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Marseille v Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips, 13th January 2019

European Football Betting

Marseille v Monaco Ligue 1 Preview, 13th January 8.00pm

Marseille are knocking on the door of the top four in Ligue 1 but they have just lost a little bit of momentum. They will be hoping to get it back as they face the relegation-threatened Monaco on Sunday. Monaco have grabbed Cesc Fabregas from Chelsea in the hopes of putting together a stronger second half of the season. Thierry Henry’s men are in trouble. Read our Marseille v Monaco betting tips for more.

Marseille v Monaco Betting Odds*

Marseille 8/15
Draw 3/1
Monaco 5/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 11th, 2019 at 8:22 p.m.)


Marseille News and Form

Marseille went into the winter break with a D2 L1 record in their final three games

Their home form has been solid this season in the league at W5 D2 L1

In their last home game, they draw 0-0 with Reims

They have won all four games played at home this season against sides currently 14th or lower

Marseille won all of those four games to nil, scoring at least two goals in each

Marseille have averaged over two goals at home this season

They have shipped only six home goals this season in their eight games

62% of their home games they have returned a clean sheet in

Marseille have won four of their eight home games to nil this season

Each of their last four league home games have ended under 2.5 goals

They have produced 65% of their home goals in the first half of matches

Only Lyon and PSG have scored more league goals than Marseille this season

Marseille v Monaco Head to Head

Marseille collected a 3-2 away win over Monaco back in September
Monaco are unbeaten in their last four visits to Marseille (all competitions)
Each of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine meetings

Monaco News and Form

Monaco are in trouble second from bottom in Ligue 1 five points from safety

Under Thierry Henry’s stewardship, they have won two league games only

Monaco suffer back to back losses heading into the winter break

Their away from this season is better than their home form

On their travels, they are W3D1 L4 for the season

They have lost all four of their away games this season against top half of the table teams

Monaco have tallied up nine goals on their travels but have only the two clean sheets

Their two away clean sheets have been produced in their last three away games

They have won two of their last three away games in the French top flight (L1)

Monaco are 25 points worse off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign

They have scored 89% of their away goals in the second half of matches

Only three teams have scored fewer league goals than they have

They have the third-worst defensive record in Ligue 1 as well

Monaco have failed to score in 39% of all their league matches this season

Marseille v Monaco Tips & Odds

Marseille to win to nil at 7/4
Under 2.5 goals at 4/6
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 11th, 2019 at 8:22 p.m.)

Who will win – Marseille v Monaco Predictions

Cesc Fabregas single-handedly isn’t going to change the fortunes of Monaco. They have looked really poor. Marseille are a strong home side and we have to really eye up the home win to nil as a serious proposition.

12th January 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting

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Marseille v PSG Prediction & Betting Tips, 28th October 2018

European Football Betting

Marseille v PSG Ligue 1 Preview, 28th October 8.00pm

PSG’s momentum this season has been ridiculous with them having won all ten of their league fixtures this season and they aren’t far off averaging four goals per game. They will face a fellow top-four side here as they make a trip to Marseille. Can Marseille produce a performance to deny the champions their first points of this campaign? Read our Marseille v PSG betting tips for more.

Marseille v PSG Betting Odds*

PSG 4/9
Draw 4/1
Marseille 5/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 26th, 2018 at 1:21 p.m.)


Marseille News and Form

Marseille have earned back to back clean sheet wins in Ligue 1 so have a nice bit of form behind them ahead of this tough home game. They are actually unbeaten in their five league home games this season with a W4 D1 record. Three of Marseille’s home wins this season have been with a clean sheet. However, because this is PSG showing up, that’s probably worth a pass as a betting option.

Marseille have scored at least two goals in each of their home games this season. Over 3.5 goals is well worth a look at even money odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). 80% of Marseille’s home games this season have made it over 3.5 goals. There is more to support that as well because Marseille’s last 10 home matches against PSG in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals.

Marseille have won seven of their last eight league games at home so certainly have the home from behind them. They could be missing the influential Florian Thauvin though who remains a doubt for this game after missing the Europa League on Thursday night. He has scored in three of Marseille’s five home games this season. In total at home, this season in the top flight Marseille have produced 15 goals and have conceded just the four.

Marseille v PSG Head to Head

Marseille took a point in a 2-2 draw at home against PSG last season
PSG are unbeaten in their last seventeen games against PSG
PSG have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 against Marseille
Marseille lost 3-0 twice at PSG last season in league and cup
Marseille have scored in each of their last seventeen home games against PSG
PSG are W4 D2 in their last six league meetings with Marseille

PSG News and Form

There doesn’t appear to be any stopping PSG at the moment as they have taken back to back 5-0 league wins now over Lyon and Amiens respectively. They have produced a victory in all ten of their league games this season and they have come up with at least three goals in all four of their road games. They have pretty strong form against Marseille having won 14 of their last 16 matches against them in all competitions.

In the correct score market a PSG 2-1 is the shortest-priced option at 15/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). PSG have averaged over three goals per away game this season, while they have won their last three league matches without conceding. But because PSG have conceded in three of their four road games, both teams to score is at 4/7 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm)

That Parisians have been winning at both half time and full time in 6 of their last 7 matches (Ligue 1). Kylian Mbappe has five goals in this last two league games for them, and has nine goals in five league appearances so far this season. He can be backed at 15/4 odds in the first goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). Then there is Neymar of course who has returned eight goals in eight league fixtures for the Champions this season.

Who will win – Marseille v PSG Predictions

It should be another win for PSG just because they are on a different level here. Still, Marseille have a good scoring record against them and so we will back the PSG to win & both teams to score option.

27th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting

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Marseille v Atletico Predictions & Betting Odds – 16th May 2018

Europa League Betting

Marseille v Atletico UEFA Europa League, 19th May 7.45pm

Wednesday is the final of the UEFA Europa league which is being hosted in Lyon, France. Marseille gets to play on French soil for their first ever UEFA Europa League final but they will be going into the fixture as underdogs against the powerful La Liga side and Atletico Madrid. Can Marseille become the first ever French winner of the UEFA Cup/Europa League or will they find the Spaniards, the two-time winners of the tournament, too much to handle?

Marseille v Atletico Betting Odds*

Atletico Madrid, 3/4, Draw 13/5, Marseille 19/4* (Betting Odds taken at 6:58 p.m. on May 15th, 2018)

Marseille News and Form

Marseille have been carrying great home form this season in Europe. They have won eight of their nine home games played but they did only take one victory out on the road. Marseille finished in second place in the group stage and then they had to rely on their powerful scoring threats to battle their way past Athletic Bilbao and then RB Leipzig in the quarter-finals. They then had to get past Salzburg in the semi finals the team who had beaten them to top spot in the group stage. Marseille have been to two previous UEFA cup finals 1998/99 and 2003/04 unfortunately they lost both of them though and this is the first time om four Europa league campaigns that they have made it through to the showcase match. They hadn’t been beyond the round of 32 prior to this season’s successful run.

Marseille have been involved in 15 previous matches against Spanish opposition losing eight of those matches but they did take back-to-back wins over Athletic Bilbao in the round of 16. Of those eight previous defeats against Spanish side is one of them was in the 2004 UEFA cup final against Valencia. Marseille have pretty decent current form as well having lost just one of their last six games across all competitions. Even though Marseille have been involved in a lot of high scoring ties during their Europa league campaign more likely than not the pressure of the situation in the final is going to tighten them up a little bit. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 5/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:58 p.m. on May 15th, 2018). Really the two key men for Marseille is former West Ham man Dimitri Payet and Florian Thauvin. Overall Marseille have had a really good season both on the domestic and European fronts but can they create a bit of history on Wednesday night?

Atletico News and Form

Atletico will head into Wednesday night’s final as the favourites to win the match. As well as having reached the final of the UEFA Europa League they are also challenging for a second-place finish in La Liga. Atletico have claimed their UEFA Europa league title twice before in 2010 and in 2012 and current boss Diego Simeone was in charge for both of those titles. This will be their ninth major UEFA competition final having won three of their previous eight appearances. Atletico started in the UEFA Champions League this season but couldn’t get the better of Roma and Chelsea and had to take the drop down to the UEFA Europa League. They showed plenty of interest in the tournament though by marching their way through the knockout stages quickly establishing themselves as the favourites to win the title. Atletico scored 17 goals in their eight knockout stage ties on the way to the final. Given that Atletico are well-known for their defence in the bet365 correct score market an Atletico 1-0 option is at 9/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:58 p.m. on May 15th, 2018).

Atletico’s record in Europe this season is W14 D5 L2. They only lost once away from Madrid which was in one-nil defeat in Lisbon against sporting. Atletico have played 12 previous matches against French opposition and from that they have taken a record of W6 D5 L1 so that’s a pretty strong head-to-head lead against French sides. Atletico’s form dropped away a little bit towards the end of the season but they have produced three wins in their last four games across all competitions. Atletico boasts one of Europe’s meanest tightest defences and Atletico to win to nil at bet365 is at 6/4 odds (Betting Odds taken at 6:58 p.m. on May 15th, 2018). Given that Marseille have only scored three goals in their last nine Europa league away games (90 min) then that betting option does carry some weight. With star man like Antoine Griezmann (who has scored 19 goals in his last 22 games), Diego Costa, Koke and top keeper Jan Oblak in their ranks then the Spaniards have the strength to power their way to the title.

Marseille v Atletico Head to Head

Marseille and Atletico have only met her two previous games which were in the 2008/09 UEFA champions league group stage. Atletico took a home victory over the French side before playing out a goalless draw back in France.

Who will win – Marseille v Atletico Predictions

Marseille have shown some great attacking flair through the competition so far but they will have met a defence quite as tough as Atletico. The Spaniards are such a tough side to break down that they may well grind down their French challengers and sneak their way to victory. Look for an Atletico victory in a game which goes under 2.5 goals.

15th May 2018 / lee - Category: Europa League Betting

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Europa League Final 2018 Predictions & Betting Odds

Europa League Betting

The 2017/18 UEFA Europa League Final is to be contested between Marseille and Atletico Madrid in Lyon. So for Marseille, there is a big occasion on French soil at the very least for them. The Ligue 1 side will for administrative purposes be the home side for the fixture. The sides can wear whatever strips they like, but if there is a clash the away side has to change.

Even though this will be a big occasion for Marseille who are going into their first ever Europa League Final, they are underdogs for the fixture which has a 7:45 p.m. kick off. Along with the massive trophy which incidentally is the heaviest of all the UEFA silverware (and with no handles) the winner of the Final will get the added bonus of booking a place in next season’s Champions League group stage as well.

Marseille v Atletico Madrid Odds*

Atletico Madrid 8/11, Draw 5/2, Marseille 4/1* (betting odds taken on May 4th, 2018 at 8:19 p.m.)

The road to the Final

Marseille: Marseille started their Europa League campaign in the third qualifying round where they saw off Oostende. Their next step was to get through the play off round which they did successfully and relatively comfortably as well against Domzale so they had to go through all of that before landing in the group stage of this season’s competition where they were drawn against Konyaspor, Vitoria SC and RB Salzburg.

It was a pretty nice draw for the Ligue 1 outfit but they couldn’t get the group win though as they failed to get the better of strong Austrian side RB Salzburg, who they would later meet up with again in the semi finals. Frankly, it wasn’t great form that Marseille produced in the group stage, winning their two home games but losing out on the road at Salzburg and Vitoria. They only landed back to back draws to close out the group stage campaign as well.

But they grew into the season and became a force in the knockout stages, beating Braga 3-1 in the round of 32 before taking out Spanish side Athletic Bilbao in the round of sixteen. There was a high scoring affair between the two with Marseille getting through 5-2 on aggregate and that kind of was the trend for the French’s club’s campaign.

After losing the first leg of their quarter-final tie against RB Leipzig, Marseille conceded the first goal at home in the second leg. But they managed to power their way back to win 5-2 on aggregate in the end and that sent them to the semi-finals where Marseille had a rematch with Salzburg.

Marseille got themselves into a strong position with a 2-0 home win in the first leg, but then were made to sweat as Salzburg fought back brilliantly to win 2-0 at home and take the tie to extra time. Rolanda stepped up and netted a winner four minutes from time to put the French side through to the final despite a 2-1 loss in that second leg. It was a crucial away goal.

Atletico Madrid: The Spaniards began their European campaign this season in the Champions League, where they finished third behind Roma and Chelsea and took the drop down to the UEFA Europa League. They hit the ground running once they were there though as they faced up to FC Copenhagen in the round of 32 with Atletico doing all the damage in the first leg on the round, winning 4-1.

In the round of sixteen Atletico beat Lokomotiv Moscow 8-1 on aggregate and that moved them through to the quarter finals against Sporting. Atletico took a 2-0 home win and despite a 1-0 loss in the second leg, they moved through to the face Arsenal in the semi-finals. After going down to ten men in the first at the Emirates, Atletico stuck in there and Antoine Griezmann rescued a 1-1 tie late in the game after a mistake in the Arsenal back line. That was a big away goal for them and the Spaniards closed out the deal 1-0 back at home.

Previous UEFA Cup/Europa League Finals

Atletico have been to two previous UEFA Cup/Europa League Finals and they won both of them. Those successes were in the 2010 and 2012 Finals. For Marseille, they will be going into their first ever Europa League Final.

Preview

Atletico Madrid are the 4/6 favourites at bet365* (betting odds taken on May 7th, 2018 at 5:28 p.m.). They do have the advantage of knowing what this experience is like having won the title twice before. They have shown plenty of commitment and desire for this Cup campaign after falling down from the Champions League and the goals that they put on the board in thumping the likes of Copenhagen and Lokomotiv Moscow shows a lot of attacking strength.

Even when they had to dig in against Sporting and Arsenal, they showed the strength that they have at the back. They are strong at the back, that’s no secret and thrive on clean sheets. But they have great attacking options through the likes of Antoine Griezmann, Kevin Gameiro and Diego Costa and Griezmann is the 7/2 first goalscorer favourite for the Europa League Final* (betting odds taken on May 7th, 2018 at 5:28 p.m.). They are just so rock solid at the back that Marseille are likely going to have a hard time breaking them down.

Marseille grew into the season after a slow group stage campaign but their strength has been going forward. The power of the attack has gotten them out of trouble numerous times in the tournament this season and that has been important because they haven’t looked all that convincing at the back at all.

But they have put together another good domestic league campaign and have balanced it well with gritty performance in the Europa League. Will they be able to get their attack going and get Florian Thauvin, who has had a very profitable season in front of goal into the game? Both teams to score at bet365 is at 21/20 odds if you fancied them getting themselves on the scoresheet. Their strengths are going forward.

Head to Head

Atletico Madrid and Marseille have met twice before and that was in the 2008/09 UEFA Champions League group stage. The first game was in Spain which Atletico Madrid won 2-1 before playing out a 0-0 draw in France.

Predictions

Atletico are the justifiable favourites for the Europa League final and it’s hard to find a reason not to back them. Marseille are a good side going forward, but they can’t be trusted enough at the back as they have shown time and time again in his season’s knockout stage. Atletico are strong at the back and the quality and variety up front to deliver the goods and make it three wins from three.

8th May 2018 / lee - Category: Europa League Betting

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Salzburg v Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips – 3rd May 2018

Europa League Betting

Salzburg v Marseille UEFA Europa League, 3rd May 8.05pm

Marseille are holding a good advantage in the tie heading into the second leg of this UEFA Europa League semi-final.So they have one foot in the final where they will face either Arsenal or Atletico Madrid. But they are facing a Salzburg side who are unbeaten in their ten previous European home games and who produced a fight back from two goals down in the last round.

Salzburg v Marseille Betting Odds*

Salzburg 21/20, Marseille 12/5, Draw 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 04:24 p.m. on April 29th, 2018)

Salzburg News and Form

Salzburg produced a fantastic comeback in the last round. They found themselves 4-2 down against Lazio as they headed home for the second leg, but powered their way to a tremendous 4-1 home win to get past the Italians. So they need more of the same. Salzburg do have tremendous home form as they are unbeaten in 38 games on home soil since November 2016 across all competitions. They produced a W30 D9 record there in that sequence and they have gone W9 D1 in their ten home games since the turn of the new year. That’s impressive form and Salzburg are going to need to call upon all of their home strengths once again. In their only previous European semi-final, they beat Karlsruhe on away goals in the 1993/94 UEFA Cup.

Salzburg holds a W2 L1 record from three previous home encounters after French sides and overall are W3 D1 L3 from their seven previous fixtures against French opposition. This is the first instance of them meeting a French side in the knockout stages though. Before their loss at Lazio in the quarter-final first leg they were unbeaten in 19 European matches and from their ten previous European home games they are W7 D3. They have conceded just the three goals in that run of home games too. But there is attacking power in both sides here and both teams to score at bet365 is at 8/13 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:24 p.m. on April 29th, 2018) while the game ending up under 2.5 goals which has been the trend between them this season, is probably going to take the fancy of punters.

Marseille News and Form

Marseille have triumphed in each of their last three European semi-finals and the Ligue 1 side are in good shape in this one. Like Salzburg, the French side produced a remarkable come back in the last round to get through to the final four. They were trailing 1-0 from the away first leg against Bundesliga side RB Leipzig and after conceding the opening goal back at home, Marseille stormed back to take a 5-2 home win in the second leg. This is their first appearance in the semi-final of the Europa League, just as it is for their opponents. The two were together in the group stage of this season’s tournament with the Austrians topping the group over the French. Marseille’s record in seven games against Austrian clubs is W3 D2 L2. Away it is W1 L2.

Marseille have won 14 of the 20 previous UEFA competition ties after having won the first leg on home soil. In the bet365 correct score market the shortest priced option is a 1-1 draw at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:24 p.m. on April 29th, 2018). Marseille don’t actually have a great away record as they have won only one for their last nine games on the road in UEFA competition, scoring just the five goals in that run of matches. Each of their last four away games have ended in a 1-0 defeat for them, but that would be good enough to see them through in this one if it were to happen again.

Salzburg v Marseille Head to Head

The two had not met before this season and now they are heading into their fourth meeting. They were paired up in the group stage where Salzburg took a 1-0 home win before there was a 0-0 draw back in France between them. Then with the 2-0 home win for Marseille in the first leg, it means that both teams have failed to score in any of the previous meetings and all have been under 2.5 goals.

Who will win – Salzburg v Marseille Predictions

This is probably going to be a tight second encounter between the two and Salzburg’s impressive home record, combined with Marseille’s poor run of form on the road should give the Austrians a good chance of getting back into this. Follow the trend of a 1-0 defeat for Marseille.

30th April 2018 / lee - Category: Europa League Betting

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Arsenal v Marseille Prediction 26th November 2013

Arsenal London

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Preview
The Gunners really can’t afford to lose this one, because there is a big of congestion in their group in the race for the top two spots. Arsene Wenger’s men have a narrow lead at the top of the pile, so really they just need to bank three points here and look forward to the knockout stage without too much drama. Napoli and Dortmund are breathing down Arsenal’s neck, so the pressure is still on the Gunners to produce a victory here and fall to any complacency here.

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Odds at online bookmaker Bet365
Arsenal 1/4, Draw 5/1, Marseille 10/1

Online bookmaker Promotion
The last meeting between the two in London produced a 0-0. It could therefore be worth looking at taking some insurance for yourself at online betting site Bet365. If the game ends goalless then the bookmaker will refund all losing bets on the Correct Score, Scorecast and Half Time/Full Time markets. This applies to bets placed before kick off only. New customers registering an account with online betting site Bet365 can get up to a free £200 bet as a welcome bonus, the bookie matching the value of your initial deposit with a free bonus.

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Tips:
The Gunners are overwhelming favourites to get the win in this one and it really should be a comfortable night for them. The two sides last came together in the 2011/12 Group Stage and the Gunners were kept to a 0-0 scoreline on that occasion after winning in Marseille. Will things pan out the same way again here? At home in the Group Stage so far, ARsenal booked a 2-0 win over Napoli but then came unravelled against Borussia Dortmund. However, Arsene Wenger’s men did show some good character in getting revenge of the Dortmund with a 1-0 win back out in Germany to get them back on track. After a comfortable win in Marseille on Match Day One, there shouldn’t be too many dramas here. Last season Arsenal beat Montpellier in the group stage and that was their first home win over a French side. Arsenal hold a W2 D2 L0 record at home against sides from Ligue 1.

But while this is an immensely winnable game it could be tighter than most will think. Arsenal have suffered defeat in three of their last five Champions League matches at home. Olivier Giroud should be the man to cover in the goalscorer markets and he is Even Money in the Anytime market. Given the fact that he has been involved in the last three Champions League goals scored by Arsenal (2 goals, 1 assist) he looks value. So too does Aaron Ramsey who has scored two of the three goals Arsenal have scored in Europe against Marseille. The Ligue 1 outfit just are not in any kind of form though in the Champions League as they have lost their last seven in a row, in what has been their worst ever form in the competition. But to their credit, they played very well in Napoli, putting up a good fight, and if they play like that at the Emirates, it won’t be that easy of a task. Their defence is a worry for them though as they have conceded at least two goals in each of their last seven European matches. The Gunners should take the win here, but if the stubborn Marseille show up, there could be value in a Draw/Arsenal Half Time/Full Time bet for odds of 3/1 with Bet365.

For Marseille the man to watch in the Anytime Goalscorer market should be Andre-Pierre Gignac who is trading at odds of 3/1. He is top scorer for Marseille in Ligue 1, where they are a top four side. It is perhaps an indication of the level of quality in French football. Marseille have not travelled to England very well, and they have only managed to take one win (at Liverpool back in 2007) from seven previous visits there. They don’t look to be too strong at the back and have conceded 10 goals in their opening four matches already in the group. So maybe, even if it turns out tight, an Arsenal To Win To Nil bet at odds of Even money with Bet365 should still be value. As long as Arsene Wenger takes this game seriously, it should be three points in the bag for them, it’ll take some pressure off their trip to Naples on Match Day Six.

Prediction
This doesn’t have a look of being a high scoring game but ultimately Arsenal should win. Would consider going under 2.5 goals for a price of 5/4 with online bookmaker Bet365.

Form (all competitions)
Arsenal WLWWLW, Marseille LLDLWW

Stat Attack
Marseille have lost their last seven Champions League matches
The French side have conceded at least two goals in each of the last seven
Aaron Ramsey has netted 2 of Arsenal’s 3 Champions League goals against Marseille
Arsenal have lost three of their last five Champions League home matches
Marseille have taken just one win from seven previous visits to England

25th November 2013 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting

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Arsenal v Marseille Prediction 18th September 2013

Arsenal London

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Preview
While this is an away fixture, most likely Arsenal will be pretty happy with the fact that it is in France, given the recent success which they have enjoyed there. For the third season in a row the Gunners face French opponents in the group stage. Just a couple of seasons ago it was against Marseille that the Premier League side topped their section.

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Odds at online bookmaker Bet365
Arsenal 6/4, Marseille 15/8, Draw 23/10

Online bookmaker Promotion
There are indications that this is going to be a pretty tight match and after producing just one goal in their two matches the last time they were in the group stage, it could be worth taking some0-0 Bore Draw coverage at Bet365for this one. The betting site will refund any losing stakes placed before kick off on the Correct Score, Scorecast and Half Time/Full Time markets if the game ends without a goal. There is also a fantastic welcome bonus on offer for new customers, who will get the value of their initial deposit on an account matched up to the maximum value of a £200 free bet.

Arsenal v Marseille Betting Tips:
It was just recently in the 2011/12 season that the Gunners faced the challenge of Marseille in the group stage of the Champions League. From those meetings, Arsenal took a 1-0 win in France, and a 0-0 draw back on home soil. Arsene Wenger’s men have done very well in France recently, not only going unbeaten in their last ten there, taking away six wins and four draws, but also winning on their last five trips across the English channel. This may be surprising really given the fact that Arsenal haven’t been all that good in general in Champions League away matches. Indeed, the Gunners have only won five of their last seventeen away matches in the competition, losing nine of those. So they’ll probably be relatively happy that they start this tough group (which also includes Dortmund and Napoli) in France. A good away win to kick things off would be a big fillip for the Londoners.

On Match Day One of the Champions League, Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine. In fact last season, they beat Montpellier in the opening round of matches last season to keep their streak going. Their current Match Day One form reads seven wins and two draws, but given their narrow matches recently against Marseille, it is likely that punters s only be looking at a narrow win either way, with an Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score running at 7/1 with Bet365, which doesn’t seem an unreasonable punt. But because Marseille have started Ligue 1 fairly well this season, there could be value in Both Teams To Score at 8/11 with the bookmaker as well. The Gunners have, after all, only managed two clean sheets in their last 24 Champions League away matches. Marseille have had a steady start to their domestic season and have been fired along nicely by Payet and Gignac. But they haven’t exactly been heavy goalscorers in the Champions League.

In their previous fourteen Champions League matches against English sides, Marseille have only scored seven times. They have had their serious struggles against English opposition in this competition. Their only win in their last nine matches against a side from the Premier league, came against Chelsea back in 2010. But the form of the French outfit in the Champions League itself hasn’t been great. They have lost their last three matches in the competition, they have lost their last three home Match Day One fixtures in the competition and they have failed to score in five of their last eight Champions League matches. So therefore, it looks as if a punt on an Arsenal -0.75 Asian Handicap for odds of 37/20 at Bet365 could be pretty valuable.

Likely to be a tight match, but Arsenal could sneak the narrow win. In the 2011/12 Champions League, Marseille lost twice at the Stade Velodrome and have lost ten of their last 21 matches on home soil in the tournament.

Form
Marseille DWWWLD, Arsenal LWWWWW

Stat Attack
Marseille have lost ten of their 21 Champions League home matches
Arsenal are on a ten match unbeaten run away in France
The Gunners have won on each of their last five visits to France
Marseille have one win in their last nine matches against English sides

16th September 2013 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting

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Arsenal V Marseille – Tuesday, 1 October 2011 (LIVE on SKY SPORTS 2)

Premiership Betting

 

Arsenal V Marseille

Date & Kick-Off: Tuesday, 1 November 2011 − 19:45 GMT

Venue: Emirates Stadium

TV Coverage: LIVE on SKY SPORTS 2

 

Preview

Arsenal have qualified for the knockout stages of the Champions League in each of the previous eleven seasons and their hard-fought victory over in Marseille on Match Day 3 has left them on the cusp of their twelfth successive Round of 16 appearance. The Gunners top Group F, a point above Marseille who they face on Tuesday in north London, but are four ahead of Olympiacos with Borussia Dortmund a further two-points back.

Should Borussia Dortmund justify favouritism in Germany the same night, when they host Olympiacos at Signal Iduna Park, Arsenal would find themselves six-points clear of third-placed Dortmund with only two rounds of matches left to play. Looking at the bigger picture, though, topping the group will be of more concern to Arsene Wenger, as the Frenchman will be keen to avoid a situation similar to last season when his team drew eventual winners Barcelona in the very first round of knockouts.

High-scoring victories, domestically, for both teams at the weekend should mean we’re in for a competitive affair at the Emirates Stadium, which is just as well as Arsenal have been dominant in the north of London for a considerable period now. Focusing solely on previous group matches, Arsenal are without defeat at home for over eight-years, winning 20 of their last 24, including each of the previous eight.

If Marseille are to enhance their chances of qualification, particularly if they wish to finish as section-winners, then the 2008/09 & 2009/10 French champions must repeat the feat of Inter all those years ago and win in North London. That does seem a long-shot though; in ten previous visits to England for a continental fixture, L’OM have recorded just one solitary win. Last season, Didier Deschamps’ team slumped to narrow defeats at both Chelsea (2-0) and Manchester United (2-1).

Winning for the second weekend in a row, away at Dijon (2-3), back home in France will have raised spirits however, particularly as it stretched their unbeaten streak domestically to six matches (W3 D3). I’m pretty sure they will have taken some heart from Arsenal’s 5-3 victory at Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday as well, despite seeing their opponents on Tuesday score five times at what is a notoriously difficult venue to even score at, let alone win.

Although Arsenal’s weekend win over London rivals Chelsea was hugely impressive, more so the number of goals they scored and how they counter-attacked with real fluidity and purpose, defensively it was another horror show. Chelsea were extremely wasteful, as they carved open the Arsenal defence times and time again. Johan Djourou and Andre Santos at full-back had terrible games; they were caught out of position on countless occasions, as was centre-half Per Mertesacker, the German defender who is set to be replaced in the team-sheet by a now fit Thomas Vermaelen.

Furthermore, Arsenal weren’t entirely convincing at home to Olympiacos on Match Day 2, while there were hairy moments over in France as well, although for both sides in truth. What I’m trying to say is that despite being the favourites, and rightly so, it is by no means a formality that this match should end in a home win.

However, Arsenal are beginning to race through the gears, with Saturday’s morale boosting win extending their unbeaten run in all competitions to nine, eight of which were wins, while the form of their three-pronged attack has been especially eye-catching. Gervinho has been a little indifferent since arriving in the summer but his quick turn of foot and the fact he attacks defenders with real purpose has impressed me, though not as much as a confident Theo Walcott. The England winger was exceptional at the weekend and was only narrowly beaten to the Match of the Match award because of Robin Van Persie’s hat-trick, the Dutchman who now has 12 goals for the season, scoring seven in his last four competitive games.

Marseille, though, have a couple of nifty individuals of their own who could catch the eye. Lucho Gonzalez pulls all the strings in the middle of the park, a player Arsene Wenger rates so highly he tried to sign him on the final day of the summer transfer window. French schemer Mathieu Valbuena is another tricky customer in the middle; however, it is the pace in behind of Andre Ayew and Loic Remy which could cause this leaky, hapless Arsenal defence problems.

 

Match Pointers

– Arsenal (W2 D1 L0) top Group F with seven points, a point above second-placed Marseille (W2 D0 L1).

– The Gunners opened their accounts with a creditable 1-1 draw in Dortmund before securing back-to-back victories at home to Olympiacos (2-1) and away to Marseille (0-1).

– L’OM started with successive wins over Olympiacos (0-1) in Greece and Borussia Dortmund in France (3-0); however, a last-gasp winner from Aaron Ramsey sent them to their first reverse of the campaign last time out, losing 1-0 at home to Arsenal on Match Day 3.

– Unbeaten in 24 home group games in UEFA Champions League, Arsenal are seeking their ninth straight home win in the group stage with their last reverse coming against Inter Milan back in 2003.

– Marseille have been victorious on just one of their ten visits to England in continental competition, losing away at Chelsea and Manchester United in last season’s tournament.

 

Betting

In seasons gone by, Arsenal only had to turn up with their boots to win Champions League group games at home. If they were really geared up, they’d win at a cantor. With this current batch of misfits, that isn’t the case any more. The recent form of Gervinho, Theo Walcott and especially Robin Van Persie, who has been a goalscoring machine in recent weeks, certainly bodes well but defensively they still look alarmingly suspect. Plus Marseille don’t often suffer heavy defeats on their travels, they like to keep things tight when playing away from home in Europe under Didier Deschamps, hoping to catch teams out on the break.

Marseille’s pace on the counter could wreak havoc on an Arsenal defence which back home posts the third-worst defensive figures in the Premier League (conceding two-goals per-game on average). However, I’m putting faith in Arsene Wenger’s reinvigorated team and backing Van Persie & Co to outscore their opponents.

Match Outcome: Arsenal to WIN − 4/6 Bet365

Value Bet: Arsenal 3-1 (Correct Score) − 14/1 WilliamHill

 

Match Odds

Arsenal − 4/6 Bet365

Draw − 3/1 Boylesports

Marseille − 9/2 PaddyPower

30th October 2011 / Matt - Category: Premiership Betting

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UEFA Champions League: Manchester United V Marseille – Tuesday, 15th March

UEFA Champions League Betting

 

Manchester United V Marseille

Date & kick-off: Tuesday, 15th March – 19:45 (GMT)
Venue: Old Trafford
TV Coverage: Sky Sports HD2

 

Manchester United

– United are seeking a fifth consecutive quarter-final appearance in the Champions League.

– In eleven previous Champions League encounters at home to French opposition, United have yet to taste defeat, winning eight and drawing three.

– Are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season, 21 matches in total, including a couple of draws with Rangers (0-0) and Valencia (1-1) as well as a 1-0 victory over Bursaspor during the group phase.

– Sir Alex will be boosted by the returns of Michael Carrick, Nani and Antonio Valencia from injury although is without Jonny Evans, Rio Ferdinand, Anderson and Ji-Sung Park. Captain Nemanja Vidic and midfielder Darren Fletcher are both doubts.

After recently arresting a potentially damaging sequence of results which had seen the Red Devils rack up two quick-fire defeats in the league, United turn their immediate attention towards Tuesday’s Champions League Last-16 second leg decider with Marseille at Old Trafford in a match they simply have to win if they’re to book a fifth consecutive quarter-final appearance following a hard-fought but ultimately disappointing 0-0 draw in France two weeks ago.

A goalless draw away in Marseille does mean it’s advantage United heading back to Old Trafford, where they’ve not lost a single match, in any competition, all season long – 21 in total. However, all it takes is one goal from the visitors, a team Ferguson describes as dangerous, because of their strong, physical attributes, for the pendulum to swing in Marseille’s favour.

Then again, Sir Alex’s men haven’t done an awful lot of conceding in the competition so far this term, his charges having kept a staggering six clean sheets in seven and were also one match shy of becoming the first ever club in Champions League history not to concede a single goal during the group phase.

The fact United are unbeaten in all eleven previous home encounters with French opposition, winning eight, is just another statistic which stands them in good stead. While what about the statistic where United have lost only one of their last 26 Champions League matches in Manchester? They both make for riveting reading, although, more poignant is actually their record during the group phase, mustering only one win from their three Group C encounters at Old Trafford, that coming against the team which finished rock-bottom, Bursaspor.

However, more telling than mere number-crunching is faces. Ferguson, after resting several at the weekend as the Red Devils prolonged their FA Cup adventure with an impressive 2-0 victory over Arsenal at Old Trafford, is set to recall several big names. Nemanja Vidic, Michael Carrick, Nani, Antonio Valencia and Dimitar Berbatov should all walk into the starting XI, which would thus enhance United’s chances of securing that all-important victory which would send them through to the Last-8 for the fifth successive season, although Rio Ferdinand and Anderson are definitely ruled out while Darren Fletcher is considered doubtful.

To win 2010/2011 UEFA Champions League – 10.00 Boylesports
To Qualify for the Quarter-Finals – 1.35 bWin

 

Marseille

– Last reached the Last-8 of the Champions League back in 1992/1993, when they last won the competition.

– The French Ligue 1 outfit have won only won of their nine away encounters with English opposition: W1 D3 L5.

– Won two of their three away matches in Group F by an aggregate score of 10-2, however they were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Premier League side Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Match Day 2.

– Marseille manager Didier Deschamps has virtually a full-strength squad to choose from, with forward Andre-Pierre Gignac, whom wasn’t available for the first leg because of injury, set to start up top.

The odds are stacked against Marseille following their lacklustre and rather cowardly display two weeks ago at the Stade Velodrome and now the reigning French Ligue 1 champions find themselves with it all to do if they’re to book their first appearance in a Champions League quarter-final for almost twenty-years.

If Marseille are the best French football has to offer then I don’t dare wish to see the rest of the clan. As intimidating as they are to look at, the French title-holders proved a fortnight ago that appearances can be deceiving, and that they may struggle to carve out goalscoring opportunities in the return leg at Old Trafford, incidentally where their Last-16 rivals kept five clean sheets and conceded just the one goal during the group phase. Fortunately for Deschamps, France international Andre-Pierre Gignac will return to lead the attack and should hopefully be of more nuisance than Brandao and Loic Remy were in the opening leg.

At least their preparations went well, L’OM beating Rennes 2-0 on Friday meaning the visitors should be fresher than a United team who were in action 24 hours later in a more testing environment. That was also their third away win on the spin, scoring exactly 2 goals on each occasion, and if they could do something similar in front of goal on Tuesday then they will have every chance of claiming a famous scalp, as remember, away goals count for double should the score on aggregate be tied come full-time in Manchester.

Fear and trepidation was what held Marseille back at the Stade Velodrome, as away from home in Group F they were fairly prolific, albeit against inferior sides. Les Phoceens have netted as many times on the road in Europe this season than United have altogether, slamming seven past MSK Zilina in a 7-0 rout in Slovakia before securing qualification with a comprehensive 3-0 victory over Spartak Moscow in Russia on Match Day 5. Difficult countries to play in though the opposition on both occasions were of a below-average standard. The same cannot be said of Manchester United nor Old Trafford, where the Red Devils haven’t lost a single match all season,

So unless Marseille play without fear, you cannot help but have your fair share of reservations over their chances of recording one of the biggest shocks in recent Champions League knock-out history.

To win 2010/2011 UEFA Champions League – 151.00 SportingBet
To Qualify for the Quarter-Finals – 3.75 BetFred

 

Match Prediction: Draw – 4.20 Bet365

As disappointing as they were in France two weeks ago, I cannot help but think that Marseille will ask more questions of Edwin Van Der Saar in the United goal at Old Trafford.

The return of Andre-Pierre Gignac is a massive boost for Didier Deschamps, as the France international will be a real handful for the United defence, especially in the air, where United have looked unstable on more than one occasion this season. Of course, we shouldn’t forget that United still boast the strongest defensive record in the competition, having shipped just one goal in seven so far, and that this same Marseille team struggled to create anything meaningful in the opening leg over in France. But the simple fact that United will set out to take the game right to the Ligue 1 side should leave more room for manoeuvre on the counter, which could be where some of Marseille’s select few creative assets, in particular Lucho Gonzalez, come to life.

United were very tidy en route to topping Group C, from a defensive point of view, but they were surprisingly ordinary at Old Trafford in front of goal, plundering just two in three matches. It would be fair to say that their opposition wasn’t all that great either, while the one team who were half-decent, Valencia, did actually locate the back of the United net.

I am of little doubt that the vast majority of the possession will be enjoyed by Man Utd, while the hosts should also create the clearer openings on the night, and more of them, but at those odds, I’m just not interested. Away goals could prove a telling factor on the night, especially as I don’t see Marseille winning this second leg outright, but a score-draw would suffice and that isn’t beyond the realms of possibility as L’OM will pose a potent threat from set-pieces.

Value Bet: Lucho Gonzalez to Score – 8.00 Unibet

Physically very strong, a real handful on the ball and deadly inside the 18-yard box, Gignac – 5.00 to Score – should ask more questions of the Manchester United defence than the Remy-Brandao partnership did a fortnight ago. But this could be a night where one piece of magic settles things and there is one person who is capable of such brilliance from a Marseille perspective, and that’s Argentine midfielder Lucho Gonzalez. The 30-year-old will be a danger in and around the United penalty area but also gets forward, often untracked, to devastating affect.

 

Match Odds:

Manchester United – 1.50 WilliamHill
Draw – 4.20 Bet365
Marseille – 8.00 Coral

14th March 2011 / Matt - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting

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UCL: Chelsea V Marseille – Tuesday, 28th September

UEFA Champions League Betting

Chelsea V Marseille

Tuesday, 28th September – 19:45 GMT
Venue:
Stamford Bridge, England
TV Coverage: Sky Sports HD2

 

Chelsea

Group F Position: 1st
Group F Form: W (1-4 MSK Zilina – A)

Carlo Ancelotti is seeking his third Champions League success, his first with Chelsea who would thus become the first London club to clinch Europe’s most coveted prize should the steely Italian work his magic with a team which has flattered to deceive in recent European campaigns but one boasting the necessary characteristics and inventory required to ensure a side enjoys a fruitful run in a tournament they came within a missed spot-kick of clinching back in Moscow over two years ago.

Chelsea ran riot in their Group F opener, beginning the campaign with an unfamiliar trip against a peculiar opponent in that of Slovakian champions MSK Zilina, but Ancelotti’s players showed no fear of the unknown as goals from Michael Essien, Daniel Sturridge and a Nicolas Anelka brace sent the Stamford Bridge outfit top of the group, where they’re unlikely to be budged unless Marseille, the second seeds in what is a lightweight group, spring a major surprise in the English capital.

Barcelona are widely renowned as the best team in Europe right now, despite their failure to defend their European crown last season, and it was Chelsea’s early season form which had seen them muster a bold challenge for that title, one which comes with a great deal of pressure and is sometimes considered more of a burden. And perhaps it was just this, the sky-high expectations levels which got to Carlo Ancelotti’s players on Saturday, when his Chelsea side crashed to their first defeat of the season away at Manchester City, and with it relinquished their perfect start to the season and any momentum which had been established following five consecutive league wins – Racking up an unbelievable 21 goals whilst shipping just the one before the weekend’s defeat – and a commanding performance in Europe away in Slovakia.

It isn’t often that Carlo Ancelotti is out thought on the sidelines by his opposite number, but that was the case on Saturday as Man City’s organised defence and slick counter-attacks frustrated Chelsea in a game where chances were few and far between despite Chelsea walking into the City of Manchester Stadium boasting seven more league goals than anyone else in the country. Florent Malouda, Nicolas Anelka and Didier Drogba had earlier combined to lethal effect as Chelsea stormed to the top of the table, where they’ve remain still in fairness, but has that rare slip up in the league knocked some of the confidence and swagger out of a Chelsea side which has lost just once in Europe on home soil in thirteen games?

 

Marseille

Group F Position: 3rd
Group F Form: L (0-1 Spartak Moscow – H)

Winners of the 2009/2010 French Ligue 1 title, Marseille are aiming to qualify for the latter stages of the UEFA Champions Leagues for just the second occasion and will most definitely fancy their chances of doing so in a group where only English champs Chelsea stand out, although stand out they do. However, Didier Deschamps’ side made a terrible start to life in Group F by losing their opening game 1-0 at home to Russian side Spartak Moscow – One of the shocks on the opening round of matches and a huge set back for the French champions.

Picking up as many points as possible at home is crucial for every  club competing in Europe’s elite club competition, even for the likes of Chelsea, so Marseille’s failure to seal all three points, or even a share of the spoils on Match Day 1 has meant the French side must make amends elsewhere, although they’ll be hard-pressed and huge underdogs to collect their first points of the campaign away in England at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea, where their opponents are at the summit of the Premier League table despite a rare slip up over the weekend.

Whereas Chelsea opened their accounts for the season in some style, winning their opening five league games of the season as well as thumping Slovakian champions MSK Zilina in their Champions League opener, Marseille began in drastic fashion, suffering back-to-back defeats in Ligue 1 before finally finding their rhythm with a five-match unbeaten run – 3 wins and 2 draws. Deschamps’ side were victorious at the weekend, goals from full-back Taiwo and Lucho Gonzalez sealing a win of vital importance as Marseille collect some winning momentum following two successive wins back home ahead of a daunting trip across the English channel to face the toughest team in their group.

Marseille were famously part of last season’s ’Group of Death’ with AC Milan, Real Madrid and FC Zurich. The French side failed rather miserably in their attempt to qualify for the knock-outs but did pick up two favourable results away in Switzerland against FC Zurich and in Italy with AC Milan, beating their Swiss opponents before earning a 1-1 draw at the San Siro. However, before that Marseille had lost their previous six away encounters in the competition and it’s a nasty statistic like that which only underlines their frailties ahead of such an overwhelming outing in England with the English champions and league leaders, Chelsea.

 

Match Prediction: Chelsea to WIN – 1.33 WilliamHill

We expect Chelsea to put a miserable outing in the league behind them on Tuesday by despatching of a rejuvenated Marseille side, who have made a brisk return to form following a five-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1.

Although the Man City loss was disappointing, it is by no means panic stations at the Bridge. Carlo Ancelotti’s side came up against a very focused and extremely defence orientated Man City side, who caught Chelsea cold on the break as the Blues suffered their first defeat of the season. City’s manager Roberto Mancini did expose some Chelsea flaws, athough there weren’t many in fairness, but this Chelsea team is still the strongest in the English Premier League by some way right now, most definitely on the basis of form but more importantly the quality they have up front really does pack an authorative punch. Unless Marseille manager Didier Deschamps has the tactical nous of an Italian bred Roberto Mancini, with Italian’s well known for their tactical football blood, it is unlikely the French outfit will be able to live with Chelsea throughout 90 minutes. If not careful, and if the space and time on the ball isn’t restricted by Marseille, they could be punished severely in what could turn out to be a long night for the Ligue 1 champs.

Soccer-Betting Value Bet: Chelsea/Chelsea (HT/FT) – 1.95 bWin

 

Match Odds:

Chelsea – 1.33 WilliamHill
Draw – 5.50 Bet365
Marseille –12.00 SkyBet

 

Odds courtesy of OddsChecker.com and last updated on 26th September

26th September 2010 / Matt - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting

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