the one-goal margin. The second half periods of their away games have certainly been busier. Cardiff have scored 86% of their away goals after the half-time break, while they have conceded 70% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures. Only Fulham have a worse away record then Cardiff to this term
Even though Cardiff have a bit of head-to-head form against Southampton, we are going to lean on the Saints to improve their situation from this game. It will probably be a tight low scoring affair. Southampton to win to nil option looks a solid proposition.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Burnley and Southampton picked up draws in their midweek action. The Clarets very nearly got themselves a fantastic three points at Old Trafford but just couldn’t hold on. Southampton collected a point in an evenly matched home duel with Crystal Palace. Read our Burnley v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
The Clarets came so close to collecting a victory out at Manchester United on Tuesday night. Going into the final 10 mins of the game they were 2-0 ahead but just couldn’t hold out in the end. They had to settle for a share of the spoils. But still that was a big point and for them, as it extended their unbeaten streak of league form to 5 matches. It was the fourth time in their last five league games in which Burnley had scored exactly 2 goals. Burnley are on a two-match winning streak at home where they have posted a W4 D1 L6 record this season.
All four of Burnley’s home victories this season have been against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. The Clarets have scored an average of 1.3 goals per home game this season. 45% of league fixtures at Turf Moor this term have ended up over 3.5 goals. In their home campaign, Burnley have taken a clean sheet in 27% of their fixtures and two of those have been in their last four home games. Of the 14 goals which they have produced at home in the EPL, 11 of them have been in the first half of matches.
There was a 0-0 draw at St Mary’s between them back in August
That is back to back league draws between them
Each of the last four meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Burnley are W2 D1 in their three previous EPL home games against the Saints
Southampton earned a point towards their survival on Wednesday evening as they played out at home draw against Crystal Palace. That leaves Southampton on a four-match undefeated streak of form now in the Premier League, winning two of those. They are currently unbeaten in three away games, winning two of those out at Leicester and Huddersfield.
The draw in that most recent sequence of away games was a very well earned point at Chelsea. Overall this season, Southampton are W3 D2 L7 on their travels. It has been a transformation of their season and while still not particularly clear of the drop zone, their survival hopes certainly look a lot better than they did before they changed managers.
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home this season and they have scored five in their last three away, which again includes their 0-0 draw at Chelsea. Southampton have taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their away fixtures this season. A third of their away games have ended over 3.5 goals.
Southampton are still struggling for clean sheets as they have taken only the one in their last 14 played now (home and away combined). At this stage of the season, going up against a side who are very close to them in the league standings, even avoiding defeat can be seen as a victory.
This is probably going to be an evenly matched fixture so the only thing to split them up could be the home advantage. Burnley have been coming up with the goals and better form recently. They may be able to bag themselves a good three points.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting