The Citizens will line up at Wembley on the weekend, the final leg of their attempted domestic treble for the season. Once again it has been so impressive from them and now with the pressure of the Premier League title race over they are going to be dialled in. Watford will be on the hunt for their first FA Cup title in what is just their second appearance in the Final. Read our Manchester City v Watford betting tips for more.
Man City 1/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 11:51 p.m.)
The Citizens won the final fourteen games of their Premier League campaign to get the title. Back in February, they collected the EFL Cup via a penalty shoot-out against Chelsea at Wembley. Now it’s back to business in the FA Cup for them. Across all competitions, Manchester City have won fourteen of their last fifteen games. The one loss in that sequence happened in the Champions League against Spurs.
If you want to look back a little further then the Citizens are W20 D1 L1 in their last 22 games in all competitions. The Citizens have conceded just the one goal in their last five games played now and it’s been something of a stellar campaign from them in the FA Cup. They opened with back to home wins over Rotherham and Burnley by a 7-0 and a 5-0 scoreline respectively. They then won at Newport in the fifth round. They did have to fight back from 2-0 down at Championship side Swansea in the quarterfinals.
On their visit to Wembley for the semi-final, they took on Brighton. Gabriel Jesus put City on the board in the opening five minutes and that was it. Brighton barely raised an attacking effort in the game and City booked their spot in the final. City have won the title five times before (their most recent in 2011) and have also finished runners up five times. The last time they were in the FA Cup final, they suffered a shock reverse as they were toppled 1-0 by Wigan in 2013. So it just goes to show that not everything goes their way every single time.
The Citizens won both 2018/19 EPL league meetings
City have won their last ten games in all competitions against Watford
Each of the last five meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings
Man City are W3 D2 L1 against Watford from previous FA Cup meetings
The only previous FA Cup final that Watford have been in was back in 1984 when John Barnes was in the team and Graham Taylor was manager. They lost that game 2-0 against Everton. So it has been a long wait for them to get their second. The Hornets did not have the greatest of form down the final stretch of the season. They picked up just the one win (90 minutes) in their final seven games of the season. They lost each of their last three, conceding a total of nine goals in those games.
So have they ran out of steam at the wrong time? That will be the worry for them. They haven’t taken a clean sheet in any competition since a 1-0 win at QPR in the FA Cup back in February. That is twelve match run with no clean sheet for them. That’s not the kind of thing that you want to read about going into a game against Manchester City. The Hornets have put together a pretty stable campaign in the FA Cup it has to be said, for most of it anyway. They came through two away ties against Woking and Newcastle in the third and fourth rounds respectively, collecting a 2-0 win in each of those games.
They were back out on the road in the fifth round, coming through a tricky tie at Loftus Road against Championship side QPR. That was a 1-0 win for the Hornets. They then got their first home game in the quarterfinals, which helped them over the line in a tough battle against fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace, Watford taking a 2-1 win there. Then in their semi-final at Wembley against Wolves, with just over ten minutes left in the game, it looked as if their run was over. They were trailing 2-0 but a piece of magic from Gerard Deulofeu and a last minute penalty from Troy Deeney sent the game to extra time. Deulofeu won it for them in the 104th minute.
Manchester City will be refreshed and recharged ahead of this FA Cup Final. Their league title chase was stressful and that’s behind them now. They have handled Watford twice already this season and there’s no reason to expect this outcome to be any different. Man City to win to nil.
15th May 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Manchester City could open up a four-point lead at the top of the table if they can keep their winning streak going. Challengers Liverpool will be playing on Sunday. So City have a huge change to put some pressure on the Reds. Watford have won three of their last four played but have struggled in recent matches against City. Read our Manchester City v Watford betting tips for more.
Man City 1/7
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on 7th March 2019 at 6:07 p.m.)
Manchester City are now on a five-match winning streak in the top flight as they push towards the title. They collected three points from a 1-0 victory against Bournemouth last weekend. That is back-to-back 1-0 wins that Manchester city have recorded in the top flight. When it comes down to the title race at this stage of the season, sometimes it just is about grinding out those results in whatever fashion possible. Their clean sheet at the Vitality Stadium was their fourth in a row, home and away. Manchester City have taken victory in seven of their last eight league games and at home, they are W14 L1 from their 15 played.
Manchester City are at exactly 50 home goals scored this season, which is an average of 3.3 goals per home game that they have returned at this season. Manchester City have conceded only 11 goals in their home campaign, with 60% of their home games going over 3.5 goals. In total, the Citizens have earned a clean sheet in 40% of home games. City have conceded in just one of their last four home league fixtures. Sergio Aguero has seven goals in his last three home games. Just three of their fourteen home successes this season in the EPL have been by a margin of only one goal.
Man City earned a 2-1 win at Vicarage Road back in December
The Citizens are on a nine-match winning streak against Watford
The Hornets have scored one goal in their four previous EPL visits to Man City
Watford have scored just three goals in their last seven against Man City, home and away
Watford left it very late but they produced three points at home against Leicester last weekend. That made it three wins in four league games for the Hornets. So they do have a little bit of form running behind them. There Watford have only a taken two defeats in their last 10 Premier League games. Their away form stands at W5 D5 L5 and they have averaged 1.5 goals per road game. They did not have a great time of things out on the road in their last fixture as they were hammered 5-0 at Anfield by Liverpool.
It is worth noting that the last two league defeats that Watford have suffered have both been against sides who are currently in the top three. Overall home and away this season, from eight games played against the current top six, Watford are just W1 L7. So they have certainly struggled when it comes to taking on the top sides. Watford have taken a clean sheet in just 20% of away games. Each of their last three, home and away have ended up going over 2.5 goals. To their great credit, they are seven points better off than they were at the same stage of last season’s campaign.
We can only see another three points coming for Manchester City in this one. Watford have had a really hard time in the Premier League against the Citizens. We expect that to continue. Man City to win to nil.
8th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens are not too surprisingly heavy odds-on favourites to collect another three points at the Etihad. They have just been phenomenal with their output this season and will want to finish with a flourish before turning their attention to the FA Cup. Watford have struggled badly on the road after a good start to the season on their travels. Their defensive misfires will put them at risk and City are 1/10 to take the home win, leaving the draw at 8/1 and Watford as massive 22/1 underdogs.
It only just half way through the season and already we have run out of things to say about the Citizens. It has just been a total procession for them all the way and they go into this game on a nine match winning streak at the Etihad this season. They have scored at least two goals in each of those nine games as well in that sequence and they have fired off exactly four goals in each of their last two home victories, which were against Spurs and Bournemouth. In the William Hill correct score market a Manchester City 4-0 option is a ridiculously short price of 17/2. Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero have both scored three goals in each in City’s last two home games they are 7/2 and 9/4 respectively in the first goalscorer market for the game. City have averaged 3.6 goals per game at home this season and they have been leading at half time in seven of their ten home fixtures. A Man City/Man City half time/full time bet then is worth considering because of that. The Citizens haven’t been just all about attacking might, they have also only conceded seven goals with four clean sheets in ten at home. It is a good chance for them to respond to their 0-0 draw at Palace on the weekend.
How to Watford stand up to all this? They were great in the early part of the season away from home, however, they go to the Etihad on the back of a three match losing streak away from Vicarage Road in the top flight. The Hornets scored exactly two goals in each of their opening seven away games this season but have subsequently netted just one in their last three in total. Watford are W4 D1 L5 on their travels this season in the top flight and they have averaged 1.6 goals per game and it may be worth looking at both teams to score for a price of 21/10, even though City will once again be heavily backed to win this to nil. With just the one clean sheet in their last eight road games, they are going to be at risk in this one, and nervy too after getting stuffed by City 6-0 at Vicarage Road in September. 71% of the goals that Watford have conceded in away games this season have been in the second half of matches. Richarlison is their top scorer away from home with four goals and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option. The Hornets were rocked as Swansea fought back from a goal down to beat them on the weekend at Vicarage Road.
Manchester City pounded Watford 6-0 earlier in the season at Vicarage Road and that is five straight Premier League wins they have recorded over Watford, four of those being to nil as well. City have scored eleven goals in their last two games against the Hornets now in the top flight and have netted at least two goals in each of their last seven against them in all competitions.
Manchester City are likely going to collect yet another win in this one and that is because the defence of Watford just isn’t reliable enough to go and compete at the Etihad for 90 minutes and expect to do enough to get something out of the game. Home win and to nil.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The rough patch for the Citizens continued on the weekend when they were downed 4-2 by Leicester. That is just three league wins in their last nine games played now. Rapidly they have fallen seven points behind leaders Chelsea going into the midweek round of action now, having lost back to back Premier League games for the first time under Pep Guardiola. Watford are up in seventh after a home win over Everton on the weekend. Can they keep climbing or will Manchester City be able to snap out of their funk and put a much needed victory on the board on home soil? Manchester City are 2/7 for the win, with the draw at 11/2 and Watford out at 10/1.
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So things aren’t going too well for City at the moment with just five wins in their last fifteen games across all competitions. They have won just three of their last nine in the Premier League and none of those were at the Etihad. City have gone D3 L1 in their last four top flight home games and after a blistering start, have managed just one goal exactly in each of those four games in that sequence. City have lost back to back games now in the top flight this season having been beaten by Chelsea and Leicester and that’s seven goals conceded in two games. Actually, Pep Guardiola has seen his side concede three or more goals in consecutive league games for the very first time as a manager. Their defence continues to undermine their title challenge and that’s not likely to change until January. Both teams to score at Bet365 in this one will return a price of 4/5 and with Watford scoring well enough, there’s value in that.
You have a quote of 4/9 with Bet365 on the game going over the 2.5 goal line and City are running without Sergio Aguero at the moment of course, which leaves Kelechi Iheanacho as 4/7 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market with Nolito and Kevin de Bruyne at even money. The Citizens are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games against Watford (W2 D2), winning both meetings last season. Interestingly the seven goals that have been scored in this particular Premier League fixture have all happened after half time. Guardiola has only ever lost three successive league matches as a manager once before, which was with Bayern Munich last year. Even with the Citizens having only posted a W3 D3 L1 record on home soil this season, they are favourites to run to the three points here. There’s a huge title race game against Arsenal for them following this.
Watford have failed to beat Man City in their last six league meetings (D2 L4) and on their visit to the Etihad last season they failed to get a single shot on target. Even though Watford lost away to each of last season’s top eight, they have been scoring better this season and there is some value in seeing them get something on the board. Troy Deeney and Odion Ighalo are 10/3 options in the anytime goalscorer market. Interestingly Watford have played nine Premier League matches on a Wednesday before and they have failed to win any of them in a D2 L7 record. The Hornets have lost their last two road games and overall this season have gone W2 D2 L3 away from Vicarage Road. They have shipped a massive nine goals in their last two away games, but did score in each of those. They have found the back of the net against Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd and Liverpool this season and a Man City 2-1 or Man City 3-1 correct score may be a temptation at a price of 10/1 on either one. Watford may push, but will they be able to push the Citizens hard enough?
Watford are without a clean sheet in five and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three visits to Man City. The Citizens should have the scoring power to take down the visitors in this one but there is value in the both teams to score option in this one. Watford haven’t quite looked like actually taking down a strong side on the road, so look for City to bag maximum points and restore a little confidence for themselves.
13th December 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens have won 14 and lost just one of their last 18 Premier League home games, winning the last eight in a row. The way they have been playing they will probably be a banker for punters this weekend and are 1/5 to pick up the three points.
Sergio Aguero has scored in each of his last five Premier League home appearances, netting seven times in those games. Aguero is 4/9 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market with Paddy Power.
City have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight Premier League games at the Etihad, scoring 26 and conceding two in that run. They are a 21/20 quote to win to nil, which should have big appeal.
Manchester City have now won nine successive league games – only on eight occasions in the Premier League has a team won 10+ games in a row.
Watford have won just three of their 39 Premier League away matches (W3 D7 L29) and have huge 10/1 odds to defy to pick one up on the weekend.
Watford actually have the edge over Manchester City in league meetings winning five to City’s four of the 12 meetings. Both encounters in the Barclays Premier League ended as draws.
Watford are only the ninth newly-promoted side to remain unbeaten in their opening three games of a Premier League season. Only five of the previous eight have gone unbeaten after four games. They are 6/1 to earn another draw.
After going 62 regular league games without playing in a goalless draw, Watford have played out two 0-0 draws in their last two PL games. A 0-0 Correct Score in this one is a massive 22/1 shot.
Only three teams have drawn their first four games of a Premier League season (Sunderland & Stoke in 2012-13 and C.Palace in 1992-93).
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This should be pretty routine for the Citizens the way they have been playing. Watford have done well, but it is a big ask for them to hold out for 90 minutes at the Emirates. Home win and more likely than not it will be to nil for City.
28th August 2015 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens don’t look as if they will be slowed up any time soon. If they keep up their great form they are going to streak to the league title without any opposition whatsoever. Three wins from three, not goals conceded and they will be expected to beat the newly promoted Hornets. Watford have banked three draws from three so far, but is it too much of an ask to see them grab a point at the Etihad? City are 1/5 for the win,with the draw at 6/1 and Watford at 10/1.
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The Citizens will be viewed as being one of the big bankers for Premier League betting on the weekend. They have looked majestic so far in racking up their three wins from three and they will be expected to see off the challenge of Watford at the Etihad. The Citizens have won 14 and lost just one of their last 18 Premier League matches on home turf and are currently running on an eight match winning streak. They have also banked seven clean sheets in their last eight league games at home, netting themselves a whopping tally of 26 goals (conceding two).
Sergio Aguero is riding a five match scoring streak at home in the Premier League. He netted in City’s 3-0 home win over Chelsea this season and is a 4/9 quote at online betting site Bet365 to find the back of the net yet again. City have banked clean sheet victories in each of their three games this season and are a solid 11/10 quote to win to nil in Man City v Watford betting. That’s reasonable enough considering Watford have failed to score in their last three games in all competitions. City will be out looking for their tenth league win in a row, only on eight occasions in the Premier League has a team won 10+ games in a row.
Watford’s chances look slim, not only because of how well City are playing but because they have only won three of their last 39 Premier League away matches (W3 D7 L29). They have drawn their three games played in the top flight this season, but after a 2-2 at Everton on the opening weekend, have failed to score. There have only been twelve league meetings between these two and Watford actually lead the head to head 5-4 over the Citizens. The only two previous Premier League encounters both ended in draws. Troy Deeney is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer quote. The last time two meetings between them have been in the FA Cup, City running out 3-0 winner in 2012-13 and 4-2 winners in 2013-14.
You imagine that City will have enough to put three points on the board in this one. There will probably be goals flowing. Watford have made a decent start going unbeaten, but this is a huge, huge test for them and they will probably be shown up. City to win to nil looks very probable.
26th August 2015 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting