Newcastle set the cat among the pigeons just before the international break as they pulled off a success against Manchester United. That’s two of the big six that they have managed to beat this season but are only just outside the relegation zone. Chelsea will bring a much bigger attacking threat to the table than the Red Devils did against the Magpies. Read our Chelsea v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 17th, 2019 at 2:35 p.m.)
Chelsea produced a thumping 4-1 success at Southampton before the international break, which leaves them with back to back league wins and three in their last four (L1). So they are in pretty good shape and Liverpool and Man City are the only two in the league who have scored more goals than the Blues have done. Chelsea, however, have the worst defensive record of all teams currently not in the bottom four.
The home form of the Blues only reads W1 D2 L1 so they have dropped the ball a little bit on home soil. Their first home success came in their last home game, a 2-0 win over Brighton. The Blues have now scored at least two goals in five of their last six fixtures, but are stuck on just the one clean sheet all season. 75% of Chelsea’s league fixtures this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
Three of Chelsea’s four league wins this season have been in games which have gone over 2.5 goals. Frank Lampard’s men have been leading at the half time break in two of their four games. Chelsea have opened the scoring in 6 of their 8 league fixtures this season and striker Tammy Abraham is currently the joint top scorer in the Premier League with eight goals.
The Blues are on a 5 match winning streak at home against Newcastle in the EPL
Newcastle have won one of the last seven EPL fixtures against Chelsea
Both teams have scored five of the last six league clashes
Chelsea are W5 L1 in their last six against the Magpies in all competitions
Newcastle earned themselves an important win just before the international break. That was a 1-0 home success over Manchester United. Their one other win in this season;s top-flight was against Tottenham (D2 L4). Newcastle are still in trouble and their home form is just about keeping them away from the relegation zone. Out on the road for this campaign, Newcastle are W1 L3.
The Magpies have produced only one goal in their last three games and have suffered back to back away defeats. The first was a 3-1 loss at Liverpool before a 5-0 hammering at Leicester, in which Newcastle played a huge chunk of the game with ten men. In total Newcastle have produced three goals in their four away games this season.
75% of their road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. Newcastle have been trailing at the half time break in three of their four away games (W1). Even though they still remain a relegation candidate according to the bookies, they are six points better off than they were at this stage of last season. Bottom side Watford are the only team to have produced fewer goals in the top flight this season than Newcastle.
The Blues have the head to head form over Newcastle and are scoring freely at the moment. They should have too much for the Newcastle defence to stand up to. It could be another positive result for the Blues but it may be worth a flutter on both teams to score too.
18th October 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There is a lot of pressure on both of these. Newcastle have been having a hard time putting things together and find themselves sitting second from bottom in the league. Manchester United are feeling the heat having won only two of their seven games in this season’s top flight. Read our Newcastle v Manchester United betting tips for more.
Man Utd 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 3rd, 2019 at 9.46 p.m.)
For a brief moment with a shock win over Spurs and a home draw against Watford, things were looking up for Newcastle. But they have taken only one point from their last three league outings. There have been some bitter results for them to swallow, notably a 0-0 draw at home against Brighton, followed by a 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Leicester. So all’s not well against in the northeast.
The Magpies are D2 L1 at home this season in the Premier League and have scored just one goal at St James’ Park in those three games. With them having conceded eight goals in their last three league games, it’s hard to see where the next win is coming from. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of Newcastle’s last three home games in the league. Given their poor record against Manchester United as well, it may be another tough afternoon for Newcastle.
Man Utd won both league meetings in the last campaign
The Red Devils have lost just 3 of their last 33 against Newcastle
Newcastle have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five against Man Utd
The Magpies have won one of the last nine EPL meetings
United are winless in seven Premier League away games. That pretty much sums up their decline. Boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, like his opposite number on Sunday Steve Bruce, has to be a bit worried about his job. United are D2 L1 on the road this season their last away game ending in a tame 2-0 loss at West Ham. The performance levels in both the domestic and European fronts have severely been lacking creativity and quality from the Red Devils.
They have taken only the one clean sheet in their last six Premier League fixtures and were held to a 1-1 home draw with Arsenal last weekend. Only in one of their seven league games played this season have the Red Devils managed to score more than one goal in a league fixture. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of United’s last four away games. They do have a big injury list going at the moment including Paul Pogba and Anthony Martial. Man Utd badly needs a lift.
This does have the makings of being a tight contest. Newcastle will probably throw a lot of men behind the ball to try and frustrate United. The attacking ranks of the Red Devils don’t look as if they many capabilities of breaking down defensive-minded teams. Draw.
6th October 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Leicester are beginning to look more and more accomplished and assured of themselves. They started the weekend up in the top four and they haven’t looked out of place there with three wins in their last four games. Newcastle have failed to find their second league victory this season so far. Read our Leicester v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 25th, 2019 at 1:17 p.m.)
The Foxes showed some great quality and spirit last weekend against Tottenham. They were trailing at home against the Lilywhites deep into the second half. But then goals in the final twenty minutes gave Leicester the 2-1 victory. Both teams have scored in four of Leicester’s last five fixtures in the top flight.
Leicester are W2 D1 at the King Power this seasons in the Premier League, their victories coming against Bournemouth and Spurs in their last two games there. The Foxes have gone unbeaten in their last five league games on home soil and have put up a fine W5 D3 L1 in their last nine there. The one loss in that sequence?
Against Newcastle at the back end of last season. Leicester have three clean sheets in their last five league home games. They have scored at least two goal goals in each of their last thirteen Premier League home victories. Leicester have opened the scoring in just two of their top-flight games this season. How much are they going to come under threat by Newcastle?
The Foxes beat Newcastle on penalties in the EFL Cup in August
The two traded Premier League away wins last season
Five of the last six league meetings have produced an away win
Both teams have scored in just two of the last 10 league meetings
The Magpies are winless in three games at the moment (D2 L1). Last weekend they played out a muted 0-0 home draw against Brighton. Their away record for the season is W1 L2 and both defeats in that sequence were by a 3-1 scoreline against Norwich and then Liverpool. At the moment, Newcastle the joint-lowest scoring side in the entire top flight with only four goals netted. They have failed to hit the back of the net in half of their league fixtures.
The Magpies have also been losing at halftime in two of their three away games and have conceded the opening goal in three of their six league games overall. Newcastle have won three of their last fourteen Premier League away games. They have, however, alternated between a win and a loss in their last four. Newcastle’s last two away wins, at Fulham and Spurs last season were both with a clean sheet. Can they run a tight ship at the King Power?
Leicester are enjoying life under Brendan Rodgers are the moment and there is a good three points that they can collect here. Newcastle are not a threatening side in attack, which should allow the Foxes to patiently take their time and pick them off. Home win to nil.
27th September 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies had their mini-revival snapped last weekend. That was somewhat expected though as they went to Anfield to face Liverpool. The loss there leaves them in the bottom three in the table. Brighton picked themselves up a point last weekend on home soil, denied three points at the death by Burnley. Read our Newcastle v Brighton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 19th, 2019 at 1:12 p.m.)
Newcastle took a 3-1 hit at Anfield against Liverpool last weekend leaving them with a W1 D1 L3 record for this season in the top flight. Their one win for the campaign happened out at Spurs towards the end of August, while their draw happened in their following game against Watford. The Magpies are D1 L1 at St James’ Park this season in the top flight, looking for their first home clean sheet as well.
That is just one win their last five league home games that Newcastle have managed now (D1 L3) and they have not taken a clean sheet in six there. Three of the four goals that the Magpies have scored this season have happened in the first half of games. Both of Newcastle’s home games this season have been level at the half time break. Newcastle have conceded the opening goal in three of their five fixtures this term. No Newcastle player has scored more than one goal this season.
Brighton took four points against Newcastle last season
Just one of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Newcastle are winless in four games against the Seagulls
Newcastle have failed to score in their two previous EPL home fixtures against Brighton
The Seagulls are only one point better off than Newcastle are. Brighton are W1 D2 L2 this season in the top flight. They looked to be on course for a good home win over Burnley last weekend. But the Clarets got themselves an equaliser right at the end of the match to leave Brighton winless at home this season. Their one victory happened out at Watford on the opening weekend of the 2019/20 campaign.
Their second road game was a write off because they went to Man City and lost 4-0. They are playing some nice stuff through and Brighton have scored 80% of their league goals this season in the second half of fixtures. 75% of their goals conceded have been in the second half of fixtures. Just like Newcastle, Brighton have conceded the first goal of a game three times this season. Both of their defeats this season have been by a margin of at least two goals.
The Magpies will be confident enough of at least not losing in this fixture. Whether or not they can go the extra mile and get the victory is questionable. Brighton are likely going to be good enough to collect themselves a point.
20th September 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
League leaders Liverpool will be aiming to extend their perfect record for the season. They will be red hot favourites at Anfield to collect the three points. Newcastle took four points from two games just before the international break. But will they be able to get anything about this extremely difficult away game? Read our Liverpool v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 12th, 2019 at 1:16 p.m.)
The Reds have made it four wins from four at the start of the new Premier League season. They will be looking to keep up the heat at the head of the table as they host Newcastle. The Reds have beaten Norwich and Arsenal in their two home games this season, scoring a total of seven goals. They did concede in both of those games though.
The Reds have been leading at half time and full time in each of their last seven Premier League matches now. The two successes that they have had this season takes them to a 40 match undefeated home streak in the top flight. Their formidable strike force has been going well and Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their last thirteen now. They have netted at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 home games against the Magpies in all competitions.
All four of Liverpool’s league games this season have made it to at least three goals. There has been a trend in that. Two-thirds of their league goals scored this season have come in the first half of matches. Five of their seven goals at Anfield have been scored in the first half. They are yet to concede in the opening half of a league fixture this season, which brings that HT/FT market fully into play as a betting angle.
Liverpool are on a three-match winning streak against Newcastle
The Reds are unbeaten in five against the Magpies
Newcastle’s last three defeats at Anfield have been to nil
Liverpool scored seven goals in two games against Newcastle last season
The Magpies lost their opening two games of the new season and new manager Steve Bruce was going through it. However, out of absolutely nowhere, they pulled off a 1-0 away win at Tottenham. They then followed it up with a point away at home against Watford. So they will be feeling a lot better about things at the moment. Consistency is going to be the key for them, but this is a game in which momentum could easily be lost.
Newcastle have such a poor record at Anfield, losing all but two of their last thirteen visits there. They are still dealing with a pretty big injury list, waiting for the likes of Dwight Gayle, DeAndre Yedlin and Allan Saint-Maximin to get back. That win at Spurs will have given them belief at least. It came after a horrendous showing in a 3-1 loss at Norwich in their previous road game. Just one of their four games played this season have made it over 2.5 goals. They will do well to keep the score down in this one.
On paper, Liverpool should coast to a really easy three points at Anfield in this one. They have Champions League duties coming up in midweek, so a fast start and then just easing back would be the order of the day. Liverpool to win to nil.
13th September 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies pulled off one of the results of the season. After having lost their opening two games of the campaign, they stunned Tottenham in the capital last weekend. Will they be able to build on that as they face the struggling Watford? The Hornets have lost all three of their games so far and there’s huge pressure on boss Javi Gracia. Read our Newcastle v Watford betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Magpies produced a pretty astonishing 1-0 away win at Spurs last weekend. It was a total shock because Newcastle had lost their opening two games of the season and had looked pretty poor in them. Those losses were against Arsenal and Norwich. But they played with fantastic resiliance and self-belief at Spurs, summer singing Joelinton getting their goal inside the first half-hour and they then just hung on for all they were worth.
Sometimes it can be easy to raise your game against stronger teams. Can they do it in easier games like this? This should be a great game for Newcastle considering how bad Watford have been this season. If they suddenly make it back to back wins, everything on Tyneside will be feeling a bit brighter. It was a 1-0 loss that they suffered against Arsenal in their one home game of the campaign so far. They hosted Leicester in the EFL Cup in midweek and lost in a penalty shootout.
Not helping Newcastle’s early-season efforts is a big injury list including record signing Joelinton who missed midweek action along with Miguel Almiron. Allan Saint-Maximin was already out along with the likes of DeAndre Yedlin and Jack Colback. It could be at least 10 first team players they are missing this weekend. Each of Newcastle’s last three games against Watford this season have gone under 2.5 goals.
Newcastle earned four points against the Hornets last season
Watford took an FA Cup win over the Magpies last season at St James’ Park
Watford have won four of the last six EPL meetings
Newcastle have lost two of their three previous EPL home games against Watford
Javi Gracia is a man under pressure. The Watford boss is well out of form with the club, and it’s not just the three defeats from three games this season either. Watford have won just two of their last twelve Premier League games now (D1 L9) and that’s where the bigger problem lies. So Gracia could well be playing for his job on the weekend. Their defeats this season have been at home against Brighton and West Ham, away at Everton.
In total, they have produced only one goal this season, scored by Andre Gray last weekend at home against the Hammers. That’s all they have to show for their efforts. Last season Watford went W6 D5 L8 on their top-flight travels. The positive was that they were unbeaten away from home against the bottom seven finishers. Aside from Troy Deeney Watford are at full strength for this visit to St James’ Park.
It is a six-match losing streak that they are currently on in the top flight. All but one of those six games have gone over 2.5 goals. Watford have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six league fixtures. So there are clear problems and their defence has been nothing short of a shambles. With Newcastle depleted through injury, this is a big chance for Watford to get something. They face back to back games against Arsenal and Man City after this.
If the Magpies can reproduce their level of commitment from last weekend, then there is finally a glimmer of hope for them. It remains to be seen if they can raise it in the so-called easier games. Still, they look value all of a sudden to sneak a win here. Home win by a one-goal margin.
30th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This all-Premier League clash in the second round of the EFL Cup gives both sides the chance to step away from the pressures of the top flight. It will likely end up being a game in which both send out under-strength starting lineups. They may all come down to a case of who has the greater depth in their squad. Read our Newcastle v Leicester betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Newcastle gave themselves a great shot of confidence on the weekend as they pulled off a 1-0 surprise away win at Tottenham in the Premier League. After two pretty tame defeats to open the season with, that result in London eased a lot of pressure off new Newcastle manager Steve Bruce. So will they be able to keep a little bit of momentum going by winning this cup match?
Newcastle do not have great form going for them in the competition. They have been eliminated in the second round in each of their last three campaigns. One of those was on a penalty shootout loss against Hull City and another was an extra-time elimination against Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest got the better of them again at this stage of last season’s EFL Cup. On home soil though, Newcastle have won three of their last four League Cup fixtures, keeping a clean sheet in each of those three.
Leicester have had a steady start to the new season. They just seem to be easing their way into things as they haven’t looked particularly prolific. In the Premier League, they claimed their first win of the season over the weekend with a 2-1 success at Bramall Lane against Sheffield United. That followed draws against Wolves and then Chelsea. Leicester have only lost two of their last eight League Cup matches.
In the last two seasons, they have made it to the fifth round but were stopped on both occasions in a penalty shootout against Manchester City. Each of Leicester’s last three League Cup matches have gone to a penalty shootout. So it would not be a surprise if this clash needed more than the regulation 90 min to be settled (there’s no extra time until the semi finals). Leicester have a very good away record in the League Cup, having posted a W6 D1 L2 record on their travels. Both defeats were through a penalty shootout and their one drawn game went on to be won by the Foxes in a penalty shootout as well.
We are going to side with the Foxes coming through in this fixture. The trend of penalty shootouts in Leicester’s League Cup games has certainly been there and it is perhaps worth just settling on the visitors to qualify.
27th August 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Spurs will know that they were lucky not to lose at Man City on the weekend. They came away with a draw against the Champions, but the Lilywhites have now had to work hard in both of their opening games of the season. Newcastle are in a spot of bother already in the relegation zone. Read our Tottenham v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 20th, 2019 at 1.22 p.m.)
Tottenham will realise how lucky they were to come away from a game at Manchester City last weekend with a point. They were heavily outplayed in the fixture and barely got out of their own half. But a couple of opportunistic goals and the help of VAR saw the Lilywhites avoid defeat. That point against the reigning champions added to the three that they picked up on the opening weekend of the season against the newly promoted Aston Villa.
Spurs had conceded the opening goal in that game as they did against Manchester City. Looking back at last season, Tottenham did not have the greatest time at home against teams who finished in the top 10. Spurs won just two of their nine matches there. But it was a very different picture for them in their home games against all teams who finished in the bottom half of the table.
Spurs made it 10 wins out of 10 in such fixtures, taking a clean sheet in seven of those 10 victories. Harry Kane, despite being completely anonymous against Manchester City, is their top goalscorer this season, thanks to his two goals against Aston Villa. Kane is at 12/5 in the first goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 20th, 2019 at 8:15 a.m.).
Spurs earned two 1-goal margin wins over Newcastle last season in the EPL
Newcastle are on a four match losing streak against the Lilywhites
Just one of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Tottenham have won their last two home games against Newcastle 1-0
There appears to be some uncertain times ahead for Newcastle. They have lost their opening two games of the season and in those defeats have looked really disjointed. They don’t yet seem to have a set game plan under new manager Steve Bruce. Newcastle opened with a 0-1 home defeat against Arsenal. Things got worse for them as they suffered a 3-1 away loss then at the newly promoted Norwich.
Can the Magpies stop the rot this weekend? This honestly looks like the kind of game that Newcastle don’t need right now. It is going to be so hard for them to get anything out of an away fixture against one of the stronger teams in the division. Throughout last season Newcastle only managed four away wins in total (D8 L7).
Newcastle lost all of their away games last season against the top six finishers, conceding at least two goals in five of those six defeats. They also managed just one away win last term against teams who finished 14th or higher. The Magpies averaged under a goal per game away from home last season with just 37% of the road fixtures going under 2.5 goals. Club record signing Joelinton as of yet, doesn’t appear to be of the quality to end their goal scoring issues.
Spurs have been made to work for all of their points this season. This is likely to be their easiest fixture of the campaign so far. Newcastle don’t appear to really have a game plan together just yet, nor the quality to pull one off. Home win to nil.
24th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Norwich had a thankless task on the opening day of the new season as they had to go and make a trip to Anfield where they were heavily beaten by Liverpool. This is really where the season starts for them and they have a shot at three points at home against Newcastle. The Magpies fell to a tame home defeat against Arsenal. Read our Norwich v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 14th, 2019 at 6:12 p.m.)
The Canaries will look at things and be in the mindset that their new season starts here. That 4-1 defeat at Anfield last weekend was a game that the Canaries were never likely to get anything from. They can write that off. However, as a huge positive, the newly-promoted side played some very good football and they did win the second half 1-0. That’s no mean feat so there could be positive things to come from them.
They will entertain at Carrow Road. Teemu Pukki got their goal at Anfield and after his prolific season for them in the Championship, he needs to go well. Pukki is the 5/1 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 14th, 2019 at 6:12 p.m.). Norwich went W15 D4 L4 on home soil in the Championship last season with no defeat at Carrow Road happening in 2019.
Norwich and Newcastle last met in the 2016/17 Championship
Each of the last four meetings have gone over 3.5 goals
Norwich are unbeaten in seven home games against the Magpies
The Canaries won their last EPL fixture against Newcastle 3-2
The Magpies lost their home opener of the 2019/20 campaign, a 1-0 loss against Arsenal. While that was a tough game for new boss Steve Bruce, they didn’t exactly rattle the visitors. The longer the second half went on, the more and more Newcastle faded from the game and they didn’t really look tactically aware of what they were doing. If they lose out at Carrow Road against the newly promoted Canaries, then there’s going to be some big early pressure on Bruce.
Newcastle only won four away games in the last campaign (D8 L7) and it is not too surprising that the bookies have them as underdogs at all. They averaged less than a goal per away game last season. Newcastle do have their big summer signing Joelinton of course, but he was a little wasteful against the Gunners. The quicker he gets off the mark the better to settle nerves as the club’s most expensive player ever. Only 37% of Newcastle’s away games last season went over the 2.5 goals and that was because they were not all that bad at the back.
Even though they were beaten heavily Norwich played some fine football at Anfield against Liverpool. In front of the Carrow Road faithful, the Canaries should be able to pick up a good three points for themselves here. Newcastle looked as if they had no game plan whatsoever last weekend.
16th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Gunners make a trip to St James’ Park to kick off the new season of Premier League action. Once again Arsenal look as if they are going to deliver a potent attacking force, but how will their defence stand up? Newcastle had a change of managers over the summer with Steve Bruce replacing Rafa Benitez. What can they get out of their opener? Read our Newcastle v Arsenal betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 8th, 2019 at 5:49 p.m.)
What next in the ongoing saga at Newcastle? Rafa Benitez couldn’t be convinced to stay, Steve Bruce has taken over the top job. They have spent a bit of money, breaking the club record actually to bring in striker Joelinton and they needed someone upfront with Ayoze Perez and Salomon Rondon having parted ways with the club. They also saw the return of Andy Carroll on transfer deadline day.
It is going to be some important that the Magpies get off to a strong start, or things could turn very sour very quickly for Bruce. Under Benitez, Newcastle rallied to a 13th place finish in the league table and they posted a W8 D1 L10 record on home soil for the campaign. They were not a major goal-scoring threat, averaging under a goal per game.
Just 37% of Newcastle’s home fixutres ended up over 2.5 goals. Seven of the ten defeats which they suffered at home was by a one-goal margin only. They only managed to open the scoring in six home games during the last campaign. As a positive, they did win six of their last eight home games for the season.
Arsenal won both league meetings last season
The Gunners have won twelve of the last thirteen meetings (L1)
Newcastle have lost five of their last six at home against Arsenal, all by a one-goal margin
Both teams have scored in four of the last six meetings
There has been a shakeup in personnel at Arsenal. After losing captain Laurent Koscielny they have brought in Dani Ceballos on loan, and have signed David Luiz and Kieran Tierney to bolster the backline. The biggest chunk of money went on exciting forward Nicolas Pepe from Lille. So there is no question that Arsenal look a little bit unbalanced in terms of their attack being better than their defence.
Despite a collapse in form at the end of last season Arsenal took fifth place and were only two points behind third-placed Chelsea. They did also make it to the Europa League Final so it wasn’t a disastrous season (aside from not making the Champions League) and something to build on. They are probably going to have a lot of goals in them, the question is, can they get that defence right? Only Manchester United conceded more goals among the top 9 finishers in the league last season than Arsenal did.
The Gunners posted a W7 D4 L8 away record for the last campaign and they lost three of their last four away from the Emirates. Seven of their eight away defeats last season happened in their final twelve away games of the campaign. Arsenal scored an average 1.6 goals per away game last season, their defence conceded at an average of 1.8 per game. Both teams scored in 79% of Arsenal’s away games, the Gunners taking just one away clean sheet all season. They did open the scoring in 11 of their 19 road games.
Arsenal probably isn’t going to make life too easy on themselves until they find a way to settle their defence down. So it’s worth looking at a high scoring game here given what the Gunners churned out on the road the last term. Still, Arsenal should be walking away with three points.
9th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting