South Africa blew the tournament wide open in the round of sixteen. They knocked out hosts Egypt in a shock 1-0 victory. There are not many people who would have seen that coming. Can they take their journey further? Nigeria had to fight back from behind to knock out holders Cameroon in their round of sixteen tie. Read our Nigeria v South Africa betting tips for more.
South Africa 10/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 8th, 2019 at 8:47 p.m.)
The Super Eagles had a real ding-dong battle with Cameroon in the round of sixteen. Nigeria took the lead early in the game, but then into the second half were chasing the game at 2-1 down. But they produced the firepower to get themselves back in front to hold out for a 3-2 success. So that was a big scalp claimed by Nigeria in having knocked out the reigning champions. Back in the group stage Nigeria had only managed to finish second to the surprise package that is Madagascar. Nigeria had lost against them 2-0 in a top-spot showdown.
Nigeria are W5 D1 L2 in their eight games played this year. They have picked up a total of four clean sheets in that sequence of games. The two defeats which they have suffered in that run have been in their last five played though, a friendly against Senegal and then the group stage loss against Madagascar. Just two of their 2019 fixtures have now made it over 2.5 goals so it was surprising that their game against Cameroon went so high. The concern for the Super Eagles though is that is back to back games in which they have conceded two goals. Odion Ighalo is their top scorer in this tournament with three goals.
These two were in the same qualification group for AFCON 2019
South Africa were W1 D1 against Nigeria in those qualifiers
Four of the last five meetings have been drawn
Nigeria are W6 D4 L2 in the overall had to head with South Africa
South Africa set the cat amongst the pigeons in their round of sixteen tie against Egypt. They came up with a 1-0 win over the Egyptians, their goal coming from Thembinkosi Lorch five minutes from time. That was a major upset after the South Africans had only finished third in their group. They had finished behind Morocco and the Ivory Coast, with their three points, which were enough to get them to the knockouts coming in a win over Namibia.
South Africa have posted figures of W3 D1 L2 in their six fixtures during the 2019 calendar year. All three of their wins in that sequence were by one goal margin. The two defeats were 1-0 reverses. Just two of South Africa’s last eleven games have made it over 2.5 goals now. Both teams have scored in just three of South Africa’s last eleven fixtures. What do the Bafana Bafana have up their sleeve? Can they come up with something special to take down Super Eagles? Clearly, they aren’t going to care about their underdog status.
That was some show of resilience from South Africa in their win over Egypt. Will that have taken something out of them? The Super Eagles should have the edge in the fixture and will have some wind in their sails after coming up big against Cameroon. Nigeria to win.
8th July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
Host nation Egypt claimed a win in all three of their group stage games and so are sailing along. For having won their group they get a favourable draw for the round of sixteen in taking on South Africa. The South Africans were one of the best third-placed finishers from the group stage. Read our Egypt v South Africa betting tips for more.
South Africa 5/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 3rd, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
Egypt opened their campaign with a 1-0 win over Zimbabwe before following that up with back to back 2-0 wins over DR Congo and Uganda. So it’s been pretty straight forward for them in a group that they were always expected to win. They are the host nation and there is high expectancy on them. Egypt are currently on a five-match winning streak at the moment and in that sequence of form have conceded just one goal only. Just one of their last seven games have gone over the 2.5 goal line.
Egypt have won eight of their last ten games (D1 L1) so are in great shape at the moment. Star player Mo Salah has two goals in the tournament so far. Both he had Ahmed El Mohamady have shared Egypt’s last four goals in the competition. They will be looking to go one better than their runners up spot to Cameroon two years ago. They have won the Africa Cup of Nations seven times before in their history.
South Africa beat Egypt 1-0 in a 2016 international friendly
Egypt are W4 D0 L3 in seven against South Africa
The two have alternated wins in the last six meetings
Each of the last five meetings have been settled by a one-goal winning margin
South Africa have made the final sixteen but not without some struggles. They suffered 1-0 defeats against the Ivory Coast and Morocco in the group stage. Sandwiched in between those two reverses was their one and only success, a 1-0 victory over Namibia. So that is all that they had to show for their group stage efforts, but it was enough to see them get through as one of the best third-placed teams.
South Africa have won just three games since the start of September last year. That is a W3 D5 L2 record in that sequence now. They do look short of goalscoring quality as they have failed to hit the back of the net in three of their last four games played now. Just one of their last eight games have made it over 2.5 goals. They are the clear underdogs against the tournament hosts in this one and they are going to have to come up with something spectacular. They have been to the quarterfinals in just one of their last five AFCON campaigns.
Egypt should have a clear advantage in this one. They are the ones with the star power and the South Africans are not looking to be any kind of threat. It should be fairly routine for Egypt and can take the win to nil.
6th July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
South Africa have to put all of their chips on the table in this one. They have to pull out a win against the current Group D leaders Morocco to get in the picture for qualification. Morocco need just a point from the fixture to win the group. There’s a scenario where Morocco, Ivory Coast and South Africa all end up on six points though. Read our South Africa v Morocco betting tips for more.
South Africa 14/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 29th, 2019 at 5:25 a.m.)
South Africa had a setback at the start of their campaign as they lost 1-0 against the Ivory Coast. They then balanced the books with a 1-0 win over Namibia. That leaves then trailing leaders Morocco by three points and sitting level on points with second-placed Ivory Coast. So they don’t have things all under their own control. That’s because they are going to need some kind of help from Namibia. South Africa have to better Ivory Coast’s result against Namibia to progress in an automatic qualification spot.
But if they were to pick up three points regardless, South Africa would likely in the worst case scenario, be one of the best third-place finishers. There has not been a lot of winning form from the South Africa in their recent form. They have taken just two in their last eight games played (D5 L1). But the positive from that streak of form is that they have been hard to beat. South Africa have given up just the one goal in their last three games. In their last eight games though, just once have South Africa managed to score more than one goal in a game.
Each of the last four meetings have been drawn
The most recent was 1-1 draw back in 2013
SA are W2 D4 L0 against Morocco
Both of South Africa’s wins over Morocco have been in AFCON editions
Morocco then are in the driving seat in this group having taken six points from six in their opening two games. They have both been 1-0 successes over Namibia and the Ivory Coast. Against Namibia, Morocco only succeeded through an 89th-minute own goal by their opponents. Will they be able to complete the job and close out the group win. Much like everyone else in this group, they are not a side who have been in tremendous form with two wins in their last six.
Morocco are W2 D1 L3 in their last six games. Earlier this year they went on three-match streak without scoring a goal. In their qualification campaign, they took a W3 D2 L1 record, finishing above Cameroon on goal difference only. So they had a tight squeeze there and could well get another in this one. To their credit, they took four clean sheets in their six qualifiers. Things are a little precarious in this group, so they can be forgiven for going out and having a keen focus on keeping things tight.
It may be worth having a look at South Africa in this one. They are the ones who are going to need to push on that little bit harder in this fixture. Morocco are likely to be happy trying to play for their point to get top spot, but may well be challenged here. South Africa to win.
1st July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting