Lazio need a big finish to try and get themselves a top six finish this season. They have to produce a win in this one in order to have any chance of keeping that window open in the final weekend of action. So that is the big importance on this one. They will be facing a Bologna team though who are carrying a good bit of form with them. Read our Lazio v Bologna betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)
Lazio dug out a 2-1 win at Cagliari last weekend to keep their slim chances of a top-six finish alive. They need a win to potentially keep that going until the final weekend of the campaign. They haven’t been carrying great form on home soil though with back to back defeats at the Stadio Olimpico. They are W1 D1 L2 in their last four there in the league. That is part of an overall home record of W9 D4 L5 this season which they have posted there. Four of their five home defeats suffered have been against the current top four sides. All but one of their home wins have been against teams currently in the bottom half of the table.
Lazio have averaged 1.8 goals per home game this season and 67% of their home fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in 28% of their home games but home and away combined, they have managed just the one in their last eight top-flight games. Lazio are currently on a thirteen match scoring streak at home, while they have conceded 68% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures. Lazio have opened the scoring in 13 of their 18 home games. It hasn’t been the greatest of season from them, they just have to leave it all out there in this one.
Lazio were 2-0 winners at Bologna in December
Lazio are undefeated in their last eleven against Bologna
Bologna have drawn their last two league visits to Lazio 1-1
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Bologna have put together a good finish to their campaign. This is a team which won just three games from the start of the season to the start of March. But now they are W7 D1 L2 in their last ten league games, home and away. So that has been a transformation from them and they have no worries over relegation or anything to be bothered with. Their overall away record this season has seen them win just twice on the road, but both of those were against current top seven sides.
Bologna have averaged under a goal per game on their top-flight travels. They have picked up a clean sheet in 22% of their away games. The two wins that they have taken away from home this season have both been by a one-goal margin. They have only taken the one point from their last three league games on the road though. Bologna have scored almost 60% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures and each of their last four league games have gone over 2.5 goals. Over the last eight rounds of league action, Atalanta are the only team in Serie A to have picked up more points than Bologna have.
Lazio probably should just be sneaking out the win in this one. They need to and even though the form of Bologna has taken a dramatic upswing, seeing them win on the road looks like a slim shot. Lazio haven’t been great at home, so it’s a Lazio to win by a one-goal margin that looks like a decent proposition.
18th May 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Juventus already have the title in their hands again so they are doing nothing but winding down for the season. There’s nothing for them to chase, reflected in their drop in recent form. Atalanta will be pushing hard in his one as a win guarantees that they will be heading to the Champions League next season. Read our Juventus v Atalanta betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)
Juve have the title wrapped up and they are just W1 D2 L2 in their last five league games. They suffered a 2-0 away defeat against Roma last weekend. It’s no surprise though that they aren’t at their most competitive with the season over for them. Their home form for the season in the top flight is W15 D3 L0 so they do have the target of defending their undefeated home record. Juventus have won five of their last six on home soil, their most recent game there ending in a 1-1 draw against Torino.
Juve have averaged over two goals per home game, while they have conceded at well under a goal per game on average on home soil. In total Juventus have taken a clean sheet in 44% of their home games this season. Home and away combined though they have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last six played. Juventus have been leading at the halftime break in 10 of their 18 home games, and they have scored in each and every home game played. Juventus boast the best home record in the top flight.
Atalanta earned a 2-2 draw in the league at home against Juve in December
Atalanta beat Juventus 3-0 in this season’s Coppa Italia
Juventus are W34 D12 L5 in the overall head to head against Atalanta
Juventus are on a ten-match winning streak at home against Atalanta in all competitions
Atalanta are on a huge run of form at the moment. They are undefeated in their last eleven league games played now and in their last five on the road. They have won their last four top-flight games and are now standing on the brink of Champions League football next season. They still have a little bit of work to secure that and a win here guarantees that. Atalanta have a huge positive on their side in that they aren’t facing a Juventus who are in competitive mode and Atalanta are the top scorers in this season’s top flight. Their overall away record is a brilliant W10 D3 L5.
Atalanta have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game this season and 72% of their road fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. They have won four of their last five on the road (D1) and the draw in that sequence was at Inter Milan. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in just 17% of their road fixtures and six of their ten road victories have been by a margin of at least two goals. Atalanta have scored 65% of their away goals in the second period of games, while they have conceded 62% of their away goals after the halftime break. Only Juventus and Napoli have produced better away record than Atalanta have done this season in Serie A.
Atalanta should have a good chance at picking up a win in Turin. This is some perfect timing for them to be going to Juventus. Atalanta have been in great form and have the scoring power to make a good case for themselves. Atalanta to win.
18th May 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Napoli are locked into a top-two finish for the season, so they are over the line and heading to the Champions League next season. Inter Milan still have a little work to do in their final two games of the season. Victory for them in this game is likely to be enough to get them there. That’s easier said than done though. Read our Napoli v Inter Milan betting tips for more.
Inter Milan 17/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 15th, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.)
Napoli are on a three-match winning streak in the league, scoring exactly two goals in each of those three games. Their home record this season is W12 D4 L2 and once again find themselves only being second best to Juventus. They haven’t been in the hottest of form recently in Naples though as they are W2 D2 L2 in their last six on home soil. Home and away, they have only taken the one clean sheet in their last eleven league games. They haven’t collected one in any of their last five on home soil. The two defeats which they have suffered on home soil in Serie A have been against top four sides, Juventus and Atalanta. Inter Milan are sat in third place.
In total Napoli have averaged two goals per home game this season, with them having conceded at under a goal per game. In total Napoli have taken a clean sheet in 44% of Serie A home games, with 61% of their home fixtures going over 2.5 goals. Napoli are on a twelve match scoring streak in the league at the moment, having netted in each of their last five on home soil. Napoli have opened the scoring in 12 of their 18 home fixtures. Of the five times that Napoli have fallen behind this season at home, they have managed to produce an equalizer on three of those occasions.
Napoli lost 1-0 at Inter earlier this season
There has been just two goals scored in the last four meetings
Napoli have lost one of their last five against Inter (W2 D2)
Inter are winless in twelve league visits to Napoli
Inter bagged a 2-0 home win over Chievo last weekend which extend their undefeated streak of league form to seven (W3 D4). So it hasn’t been bad stuff from them, but those drawn matches have been costly in terms of them not having locked down a top four place. They will probably still get there though. The away record that Inter have produced this season in the top flight is a pretty strong W9 D4 L5 and they have been carrying good recent road form. Inter have won three of their last four out on their travels (D1).
Inter have averaged 1.6 goals per away game, conceding at an average of just over a goal per game. In total, they have taken a clean sheet in 39% of their road fixtures, and they have two clean sheets in their last three on the road. Of their nine away wins this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Four of their five away defeats have been by a margin of just the one goal too. Inter have conceded 68% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Each of their last four top-flight games have gone under 2.5 goals and there has been a lot of low scoring affairs between these two recently.
Another drawn match between these two wouldn’t really be too far out of the picture at all. Napoli are basically just seeing the season out and Inter wouldn’t be unhappy at all from a point out of this tough away game. Draw match outright.
17th May 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
AC Milan can’t afford to slip up with three games to go. They are starting the weekend in sixth place, three away from the top four. So they need to break out some big form to try and muscle their way into the Champions League places. They may get a chance against a Fiorentina side who are badly out of form. Read our Fiorentina v Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 7/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 9th, 2019 at 11:47 p.m.)
Fiorentina are well out of form at the moment. They are on a three-match losing streak, but their problems go much deeper than that. They are currently winless in their last eleven league games. They have only won twice in the league since the turn of the new year. Fiorentina have only taken the five home victories in Serie A this season (W8 L4) and they have failed to collect a win in any of their last nine games there. They have not scored a single goal in any of their last three home games either. Each of their last five league home games have gone under 2.5 goals.
Firotiona have averaged 1.5 goals per home game this season and their defence hasn’t been bad at all. They have conceded at just over a goal per game. 35% of their home games have gone under 2.5 goals. Of the goals which they have produced at home this season, 64% of them have been in the second half of fixtures. It’s not as if they have been all that bad really. They have just lacked that edge to drive on and win games. For instance, they are W1 D6 L2 in their home games against the current top ten.
Fiorentina took a 1-0 win at the San Siro in December
Milan have lost one of their last six against Fiorentina
Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last four on home soil against Milan (W2 D2)
Both teams have scored in three of the last seven meetings
There is a chance still for AC Milan to make a run at the Champions League places. They collected a 2-1 home success over Bologna on Monday. That means they go into the weekend three points out of the top four places. But realistically that is four because of an inferior goal difference. With just three games left (including this one) that is a big deficit to make up. AC Milan have taken just the five away wins this season in the top flight (D7 L5) so have had their struggles. There have certainly had some lately, taking one point from their last four away games.
All of AC Milan’s away defeats this season though have been against top-ten sides. Fiorentina are a not a top ten side. AC Milan have averaged 1.2 goals per away game and only 29% of their road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. So this may not be a high scoring game. In total Milan have bagged a clean sheet in 24% of road fixtures but they have failed to take one in any of their last seven away from the San Siro. They have conceded 76% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures, but have scored 65% of their away goals after the halftime break too. If ever there was a time to snap out of an away slump it’s now. Two of their last three games of the season are on the road.
AC Milan have to push and push hard. To be fair before a tricky run of away games recently, they were doing fairly well on their travels. They should have enough to tap into to get themselves a precious three points in what is likely to be a low scoring game.
10th May 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Juventus will take another big step towards wrapping up the league title early in Serie as they host AC Milan on Saturday. A win here and a loss for second-placed Napoli on the weekend would leave Juve one point from retaining the title. AC Milan have a tough trip to Turin, made worse by them having fallen out of form. Read our Juventus v AC Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 17/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
League leaders Juventus have won their last two league games after having suffered their only league defeat on the season against Genoa on March 17th. That loss was out on the road so it leaves the Old Lady undefeated on home soil this season with a W13 D2 L0 record in Turin. In their home games, they have averaged 2.2 goals per game and have been watertight at the back. Juve have conceded just nine home goals all term with a clean sheet having been earned in 53% of their fixtures.
Moise Kean has taken over the goalscoring headlines with four goals in his last four league outings. He has scored three in his last two home appearances a well. Interestingly Cristiano Ronaldo hasn’t scored in the league in any of Juventus’ last six games. Because of how good their defence has been, only 53% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. 8 of their 13 home wins have been by at least a two-goal margin. Juventus have been winning at half time in 10 of 15 home games.
Juventus won 2-0 at the San Siro in the league this season against Milan
Juventus also beat them 1-0 in the Super Cup in January
Milan have lost their last six against Juve in all competitions
Milan have scored just one goal in their last five games against Juve
AC Milan are still tracking for a top four finish this reason, but they have slipped out of form. They were on a great five match winning streak before a loss against rivals Inter in mid-March and that knocked them back. They are now only with one point from their last three league games, earned in a draw against Udinese in midweek. AC Milan have struggled against the stronger sides this season. They are D1 L4 from their five games played against the three sides currently above them in the table.
The away form of Milan is at W5 D6 L3 and they have scored at an average rate of 1.3 goals per away game. They have done well at the back, counting only 12 goals in their 14 away games. They have tallied up a clean sheet in 29% of their away fixtures. AC Milan have only suffered one defeat in their last eight away games. That loss was at Sampdoria in their last road game. All three of their away defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin. They have been level at half time in 8 of their 14 away fixtures.
Juventus are so strong on home soil and they have positive head to head form going against AC Milan from recent meetings. With Milan just out of form and having struggled to make an impact in big games, a home win to nil fits.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Inter Milan are fighting to hold on to third place in the Italian top flight and they have won their last two games. So they have a little bit of form going. Lazio are just outside of the top six one-goal difference only. Read our Inter v Lazio betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 4:27 p.m.)
Inter have won back to back league games and their most recent one will have been sweet for them. It was a 3-2 success against rivals AC Milan, an important three points that was for Inter in the push for a top-three finish. Inter are W9 D2 L2 at home this season and they have won their last two at the San Siro. This season Inter are undefeated on home soil against teams currently sitting in the top half of the table.
Inter have scored 21 goals in their 13 home games at an average of 1.6 per game. Just 38% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals and that is because they have been tight at the back. They have only conceded six home goals all season, which is a clean sheet in 62% of their fixtures at the San Siro. Five of those six were conceded in the second half of matches. Inter have won 54% of their home games to nil. Home and away, Inter are on a six-match scoring streak and 67% of their home goals come after the halftime break.
Inter took a 3-0 win at Lazio earlier this season in the league
Inter have won three of their last five league games against Lazio (D2)
Lazio are W1 D2 L1 in their last four league visits to Inter
The last two meetings at the San Siro have ended in draws (all competitions)
Lazio sit on the outskirts of the top six then. They have some form behind them at the moment with four wins in their last six league fixtures (D1 L1). Their away record overall this season isn’t great at just W5 D3 L5 though. They have only taken the one win in their last four away from home, losing two of those. Their overall record, home and away, against sides currently in the top six isn’t great. It’s at W1 D1 L7 so they have struggled against the better teams.
Lazio have returned 14 goals in 13 away games, which is the same amount which they have conceded as well. Just 31% of their away games have made it over the 2.5 goal line this season. Lazio have earned a clean sheet in 31% of their road games. Three of their five away losses this season have been by a one-goal margin. Home and away, Lazio have scored in each of their last eleven league fixtures. They have scored 64% of their away goals in the second half of matches.
Inter should have the edge in this one. They have won their two home games this season against top-six opponents 1-0. Lazio have struggled against the stronger sides so it is Inter to win by a one-goal margin for this.
29th March 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
This is a big top-five battle in Serie A and it could have quite the bearing on the race for a top-four finish. Roma start in fifth place, four points outside of the top four. So they can’t afford to lose ground in this one. Napoli are a tough side though but have just been struggling for a bit of a winning touch lately. Read our Roma v Napoli betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
So Roma have a little ground to make up in the race for a top-four finish. A win here against second-placed Napoli would do their chances the power of good. Home and away Roma are W4 L2 in their last six, but those two defeats have come in their last three games. They have only been beaten once on home soil this season though in the league, posting a W8 D4 L1 record in the capital. They have won five of their last six home games (D1).
Roma have are undefeated in eight on home soil, which coincides with an eight-match scoring streak. Surprisingly though they have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last ten at home. They have only taken one home clean sheet all season. Roma have scored 32 goals at home, an average of 2.5 per game which is fantastic. 85% of their home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, so that’s a big trend. Both teams have scored in 85% of Roma’s home games. They have not won any of their seven games this season against the others currently in the top six though.
There was 1-1 draw between them in October meeting
Things are even at two wires each and a draw in the last five meetings
Napoli have won their last two visits to Roma in the league
Both teams have scored in four of the last five league clashes
Napoli look fairly secure in their push for a second place finish. They are only W2 D3 L1 in their last six games, so their winning form has slipped back a little bit. The away form of Napoli this season is at W7 D3 L3 in Serie A and they have only taken the one win in their last five out on the road (D2 L2). Napoli failed to score in three of those five away games as well. Away from home this season against other sides currently in the top six, Napoli are only at W1 D1 L2 from those such games.
Napoli have averaged 1.5 goals per away game and they have been good at the back, averaging under a goal per game against. 64% of their road games have made it over the 2.5 goals mark this season. Napoli are undefeated in their last four road games and they have been level at the halftime break in 7 of their 13 away games. Seven of their eleven second-half goals away from home this season have come in the final fifteen minutes of matches. Only runaway league leaders Juventus have a better away and defensive record than Napoli in Serie A currently.
There should be an opportunity here for Roma. They are in good shape at home and Napoli have been having struggles putting away wins on the board. Roma badly need a big output in this game to keep their top four chances alive. Home win.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There is a fascinating Rome derby going down in Serie A on Sunday. It is a game between third and fourth with AC Milan holding a one-point advantage over their rivals. There are the ones with a strong form at the moment having won each of their last five league games. Read our AC Milan v Inter betting tips for more.
AC Milan 11/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 15th, 2019 at 9:09 p.m.)
AC Milan are carrying great form at the moment with a five-match winning streak away. During that run of games, they have conceded only the two goals as well, banking three clean sheets. It has been a huge surge from them and they have won each of their last three home fixtures. AC Milan’s home record this season in Serie A is W9 D3 L2. In their last eight games home and away, they have taken a total of five clean sheets.
Defensively they have conceded at under a goal per game on average on home soil this season but still, 64% of all their league home games have gone over 2.5 goals. In seven of their last eight league victories, home and away AC Milan have scored at least two goals. Eight of the 12 home goals which they have conceded this season have come in the second half of their fixtures. Only the current top to have better home records in the division than Milan have.
Inter Milan took a 1-0 home win over Milan in October
Milan are unbeaten in five home games against their rivals
Three of the last four meetings with AC Milan as the home side have ended in a draw
Inter have lost just one of their last nine against AC Milan
Inter have fallen into some slightly indifferent form as of late with a W3 D2 L3 record in their last eight top-flight games. Their form away from this season reads W6 D3 L5. They have played four away games this season against sides currently sitting in the top seven and Inter have lost three of those drawing the other one. They have lost two of their last four out on the road (W1 D3), so it hasn’t quite been happening for them really since mid-January.
In their 14 road games, they have scored a total of 19 goals, earning a clean sheet in 36% of those fixtures. Inter have conceded 62% of their away goals after the halftime break in their fixtures. Home and away they are on a five-match scoring streak in the top flight and they have opened the scoring in more than half of their away games. Only the current top two of Juventus and Napoli have better defensive records in Serie A than Inter have this season
It is not a huge reach to get to the draw in this derby match. AC Milan have struggled to beat Inter in recent times, but they are carrying a nice bit of form with them currently. But Inter may well be able to hold out for a share of the spoils.
16th March 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Tthis is a big one to look forward to as it is between the top two in Serie A. Juventus hold a massive thirteen point lead over Napoli and so this really isn’t about title points. It’s about pride. Read our Napoli v Juventus betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 27th, 2019 at 10:34 p.m.)
Napoli produced a 4-0 win over Parma last weekend which moved them onto a seven-match undefeated streak in the top flight. They are W2 D3 in their last five played actually with each of those draws being 0-0 results. Their home form has been fantastic this season at W10 D3 L0 and so they should rightly fancy their chances in this one. Napoli have been watertight at the back having conceded just the seven goals in their 13 home games. That is a clean sheet in 62% of their home fixtures this season.
Napoli haven’t conceded in five league games currently. In attack, they have scored an average of over two goals per game. In their earlier meeting with Juventus this season, they were brushed aside in a 3-1 defeat. A win here really won’t make much of a dent in the lead the Juve have over them. It will further strengthen Napoli’s shot at a second place finish in the league though. Both teams have scored in just 38% of Napoli’s home games. They have opened the scoring in 9 of 13 home games and Juventus are the only ones who beat them in home form and defensive record this season.
Juventus took a 3-1 home win over Napoli in September
Napoli are W2 D1 L1 in their last four at home against Juve in all competitions
Juventus have won three of the last five league meetings (D1 L1)
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Juve still have not lost a league game this season. They are currently on a three-match winning streak in the league at the moment. They have earned a clean sheet in each of those as well. Juventus have scored at least two goals in all but one of their last eight league games. It is just impressive reading wherever you look. Out on their top-flight travels, this season Juventus are W11 D1 with Atalanta being the only ones to avoid defeat at home against Juve this season.
Juventus have scored an average of just over two goals per away game this season. They have only conceded seven goals away from home, taking a clean sheet in 58% of their away games. 58% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals. Juventus have been level at the break in seven of their away games. The Old lady have struck the back of the net in all league games played this season. 68% of their away league goals have been after the half time break this season. Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in four of his last five league appearances.
There are not going to be many occasions this season that you will see Juventus as underdogs for a league game. They are here and they should be under threat by Napoli. However, Napoli haven’t been prolific in front of goal recently and a Juventus Draw No Bet at 6/5 isn’t a bad shout at all* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 27th, 2019 at 10:34 p.m.).
1st March 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Genoa are stuck down in the bottom half of the table with only the five league victories this season. But they have a bit of home form against Milan. Milan lost the Supercoppa to Juventus in midweek and return to league action looking to make up ground on the top four. Read our Genoa v Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 11/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 18th, 2019 at 7:47 p.m.)
Genoa played out a 0-0 draw in their last league game
That result left them with just the one victory in their last thirteen league games
It’s not been a great season but they are undefeated in four at home (W1 D3)
Genoa have produced fourteen home goals this season, conceding eleven
Their overall home form this season reads W4 D4 L2
They have banked three clean sheets on home soil but just one in their last seven
Just once have they been losing at half time in a home game
64% of their home goals have been scored in the first half of matches
Actually, four of Genoa’s half time scorelines this season at home have been 1-0 results in their favour
Genoa have scored the opening goal in seven of their ten home games
Milan earned a 2-1 home win over Genoa back in October
That is back to back wins over Genoa that Milan have earned
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Genoa have won three of their last four home games against Milan
AC Milan took a 2-1 win at home over SPAL in their last match before the winter break
That snapped a four-match winless streak (D3 L1) that they had been on
AC Milan have failed to score in four of their last five games
In midweek they lost the Italian Super Cup against Juventus
Their league away from for the season is W2 D5 L2 only
Milan have drawn four of their five games away from home against teams currently in the bottom eight (W1)
Milan area on a three-match sequence of away draws, unbeaten in four
They have produced only an average of a goal per away game, conceding just eight
It has been three clean sheets on their travels, including back to back ones in their last two
The half time away record of Milan is W3 D5 L1
They have conceded 88% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures
Each to their last five away games have ended under 2.5 goals
This is a fixture which recently has struggled to produce goals. Milan need a lift and they should be able to just get the three points in a narrow away win. The result is all that is important as they push towards the top four, not the margin of it.
19th January 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting