While the Premier League title race can be broken down to just a small handful of clubs, when it comes to the Premier League Relegation market at bet365 then things are much more wide open. You have a whole crop of teams in single figures to be suffering the drop down to the Championship for the following season. If last season’s Premier League relegation scrap is anything to go by, it could be another intense battle with plenty of clubs involved.
You look back to the end of the last season, while it was West Brom, Stoke and Swansea who occupied the bottom three spots in the top flight at the close of the season, Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, West Ham, Huddersfield, Brighton and Southampton all had their struggles along the way and were looking in danger at one point or another. But at the end of the day the three newly promoted clubs did all survive (Huddersfield, Brighton and Newcastle) how will this current crop of newly promoted sides (Cardiff, Fulham and Wolves) fare?
Crystal Palace 11/2
West Ham 6/1
* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm)
Of the three teams coming up to the Premier League for the 2018/19 season Wolves appear to be the most trustworthy of them as they are at 6/1 odds to get relegated* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm). Considering that Cardiff are the odds-on favourites and Fulham are narrow at 6/4* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) then it speaks volumes about Wolves and what they could bring to the top flight. They were so good in the Championship this season and haven’t been shy in spreading the cash around in the summer transfer market. Nino Espirito Santo’s side does look pretty well equipped to survive the rigours of the top flight.
Cardiff have been splashing a bit of cash around in the summer as well in an attempt to secure top-flight survival. To their credit, it looked as if they were not going to have the strength in depth to sustain a promotion push last season and at one point during the Festive period it looked as if it that was the case as they lost four on the bounce. Back in 2014, they went straight back down after having earned promotion. Owner Vincent Tan seems keen to avoid a repeat of that as they have allowed boss Neil Warnock to add some quality to his side.
Fulham were an out and out joy to watch last season in the Championship as they were so good at both ends of the pitch. They missed out on automatic promotion on the final day of the season but had enough to get through the playoffs. The more of the squad that they finished last season with, including loanees Aleksandar Mitrovic and Matt Targett, the better they will be. They have a got a great deal in bringing in Jean Michael Seri into the midfield. They play slick football and could be a great addition to the top flight.
Both will be better off for having had a gritty season in the top flight under their belts. That is precious experience gained but both were in the relegation mix down the backstretch and with the quality of the teams coming up, this could be another long season. They broke their transfer record to get Terence Kongolo in the summer to try and move in a positive direction. It will likely be another industrious workmanlike season from them. Brighton have been really busy over the summer reshaping their squad. There have been a lot of players leaving while the Seagulls have shopped around for as many bargains as they can find. It is arguable as to whether they have improved greatly in terms of quality from last season though so far.
Burnley are in at 4/1* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) and you would have to question that. But they had a stellar season last season which is going to be hard for them to replicate. They also have the extra burden of dealing with a possible Europa League campaign as well which would rapidly take its toll on them. Bournemouth are capable of putting decent spells of form together but they do need to go shopping over the summer to bolster the midfield and defensive areas without question. Strength in depth is key for them.
West Ham have been positive in the transfer market over the summer for new boss Manuel Pellegrini. The club has been investing heavily which should help the Hammers move forward too much better stats than last season. Watford had a strong start last season but rapidly fell away and ended up in a real mess. They have been bargain hunting more than anything but they weren’t starting in a bad place but will need more luck than last season with injuries.
Crystal Palace got themselves safe and well safe in the end under Roy Hodgson. Surprisingly they haven’t been active in the summer transfer market at all and they have to do more than just trying to keep Wilfried Zaha around. They need help with new faces because there was a thin line between survival and doom last term. They can’t afford to take a step backwards and without investment, they could be on the relegation radar.
Southampton had a season to forget, finishing fourth from bottom. Mark Hughes has been shopping over the summer but they have also let a lot of players go inducing Dusan Tadic. On the balance of transfers though they look to be heading for a stronger season but still need help in the striker department as they have been really short up there for the last couple of seasons. Newcastle dipped out of form at the end of the season but still got a mid-table finish thanks to a positive run of form between January and mid-April. They need investment though and don’t look likely to get it.
We are going to back a newly promoted side to go down and that will Cardiff. They have tried to spend to save themselves, but the overall quality in depth may still be lacking from them. Newcastle look to be in a bit of trouble because once again the board just isn’t putting money in their venture and the Magpies could be back in trouble quickly. The 6/1 odds on them to go down* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) looks value. The other we see struggling at this point are Brighton who, despite a lot of industry and graft, may be lacking the quality survive. They have gone for players who can cover different positions as opposed to sticking experts in positions. Crystal Palace are another who may be lacking the funds going out to give them a shot at a stress-free season.
19th July 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton got the job done by collecting three points at Swansea in midweek which gives them a great cushion of a nine-point goal difference over the Swans. This was always going to be a tough finish for them and the job for them will not be to lose heavily. Manchester City picked up a win over Brighton in midweek in their final home game.
Man City 2/5, Draw 15/4, Southampton 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 9th, 2018)
Southampton are pretty much safe for the season. They would have to lose this heavily and have Swansea heavily beat Stoke on the final day of the season to take a tumble down a tier. The Saints are just W4 D7 L7 at home this season and they have won just one of their last ten at St Mary’s. The lone win in that sequence did happen in their last home match though as edged out south coast rivals Bournemouth at the end of April. Overall home and away the Saints are unbeaten in four (W2 D2) and they took a win of huge importance out at Swansea in midweek to put them on the brink of survival. Southampton have produced 20 goals in 18 home games this season and they will probably be thankful that Manchester City have already won the title and had their celebrations. That will increase the chances of the visitors being off-key. Just 29% of Southampton’s home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals but as this is Man City regardless of their focus over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). Only West Brom have a worse home record than Southampton do this season and while a win for them is not too likely, all the same, they just don’t have to lose by much.
The Citizens eased their way past Brighton in their final home match of the season in midweek, giving Yaya Toure a good send off. The Citizens are W4 D1 in their last five games and their away form is a five-match winning streak. Overall their away record for the season stands at W15 D2 L1. The goals are still flowing from them as they have scored at least three goals in five of their last seven games played and in the bet365 correct score market a Manchester City 2-0 is at 15/2 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.) the joint shortest-price along with a 2-1 success for them. Away from home specifically they have scored at least three goals in each of their last five and a Man City 3-0 is at 11/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). Manchester City have averaged 2.4 goals per away game this season and they have been tight at the back with a clean sheet in 50% of their road games and conceding at well under a goal per game on average. They are unbeaten in six away from home and have scored in each of their last seven road game. City have already broken the record for most goals and most points in a single Premier League season.
Southampton did alright at the Etihad earlier in the season only taking a 2-1 loss but that is back to back defeats against the Citizens now in the top flight. In the last five Premier League meetings between the two clubs, Southampton are W1 D1 L3 against the Citizens. Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings and the Saints are W2 D1 L2 in their last five home games against Manchester City.
Manchester City are enjoying themselves still at the end of the season and will be relaxed enough on the south coast. Southampton basically just have to watch how many goals they concede on the day to just make sure of their survival. Away win and under 2.5 goals.
11th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Swansea dropped into the relegation zone on Saturday with a loss out at Bournemouth. They couldn’t put anything together on the day and are going to have to play much better in their remaining games than that if they want to get safe. This is the big one for both of these. They are sat level on points, the Saints just outside the drop zone on goal difference. What a difference three points would make in this one for either side.
Southampton 6/4, Swansea 15/8, Draw 11/5* (Betting Odds taken at 00:06 a.m. on May 6th, 2018)
The Swans are now in considerable trouble. They are on a three-match losing streak in the Premier League and failed to hit the back of the net in any of those. In fact, Swansea have failed to score in five of their last seven league games (two goals in total). This will most likely be a low scoring, tight and tense game and under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 pm. on May 6th, 2018). Swansea’s home record for the season is W6 D3 L8 and they have only lost one of their last six league home games, so that’s been pretty good (W4 D1). Even though they are level on points with Southampton they are worse off because of a far inferior goal difference to the Saints. So really it has to be three points or nothing for them. However, they were poor going forward in their loss against Bournemouth on the weekend, really not creating anything. They have totalled just the sixteen goals in their seventeen home games this season and only 35% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Throw the stressful situation on top and this is a game that neither want to, or can afford to, lose. Swansea are without a clean sheet in their last three home games and 69% of the goals that they have produced at the Liberty Stadium have been in the second half of matches.
Southampton are undefeated in their last three games (W1 D2) and after their home win over Bournemouth in hat sequence, they went to Everton on the weekend and so nearly got themselves three points, but conceded an equaliser in the final minute. How costly will that prove to be? But at least they are showing resilience and some sign of a fight. They have scored in four of their last five league games and that could be a telling difference between these two in South Wales. In the bet365 correct score market a Southampton 1-0 is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 pm. on May 6th, 2018). Three points could be crucial here for Southampton because they have to face Manchester City on the final day of the season so points are going to be harder to come by for them there. But if they take three points here and with their goal difference advantage that should be enough to get them safe. The Saints are just D2 L3 in their last five away games (scoring in just two of those) but this is the time to make it count on the road.
There was a share of the points when the two met at St Mary’s earlier this season with a 0-0 draw. Three of the last four league meetings have ended under 1.5 goals so that could be a good trend. Southampton have a slight edge in the recent head to head having gone W3 D1 L1 against Swansea. Swansea took a win on home soil in last season’s meeting though, bagging a 1-0 success.
Swansea just are putting so little together going forward that Southampton look the more realistic winners of the two here. It’s not as if the Saints are great up front, they aren’t, of the two sides they just carry more offensive threats. Away win.
7th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Toffees are having a little bit of an end of season flourish with a four-match undefeated streak of form on the board at the moment. They have won their last two as well. They stand in the way of Southampton’s survival hopes on the weekend. The Saints bagged a hugely important win in the south coast derby against Bournemouth last weekend and head into the weekend just one point from safety.
Southampton 11/8, Everton 19/10, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 08:49 p.m. on April 30th, 2018)
The Toffees are closing out the season in a bit of appositive fashion it would seen with a four-match unbeaten streak going and wins in their last two. They have taken a clean sheet in three of their last four games actually home and away combined and Everton to win to nil at Coral is at 15/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:395 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). Everton have taken a clean sheet in 39% of their home games this season. Their last two at Goodison Park have gone under 2.5 goals so that could be another good one to jump on for your betting in this one. Everton’s overall home record is at W10 D3 L5 and each of those defeats were against teams currently above them. So there’s a good chance of them delivering three points in this one. The Toffees have averaged 1.5 goals per home game this term and 74% of their home goals have come in the second half of home fixtures. They are just winding down the season at this point.
Southampton are scraping for their Premier League survival. They got themselves a huge three points at home against Bournemouth last weekend with a 2-1 success. They didn’t look particularly good though it has to be said, but it was three precious points and it snapped an eight-match winless streak (D3 L5) that they were on. The Saints drew their last away game which was at Leicester but they are winless in five on the road (D2 L3) and have failed to find the back of the net in three of their last four on their travels. The Saints are averaging under a goal per game away from St Marys this season and have failed to score in 41% of their away games. Do they have the firepower in them to grind out three points away from home in this one? Only three players have produced more than one away goal for them this season, one of them being Charlie Austin (2) who looks their best route to a goal at the moment. Southampton’s season has been poor on the road and both teams not to score at Coral is at 10/11 odds with some appeal* (Betting Odds taken at 10:395 p.m. on May 1st, 2018).
Southampton posted a big 4-1 home win over Everton when they met at St Mary’s earlier in the season. They lost 3-0 at Goodison Park though last season and haven’t won any of their last twelve league visits to Goodison Park (D3 L9). Both teams have scored in just two of the last eight league meetings between the two of them.
Everton can sink the Saints back into trouble by collecting three points at home against them. Even though they won last weekend, Southampton didn’t look great and they are going up against an Everton side who have done pretty well on home soil this term. Everton to win.
2nd May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This is a huge south coast derby coming up on the weekend. Losing against their rivals would be a bitter way for Southampton to sink towards relegation if that were to happen on the weekend. The Saints simply have to win this to keep their survival hopes alive. They may get a chance to ally themselves with the Cherries not quite firing at the moment.
Southampton 13/20, Draw 14/5, Bournemouth 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
Southampton are in desperate need of three points in this one. They head to the weekend four points away from safety and with just the four games to go. They have to pull out the stops. After their FA Cup semi-final defeat to Chelsea over the weekend, they get back to Premier League survival which is far more important for them. The Saints are D3 L5 in their last eight league games now and the goals are just not flowing from them. They have failed to score in four of their last six league outings and they can’t even look to home form for solace. The Saints are without a win at St Mary’s in their last nine there and have only managed the three wins in total there all season (D7 L7). Overall the Saints have scored 18 goals in 17 home games this season but have netted in just one of their last three on home soil. Just 35% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). At the back, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home game and have taken a clean sheet in just 18% of games at St Mary’s. Will the occasion of his being a south coast derby gee them up a bit to get a positive result?
The Cherries have slipped to back to back defeats in the top flight, albeit against Man Utd and Liverpool. But they are winless in four, taking just one victory in their last nine league games so they have gone off the boil. They are without a win in their last four on the road as well and during that sequence have shipped ten goals. So they are there for the taking and in the bet365 correct score market a Southampton 1-0 is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). Bournemouth have not come up with many wins on their travels this season, just three in a W3 D6 L8 record. In total, they have averaged just a shade under a goal per game away from home, but have had trouble getting those clean sheets. The Cherries have shipped an average of 1.6 goals per away game and have a clean sheet in just 18% of their road games. They don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last ten top-flight games home and away combined. They could really hurt their rivals if they produce an away win here.
There was a 1-1 draw between the two south coast rivals earlier in the season and that is back to back drawn results between them. From the last five Premier League meetings it is the Saints who are narrowly ahead with a W2 D2 L1 record against the Cherries. The Saints are unbeaten in their two previous Premier League home games against the Cherries (W1 D1) and they are undefeated in their previous 13 home games against the Cherries in all competitions throughout history. Bournemouth have failed to score in their last four visits to St Mary’s.
The Saints have to get themselves up for this one. They are lacking some quality in the final third, but they have to go for it from here. Even though they have had their struggles, back the Saints to get three points which could put pressure on those above them.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There was a thrilling league contest between these two last weekend which Chelsea fought back from behind to win 3-2. The Blues will favourite to go out and take a win over Southampton in the FA Cup semi-final tie as well. This is a nice distraction for the Saints who are struggling to maintain their Premier League status. Can they at least gain some Cup cheer?
Chelsea 2/5, Draw 7/2, Southampton 13/2* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
Chelsea go out in what is their last shot at silverware this season. Their FA Cup campaign started with a nervy passage through Championship side Norwich, the Blues winning a penalty shoot-out in the replay at Stamford Bridge. Things got easier for them after that with strong clean-sheet home wins over Newcastle and Hull. They did have a tougher scrap on their hands at the King Power against Leicester in the quarter finals, the Blues needing an extra time winner from Pedro to make it through. Having avoided Spurs and Manchester United in the semi-final draw, the Blues will be happy with this setup for Wembley. In the bet365 correct score market a Chelsea 2-0 result is at 11/2 odds with a 2-1 success for them at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). The Blues, to be fair, have had their troubles keeping the ball out of the back of the net recently.
The Blues have won the FA Cup seven times, their last win coming in 2012. They lost last year’s final 2-1 to Arsenal. Chelsea visited Southampton last weekend in the Premier League and found themselves in a 2-0 hole before fighting back with three goals in the final twenty minutes of action to win 3-2. Chelsea had won their home game against Southampton 1-0 so a Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin bet at bet365 for 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) looks a decent proposition. This will be the ninth meeting in the FA Cup between the two sides and from those previous seven Southampton are W4 D3 L1 up over the Blues. However, Chelsea currently are on a five-match winning streak against the Saints in all options and lost just one of their last ten against them (losing two of the last 19 head to heads).
Six of the last eight meetings between Chelsea and Southampton have produced at least three goals so over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Southampton have won the FA Cup before, claiming it in 1976 and they have lost three other finals, the most recent of which was in 2003 against Arsenal. It has been a struggle for Southampton in the Premier League and they are staring at relegation, but have a chance through the cup to finish the season on a high. They have come through some tricky tests as well, opening with a 1-0 win at Championship side Fulham, before taking out Watford at St Mary’s. Then it was a narrow win at West Brom before collecting a 2-0 success at Wigan, who had dumped Manchester City out of the competition. So three of their wins have been by a one-goal margin only. They are going to have to overcome some poor head to head form against the Blues to progress, but going as underdogs the pressure won’t be on them.
Chelsea have the extra quality and depth and should enjoy the space at Wembley a little bit more, allowing the likes of Hazard and Willian plenty of room. Chelsea are likely to have too much for the Saints, but still, with Chelsea looking shaky at the back, go for Chelsea to win & both teams to score.
19th April 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Foxes suffered a defeat out at Burnley on the weekend to leave them with back to back league losses. So it’s not quite happening for them at the moment. They could heap some more relegation pressure on Southampton in midweek though. The Saints blew a 2-0 lead against Chelsea on the weekend to still end up losing and are now five points from safety.
Leicester 5/4, Southampton 11/5, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
Leicester have lost back to back league games which was after winning back to back games which was after drawing back to back games. So they are W2 D2 L2 in their last six. They have failed to win any of their last four at home (D3 L1) so are due for a win at the King Power. The Foxes are W6 D5 L5 for the season at home in the Premier League and they are on a seven-match scoring streak there so should be able to come up with something. They have netted in each of their last ten games home and away combined. Both teams to score with Paddy Power is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) and that’s because Leicester aren’t particularly tight at the back. They have conceded in each of their last four on home soil so will be a little vulnerable there. The Foxes have come up with 22 goals in their 16 home games this season and only 44% of their home fixtures have managed to get above 2.5 goals. Jamie Vardy is on a four-match scoring streak in the Premier League and is the 7/2 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) with Paddy Power.
That will have been a rough defeat for Southampton on the weekend, losing a 2-0 lead to come away empty-handed against Chelsea. This is now a game which they can’t afford to lose. They have lost their last four league games on the bounce and they are winless in seven (D2 L5). It has been a poor defensive sequence with them having conceded exactly three goals in each of their last four games, but they have shown a bit of fight with back to back 3-2 losses against Arsenal and then Chelsea. They badly need something out of this but are on a three-match losing streak away from St Mary’s and have won just twice not their travels all season (D6 L8). So it’s poor from them and they have averaged lees than a goal per game away from home so far, conceded at 1.8 on average per game. They have conceded in each of their last six away from St Marys and have in total, managed a clean sheet in just 19% of their road games. At this stage, they just have to have a go and throw everything at their remaining games. There really isn’t the option anymore of them being conservative. In the Paddy Power correct score market the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018).
Leicester were big 4-1 winners when they visited St Marys earlier this season. In the previous seven Premier League meetings the Foxes are W3 D2 L2 against the Saints. Last season’s meeting at the King Power ended in a 0-0 draw and the Foxes are unbeaten in their last four home games against Southampton. Leicester have not conceded in their last three at home against the Saints.
Leicester have a good chance to break out of their funk and get a home win here. The Saints will have more wind knocked out of them on the weekend. The Foxes can pounce and collect the three points at the King Power.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton are in dire straits now and are starting to get cut adrift at the bottom. They are three points away from safety heading into the weekend but they do have a game in hand over Crystal Palace who directly above them, fourth from bottom. Chelsea again disappointed last weekend as they allowed West Ham to grab a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge. They are going to struggle to hold on to fifth place at this rate.
Chelsea 5/6, Draw 13/5, Southampton 10/3* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018)
The Saints are on a three-match losing streak in the top flight and are winless in six (D2 L4). It’s been pretty terrible from them and since beating Everton back on November 26th, they have won just one game since which was against bottom side West Brom in early February. Overall the Saints have won just five league games this season and are in a mess. They have failed to score in four of their last six matches now and under 2.5 goals at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018) looks a decent option for this game. Southampton have produced a W3 D7 L6 record at home for the season and they are winless in eight there (going back to that victory over Everton). Each of their last four home games have gone under 2.5 goals and they have failed to come up with a goal in their last two at home. The Saints in total have scored 16 goals in 16 home games this term. Only bottom side West Brom have a worse home record that Southampton have this season. They are only going to have two home games left this season in which to drum up some survival points. It is not looking good for them.
It’s gone pretty wrong for Chelsea this season. They blew a 1-0 home lead over West Ham on the weekend after dominating for most of the match. They couldn’t find a second and allowed the Hammers to get back into things. That’s a poor W2 D1 L5 record that the Blues have managed in their last eight games now. They are on a three-match losing streak away from home in the top flight at the moment, going down against Watford, Man Utd and then Man City and they are left with a W7 D3 L5 away record this season. The defence has been uncharacteristically weak from the Blues this season and they have no clean sheet in their last five league games played and obviously none in their last three on the road. Both teams to score at bet365 may well be worth a flutter at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018). They have slumped out of the top four and now even holding on to a top-five finish with Arsenal in form and breathing down their necks, may be a stretch. Still, the last time that Chelsea weren’t in the Champions League, they won the Premier League (last season).
There was a 1-0 home win for Chelsea vs Southampton in mid-December and that was Chelsea’s fourth straight Premier League success over the Saints. Southampton, in fact, have won just one of the last nine meetings between the two clubs (W1 D2 L6). Chelsea took a 2-0 win at St Mary’s last season and they are unbeaten in their last four league visit there, winning three of them.
The draw really isn’t out of the question in this one. Chelsea can’t seem to finish off teams and close out games successfully. Southampton haven’t looked like winning a game for a while but they may be able to tough out a point at home against the out-of-sorts Blues.
10th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Arsenal v Southampton Premier League Preview, 8th April 2.15pm
Southampton can’t seem to pull themselves out of their relegation problems and after getting stuffed at West Ham last weekend, things are looking pretty dire for the Saints at the moment. They start the weekend two points away from safety. Arsenal played at home in front of a low attendance as they toiled to beat Stoke last weekend. More of the same will probably be expected.
Arsenal 8/15, Draw 10/3, Southampton 9/2* (Betting Odds taken at 8:53 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
The Gunners start the weekend five points behind fifth-placed Chelsea, so there is a still a chance that they could nab the UEFA Europa League place for next season. Their bigger focus is on this season’s Europa League though as that offers a route into next season’s’ Champions League, the only way that the Gunners are going to get there. Arsenal have won their last two games in the top flight now, both 3-0 home wins over Watford and Stoke. So things are settled again at the Emirates and Arsenal have a powerful W12 D2 L2 record there this season. They have won four of their last five there and scored at least three goals in each of those victories as well. In the bet365 correct score market an Arsenal 2-0 success is the shortest priced option at 15/2 with a 3-0 result at 12/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:35 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Each of Arsenal’s last seven home games in the top flight have all gone over 2.5 goals and 75% in total this season have made it over the mark. Southampton aren’t likely to contribute too much in this one you would imagine though.
The Saints start the weekend in the drop zone and a 3-0 hammering at West Ham last weekend was a big hammer blow to them. They have lost their last two games now 3-0 and have put together a five-match winless streak. Away from home they have lost their last two and they have failed to net in their last two. They have only managed the one goal in last five games home and away in total. Their away form is W2 D6 L7 this season on the road. They have only come up with the thirteen away goals away from St Marys this season which is an average of just 0.87 per game. They have conceded at an average rate of 1.75 per game and four of their seven away defeats away from home have been by a margin of at least three goals. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last five away games now in the top flight. Only three teams have earned fewer points than Southampton have done in their last eight games. Both teams not to score is at 21/20 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 7:35 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018) and not bad value.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two down on the South Coast earlier this season and that leaves Arsenal undefeated in four league games against Southampton now (W2 D2). In the last seven Premier League meetings, Arsenal are W3 D2 L2 against Southampton. The Gunners will be defending an unbeaten home record the Saints in the Premier League.
Arsenal should have enough about them to get a win in this one and it will probably to nil as well. Southampton are just sadly lacking an edge at the moment and even though Arsenal had extra work to do in midweek, they still look value for a win.
5th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hammers are in trouble on a three-match losing streak and unrest with the home support in their last home match as well. This is a huge basement battle now against Southampton who are one place beneath them in the drop zone, two points back. The Hammers could do themselves a huge favour in this one, but can they produce the victory over the Saints?
Southampton 8/5, West Ham 9/5, Draw 21/10* (Betting Odds taken at 05:40 a.m. on March 26th, 2018)
The Hammers will be in big trouble if they suffer a defeat in this one. They hold a two-point advantage above Southampton and that’s it, so would fall into the relegation zone if they were to lose this. Their last home game ended in disaster as they were pummeled 3-0 by Burnley, sparking unrest in the crowd. That is a W1 L4 record that the Hammers have posted in their last five league outings. But they have only lost one of their last five home games (the loss against Burnley) in a W2 D2 L1 stretch of form. Things are just going a bit sour for them and this is such a crucial game as far as their survival hopes go right now. West Ham have scored sixteen goals in their fourteen home games, while they have conceded an average of 1.4 per game. Of the goals that they have produced on home soil, they have scored 69% of them in the second half of matches so a half-time draw at Ladbrokes does look a decent option to get behind in this one. With them having conceded at least two goals in each of their last three league games (eleven goals conceded in total), then there are big holes to plug at the back.
The Saints are in danger of being cut adrift a bit further if they were to lose this away game. They suffered a 3-0 loss at Newcastle in their last road game but that snapped a good four-match unbeaten streak of form that they were on away from St Marys (W1 D3). The Saints have won one game only since the end of November but they have shown a degree of resilience in a W1 D5 L2 record, in their last eight league fixtures. They have not been good enough to turn those drawn matches into wins though. In the Ladbrokes correct score market, a 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 05:42 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) and that result has some appeal in this one. It’s a game neither can afford to lose. The Saints have won just twice on the road this season, averaging under a goal per game, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away game. They are without a clean sheet in their last four on the road. The pressure is well and truly on.
The Saints delivered a 3-2 home win over West Ham earlier in the season and in the last five Premier League meetings, it is the Saints who are narrowly 3-2 ahead. Southampton won 3-0 in this corresponding fixture last season. Four of the last five meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.
Huge stakes here and Southampton can cash in. Their recent away points at Burnley and West Brom suggest they won’t lose and with West Ham looking a shambles at the moment, the Saints can land a massive three points.
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting