Genoa are stuck down in the bottom half of the table with only the five league victories this season. But they have a bit of home form against Milan. Milan lost the Supercoppa to Juventus in midweek and return to league action looking to make up ground on the top four. Read our Genoa v Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 11/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 18th, 2019 at 7:47 p.m.)
Genoa played out a 0-0 draw in their last league game
That result left them with just the one victory in their last thirteen league games
It’s not been a great season but they are undefeated in four at home (W1 D3)
Genoa have produced fourteen home goals this season, conceding eleven
Their overall home form this season reads W4 D4 L2
They have banked three clean sheets on home soil but just one in their last seven
Just once have they been losing at half time in a home game
64% of their home goals have been scored in the first half of matches
Actually, four of Genoa’s half time scorelines this season at home have been 1-0 results in their favour
Genoa have scored the opening goal in seven of their ten home games
Milan earned a 2-1 home win over Genoa back in October
That is back to back wins over Genoa that Milan have earned
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Genoa have won three of their last four home games against Milan
AC Milan took a 2-1 win at home over SPAL in their last match before the winter break
That snapped a four-match winless streak (D3 L1) that they had been on
AC Milan have failed to score in four of their last five games
In midweek they lost the Italian Super Cup against Juventus
Their league away from for the season is W2 D5 L2 only
Milan have drawn four of their five games away from home against teams currently in the bottom eight (W1)
Milan area on a three-match sequence of away draws, unbeaten in four
They have produced only an average of a goal per away game, conceding just eight
It has been three clean sheets on their travels, including back to back ones in their last two
The half time away record of Milan is W3 D5 L1
They have conceded 88% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures
Each to their last five away games have ended under 2.5 goals
This is a fixture which recently has struggled to produce goals. Milan need a lift and they should be able to just get the three points in a narrow away win. The result is all that is important as they push towards the top four, not the margin of it.
19th January 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Napoli will resume their chase of league leaders Juventus on the weekend when they play host to Lazio. This is a big clash inside the top four of the table and realistically, with Juventus running away with the title, this is just about trying to score points for a top-four finish. Read our Napoli v Lazio betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 16th, 2019 at 4:51 p.m.)
Napoli took a 3-2 win over Bologna in their last league match before the winter break
That was their third straight home success in Serie A
Napoli remain undefeated on home soil in the top flight this season with a W8 D2 record
They have scored well, averaging 2.3 goals per home fixture this season
40% of their home games have gone over 3.5 goals
Napoli have only conceded the six goals in their ten home games this season
They have taken a clean sheet in 60% of their league home fixtures
Eight of their league victories this season (home and away) have been by a one-goal margin
Napoli’s half time home record this term is W5 D3 L2
Of their home goals, this season 65% of them have been after the halftime break
Napoli have opened the scoring in seven of their ten Serie A home games this term
Only Juventus have a better home record than Napoli this season
Arkadiusz Milik has four goals in this last three home league games for Napoli
Napoli took a 2-1 away win over Lazio back in mid-August
That is a four-match winning streak Napoli are on over Lazio
Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings
Napoli are undefeated in three at home against Lazio
Lazio played out a 1-1 draw with Tornio in their last league game
Their away form for the season in the top flight is W4 D2 L3
Telling they have lost all four of their away games played against current top eight sides
Lazio have produced ten goals in their ten away games, conceding nine
Just 22% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
Lazio won their last away game, a 2-0 success at Bologna
That left them with three clean sheets away from home this season
Lazio have only found themselves ahead at the halftime break in one away fixture this season
Of their ten away goals scored, eight of them have been in the second half of fixtures
Each of Lazio’s last five road games in Serie A have gone under 2.5 goals
Lazio have opened the scoring in five of their away games this season in the league
They have scored in 78% of their away league games this term
Napoli have a bit of form going over Lazio and they are a strong home side. They will likely get a good workout in this one, but Napoli to win & both teams to score does look a pretty decent proposition.
18th January 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Juve needed rescuing by Cristiano Ronaldo on Boxing Day as they were rattled out at Atalanta. But they got a point out of the game and that maintained their unbeaten season in the Italian top flight. Sampdoria pay a visit to Turin on Saturday and they are having a strong season, sitting in fifth place and they are in good form. Read our Juventus v Sampdoria betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
Juventus played out a 2-2 draw at Atalanta on Boxing Day
Cristiano Ronaldo got an equaliser for the Old Lady twelve minutes from time
They stay unbeaten for the season with a W16 D2 record in Serie A
Their home form reads W8 D1 in Turin this season winning their last four there
Genoa in a 1-1 draw have been the only visitors to take points off Juve in Turin
Juventus have scored 17 goals in their nine home games
They have shipped just the four home goals
Juventus have a clean sheet in 56% of their home fixtures in Serie A
Just 33% of their home fixtures have gone above 2.5 goals
They have not conceded in any of their last three home games
Juventus have been leading at the half time break in six of their nine home games
The Old Lady have scored in every league game played this season
They have opened the scoring in eight of their nine home fixtures
Between them, Mario Mandzukic and Cristiano Ronaldo have scored 9 of Juventus’s last 12 league goals
Juventus have won their last three home games against Sampdoria
Juve have scored twelve goals in their last three in Turin against them
Five of the last six meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Sampdoria are winless in five visits to Juventus (D1 L4)
Sampdoria collected a 2-0 win at home over Chievo on Boxing Day
That was their third straight win in the top flight
They have gone unbeaten in their last six league outings (W4 D2)
Their overall away form in Serie A this term is W3 D3 L3
They won their last away game 4-2 at Empoli
Sampdoria though are D1 L2 in three away games against current top-seven sides
They have tallied 16 goals in their nine away games, conceding 13
44% of their away games have actually gone above 4.5 goals
They have banked a clean sheet in a third of their road games
Sampdoria are on a six-match scoring streak away from home
They have no clean sheet in any of their last five road games
Sam Parodia have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league games
Fabio Quagliarella is on a five match scoring streak for Sapmardio in Serie A
Juventus had a scare in midweek, but they are getting back to home soil here and should be comfortable. They have good form against Sampdoria and should get the win here, but it’s worth backing both teams to score as well.
28th December 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There is a big Serie A showdown going to happen on Boxing Day in the evening. It is a clash between two of the top three. Napoli start in second place, well adrift of leaders Juventus and eight points clear of third-placed Inter. Can Milan find a way to close the gap? Read our Inter v Napoli betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 10:54 p.m.)
There was nothing to split these two last season as Inter and Napoli played out two 0-0 draws in Serie A. It was all that tight. In none of the last six meetings have both teams scored in a fixture between these two. Inter are winless in their last four against Napoli and so they will be looking to turn the tables a bit.
If you look at the top of the table (at the top three specifically), there are some ridiculous margins going on. Juventus are top of the pile, eight points clear of second-placed Napoli. Napoli, in turn, are eight points clear of third-placed Inter. At this stage of the season that’s some crazy gaps between the leading three teams.
Napoli are in great form at the moment on the domestic front as they have gone unbeaten in their last ten Serie A fixtures. They have hit the back of the net in each of their last six away games and Napoli are unbeaten in four away from home. Home and away they are W8 D2 in their last ten. It’s strong, but still not strong enough to contend with Juve.
Inter’s form isn’t there at the moment quite. Not overall home and away. They have a mixed run of W2 D2 L2 in their last six league fixtures. Over the weekend they could only pick up a 1-1 draw at Chievo who are rooted to the foot of the table. Inter have to have been disappointed with that. But at the San Siro they have been strong.
They are on a six-match winning streak on home soil in the Italian top flight. Last season Inter managed to find a way to contain the free-scoring Napoli last season, if not find a way to beat them. Will it be more of the same between them? Or will someone come up with a winner?
Inter have done superbly at home this season but they have just struggled in recent games against tougher opponents. Napoli are the stronger of the two sides overall and they can land a big three away points. The away win at 13/8 is a good proposition* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 10:54 p.m.)
25th December 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Juventus are the runaway leaders of the Serie A title race, holding an eight-point advantage at the top of the pile. They have yet to suffer a league defeat this season. It is Roma who are coming to challenge them in Turin on the weekend. Can the Old Lady keep their hot winning form going? Read our Juventus v Roma betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 5:51 p.m.)
There was yet another win for Juventus last weekend as they collected a 1-0 success at Torino in the Italian top flight. That was their seventh straight victory. This season they have gone W15 D1 L0 in Serie A. Their one failure to win a league game this season was in a 1-1 home draw against Genoa back in October. This season in their home games they have averaged exactly two goals per game in the league. Only 38% of their league games in Turin have gone above 2.5 goals this season. That’s partly down to them only conceding four home goals this season.
Juventus have won 50% of their home games to nil and they have been leading at the half time break in five of their eight home fixtures (D3). They have posted a W7 D1 record in their eight home games this season. The Old Lady haven’t conceded a goal in any of their last five league games home and away combined. There are some obvious choices in the goalscorer markets. Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in four of Juve’s last five games. Seven of Juventus’s last nine league goals have been scored by either Ronaldo or Mario Mandzukic
Juventus took a 1-0 home win over Roma last season
Juventus have won their last three home games against Roma by a 1-0 scoreline
Roma have won just one of the last five league meetings (D1 L3)
Juventus are unbeaten in eight league home games against Roma
Juventus have a clean sheet in four of their last five home games against them
Roma beat Genoa 3-2 on home soil last weekend in the Italian top fight and that was a win that they needed. They were winless in three before that. Overall they have only gone W2 D4 L2 in their last eight Serie A games so have been struggling a bit. They have won just two games on their travels in the league as well (D3 L3). Roma have not won away at any side currently in the top half of the table. Across their away fixtures in the Italian top flight this season they have scored eight goals and have conceded nine. Just 25% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
Roma are winless in four road games (D3 L1) at the moment. Looking at their overall form home and away they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last eight games. 67% of the goals that they have conceded on their travels have been in the second half of games. But as a positive, they are the fourth-top scorers in the league, but the bulk of those have been delivered at home. 72% of their league goals have been scored at home. Roma have opened the scoring in four of their eight road games
Juventus have been in tremendous form this season and Roma don’t look good enough to avoid defeat in Turin. Given the recent run of results that Juve have posted over them, a repeat 1-0 scoreline in Juve’s favour looks solid.
21st December 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There is a top three clash in Serie A on Friday night as league leaders Juventus play host to third-placed Inter Milan. While this is a top three clash Inter are a massive eleven points behind the leaders and even at this stage look to have far much to do to catch up. Still, they will be looking to become the first side to beat the Old Lady in the league this term. Read our Juventus v Inter betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 5th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
Juventus picked up a good 3-0 road win at Fiorentina last weekend. That was their fifth league win on the bounce. It extended their unbeaten form for the league season too out to W13 D1 which is pretty impressive. In Turin, they have a W6 D1 record, the only failure to win there was a 1-1 draw against Genoa in late October. On home soil in Serie A Juventus have averaged over two goals per game. They have only shipped the four home goals against them as well. Juventus have a clean sheet in 43% of home games this term.
Juventus have earned a clean sheet in each of their last three league outings home and away combined and at home, less than half of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. The Old Lady have hit the back of the net in all of their league matches this season, scoring at least two in each of their last five alone. They have also been leading at the halftime break in five of their seven home games. Cristiano Ronaldo is on a three-match scoring streak in the Italian top flight.
There was a 0-0 draw between them last season in this corresponding fixture
Juventus are unable in six home games against Inter in all competitions
Both teams have scored in just two of the last eight in all competitions
In the last six league meetings, Juve are W3 D2 L1 against Inter
Just two of the last six league clashes have gone over 2.5 goals
Inter failed to earn maximum points last weekend as they were held to a 2-2 draw at Roma. They have gone W9 D2 L3 in Serie A this season which has been a great return from them. Away from the San Siro their record is W4 D1 L2 but are winless at D1 L1 in their last two. That was after winning four away games on the bounce. Inter have conceded six goals in their last road games and that was after only conceding two in their previous five. Out on their travels, Inter have come up with 12 goals in their 7 games and 71% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Inter have scored 67% of their away goals in the second half of games and they have shipped 75% of away goals after the halftime break. Their scoring form has been consistent this season as they have gotten on the scoreboard in each of their last ten league games (home and away combined). They are on a six-match scoring streak away from home in the league too. Each to their last five games home and away have made it over 2.5 goals. The only side to have conceded fewer goals in the league than Inter this season is Juventus. Only two teams have scored more than they have.
Juventus to win to nil at 6/4
Under 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 4th, 2018 at 6:34 pm)
It is just so hard to oppose Juventus, even in top clashes like this. They are so immensely strong in the league on home soil, that even Inter are probably going to struggle. Juve knows how to handle themselves in top matches like this. Home win to nil.
5th December 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There are two form sides having a showdown in this one on Monday night in a top-four clash. Inter are on a five-match winning streak in Serie A and will be looking to hold off the attentions of Lazio. Lazio are in great form too having won five of their last six in the league and they are just a point behind Inter. Read our Lazio v Inter betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 26th, 2018 at 1:21 p.m.)
Lazio have won back to back league games heading into this fixture, that was after banking a comfortable 2-0 away win at Parma last weekend. Both of those wins were with a clean sheet. In their last seven league games, Lazio have powered their way to a W6 L1 record, with the only reverse in that sequence happening in a fixture against Roma. Lazio have lost their two games so far this season played against sides currently in the top four (Napoli and Juventus) so that is a bit of a concern from a betting perspective. Lazio are W4 L1 at home this season, winning each of their last three.
Lazio have produced the seven home goals across four games this season and two of those games have seen them get a clean sheet. Under 2.5 goals is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). There is a good trend with Lazio in that they have opened the scoring in each of their four home games this season while they have not been trailing at halftime in any of them. Ciro Immobile is on a three-match scoring streak in the top flight. Immobile is 5/6 in the anytime goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). Lazio have put together a seven-match scoring streak in the top flight and four of their six wins this season have been by a one-goal margin.
Inter took four points from league meetings with Lazio last season
Three of the last four meetings have produced an away win (D1) (all competitions)
Four of the last five meetings in all competitions have gone over 2.5 goals
Lazio have lost their last two league home games against Inter
Inter have scored exactly three goals in three of their last four league games against Lazio
Inter are unbeaten in four Serie A games against Lazio (D2)
Inter came out on top in a Milan derby last weekend, Mauro Icardi getting the weekend deep into stoppage time for them at the San Siro. Those three points moved Inter onto a five-match winning streak in the top flight. Four of the six wins Inter have recorded this season have all been with a clean sheet as well. An Inter to win to nil option is at 9/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). The interesting thing about them in this one is that they have yet to face a current top four side either home or away this season.
Inter are on a three-match winning streak away from home, shipping only two goals in their four road fixtures. The 1-1 correct score option is the shortest-priced option in the market at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). Inter have scored the bulk of their goals (83% actually) away from home in the second half of games. They have opened the scoring in all but one of their four road games as well. The half time draw probably isn’t a bad option for this. Inter Milan have scored 54% of their goals after the 75th minute. Mauro Icardi has scored each of Inter’s last three goals in Serie A and Icardi is at 6/5 in the anytime goalscorer market
The draw tops out our prediction for Lazio v Inter. They have very similar form this season and the reason we can’t fully support Inter for a win is that they are untested against the top sides in the league so far. Draw.
28th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There is a good top seven showdown between Napoli and Roma on the weekend in Serie A. Napoli have been ticking over in fine form and will want to keep racking up the points in order to keep some pressure on leaders Juventus. Roma will be going into the game having had a three-match winning streak snapped. Read our Napoli v Roma betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 26th, 2018 at 1:21 p.m.)
Napoli find themselves still in second place in Serie A this season, as they look for some way to try and close the gap on leaders Juventus. Napoli have taken back to back clean sheet wins in the league after beating Udinese last weekend. Four of their last five wins in the league have actually been with a clean sheet as well. Napoli to win to nil is at 9/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm)
They have plenty of scoring power in them and Napoli have averaged over two goals per game at home this season while they have earned a clean sheet in three of their four on home soil. Both teams not to score is at 6/5 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm) for Sunday’s meeting with Roma. Of the goals that they have come up with on home soil, 78% of them have been in the second half of matches so far.
Napoli’s overall league form is W7 D0 L2 for the season and one of those defeats were against Juve. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have won all but one of their last nine league games at home in the top flight. Eight of their last ten games have produced over 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm) for this one. Lorenzo Insigne, who is on a three-match scoring streak at home in the league got a knock in the Champions League in midweek and is a doubt.
The two traded away wins in Serie A last season
Each of the last four meetings have produced an away win
Both teams have scored in three of the last four clashes
Napoli are winless in their last three home games against Roma (D1 L2)
Three of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Roma had a three-match winning run snapped after they took a surprise home defeat against SPAL last weekend. Their away form this season is W2 L2 and this will be their first serious away test of the season. They have yet to face anyway currently in the top eight away from home this term. Both wins that Roma have taken on the road this season have been with a clean sheet.
Roma have scored four and have conceded four goals in their four away games. Three of their four away goals have come in the second half of matches. The half time draw is at 7/5 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). Just one of their four road games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. However, largely based on their home form, only Napoli and Juventus have produced more league goals than Roma have done this season. The issue perhaps with them is at the back.
That is because of the current top seven sides in Serie A, Roma have the worst defensive record of them all. They have conceded a total of twelve goals in their nine league games this term. Former Manchester City striker Edin Dzeko has scored half of their away goals this season and is at 6/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm)
We can see the strengths of Napoli coming through this test here. They have home advantage and superior scoring power to that of the visitors. The away form of Roma has not looked strong enough to cause an upset here. Home win.
27th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
It is a big Milan derby at the San Siro on the weekend and it should be a good showdown. Inter are up in third place in the table four points clear of Milan who are a long way down the standing in tenth. So Milan could make a massive move for themselves with a win in this one. Read our Inter v AC Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 17th, 2018 at 9:55 p.m.)
Inter are on a big four-match winning streak in Serie A, so were really starting to put it together after some sticky form early on. They are W2 D1 L1 at home this season but have won their last two there. They have scored exactly two goals in three of their four home games. We do feel this is going to be close and competitive and an Inter Milan 2-1 correct score option is at 17/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). Four of their six home goals this season have been netted in the first half of games. They have not conceded a first-half goal on home soil yet this term. The half time draw looks a pretty solid option for this one.
Four of their five wins this season have been by a one-goal margin only so Inter to win by a one-goal margin is handily priced up at 3/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). Their big threat up front is Mauro Icardi who has three goals in his last three games for Inter. He has just the one at home through this season which was from the penalty spot. Everything about this game just screams that it is going to be competitive. Opening up a seven-point lead over the rivals with a win would go down a treat.
AC Milan have started putting things together well too this season. They lost their opener against Napoli but have remained undefeated in their six league games since (W3 D3). A win would be huge for them as it would put them to within a point of Inter (who start in third) and AC Milan would have a game in hand over them as well. AC Milan have outscored their rivals this season in the league, despite having played a game less. They have fifteen against Inter’s twelve goals.
So that is a good indicator that they are going to pose a big challenge to Inter here. Both teams to score is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). They have had their issues at the back to be fair as they have not yet earned a clean sheet in Serie A so far. They have shipped exactly one goal in five of their seven league games this season. Their defeat at Napoli is their only game so far this season against a current top four side. They have only picked up a W1 D2 L1 record on their travels this season. They went into the international break having scored seven goals in two though.
Last season there was a 3-2 win for Inter in this fixture, with the reverse ending in a 0-0 draw. Three of the last four Milan derby matches in Serie A have finished in a draw. Over the last six league meetings, Inter are narrowly ahead with a W2 D3 L1 record. Four of the last five meetings have actually gone over 2.5 goals.
There is a nice odds-against price on Inter to come out on top in this game. It should be another tight contest between them, but Inter shade things ever so slightly in overall quality and are the more settled of the two.
18th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Basically at this point punters are probably just waiting to see when it is that the winning streak of Juventus comes to an end. They are eight wins from eight games played so far. They go up against Genoa on the weekend who are next in line to try and stop the dominance of the Old Lady. Read our Juventus v Genoa betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 17th, 2018 at 9:00 p.m.)
When will Juventus fail to win a league match? No-one has stopped them in their opening eight games of the season and that includes second-placed Napoli and fourth-placed Lazio who have both failed against them already. Juventus have scored at least two goals in each of their four home games in the league this season.
With an eye on a Champions League return next week we are looking at a Juventus 2-0 correct score option at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 7:35 pm). They took a comfortable 3-1 win over second-place Napoli in their last home game.
Four of their eight wins in the league this season have been by a 2-0 scoreline so there is a trend there. Cristiano Ronaldo has made a solid start for them but probably not quite as prolific as the club and fans would have hoped.
Still, we aren’t going to oppose him as the 2/1 first goalscorer favourite for the match* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 7:35 pm). The other sensible option for the game from a betting perspective is probably Juventus to win to nil.
Genoa are charged with a tricky return to action then. They lost 3-1 at home against Parma just before the international break which leaves them at W4 D0 L3 for the season. Two of those three wins have been away from home. Their away success came against Frosinone, the side currently second from bottom in the table. Genoa actually haven’t been a goal-shy side, they have done well going forward and are the current top scorers in the bottom half of the table.
The problem is, they have the joint third-worst defensive record in the entire league. Still, we are going under 2.5 goals at 6/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 7:35 pm). In their three league defeats alone this season they have conceded twelve goals. There is a clear trend with them. They have lost all of their games against sides currently in the top half of the table. They have won all games against sides currently in the bottom half.
These two met three times last season and Juventus won all meetings across Serie A and the Coppa Italia. They are currently on a four-match winning streak against Genoa. At home they have won their last five in a row in Serie A against Genoa, not conceding a single goal in any of those games. Both teams have scored in just two of the last eleven meetings.
Business as usual it is likely to be for Juventus as they continue to outclass the rest of the division. There is Champions League action coming up in the week, so we can see them conserving. A comfortable 2-0 win here looks solid.
17th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting