The Red Devils suffered their third loss of the league season last weekend as they were humbled down in London against West Ham. They badly need a pick-me-up on the domestic front. They will be expected to get it at home against Newcastle side who are still on the hunt for their first league win of the season. Read our Manchester United v Newcastle betting tips for more.
Manchester United 4/9
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 2nd, 2018 at 8:23 p.m.)
With no win in four matches across all competitions (D3 L1) the Red Devils need a lift. Last weekend they suffered a bruising 3-1 loss out at West Ham in the Premier League and followed that up with a 0-0 draw at home against Valencia in the Champions League on Tuesday. They have produced a W3 D1 L3 record this season in the top flight and of that, they are W1 D1 L1 at home. They have collected just the one point in their last two home games, but they are favourites here and Manchester United to win to nil is at 5/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 3rd, 2018 at 4:26 pm).
Romelu Lukaku’s last goal in the Premier League against Burnley right at the start of September and is without one in three. Lukaku is the 3/1 first goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken on October 3rd, 2018 at 4:26 pm) for the weekend action. At the moment they are nine points worse off than they were at this stage this season. The stats aren’t looking great with just three home goals and five conceded. There has been no clean sheet at Old Trafford for them this season. Still, against the misfiring Magpies, we can’t help but look at the value of a Manchester United 1-0 correct score at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 3rd, 2018 at 4:26 pm).
Just the two points Newcastle have picked up thus far in their top-flight campaign and there doesn’t look to be any sign of recovery. Last weekend they lost on home soil against Leicester and have now failed to score in their last two. The Magpies have failed to score in three for their seven games this season and have tallied up the four goals. Four of the five league defeats which they have suffered this season have been by a 2-1 scoreline. Manchester United to win by a 1 goal margin is at 9/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 3rd, 2018 at 4:26 pm).
Away from St James’ Park Newcastle are D2 L1 this season with just the one goal scored in that sequence. The two draws were both 0-0 and you feel that that would be some kind of positive return for them out of this one. Only three teams have conceded more shots against them on average this season than the Magpies have done. At the other end of the pitch, no side has had fewer shots per game this season in the Premier League than Newcastle have done. Both teams NOT to score comes in at 3/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 3rd, 2018 at 4:26 pm).
Manchester United and Newcastle traded home wins last season in the Premier League and that leaves things even with one win each and two draws over the last four league meetings. Manchester United are unbeaten at home in the league against the Magpies in three now (W2 D1).
Even though things haven’t gone well for the Red Devils this season, at home against a poor Newcastle side, United should deliver. It’s time to keep things simple and Manchester United to win to nil appeals.
3rd October 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle are one of three sides in the Premier League who have yet to earn themselves a win this season. They collected a point last weekend to snap a three-match losing streak that they were on, and they desperately need a win in this one. Leicester got a good win under their belt last weekend to ease some pressure off themselves. Read our Newcastle v Leicester betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 24th, 2018 at 11:52 p.m.)
After getting past their tough run of fixtures at the start of the season, Newcastle would have been hoping for more out of their trip to Crystal Palace last weekend. They could only manage a 0-0 draw though. That was their second point of the season in a D2 L4 record that they have posted. All three of their games at St James’ Park this term have ended in 2-1 losses. Those were big games against Spurs, Chelsea and Newcastle though.
We are going to push for this one to go over 2.5 goals as well which is at 11/10 odds* (betting odds taken on September 25th, 2018 at 4:14 pm). Two of Newcastle’s three home games this season were at 0-0 at halftime and that may be a decent option to look. Newcastle don’t look a tremendous threat going forward. Joselu is their top scorer with two goals this season and both of those have come at home. Newcastle have returned just four goals in their six games.
Leicester responded to back to back defeats against Liverpool and Bournemouth by producing a good home win over the struggling Huddersfield last weekend. That leaves them with a W3 D3 record for the season overall home and away. Out on the road, they are W1 L2 and they have scored well with five goals in their three road games. All but one of Leicester’s Premier League fixtures this season have ended above 2.5 goals and so that is why we are pushing for this one to go the same way.
A Leicester 2-1 correct score is at 11/1 odds* (betting odds taken on September 25th, 2018 at 4:14 pm) because they are able to offer much more of a scoring threat than Newcastle. The Foxes have scored at least two goals in four of their last six games this season. They have netted exactly two in their last two road games as well. The big problem for Leicester has been their defence which has managed just the one clean sheet this term. So there is likely to be a goal at both ends.
These two traded away wins in the Premier League last season and both of those wins were by a one-goal margin. The Foxes have won five of the last six meetings between the two clubs across all competitions. Both teams have scored in just two of the last nine meetings in all competitions and Leicester have won their last two trips to St James Park in the top flight.
How badly Newcastle need a win. But they are just falling short at the moment and when you stack it up, Leicester are able to produce more of an attacking threat than the home side can. We are going with the away win for our Newcastle v Leicester betting tips.
27th September 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle have managed to pick up just the one point this season in the Premier League and the pressure is really mounting on them. The Magpies badly need a response and quickly but they get a tough battle out at Selhurst Park on the weekend. The Eagles have at least won a couple of matches this season and will be looking to make the most of home advantage. Read our Crystal Palace v Newcastle betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 18th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Eagles took a win over Huddersfield last weekend out on the road for their second success of the season. Once again it has been the Wilfried Zaha show as he has netted three of their four league goals this season. He is the real game-changer on show for them and he is at 9/2 odds in the First Goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken from September 18th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). It is going to be well worth looking at the halftime draw in this one because the Eagles have collapsed defensively in the second half of matches.
Five of the six goals they have shipped have come after the halftime break in matches. Their home games this season have seen them lose against Liverpool and Southampton and both of those losses were 2-0 defeats. We don’t see a lot of goals flying around in this one and a Crystal Palace 1-0 correct score option is at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 18th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.) as we are looking at a home win.
It has been a torrid time for Newcastle and the fixture list at the start of the season was always going to work against them. They have picked up just the one point so far, losing against Spurs, Chelsea, Man City and Arsenal. So that’s a rough run of games and to their credit, they have at least been somewhat competitive in that. That is because each of their four losses this season have been by a 2-1 scoreline. Their only point earned this season happened out on the road in a 0-0 draw at Cardiff.
Under 2.5 goals is at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from September 18th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.) and that appeals in our Crystal Palace v Newcastle betting tips. There are positives of course in that they have scored in four of their five games. But it perhaps hard to gauge where they are at because of the quality of opposition that they have gone up against. It is perhaps that misfire out at Cardiff that is the biggest red flag. They are in search of their first win and it is isn’t going to come all that easy for them.
Newcastle collected four points from the two meetings last season and four of the last five meetings have ended under 2.5 goals. Palace are undefeated in each of their last three Premier League home games against the Magpies with a W1 D2 record. Half of the last six meetings between them have ended in a draw.
Crystal Palace to win: Palace look the ones who are most likely to come away with a win in this one as the Magpies are just struggling badly at the moment to churn out results. Once again Wilfried Zaha could be the big difference maker in a game. Palace to win.
19th September 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle’s fruitless season may well continue on the weekend as they face a tough trip up to the Etihad to face reigning champions Manchester City. The Magpies have just the one point for the season so far but this will have seen City get frustrated last weekend. They Citizens couldn’t find a way to put a win on the board against Wolves. Will they unleash a backlash on the Magpies? Read our Manchester City v Newcastle betting tips for more.
Man City 1/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
City probably would have expected to have had nine points from nine so far this season, but they were frustrated on the road at Wolves last weekend, settling for a 1-1 draw. That won’t bother them too much and there is a good chance of three points for them here. Given the number of goals that City have scored at home against Newcastle recently, it is no surprise to see a Manchester City 3-0 correct score option at the head of the market* (Betting Odds were taken on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). That would be just the kind of response that Pep Guardiola would want from his team.
City’s one home game so far this season saw them bag a big 6-1 win over Huddersfield and the Citizens have won 17 of their last 19 home games in the top flight. That’s some record. There have also been over 2.5 goals in all but two of their last 19 home games. There’s more as well because they have returned at least two goals in seventeen of their last nineteen at the Etihad in the English top flight. So we are confidently going to go over 3.5 goals at bet365 for 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). Sergio Aguero is still top scorer for them with three.
The Magpies haven’t had quite as much to celebrate. They have collected just the one point in the league so far from their three games, which was a 0-0 draw against Cardiff. They lost their other two fixtures, granted tough ones against Spurs and Chelsea by a 2-1 scoreline on each occasion. They were dumped out of the EFL Cup for the second season running in the second round by Nottingham Forest in midweek as well. Joselu has gotten both of Newcastle’s league goals this season and because of that makes the best option in the anytime goalscorer market for the victors. But are they likely to break down City?
Probably not and Manchester City to win to nil has to be considered at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.). Things aren’t quite right with the Magpies and they conceded 81% of possession at home against Chelsea last weekend. The Magpies have actually lost fourteen of their last seventeen games against City in all competitions. Last season in the Premier League Newcastle managed only a W4 D4 L11 record and the wait for their first win of this season may have to continue. Newcastle have scored just one goal in their last four away games.
Manchester City took back to back wins over Newcastle last season but the Magpies did make it difficult for them. Manchester City are undefeated in five games against Newcastle in all competitions now (W4 D1) and they are on a nine-match winning streak at home in the league against them. The Citizens have scored at least three goals in each of their last six league home fixtures against Newcastle.
It has to be a fairly comfortable afternoon on home soil against Newcastle. It is unlikely that the Magpies, based on what we saw last weekend, are going to come out of their shell. It could be an early test of patience for City, but the Citizens to win to nil is our leading Manchester City v Newcastle betting tip.
30th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There is plenty of betting opportunities around in midweek with the second round of the EFL Cup kicking off. Most of the games are on Tuesday, August 28th, but a few are on Wednesday 29th. This is the round where all Premier League sides who are not involved in European action this season, join the fray.
It is usually the first chance that Premier League managers have to rest some of their regular starting eleven. So you will see a lot of understrength top-flight teams heading out into action in midweek for this low-priority tournament and that could lead to some great betting opportunities in backing underdogs.
Here are some EFL Cup Second Round Betting Odds & Predictions for games involving Premier League sides.
We can only predict that this is going to be a tight battle, between a somewhat hardened Swans side and an understrength Palace. The thing about the Eagles is that if they don’t have Wilfried Zaha knocking around then it is hard to see where the goals are going to come from. He has scored two of their three Premier League goals this season for example. It’s unlikely that he’ll be used unless he really has to be. Swansea aren’t a side who appear to be stacked with goals but they have a decent chance of digging in here, in one of the more high-profile games of the second round. We have a feeling this will need more than 90 minutes and Swansea To Qualify at 5/4 odds* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm) appeals greatly.
West Ham have had a dreadful start to the season and you aren’t going to see much more naive defending around than from them at the moment. Manuel Pellegrini appears to have a bigger task ahead of him than expected. They have enough quality to get everything settled down eventually but with they have their cage rattled at Wimbledon on Tuesday night? Given the number of goals that the Hammers have given up this season, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise. But the Dons just aren’t carrying any kind of form with them and we can see the depth that West Ham have just winning out on the day. We see enough to back West Ham at a -1.25 Asian Handicap.
Cardiff have so far been Cardiff. Tight, organized, combative. Everything you would expect from them under boss Neil Warnock. They have taken two points from their three Premier League games this season but they haven’t managed to come up with a goal just yet. That’s going to be problematic for them unless they sort things out quickly. With their Premier League survival a higher priority than this, then we have to look at Norwich to pull something out of the bag in this one. This is a chance for the Canaries to blow off steam and even though they have had some poor defensive displays this season, they are facing a side who won’t exactly give to threat too much. Norwich to Qualify as at 13/8 odds* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm).
With their first win of the Championship having been landed on the weekend, SToke will be feeling a bit better about themselves. So they will be up for the challenge here against Premier League Huddersfield and we have to say that we can’t overlook the 6/5 odds appeal on Stoke to win outright* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm). They are at home and taking on a Terriers side who aren’t blessed with a particularly deep squad and who are out of form as well. There can’t be too much interested in this for the Terriers. Home win.
Nottingham Forest have gone unbeaten for the new season in the Championship and so because of that, and because they are at home where they have to be value to throw down a big old challenge to the Magpies. Newcastle really looked as if the needed to make some serious transfers over the summer to strength not only the core but their depth as well. They won’t be at full strength here and that will leave them somewhat vulnerable. This is probably going to be a tight tussle, but the value for us is on Nottingham Forest To Qualify at even money* (betting odds taken on August 26th, 2018 at 11:25 pm)
27th August 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Forest are unbeaten at the start of their season in the Championship and this could be a bit of a banana skin for Newcastle as they head off to the City Ground in midweek. This will be a quick turnaround of games for the Magpies too after playing on Sunday in the league. Can Forest take advantage? Read our Nottingham Forest v Newcastle betting tips for more.
Nottingham Forest 15/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.)
Forest have put together an unbeaten start to the new season in the Championship with a W1 D4 record. They played out a 2-2 home draw against Birmingham on the weekend and while they have been finding the back of the net themselves, the concern is that they have just the one clean sheet under their belt this term.
Nottingham Forest took a thrilling 10-9 penalty shootout win over Bury in the first round of the EFL Cup this season, playing 90 minutes with ten men and then only saving the draw in the 90th minute. But there is resolve about them and the 1-1 correct score option in this fixture is at 5/1 odds and may be worth considering given the number of drawn matches Forest have churned out.
There was a thriller in the EFL Cup just last season between these two with Forest pulling off an upset with a 3-2 win at St James’ Park. In the last six games between the two clubs in all competitions, things are even with three wins each. Each of the last four games between the two of them have seen over 2.5 goals.
Newcastle will face a tricky test out on the road and because of Sunday’s game against Chelsea in the Premier League, it means that they have had less of a rest than their opponents have done. In their only other away game, this season the Magpies collected a point in a 0-0 draw at Cardiff in league action.
Newcastle will probably shuffle their squad for this test and you only do have to go back to last season when their EFL Cup campaign fell at the first hurdle. It just has the feeling of being an uncomfortable road trip for them and we can not pass up what should be good value of a 6/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.) on a half-time draw cropping up in this one.
We are just going to roll with the home side for our Nottingham Forest v Newcastle betting tips in this one. Newcastle aren’t likely going to be that interested and Forest have been pretty strong and could nick this on home soil. Nottingham Forest To Qualify at even money* (Betting Odds were taken from August 25th, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.) gets our nod.
26th August 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Newcastle have just the one point on the board from their opening two games. They should have collected three points last weekend but had to settle for a draw at Cardiff as the squandered a last-minute penalty. Chelsea have shown plenty of attacking intent so far under Maurizio Sarri, but defensively they look rocky. Read our Newcastle v Chelsea betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 22nd, 2018 at 11:21 p.m.)
The Magpies are seeking their first win of the season having picked up just a point from their two opening games. They started the season on home soil suffering a 2-1 loss at St James’ Park against Spurs. Last weekend they were held to a 0-0 draw at Cardiff, with Kenedy missing a last-minute penalty kick to secure three away points for them.
The temptation is to back a low scoring game here but because Chelsea have been all gung-ho we are going to back the game to go over 2.5 goals at 17/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 22nd, 2018 at 11:21 p.m.). Newcastle’s lone goal this season came from Joselu and he is their shortest priced option in the anytime goalscorer market.
A home loss here for Newcastle heaps tremendous pressure on them having done little over the summer to improve their squad. Last season in the Premier League Newcastle posted numbers of W8 D4 L7 and while they did average just over a goal per game, the conceded at under a goal per game. It is questionable whether they have the strengths in their squad to do much more than land a bottom half of the table finish.
Their possession rate this season on average is just 45%. They do look short of quality in the final third but we are going to go with both teams to score at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 22nd, 2018 at 11:21 p.m.) for Newcastle v Chelsea betting tips. The Magpies have produced 13.5 shots per game on average which pales to that of the 18.5 shots per game that the Blues have come up with this season.
Chelsea have made a positive start with back to back wins and they have come up with exactly three goals in both games. They started with an away win at Huddersfield and then had that ding-dong duel with Arsenal last weekend at Stamford Bridge, the Blues coming out with a 3-2 success. As expected there is a focus on quick attacks from the Blues under Maurizio Sarri, but their defence looked pretty dreadful last weekend.
They may not come under as much pressure from Newcastle though and we are going to look at the Chelsea 2-1 correct score option at 8/1 odds for our Newcastle v Chelsea prediction* (Betting Odds were taken from August 22nd, 2018 at 11:21 p.m.). There have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Chelsea’s last ten league away games. The Blues have a doubt over Cesc Fabregas but otherwise are pretty much full strength.
They eased summer signing Mateo Kovacic into action last weekend but could get a start. He, Kante and Joringel look as if they could be a fantastic midfield set up for the club. Eden Hazard has started on the bench in both league games this season as he has been eased back into action after a busy summer at the world cup. He has still come up with two assists and is likely to get a start in this one.
Alvaro Morata was on the scoresheet last weekend and he is the 9/2 joint first goalscorer favourite alongside teammate Olivier Giroud* (Betting Odds were taken from August 22nd, 2018 at 11:21 p.m.). Chelsea posted a W10 D3 L6 record out on the road last season and they have won four of their last five on the road (L1) the loss in that sequence in their final league game of last season, yes, at Newcastle.
Newcastle and Chelsea traded home wins last season in the top flight, both scoring exactly three goals in their respective wins. Chelsea did also take a home win in the FA Cup against the Magpies last season as well. The Blues have lost just one of their last six games against Newcastle in all competitions (W4 D1 L1) but they are winless in their last five visits to St James’ Park (D1 L4). Each of the last five meetings between them in all competitions (and seven of the last eight) have all gone over 2.5 goals.
Chelsea handled themselves well at Huddersfield on the opening weekend of the season and we expect them to do the same here. The Blues have enough in their attacking line up to go and collect a win for themselves. The Magpies don’t have the same kind of arsenal in them. Chelsea to win.
24th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Cardiff who are one of the favourites for relegation this season in the Premier League opened their account last weekend with a loss against Bournemouth. So they will be looking for some cheer in their first home game of the season. Newcastle also failed to record a point last weekend as they slipped at home against Tottenham. Read our Cardiff v Newcastle betting tips for more insights.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.)
Cardiff failed to get anything out of their trip to Bournemouth last weekend then but they did actually get a decent game out of new striker Bobby Reid who was their top player. Reid is at 3/1 odds while teammate Kenneth Zohore is 9/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) for the game. Zohore missed the opener through injury but looks ready to start.
Cardiff don’t look as if they are going to have too many goals about them this season and we can only look under 2.5 goals at 8/15 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) for the outcome of this game. Cardiff showed their style, long balls and firing balls into the box against Bournemouth and they created 10 attempts at goal but only one of them managed to get on target. The return of Zohore will help, but will it be enough?
Newcastle suffered a 2-1 home loss against Spurs last weekend with all goals coming in the first twenty minutes of action at St James’ Park. Joselu got the goal for the Magpies to make the score 1-1. The 1-1 draw in the bet365 correct score market for this fixture is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.) and that will probably have a lot of appeal for punters. The loss against Tottenham means that Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League matches.
Each of those defeats were by a one-goal margin. It’s narrow margins, but it’s all working against the Magpies still. Away from home in the top flight last season Newcastle posted a W4 D4 L11 record and they tanked badly losing their last three away from St James’ Park. Newcastle are without a clean sheet in any of their last eight road games and they scored under a goal per away game on average last term in the top flight.
The last time that Cardiff and Newcastle met was just back in the 2016/17 Championship season and it was Newcastle who collected maximum points from the two meetings. The Magpies are actually on a ten-match winning streak against the Bluebirds in the last ten league meetings.
We have to look at the draw in the match outright for this fixture as there probably won’t be too much between them. Newcastle can’t really be trusted out on the road, while Cardiff will want to do everything in their power to avoid defeat in their opening home fixture. Draw.
16th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It has been another difficult summer for Newcastle with reported player-unrest at the club and boss Rafa Benitez not being supported in the transfer market. It could all add up to a difficult opener for them as they play host to Tottenham on Saturday lunchtime. Spurs will be looking to kick their new campaign into high gear right from the offer and again being quiet in the summer transfer market. Read our Newcastle v Tottenham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.)
So there has been the same old story at Newcastle of them working on a sell-to-buy business which means that little of significance has happened. They did do a swap deal with West Brom though, bringing in Salomon Rondon on a season-long loan deal, while shipping out Dwight Gayle to the Baggies. So that is another new forward at the club after Newcastle completed a deal for Yoshinori Muto from Mainz. After selling off Aleksandar Mitrovic to Fulham, Joselu is the only recognised striker at the club from last season’s campaign. It’s fair to say it hasn’t been the most inspiring of summer’s from Newcastle and under 2.5 goals is at 4/5 odds at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.).
Last season in the top flight Newcastle posted a W8 D4 L7 record on home soil where they managed just the 21 goals in their 19 games. We don’t see them as being much more prolific this time around despite the changes up front over the summer. This is actually a repeat of Newcastle’s opening game of last season which they lost 2-0 at home against Spurs. In the bet365 correct score market a repeat 2-0 scoreline for the Lilywhites is at 9/1 odds with the shortest priced option in at 6/1 for the 1-1 draw* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). As a positive, the Magpies have won five of their last six home games.
There are a lot of injury and fitness doubts for Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino to have to try and deal with. With the extra workload that a lot of the Tottenham players had at the World Cup, their preparations for the new season have been disrupted. It’s possible that the likes of Hugo Lloris, Kieran Trippier and Harry Kane will be on the sidelines. They will be losing Heung-Min Son to the Asian Games soon but he is an appealing 13/8 anytime goalscorer option for the game* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). After a third-place finish in the league, last season have they done enough over the summer to improve?
Tottenham posted a W10 D4 L5 record away from home last season and they are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 Premier League matches. They are very stable and very solid and have been consistently good at the back to tempt punters into a Tottenham to win to nil bet at 12/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). Tottenham won their first four away games last season, starting with that success at Newcastle on the opening weekend and three of those four victories were to nil. This opener may be about their strength of depth more than anything.
Tottenham won both meetings against the Magpies last season and both of the wins were to nil. They took a 2-0 away win in this corresponding fixture from last term. Things are actually even now in the last six Premier League meetings between the two clubs with three wins each. Spurs have won three of their last league visits to St James’ Park though.
We are going to back the draw in this one. Newcastle will be pumped up on home soil for this opener even if the pre-season hasn’t been pretty. They have a decent bit of home form and we are going to take a chance of a Newcastle-Draw Double Chance cropping up with Spurs understrength.
9th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies will be happy with their 10th place finish in the top flight last season. They got that lofty finish despite losing all but one of their last five games of the term. That was their first season back up in the Premier League and so it was a decent enough return and they probably exceeded expectations, especially when they were on a terrible run of form from the back end of October through to the middle of December where they took just one point from nine games.
At that point, thoughts about relegation were starting to creep in, but head coach Rafa Benitez steadied the ship and they managed to get more consistency in over the second half of the season. But still, did a top half of the table finish flatter them? Probably. The Magpies are 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm) to get a top half of the table finish this season as well, but we are going to totally oppose that.
That is because they don’t look as if they are going to have a great summer and owner Mike Ashley doesn’t seem to want to throw any money at significantly improving the squad. So Benitez has his hands tied as he has to wheel and deal, having to sell players to get the ones back that he wants. But that’s not improving that’s trading tit for tat and it’s not going to take the club forward. For example at the time of writing, they have managed to get Kennedy and Martin Dubravka once again on loan while they picked up Ki Sung-Yeung to replace Mikel Merino who went to Sociedad.
The Magpies did spend on getting defender Fabian Schar from Deportivo while they managed to secure a much-needed striker in Yoshinori Muto from Mainz. That’s it though. The rumours are that their biggest saleable asset Aleksandar Mitrovic is going to have to go to balance the books (Fulham who he was on loan too last season, are interested). So they could be exactly where they were at the end of last season in terms of squad quality.
Nothing is particular is getting added. That’s another big risk and despite the good work that Benitez has done with what he has available, Benitez is as short at 8/1 in the next manager to go market* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm). That is because Newcastle have a really tough fixture list at the start of the season and you have to imagine that the patience of Benitez is going to run out sooner or later if he can’t have the funds to improve.
Crystal Palace 11/2
* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 20189 at 4:08 am)
Last season the Magpies did have their ups and downs, like most clubs naturally will. Even though they did lose four of their last five games of the season, they had won their four games prior to that, so it all balanced out and they got safe. Their home form is once again going to be vitally important to them and Newcastle are at 1/9 odds to stay up* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm).
Newcastle fans must be fearing what is coming at the start of the term. In their first six games of the new season, Newcastle have to take on four of the big six. That is going to cause immense pressure on them if they don’t get anything out of those. Their opener this season is at St James’ Park against Spurs and then after a trip to Cardiff for their second fixture go up against Chelsea, Manchester City and Arsenal.
Given the atmosphere at St James’ Park, where fans are already disillusioned with Mike Ashley, they can’t afford a bad start as that could have a bad knock-on effect at the club. If they can weather the early storm, they get a relatively comfortable month of December but they get another really tough run of games in January and early February when they meet Manchester United, Chelsea, Cardiff, Man City and Spurs in a five-game sequence. They meet only one of the big six sides (Liverpool) in their first half a dozen games of the season.
That start for Newcastle is a real stinker. That’s a horrible time they could have of things, even though they will have home advantage for most of their early big tests. Because we don’t see the Newcastle squad being drastically improved over the summer, we can only predict more of the same from them.
There could be really early instability, Benitez may throw in the towel before the end of the season and Newcastle could end up in a relegation fight. We see them stagnating and then sliding back and are worth a flutter at 5/1 odds to be relegated* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm).
29th July 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting