It has been another difficult summer for Newcastle with reported player-unrest at the club and boss Rafa Benitez not being supported in the transfer market. It could all add up to a difficult opener for them as they play host to Tottenham on Saturday lunchtime. Spurs will be looking to kick their new campaign into high gear right from the offer and again being quiet in the summer transfer market. Read our Newcastle v Tottenham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.)
So there has been the same old story at Newcastle of them working on a sell-to-buy business which means that little of significance has happened. They did do a swap deal with West Brom though, bringing in Salomon Rondon on a season-long loan deal, while shipping out Dwight Gayle to the Baggies. So that is another new forward at the club after Newcastle completed a deal for Yoshinori Muto from Mainz. After selling off Aleksandar Mitrovic to Fulham, Joselu is the only recognised striker at the club from last season’s campaign. It’s fair to say it hasn’t been the most inspiring of summer’s from Newcastle and under 2.5 goals is at 4/5 odds at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.).
Last season in the top flight Newcastle posted a W8 D4 L7 record on home soil where they managed just the 21 goals in their 19 games. We don’t see them as being much more prolific this time around despite the changes up front over the summer. This is actually a repeat of Newcastle’s opening game of last season which they lost 2-0 at home against Spurs. In the bet365 correct score market a repeat 2-0 scoreline for the Lilywhites is at 9/1 odds with the shortest priced option in at 6/1 for the 1-1 draw* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). As a positive, the Magpies have won five of their last six home games.
There are a lot of injury and fitness doubts for Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino to have to try and deal with. With the extra workload that a lot of the Tottenham players had at the World Cup, their preparations for the new season have been disrupted. It’s possible that the likes of Hugo Lloris, Kieran Trippier and Harry Kane will be on the sidelines. They will be losing Heung-Min Son to the Asian Games soon but he is an appealing 13/8 anytime goalscorer option for the game* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). After a third-place finish in the league, last season have they done enough over the summer to improve?
Tottenham posted a W10 D4 L5 record away from home last season and they are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 Premier League matches. They are very stable and very solid and have been consistently good at the back to tempt punters into a Tottenham to win to nil bet at 12/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 8th, 2018 at 8:12 p.m.). Tottenham won their first four away games last season, starting with that success at Newcastle on the opening weekend and three of those four victories were to nil. This opener may be about their strength of depth more than anything.
Tottenham won both meetings against the Magpies last season and both of the wins were to nil. They took a 2-0 away win in this corresponding fixture from last term. Things are actually even now in the last six Premier League meetings between the two clubs with three wins each. Spurs have won three of their last league visits to St James’ Park though.
We are going to back the draw in this one. Newcastle will be pumped up on home soil for this opener even if the pre-season hasn’t been pretty. They have a decent bit of home form and we are going to take a chance of a Newcastle-Draw Double Chance cropping up with Spurs understrength.
9th August 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Magpies will be happy with their 10th place finish in the top flight last season. They got that lofty finish despite losing all but one of their last five games of the term. That was their first season back up in the Premier League and so it was a decent enough return and they probably exceeded expectations, especially when they were on a terrible run of form from the back end of October through to the middle of December where they took just one point from nine games.
At that point, thoughts about relegation were starting to creep in, but head coach Rafa Benitez steadied the ship and they managed to get more consistency in over the second half of the season. But still, did a top half of the table finish flatter them? Probably. The Magpies are 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm) to get a top half of the table finish this season as well, but we are going to totally oppose that.
That is because they don’t look as if they are going to have a great summer and owner Mike Ashley doesn’t seem to want to throw any money at significantly improving the squad. So Benitez has his hands tied as he has to wheel and deal, having to sell players to get the ones back that he wants. But that’s not improving that’s trading tit for tat and it’s not going to take the club forward. For example at the time of writing, they have managed to get Kennedy and Martin Dubravka once again on loan while they picked up Ki Sung-Yeung to replace Mikel Merino who went to Sociedad.
The Magpies did spend on getting defender Fabian Schar from Deportivo while they managed to secure a much-needed striker in Yoshinori Muto from Mainz. That’s it though. The rumours are that their biggest saleable asset Aleksandar Mitrovic is going to have to go to balance the books (Fulham who he was on loan too last season, are interested). So they could be exactly where they were at the end of last season in terms of squad quality.
Nothing is particular is getting added. That’s another big risk and despite the good work that Benitez has done with what he has available, Benitez is as short at 8/1 in the next manager to go market* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm). That is because Newcastle have a really tough fixture list at the start of the season and you have to imagine that the patience of Benitez is going to run out sooner or later if he can’t have the funds to improve.
Crystal Palace 11/2
* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 20189 at 4:08 am)
Last season the Magpies did have their ups and downs, like most clubs naturally will. Even though they did lose four of their last five games of the season, they had won their four games prior to that, so it all balanced out and they got safe. Their home form is once again going to be vitally important to them and Newcastle are at 1/9 odds to stay up* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm).
Newcastle fans must be fearing what is coming at the start of the term. In their first six games of the new season, Newcastle have to take on four of the big six. That is going to cause immense pressure on them if they don’t get anything out of those. Their opener this season is at St James’ Park against Spurs and then after a trip to Cardiff for their second fixture go up against Chelsea, Manchester City and Arsenal.
Given the atmosphere at St James’ Park, where fans are already disillusioned with Mike Ashley, they can’t afford a bad start as that could have a bad knock-on effect at the club. If they can weather the early storm, they get a relatively comfortable month of December but they get another really tough run of games in January and early February when they meet Manchester United, Chelsea, Cardiff, Man City and Spurs in a five-game sequence. They meet only one of the big six sides (Liverpool) in their first half a dozen games of the season.
That start for Newcastle is a real stinker. That’s a horrible time they could have of things, even though they will have home advantage for most of their early big tests. Because we don’t see the Newcastle squad being drastically improved over the summer, we can only predict more of the same from them.
There could be really early instability, Benitez may throw in the towel before the end of the season and Newcastle could end up in a relegation fight. We see them stagnating and then sliding back and are worth a flutter at 5/1 odds to be relegated* (betting odds taken on July 26th, 2018 at 6:14 pm).
29th July 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
While the Premier League title race can be broken down to just a small handful of clubs, when it comes to the Premier League Relegation market at bet365 then things are much more wide open. You have a whole crop of teams in single figures to be suffering the drop down to the Championship for the following season. If last season’s Premier League relegation scrap is anything to go by, it could be another intense battle with plenty of clubs involved.
You look back to the end of the last season, while it was West Brom, Stoke and Swansea who occupied the bottom three spots in the top flight at the close of the season, Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, West Ham, Huddersfield, Brighton and Southampton all had their struggles along the way and were looking in danger at one point or another. But at the end of the day the three newly promoted clubs did all survive (Huddersfield, Brighton and Newcastle) how will this current crop of newly promoted sides (Cardiff, Fulham and Wolves) fare?
Crystal Palace 11/2
West Ham 6/1
* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm)
Of the three teams coming up to the Premier League for the 2018/19 season Wolves appear to be the most trustworthy of them as they are at 6/1 odds to get relegated* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm). Considering that Cardiff are the odds-on favourites and Fulham are narrow at 6/4* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) then it speaks volumes about Wolves and what they could bring to the top flight. They were so good in the Championship this season and haven’t been shy in spreading the cash around in the summer transfer market. Nino Espirito Santo’s side does look pretty well equipped to survive the rigours of the top flight.
Cardiff have been splashing a bit of cash around in the summer as well in an attempt to secure top-flight survival. To their credit, it looked as if they were not going to have the strength in depth to sustain a promotion push last season and at one point during the Festive period it looked as if it that was the case as they lost four on the bounce. Back in 2014, they went straight back down after having earned promotion. Owner Vincent Tan seems keen to avoid a repeat of that as they have allowed boss Neil Warnock to add some quality to his side.
Fulham were an out and out joy to watch last season in the Championship as they were so good at both ends of the pitch. They missed out on automatic promotion on the final day of the season but had enough to get through the playoffs. The more of the squad that they finished last season with, including loanees Aleksandar Mitrovic and Matt Targett, the better they will be. They have a got a great deal in bringing in Jean Michael Seri into the midfield. They play slick football and could be a great addition to the top flight.
Both will be better off for having had a gritty season in the top flight under their belts. That is precious experience gained but both were in the relegation mix down the backstretch and with the quality of the teams coming up, this could be another long season. They broke their transfer record to get Terence Kongolo in the summer to try and move in a positive direction. It will likely be another industrious workmanlike season from them. Brighton have been really busy over the summer reshaping their squad. There have been a lot of players leaving while the Seagulls have shopped around for as many bargains as they can find. It is arguable as to whether they have improved greatly in terms of quality from last season though so far.
Burnley are in at 4/1* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) and you would have to question that. But they had a stellar season last season which is going to be hard for them to replicate. They also have the extra burden of dealing with a possible Europa League campaign as well which would rapidly take its toll on them. Bournemouth are capable of putting decent spells of form together but they do need to go shopping over the summer to bolster the midfield and defensive areas without question. Strength in depth is key for them.
West Ham have been positive in the transfer market over the summer for new boss Manuel Pellegrini. The club has been investing heavily which should help the Hammers move forward too much better stats than last season. Watford had a strong start last season but rapidly fell away and ended up in a real mess. They have been bargain hunting more than anything but they weren’t starting in a bad place but will need more luck than last season with injuries.
Crystal Palace got themselves safe and well safe in the end under Roy Hodgson. Surprisingly they haven’t been active in the summer transfer market at all and they have to do more than just trying to keep Wilfried Zaha around. They need help with new faces because there was a thin line between survival and doom last term. They can’t afford to take a step backwards and without investment, they could be on the relegation radar.
Southampton had a season to forget, finishing fourth from bottom. Mark Hughes has been shopping over the summer but they have also let a lot of players go inducing Dusan Tadic. On the balance of transfers though they look to be heading for a stronger season but still need help in the striker department as they have been really short up there for the last couple of seasons. Newcastle dipped out of form at the end of the season but still got a mid-table finish thanks to a positive run of form between January and mid-April. They need investment though and don’t look likely to get it.
We are going to back a newly promoted side to go down and that will Cardiff. They have tried to spend to save themselves, but the overall quality in depth may still be lacking from them. Newcastle look to be in a bit of trouble because once again the board just isn’t putting money in their venture and the Magpies could be back in trouble quickly. The 6/1 odds on them to go down* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) looks value. The other we see struggling at this point are Brighton who, despite a lot of industry and graft, may be lacking the quality survive. They have gone for players who can cover different positions as opposed to sticking experts in positions. Crystal Palace are another who may be lacking the funds going out to give them a shot at a stress-free season.
19th July 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle suffered a 1-0 loss against Spurs in midweek which moves them out to a four-match losing streak. They did play better in that game than they had in recent performances. After a home draw with Huddersfield in midweek, Chelsea’s top four hopes hang on them winning this and hoping Liverpool lose at home to Brighton.
Chelsea 1/2, Draw 3/1, Newcastle 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 9th, 2018)
The Magpies are on a four-match losing streak at the moment having suffered a 1-0 reverse at Spurs in midweek. Three of the four defeats in this current sequence Newcastle have lost 1-0 and all four were by a one-goal margin. Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin at Paddy Power is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). The alternative would be to go and look at a Chelsea 1-0 correct score option which is at 13/2 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.) and given that Chelsea don’t look potent up front, it’s not a bad proposition. The Magpies have produced just one goal in their last four games, but at home, their form isn’t bad. They were on a four-match winning streak and were unbeaten in seven at St James’ Park before a loss against West Brom in their last home fixture. Overall they are W7 D4 L7 for the season on home soil. They have taken two home wins against current top six sides this season having bettered both Arsenal and Manchester United.
Chelsea may have put together a good W4 D2 unbeaten streak of form but they are likely to miss out on the top four. They are really struggling in front of goal and really need a proven scorer up there. They create a lot of pressure without getting many clear-cut chances really. They made such hard work of breaking down Huddersfield in midweek in their 1-1 draw and then their goal only came through sheer luck. The Blues are on a three-match winning streak on the road and each of those were victories by a one-goal margin so there is that again. Overall away from Stamford Bridge this season Chelsea’s form reads W10 D3 L5. They have averaged 1.87 goals per game on their travels and 67% of their road games have ended over 2.5 goals. This just doesn’t have that feel about it and under 2.5 goals at Paddy Power is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:46 a.m.). The Blues do have the fourth best defensive record in the top flight and the third best away record of all teams. In order to pull out a shock top four finish, they would have to win this while hoping that Liverpool blows their lines and lose at home to Brighton at the same time. It’s not too likely to happen.
Chelsea have taken back to back wins over Newcastle this season, one in the Premier League and one in the FA Cup. Both wins for the Blues were at Stamford Bridge and they scored exactly three goals in each. Chelsea have gone W4 D1 in their last five games against the Magpies in all competitions while both teams have scored in three of the last four. There was a 2-2 draw between them in their last meeting at St James Park.
Look for the draw in this one as Chelsea’s top four bubble really has been burst and this game isn’t going to matter either way for either of them. The Blues haven’t been terribly convincing so look for a share of the points.
11th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham’s form has dipped toward the end of the season without question, having picked up just one win in their last four league games. They suffered a shock defeat out at West Brom last weekend which not many people would have seen coming. Newcastle suffered their third straight loss last weekend as they fell at Watford.
Tottenham 1/6, Draw 6/1, Newcastle 14/1* (Betting Odds taken at 00:06 a.m. on May 6th, 2018)
There is a little bit of pressure on Spurs now after Chelsea beat Liverpool on the weekend. Spurs are clinging on to fourth place and only two points now ahead of Chelsea so they can’t afford any more slip-ups in this midweek fixture. The Lilywhites have only gone W1 D1 L2 in their last four games and they suffered a shock 1-0 loss at West Brom on the weekend. So they have dropped a lot of points lately which has allowed Chelsea to close the gap on them. But their last two games of the season are at home at least and Spurs have a good W11 D4 L2 record on home soil this season and they have won five of their last six at Wembley (L1). The loss was against Man City. Tottenham have averaged exactly two goals per game at home this season in the top flight and in the bet365 correct score market a Tottenham 2-0 is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:17 a.m. on May 7th, 2018). They need their good home form to be extended here to ease some pressure off them.
After their great four-match winning streak of form which saw them safe for the season, the Magpies have turned around and lost their last three. They weren’t very good at the back in their defeat at Watford on the weekend to be fair. Going forward they have only managed the one goal in their last three games. Each of the three defeats in that sequence have been by a one-goal margin only though and a Tottenham to win by a one-goal margin with bet365 is at 7/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:17 a.m. on May 7th, 2018). The Magpies have won just four times away from home this season, part of an overall W4 D4 L10 record and they have lost their away games at each of the other current top eight in the league. So the stats are not there for them. Newcastle have averaged a goal per game on their travels, having conceded an average of 1.6 per game. They have not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven away from St James’ Park.
The Lilywhites collected a good 2-0 away win at St James’ Park earlier this season but that snapped back to back defeats that they had suffered against the Magpies in the top flight. Spurs lost their last league home game against Newcastle 2-1. In the last five Premier League meetings things are pretty even with Spurs 3-2 ahead. Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings.
Newcastle look pretty much done for the season and even though Tottenham misfired on the weekend they should be good enough to go and collect a home win in this one. Look for Spurs to get the win to nil.
8th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
A season of early promise petered out for Watford and they are going to need to do some rebuilding over the summer. This will be their last home game for the season so they will be looking for one good performance to sign off with. Newcastle were ticking over in some nice from recently before suffering back to back losses in the top flight.
Watford 7/5, Newcastle 21/10, Draw 9/4* (Betting Odds taken at 8:08 p.m. on April 30th, 2018)
The end of the season can’t come quick enough for Watford as their long winless streak continues. They have gone D2 L5 in their last seven league outings now and during that run, they have failed to score in five of those. They were in action on Monday as they lost 2-0 at Tottenham without really threatening much. The Hornets are W6 D6 L6 at home this season and they are winless in three there (D2 L1). Watford have scored 25 goals in their 18 home games this season but they have conceded around 1.7 goals per game on home soil. There has been a clean sheet in less than a third of their games at Vicarage Road for the Hornets. Of the goals that they have come up with at home this term 68% of them have come in the second half of matches so the half-time draw at bet365 may offer some appeal, especially with the lack of goals from looks like a tired Watford side. With Newcastle safe for the season, there may not be many goals flying around at Vicarage Road on the weekend.
In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:15 p.m. on May 1st, 2018) and that is going to have some appeal as neither really look like winning this at the moment. Newcastle got themselves safe from relegation with a good run of wins and they have eased off since and even boss Rafa Benitez has admitted that. The Magpies have lost their last two games by a 1-0 scoreline and away from home this season they have only won four times (D4 L9) so it’s not too likely that they would break out three points in this one. The Magpies have averaged a goal per game on their travels this season but they have had troubles at the back because they have taken a clean sheet in just 12% of their games away from St James’ Park. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last six road games. There’s nothing at stake for them in this one.
Watford romped to a 3-0 success on their visit to St James’ Park earlier this season. That was their fourth straight win over the Magpies in all competitions, two of the last three being with a clean sheet. Watford have won their last two home fixtures against Newcastle (one league, one FA Cup) and both successes were by a one-goal margin. Overall the head to head is in Newcastle’s favour with them 14-12 ahead with 14 drawn matches.
The Hornets are value to back to get the win on the board in this one. It will probably be even and neither and particularly convincing but Watford will likely want to sign off with some kind of positive performance. Newcastle are already looking in a postseason mood at the moment, so back the home win.
2nd May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
West Brom collected a surprise point by earning a home draw against Liverpool on the weekend having come back from 2-0 down in the game. That continued their recent flourish of spirit and organisation. It has done little for their survival chances though and the Baggies could be relegated this weekend still. Newcastle will have had less rest going into this one after facing up to Everton on Monday night.
Newcastle 4/5, Draw 12/5, West Brom 15/4* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
The Magpies suffered a 1-0 loss at Everton on Monday night which snapped a great run of four straight wins that they were on. At least their great home form stays intact and they are on a four-match winning streak at St James’ Park and have stayed unbeaten in seven there (W4 D3). Overall this season Newcastle have a W7 D4 L6 record at home and four of their last five home wins have been with a clean sheet. Newcastle to win to nil at bet365 is at 15/8 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:25 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). The Magpies have done pretty well defensively on home soil to back that up, with them having conceded under a goal per game on average, taking a clean sheet in 35% of home games. Just 35% of their fixtures have gone above 2.5 goals at home this season. They have scored in each of their last six home league games and have totalled 18 goals in 17 home fixtures. So this have every indication that it is going to be a low scoring affair.
If the West Brom who have collected five points in their last three games would have turned up earlier this year, they may not have ended up in the relegation mess that they are. After taking a shock win at Old Trafford recently, they followed up that great result with a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool last weekend, fighting back for a point with two goals in the last ten minutes at the Hawthorns. So they have been playing with some character finally and the win at Old Trafford on April 15th snapped a four-match losing streak that they were on away from home. Their away record reads just W2 D4 L11 for the season though which is pretty terrible still, but they are looking to finish the season with a bang at least. The Baggies have returned only the nine goals away from home this season. In the bet365 correct score market a Newcastle 1-0 and the 1-1 draw are the shortest-priced options at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:25 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). 67% of the goals that West Brom have managed away from home this season have come in the second half of matches. They have also conceded 72% of their away goals in the second half of away matches.
There was an exciting 2-2 draw at the Hawthorns when the two met back at the end of November. That snapped a five-match sequence between the two of games finishing under 2.5 goals. From the last five Premier League meetings Newcastle have a slight edge with a W2 D2 L1 record on the board. They are W2 D2 from their last four home league meetings against the Baggies.
Newcastle may be able to sneak the win in this one. They have pretty decent home form at the moment and even though the Baggies are battling along with a bit of pride at the moment, they may find the Magpies too much to handle. Home win.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Gunners have hit a purple patch of form with a three-match winning streak under their belt as they head to Tyneside on Sunday. They can keep up the pressure on fifth-placed Chelsea with a three-point haul in this one. They may have a scrap on their hands though as the Magpies have also won their last three games.
Arsenal 11/10, Newcastle 9/4, Draw 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 00:33 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
The Magpies have won three straight league games for the second time this season so can be pleased with their work and look totally safe from relegation now. Their winning streak has been produced against Southampton, Huddersfield and Leicester and so this will be a tougher game for them. However, they have won their last three at home and are unbeaten in six on Tyneside (W3 D3). Among those wins was a 1-0 success over Manchester United in mid-February. Actually, five of Newcastle’s six home wins this season have been with a clean sheet. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is a good 43/40 odds option* (Betting Odds taken at 3:55 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) just because the Magpies look as if they could hold on defensively at the moment. They have four clean sheets in their last six home fixtures. Goals haven’t been all that easy to come by for them and as they averaged just a goal per game on home soil, but they have scored in each of their last five at St James’ Park. They have conceded at under a goal per game on average so again, this may not be a free-scoring fixture. Newcastle would be delighted with a point out of this you would imagine.
Like Newcastle, Arsenal have hit a purple patch of form with three-match winning streak going. They were all home games though and if you look just at their away form, it’s not good. They are on a four-match losing streak on their travels, their most recent being a 2-1 loss at Brighton in early March. Overall this season Arsenal have only produced a W3 D4 L8 record away from the Emirates which is really poor by their standards. They have only come up with the sixteen goals in fifteen away games as well, and that is another indicator that this could be tight. In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is a nice 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:55 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) option to consider. Two-thirds of their goals scored and two-thirds of their goals conceded away from home this season have all been in the second half of fixtures. Seven times this season they have been at 0-0 at half time away from home so a half-time draw should appeal. The Gunners are without a clean sheet in their last six road games now and are winless in five on the road.
Arsenal have won the last three Premier League games against Newcastle all by a 1-0 scoreline. They are on a massive ten-match winning streak against the Magpies at the moment and six of those have been to nil. Seven of those ten victories in the sequence were won by a one-goal margin only by the Gunners. Arsenal are on a four-match winning streak at St James’ Park in the league.
Newcastle to win: The Gunners had extra work in midweek to get through in the Europa League, and that could work against them. Newcastle are carrying solid home from now and the Magpies just may be worth having a flutter on to break Arsenal’s winning streak.
12th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Foxes have put together back to back league wins now to hold down a top-eight spot. They will be looking for more on the weekend as they face up to Newcastle at the King Power. The Magpies have done very well to stave off any relegation concerns that they could have had this season and like the Foxes have won their last two.
Leicester 10/11, Draw 5/2, Newcastle 3/1* (Betting Odds taken at 8:11 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
The Foxes are running on a four-match undefeated streak of form, winning their last two, both away games at West Brom and Brighton. So it’s back to the King Power then where they have drawn their last three league games 1-1. In the Paddy Power correct score market a 1-1 option is right there at the head of the market at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:01 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Leicester have found the back of the net in each of their last six home games in the league but they have shipped in each of their last three there so both teams to score at Paddy Power is worth considering at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Jamie Vardy has been in decent form recently in front of goal and the England man is at 10/3 odds with Paddy Power* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018) in the first goalscorer market. Surprisingly only 40% of Leicester home games this season in the top flight have made it above 2.5 goals, so consider under.
The Magpies have done enough to get themselves safe it would seem, now sitting a comfortable seven points away from the drop zone heading into the weekend. Newcastle have earned a W3 D4 L8 record on their travels this season in the top flight and they have failed to win any of their last four now (D2 L2). They have averaged exactly one goal per away game this term while they have shipped at a rate of 1.7 per game on average. They have failed to bag a clean sheet in any of their last four away from St James Park. 64% of the goals they have conceded on the road have been in the second half of matches. They have been level at the break 0-0 in five of their road games this far and should be good value to back in a half time correct score at Paddy Power. They are looking much more settled now while they are still really lacking the goals to really put teams to the sword. They do have the best defensive record of all teams starting eighth or lower this weekend in the top flight.
There was a five-goal thriller between the two at St James Park earlier in the season with Leicester taking a 3-2 way win. That makes it four Premier League wins on the bounce now for them against the Magpies, three of those with a clean sheet as well. Leicester are unbeaten in their last seven home games against Newcastle in all competitions (W3 D4) currently riding a three-match winning streak there.
Leicester have key players in good form at the moment and there should be enough in them to collect the three points in this duel. Newcastle are always a little bit of a threat on quick counter-attacks, but that’s Leicester’s area of expertise too. Home win.
5th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It is a big game for both of these at St James’ Park on Saturday. Just the one point separates the two of them with Newcastle on 32 points and the Terriers on 31. That leaves them four and three points away from the drop zone respectively. There’s a lot of work for them both still to do to get to the position of being able to breathe easy.
Newcastle 3/4, Draw 12/5, Huddersfield 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 04:25 a.m. on March 26th, 2018)
The Magpies have lost only one of their last six league fixtures now (W2 D3) so are ticking over nicely. They banged out a 3-0 home success over Southampton just before the international break, a huge three points for themselves and it moved them out to back to back wins on home soil in the top flight. The Magpies are unbeaten in their last five home games now and are looking increasingly likely to stave off any threats of relegation. Three points in this one would go a long way to helping that as well. Newcastle have back to back clean sheets at home and Newcastle to win to nil at Betvictor is at 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 05:09 p.m. on March 26th, 2018). Newcastle have scored in each of their last four league games at home now and are starting to shape up well. Only 33% of their home fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals so it’s worth looking under the goal line totally for this match up. This is a massive chance for the Tynesiders to haul themselves to safety.
The Terriers are under increasing pressure now after losing against Crystal Palace in a big showdown before the international break. They are only three points above the drop zone going into this one and a loss would be a big blow for them in seeing Newcastle move four points clear of them. .Huddersfield have lost four of their last five away games (W1) their only bright spark in that sequence coming with a win at the Hawthorns against West Brom. They failed to hit the back of the net in each of those four away defeats and overall home and away they have failed to score in eight of their last eleven Premier League fixtures. So they are probably going to struggle to get themselves on the ball and to dig out what would be just their fourth away win of the season (W3 D2 L10). In the Betvictor correct score market a Newcastle 1-0 is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 05:09 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) the shortest priced option to be snapped up in the market. Huddersfield have only netted ten away goals this season and have averaged 2.0 goals per game against on their travels. With no clean sheet in twelve away games, they could struggle again.
The Terriers were 1-0 winners at home over Newcastle earlier this season and from the last three meetings, which are the only ones of note for current form, the Terriers are 2-1 ahead. Last season the Championship, Huddersfield took a 2-1 win at St James Park, their first league clash since 1984.
A home win looks to be the most probable outcome in this important duel. The Magpies have to make the most of home advantage here and after their success over Southampton before the break, they can follow that up with another good clean sheet win in this one.
27th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting