The Citizens are not too surprisingly heavy odds-on favourites to collect another three points at the Etihad. They have just been phenomenal with their output this season and will want to finish with a flourish before turning their attention to the FA Cup. Watford have struggled badly on the road after a good start to the season on their travels. Their defensive misfires will put them at risk and City are 1/10 to take the home win, leaving the draw at 8/1 and Watford as massive 22/1 underdogs.
It only just half way through the season and already we have run out of things to say about the Citizens. It has just been a total procession for them all the way and they go into this game on a nine match winning streak at the Etihad this season. They have scored at least two goals in each of those nine games as well in that sequence and they have fired off exactly four goals in each of their last two home victories, which were against Spurs and Bournemouth. In the William Hill correct score market a Manchester City 4-0 option is a ridiculously short price of 17/2. Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero have both scored three goals in each in City’s last two home games they are 7/2 and 9/4 respectively in the first goalscorer market for the game. City have averaged 3.6 goals per game at home this season and they have been leading at half time in seven of their ten home fixtures. A Man City/Man City half time/full time bet then is worth considering because of that. The Citizens haven’t been just all about attacking might, they have also only conceded seven goals with four clean sheets in ten at home. It is a good chance for them to respond to their 0-0 draw at Palace on the weekend.
How to Watford stand up to all this? They were great in the early part of the season away from home, however, they go to the Etihad on the back of a three match losing streak away from Vicarage Road in the top flight. The Hornets scored exactly two goals in each of their opening seven away games this season but have subsequently netted just one in their last three in total. Watford are W4 D1 L5 on their travels this season in the top flight and they have averaged 1.6 goals per game and it may be worth looking at both teams to score for a price of 21/10, even though City will once again be heavily backed to win this to nil. With just the one clean sheet in their last eight road games, they are going to be at risk in this one, and nervy too after getting stuffed by City 6-0 at Vicarage Road in September. 71% of the goals that Watford have conceded in away games this season have been in the second half of matches. Richarlison is their top scorer away from home with four goals and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option. The Hornets were rocked as Swansea fought back from a goal down to beat them on the weekend at Vicarage Road.
Manchester City pounded Watford 6-0 earlier in the season at Vicarage Road and that is five straight Premier League wins they have recorded over Watford, four of those being to nil as well. City have scored eleven goals in their last two games against the Hornets now in the top flight and have netted at least two goals in each of their last seven against them in all competitions.
Manchester City are likely going to collect yet another win in this one and that is because the defence of Watford just isn’t reliable enough to go and compete at the Etihad for 90 minutes and expect to do enough to get something out of the game. Home win and to nil.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The rough patch for the Citizens continued on the weekend when they were downed 4-2 by Leicester. That is just three league wins in their last nine games played now. Rapidly they have fallen seven points behind leaders Chelsea going into the midweek round of action now, having lost back to back Premier League games for the first time under Pep Guardiola. Watford are up in seventh after a home win over Everton on the weekend. Can they keep climbing or will Manchester City be able to snap out of their funk and put a much needed victory on the board on home soil? Manchester City are 2/7 for the win, with the draw at 11/2 and Watford out at 10/1.
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So things aren’t going too well for City at the moment with just five wins in their last fifteen games across all competitions. They have won just three of their last nine in the Premier League and none of those were at the Etihad. City have gone D3 L1 in their last four top flight home games and after a blistering start, have managed just one goal exactly in each of those four games in that sequence. City have lost back to back games now in the top flight this season having been beaten by Chelsea and Leicester and that’s seven goals conceded in two games. Actually, Pep Guardiola has seen his side concede three or more goals in consecutive league games for the very first time as a manager. Their defence continues to undermine their title challenge and that’s not likely to change until January. Both teams to score at Bet365 in this one will return a price of 4/5 and with Watford scoring well enough, there’s value in that.
You have a quote of 4/9 with Bet365 on the game going over the 2.5 goal line and City are running without Sergio Aguero at the moment of course, which leaves Kelechi Iheanacho as 4/7 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market with Nolito and Kevin de Bruyne at even money. The Citizens are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games against Watford (W2 D2), winning both meetings last season. Interestingly the seven goals that have been scored in this particular Premier League fixture have all happened after half time. Guardiola has only ever lost three successive league matches as a manager once before, which was with Bayern Munich last year. Even with the Citizens having only posted a W3 D3 L1 record on home soil this season, they are favourites to run to the three points here. There’s a huge title race game against Arsenal for them following this.
Watford have failed to beat Man City in their last six league meetings (D2 L4) and on their visit to the Etihad last season they failed to get a single shot on target. Even though Watford lost away to each of last season’s top eight, they have been scoring better this season and there is some value in seeing them get something on the board. Troy Deeney and Odion Ighalo are 10/3 options in the anytime goalscorer market. Interestingly Watford have played nine Premier League matches on a Wednesday before and they have failed to win any of them in a D2 L7 record. The Hornets have lost their last two road games and overall this season have gone W2 D2 L3 away from Vicarage Road. They have shipped a massive nine goals in their last two away games, but did score in each of those. They have found the back of the net against Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd and Liverpool this season and a Man City 2-1 or Man City 3-1 correct score may be a temptation at a price of 10/1 on either one. Watford may push, but will they be able to push the Citizens hard enough?
Watford are without a clean sheet in five and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three visits to Man City. The Citizens should have the scoring power to take down the visitors in this one but there is value in the both teams to score option in this one. Watford haven’t quite looked like actually taking down a strong side on the road, so look for City to bag maximum points and restore a little confidence for themselves.
13th December 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens have won 14 and lost just one of their last 18 Premier League home games, winning the last eight in a row. The way they have been playing they will probably be a banker for punters this weekend and are 1/5 to pick up the three points.
Sergio Aguero has scored in each of his last five Premier League home appearances, netting seven times in those games. Aguero is 4/9 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market with Paddy Power.
City have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight Premier League games at the Etihad, scoring 26 and conceding two in that run. They are a 21/20 quote to win to nil, which should have big appeal.
Manchester City have now won nine successive league games – only on eight occasions in the Premier League has a team won 10+ games in a row.
Watford have won just three of their 39 Premier League away matches (W3 D7 L29) and have huge 10/1 odds to defy to pick one up on the weekend.
Watford actually have the edge over Manchester City in league meetings winning five to City’s four of the 12 meetings. Both encounters in the Barclays Premier League ended as draws.
Watford are only the ninth newly-promoted side to remain unbeaten in their opening three games of a Premier League season. Only five of the previous eight have gone unbeaten after four games. They are 6/1 to earn another draw.
After going 62 regular league games without playing in a goalless draw, Watford have played out two 0-0 draws in their last two PL games. A 0-0 Correct Score in this one is a massive 22/1 shot.
Only three teams have drawn their first four games of a Premier League season (Sunderland & Stoke in 2012-13 and C.Palace in 1992-93).
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This should be pretty routine for the Citizens the way they have been playing. Watford have done well, but it is a big ask for them to hold out for 90 minutes at the Emirates. Home win and more likely than not it will be to nil for City.
28th August 2015 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens don’t look as if they will be slowed up any time soon. If they keep up their great form they are going to streak to the league title without any opposition whatsoever. Three wins from three, not goals conceded and they will be expected to beat the newly promoted Hornets. Watford have banked three draws from three so far, but is it too much of an ask to see them grab a point at the Etihad? City are 1/5 for the win,with the draw at 6/1 and Watford at 10/1.
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The Citizens will be viewed as being one of the big bankers for Premier League betting on the weekend. They have looked majestic so far in racking up their three wins from three and they will be expected to see off the challenge of Watford at the Etihad. The Citizens have won 14 and lost just one of their last 18 Premier League matches on home turf and are currently running on an eight match winning streak. They have also banked seven clean sheets in their last eight league games at home, netting themselves a whopping tally of 26 goals (conceding two).
Sergio Aguero is riding a five match scoring streak at home in the Premier League. He netted in City’s 3-0 home win over Chelsea this season and is a 4/9 quote at online betting site Bet365 to find the back of the net yet again. City have banked clean sheet victories in each of their three games this season and are a solid 11/10 quote to win to nil in Man City v Watford betting. That’s reasonable enough considering Watford have failed to score in their last three games in all competitions. City will be out looking for their tenth league win in a row, only on eight occasions in the Premier League has a team won 10+ games in a row.
Watford’s chances look slim, not only because of how well City are playing but because they have only won three of their last 39 Premier League away matches (W3 D7 L29). They have drawn their three games played in the top flight this season, but after a 2-2 at Everton on the opening weekend, have failed to score. There have only been twelve league meetings between these two and Watford actually lead the head to head 5-4 over the Citizens. The only two previous Premier League encounters both ended in draws. Troy Deeney is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer quote. The last time two meetings between them have been in the FA Cup, City running out 3-0 winner in 2012-13 and 4-2 winners in 2013-14.
You imagine that City will have enough to put three points on the board in this one. There will probably be goals flowing. Watford have made a decent start going unbeaten, but this is a huge, huge test for them and they will probably be shown up. City to win to nil looks very probable.
26th August 2015 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting