The Villains have hit a rich vein of form with a three-match winning streak going for them. That has seen them creep up well on the top six. They have a chance to push even closer with three points against Middlesbrough. Boro are fifth but falling out of form. Read our Aston Villa v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 11/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 14th, 2019 at 10:17 p.m.)
The Villains have a head of steam up at the moment. They are on a three-match winning streak after a midweek 3-1 success at Nottingham Forest. That is the only goal which Villa have conceded in their last three as well. Villa are unbeaten in their last four league games and this big upturn in form has seen them put together a charge for the top six. They could end up in the playoff spots this weekend with a win in this game and other results going their way.
Aston Villa are W7 D 8 L3 at home this season in the Championship. Their last home game saw Villa take a big 4-0 win over Derby. That is only the second win in their last nine on home soil in the second tier though. Aston Villa have produced an average of two goals per home fixture so far, and 72% of fixtures at Villa Park have gone over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa have been leaky at the back for the large part of the season, shipping an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Of their home goals conceded, 62% of them have been after the halftime break.
Aston Villa took a 3-0 win at Middlesbrough earlier this season
Villa are undefeated in four against Villa
Both teams have scored in none of the last six meetings
Four of the last five meetings at Villa Park have ended in a draw
There has been a bit of a drop off in the form of Middlesbrough. They have lost their last two and have gone winless in their last three played. Their last two games have ended in 2-1 scoreline reverses against Brentford and Preston. They have actually suffered three losses in their last six now. So they need to get the ship steadied in their push for a playoff spot. They aren’t doing too badly on the road with a W3 D1 L1 record in their last five away games. Middlesbrough have the best defensive record in the Championship this season and have taken a clean sheet in 39% of their road games.
In attack, Middlesbrough have averaged slightly over a goal per game. They have only produced the one goal in their last three away from the Riverside. A third of their road games only have made it over 2.5 goals. Of the eight away victories which they have posted, six of them have been by a one-goal margin only. Boro have been level at half time in 10 of their 18 away fixtures. Two-thirds of their away goals have been scored in the second half of fixtures.
All credit to Villa for having gotten themselves going well. They should avoid defeat on home soil in this one, but winning streaks are hard to maintain. Boro may well be able to dig in there and pick up a point as their away form isn’t all that bad.
15th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro had a slip on the weekend in their push for a top six finish. They suffered a home defeat against Brentford. They stay at home for midweek action as they welcome Preston. Preston are on a good run of form at the moment as well having climbed up into the top ten. Read our Middlesbrough v Preston betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
It was a 2-1 home loss that Middlesbrough suffered against Brentford on the weekend. That was an upset as Boro hadn’t conceded a goal in any of their three league games prior to that. It leaves Boro at W7 D6 L4 for the season. The loss against the Bees saw a four-match home unbeaten streak snapped for Boro. It does also actually only leave them with two wins in their last eight at the Riverside (D3 L4).
So it’s not been the strongest of home form. Boro have only scored 18 goals in 17 home games for the season and only 18% of games at the Riverside have gone over 2.5 goals. Defensively Boro have done well with a clean sheet earned in 53% of home fixtures. Both teams have scored in just 29% of Boro’s home games. Of the seven home wins recorded by Boro, four of them have been by a two-goal margin. 61% of their home goals have been scored in the first half of matches.
There was a 1-1 draw between these two earlier this season
There was also a draw in an EFL Cup meeting
Three of the last four meetings have ended in a draw
Boro are unbeaten in 13 against Preston in all competitions
Preston claimed a 1-0 away win at Blackburn on the weekend which keeps them in very good form. They are now unbeaten in their last ten Championship fixtures, winning six of those. So it has been very good stuff from them and there is every chance that they will push Boro hard here. Preston are on a five-match winning streak away from home at the moment and they scored at least two goals in all but one of those.
Preston are W7 D3 L8 on their travels in the division this season. It is worth noting that they have lost all four away games played this season against current top-six sides and they failed to score in three of those four games. Preston have scored in each of their last six games away from home, with 64% of all their away goals coming after the half time break. They have conceded two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of fixtures too.
Preston are full of confidence at the moment and are so hard to beat. With Boro not having done a great deal of winning at home recently, there is every chance that the visitors can turn up at the Riverside and grab a point.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Blackburn look as if they aren’t going to achieve much more than a mid-table finish this season. Middlesbrough meanwhile have bigger ambitions as they are embroiled in a big fight to finish in the top six and to get a shot at promotion. Read our Blackburn v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 13th, 2019 at 3:34 a.m.)
Blackburn slipped to a defeat out a at Reading in midweek which leaves them on a three-match losing streak in the Championship. That has come after they had managed to put a four-match winning streak together in the division. The overall home form of Blackburn this season reads W7 D6 L3. Less than half of their league games at Ewood Park this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Blackburn have taken two clean sheets in their last three home fixtures and have totalled a clean sheet in 31% of all home games this term.
Rovers have not been involved in a draw in any of their last nine league games. They have been level at the halftime break in 12 of their 16 league home games this season. Second-half goals have certainly been a feature of matches at Ewood Park, Blackburn have scored 78% of their home goals after the halftime break. They have conceded 81% of their home goals in the second half of games too. Only three sides in the division have a worse defensive record than Rovers have this season.
There was a 1-1 draw between the two back in December
Three of the last four league meetings have ended at 1-1
Five of the last six league meetings have been drawn
Blackburn are W2 D5 in their last seven against Boro
Middlesbrough took a bit of a hit in their push for promotion in midweek. They suffered a 1-0 defeat in Bramall Lane against Sheffield United. That snapped a positive run of six matches undefeated that they were on. So they head back out on the road on the weekend looking to restore a bit of order. The loss at Sheffield United leaves Middlesbrough at W2 D1 L1 in their last four away games. Overall this season Middlesbrough have posted a W7 D6 L3 record on their Championship travels.
Middlesbrough have conceded at less than a goal per game on average this season (home and away combined). Only 38% of their away games in the league have ended up over 2.5 goals. Boro have taken a clean sheet in 31% of all away games. They have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last four away from home and in none of their last six overall. Boro have scored 70% of their away goals this season after the halftime break in fixtures. Boro currently boast the best defensive record in the entire division.
With so many low-scoring drawn games between these two lately, we have to stick with that. Rovers could well hold out at Ewood Park in this one. Outright draw.
15th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Blades collected a point from a thrilling 3-3 draw at Aston Villa on the weekend. That was enough to keep them just in touch with the top two. They get a tough game up next at Bramall Lane as fifth-placed Middlesbrough come for a visit. Boro will be defending a great unbeaten streak of form too. Read our Sheffield United v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
Sheff Utd evens
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 10th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Blades earned a point in a crazy 3-3 draw at Aston Villa on the weekend. That left them in third place, three points behind second-placed Leeds. Sheffield United have won five of their last eight league games, but have only taken one in their last four (D2 L1). Overall this season on home soil the Blades have a W9 D3 L3 record in the league. Two of their three home defeats have been against other current top-four sides. The Blades have some strong form going on home soil though at the moment.
They are on a four-match winning streak on home soil at the moment, each to their last three have been with a clean sheet as well. They have earned a clean sheet in 40% of their home fixtures. They have averaged only 0.87 goals against them this season. 77% of their goals conceded at Bramall Lane have been in the second period of matches. The Blades have netted in each of their last five home games and have not been losing at the halftime break in any home fixture.
Middlesbrough won 3-0 at home against the Blades earlier this season
Sheffield United have lost one of their last nine home games against Boro
Both teams have scored in just two of the last nine meetings
Middlesbrough had to settle for a point at home against Leeds on the weekend ina 1-1 draw. They have produced a bit of away form, having won three of their last four away from the Riverside (D1). Overall this season they are at W7 D6 L2 on the road in the Championship. In their last away game, they took a very good three points out at West Brom. Boro have scored in each of their last seven on the road. They are, however, the lowest scoring side in the top fifteen in the league.
Boro have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last five games home and away in the league. They are without a clean sheet in three on the road. They have scored a total of 20 goals on their travels this season and 14 of them have been in the second half of fixtures. Middlesbrough currently boast the best defensive record in the division. Only two sides (Norwich and Leeds) have a better away record than Boro do this season. Three points out of this would be massive for them.
Sheffield United can make a big statement here. Their defence hasn’t been at its best, but Boro are a low scoring side. The Blades can get over the finish line with a huge three points for themselves.
11th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This will be a big top-five clash in the Championship for the weekend. There are big points at stake. Leeds are just struggling to hold their form together at the moment with four losses in their last six, but head into the weekend in second place. Middlesbrough have the chance to strengthen their place in the play-off places. Read our Middlesbrough v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 6th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
Boro have shown some good form lately, in the Championship at least. We say that because they were dumped out of the FA Cup by League Two side Newport in midweek. Anyway, Boro are W4 D2 L1 in their last seven league games so it has been a good return from them. Their record at the Riverside this season is W6 D5 L3 but they have been off the boil a bit there lately. They have posted just the one victory in their last five home fixtures (D2 L2). However, Boro have produced a W3 D1 record at home against current top-eight sides this season.
They have been a bit lean in front of goal with them having averaged exactly one goal per game. Their defence has been a big plus for them though as they have shipped at an average of 0.64 goals per home game, which is fantastic. They have taken a clean sheet in 57% of home games. Each of their last four at the Riverside have ended under 2.5 goals and overall on home soil, just 14% of their games have gone above that goal line. Boro are head and shoulders the team with the best defensive record in the Championship.
There was a 0-0 draw played out at Elland Road between them in August
Things are even at W1 D2 L1 in their last four league clashes
Both teams have scored in just one of the last eight league meetings
Leeds have won just one of their last five against Boro
Leeds have seen four defeats come their way in their last six league fixtures. They are still in a tight tussle for top spot though. They had suffered back to back away games before collected a 2-1 victory over relegation-threatened Rotherham in their last away game. Overall that leaves them at W8 D3 L4 on their travels this term. Leeds have been scoring well, having produced 26 goals in their fifteen away games. 67% of their road games have gone over the 2.5 goal line. Playing its part in that is Leeds having conceded at an average of 1.4 goals per road game.
Leeds have scored in all of their away games this season, but they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last four away from Elland Road. Of the goals which the Whites have produced this season on their travels, Leeds have scored 73% in the second half of fixtures. Only Middlesbrough and Norwich have better away records this season than Leeds have in the Championship. The Whites have the joint fourth-best offence and fourth-best defensive record in the tier. They just need to start getting some consistency back into their game.
Leeds have failed to score in four of their last five games against Boro and we feel that Boro’s defence can hold them at bay again. This is an important clash for both of them and they may cancel each other out. Draw.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Every game for Derby lately seems to a big clash for them. They took a thrilling win out at title-contenders Norwich on the weekend to give themselves a lift. They are still scrapping along in the tight-top six. They take on Middlesbrough who are sat there level on points with them. Boro are edging Derby on goal difference only. Read our Derby v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 2:58 p.m.)
The Rams scrapped and fought their way to a 4-3 win at Norwich on the weekend
They got the win thanks to two goals in the final four minutes of the game
That snapped a three-match winless streak that they were on (D2 L1)
The Rams are undefeated in their last three at Pride Park, drawing the last two
Derby have produced 17 goals at home, conceding 13
Their home record for the Championship season is W6 D4 L2
Derby have earned a clean sheet in a third of their home games this season
They have failed to score in a quarter of their home fixtures
Four of their six home victories in the Championship have been by a two-goal margin
The half time record of Derby at home this season is W3 D7 L2
Derby have opened the scoring in four of their dozen home fixtures
They will get another tough game after this as they visit current leaders Leeds
There was a 1-1 draw between them at the Riverside back in October
Derby have won just one of the last eight against Boro (D2 L5)
Derby are winless in three at home against Boro (D1 L2)
Both teams have scored in just three of the last eight meetings
Boro collected a victory at home against bottom side Ipswich on Saturday
That leaves them with a W3 D2 L3 record in their last six league outings
Their away form is W5 D5 L2 this season
They haven’t won any of their three away games at current top-eight sides
Boro have scored 14 goals on their travels this season
They have only conceded nine at an average of 0.75 goals per road game
Just 33% of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Boro have done well defensively with a clean sheet in 42% of away games
They have lost only one of their last eight away games (at QPR on December 15th)
Middlesbrough have been level at half time in seven of their twelve away games
Middlesbrough are on a four-match scoring streak on the road
Each of their last three games (home and away) have gone under 2.5 goals
Boro have scored 71% of their away goals in the second period of matches
They have actually opened the scoring in half of their away games
Boro have the best defensive record in the second tier
The Rams got a huge lift in that big triumph out at Norwich. Boro really aren’t running so hot and therefore the main proposition that we have here is a narrow home win. This is a big shot at three points on home soil for the Rams.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro’s mixed form continued on Boxing Day as they suffered a loss at home against Sheffield Wednesday. That leaves them with just the one win in their last six fixtures. Can they turn their fortunes around this weekend as they take on bottom side Ipswich? The Tractor Boys lost in midweek too, a big 3-0 loss at QPR. Read our Middlesbrough v Ipswich betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
Boro suffered a 1-0 home loss against Sheffield Wednesday in midweek
That leaves them with just one win in their last six league games (D2 L3)
Their form at the Riverside is W5 D4 L3 this season
They have only come up with the eleven goals in their home fixtures
Boro have been good at the back though with just eight goals conceded
Only 17% of games at the Riverside have gone over 2.5 goals this season
Middlesbrough have collected a clean sheet in 58% of home games
Boro have one point from their last three home games
They are only W1 D4 L3 in their last eight league home fixtures
Both teams have scored in just 17% of Middlesbrough home fixtures
Of the goals which they have scored at home, 64% of them have been in the first half of mixtures
Middlesbrough’s half-time home record is W4 D4 L4
They have failed to score in the first half in eight of their twelve home games
Boro are undefeated in their last four home games against Ipswich (W3 D1)
Boro took a 2-0 win at Portman Road against them earlier this season
Ipswich have conceded exactly two goals in four of their last five against Boro
The Tractor Boys have scored in one of their last five against Boro
The Tractor Boys are in big trouble at the bottom of the table
They lost 3-0 at QPR on Boxing Day leaving them seven points from safety
The away form of Ipswich this season is just W1 D2 L9
They are now winless in six on their travels in the league
Ipswich have only managed to produce the eight away goals all season
All but one of those were scored in the first half of games
They have conceded an average of over two goals per road game
There has been no clean sheet for Ipswich this season away from home
50% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
The Tractor Boys have failed to score in their last three away games
They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last eleven road games
Ipswich have the worst defensive record in the second tier
Only Bolton have scored fewer league goals than they have done this season
Boro should have enough to get past the Tractor Boys at home. Boro’s form isn’t great at all, and if they don’t win this there will be bigger questions being asked. Ipswich have had a miserable time of things away from home. Boro to win to nil.
27th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa finally seem to be coming to life having found some recent winning form in the Championship. So they are definitely on the up at the moment and will look to challenge Boro at the Riverside on Saturday evening. Boro are no pushovers, of course, heading into the weekend in third place and on a good unbeaten streak of form. Read our Middlesbrough v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 12/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 3:55 p.m.)
Middlesbrough earned a point from a midweek trip to Preston which leaves them unbeaten in seven. They are W3 D4 in that sequence of fixtures. Overall this season at the Riverside Boro have posted a W5 D3 L1 record and they are unbeaten in their last three there, winning two. Just 11% of their home games have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm) and that looks a great place to start for Middlesbrough v Aston Villa predictions. Each of Middlesbrough’s last eight home games have gone under 2.5 goals
Boro have conceded just the three goals at the Riverside this season in total, which tallies up to a clean sheet in 78% of their home fixtures. They have two clean sheets in their last three. 56% of their home games have been won to nil. Middlesbrough to win to nil is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). Seven of their ten home goals this season have appeared in the first half of matches so there’s been a big trend there. Home and away Boro are on a five-match scoring streak in the league. Four of their eight home games have been at 0-0 at halftime
Boro and Villa met five times last season
Along with league meetings, there met in the championship playoffs and the EFL Cup
Villa won 1-0 twice at the Riverside last season
There were just four goals in the five meetings last season
Villa earned a clean sheet in four of the five meetings last season
Villa went W2 D2 L1 against Boro last term
Villa were involved in a crazy 5-5 draw at home against Nottingham Forest in midweek, Tammy Abraham scoring four. That leaves them W3 D1 in their last four. Aston Villa produced a 3-0 win in their last away games out at Derby, a good result against a strong side. That victory snapped them out of a three-match losing streak away from home too. Aston Villa haven’t been great on the road with just a W2 D3 L4 record having been posted in the Championship away from Villa Park. They have produced 12 goals in their nine away games, conceding 13 and 56% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They have been vulnerable at the back as 78% of their away games has seen both teams score.
The Villains have conceded 62% of their away goals in the first half of games and yet they have been level at halftime in six of their nine road fixtures. Four of those halftime draws were 1-1 scorelines. The halftime draw is at 21/20 odds and a good proposition* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). In just 11% of their away games in the second tier this season, Aston Villa have banked a clean sheet. They have scored the opening goal in four of their away fixtures. The Villains have lost three of their four away games against sides currently in the top eight this season (W1).
Villa clearly had the better of things last season against Boro but they haven’t delivered the away form this season. Middlesbrough have been a tough beast at the Riverside and the narrow home win gets our nod.
29th November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Middlesbrough are in second place in the Championship after a good stretch of unbeaten form before the international break. Will they be able to pick up where they left off as they face a trip to Brentford? Brentford have suffered a defeat in four of their last five games and need to pull themselves out of that slump. Read our Brentford v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 19th, 2018 at 10:48 p.m.)
Brentford got beaten 3-2 out on the road at QPR in their last league game which means that they have suffered four defeats in their last five games (W1) in league action now. They don’t have bad home form at all though with a W5 D2 L1 record having been posted this season. A 2-0 win over Millwall in their last home game snapped a three-match winless streak at home. It is their defence which has been good at home, having only shipped six in eight games. Brentford have taken a clean sheet in 38% of their home games. Under 2.5 goals is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 4:28 pm).
Going forward themselves, Brentford have averaged exactly two goals per game at home. They have not been trailing at halftime in any home fixture this season and with that in mind, a half-time 0-0 draw is at 7/4 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 4:28 pm). Just another indicator of how good they have been at home in the division, just four teams have a better home record than Brentford have in this season’s Championship.
There were two draws between the two sides in last season’s Championship
Middlesbrough are unbeaten in eleven games against Brentford
Boro are W9 D2 in their last eleven against Brentford
Brentford have lost three of their last four home games by one goal margins against Boro
Both teams have scored in three of the last seven meetings
Middlesbrough extended their unbeaten streak to five Championship games with a 2-0 home success over Wigan in their last fixture. Out on the road this season they have picked up a record of W3 D4 L1 and they are unbeaten in their last four road games too, winning half of those. Their defence has been magnificent on their travels as they have conceded just five times in their eight away games and have four clean sheets in eight. Both teams not to score is at 10/11 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 4:28 pm)
Just a quarter of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. So they should be able to stick in there you would imagine. They have been level at the halftime break in five of their eight away games. So the halftime draw should have some appeal in the fixture. Boro have the best defensive record in the Championship with just eight goals conceded in seventeen games which is tremendous. Only two teams (Norwich and Leeds) have been records away from home in the Championship than Middlesbrough do.
Another draw between the two looks a likely outcome in this one. Brentford do have strong home form behind them, but they are taking on one of the best away sides in the division. Goals may be at a premium. Draw.
21st November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Derby have won their last two games in the league over the course of the last week to move to within two points of the top. This becomes a huge away game for them against one of the four sides currently above them. Boro are clinging on to second place in the table after only managing a midweek draw. Read our Middlesbrough v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 25th, 2018 at 5:25 p.m.)
Middlesbrough missed on what appeared to be a good chance of three points in a home 0-0 draw with Rotherham in midweek. That followed a 2-1 win they took at Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. Their current form of Middlesbrough is W2 D3 L1 in their last six with the lone defeat in that sequence being at the Riverside against Notts Forest at the start of the month.
Boro have suffered only the one home defeat this season in the Championship, but have missed out on a win in each of their last three (D2 L1). Middlesbrough are also misfiring up front with no goal in their last three home fixtures. Under 2.5 goals is at 8/13 odds* (betting odds taken on October 25th, 2018 at 5:29 pm). Boro have only shipped the seven goals all season in their fourteen league games, easily the best defence in the division. Only two goals they have conceded at home all season.
There have been under 2.5 goals in eleven of Middlesbrough’s last twelve league games. Both teams not to score is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on October 25th, 2018 at 5:29 pm). In six of their last seven games, Middlesbrough have collected a clean sheet. They are at a quote of 11/8 to get one in this one as well* (betting odds taken on October 25th, 2018 at 5:29 pm).
Both meetings last season ended in an away goal
Derby have taken just a W1 D1 L4 record in their last six league games against Boro
Both teams have scored in just two of the last six Championship meetings
Boro have lost just one of their last eleven home games against Derby
Just two of the last seven league meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Derby were on a run of one win in six games in the Championship, but they have produced back to back wins over the last week. They took out Sheffield United last weekend before downing West Brom in midweek. That’s two of the current top four they have beaten. The Rams are undefeated in their last four league games and have lost just one of their last seven (W3 D3).
So there is a bit of momentum there and overall this season they are W3 D1 L3 on the road earning four points from their last two on the road. They don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last six though and a Middlesbrough -1-0 is the shortest-priced option at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 25th, 2018 at 5:29 pm) in the correct score market.
Derby have not earned a clean sheet on their travels this season in the Championship. Jack Marriott has scored in each of Derby’s last two games in the league and he is at 11/4 in the anytime goalscorer market for the visitors* (betting odds taken on October 25th, 2018 at 5:29 pm). If they could find a way to continue their winning streak they would jump above Boro by a point.
We see the draw having the most appeal in the match outright for this one. Derby have hit a nice bit of form and will be confident of holding their own. Boro’s defence though has been immense this season, but they are lacking a scoring threat at the moment. Draw.
26th October 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting