The Gunners misfired last weekend throwing away a lead at Newcastle to end up suffering a defeat. That was a huge blow to their hopes of finishing in the top five this season. They get back to home soil this weekend as they face a West Ham side who narrowly avoided defeat at home on Monday night. The Hammers found themselves trailing relegation-threatened Stoke before Andy Carroll popped up with a late equaliser to save their blushes.
Arsenal 1/2, Draw 13/4, West Ham 24/5* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Gunners slipped to a 2-1 defeat at Newcastle last weekend after having taken the lead in the match. That snapped a three-match winning streak that they were on. But it just another part of their poor away season that they have had. They are on a three-match winning streak at home and have won five of their last six at the Emirates (L1) the loss in that sequence happening against Manchester City. Arsenal’s overall home form for the season is W13 D2 L2 and they have scored at least three goals in five of their last six on home soil. As Arsenal have been leading at half time so often at home this season then an Arsenal/Arsenal half-time/ full-time bet with Coral at 13/10 odds should appeal* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). The Gunners have scored well at home this term with 45 goals in their 17 games and 76% of their home fixtures have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Each of their last eight at the Emirates have done so. They have actually collected a clean sheet in 47% of their home games as well.
The Hammers rescued a late point at home against Stoke on Monday night thanks to Andy Carroll. That left them in a pretty good spot, seven points clear of the drop zone. They are now on a three-match unbeaten streak of form in the top flight (W1 D2), with their last two both being 1-1 draws. Their away form will be a little bit of a concern for them though as they have taken only the one point from their last four road games, but that was in a good draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in their last road game. West Ham have collected only one clean sheet in their last six games so are going to get exposed at the back and overall they have only won twice on their travels this season in a W2 D6 L9 record. Both teams to score with Coral is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) and the Irons have scored in each of their last nine away games, with exactly one in each of their last four. So it may be worth backing them to get on the scoresheet even if the final result doesn’t go their way. An Arsenal 2-1 correct score option at Coral is at 7/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). It’s just about grinding to the end of the season now for the Hammers to ensure they hold on to their safety.
The Gunners were held to a 0-0 draw at West Ham earlier this season in the league but they did also meet up with the Hammers in the EFL Cup in December, with Arsenal taking a 1-0 home win. The Gunners have three straight clean sheets against West Ham in all competitions now and they are unbeaten in their last five against them (W4D1). Arsenal are on a nine-match undefeated streak at home against West Ham in the league, scoring exactly three goals in each of their last four.
The Gunners have been good enough at home this season to suggest that they can win out in this London derby. They have a higher priority in winning the UEFA Europa League this season but still, they should collect three home points, but back both teams to score.
19th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Stoke’s relegation concerns got a little bigger on Monday night as they failed to hold on and take a win at West Ham. After plenty of effort and getting so close to three points, they couldn’t deliver the goods and still have a tremendous amount of work to do to get safe. Burnley had to squeeze in an extra midweek game though as they look to extend their winning away form.
Stoke 7/5, Burnley 21/10, Draw 11/5* (Betting Odds taken at 4:32 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
That is a ten-match winless streak of form that Stoke are on at the moment. They so nearly had three points in the bag at West Ham on Monday night, but they shipped a late equaliser. There was plenty of effort put out by the Potters though, they just need the quality to try and get those wins. They are on a three-match losing streak at home going into this one and have taken just two points from their last five home fixtures. The Potters have come up with just the three goals in that sequence of home games too. Both teams to score at bet365 should be a decent option at even money* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 17th, 2018) because they are going to push and scrap going forward and they aren’t all that good at the back. Stoke have scored 18 goals in 17 home games this season, netting in their two, but they have shipped exactly two goals in each of their last three home games. In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 17th, 2018). Can the Potters bag themselves some survival point?
It has been a fantastic run from the Clarets who have strung together three away wins on the bounce in taking down West Ham, West Brom and Watford. They have taken their chances and surprisingly they have netted at least two goals in each of those three successes. The goals have been flowing well from them lately and in amongst them well has been striker Chris Wood who has three in his last three road games. Wood is the 6/5 bet365 anytime goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken on April 17th, 2018 at 4:17 p.m.) for the game. Burnley’s away form reads W7 D 6 L4 for the season and they have lost just one of their last five (W3 D1) away from Turf Moor. They do have only the one clean sheet in their last six road games and it may just be worth looking over 2.5 goals each of their last three have ended up that way. This season Burnley have taken away wins at Southampton and West Brom, two of the other current bottom three in the league. That’s all with them having only scored 19 goals in 17 away games, but they have conceded at an average of under a goal per game.
Burnley collected a 1-0 home win over Stoke earlier in the season and that is back to back home win that they have collected over the Potters. Burnley have lost just one of their last six against the Potters in the league now in a W3 D1 L1 record. Both teams have not scored in each of the last four meetings now and five of the last six have gone under 2.5 goals.
The draw may be a viable option here considering that Burnley had to go through a midweek game. They are the better of the two sides at the moment, but it’s been a busy week so back the Potters to avoid defeat in a draw.
18th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Crystal Palace did their survival hopes the power of good last weekend with a 3-2 win at home over Brighton last weekend. That was just the boost they needed and will be looking to get something out of this trip to Watford. The Hornets stayed out of form with a 1-0 defeat out at Huddersfield on the weekend, leaving them with just one point from their last five games.
Crystal Palace 6/4, Watford 13/8, Draw 21/10* (Betting Odds taken at 4:04 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
Watford’s form has really taken a nosedive. They have collected only the one point from their last five league games played now which was a home draw against Bournemouth at the end of March. The Hornet’s lost 1-0 at Huddersfield on the weekend and things just aren’t happening for them. They have now failed to score in three of their last five games and under 2.5 goals at Paddy Power is at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:04 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). As a positive, Watford have scored in each of their last twelve home games which is a great streak so backing both teams to score in the match should be a decent option. At the back, they have conceded at least two goals in their last two home fixtures. Watford have conceded 1.76 goals per game at home on average this season. Of the goals that they have netted at Vicarage Road this season 68% of them have cropped up in the second half of games so perhaps a half-time draw is worth a look as well. In total Watford have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their home league games this season.
The Eagles gave themselves a huge boost on the weekend with a 3-2 win at home over Brighton which just eased them away a little further from trouble. They aren’t out of the woods yet though but they could get something out of this as they are catching Watford at the right time by the look of it. Palace’s away form is just W3 D5 L9 but they have collected four points from their last two road games. Palace are on a nine-match scoring streak away from home at the moment and they have netted exactly two in their last two. The Paddy Power correct score market has the 1-1 draw as the shorted priced option but a Crystal Palace 2-1 success could offer some appeal at 9/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:04 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Of the goals that Crystal Palace have scored on their travels, 71% of them have come in the second half of matches. Luka Milivojevic is their top scorer away from home this season with six road goals and he is a 16/5 anytime goalscorer option* (Betting Odds taken at 4:04 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) for this one.
Palace were 2-1 winners at home earlier this season and that is a four-match undefeated streak of form that they have going over Watford across all competitions. Palace’s last two wins over the Hornets have been by a 2-1 scoreline and last season they took a draw at Vicarage Road, leaving them unbeaten there in their last six visits in all competitions.
Crystal Palace have enough energy and gusto about them to go and get three points. Things just aren’t happening for Watford at the moment, so back the visitors to pull of three massive survival points at Vicarage Road.
18th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It will be party time at the Etihad on the weekend as the Citizens can celebrate their title win. Manchester United’s loss at home against West Brom last weekend gave City the title in a bit of an anticlimax. Regardless, City will look to mark the occasion with another home win which could leave some pressure on Swansea who are just above the drop zone.
Man City 1/7, Draw 7/1, Swansea 14/1* (Betting Odds taken at 4:36 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Citizens will get to celebrate winning the league title as they step out at the Etihad on the weekend. They probably would have liked to have been in a position of winning the league title with victory in this one, but that’s not the way it panned out. City were superb last weekend in landing a 3-1 win at Spurs, especially after the rough run of form that they had over the previous week or so. City’s long winning streak at home was broken with a loss against rivals Manchester United in their last home game, but that’s just part of a W14 D1 L1 record they have posted on home soil. The Citizens will probably look to enjoy themselves in this one and they have averaged 3.31 goals per home game this season. So a Man City 3-0 correct score option at Betfair for 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:36 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) isn’t a bad option to consider really. Either way, City are going to be value to back to win to nil, having conceded at under a goal per game on average this season. City have scored in all of their home games this season and 68% of their home goals have been in the second half of matches.
Not a great game for Swansea to face given their position in the league. They still have big relegation concerns and are on a four-match winless streak of form (D3 L1) after playing out a home draw with Everton on the weekend. Their away form isn’t great either with a winless streak of six going away from the Liberty Stadium. Overall they have only won twice on their travels this season (D6 L9) and they can’t really be expecting too much out of this one. The Swans have returned only 11 away goals all season in the league and 64% of their away goals have come in the second half of matches. They have at least scored in five of their last seven away games but it hasn’t been enough to get themselves the wins that they have needed often enough. At the back they have taken just the one clean sheet in their last six league outings home and away. They are going to be vulnerable here, especially given the occasion but they may well be able to keep the game under 3.5 goals which is 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:36 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) at Betfair. Following this they face Chelsea and then have to really put their survival stock in their easier three games at the end of the season.
The Citizens romped to a 4-0 win at the Liberty Stadium back in December and that is a four-match winning streak that they are on against the Swans in all competitions now. They are unbeaten in their last eleven Premier League games against the Welsh outfit and have won all previous six home matches in the EPL against Swansea. Each of City’s last three home wins against them have been by a 2-1 scoreline. Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine clashes in all competitions.
Manchester City will probably just go out and enjoy the smiles in this one. That could make them extra dangerous, because if they are relaxed and creative, Swansea could be in for a bruising afternoon. City to win to nil.
18th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
All credit to West Brom for pulling out a shock win at Old Trafford last weekend. That was a big win for them, but it does little for their survival chances as they are still well adrift at the foot of the table. Liverpool continued in their winning ways at Anfield last weekend with a success over Bournemouth and will be looking to secure more points in the pursuit of a second place finish.
Liverpool 4/9, Draw 7/2, West Brom 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Baggies pulled a shock result out of their hat last weekend by taking a 1-0 win at Old Trafford. It was a performance of organised commitment as well, something that has been lacking this term. So that’s four points form their last two league games now so they are looking to finish the season with a flourish even if it ends in likely relegation. The Baggies will be looking to snap a five-match winless streak of form at the Hawthorns on the weekend as they face Liverpool (D1 L4). Their clean sheet at Old Trafford on the weekend was their first since a 2-0 home win over Brighton back on January 13th. West Brom have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last ten league games. Their home form this season reads just W2 D8 L7 which is obviously why they are in relegation trouble. The Baggies have actually scored in each of their last seven home games and as they have conceded in each of their last five so both teams to score at bet365 is a good option at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). West Brom have netted 18 goals in 17 home games this season and Jay Rodriguez, who got the winner at Old Trafford is their top scorer now this season with seven.
Liverpool eased to a 3-0 home win over Bournemouth on the weekend, so they had no European hangover whatsoever. The Reds are W3 D1 L1 in their last five league games and they have only actually won one of their last three on the road W1 D1 L1, playing out a 0-0 with Everton in their last road game, but they made a lot of changes to their starting lineup for that. Overall this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L4 on the road and they have averaged over two goals per away game. Mo Salah was at it again last weekend and he is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 2/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Twelve of his thirty league goals this season have come away from home. Liverpool have netted in 82% of their away games this season and they have only failed to win one of their seven away games (L1) against the current bottom eight sides in the league at the moment. In the bet365 correct score market Liverpool 2-1 option is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) and with good appeal.
Liverpool have met West Brom twice this season and have failed to beat them. There was a 0-0 draw between them in the league at Anfield back in December and then they met in the FA Cup fourth round and the Baggies pulled off a shock 3-2 win at Anfield, a game stacked with VAR controversy to get through. In the last five Premier League meetings, Liverpool are W2 D3 and West Brom are winless in four home league games against the Reds.
West Brom did so well last weekend, but their defence is going to come under a lot more pressure than what Man United’s attack put them under. There should be three points heading Liverpool’s way in a game which finishes over 2.5 goals.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Foxes suffered a defeat out at Burnley on the weekend to leave them with back to back league losses. So it’s not quite happening for them at the moment. They could heap some more relegation pressure on Southampton in midweek though. The Saints blew a 2-0 lead against Chelsea on the weekend to still end up losing and are now five points from safety.
Leicester 5/4, Southampton 11/5, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
Leicester have lost back to back league games which was after winning back to back games which was after drawing back to back games. So they are W2 D2 L2 in their last six. They have failed to win any of their last four at home (D3 L1) so are due for a win at the King Power. The Foxes are W6 D5 L5 for the season at home in the Premier League and they are on a seven-match scoring streak there so should be able to come up with something. They have netted in each of their last ten games home and away combined. Both teams to score with Paddy Power is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) and that’s because Leicester aren’t particularly tight at the back. They have conceded in each of their last four on home soil so will be a little vulnerable there. The Foxes have come up with 22 goals in their 16 home games this season and only 44% of their home fixtures have managed to get above 2.5 goals. Jamie Vardy is on a four-match scoring streak in the Premier League and is the 7/2 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) with Paddy Power.
That will have been a rough defeat for Southampton on the weekend, losing a 2-0 lead to come away empty-handed against Chelsea. This is now a game which they can’t afford to lose. They have lost their last four league games on the bounce and they are winless in seven (D2 L5). It has been a poor defensive sequence with them having conceded exactly three goals in each of their last four games, but they have shown a bit of fight with back to back 3-2 losses against Arsenal and then Chelsea. They badly need something out of this but are on a three-match losing streak away from St Mary’s and have won just twice not their travels all season (D6 L8). So it’s poor from them and they have averaged lees than a goal per game away from home so far, conceded at 1.8 on average per game. They have conceded in each of their last six away from St Marys and have in total, managed a clean sheet in just 19% of their road games. At this stage, they just have to have a go and throw everything at their remaining games. There really isn’t the option anymore of them being conservative. In the Paddy Power correct score market the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:12 p.m. on April 15th, 2018).
Leicester were big 4-1 winners when they visited St Marys earlier this season. In the previous seven Premier League meetings the Foxes are W3 D2 L2 against the Saints. Last season’s meeting at the King Power ended in a 0-0 draw and the Foxes are unbeaten in their last four home games against Southampton. Leicester have not conceded in their last three at home against the Saints.
Leicester have a good chance to break out of their funk and get a home win here. The Saints will have more wind knocked out of them on the weekend. The Foxes can pounce and collect the three points at the King Power.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Burnley’s fantastic winning streak continued on the weekend as they took a home win over Leicester to make it five on the trot. It’s been fantastic for them and they are closing in on Arsenal for a sixth-place finish. Chelsea fought back from 2-0 away at Southampton to record a thrilling 3-2 victory in the end after producing a fantastic second-half performance. They still look shaky though.
Chelsea 10/11, Draw 13/5, Burnley 14/5* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
The Clarets have a big head of steam going at the moment with a five-match winning streak. Four of those wins have been by a 2-1 scoreline and in the bet365 correct score market a Burnley 2-1 option is at 14/1 odds a long way from the shortest priced option of a Chelsea 1-0 at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). The Clarets are unbeaten in four at home (W2 D2) and collected a 2-1 win over Leicester there on the weekend. They could jump above Arsenal into sixth place with three points in this one. Overall their home form is W7 D4 L5 for the season and they did hold Man City to a 1-1 draw just back in February. There have only been the 14 home goals from the Clarets this season, but they are defensively strong having conceded just 13 in 16 home fixtures. Only 25% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line however each to their last five (home and away combined) have gone over and over 2.5 goals at bet365 does appeal at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). Striker Chris Wood has now scored in four of their last five.
Chelsea showed a nice bit of team spirit and character on the weekend, fighting back from 2-0 down at Shoutmon to take a 3-2 win thanks to super-sub Olivier Giroud who got a brace, with Eden Hazard getting the other. That snapped a three-match losing streak of away from that Chelsea were on, so they needed that boost of confidence. Still, they look pretty messy at the back and both teams to score at bet365 is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). The Blues have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game this season but have conceded at over a goal per game now. 69% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. Chelsea doesn’t have a clean sheet in any of their last four away games and none in their last six home and away combined. It’s not been good from them at the back and 67% of the goals that they have conceded away from home have been in the second half of matches so they tend to switch off at the end of games it would appear. They have scored in 81% of their away games this season and Eden Hazard is their top away scorer with eight.
Burnley opened the season with a shock 3-2 win at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea. That was the first ever win for the Clarets over the Blues in the Premier League. Chelsea are W4 D2 L1 from their seven previous Premier League fixtures against the Clarets. Both teams have scored in each of the three previous Premier League meetings at Turf Moor and five of the seven previous top-flight clashes have gone above 2.5 goals.
Burnley are playing with such team spirit and confidence at the moment, that they may well be able to hold out. Chelsea are not looking particularly sound at the back by any stretch of the imagination, so back a midweek draw at Turf Moor.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Cherries couldn’t handle the attack of Liverpool at Anfield on the weekend, but then again, who can? They are still well on course of a mid-table finish and will fancy their chances at the Vitality in midweek against a Man Utd side who lost at home against West Brom on the weekend. It was such a strange result from United, losing against the bottom side in the league after having just beaten the league leaders.
Man Utd 7/10, Draw 14/5, Bournemouth 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
The Cherries were blown away 3-0 at Anfield on the weekend leaving them with only the one victory in their last eight league games now (D4 L3). At home they have suffered just the one defeat though in their last eight games at the Vitality, winning four of those so it’s not been from them on the south coast. It is well worth looking at the half time draw cropping up here as Bournemouth have been level at the break in 10 of their home games this term including their last two. A half-time draw at William Hill is at 6/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). The Cherries have scored in each of their last eight home games in the top flight and have netted exactly two in six of their last seven there. The problems have been at the back though because they are without a clean sheet in their last eleven home fixtures which isn’t good. It has led to 75% of their home games this season going over 2.5 goals which is a pretty high percentage. Overall they have taken a clean sheet in just 12% of their home games. 72% of Bournemouth’s home goals have been in the second half of matches.
The Red Devils lost at home against West Brom on the weekend in a strange result. With spirits high after beating Manchester City, United just went back into their shell, looked pretty lifeless and suffered the consequences. Away from home United are W9 D3 L4 for the season and have won their last two on the road at Crystal Palace and then that epic comeback at the Etihad. They have actually not managed to pick up a clean sheet in any of their last four away games so both teams to score at William Hill for 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) may be worth a flutter. They have averaged 1.75 goals per game on their travels and 61% of their away goals have been after the half time break. They have actually conceded more goals away from home in the opening 30 minutes of games than they have scored. It’s just all very strange from United’s players who look restrained and resigned at times. Romelu Lukaku is the 21/20 anytime goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 8:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) at William Hill.
The Cherries suffered only a 1-0 loss on their visit to Old Trafford earlier this season and that leaves them with a W1 D1 L3 record from their previous five Premier League games against the Red Devils. Both teams scored in four of those five meetings and from the previous two at the Vitality, it is one win each with both games going over 2.5 goals.
The Cherries may well have enough to rouse themselves for a good home performance in his one. They play with plenty of energy and pace, something that the Red Devils have been lacking a lot of lately. Draw.
16th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Seagulls failed to win for the fourth game in a row as they lost out at Crystal Palace on the weekend. They have a comfortable buffer between themselves and the drop zone though so are going to be safe. This is another game though which may not offer up much for them. Spurs had their long unbeaten stretch snapped as they found Manchester City too hot to handle at Wembley on the weekend.
Tottenham 4/9, Draw 15/4, Brighton 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
The Seagulls have taken just the one point in their last four league games. They had a right old ding-dong battle with Crystal Palace on the weekend at Selhurst Park, losing 3-2 but showing plenty of fight. The Seagulls have been alright at home recently with a W3 D1 L1 record at the Amex going, but they are winless in two there. Overall this season they have picked up a W6 D7 L4 record for the season at home. The half time draw at bet365 for 7/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018) is worth considering as Brighton have been level at the break in ten of their home fixtures this season. The Seagulls haven’t actually kept a clean sheet in any of their last seven league home games though and on average have conceded 1.4 goals per home game. They have taken a clean sheet in only 24% of their entire home games. But still with all that added up, less than half of their home games have gone above 2.5 goals so it’s worth looking under the goal line. Two-thirds of their entire matches this season have ended under 2.5 goals. Brighton have scored 64% of their home goals this season in the second half of matches.
Tottenham just didn’t get a look in at home against Manchester City on the weekend at Wembley, losing 3-1. They were a distant second best to the newly crowned Premier League champions. It snapped a fourteen match undefeated streak of form that they were on too. Their away form is still good though having put together a four-match winning streak away from Wembley, scoring at least two goals in each of their last three. Spurs are undefeated in their last eight road games in the top flight and overall this season on their travels they have produced a W10 D3 L4 record. The LIlywhites are on an eleven match scoring streak away from home and they have scored in each of their last 21 league games home and away combined. They will likely get a battle from the Seagulls and Spurs to win by a one-goal margin is at 11/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). Naturally, Harry Kane heads up the anytime goalscorer market but Christian Eriksen continues to perform so well for them at longer value. They start midweek only four points out of second place so need to keep competing.
Tottenham were 2-0 home winners over Brighton earlier this season and that is back to back wins over the Seagulls by that scoreline for them in all competitions now. That was the first Premier League meeting between the two sides and only the fifteenth meeting overall. From those previous clashes, it is Spurs who are 9-3 ahead with three drawn matches. Spurs did lose their last visit to Brighton which was back in the old Division One in 1983.
Tottenham may not have been good enough to match Man City, but they are good enough to beat most sides in the league. Look for some kind of response to come from the Lilywhites, but maybe a win by only the one-goal margin.
15th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Hammers rescued a good point for themselves last weekend in a London derby against Chelsea. That was a useful point towards their survival hopes. They head into the next round of matches six points away from the drop zone and they are looking as if they will be alright. There should be three points on offer at home for them here to further their cause, against a Stoke side who are on a four-match losing streak.
West Ham even money, Draw 11/5, Stoke 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 00:33 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
It was a good point that the Hammers picked up at Chelsea last weekend, showing some real belief in the final quarter of the match to get their spoils. They have won two of their last three home games (L1) part of an overall record of W6 D4 L5 this season on home soil. They have actually gone W3 D2 L1 in their last six home fixtures so it hasn’t been all that bad from them really. Their last two wins at home have been to nil and West Ham to win to nil at Coral is at 11/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:06 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) and a bit of a tempter. West Ham average 1.3 goals per home game this season in the top flight, but as they have been leading at half time just three times, it’s worth having a look at the half time draw. The Irons go into the weekend six points clear of the relegation zone and anything out of this would help their survival cause. They are the top scoring side in the bottom seven currently (ahead of the weekend’s action) and given they are taking on Stoke who have the worst defensive in the league, it could be a good afternoon for the Irons.
After losing four in a row, things are looking desperate now for Stoke. Even a win wouldn’t get them out of the drop zone on the weekend. They have had a rough run of games (Spurs, Man City and Arsenal in their last four) but they just aren’t even really looking close to coming up with solutions. They are winless in their last nine league games now and away from home have failed to win any of their last eleven. The Potters have failed to score in five of their last seven road games and in the Coral correct score market a West Ham 1-0 is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:06 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). Including this one there are manageable and even winnable matches still to come for Stoke, but getting them is going to be a different matter entirely. The Potters have just twelve away goals all season and have conceded an average of 2.25 goals per away game. They could be sinking into further trouble on the weekend.
West Ham were comfortable 3-0 winners at Stoke earlier this season and they are unbeaten in their last three Premier League games against the Potters now (W1 D2). The Hammers are unbeaten in their last three on home soil against Stoke but all of those have ended in a draw. They have been five draws in the last seven Premier League meetings between the two with a win each in the other two in that sequence.
West Ham are likely to drive home their home advantage in this one. It is such a good chance for them to ease their way to a safer position. Stoke, although they have had a tough fixture list lately, just don’t look as if they have a recovery in them.
14th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting