How will the Citizens respond to having lost their first league game of the season? The Citizens were stopped in a 4-3 defeat at Anfield against Liverpool last Sunday. That won’t likely affect the destination of this season’s Premier League title. City gets back to home soil where they face a Newcastle side who may well feel the wrath of Pep Guardiola’s men. Manchester City are 1/12 at bet365 for the win, with the draw at 10/1 and Newcastle at 20/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 15th, 2018 at 3:30 a.m.)
So Manchester City’s unbeaten form has ended in the Premier League this season but there is a decent chance that they will bounce back immediately to winning ways. After their 4-3 loss at Liverpool in one of the games of the season, City return home where they have posted a W10 D1 record for the season, winning their last ten there. The Citizens have scored at least two goals in each of their ten home wins this season and in total, they have netted 39 goals in their 11 home games. So they alone can take this game over 2.5 goals. At the back, they have conceded just the eight goals this season at the Etihad in the top flight which is excellent from them. The Citizens have been winning at half time in eight of their home games this season so a Man City/Man City half-time/ full-time wager at Bet365 will have some immediate appeal and you would imagine that they will want to come out strongly and shake off that loss against Liverpool. Sergio Aguero is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 2/1* (Betting Odds took on January 15th, 2018 at 8:08 p.m.). The shortest-priced option in the correct score market is a Manchester City 2-0.
The Magpies have been scraping together points recently with a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five league games. They have been much-needed points too to keep their heads above the relegation zone. They are still struggling badly for offensive power and they have returned just the two goals in their last four league games in total. But as a positive, they have also conceded just the two goals in that sequence as well. How will they approach this game because they tried to defend their way to a point at home against City just after Christmas and this is going to be an infinitely more difficult task on the road for them? Away from St James’ Park, this season in the Premier League Newcastle have gone W3 D2 L6 but they have won their last two on the road, beating West Ham and Stoke back to back by one goal margins. Before that, they had collected just one point in five road games. Newcastle have scored an average of exactly one goal per game on their top-flight travels this term and of the goals, they have scored away from home, 64% of them have been in the second half of matches. Their most frequent away scoreline this season have been 1-0 losses which has happened four times. Eight Of the twelve top-flight defeats they have suffered this season have been by a one-goal margin only.
Newcastle tried to shut up shop at home against Man City recently and were eventually undone. Man City are unbeaten in their last four games against the Magpies now and have lost just one of their last twenty-two fixtures against them in all competitions now. The Citizens have won their last eight Premier League home games against Newcastle, scoring at least three goals in each of the last five against them on home soil.
The Citizens are likely going to want to prove their defeat was just the most minor of blips and they can collect a victory in this one and there is more than a reasonable chance that it will be to nil. Newcastle doesn’t carry too much of an offensive threat and will probably get picked off.
17th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
What a game of football this should be. Liverpool are going well again and they have remained unbeaten on home soil this season in the top flight. They will have revenge on their mind too having been hammered 5-0 at the Etihad by City earlier in the season. Manchester City are yet to taste domestic defeat this season, but they could come under pressure in this one. Man City are only 6/5 to win this, with Liverpool at 2/1 and the draw at 13/5* (Betting Odds taken from January 11th, 2018 at 3.54 am)
The Reds have stayed undefeated in their last thirteen league games now and you sort of get the feeling that if they don’t turn up and be the ones to break Man City this season, then the rest of the Premier League may as well just pack up and go home. Liverpool are unbeaten at Anfield all season and they have won their last two there, seeing off Swansea and then Leicester. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last five games home and away and certainly carry the attacking threat to get at City. The Reds average just under two goals per game at home and they have conceded just the four goals at Anfield all season which is fantastic. Still, you would probably be looking at both teams to score at Bet365 for the game at 8/15 odds* (Betting Odds taken from January 11th, 2018 at 9.12 pm). Liverpool have lost Philippe Coutinho to Barcelona so how will they galvanise themselves after that because that is a big loss? But they are stacked with enough creative players to hold down the fort you would imagine. Mo Salah has seventeen league goals for the season and is in at 6/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds taken from January 11th, 2018 at 9.12 pm). Their home form does tick all the boxes to suggest that they can get close to three points.
The Citizens had an extra game in midweek as well to get through, as they face Bristol City in the EFL Cup semi-final first leg which they won 2-1. City are still unbeaten all season and after their record-breaking winning streak was snapped in a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace, they returned to winning ways last weekend with a 3-1 home victory over Watford. City are W10 D1 on the road this season and they haven’t been without their tight squeezes away from the Etihad it has to be said. They have won at Bournemouth, West Brom, Huddersfield and Newcastle all by just a one-goal margin. Six of their ten away victories this season have been by a one-goal margin only. Backing the Citizens to win by a one-goal margin is 10/3 odds at Paddy Power* (Betting Odds taken from January 11th, 2018 at 9.17 pm). City have averaged over two goals per game on their travels this season and they will of course get their chances to shine and push for three points. They have taken a clean sheet in 64% of their away games this season with just the five away goals conceded. But this should be a high scoring game again between the two of them and a really big test of Manchester City’s character.
Despite losing 5-0 at the Etihad this season, Liverpool did take a win in this corresponding league fixture last season and they are actually on a four-match winning streak at Anfield against the Citizens. Liverpool have stood up pretty well to City in recent meetings and they are W4 D1 L1 in their last six Premier League games home and away against the Citizens. In total Liverpool will be defending a sixteen match unbeaten streak of home form against City in all competitions.
City’s unbeaten form has to come to an end and some point and Liverpool could be the ones to do it. The Reds have the pace up front to expose the Citizens at the back and City have had to squeeze out some narrow away wins this season. Back the Reds to get themselves a huge three points.
12th January 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
There is still plenty of action to come from the Third Round of the FA Cup as eight ties still needing to be settled through replays. The big shock of the Third Round was the fall of Arsenal who suffered a 4-2 defeat at the City Ground against Championship side Nottingham Forest. Arsene Wenger risked fielding a weakened side and paid the price, losing in the Third Round for the first time ever in charge of the Gunners. Manchester City had no such problems as they cruised past fellow Premier League side Burnley at the Etihad, while Manchester United steeled themselves to see off a stern challenge from Championship promotion hopefuls Derby.
Liverpool made their way through to the Fourth Round at the first attempt with a home victory over rivals Everton in a thrilling Merseyside derby, while Tottenham were on cruise control against Wimbledon. It leaves Manchester City as 3/1 favourites at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken January 8th, 2018 at 11.42pm) to win the trophy this season, followed up by joint second-favourites Manchester United and Liverpool. Chelsea’s odds may shorten a bit if they get past Norwich in their replay at Stamford Bridge, while Leicester needs another attempt to try and get past League One opponents, Fleetwood.
League Two side Newport recorded a big shock in the Third Round of the FA Cup as they dumped out Championship side Leeds and they have pulled in a huge tie of facing Premier League opponents Tottenham. Yeovil, also from League Two get a dream home game against Manchester United while Coventry, who took out Premier League opposition in Stoke in the third round make a visit to the MK Dons.
Man City 3/1, Man United 5/1, Liverpool 5/1, Chelsea 11/2, Tottenham 13/2, Leicester 25/1, Southampton 40/1, Newcastle 50/1, Watford 50/1, West Ham 50/1, 66/1 bar* (Betting Odds taken January 8th, 2018 at 11.42pm)
Liverpool v West Brom
Peterborough v Fleetwood/Leicester
Huddersfield v Birmingham
Notts County v Wolves/Swansea
Yeovil v Manchester United
Carlisle/Sheffield Wednesday v Stevenage/Reading
Cardiff/Mansfield v Manchester City
MK Dons v Coventry
Millwall v Rochdale
Southampton v Watford
Middlesbrough v Brighton/Crystal Palace
Bournemouth/Wigan v Shrewsbury/West Ham
Hull v Nottingham Forest
Newport County v Tottenham
Norwich/Chelsea v Newcastle
Sheffield United v Preston
Leicester v Fleetwood
Mansfield v Cardiff
Reading v Stevenage
Sheffield Wednesday v Carlisle
West Ham v Shrewsbury
Wigan v Bournemouth
Swansea v Wolves
Chelsea v Norwich
9th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Bristol City have been the stars of the EFL Cup this season having already knocked out four Premier League clubs, including reigning champions Manchester United. Now they get a shot against the very best of the best as they try and handle the Citizens. Manchester City are the outright favourites to get their hands on the cup and they will be expected to land a big first leg lead in this one. Manchester City are 1/8 odds on favourites, with the draw at 15/2 and Bristol City at 16/1* (Betting Odds taken January 7th, 2018 at 7.00 pm)
This was the best draw that Manchester City could have received for the semi-final of the EFL Cup because they get a run out against the lowest-side ranked left in the competition. You would imagine that even after having seen Bristol City knocked out Manchester United, that City won’t be remotely worried about themselves being upset in this one. Manchester City eased to a comfortable 4-1 home win over Burnley in the third round of the FA Cup on the weekend after being 1-0 down surprisingly at half time against the Clarets. That took their winning streak at home to eight straight games across all competitions but they have only taken one clean sheet in their last six games at the Etihad, and both teams to score is a 6/5 quote at William Hill* (Betting Odds taken January 7th, 2018 at 7.00 pm).
There should be plenty of goals going on again as Pep Guardiola will likely send out a strong side at this stage of proceedings. Over 3.5 goals at William Hill* (Betting Odds taken January 7th, 2018 at 7.00 pm) is a decent 23/25 poke for the match up. Manchester City alone have averaged just over three goals per game in their last fourteen matches at the Etihad and seven of those went over that 3.5 goal line. They will be taking on a Bristol City side who are not goal shy, but who also don’t boast the greatest of defences. Sergio Aguero netted a brace in the FA Cup on the weekend and he is the first goalscorer favourite with Raheem Sterling, who has six goals in his last six home games, a solid anytime goalscorer option. Manchester City to win and both teams to score is a decent option to consider for Tuesday’s game.
Bristol City knocked off Manchester United 2-1 at Ashton Gate in the last round to set up this semi-final duel. They had gone past Stoke, Crystal Palace and Watford before knocking out the Red Devils. Their form has taken a bit of a dive recently though with three straight defeats, losing back to back games in the Championship before getting dumped out of the FA Cup against Watford on the weekend. They have shipped ten goals in their last three games. The Robins have scored 23 goals in 15 away games in all competitions this season and have only lost three times in all competitions away from Ashton Gate this term. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last five away games though and so they will be likely to concede here. They did rest players for their FA Cup tie on the weekend so they will be stronger for this one and the impressive Bobby Reid is at 5/2* (Betting Odds taken January 7th, 2018 at 7.00 pm) to get himself on the scoresheet.
Minicabster City should produce well enough on home soil against the Championship side to be comfortable in this one. The Robins have just lost their way a little bit and a 3-0 correct score on Manchester City for the game looks pretty appealing.
8th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Citizens are not too surprisingly heavy odds-on favourites to collect another three points at the Etihad. They have just been phenomenal with their output this season and will want to finish with a flourish before turning their attention to the FA Cup. Watford have struggled badly on the road after a good start to the season on their travels. Their defensive misfires will put them at risk and City are 1/10 to take the home win, leaving the draw at 8/1 and Watford as massive 22/1 underdogs.
It only just half way through the season and already we have run out of things to say about the Citizens. It has just been a total procession for them all the way and they go into this game on a nine match winning streak at the Etihad this season. They have scored at least two goals in each of those nine games as well in that sequence and they have fired off exactly four goals in each of their last two home victories, which were against Spurs and Bournemouth. In the William Hill correct score market a Manchester City 4-0 option is a ridiculously short price of 17/2. Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero have both scored three goals in each in City’s last two home games they are 7/2 and 9/4 respectively in the first goalscorer market for the game. City have averaged 3.6 goals per game at home this season and they have been leading at half time in seven of their ten home fixtures. A Man City/Man City half time/full time bet then is worth considering because of that. The Citizens haven’t been just all about attacking might, they have also only conceded seven goals with four clean sheets in ten at home. It is a good chance for them to respond to their 0-0 draw at Palace on the weekend.
How to Watford stand up to all this? They were great in the early part of the season away from home, however, they go to the Etihad on the back of a three match losing streak away from Vicarage Road in the top flight. The Hornets scored exactly two goals in each of their opening seven away games this season but have subsequently netted just one in their last three in total. Watford are W4 D1 L5 on their travels this season in the top flight and they have averaged 1.6 goals per game and it may be worth looking at both teams to score for a price of 21/10, even though City will once again be heavily backed to win this to nil. With just the one clean sheet in their last eight road games, they are going to be at risk in this one, and nervy too after getting stuffed by City 6-0 at Vicarage Road in September. 71% of the goals that Watford have conceded in away games this season have been in the second half of matches. Richarlison is their top scorer away from home with four goals and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option. The Hornets were rocked as Swansea fought back from a goal down to beat them on the weekend at Vicarage Road.
Manchester City pounded Watford 6-0 earlier in the season at Vicarage Road and that is five straight Premier League wins they have recorded over Watford, four of those being to nil as well. City have scored eleven goals in their last two games against the Hornets now in the top flight and have netted at least two goals in each of their last seven against them in all competitions.
Manchester City are likely going to collect yet another win in this one and that is because the defence of Watford just isn’t reliable enough to go and compete at the Etihad for 90 minutes and expect to do enough to get something out of the game. Home win and to nil.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It was yet another win for Manchester City in midweek as they collected a 1-0 win at Newcastle. That extended their lead at the top of the table to fifteen points and they stay out on the road on the weekend as well as they go to Crystal Palace. Palace have done well on home soil recently but with recent heavy losses against City, they may have their backs against the wall in this one. Man City are 2/9 favourites to get the win with the draw at 21/4 and Palace are 10/1 underdogs.
Palace were sunk 3-2 at home by Arsenal on Thursday to snap their good undefeated stretch of form. They were eight games without defeat before that loss to the Gunners and they are going to get another good workout in this one. Palace seems to only play well for short spells of games as opposed to putting in a good consistent shift. They are scoring well through with a five match scoring streak going and they have scored exactly two goals in each of their last seven home games now remarkably. So that should equate to goals in the match and over 3.5 goals at William Hill is probably going to offer value. Palace have still only been ahead at half time one game at Selhurst Park this season and they are now averaging 1.4 goals per home game. However, they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game though and still have not earned a single clean sheet all season at home. The way that City are playing this season, a point out of this would be a success for the Eagles. Palace’s overall home form now stands at W3 D3 L4 record.
The Citizens marched on to eighteen league wins on the bounce as they dominated Newcastle at St James’ Park in midweek, but could only manage a 1-0 win against a side who had no interest in coming out of their shell. It means that City have won all ten of their away games this season and that’s back to back clean sheet victories that they have posted on the road. They have taken three clean sheets in their last four overall too and Man City to win to nil at William Hill may have some appeal. They will likely boss possession again as they take on the Eagles. Man City have scored 25 goals in their ten road games, conceding just the five which is superb. 80% of their away goals conceded have been in the first half of matches and they have opened the scoring in eight of their ten away games. In the correct score market, a Man City 2-0 win is at 13/2 while a 2-1 win (which is their most frequent away scoreline this term) is a 15/2 poke. Raheem Sterling can’t stop scoring and is value at 11/10 in the anytime goalscorer market, while Sergio Aguero is a 12/5 First Goalscorer option.
Palace were smashed 5-0 at the Etihad earlier in the season by Manchester City and have to be a bit concerned about this game. That is actually back to back 5-0 defeats they have suffered against the Citizens which is remarkable. City are on a seven match winning streak against the Eagles in all competitions, scoring at least three goals in five of those seven games.
It should be another win for Manchester City. They were so dominant out at Newcastle as a good indicator for this one and they will have had a day’s extra rest to that of Palace as well. The Citizens can get out of this win another win because the Palace back line have weaknesses that the visitors are likely going to expose.
29th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle managed to relieve a bit of pressure just before Christmas with an away win at West Ham. They will have a tough task on their hands following that up though as they face champions-elect Manchester City at St James’ Park on Wednesday evening. The Citizens are on a seventeen match winning streak and looking to extend that further and extend their lead even more after second-placed Man Utd could only draw on the weekend. Man City are 1/4 odds on favourites for the win, with the draw at 11/2 and Newcastle heavy underdogs at 12/1.
The Magpies took a win at West Ham on December 23rd, snapping a horrible run of form which saw them go D1 L8 in the top flight. The trouble is for them, that they now run into Manchester City so they aren’t going to have much of a chance of building momentum. Newcastle are on a four match losing streak of form at St James Park in the top flight and they failed to score in three of those defeats as well. Overall this season on home soil they have produced a W3 D1 L5 record, returning the nine goals in that sequence and failing to score in 44% of their home games in the top flight. Defensively they haven’t been terrible with just the twelve goals conceded in their nine and only 44% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. They are lacking a bit of punch going forward though as they have scored just four opening goals at home this season in their fixtures. Joselu is the only Newcastle player to have managed more than one home goal for the club this season and he is a 3/1 option in the anytime goalscorer market. As Man City are the visitors, over 2.5 goals at Betfair is probably going to be a good place to start.
The Citizens have made it to seventeen straight wins and worryingly for the rest of the league, they appear to have upped their scoring again. They have scored four goals exactly in each of their last three league matches now, extending their overall streak of having scored at least two goals in all but two of their nineteen league games this season. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last five away games. The output is phenomenal from them and they smashed Bournemouth 4-0 just before Christmas. Away from home, they have a 100% winning record from their nine games, scoring 24 goals at a rate of 2.7 per game and they have only conceded the five away goals as well. Manchester City to win to nil at Betfair is going to have plenty of appeal. 67% of their away games have gone over the 2.5 goal line and they have made it happen pretty much on their own. Interestingly four of the five away goals they have conceded away from home this season were in the first half of matches, but still City have opened the scoring in seven of their nine road games. They are power personified and Sergio Aguero is their top scorer away from home with six road goals and following on from his brace against Bournemouth, he is the 12/5 first goalscorer favourite. Overall he is the joint top scorer for the club this season alongside Raheem Sterling who is 6/5 odds in the anytime goalscorer market.
Man City have won three of their last four visits to St James Park by a 2-0 scoreline. The last time they met there, back in April 2016, there was a 1-1 draw and that extended City’s unbeaten streak against Newcastle to 19 in the Premier League. Newcastle have failed to score in seven of their last nine against the Citizens.
The defence of the Magpies has been pretty leaky and there is no hint that there is going to be an upset in this one. City should be able to expose the cracks that the Magpies have across the back line and produce a victory, likely to nil as well because they will keep so much pressure going on the home side.
26th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Citizens go marching on and they will be heavily backed to get another win under their belt on the weekend as they play host to the out-of-sorts Bournemouth. The Citizens impressed last weekend with a thumping 4-1 victory over Tottenham. Bournemouth will have a tough job on their hands here as they are lacking the goals which will likely see them put up any kind of challenge in this game. Man City are 1/10 odds on to take the three points, with the draw at 8/1 and the Cherries are at a massive 22/1 price.
It is really hard to imagine the Citizen losing this game when you look at the stats. Manchester City have rattled off a W8 D1 record at home this season and are on an eight match winning streak at the Etihad after pummeling Tottenham there last weekend. City have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight home games. Overall they average 3.5 goals per game at home this season which is staggering and defensively they have been sound as well with just the seven goals conceded in nine. Manchester City to win to nil at Coral has to be a top bet for the weekend really. 89% of City’s home games have gone over 2.5 goals, 56% have gone over 3.55 and a whopping 44% of them have gone over 4.5 goals. That’s how brilliant they have been going forward. 72% of their home goals have come in the second half of matches and Raheem Sterling is now top scorer for them with 11, with Sergio Aguero one behind the England man. Aguero is the 9/4 first goalscorer favourite with Sterling at 7/2. You have to be considering margins in his one and a Man City 3-0 correct score at Coral is at 13/2.
The Cherries may struggle to get a real challenge going in this one. They are winless in their last six league games now (D3 L3) but they have had a little bit of form going on the road. They have gone W2 D2 L1 in their last five away games, the only defeat in that sequence came in a narrow 1-0 loss at Old Trafford in their last road game. The Cherries have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last five games played now and were destroyed by Liverpool last weekend in a 4-0 loss at the Vitality. The Cherries have mustered up only the six away goals all season but four of their five losses out on the road have only been by a one goal margin. You would imagine that City can better that though. This is such a tough game for them and Bournemouth have Jermain Defoe who is the only player to have scored more than one away goal this season. You look in the both teams to score market and both teams NOT to score at Coral is at 4/6 odds on and that sums up the chances of Bournemouth in this one. Given the form that Manchester City have produced, it could be a long afternoon for the visitors.
City edged out a 2-1 win earlier in the season against the Cherries and that extended their winning streak to five on the trot from five previous Premier League games against Bournemouth. Three of those wins have been with a clean sheet in tow as well and the Citizens have scored at least two goals in each of those wins over Bournemouth as well. Across all competitions, Man City hold a W9 D2 L0 record against the Cherries.
Manchester City are likely going to extend their winning streak in this one. It would be a huge surprise if they didn’t. It may just be all about the margin of victory for the Citizens in this one and there is going to be an appeal at 7/2 on them to win by a three goal margin.
20th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Foxes seem to have gotten themselves the bum draw for the quarter finals in the EFL Cup as they have to go up against the Manchester City juggernaut. But they can take some heart from the struggles that City had against Championship side Wolves in the last round. They are heavy underdogs though while Manchester City will look to power their way through to keep their domestic treble hopes running pretty strongly. Man City are 2/5 to take the win, with the draw at 15/4 and Leicester at 6/1.
Tough game for the Foxes then who suffered a big home loss on the weekend against Crystal Palace. Still, since Claude Puel took over, they have been a much better side and the loss against the Eagles on the weekend snapped a four match winning streak that they were on. They have only lost two of their last thirteen games played now in all competitions. Leicester holds a W6 D1 L4 record at home this season and from that, they have only failed to score in two home games, both of those fixtures ending in defeat. One of them was a 2-0 league reverse against Manchester City just back in mid November.
Another Manchester City 2-0 correct score at William Hill is the shortest priced option in the market at 13/2. As City won’t be at full strength though it may be worth a flutter on both teams to score because Leicester have been thriving off being unpredictable in their attacking options used and they still play at a high pace on the counter attack. Leicester have gone W2 D1 L3 in their last six games against the Citizens. They have won just one of their last eight on home soil against Manchester City now in all competitions (D3 L4). So that’s not a great record there but they have come through some good ties on home soil in the Cup so far, having beaten Liverpool 2-0 and then Championship side Leeds 3-1 and on top of that they opened with a good win at Sheffield United as well in the tournament.
But will the Foxes be able to stop City? There’s really not much more that can be said about Manchester City after they destroyed Tottenham on the weekend in the Premier League. They took a 2-1 victory out at West Brom in their first EFL Cup tie this season and then followed that up with a 0-0 draw with Championship title contenders Wolves, which City battled through in the end in a penalty shoot out. They haven’t obviously sent out their strongest sides for the EFL Cup this season but it is likely that Gabriel Jesus is going to get a start and he an 11/10 anytime goalscorer option for the game. City’s away from across all competitions this season is just ridiculous as it is at W12 L1 and they have scored at least two goals in all but two of those games. This is a really busy period of action now for them though and City to win by a one goal margin only with William Hill is a price of 11/4.
Manchester City are likely to get through, just because of the options that they have in depth. Leicester’s misfire at home against Crystal Palace on the weekend was a blow and City have already beaten them at the King Power this season. Look for a win by a one goal margin for the visitors in this busy period.
18th December 2017 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Citizens marched on in midweek as they took a resounding win at Swansea to extend their winning streak this season even further. They are just looking pretty unstoppable at the moment and this would be another big three points for them. Tottenham have improved to back to back wins in the league after their victory over Stoke last weekend and over Brighton in midweek. Still, the Lilywhites are heavy underdogs for this one. Manchester City are 1/2 to take another three points at the Etihad, with the draw at 10/3 and Tottenham at 5/1.
The Citizens have made it to fifteen straight wins now in the Premier League after thumping Swansea 4-0 in midweek at the Etihad. They will be looking for their eighth straight win on home soil in the top flight as they face up to Tottenham on the weekend in Saturday’s evening kick off. The clean sheet against the Swans was City’s first in five matches and there is a decent chance of both teams to score for 8/13 returning some value in this one. The Citizens have picked up just the one clean sheet in their last five home fixtures in the top flight. City have scored 28 goals in their eight home fixtures this season at an average of 3.5 goals per game and they have conceded only the six goals. 88% of their games at the Etihad have gone over 2.5 goals and 71% of their goals scored in front of their home support this term have come in the second half of matches. They have opened the scoring in all but two of their home games and have been leading at half time in five. A Man City/Man City Half Time/Full time wager at William Hill is at 13/10 odds. Sergio Aguero was on the scoresheet again in midweek and is the 10/3 first goalscorer favourite for the match. The Citizens have scored at least two goals now in each of their last ten games in the top flight home and away.
Big game for Spurs, more so because of their poor away form. The Lilywhites have failed to win any of their last four league games out on the road now (D1 L3) and they have had some misfires in their big fixtures this season. They have lost against Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal already this season and that should mean that they are vulnerable for this trip. Spurs have scored just the two goals in their last four road games but they gave themselves a decent boost over the last week in winning back to back home games against Stoke and Brighton. Overall the Lilywhites are W4 D1 L3 this season on their travels and they have averaged 1.75 goals per game away from home while they have conceded an average of 1 goal per game away from Wembley. In the William Hill Correct score market a Man City 2-1 win is the shortest priced option at 8/1. Three of their four away losses this season have only been by a one goal margin and only Burnley, Man City and Man Utd have conceded fewer goals than they have. Harry Kane has netted seven away goals for the club this season in the top flight and he is a price of 5/4 to get one in this game.
The Citizens have only taken one point from their last two home games against Spurs in the league and are actually struggling overall home and away. Spurs have a W3 D1 record in their last four Premier League fixtures against Manchester City. Of the last eight meetings, City are just up with a 4-3 lead and one draw. Eight of the last ten meetings have produced over 2.5 goals.
This should be a decent competitive game and because a lot of City’s wins recently have only been narrow ones, it may be worth backing the Citizens to edge it by just the one goal margin. Spurs just haven’t been carrying the away form, nor form in their big games to suggest that they can bag three points.
15th December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting