Norwich had a thankless task on the opening day of the new season as they had to go and make a trip to Anfield where they were heavily beaten by Liverpool. This is really where the season starts for them and they have a shot at three points at home against Newcastle. The Magpies fell to a tame home defeat against Arsenal. Read our Norwich v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 14th, 2019 at 6:12 p.m.)
The Canaries will look at things and be in the mindset that their new season starts here. That 4-1 defeat at Anfield last weekend was a game that the Canaries were never likely to get anything from. They can write that off. However, as a huge positive, the newly-promoted side played some very good football and they did win the second half 1-0. That’s no mean feat so there could be positive things to come from them.
They will entertain at Carrow Road. Teemu Pukki got their goal at Anfield and after his prolific season for them in the Championship, he needs to go well. Pukki is the 5/1 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 14th, 2019 at 6:12 p.m.). Norwich went W15 D4 L4 on home soil in the Championship last season with no defeat at Carrow Road happening in 2019.
Norwich and Newcastle last met in the 2016/17 Championship
Each of the last four meetings have gone over 3.5 goals
Norwich are unbeaten in seven home games against the Magpies
The Canaries won their last EPL fixture against Newcastle 3-2
The Magpies lost their home opener of the 2019/20 campaign, a 1-0 loss against Arsenal. While that was a tough game for new boss Steve Bruce, they didn’t exactly rattle the visitors. The longer the second half went on, the more and more Newcastle faded from the game and they didn’t really look tactically aware of what they were doing. If they lose out at Carrow Road against the newly promoted Canaries, then there’s going to be some big early pressure on Bruce.
Newcastle only won four away games in the last campaign (D8 L7) and it is not too surprising that the bookies have them as underdogs at all. They averaged less than a goal per away game last season. Newcastle do have their big summer signing Joelinton of course, but he was a little wasteful against the Gunners. The quicker he gets off the mark the better to settle nerves as the club’s most expensive player ever. Only 37% of Newcastle’s away games last season went over the 2.5 goals and that was because they were not all that bad at the back.
Even though they were beaten heavily Norwich played some fine football at Anfield against Liverpool. In front of the Carrow Road faithful, the Canaries should be able to pick up a good three points for themselves here. Newcastle looked as if they had no game plan whatsoever last weekend.
16th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Gunners make a trip to St James’ Park to kick off the new season of Premier League action. Once again Arsenal look as if they are going to deliver a potent attacking force, but how will their defence stand up? Newcastle had a change of managers over the summer with Steve Bruce replacing Rafa Benitez. What can they get out of their opener? Read our Newcastle v Arsenal betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 8th, 2019 at 5:49 p.m.)
What next in the ongoing saga at Newcastle? Rafa Benitez couldn’t be convinced to stay, Steve Bruce has taken over the top job. They have spent a bit of money, breaking the club record actually to bring in striker Joelinton and they needed someone upfront with Ayoze Perez and Salomon Rondon having parted ways with the club. They also saw the return of Andy Carroll on transfer deadline day.
It is going to be some important that the Magpies get off to a strong start, or things could turn very sour very quickly for Bruce. Under Benitez, Newcastle rallied to a 13th place finish in the league table and they posted a W8 D1 L10 record on home soil for the campaign. They were not a major goal-scoring threat, averaging under a goal per game.
Just 37% of Newcastle’s home fixutres ended up over 2.5 goals. Seven of the ten defeats which they suffered at home was by a one-goal margin only. They only managed to open the scoring in six home games during the last campaign. As a positive, they did win six of their last eight home games for the season.
Arsenal won both league meetings last season
The Gunners have won twelve of the last thirteen meetings (L1)
Newcastle have lost five of their last six at home against Arsenal, all by a one-goal margin
Both teams have scored in four of the last six meetings
There has been a shakeup in personnel at Arsenal. After losing captain Laurent Koscielny they have brought in Dani Ceballos on loan, and have signed David Luiz and Kieran Tierney to bolster the backline. The biggest chunk of money went on exciting forward Nicolas Pepe from Lille. So there is no question that Arsenal look a little bit unbalanced in terms of their attack being better than their defence.
Despite a collapse in form at the end of last season Arsenal took fifth place and were only two points behind third-placed Chelsea. They did also make it to the Europa League Final so it wasn’t a disastrous season (aside from not making the Champions League) and something to build on. They are probably going to have a lot of goals in them, the question is, can they get that defence right? Only Manchester United conceded more goals among the top 9 finishers in the league last season than Arsenal did.
The Gunners posted a W7 D4 L8 away record for the last campaign and they lost three of their last four away from the Emirates. Seven of their eight away defeats last season happened in their final twelve away games of the campaign. Arsenal scored an average 1.6 goals per away game last season, their defence conceded at an average of 1.8 per game. Both teams scored in 79% of Arsenal’s away games, the Gunners taking just one away clean sheet all season. They did open the scoring in 11 of their 19 road games.
Arsenal probably isn’t going to make life too easy on themselves until they find a way to settle their defence down. So it’s worth looking at a high scoring game here given what the Gunners churned out on the road the last term. Still, Arsenal should be walking away with three points.
9th August 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Fulham have won three of their last four games including their last two fixtures at Craven Cottage. They get the chance to get one more on the board as they play host to Newcastle on the final weekend of the season. The Magpies nearly earned a point against Liverpool last weekend but still ended up losing. Regardless of what happens here, they have locked down a bottom half of the table finish. Read our Fulham v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Cottagers suffered a 1-0 loss against Wolves last weekend, which snapped a good three-match winning streak that they had been on. The home form that the Cottagers have produced this season in the top flight is W6 D3 L9. They have the chance at making it three wins on the bounce though at Craven Cottage which they will achieve if they topple Newcastle. Their last two wins, successes against Everton and Cardiff both happened with a clean sheet. In total though they have only managed the three home clean sheets all season.
Fulham have conceded at an average of 1.8 goals per home game for the season. Of their six home success, three have been by a one-goal margin and the other three were by a two-goal margin. The Cottagers have not been involved in a league draw in any of their last eighteen played, and none in their last nine home games. Each of their last three games at Craven Cottage have ended up going under 2.5 goals. Fulham have the worst defensive record in this season top flight of all teams.
There was a 0-0 draw between them earlier this season
Fulham are W3 D1 in their last four against the Magpies
The Cottagers are on a six-match winning streak at home against Newcastle
Both teams have scored in one of the last six meetings
Newcastle almost earned a very good point at home against Liverpool last weekend, but they were denied late on in a 3-2 reverse against the Reds. That loss against the title contenders saw a three-match undefeated streak of form by Newcastle, snapped. Newcastle have not had a great time of things away from home in the top flight this season, winning just three games (W8 L7).
They have lost just one of their last four games on the road though in the top flight, which was against top six opposition in the form of Arsenal. Newcastle having tallied 14 away goals this season, an average of 0.8 per road fixture. They have opened the scoring in nine of their 18 away games this season.
Only 33% of Newcastle’s away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals. While they have been a low scoring side, their defence has actually done pretty well on their travels. Newcastle have conceded at an average of 1.3 goals per away game. Six of their seven away defeats this season happened against the current top six teams. So they have handled themselves well enough against anyone outside of the big six.
Each of the three wins that Newcastle have taken on the road have been by a one-goal margin only. Newcastle have scored 79% of their away goals in the first period of fixtures, while they have conceded 65% of their away goals after the halftime break. Only the current bottom four teams in the division have produced fewer league goals than what Newcastle have done this season.
Over 2.5 goals at 8/11
Both teams to score at 4/7
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
It’s well worth a flutter on the home side coming up with victory in this one just because of what they have produced Craven Cottage recently. Newcastle are not going to be that interested after a huge effort against Liverpool last weekend. Back Fulham to win.
10th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Will Newcastle, managed by former Liverpool boss Rafa Benitez be the ones to trip up Liverpool in their title pursuit? This is a tough game for Liverpool sandwiched between their Champions League semi-final matches. The Reds have to stay focused but have struggled for results at St James’ Park recently. Read our Newcastle v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 2nd, 2019 at 7:34 p.m.)
Newcastle played out a draw with Brighton last weekend. That moved them on to a three-match unbeaten streak of league form. Their overall home form this season is W8 D1 L9 and it has been a very good second half of the season from them at St James’ Park. Newcastle have won six of their last seven league home games now, the one exception in that sequence being a reverse against Crystal Palace. So they have home form but will it be enough to trouble Liverpool? Newcastle are W1 L6 at home against teams in the top eight this season.
The one win in that sequence was their 2-1 success over Man City. That’s a warning to Liverpool if ever they needed one. Newcastle have scored at least two goals in all but one of their last seven home games as well. They have guaranteed Premier League football for themselves next season so aren’t actually playing for anything. Newcastle have both scored and conceded 22 home goals this season. They have only opened the scoring in six home games this season and it is going to be fascinating to see what they are going to come up with in this one.
Newcastle lost 4-0 on a visit to Anfield in December
The Reds have won their last two against the Magpies
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four home games against Liverpool
Both teams have scored in two of the last seven meetings
Liverpool were rocked in a 3-0 Champions League defeat at Barcelona in midweek and they have the second leg of that coming up next week. But they can’t let up in intensity here. Dropped points in this game could hand the league title to Man City. Liverpool are carrying away form though as they have won their last three away from home. That is part of an overall road record this season in the EPL of W12 D5 L1. They have won eight of their nine away games against sides currently in the bottom half of the table (D1).
Liverpool have averaged 1.7 goals per away game this season, taking a clean sheet in 50% of those games. They have been so defensively strong all season and have conceded just the two goals in their last five road games. Of their twelve away wins this season seven of them have been by a margin of at least two goals. Liverpool have scored 68% of their road goals in the second period of fixtures. They have conceded 60% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Liverpool have opened the scoring 12 of their 18 away games.
Newcastle cold have a big say in the destination of the title this season. Their home form suggests that they are not going to roll over lightly at St James’ Park in this one. Newcastle – Draw Double Chance.
2nd May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton still have a bit of a survival fight on their hands. They are three points above the drop zone heading into the weekend. They face Arsenal and Man City in their last two games of the season so may need all they can get out of this. Newcastle have already done enough this season to get themselves safe. Read our Brighton v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 25th, 2019 at 7:36 p.m.)
Brighton suffered a 1-0 loss in midweek at Spurs. They conceded late in the game as well, which was a crushing blow for them because that would have been a fantastic point. Brighton are on a three-match losing streak at the Amex in the top flight at the moment and they have lost five of their last seven there (W1 D1). Overall now home and away they have taken only the one point from their last six league fixtures. Their home record for the season is now at W6 D4 L7 and they badly need to find that seventh win here. Following this one, they make the trip to Arsenal and then finish at home for the season against Man City.
Brighton have scored an average of exactly a goal per game this season on home soil, failing to score in 29% of their home games during this campaign. In total, only 41% of league games at the Amex have gone over 2.5 goals. Part of Brighton’s problems is pretty clear at the moment. They have failed to hit the back of the net in any of their last six league games, home and away. Of the six home successes that they have taken, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Of the goals which they have conceded at home this season 61% of them have come in the second half of fixtures. Can they produce anything to ease some pressure off of themselves with two to play?
Brighton were 1-0 winners at St James’ Park earlier this season
Brighton are unbeaten in their last three league games against Newcastle
Newcastle have failed to score in their last three against the Seagulls (D1 L2)
Seven of the last eight meetings in all competitions have gone under 2.5 goals
The Magpies have won their last two league games, victories coming over Leicester and Southampton. So they are safe up on 41 points now so they can at least relax now until the end of the season. Will that help out Brighton? Newcastle collected a victory in their last away game which was at Leicester. That is their only victory away from home though in their last nine out on the road in the top flight. Their overall away record for the term stands at W3 D7 L7. To their credit six of their seven away defeats have been against the top six.
Newcastle have only come up with 13 goals in their 17 away games this season. Just 35% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. The Magpies have taken a clean sheet in 29% of their road games this season and all three of their away wins for the term ended have been by a one-goal margin. Newcastle have been level at half time in nine of their away games. They have scored 77% of their away goals in the first half of matches, but have conceded 64% of their road goals after the halftime break in fixtures. They are safe, they have nothing to aim for now, how will that affect their performance?
This is where it has to count for Brighton. They will know that they are unlikely to get much out of their final two fixtures of the season. So they could possibly throw the kitchen sink at a Newcastle side who may not be fully switched on. Home win.
26th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle start the weekend seven points clear of the drop zone so should be comfortably safe at the end of the season. Southampton have done a brilliant job lately as well of easing some relegation concerns. They are five points clear of the drop zone heading into the weekend. Read our Newcastle v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 11:57 p.m.)
The Magpies got a great three points in an away win at Leicester last time out. On home soil they were on a fantastic five-match winning streak of form before toppled in their last home fixture, which was against Crystal Palace. The overall home form of Newcastle this season is W7 D1 L9. Of their home defeats this season, six of them have happened against teams currently in the top eight. So that may put them in decent stead for this one against the Saints who are at the other end of the table.
Newcastle have been a bit of a goal-shy team this season, and they have scored 19 goals in their 17 home fixtures. But they haven’t done all that bad at the back really. Three of their last five wins on home soil have been with a clean sheet. They have tallied a clean sheet in 29% of their home fixtures this season. Both teams have scored in just 41% of Newcastle’s home games. Four of Newcastle’s seven home wins have been by a one-goal margin and they have scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches.
There was a 0-0 draw at St Mary’s between them earlier this season
Newcastle are undefeated in three against Southampton
Newcastle won this corresponding fixture last season 3-0
The Saints have won only one of their last fourteen trips to St James’ Park
The Saints ran out 3-1 winners at home over Wolves last time out, which was a big lift for them. That is three wins in their last four games played now and then once exception in that sequence was a defeat against Liverpool. Southampton did win their last away game, which was out at Brighton, but they were winless in three before that (D1 L2). The Saints have managed to pick up just the four away successes this season in the top flight.
But their away form has improved over the second half of the season going D2 D2 L2 in their six road games in 2019. Their overall away form is W4 D3 L9 this season, just to show how much their away form has picked up. The Saints average exactly one goal per away game this season, but they have conceded heavily at an average of 1.75 per fixture. Home and away in the league, the Saints have scored in their last six games and they will be backing themselves to have enough to at least avoid defeat in this one.
You would imagine that neither of these would really be disappointed with a drawn outcome here. It could nudge them both further towards safety. It’s not a game either would want to lose on the other hands, so this may just be a stalemate. Draw.
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Foxes have been moving along in nice form in the top flight having now put together a four-match winning streak. Newcastle meanwhile have just hit a bit of a blockage having suffered back to back defeats in the league and they have just one win in their last five. Read our Leicester v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 9th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
The Foxes are now on a four-match winning streak after posting a 4-1 success at Huddersfield last weekend. They have won five of their last six games in the top flight, scoring at least two goals in each of those five victories. So they are shaping up well and at home, they are W7 D2 L7. Leicester are on a three-match winning streak at the King Power at the moment and this season they have averaged 1.3 goals per game there. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last three played on home soil.
The Foxes have earned a clean sheet in 25% of their home games but they have taken just one in their last eight at the King Power. Five of their seven home successes this season have been by a margin of two goals exactly. Leicester have scored in each of their last eight games, home and away. They have, however, only opened the scoring in 5 of 16 home fixtures. They have not been involved in a home draw in ten matches now. Jamie Vardy has three goals in his last two games.
The Foxes were 2-0 winners at St James’ Park earlier this season
Leicester have won five of the last six meetings
Newcastle won this corresponding fixture last season
Both teams have scored in just two of the last ten meetings
The Magpies suffered a loss against Crystal Palace last weekend, going down 1-0 at home. That is back to back league defeats without having scored for Newcastle now. Newcastle’s survival has pretty much been based on their home form. They are just a W2 D7 L7 this season out on their travels. Newcastle have not won any of their last eight games away from St James’ Park. Newcastle have failed to score in three of their last five road fixtures. They have struggled all season in front of goal away from home.
Newcastle have produced just 12 goals in their 16 away games. 75% of those were scored in the first half of games. Only 38% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals this season. They have conceded at an average of 1.4 goals per road fixture. They are without a clean sheet in eight on the road and they have shipped at least two goals in each of their last three away from home. 64% of Newcastle’s away goals conceded have been in the second period of fixtures. Only the current bottom three have scored fewer league goals than Newcastle this season.
Leicester seem to be in good enough shape at the moment to warrant backing to go and get themselves a good three points in this one. They should have enough punch going forward to outscore the visitors. Home win.
10th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies had a setback last Monday as they lost at Arsenal. They do look to have done enough already to not be worried over relegation. The Eagles picked up a good home win on the weekend and they will be a threat in this as they have produced some fairly decent away form as of late. Read our Newcastle v Crystal Palace betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 2nd, 2019 at 11:33 p.m.)
Newcastle suffered a 2-0 reverse at Arsenal on Monday night, but still, they haven’t been in bad shape lately at all. The Magpies are W3 D1 L2 in their last six and each of the three wins in that sequence were at St James’ Park. Their home record for the season stands at W7 D1 L8 at the moment and they are on a five-match winning streak there. In their home games, this season Newcastle have returned a total of an average of 1.2 goals per home game. They taken a clean sheet in 31% of their home fixtures.
Four of their seven home wins have been by a one-goal margin and they have netted in each of their last five home games. Home and away, they have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last five. Going back to their scoring streak at home, they have scored at least two goals in each of their last five EPL games at St James’ Park. 63% of their home goals have cropped up in the second period of fixtures. The Magpies have only scored the opening goal in 5 of their 16 EPL home games.
There was a 0-0 draw in the first meeting this season
There have now been back to back draws between the Magpies and Eagles
Newcastle are undefeated in four against Palace (W2 D2)
Newcastle have won three of their last four home games against Palace 1-0 (D1)
The Eagles suffered a 2-0 loss at Tottenham in midweek which leagues them at W3 L3 in their last six league games, home and away. It has been form good enough to put some distance between themselves and the drop zone. Palace were on a two-match winning streak away from home, having beaten Leicester and Burnley, before that loss against Spurs on Wednesday. That is just one loss in their last four away games then for the Eagles which is part of an overall away record of W6 D2 L8 record on their travels this season.
The Eagles have netted 25 away goals this season, which is an average of 1.5 goals per away game. Both teams have scored in 62% of their away games, Palace picking up a clean sheet in 25% of their road games. Four of their six wins away from home have been by a margin of at least two goals. Crystal Palace have actually done well because they have been leading at halftime in eight of their away games. Before their blank against Spurs, they were on an eleven match scoring streak in the Premier League. They are without a clean sheet in five on the road though.
These two are likely to be evenly matched. The Magpies have done alright on home soil lately while Palace have the away form. Neither would likely be disappointed with picking up a point in this one.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Gunners got a great lift in their hopes of a top-four finish as they defeated Manchester United in their last league outing. That continued a strong showing of form from them. They will be on the hunt for another good three points as they welcome Newcastle to North London on Monday evening. Read our Arsenal v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 24th, 2019 at 10:14 p.m.)
The Gunners collected a good 2-0 home success over Manchester United in their last league fixture. That moved them on to a five-match undefeated streak of league form, with a win in four of those. Their home form has been highly impressive as they are on a nine-match winning streak at the Emirates in the top flight. Overall the Gunners are W13 D2 L1 on home soil in the top flight this season. Arsenal have been consistent in front of goal, with at least two goals scored in each of their last seven home league fixtures. They have scored 68% of their home goals in the second half of matches.
Arsenal have scored in each and every league home game and they have been so defensively strong too. They have only conceded an average of 0.75 goals per home game. So even with their good scoring form, less than half of games at the Emirates have made it above 2.5 goals. Three of their last five home wins have been by a 2-0 scoreline. Arsenal have picked up a two-goal margin win in 9 of their 13 victories. The Gunners have opened the scoring in 11 of their 16 home fixtures.
Arsenal were 2-1 winners at St James’ Park in September
The Gunners are on a six-match winning straight at home in the EPL against Newcastle
Each of Arsenal’s last five wins over Newcastle have been by a one-goal margin
The last two between these in North London ended in a 1-0 home win
Newcastle have done well over the second half of the season to keep the relegation zone at a somewhat comfortable distance. The Magpies have won three of their last five games (D1 L1) however each of the wins in that sequence were on home soil. Newcastle’s away form for the season doesn’t make for pretty reading really. They have only won twice on their travels (D7 L6). Newcastle have lost all five of their away games played against sides currently sat in the top six.
Scoring goals has been a problem for Newcastle away from home because they do take a cautious approach to things. The Magpies have failed to score in two of their last four-way from St James’ Park. 75% of the goals which they have come up with away from home have been scored in the first period of fixtures. Just 40% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals as Newcastle have taken a clean sheet in 27% of their road fixtures. Newcastle have no clean sheet in seven road games. They have been level at half time in 9 of 15 away fixtures.
All the stats really point to a home win in this one. Arsenal are so strong on home soil and are scoring so consistently. It’s likely that they will have too much for a Newcastle side who have only won twice on their travels. Arsenal to win to nil.
30th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Cherries earned a much-needed win last weekend in the league to snap a long winless streak that they were on. Will they be able to follow it up on home as they play host to Newcastle? The Magpies have done much better lately having taken three wins in their last four played. Read our Bournemouth v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 8.10 p.m.)
Bournemouth earned a 2-0 win at Huddersfield last weekend. That was a relief for them after having taken just one point from their previous five. The Cherries have posted a W7 D4 L4 record on home soil this season and they have only lost one of their last six there. The loss in that sequence was in their last home game, a 1-0 reverse against Manchester City. Bournemouth have averaged 1.7 goals per home game as well this season with 60% of fixtures at the Vitality going over 2.5 goals.
In total, they have taken a clean sheet in a third of home games and have been trialling at the break only once on home soil this term. The blank against Manchester City snapped a five-match scoring streak of form that they were on at home. The Cherries have conceded 63% of their home goals in the second half of fixtures. Bournemouth have opened the scoring in nine of their fifteen home fixtures.
Newcastle took a 2-1 home win over the Cherries earlier this season
Four of the last five meetings have produced an away win
Things are even at two wins each and a draw in the last five meetings
Half of the last six meetings have ended in a draw
The Magpies have won three of their last five league games, suffering just two losses in their last eight. So they have eased relegation concerns well. Their away form is poor though with just a W2 D6 L6 return for the season. They have taken just the one point from their last four games away from home and are winless in six on their travels. Just 36% of their road game shave gone over 2.5 goals.
Newcastle’s lack of scoring has played a part in that as they magpies have just 10 road goals all season. Eight of those ten goals have been scored in the first half of matches. There has be no clean sheet for Newcastle in six away games. They have been level at half time in nine of their away games. To their credit, only five teams have a better defensive record in the league than they have.
Newcastle can make a nuisance of themselves, but we fancy the Cherries to get over the line. They have done alright at home this season and should be able to grab the victory, likely by a one-goal margin.
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting