Rotherham lost last weekend, a result which consigned them to relegation along with Bolton and Ipswich. Middlesbrough meanwhile will have to fight for a win to try and lift themselves into sixth place at the expense of Derby. Only a win for Boro and nothing more than a draw for the Rams (who host West Brom) will get Middlesbrough to the playoffs. Read our Rotherham v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 3rd, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
Rotherham then couldn’t keep themselves in the second tier. The Millers lost 2-1 at West Brom last weekend, their third straight league defeat. They have managed to make just the one point from their last five games played. In that sequence of games, Rotherham conceded at least two goals in each of those fixtures. Their home record this season is W7 D8 L7, not the worst, but they have lost three of their last four on home soil, the one exception was when they beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at the start of April.
The Millers have claimed all seven of their home wins this season by a one-goal margin. In total, they have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game with 68% of their home games going over 2.5 goals. They have conceded 61% of their home goals after the halftime break. Rotherham this season have gone W1 D1 L4 at home against the current top six sides but they have actually opened the scoring in 14 of their 22 home games, which is a pretty high return. They do boast the worst defensive record in the league and they failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last 16 at home. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five, home and away.
There was 0-0 draw between these two earlier this season
None of the five previous Championship meetings saw both teams score
Rotherham have scored one goal in their five previous Championship games against Boro
Boro are W3 D1 L1 in their last five against the Millers
So it’s win and hope for the best from Middlesbrough then. They have to be a bit gung ho in this one, as they can play without a safety net. Nothing less than a win will give them at least a chance of a playoff spot. Boro claimed a 2-1 success over Reading in their last game and that is four wins in their last five games played. Their record out on the road this season is W9 D7 L6 although they haven’t shaped up too well on their trips away from the Riverside recently. Boro are W1 D1 L3 in their last five Championship away games.
At no point of the season have Boro been a free-scoring side. They have averaged just a tiny shade over a goal per away game this season. They have been good at the back which has meant that only 41% of their road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. In total Boro have taken a clean sheet in 36% of their away games. Of the nine away wins which they have taken, six of them have been by a margin of just the one goal. In total Boro have been level at half time in 10 away games. Boro have scored 62% of their away goals after the half time break. It’s time to let loose for them now.
As Boro have to go for broke in this one, it is worth having a look at the away win. This is still likely to be a low scoring game though, so it’s Boro by a one-goal winning margin. Will it be enough to get them to the playoffs though?
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro are in a three-way tussle with Bristol City and Derby for the final playoff spot. Middlesbrough and put together a great three-match winning streak but lost valuable ground last weekend in loss at Notts Forest. Can they recover in this one against Reading? The Royals are down in the bottom six, but are unbeaten in four now. Read our Middlesbrough v Reading betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 26th, 2019 at 6:58 p.m.)
After a big losing streak, Middlesbrough had put themselves back on track for a shot at the playoffs with three straight wins. That was snapped last weekend with a crushing loss at Nottingham Forest. Now they have really need to come out and win their last two games. Fortunately for them, their final match of the season is against Rotherham, who could be relegated by the time that game comes around. Middlesbrough have won their last two home games by a 1-0 scoreline over Hull and Stoke. That is part of a W9 D6 L7 home record in the league this season by them.
Boro have taken a clean sheet in 50% of all their home games this season which is an excellent return. Just 18% of all games at the Riverside this season in the Championship have gone above 2.5 goals. Boro have averaged under a goal against on home soil this season, but they have also scored at under a goal per game. Broo have been leading at the halftime break in 10 of their away games this season after having scored 67% of their home goals in the first period of matches. They have conceded 62% of their home goals after the halftime break. There’s a job to be done here, can they do it?
Boro were 1-0 winners at Reading earlier this season
Boro are on a four-match winning streak over the Royals
Reading have lost their last two at the Riverside by a 2-1 scoreline
Both teams have scored in two of the last seven meetings
The Royals took a point in a home draw against West Brom last weekend and that is a W1 D3 record that they have produced in their last four games. It’s worth noting that each of the three draws in that sequence were against side currently in the top eight. So that’s been a great effort from the Royals recently. Their away form has seen them collect only the two away wins all season (D11 L9). So that has been a poor return. They have posted a D2 L4 record in their six away games against the current top six.
Reading have a averaged under a goal per away game this season, while they have conceded at 1.5 per road game. Less than half of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. Reading have taken a clean sheet in 18% of their away fixtures. They are winless in four out on the road (D3 L1) and they have been levell at the half time break in 12 of their away games. The Royals have conceded 73% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures this season. They are safe from the drop, but can they disrupt Middlesbrough’s plans of a top-six finish.
Middlesbrough have only managed narrow home wins in their last two home games and haven’t looked at their best still. Considering the draws that Reading have picked up recently against stronger opposition, they may well be able to grab a draw at the Riverside. Draw.
27th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Nottingham Forest’s season has petered out with a recent dip in form, but Middlesbrough are still hoping for a playoff place. Can Boro pick up where they left off last time on the road and collect themselves three points? Read our Nottingham Forest v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
Nottingham Forest 7/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
Nottingham Forest suffered a 2-1 reverse in their last home game, which was against Balburn. They haven’t done too badly with a W5 L2 record there in their last seven though and they have posted a decent W11 D4 L6 home record this campaign. They are likely only going to get a mid-table finish at the end of the day though. In their six home games this season against the current top six they have returned a W2 D1 L3 record.
They have tallied up an average of 1.4 goals per home game this season, conceding at an average of 1 goal per game. In total, they have earned a clean sheet in 33% of their home fixtures. Seven of their eleven home success this season have been earned by a one-goal margin. Forest are on a seven-match scoring streak at home at the moment and they have opened the scoring in 14 of their 21 home fixtures so far.
Forest were 2-0 winners at the Riverside earlier this season
Forest won this corresponding fixture 2-1 last season
Boro are W2 L3 in their last five against Notts Forest
Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven meetings
Boro haven’t had a high return of things on the road recently. They were winless in three (D1 L2) before snapping out of that slump and earning a 2-0 win at the relegation-bound Bolton in their last away game. That leaves them at a W9 D7 L5 record this season on their travels, where they have averaged 1.1 goals per game. They have conceded at under a goal per away game this season with only 38% of the road fixtures going over 2.5 goals.
Boro have taken a clean sheet in 38% of their away games this season. They have three in their last five on the road. Of the nine away wins that they have collected this season, six of them have been by just the one-goal margin. They need their defence to stand strong once again to keep their chance at a play off finish alive.
This could be a well-balanced game as Nottingham Forest have been a handy side on home soil. There hasn’t been a great deal to cheer about from Middlesbrough on the road recently and a win over Bolton proves nothing. The home win at 7/5 odds may be worth a look* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro have managed to recover from a major slump with back to back wins. So they are still in touch with the play-off places but have to keep up their momentum now in a tight scrap. They welcome Stoke to the Riverside who have not done a tremendous amount of winning recently. Read our Middlesbrough v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 4:58 p.m.)
Boro have won their last two games in the league, both with a clean sheet. Before that, they were on a six-match losing streak of form. They took a win at home over Hull on the weekend, which was a very good result. They are W8 D6 L7 at the Riverside this season which isn’t great. They have lost four of their last five played (W1) on home soil. Middlesbrough average under a goal per game on home soil this season.
Just 19% of Middlesbrough’s home games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. Each of their last three at the Riverside have gone under the goal line. They have taken a clean sheet in 48% of their league home fixtures. In total, they have averaged just 0.76 goals against them at home this season. Just one of their eight home wins this term have been by a margin of more than two goals. Boro have scored 65% of their home goals in the first period of fixtures this season.
There was a 0-0 draw when the two met in November
Stoke are unbeaten in four against Boro now (W2 D2)
Boro though are W2 D1 L1 in their last four at home against the Potters
Each of the last four meetings have gone under 2.5 goals
Stoke earned a 2-2 draw at home against the relegation-threatened Rotherham on the weekend. That was their fifth draw in their last seven played (W1 L1). So it’s all very average from the Potters really. They have only managed three away wins all season in the Championship, part of an overall W3 D12 L6 record. Stoke have averaged under a goal per away game so this looks as if it’s going to be a low scoring duel at the Riverside.
Only 43% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals, with Stoke taking a clean sheet in 38% of their away games. Stoke lost their last away game, which was at Swansea but they were undefeated in five before that. Again, there were plenty of drawn fixtures in that sequence, four of the five ended in a draw. Actually, four of Stoke’s last seven league games, home and away, have ended in a 0-0 draw. Five of their six away defeats have been by a two-goal margin.
Boro eased some pretty at home with a good win over Hull last weekend. It was only a tight win though and they still don’t look particularly confident. Stoke are very tight in defence and may have enough to grind out a point. Draw.
16th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Bolton are running out of time in their quest to get safe this season. They are nine points from safety with just the six games to play. Three points in this one would at least give the Trotters a faint glimmer of hope. They could be catching Boro at the right time as well with them arriving on a big losing streak. Read our Bolton v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 7th, 2019 at 4:02 p.m.)
Bolton missed a huge opportunity on home soil on the weekend to put some survival points on the board. The Trotters ended up losing 2-1 against bottom side Ipswich. That disappointing defeat for the Trotters leaves them at W4 D4 L12 this season on home soil in the Championship. They have lost their last two games on home soil in the division and their survival looks unlikely accomplishment at this stage. Bolton have only produced 13 goals in their 20 home fixtures played in the Championship this season. 10 of those were netted after the half-time break.
Brom have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per home fixtures this season. Less than half of their home fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. Bolton have claimed a clean sheet in only 15% of their home games this term. Bolton have tallied eight victories in the Championship this season, home and away combined, and all eight of those were by a single goal margin. Bolton have been losing at half-time in 11 of 20 home games and they have not earned a clean sheet in any of their last seven. The Trotters are a low scoring side in the Championship and they have the joint-the worst home record as well.
Bolton lost 2-0 at the Riverside against Boro in September
Boro are on a seven-match winning streak against Bolton
Bolton are winless in four at home against Boro (D1 L3)
Boro have conceded just one goal in their last six against the Trotters
Middlesbrough continue to slide away from playoff hopes. They suffered their sixth straight league defeat over the weekend with a 3-1 loss out at Swansea. There are really struggling as well in front of goal as their strike at the Liberty Stadium was just their third in their last seven league games. That result leaves them four points outside of the play-off places in which is some drop as they looked such a strong contender. On the road this season Middlesbrough have taken a W8 D7 L5 record with back-to-back away defeats currently behind them. Boro have only picked up a W1 D1 L3 record in their five away games, scoring just two goals in that sequence.
Middlesbrough have averaged 1.5 goals per away game this season on their travels which is a low return. Only 40% of Middlesbrough’s away games have made it over 2.5 goals this season so this could end up being a low scoring fixture. Middlesbrough have earned a clean sheet in 35% of their away games. Of the 12 defeats which they have picked up away from home this season, eight of them have only been by a one-goal margin. 68% of their away goals have been conceded in the second period of games. Boro have been level at half-time in half of their away fixtures. There are only three sides currently in the Championship who have scored fewer goals than Middlesbrough have done.
Bolton’s loss at home against Ipswich will have been devastating for them. They couldn’t have asked for a better opportunity at three points. Boro aren’t in form, but they may be able to squeeze out a precious win here.
8th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Swans got themselves a good home win over Brentford last weekend to give themselves a lift towards a mid-table finish. As for Middlesbrough, their whole season is collapsing around them. They lost against Bristol City last time out, their fifth straight league defeat. Read our Swansea v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 5:11 p.m.)
Swansea earned a 3-0 success over Brentford last weekend. That was a welcome relief for them as it snapped a three-match losing streak that they were on. They have managed to maintain some pretty good home form though. The Swans are W9 D4 L5 at home this season in the Championship and they are on a three-match winning streak there. Each of those three wins were with a clean sheet as well. The Swans are undefeated in their last six at the Liberty Stadium so will pose a challenge to Boro.
Swansea have averaged 1.6 goals per home game this season, conceding at just over a goal per game on average. They have been solid defensively in having claimed a clean sheet in 44% of their home games this season. Swansea have scored in each of their last six home games and they have not conceded in their last three at home. The Swans have scored five goals in their last two games at home. Of their home goals this season, 62% have come after the half time break. Swansea have opened the scoring in 11 of their 18 home games.
There was a 0-0 draw at the Riverside in September
That’s back to back league 0-0 draws between these two
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Swansea are W2 D1 in their last three at home against Boro
Boro lost 1-0 at home against Bristol City last weekend, which leaves them on a five-match losing streak. That was the third game in a row in which they had failed to score as well. They have actually only scored a total of two goals in their last six games, missing the mark in four of those six. Their away form for the season is at W8 D7 L4 and in their last away game, they suffered a 3-0 defeat at Villa Park against Aston Villa. Boro have averaged just over a goal per game away from home this term.
They have managed to take a clean sheet in 37% of away games and they do have two in their last three. In their last four away games, they have a W1 D1 L2 record under their belt. Boro have been level at the half time break in 10 of their 19 road fixtures this season. They have scored 67% of their away goals after the halftime break in matches. Surprisingly for a side who are still in contention for a playoff place, there are only three teams in the entire division who have scored fewer goals than Boro have done this season. At the other end of the scale, they have the best defensive record by a long shot.
Swansea have great home form going at the moment while Middlesbrough have totally fallen apart. There has to be a great chance for the Swans to get another solid home success under their belt. Home win.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro slipped up again on the weekend, taking another loss, their fourth in a row. This was a costly one as well as it saw them slip out of the playoff places. They badly need to arrest this slump in form. They won’t get an easy game though as Bristol City come for a visit after having taken a great win at Sheffield United on the weekend. Read our Middlesbrough v Bristol City betting tips for more.
Bristol City 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 31st, 2019 at 7:33 p.m.)
So things are falling apart for Middlesbrough now. It is a four-match losing streak that they are on in the league, going winless in five after a home defeat against league leaders Norwich on the weekend. This has happened at a bad time for them as the race for the playoff spots is so congested. This season at the Riverside Boro are W7 D6 L6 and they are currently on a three-match losing streak there. They have managed just one win in their last six league home games now. Even though they have taken a clean sheet in 47% of their home fixtures, their scoring hasn’t been high, averaging exactly one goal per game.
Just 21% of games at the Riverside this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Boro have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals per home game, but have conceded five in their last three there. What do they have in them, because the wind has been knocked out of their sails? Boro have been leading at the halftime break in 8 of their 19 home games this season, despite them having scored 63% of their home goals in the first half of matches. They do boast the best defensive record in the second tier this season, but that’s not helping them at the moment.
Middlesbrough were 2-0 winners at Ashton Gate in August
Things are even at two wins each of their last four meetings
Both teams have scored in two of the last six meetings
Bristol City are W2 D1 L1 in their last four visits to the Riverside
Bristol City hall themselves out of a five-match winless streak of Championship form on the weekend. They earned a fantastic 3-2 way win at Sheffield United who are in the mix for automatic promotion. That was just the result that the Robins needed, so now, can they build on that as they are still in the hunt for a playoff place? This season the Robins have taken a W9 D4 L5 away record in the second tier. Bristol City have averaged 1.4 goals per away game, conceding 1.2 goals per road fixture.
Only 39% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals as they have earned a clean sheet in 44% of their road games. Of their nine away wins this season, seven of them have been by a one-goal margin. The Robins have been level at the break in 11 of their 18 away games. Bristol City are on a nine-match scoring streak at the moment away from home, but haven’t managed a clean sheet in any of their last seven, home and away. 65% of their away goals have been scored in the second half of matches and the Robins have opened the scoring in exactly half of their away games. Only Middlesbrough and Sheffield United have better defensive records than the Robins.
Boro need to stop the rot quickly. This becomes such an important game for them and it won’t be easy against the Robins who had that wonderful result on the weekend. But it’s a quick return to action and the draw in the match outright has the most appeal. Neither have been doing much winning lately and there are two good defences competing here.
31st March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro have badly fallen out of form with a three-match losing streak going at the moment. They are still just about holding on to a top-six place at the moment though. Will they be able to get anything out of this tough home game against the league leaders? Norwich are steaming along on a big winning streak. Read our Middlesbrough v Norwich betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 26th, 2019 at 4:47 p.m.)
Middlesbrough are out of form. They are on a three-match losing streak in the Championship, winless in four. Boro failed to get on the scoresheet in two of those four as well. So their push for a top-six finish is just starting to look a bit more fragile at the moment, with only two wins in their last eight games overall. They have lost their last two at the Riverside as well, back to back 2-1 losses against Brentford and then Preston. Home away Boro have now conceded a total of seven goals in their last three games. They are going up against the top scorers in the division in this one.
Boro have taken a clean sheet in 50% of their home games this season, but their scoring hasn’t been great. They have only averaged just over a goal per game have Boro, this season. Only 22% of league games at the Riverside have finished above 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough are at W7 D6 L5 for the season at home in the Championship. They have hit the back of the net in each of their last six home games though, netting a total of 63% of home games in the first period of games. Despite sitting in the playoff spots, only six teams have worse home records than they have.
Norwich were 1-0 winners over Boro earlier this season
The Canaries are on a four-match winning streak over Boro
The last three meetings have ended in a 1-0 win for Norwich
Both teams have scored in just one of the last eight meetings
It’s been great stuff from the Canaries as they are soaring towards automatic promotion. It is a seven-match winning streak that they are currently on, winning each of their last three on the road. They produced at least two goals in each of those as well. The Canaries are the Championship top scorers this season. Away from home Norwich are at W10 D7 L2 this season. They have won four of their last five away from Carrow Road (L1). Going back to their goal scoring, they average just under two goals per road game and they do have the best away record in the Championship.
The Canaries though have only managed one clean sheet in their last seven away games. 63% of Norwich’s away games have made it over 2.5 goals, with the Canaries taking a clean sheet in 26% of their away games in total. Each of Norwich’s last five road fixtures have finished above the 2.5 goal line. They have scored in each of their last 19 league outings and in each of their last nine on the road. Norwich have scored 64% of their away goals after the halftime break in matches. The Canaries have opened the scoring in 11 of their 19 away games.
Norwich look to be in good enough form to go and get themselves a good away win at the Riverside. The home form of Boro just hasn’t been anything spectacular at all, so it is the scoring power of the away side that should tip the balance. Away win.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains have hit a rich vein of form with a three-match winning streak going for them. That has seen them creep up well on the top six. They have a chance to push even closer with three points against Middlesbrough. Boro are fifth but falling out of form. Read our Aston Villa v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 11/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 10:17 p.m.)
The Villains have a head of steam up at the moment. They are on a three-match winning streak after a midweek 3-1 success at Nottingham Forest. That is the only goal which Villa have conceded in their last three as well. Villa are unbeaten in their last four league games and this big upturn in form has seen them put together a charge for the top six. They could end up in the playoff spots this weekend with a win in this game and other results going their way.
Aston Villa are W7 D 8 L3 at home this season in the Championship. Their last home game saw Villa take a big 4-0 win over Derby. That is only the second win in their last nine on home soil in the second tier though. Aston Villa have produced an average of two goals per home fixture so far, and 72% of fixtures at Villa Park have gone over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa have been leaky at the back for the large part of the season, shipping an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Of their home goals conceded, 62% of them have been after the halftime break.
Aston Villa took a 3-0 win at Middlesbrough earlier this season
Villa are undefeated in four against Villa
Both teams have scored in none of the last six meetings
Four of the last five meetings at Villa Park have ended in a draw
There has been a bit of a drop off in the form of Middlesbrough. They have lost their last two and have gone winless in their last three played. Their last two games have ended in 2-1 scoreline reverses against Brentford and Preston. They have actually suffered three losses in their last six now. So they need to get the ship steadied in their push for a playoff spot. They aren’t doing too badly on the road with a W3 D1 L1 record in their last five away games. Middlesbrough have the best defensive record in the Championship this season and have taken a clean sheet in 39% of their road games.
In attack, Middlesbrough have averaged slightly over a goal per game. They have only produced the one goal in their last three away from the Riverside. A third of their road games only have made it over 2.5 goals. Of the eight away victories which they have posted, six of them have been by a one-goal margin only. Boro have been level at half time in 10 of their 18 away fixtures. Two-thirds of their away goals have been scored in the second half of fixtures.
All credit to Villa for having gotten themselves going well. They should avoid defeat on home soil in this one, but winning streaks are hard to maintain. Boro may well be able to dig in there and pick up a point as their away form isn’t all that bad.
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro had a slip on the weekend in their push for a top six finish. They suffered a home defeat against Brentford. They stay at home for midweek action as they welcome Preston. Preston are on a good run of form at the moment as well having climbed up into the top ten. Read our Middlesbrough v Preston betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
It was a 2-1 home loss that Middlesbrough suffered against Brentford on the weekend. That was an upset as Boro hadn’t conceded a goal in any of their three league games prior to that. It leaves Boro at W7 D6 L4 for the season. The loss against the Bees saw a four-match home unbeaten streak snapped for Boro. It does also actually only leave them with two wins in their last eight at the Riverside (D3 L4).
So it’s not been the strongest of home form. Boro have only scored 18 goals in 17 home games for the season and only 18% of games at the Riverside have gone over 2.5 goals. Defensively Boro have done well with a clean sheet earned in 53% of home fixtures. Both teams have scored in just 29% of Boro’s home games. Of the seven home wins recorded by Boro, four of them have been by a two-goal margin. 61% of their home goals have been scored in the first half of matches.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two earlier this season
There was also a draw in an EFL Cup meeting
Three of the last four meetings have ended in a draw
Boro are unbeaten in 13 against Preston in all competitions
Preston claimed a 1-0 away win at Blackburn on the weekend which keeps them in very good form. They are now unbeaten in their last ten Championship fixtures, winning six of those. So it has been very good stuff from them and there is every chance that they will push Boro hard here. Preston are on a five-match winning streak away from home at the moment and they scored at least two goals in all but one of those.
Preston are W7 D3 L8 on their travels in the division this season. It is worth noting that they have lost all four away games played this season against current top-six sides and they failed to score in three of those four games. Preston have scored in each of their last six games away from home, with 64% of all their away goals coming after the half time break. They have conceded two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of fixtures too.
Preston are full of confidence at the moment and are so hard to beat. With Boro not having done a great deal of winning at home recently, there is every chance that the visitors can turn up at the Riverside and grab a point.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting