The positives for Newcastle is that they aren’t losing as much lately, however, they can’t find a winning touch to ease their relegation pressures and there is a tough game ahead of them on the weekend as they welcome Manchester United to St James’ Park. The Red Devils snapped back from their loss against Spurs with a comfortable win over Huddersfield on the weekend to strengthen their chance of a second place finish.
Manchester United 11/20, Draw 3/1, Newcastle 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 7:45 p.m.)
Newcastle have only suffered the one defeat in their last six league matches now and that lone defeat happened away at Man City. So from that perspective it’s not been bad but they haven’t done enough winning to ease relegation concerns at all. They have picked up just the one victory in their last seven league matches now in the Premier League. Their home record has only seen them win three times too with a W3 D4 L6 return which isn’t much to get excited about but they are on a three-match sequence of drawn matches there at the moment. Newcastle have drawn three of their last four league games by a 1-1 scoreline and that is going to carry big odds of 7/1 at William Hill and the shortest priced option in the market is at 11/2* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 7:45 p.m.). Newcastle have failed to win any of their last eight league home games and all season at St James’ Park have managed only eleven goals. Defensively they haven’t been too bad really with only the 15 conceded in 13. They are going to be somewhat vulnerable at the back of course and haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last four league outings and they have shipped in 77% of their home games. Four of their six home defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin only. No-one has picked up fewer home points than they have done this season in the Premier League.
Manchester United snapped back from their big disappointment against Spurs at Wembley as they rolled out a home win over Huddersfield last weekend. Out on the road, the Red Devils are W7 D3 L3 on their travels this season and the loss at Spurs snapped a very good six-match unbeaten streak of form that they were on away from Old Trafford (W5 D1). In total Manchester, United have returned 22 goals away from home this season in the top flight at a great average of 1.7 per game and that is something that should have Newcastle under pressure. Each of United’s last three away games have seen less than three goals and under 2.5 goals at William Hill is up at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 7:45 p.m.). Romelu Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez (who got his first goal for his new club last weekend) are the joint-shortest priced options to consider in the first goalscorer market. Manchester United have picked up a clean sheet in their last two away victories and Manchester United to win to nil looks a pretty good option to roll with as they boast the best defence in the top flight heading into the weekend.
Newcastle were on the wrong end of a 4-1 scoreline at Old Trafford back in November and they are winless in their last six games against the Red Devils in the Premier League now (D1 L5). So the head to head form isn’t there but he did hold out for a thrilling 3-3 draw in this corresponding fixture from the 2015/16 season. However, they are just W1 L3 in their last four Premier League home games against the Red Devils. Manchester United have scored at least three goals in four of their last six games against the Magpies.
Newcastle just don’t have the quality at the moment in them to land a victory in this one and they don’t look likely to collect a point out of the fixture. So settle for a Manchester United to win to nil wager, they are strong enough and professional enough to do the job.
8th February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Palace played out a predictable draw at West Ham in midweek, but that keeps them going along nicely on the path to survival. They will fancy their chances at home soil on the weekend against a Newcastle side who are two points and just a place beneath them. Once again the Toon Army were upset that very little investments to the club were made in the transfer window, but an away win here would at least ease their concerns if they could get it.
Crystal Palace 21/20, Draw 9/4, Newcastle 11/4* (Betting Odds taken on February 1st, 2018 at 1:05 a.m.)
Palace are still well on track for survival this season after picking up a point at West Ham in midweek. They have lost just two games since mid-November and both of those were losses against Arsenal. The Eagles have lost only one of their last nine home games in a great stretch of form from them. In their last home game they took down Burnley 1-0 and if they end up getting the better of Newcastle in this one, it will probably be in a low scoring game as well and a Crystal Palace 1-0 correct score at William Hill fetches appealing odds of 6/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 1st, 2018 at 2:05 a.m.). Crystal Palace have found the back of the net in each of their last four league games and on home soil they have returned 15 goals in their twelve games. After their difficult start to the season, they are actually running seven points better off than they were at this same stage of the season last term. Roy Hodgson deserves plenty of credit for his work there. Palace have conceded 72% of their home goals in the first half of matches, and Wilfried Zaha is their top scorer at home this season with three. Avoiding defeat would be another good step towards staying up.
There is a lot of frustration circling Newcastle because of the reluctance of the owners to inject money into the club. Boss Rafa Benitez is working with what he has, and he has guided them to an improved W1 D3 L1 record in their last five games. They did manage to get Leicester forward Islam Slimani in on loan until the end of the season after being linked to a move for Daniel Sturridge, who went to West Brom. Newcastle have won two of their last three road games as a positive, a short winning streak which was snapped by a 3-1 defeat at Manchester City in their last away game. The Magpies have won just three times on their travels then this season and they have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per away game. They have tallied just the twelve goals in their twelve easy games, failing to score in a third of their fixtures away from St James’ Park. They have scored in each of their last three away games so maybe they could rustle up something but with either way, under 2.5 goals at William Hill appeals at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 1st, 2018 at 1:05 a.m.)
Newcastle have won their last two Premier League games 1-0 against the Eagles and they will be hoping that continues. The Magpies have some good head to head form against the Eagles actually having lost just one of their last fourteen games against them in all competitions. That’s a strong record but they took a 5-1 hammering in their last visit to Selhurst Park back in 2014. Palace are unbeaten in their last two league home games against the Magpies.
Newcastle have been doing better lately, but Crystal Palace look the favourites to win this. This is a great chance for them to extend their buffer between themselves and the relegation zone. The Magpies may not have enough to take anything away from this game.
2nd February 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Nothing much seems to be happening at Newcastle to try and ease their relegation concerns through the transfer market. They head into the midweek round of matches just a point above the drop zone and with only the one win in their last five league games now. Burnley though have spent a long time waiting for their next win to come and the shine is really coming off their season.
Newcastle 23/20, Draw 2/1, Burnley 3/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 29th, 2018 at 5:41 p.m.)
The Magpies have produced a W2 D2 L2 record in their last six games and were three games unbeaten in the top flight before losing out at Man City in their last game. They were in FA Cup action on the weekend and despite a bright first half at Chelsea, the Magpies ended up losing 3-0. It has been a long time since they won at home in the Premier League which is a huge concern for them as they are D2 L5 in their last seven at St James’ Park, scoring just the three goals in that sequence of home games. Under 1.5 goals at Betfair is probably worth considering for the game as there probably won’t be much in this at all. Newcastle just don’t have the quality up front and overall have netted only 10 goals at home this season. Defensively they haven’t been too bad with 14 goals shipped in 12 home games. They have failed to score in 50% of their games on Tyneside this term and that has seen just 33% of their home fixtures get above 2.5 goals. A half time draw at Betfair is a great option as 60% of Newcastle’s goals on home soil this seasons have been in the second half of games and Newcastle have been leading at half time just twice this term. Newcastle Utd have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their home matches and only bottom side Swansea have a worse home record than they do.
The Clarets are having some issues at the moment, not having won games since a 1-0 victory over Stoke back in early December. They are D3 L4 in their last seven, losing their last three straight. The goals have been really hard to come by for them with them having failed to score in five of their last seven fixtures. Overall this season they are W4 D5 L3 on the road which is pretty good but they are winless in five away from Turf Moor. They have drawn three of their last four away from home so that does hint that they could grind out a point more likely than not. Burnley have returned just the eleven goals this season on their travels while they have conceded at an average of one goal exactly per away game. 73% of their goals away from Turf Moor have come in the first half of matches, while they have shipped two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of games. Burnley have scored three goals fewer than the Magpies have done this season and only two sides (Brighton and Swansea) have managed fewer goals overall this season in the top flight than the Clarets have managed. Both teams not to score at Betfair screams appeal.
Newcastle suffered a 1-0 loss out at Turf Moor back at the end of October and that leaves them winless in their last four fixtures against the Clarets (D2 L2). So nothing much convincing there for them, but they are unbeaten in their last four at St James’ Park against Burnley with a W2 D2 record from that sequence. Four of the last six meetings between the two clubs have gone under 2.5 goals.
The draw has the most appeal in this one. Newcastle are lacking up front quite badly and Burnley, although they can’t find the winning touches like they were earlier in the season, do have a solid enough defence to go and collect a point out of this away game.
30th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The busy season for Chelsea continues as they get to play hosts in this all-Premier League fourth-round clash. The Blues will be looking to make the most of home advantage in this one to finish the job at the first time of asking as the last thing they need is another replay. Newcastle have a tough task on their hands looking at their recent record at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are 2/5 at Coral to get the match win, with the draw at 17/5 and Newcastle out at 13/2* (Betting Odds taken on January 23rd, 2018 at 0:55 a.m.)
Chelsea have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of their EFL Cup semi-final defeat at the hands of rivals Arsenal in midweek. So now the FA Cup is their only shot at domestic success this season. They looked a bit tired and unimaginative against the Gunners at the Emirates in midweek and they are struggling up front to create and with Alvaro Morata a doubt, Cesc Fabregas out and Willian picking up a hamstring problem in midweek, the Blues don’t have a fully fit squad in this congested period of fixtures. The Blues go straight back into action on Wednesday after this in a league game against Bournemouth. Chelsea have won their last three home games, scoring just the one goal in that sequence of matches and it may contribute to this game going under 2.5 goals which is at odds of 21/20 at Paddy Power* (betting odds taken from January 25th at 00:21 a.m.). Adding to that is the fact that Chelsea have been solid at the back at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea have shipped only one goal in their last six games at the Bridge which would send interest to consider a Chelsea to win to nil wager at Coral. It is going to be whether or not they can produce that spark up front. Really if Eden Hazard isn’t on song then the Blues look as if they are just devoid of ideas at the moment in and around the box. Chelsea needed a dramatic replay against Championship side Norwich to get to the fourth round of the FA Cup, the Blues, who had gone down to nine men, winning through in a penalty shootout against the Canaries. As a positive Chelsea do have good form going against the Magpies. They are unbeaten in their last four against them, winning 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in a Premier League meeting with Newcastle at the start of December. They are on a five match home winning streak against the Tynesiders as well, winning three of those games to nil. So they clearly have the upper hand. From their eleven previous FA Cup games, Chelsea are 5-3 up with three drawn matches. Six of the last eight between the two have gone over 2.5 goals.
Newcastle would probably benefit from the positives of a good FA Cup run even though they are having their struggles in the Premier League. They have improved to a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five games played, the loss in that sequence happening against Manchester City last weekend in the Premier League. That’s totally excusable. The Magpies came past Luton in a good 3-1 home win against the League Two side but their away form this season has been pretty shaky. They have only won three times this season away from St James Park and all three of those wins were against sides struggling at the wrong end of the Premier League table like themselves (West Ham, Swansea and Stoke). They are W3 D2 L7 in their road games this season. So their credit they have scored in all but one of their last seven road fixtures but they may have trouble breaking a solid Chelsea defence and both teams not to score with Coral is a good option.
Chelsea would have to be backed on home soil to get through this challenge. Newcastle have fallen short a bit on the road and given the great defensive record that the Blues have collected at the Bridge recently, it should be a home win to nil, even if the Blues are looking a little jaded and beaten up at the moment.
25th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
How will the Citizens respond to having lost their first league game of the season? The Citizens were stopped in a 4-3 defeat at Anfield against Liverpool last Sunday. That won’t likely affect the destination of this season’s Premier League title. City gets back to home soil where they face a Newcastle side who may well feel the wrath of Pep Guardiola’s men. Manchester City are 1/12 at bet365 for the win, with the draw at 10/1 and Newcastle at 20/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 15th, 2018 at 3:30 a.m.)
So Manchester City’s unbeaten form has ended in the Premier League this season but there is a decent chance that they will bounce back immediately to winning ways. After their 4-3 loss at Liverpool in one of the games of the season, City return home where they have posted a W10 D1 record for the season, winning their last ten there. The Citizens have scored at least two goals in each of their ten home wins this season and in total, they have netted 39 goals in their 11 home games. So they alone can take this game over 2.5 goals. At the back, they have conceded just the eight goals this season at the Etihad in the top flight which is excellent from them. The Citizens have been winning at half time in eight of their home games this season so a Man City/Man City half-time/ full-time wager at Bet365 will have some immediate appeal and you would imagine that they will want to come out strongly and shake off that loss against Liverpool. Sergio Aguero is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 2/1* (Betting Odds took on January 15th, 2018 at 8:08 p.m.). The shortest-priced option in the correct score market is a Manchester City 2-0.
The Magpies have been scraping together points recently with a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five league games. They have been much-needed points too to keep their heads above the relegation zone. They are still struggling badly for offensive power and they have returned just the two goals in their last four league games in total. But as a positive, they have also conceded just the two goals in that sequence as well. How will they approach this game because they tried to defend their way to a point at home against City just after Christmas and this is going to be an infinitely more difficult task on the road for them? Away from St James’ Park, this season in the Premier League Newcastle have gone W3 D2 L6 but they have won their last two on the road, beating West Ham and Stoke back to back by one goal margins. Before that, they had collected just one point in five road games. Newcastle have scored an average of exactly one goal per game on their top-flight travels this term and of the goals, they have scored away from home, 64% of them have been in the second half of matches. Their most frequent away scoreline this season have been 1-0 losses which has happened four times. Eight Of the twelve top-flight defeats they have suffered this season have been by a one-goal margin only.
Newcastle tried to shut up shop at home against Man City recently and were eventually undone. Man City are unbeaten in their last four games against the Magpies now and have lost just one of their last twenty-two fixtures against them in all competitions now. The Citizens have won their last eight Premier League home games against Newcastle, scoring at least three goals in each of the last five against them on home soil.
The Citizens are likely going to want to prove their defeat was just the most minor of blips and they can collect a victory in this one and there is more than a reasonable chance that it will be to nil. Newcastle doesn’t carry too much of an offensive threat and will probably get picked off.
17th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies are lumped in that ridiculously tight bottom half of the table were just four points separates eleventh from seventeenth. Newcastle have collected four points from their last two games though to give their survival hopes a boost. Swansea are rock bottom of the league still and are five points from safety. These are the types of games they can’t afford to lose. Newcastle are 10/11 odds on to win this home game, with the draw at 9/4 and Swansea at 10/3 with Ladbrokes.* (Betting Odds taken January 9th, 2018 at 10.01pm)
The Magpies have done much better lately with a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four league games played. However, both of the wins in that sequence happened out on the road leaving their home form not up to much really. The Magpies have taken just one point in their last six league games at St James’ Park and that was in a 0-0 draw with Brighton in their last home game. Newcastle have managed just the one goal in their last three league games in the Premier League and overall they head into this game with a home record of W3 D2 L6 this season. They have gone without a goal in their last three home fixtures and have failed to score in six of their eleven home games. Under 2.5 goals at Ladbrokes is at 4/7* (Betting Odds taken January 10th, 2018 at 7.54pm). There has to be a reasonable chance of them getting an elusive home win though and them doing so with a clean sheet is a decent proposition as well. Dwight Gayle heads up the anytime goalscorer market for the match.
The Swans are still in trouble at the foot of the table. They did take a win in their last away game though to give themselves a bit of hope, fighting back to beat Watford at Vicarage Road. Swansea are just W2 D2 L7 this season away from the Liberty Stadium and have lost seven of their last eight road games. Goals have been really hard to come by for them with just the seven goals scored netted in their away fixtures this season. At the back, they have conceded an average of 1.55 per away game. Both teams not to score at Ladbrokes is a 4/6 option* (Betting Odds taken January 10th, 2018 at 8.34pm). The Welsh Club have failed to score in 55% of their road fixtures this season and overall they have the worst offence in the top flight with just the thirteen goals scored all season. Jordan Ayew is the only Swansea player to have managed more than one away goal this season and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option for the game* (Betting Odds taken January 10th, 2018 at 8.34pm). Another away win wouldn’t get them out of the drop zone but it would at least give them hope.
The Magpies collect a 3-0 home win over Swansea in their last hosting of the Welsh Club in the Premier League which was back in April 2016. The Tyneside club also won the earlier meeting this season 1-0 at the Liberty Stadium. Those back to back wins came after they had failed to win any of their previous seven Premier League clashes with Swansea prior to that. Overall from the eleven Premier League meetings, Swansea are W6D2 L3 against Newcastle.
There just can’t be any appeal on expecting Swansea to go away from home and win a game at the moment. Newcastle have shown a little bit more fight and steel recently to start collecting points and there’s a decent chance they can get three more here.
11th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This should be a really interesting clash because with Premier League side Newcastle out of form, they are going to be uncomfortable in this one against League Two’s Luton. Luton are the favourites to get promoted from their division this season and they have scored freely this season and could have the goals in them to trouble the Magpies. Newcastle are 1/2 odds-on favourite at BetVictor for this with the draw at 15/4 and Luton at 6/1.
This will be a tricky game for the Magpies to get through. They certainly are not carrying much form with them into the game having lost nine of their last thirteen matches, winning just twice in that sequence. The two wins that they did collect during that sequence were out on the road leaving them with a really poor D1 L5 record in their last six matches at St James’ Park. They were dumped out of the EFL Cup this season on home soil by Championship side Nottingham Forest and the Magpies have failed to score in five of their last six home games. In the BetVictor correct score market a Newcastle 1-0, as they are facing a League Two side here, is a 15/2 option with only the 2-0 home win shorter priced at 13/2. As each of their last three home games have gone under 2.5 goals, it could be worth swinging that way, even though Luton are a bit of a scoring powerhouse at the moment. The best way to back them would be going for both teams to score at 4/5.
Luton played out a draw on their last visit to St James’ Park, which was an FA Cup tie back in 1994. They turned around and then won 2-0 back on home soil against the Magpies. That’s about as recent as the head to head history gets for these two and each of the last six clashes between them have all produced less than three goals. The Hatters have scored just one goal in their last four visits to St James’ Park, but they are going so strongly in League Two at the moment you can’t totally ignore their threat in this one. They are the favourites to win their division and will probably fancy their chances of claiming a major scalp here. Luton are in terrific form and they have gone W11 D2 L1 in their last fourteen games in all competitions. They have scored so heavily this season and they have netted nine in their last three played alone. On three occasions in League Two, this season Luton have scored at least seven goals in a game. Their big threats going forward are Danny Hylton and James Collins both of which are 9/4 options in the anytime goalscorer market. The Hatters have won four of their last five away games (L1) scoring fourteen goals in that sequence of games. They have hit at least two goals in ten of their fifteen road games this season.
The draw has some appeal here because the Hatters are a good side and will turn up and compete. It will be interesting to see how Newcastle handle this potential banana skin and whether they go at it full strength or not.
5th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
There is a huge three points up for grabs in this battle at the Bet365 Stadium on Saturday. Stoke have actually won two of their last three on home soil and will be looking to improve further to get themselves up the table a bit. Newcastle have had some major struggles out on the road this season but will be looking to make it back to back away wins for the first time this season after beating West Ham last time out on the road. Stoke are 5/4 to get the maximum points, with Newcastle at 2/1 and the draw at 12/5.
The Potters haven’t had a great season overall but they are W4 D2 L4 at home and they have won two of their last three at the Bet365 Stadium so that suggests that they could battle their way to something in this one. Stoke won their last home fixture 3-1 against West Brom just before Christmas and they have managed only the one clean sheet on home soil all season. Overall home and away in their last ten league games, Stoke are without a clean sheet. Both teams to score at William Hill is a valuable option probably then for the game. Stoke have scored thirteen goals in their ten home games so far while they have conceded at just under two goals per game on averaging. 90% of their games at the Bet365 Stadium this season have gone above 2.5 goals. Three of their four home wins in the top flight this season have been by a one goal margin only, the win over West Brom the exception to that. Stoke to win by one goal margin at William Hill is trading at a price of 5/2. 70% of their points earned in the Premier League season have come from their home games. Eric Maximum Choupo-Moting is a 2/1 anytime goalscorer option alongside Mame Biram Diouf. They are Stoke’s joint top scorers at home with three each.
The Magpies managed to stop their poor form on the road with a win at West Ham on December 23rd. That snapped a dreadful sequence of results on the road (D2 L5) that they were running on. The question is, can they build on that though? Their overall away record in the top flight reads W2 D2 L6 for the season and a half time draw at William Hill may be worth a flutter as the Magpies have been drawing at half time in five of their ten away games so far. Newcastle are only averaging a goal per game away from St James Park this season while they have shipped at an average of 1.7 goals per game on the road. They have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last eight away games in the top flight which means that they will be vulnerable in this one, even against an unconvincing Stoke side. Dwight Gayle is the only Newcastle player to have managed more than one goal for the team away from home this season and he is a 9/4 anytime goalscorer option. The Magpies have conceded the opening goal in six of their ten away fixtures this season.
The Potters suffered a 2-1 loss at St James’ Park earlier in the season and in the last six Premier League meetings, the Potters are W3 D2 L1 against Newcastle. Each of the last three league games between these two at Stoke have all ended in a 1-0 home victory for the Potters. Five of the last six meetings have gone under 2.5 goals.
Stoke look the value option going into this one to get three points on the board. They are wildly inconsistent but should have enough going forward to take down the Magpies who have struggled for goals out on the road.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies were the latest side to lose to the Manchester City juggernaut as they fell 1-0 at home to the Champions-elect on Wednesday night. The Magpies didn’t really produce anything as an attacking unit and it leaves them struggling still just above the drop zone. Brighton lost at Chelsea on Boxing Day but three points here could put a nice cushion between themselves and the drop zone. Newcastle are 11/10 to take the win, with the draw at 11/5 and Brighton at 13/5.
The Magpies showed no interest in trying to play against Manchester City in midweek, maybe reserving something for this more winnable game. The Magpies are just W1 L5 in their last six matches now and their win at West Ham on the 23rd is their only success in their last eleven league outings (D1 L9). They are going to have bring in some reinforcements in the January transfer window. Their home form reads W3 D1 L6 for the season and they have lost their last five at St James’ Park now. Three of those five defeats were by a 1-0 scoreline and a Brighton 1-0 at William Hill is a quote of 8/1 with a reverse 1-0 win for Newcastle is in at 5/1. Either way, this is likely going to be a low scoring affair and it will be worth looking under the 2.5 goal line for the fixture. The Magpies are averaging under a goal per game this season on home soil. They have scored the opening goal in just four of their home games so far and Joselu with three goals is the only player to have netted more than one home goal for the club. Only Bournemouth, West Brom and Swansea currently have worst home records than Newcastle this season.
The Seagulls have collected only the one win in their last nine league games so they could badly use the three points in this one too. Their away form is in the gutter at the moment having lost their last four road games without having scored a goal. Each of their last three road defeats have been by a 2-0 scoreline. To be fair, three of their last four away games have been at Man Utd, Spurs and Chelsea, not an easy run of away games. Brighton have failed to score in four of their last seven league games and overall this season they have put just the five away goals on the board. Their overall away record reads W2 D1 L7 and 75% of all their games this season have gone under 2.5 goals. Both teams not to score at William Hill is the option to consider here. The Seagulls haven’t been defensively terrible at all this season and have conceded at a rate of 1.3 per game on their travels and only 20% of their away games have gone above the 2.5 goal line. They did get that narrow win over Newcastle earlier in the season and if they can repeat that, it would be a massive three points for them.
Newcastle lost 1-0 on the south coast earlier this season and that snapped a two match winning streak that they were on against the Seagulls. Brighton are 3-2 up in the head to head in the last five in all competitions, four of those games having been played in Brighton. Newcastle’s only home game in that sequence produced a 2-0 win for the Magpies.
Newcastle have to create something in this one and get a win on the board. They can take some heart from not having suffered a heavy defeat against Man City and because Brighton aren’t delivering on the road, look for the home win.
28th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle managed to relieve a bit of pressure just before Christmas with an away win at West Ham. They will have a tough task on their hands following that up though as they face champions-elect Manchester City at St James’ Park on Wednesday evening. The Citizens are on a seventeen match winning streak and looking to extend that further and extend their lead even more after second-placed Man Utd could only draw on the weekend. Man City are 1/4 odds on favourites for the win, with the draw at 11/2 and Newcastle heavy underdogs at 12/1.
The Magpies took a win at West Ham on December 23rd, snapping a horrible run of form which saw them go D1 L8 in the top flight. The trouble is for them, that they now run into Manchester City so they aren’t going to have much of a chance of building momentum. Newcastle are on a four match losing streak of form at St James Park in the top flight and they failed to score in three of those defeats as well. Overall this season on home soil they have produced a W3 D1 L5 record, returning the nine goals in that sequence and failing to score in 44% of their home games in the top flight. Defensively they haven’t been terrible with just the twelve goals conceded in their nine and only 44% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. They are lacking a bit of punch going forward though as they have scored just four opening goals at home this season in their fixtures. Joselu is the only Newcastle player to have managed more than one home goal for the club this season and he is a 3/1 option in the anytime goalscorer market. As Man City are the visitors, over 2.5 goals at Betfair is probably going to be a good place to start.
The Citizens have made it to seventeen straight wins and worryingly for the rest of the league, they appear to have upped their scoring again. They have scored four goals exactly in each of their last three league matches now, extending their overall streak of having scored at least two goals in all but two of their nineteen league games this season. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last five away games. The output is phenomenal from them and they smashed Bournemouth 4-0 just before Christmas. Away from home, they have a 100% winning record from their nine games, scoring 24 goals at a rate of 2.7 per game and they have only conceded the five away goals as well. Manchester City to win to nil at Betfair is going to have plenty of appeal. 67% of their away games have gone over the 2.5 goal line and they have made it happen pretty much on their own. Interestingly four of the five away goals they have conceded away from home this season were in the first half of matches, but still City have opened the scoring in seven of their nine road games. They are power personified and Sergio Aguero is their top scorer away from home with six road goals and following on from his brace against Bournemouth, he is the 12/5 first goalscorer favourite. Overall he is the joint top scorer for the club this season alongside Raheem Sterling who is 6/5 odds in the anytime goalscorer market.
Man City have won three of their last four visits to St James Park by a 2-0 scoreline. The last time they met there, back in April 2016, there was a 1-1 draw and that extended City’s unbeaten streak against Newcastle to 19 in the Premier League. Newcastle have failed to score in seven of their last nine against the Citizens.
The defence of the Magpies has been pretty leaky and there is no hint that there is going to be an upset in this one. City should be able to expose the cracks that the Magpies have across the back line and produce a victory, likely to nil as well because they will keep so much pressure going on the home side.
26th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting