Pompey have some work to do to get themselves back into this tie. They trail 1-0 from their trip to the Stadium of Light in the first leg of this semi-final. This was always going to be a tight scrap between two very good teams. Can Portsmouth mount a response back at home? They may get a chance to, with the Black Cats having struggled for away results at the end of the regular season. Read our Portsmouth v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Pompey produced a W12 D7 L4 record at home across the course of the regular season. They are going to need to call on all of their home strengths of theirs. They were doing great at Fratton Park at the end of the regular season. They were on a four-match winning streak (seven undefeated) before a 2-3 reverse there against Peterborough in their final home game of the term. They closed out the season by scoring at least two goals in each of their last five home fixtures. In total, they averaged 1.8 goals per home game this season in their League One campaign. They conceded under a goal per game.
So this is still likely to be a tight game. Pompey took a clean sheet in 30% of their home games, which was a great effort. They did fail to get one in any of their final four at Fratton Park through this season. In total, home and away Portsmouth did not get a clean sheet in any of their last seven games. Pompey though scored in each of their final dozen games of the campaign. Of the twelve home wins that they recorded this season, eight of them were by a one-goal margin. Pompey scored 71% of their home goals for the season in the second period of fixtures, scoring the opening goal in 12 of their 23 home fixtures.
The Black Cats shook off a little slump in end of season form to give themselves an advantage in this tie. They failed to win any of their final four regular season games, taking the two points only in that sequence. Sunderland took just one win in their final seven games of the campaign. The Black Cats posted a W10 D9 L4 away record for the season in the division and interestingly they did struggle for away wins at teams in the top half of the table. Sunderland posted a W2 D6 L3 record this season in such matches.
The Black Cats took one point from their final three away games of the season and they failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last four on the road. They do have a positive of having scored in each of their last eleven games now, including the first leg of this semi-final. Of the four away defeats that Sunderland suffered this season, three of them were by a one-goal margin. They closed out their away campaign with back to back 2-1 defeats at Fleetwood and Southend. Of the goals which they shipped on their travels, 68% of them happened after the halftime break in game. Sunderland scored 65% of their away goals in the second half of games. They did open the scoring 14 road games for the season.
Given the pressure of the situation, this is likely going to be another tight scrap between the two teams. There is enough in Portsmouth’s form at home to hint that they will be working their way back into this tie. Portsmouth to win by a one-goal margin.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Sunderland have the chance at getting themselves back up to the second tier, but the fallen giant struggled for form down the back stretch of the season. Portsmouth finished three points above them in the play-off places but they too saw their winning touch desert them at the end of the season. Read our Sunderland v Portsmouth betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
So this will be an interesting clash as neither were particularly in great form at the end of the season. After such a strong and powerful campaign for pretty much its entirety, Sunderland ran out of steam about midway through April. They posted just one victory in their last seven games of the season, losing three of those. They closed out the season with back-to-back 2-1 away defeats at Fleetwood and Southend. The home record of Sunderland was highly impressive during the regular season as the Black Cats produced a W12 D10 L1 home record. They remained undefeated all the way through to their third-from-last home fixture of the season when they were toppled by Coventry in a thrilling 5-4 defeat.
Sunderland did manage to score in each and every home game played and they closed out the season on a 10 match scoring streak, home and away combined. So that is a big strength of theirs and they averaged exactly 2 goals per home game across the course of the season. But it is interesting to see that during the regular season Sunderland only claimed three victories in their 11 games against the final top 12 (D7 L1). Sunderland conceded just over a goal per game at home across the course of the season. Of the goals which they did concede home, 64% of them were conceded in the first-half of fixtures. Seven of their 12 wins at the Stadium of Light were by a margin of at least two goals during the regular season. Sunderland opened the scoring in 12 of their 23 home fixtures. Sunderland finished the regular season with the joint third highest tally of goals and the fourth best defensive record in League One.
Three of the last four league meetings have ended in a draw
There have been back to back 1-1 draw at the Stadium of Light
Both teams have scored in each of the last eight meetings
Sunderland are winless in three at home against Pompey
Portsmouth had some powerful form during their run in. From the start of March, they produced eight wins in their final 12 fixtures of the season (D2 L2). That was some finish from them and at one point they put together a seven-match winning streak, scoring a least two goals in each of those seven victories. Overall during the regular season, Portsmouth produced an away record of W13 D6 L4. However their away record against the other top six finishers at the end of the season was just a winless D3 L2 return. So Pompey did struggle their away games against the better sides in the division which makes this fascinating. Out on their travels during the regular season, Portsmouth averaged 1.8 goals per away game and 61% of all of their road fixtures went over 2.5 goals.
Because of a lack of clean sheets across the course of the season, that played a part in some high-scoring away fixtures for Portsmouth. Pompey claimed a clean sheet in just 17% of away games and both teams scored in 78% of their away fixtures. Portsmouth scored in each of their last 11 away games of the season but they claimed just the one clean sheet in their last 14 games out on the road. Home and away combined Pompey have no clean sheet in their last seven games. Of their 13 away wins posted during the regular season, 10 of them were by a one-goal margin. Portsmouth are leading at the halftime break in 12 of their 23 away fixtures. They conceded 66% of their away goals in the second period of games
There should be a really evenly matched contest over the two legs between these two. The home record from Sunderland across the course of the season cannot be ignored at all, but Portsmouth have the scoring power to trouble them. The draw in this first leg has the most appeal in the match outright.
8th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
This is a big game for both of these. Portsmouth still have a good chance at claiming automatic promotion this season. If they win on Tuesday night that leaves them one point behind the top two heading into the final weekend of action. As for Peterborough, they will move to within one point of the play-off spots if they can grab the victory. Read our Portsmouth v Peterborough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 28th, 2019 at 7:12 p.m.)
This is a high tension game at this stage of the season. On the weekend Portsmouth picked up a point away at Sunderland to keep their hopes of automatic promotion going. A win in this and they move up to within one point of the top two leaving a great opportunity open for them in the final weekend of action. Portsmouth are a team who have been in fantastic form as they were on a seven-match winning streak in League One before their draw against Sunderland on the weekend.
Portsmouth are on a four-match winning streak on home soil and they are undefeated in their last seven on the South coast. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four home games and they are currently on a 10 match scoring streak in the league, home and away combined.
Overall this season Portsmouth have taken a home record of W12 D6 L3 and they have averaged 1.8 goals per home fixture. It is not only the scoring power which they have produced but they have been tight in defence as well. Portsmouth have conceded at under a goal per game on home soil and less than half of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals.
In total Portsmouth have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their home fixtures. Going back to their scoring Portsmouth have scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight games, home and away. Of the 12 home wins which they have picked, up eight of them have been by a two goal margin at least. The negative for Portsmouth is that they have no clean sheet in their last five League One fixtures.
Portsmouth earned a 2-1 away win at Peterborough earlier this season
That is back-to-back league wins for Portsmouth over Peterborough which they have taken
Portsmouth have won five of the last six meetings in all competitions
Both teams have scored in just two of their last six meetings in all competitions
This is equally as big of a game for Peterborough. They missed big chance on the weekend as they lost 3-0 away at the relegation-threatened Walsall. Peterborough have not been having the greatest of time out on the road as they have lost three of their last five away from home, winning one of those. Overall this season they have recorded a decent enough W10 D5 L7 record on their travels it has just fallen apart a bit for them really since Christmas. Six of their seven away defeats have come since Boxing Day in the league.
They have scored well away from home this season as they average 1.7 goals per road fixture. But they have conceded at an average of 1.5 per game. 59% of Peterborough’s away games have ended over 2.5 goals. Of the goals which Boro have conceded away from home this season 72% have been shipped in the second period of fixtures.
Peterborough have opened the scoring in 12 of their 22 away games and they have scored two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of games. Of the seven away defeats which they have suffered this season, five of them have been by a at least a two-goal margin. If they don’t get the win out of this game, the chance at the top six finish will pass them by.
Portsmouth to win and both teams to score at 9/4 odds
Over 2.5 goals at 7/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 28th, 2019 at 7:12 p.m.)
It is really make or break for both of these in this game as both desperately need a victory to reach their own targets. However it is Portsmouth who are the ones with the stronger form at the moment and with them having home soil, it is the home win in the match outright which has the most appeal.
29th April 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting