Cardiff who are one of the favourites for relegation this season in the Premier League opened their account last weekend with a loss against Bournemouth. So they will be looking for some cheer in their first home game of the season. Newcastle also failed to record a point last weekend as they slipped at home against Tottenham. Read our Cardiff v Newcastle betting tips for more insights.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.)
Cardiff failed to get anything out of their trip to Bournemouth last weekend then but they did actually get a decent game out of new striker Bobby Reid who was their top player. Reid is at 3/1 odds while teammate Kenneth Zohore is 9/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) for the game. Zohore missed the opener through injury but looks ready to start.
Cardiff don’t look as if they are going to have too many goals about them this season and we can only look under 2.5 goals at 8/15 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) for the outcome of this game. Cardiff showed their style, long balls and firing balls into the box against Bournemouth and they created 10 attempts at goal but only one of them managed to get on target. The return of Zohore will help, but will it be enough?
Newcastle suffered a 2-1 home loss against Spurs last weekend with all goals coming in the first twenty minutes of action at St James’ Park. Joselu got the goal for the Magpies to make the score 1-1. The 1-1 draw in the bet365 correct score market for this fixture is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) and that will probably have a lot of appeal for punters. The loss against Tottenham means that Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League matches.
Each of those defeats were by a one-goal margin. It’s narrow margins, but it’s all working against the Magpies still. Away from home in the top flight last season Newcastle posted a W4 D4 L11 record and they tanked badly losing their last three away from St James’ Park. Newcastle are without a clean sheet in any of their last eight road games and they scored under a goal per away game on average last term in the top flight.
The last time that Cardiff and Newcastle met was just back in the 2016/17 Championship season and it was Newcastle who collected maximum points from the two meetings. The Magpies are actually on a ten-match winning streak against the Bluebirds in the last ten league meetings.
We have to look at the draw in the match outright for this fixture as there probably won’t be too much between them. Newcastle can’t really be trusted out on the road, while Cardiff will want to do everything in their power to avoid defeat in their opening home fixture. Draw.
16th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It has been another difficult summer for Newcastle with reported player-unrest at the club and boss Rafa Benitez not being supported in the transfer market. It could all add up to a difficult opener for them as they play host to Tottenham on Saturday lunchtime. Spurs will be looking to kick their new campaign into high gear right from the offer and again being quiet in the summer transfer market. Read our Newcastle v Tottenham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.)
So there has been the same old story at Newcastle of them working on a sell-to-buy business which means that little of significance has happened. They did do a swap deal with West Brom though, bringing in Salomon Rondon on a season-long loan deal, while shipping out Dwight Gayle to the Baggies. So that is another new forward at the club after Newcastle completed a deal for Yoshinori Muto from Mainz. After selling off Aleksandar Mitrovic to Fulham, Joselu is the only recognised striker at the club from last season’s campaign. It’s fair to say it hasn’t been the most inspiring of summer’s from Newcastle and under 2.5 goals is at 4/5 odds at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.).
Last season in the top flight Newcastle posted a W8 D4 L7 record on home soil where they managed just the 21 goals in their 19 games. We don’t see them as being much more prolific this time around despite the changes up front over the summer. This is actually a repeat of Newcastle’s opening game of last season which they lost 2-0 at home against Spurs. In the bet365 correct score market a repeat 2-0 scoreline for the Lilywhites is at 9/1 odds with the shortest priced option in at 6/1 for the 1-1 draw* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). As a positive, the Magpies have won five of their last six home games.
There are a lot of injury and fitness doubts for Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino to have to try and deal with. With the extra workload that a lot of the Tottenham players had at the World Cup, their preparations for the new season have been disrupted. It’s possible that the likes of Hugo Lloris, Kieran Trippier and Harry Kane will be on the sidelines. They will be losing Heung-Min Son to the Asian Games soon but he is an appealing 13/8 anytime goalscorer option for the game* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). After a third-place finish in the league, last season have they done enough over the summer to improve?
Tottenham posted a W10 D4 L5 record away from home last season and they are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 Premier League matches. They are very stable and very solid and have been consistently good at the back to tempt punters into a Tottenham to win to nil bet at 12/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). Tottenham won their first four away games last season, starting with that success at Newcastle on the opening weekend and three of those four victories were to nil. This opener may be about their strength of depth more than anything.
Tottenham won both meetings against the Magpies last season and both of the wins were to nil. They took a 2-0 away win in this corresponding fixture from last term. Things are actually even now in the last six Premier League meetings between the two clubs with three wins each. Spurs have won three of their last league visits to St James’ Park though.
We are going to back the draw in this one. Newcastle will be pumped up on home soil for this opener even if the pre-season hasn’t been pretty. They have a decent bit of home form and we are going to take a chance of a Newcastle-Draw Double Chance cropping up with Spurs understrength.
9th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle suffered a 1-0 loss against Spurs in midweek which moves them out to a four-match losing streak. They did play better in that game than they had in recent performances. After a home draw with Huddersfield in midweek, Chelsea’s top four hopes hang on them winning this and hoping Liverpool lose at home to Brighton.
Chelsea 1/2, Draw 3/1, Newcastle 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 9th, 2018)
The Magpies are on a four-match losing streak at the moment having suffered a 1-0 reverse at Spurs in midweek. Three of the four defeats in this current sequence Newcastle have lost 1-0 and all four were by a one-goal margin. Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin at Paddy Power is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). The alternative would be to go and look at a Chelsea 1-0 correct score option which is at 13/2 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.) and given that Chelsea don’t look potent up front, it’s not a bad proposition. The Magpies have produced just one goal in their last four games, but at home, their form isn’t bad. They were on a four-match winning streak and were unbeaten in seven at St James’ Park before a loss against West Brom in their last home fixture. Overall they are W7 D4 L7 for the season on home soil. They have taken two home wins against current top six sides this season having bettered both Arsenal and Manchester United.
Chelsea may have put together a good W4 D2 unbeaten streak of form but they are likely to miss out on the top four. They are really struggling in front of goal and really need a proven scorer up there. They create a lot of pressure without getting many clear-cut chances really. They made such hard work of breaking down Huddersfield in midweek in their 1-1 draw and then their goal only came through sheer luck. The Blues are on a three-match winning streak on the road and each of those were victories by a one-goal margin so there is that again. Overall away from Stamford Bridge this season Chelsea’s form reads W10 D3 L5. They have averaged 1.87 goals per game on their travels and 67% of their road games have ended over 2.5 goals. This just doesn’t have that feel about it and under 2.5 goals at Paddy Power is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). The Blues do have the fourth best defensive record in the top flight and the third best away record of all teams. In order to pull out a shock top four finish, they would have to win this while hoping that Liverpool blows their lines and lose at home to Brighton at the same time. It’s not too likely to happen.
Chelsea have taken back to back wins over Newcastle this season, one in the Premier League and one in the FA Cup. Both wins for the Blues were at Stamford Bridge and they scored exactly three goals in each. Chelsea have gone W4 D1 in their last five games against the Magpies in all competitions while both teams have scored in three of the last four. There was a 2-2 draw between them in their last meeting at St James Park.
Look for the draw in this one as Chelsea’s top four bubble really has been burst and this game isn’t going to matter either way for either of them. The Blues haven’t been terribly convincing so look for a share of the points.
11th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham’s form has dipped toward the end of the season without question, having picked up just one win in their last four league games. They suffered a shock defeat out at West Brom last weekend which not many people would have seen coming. Newcastle suffered their third straight loss last weekend as they fell at Watford.
Tottenham 1/6, Draw 6/1, Newcastle 14/1* (Betting Odds taken at 00:06 a.m. on May 6th, 2018)
There is a little bit of pressure on Spurs now after Chelsea beat Liverpool on the weekend. Spurs are clinging on to fourth place and only two points now ahead of Chelsea so they can’t afford any more slip-ups in this midweek fixture. The Lilywhites have only gone W1 D1 L2 in their last four games and they suffered a shock 1-0 loss at West Brom on the weekend. So they have dropped a lot of points lately which has allowed Chelsea to close the gap on them. But their last two games of the season are at home at least and Spurs have a good W11 D4 L2 record on home soil this season and they have won five of their last six at Wembley (L1). The loss was against Man City. Tottenham have averaged exactly two goals per game at home this season in the top flight and in the bet365 correct score market a Tottenham 2-0 is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:17 a.m. on May 7th, 2018). They need their good home form to be extended here to ease some pressure off them.
After their great four-match winning streak of form which saw them safe for the season, the Magpies have turned around and lost their last three. They weren’t very good at the back in their defeat at Watford on the weekend to be fair. Going forward they have only managed the one goal in their last three games. Each of the three defeats in that sequence have been by a one-goal margin only though and a Tottenham to win by a one-goal margin with bet365 is at 7/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:17 a.m. on May 7th, 2018). The Magpies have won just four times away from home this season, part of an overall W4 D4 L10 record and they have lost their away games at each of the other current top eight in the league. So the stats are not there for them. Newcastle have averaged a goal per game on their travels, having conceded an average of 1.6 per game. They have not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven away from St James’ Park.
The Lilywhites collected a good 2-0 away win at St James’ Park earlier this season but that snapped back to back defeats that they had suffered against the Magpies in the top flight. Spurs lost their last league home game against Newcastle 2-1. In the last five Premier League meetings things are pretty even with Spurs 3-2 ahead. Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings.
Newcastle look pretty much done for the season and even though Tottenham misfired on the weekend they should be good enough to go and collect a home win in this one. Look for Spurs to get the win to nil.
8th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
A season of early promise petered out for Watford and they are going to need to do some rebuilding over the summer. This will be their last home game for the season so they will be looking for one good performance to sign off with. Newcastle were ticking over in some nice from recently before suffering back to back losses in the top flight.
Watford 7/5, Newcastle 21/10, Draw 9/4* (Betting Odds taken at 8:08 p.m. on April 30th, 2018)
The end of the season can’t come quick enough for Watford as their long winless streak continues. They have gone D2 L5 in their last seven league outings now and during that run, they have failed to score in five of those. They were in action on Monday as they lost 2-0 at Tottenham without really threatening much. The Hornets are W6 D6 L6 at home this season and they are winless in three there (D2 L1). Watford have scored 25 goals in their 18 home games this season but they have conceded around 1.7 goals per game on home soil. There has been a clean sheet in less than a third of their games at Vicarage Road for the Hornets. Of the goals that they have come up with at home this term 68% of them have come in the second half of matches so the half-time draw at bet365 may offer some appeal, especially with the lack of goals from looks like a tired Watford side. With Newcastle safe for the season, there may not be many goals flying around at Vicarage Road on the weekend.
In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:15 p.m. on May 1st, 2018) and that is going to have some appeal as neither really look like winning this at the moment. Newcastle got themselves safe from relegation with a good run of wins and they have eased off since and even boss Rafa Benitez has admitted that. The Magpies have lost their last two games by a 1-0 scoreline and away from home this season they have only won four times (D4 L9) so it’s not too likely that they would break out three points in this one. The Magpies have averaged a goal per game on their travels this season but they have had troubles at the back because they have taken a clean sheet in just 12% of their games away from St James’ Park. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last six road games. There’s nothing at stake for them in this one.
Watford romped to a 3-0 success on their visit to St James’ Park earlier this season. That was their fourth straight win over the Magpies in all competitions, two of the last three being with a clean sheet. Watford have won their last two home fixtures against Newcastle (one league, one FA Cup) and both successes were by a one-goal margin. Overall the head to head is in Newcastle’s favour with them 14-12 ahead with 14 drawn matches.
The Hornets are value to back to get the win on the board in this one. It will probably be even and neither and particularly convincing but Watford will likely want to sign off with some kind of positive performance. Newcastle are already looking in a postseason mood at the moment, so back the home win.
2nd May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
West Brom collected a surprise point by earning a home draw against Liverpool on the weekend having come back from 2-0 down in the game. That continued their recent flourish of spirit and organisation. It has done little for their survival chances though and the Baggies could be relegated this weekend still. Newcastle will have had less rest going into this one after facing up to Everton on Monday night.
Newcastle 4/5, Draw 12/5, West Brom 15/4* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
The Magpies suffered a 1-0 loss at Everton on Monday night which snapped a great run of four straight wins that they were on. At least their great home form stays intact and they are on a four-match winning streak at St James’ Park and have stayed unbeaten in seven there (W4 D3). Overall this season Newcastle have a W7 D4 L6 record at home and four of their last five home wins have been with a clean sheet. Newcastle to win to nil at bet365 is at 15/8 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:25 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). The Magpies have done pretty well defensively on home soil to back that up, with them having conceded under a goal per game on average, taking a clean sheet in 35% of home games. Just 35% of their fixtures have gone above 2.5 goals at home this season. They have scored in each of their last six home league games and have totalled 18 goals in 17 home fixtures. So this have every indication that it is going to be a low scoring affair.
If the West Brom who have collected five points in their last three games would have turned up earlier this year, they may not have ended up in the relegation mess that they are. After taking a shock win at Old Trafford recently, they followed up that great result with a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool last weekend, fighting back for a point with two goals in the last ten minutes at the Hawthorns. So they have been playing with some character finally and the win at Old Trafford on April 15th snapped a four-match losing streak that they were on away from home. Their away record reads just W2 D4 L11 for the season though which is pretty terrible still, but they are looking to finish the season with a bang at least. The Baggies have returned only the nine goals away from home this season. In the bet365 correct score market a Newcastle 1-0 and the 1-1 draw are the shortest-priced options at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:25 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). 67% of the goals that West Brom have managed away from home this season have come in the second half of matches. They have also conceded 72% of their away goals in the second half of away matches.
There was an exciting 2-2 draw at the Hawthorns when the two met back at the end of November. That snapped a five-match sequence between the two of games finishing under 2.5 goals. From the last five Premier League meetings Newcastle have a slight edge with a W2 D2 L1 record on the board. They are W2 D2 from their last four home league meetings against the Baggies.
Newcastle may be able to sneak the win in this one. They have pretty decent home form at the moment and even though the Baggies are battling along with a bit of pride at the moment, they may find the Magpies too much to handle. Home win.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Gunners have hit a purple patch of form with a three-match winning streak under their belt as they head to Tyneside on Sunday. They can keep up the pressure on fifth-placed Chelsea with a three-point haul in this one. They may have a scrap on their hands though as the Magpies have also won their last three games.
Arsenal 11/10, Newcastle 9/4, Draw 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 00:33 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
The Magpies have won three straight league games for the second time this season so can be pleased with their work and look totally safe from relegation now. Their winning streak has been produced against Southampton, Huddersfield and Leicester and so this will be a tougher game for them. However, they have won their last three at home and are unbeaten in six on Tyneside (W3 D3). Among those wins was a 1-0 success over Manchester United in mid-February. Actually, five of Newcastle’s six home wins this season have been with a clean sheet. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is a good 43/40 odds option* (Betting Odds taken at 3:55 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) just because the Magpies look as if they could hold on defensively at the moment. They have four clean sheets in their last six home fixtures. Goals haven’t been all that easy to come by for them and as they averaged just a goal per game on home soil, but they have scored in each of their last five at St James’ Park. They have conceded at under a goal per game on average so again, this may not be a free-scoring fixture. Newcastle would be delighted with a point out of this you would imagine.
Like Newcastle, Arsenal have hit a purple patch of form with three-match winning streak going. They were all home games though and if you look just at their away form, it’s not good. They are on a four-match losing streak on their travels, their most recent being a 2-1 loss at Brighton in early March. Overall this season Arsenal have only produced a W3 D4 L8 record away from the Emirates which is really poor by their standards. They have only come up with the sixteen goals in fifteen away games as well, and that is another indicator that this could be tight. In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is a nice 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:55 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) option to consider. Two-thirds of their goals scored and two-thirds of their goals conceded away from home this season have all been in the second half of fixtures. Seven times this season they have been at 0-0 at half time away from home so a half-time draw should appeal. The Gunners are without a clean sheet in their last six road games now and are winless in five on the road.
Arsenal have won the last three Premier League games against Newcastle all by a 1-0 scoreline. They are on a massive ten-match winning streak against the Magpies at the moment and six of those have been to nil. Seven of those ten victories in the sequence were won by a one-goal margin only by the Gunners. Arsenal are on a four-match winning streak at St James’ Park in the league.
Newcastle to win: The Gunners had extra work in midweek to get through in the Europa League, and that could work against them. Newcastle are carrying solid home from now and the Magpies just may be worth having a flutter on to break Arsenal’s winning streak.
12th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Foxes have put together back to back league wins now to hold down a top-eight spot. They will be looking for more on the weekend as they face up to Newcastle at the King Power. The Magpies have done very well to stave off any relegation concerns that they could have had this season and like the Foxes have won their last two.
Leicester 10/11, Draw 5/2, Newcastle 3/1* (Betting Odds taken at 8:11 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
The Foxes are running on a four-match undefeated streak of form, winning their last two, both away games at West Brom and Brighton. So it’s back to the King Power then where they have drawn their last three league games 1-1. In the Paddy Power correct score market a 1-1 option is right there at the head of the market at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:01 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Leicester have found the back of the net in each of their last six home games in the league but they have shipped in each of their last three there so both teams to score at Paddy Power is worth considering at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Jamie Vardy has been in decent form recently in front of goal and the England man is at 10/3 odds with Paddy Power* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018) in the first goalscorer market. Surprisingly only 40% of Leicester home games this season in the top flight have made it above 2.5 goals, so consider under.
The Magpies have done enough to get themselves safe it would seem, now sitting a comfortable seven points away from the drop zone heading into the weekend. Newcastle have earned a W3 D4 L8 record on their travels this season in the top flight and they have failed to win any of their last four now (D2 L2). They have averaged exactly one goal per away game this term while they have shipped at a rate of 1.7 per game on average. They have failed to bag a clean sheet in any of their last four away from St James Park. 64% of the goals they have conceded on the road have been in the second half of matches. They have been level at the break 0-0 in five of their road games this far and should be good value to back in a half time correct score at Paddy Power. They are looking much more settled now while they are still really lacking the goals to really put teams to the sword. They do have the best defensive record of all teams starting eighth or lower this weekend in the top flight.
There was a five-goal thriller between the two at St James Park earlier in the season with Leicester taking a 3-2 way win. That makes it four Premier League wins on the bounce now for them against the Magpies, three of those with a clean sheet as well. Leicester are unbeaten in their last seven home games against Newcastle in all competitions (W3 D4) currently riding a three-match winning streak there.
Leicester have key players in good form at the moment and there should be enough in them to collect the three points in this duel. Newcastle are always a little bit of a threat on quick counter-attacks, but that’s Leicester’s area of expertise too. Home win.
5th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It is a big game for both of these at St James’ Park on Saturday. Just the one point separates the two of them with Newcastle on 32 points and the Terriers on 31. That leaves them four and three points away from the drop zone respectively. There’s a lot of work for them both still to do to get to the position of being able to breathe easy.
Newcastle 3/4, Draw 12/5, Huddersfield 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 04:25 a.m. on March 26th, 2018)
The Magpies have lost only one of their last six league fixtures now (W2 D3) so are ticking over nicely. They banged out a 3-0 home success over Southampton just before the international break, a huge three points for themselves and it moved them out to back to back wins on home soil in the top flight. The Magpies are unbeaten in their last five home games now and are looking increasingly likely to stave off any threats of relegation. Three points in this one would go a long way to helping that as well. Newcastle have back to back clean sheets at home and Newcastle to win to nil at Betvictor is at 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 05:09 p.m. on March 26th, 2018). Newcastle have scored in each of their last four league games at home now and are starting to shape up well. Only 33% of their home fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals so it’s worth looking under the goal line totally for this match up. This is a massive chance for the Tynesiders to haul themselves to safety.
The Terriers are under increasing pressure now after losing against Crystal Palace in a big showdown before the international break. They are only three points above the drop zone going into this one and a loss would be a big blow for them in seeing Newcastle move four points clear of them. .Huddersfield have lost four of their last five away games (W1) their only bright spark in that sequence coming with a win at the Hawthorns against West Brom. They failed to hit the back of the net in each of those four away defeats and overall home and away they have failed to score in eight of their last eleven Premier League fixtures. So they are probably going to struggle to get themselves on the ball and to dig out what would be just their fourth away win of the season (W3 D2 L10). In the Betvictor correct score market a Newcastle 1-0 is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 05:09 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) the shortest priced option to be snapped up in the market. Huddersfield have only netted ten away goals this season and have averaged 2.0 goals per game against on their travels. With no clean sheet in twelve away games, they could struggle again.
The Terriers were 1-0 winners at home over Newcastle earlier this season and from the last three meetings, which are the only ones of note for current form, the Terriers are 2-1 ahead. Last season the Championship, Huddersfield took a 2-1 win at St James Park, their first league clash since 1984.
A home win looks to be the most probable outcome in this important duel. The Magpies have to make the most of home advantage here and after their success over Southampton before the break, they can follow that up with another good clean sheet win in this one.
27th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Newcastle and Southampton are in considerable trouble still, sitting just outside of the drop zone and neither of them are in any kind of winning form either. Newcastle are a point better off than the Saints are it would be huge for them if they could open up a four-point gap over Southampton. But the Saints have been proving hard to beat lately.
Newcastle 6/5, Southampton 15/8, Draw 11/5* (Betting Odds taken at 4:25 a.m. on March 6th, 2018)
The Magpies are only two points clear of the drop zone heading into the weekend, sitting fifth from bottom and one of the teams beneath them are Southampton. So this would be a big coup if Newcastle could collect maximum points in this one. The Magpies won their last home game, a surprise 1-0 victory over Manchester United. That was just their fourth home win of the season though and it snapped an eight-match winless streak that they were on at St James’ Park this season in the top flight. Just 29% of Newcastle’s home games this season have made it above two goals and therefore under 2.5 goals at bet365 looks a good place to start for 8/13 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:33 p.m. on March 7th, 2018). Newcastle are averaging less than a goal per game at home this season with just the twelve netted in fourteen fixtures. They have failed to score in 43% of their home games this season but are at least on a three-match scoring streak on home soil in the league. 67% of their home goals have been after the halftime break.
Southampton need a win in this one to claw themselves above Newcastle and make a move in survival. They have only lost one of their last seven league games (W1 D5) but it has been those missed opportunities in drawn matches which is keeping them down. Like in their 0-0 home draw with Stoke last weekend. Three of their last four league draws have been by a 1-1 scoreline and in the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 option is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:33 p.m. on March 7th, 2018). The Saints have only won twice away from home this season, one coming recently out at bottom side West Brom. Southampton are unbeaten in four on the road (W1 D3) but again there is a lot of draws recently from them. Adding to the expectancy of a low scoring game is that Southampton have averaged only exactly a goal per game away from home this season but they have scored and conceded in each of their last three games away from St Mary’s in the top flight. With them currently being beaten in four on the road, they should at least be good for a point in this one.
There have been a lot of high scoring games between these two recently actually with each of the last five all going over 2.5 goals. There have been two 2-2 draws in the last three league meetings between them, including this season’s earlier clash at St Mary’s. Southampton are W3 D2 up from the last five Premier League meetings with Newcastle and are unbeaten in three visits (W1 D2) to Tyneside.
Hard to pick a winner out of these two as they are both in similar kind of form. Just because the Saints have been so hard to beat lately, it is worth backing the draw in this one.
8th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting