What a story minnows Madagascar have written for themselves at the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations. They have defied the odds to reach the final eight in what is their debut in the competition. Can they go further? They will be up against a Tunisia side who have drawn their last four games. Read our Madagascar v Tunisia betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 9th, 2019 at 7:14 p.m.)
Few would have seen this run from Madagascar coming. They have lit the tournament up by reaching the quarter-finals. Not bad for a nation in their first-ever AFCON campaign and one that was ranked 107th in the world at the start of the event. They pulled off a shock group win too. They posted a W2 D1 record in their three games in the group stage, coming up big in their final match, a decider for top sport against Nigeria. That was following the draw against Guinea and then a 1-0 win over Burundi.
That was fantastic from them and it gave them a round of sixteen tie against DR Congo. That was a favourable draw for them as the DR Congo had only qualified as one of the best third-placed teams from the group stage. The game ended in a 2-2 draw but Madagascar impressively held their never to win the penalty shootout 4-2. The top scorer for the Barea is Carolus Andriamatsinoro with two. Madagascar are actually only W2 D3 L4 in their last nine games, which is why this run has been so unexpected.
The only previous meeting were in the World Cup 2002 qualifiers
Tunisia won both of those games to nil
It has been a strange tournament from Tunisia, who once again drew a game. They were up against Ghana in the round of sixteen and they looked to be heading to a win. That was until they conceded to the Black Stars in the 92nd minute. So they had to endure a penalty shoot-out in the end, which Tunisia took 5-4. Back in the group stage, Tunisia took a second-place finish behind winner Mali, and the Tunisians drew all three of their games, two of the 1-1 draws. So three of their four games at the tournament have been 1-1 draws (90 minutes).
So the 2004 champions have been grinding. They have actually only suffered three defeats since the end of the World Cup last summer. They are W7 D4 L3 in their last fourteen fixtures played. They are currently on a seven-match undefeated streak of form, drawing each of the last four as mentioned. This failure to have won games is going to likely bother punters as to whether or not they can actually find their winning touch when it matters the most. So far it has not quite been there, and there could be nervy moments in this one for them.
Madagascar are not going to be quaking in their boots at the prospect of facing Tunisia. The Tunisians are the favourites though but they can’t seem to get that winning touch nailed. So it may just be worth having the Madagascar – Draw Double Chance in mind.
11th July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
Madagascar has been one of the surprise packages of the tournament having taken a group win over Nigeria. So this is not bad going at all for their first ever AFCON campaign. This is going to be an interesting duel against the DR Congo who were one of the best third-placed finishers from the first round. Read our Madagascar v DR Congo betting tips for more.
DR Congo 11/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 4th, 2019 at 5:13 p.m.)
So it has been some debut by Madagascar. They collected seven points in their group stage campaign. They started with an exciting 2-2 draw with Guinea before collecting a 1-0 success over Burundi. So there was some huge pressure on them in their final match, a battle for top spot against Nigeria. Madagascar more than held their nerve as they produced a 2-0 success to win top spot. Can they take this fantastic journey a step further?
They were well out of form heading into the tournament as well. Madagascar had failed to win in six games (D2 L4) prior to the start of the competition. So they have delivered when it has mattered most. They reached their first ever AFCON finals with a second place finish in their qualification group. They were ranked 108th in the world at the start of the competition. Their top scorer in the tournament with two goals so far is Carolus Andriamatsinoro.
There have been two previous meetings between these two nations
DR Congo are W1 D1 in the head to head against Madagascar
Their most recent meeting was in 2016 which DR Congo won 6-1
The DR Congo had more of a struggle through their group stage campaign. They were on the back foot early after an opening 2-0 loss against Uganda. They then fell to the same scoreline against Egypt. But they found a way through with a big win over Zimbabwe in their final fixture, those three points giving them a berth as one of the best third-place finishers. Their win over Zimbabwe snapped a four-match winless streak of form.
The DR Congo have managed to win just two of their last ten fixtures now (D5 L3) so they haven’t been tearing it up. They have failed to score in three of their last five games as well. DR Congo made the quarterfinals in the last edition of the tournament which was after finishing third in the edition prior to that. While the group stage wasn’t a huge success for them, they have to recognise that there were worse draws that they could have gotten for the round of sixteen.
It is going to be worth taking a look at the To Qualify market for this one because the game looks as if it is going to be tight. Madagascar have been punching above their weight very well and may have something to shoot at here. Madagascar To Qualify.
6th July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
This will settle who finishes top in Group B of the Africa Cup of Nations. It is Nigeria leading the way having picked up maximum points from their two games. Madagascar would jump above them though with a win and they need to pick up a point to guarantee themselves as top two place. Read our Madagascar v Nigeria betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 10:29 p.m.)
This is Madagascar’s debut in the Africa Cup of Nations. They are having a good run at qualifying for the knockout stages as well. The Barea are ranked 107th in the world at the moment. They opened with a really positive result, a 2-2 draw against Guinea, who are ranked much higher than Madagascar are in the FIFA rankings. Early in the second half Madagascar were 2-1 up but conceded an equaliser from the penalty spot. They managed to land a win in their second fixture, taking a 1-0 success over Burundi.
They now need to collect a win against the Super Eagles to top the group, but a point sees them secure second place. Before their win over Burundi, Madagascar were on a six-match winless streak of form (D2 L4). During qualification for the Finals Madagascar took a W3 D1 L2 record from their campaign, their notable result a 2-2 draw against the strong Senegal. They have found the back of the net in four of their last five games played now, but it is their defence which is questionable. They have only the one clean sheet in their last seven games now.
Nigeria lead the head to head W3 D1 L0 against Madagascar
The most recent meeting was a 2-0 win over Nigeria in 2011
Madagascar have failed to score in their previous four against Nigeria
Nigeria are on a three-match winning streak over Madagascar
The Super Eagles are in decent form at the moment. They have taken back to back 1-0 wins so far in the tournament over Burundi and Guinea. Four of Nigeria’s last five-games have been settled by a 1-0 scoreline, the Super Eagles winning three of those four. Nigeria are W7 D3 L1 in their last eleven games now. Just one of their last seven games have made it over the 2.5 goal line. So this may not exactly be a high scoring match up between the two, especially with Nigeria only needing a point to top the group.
The Super Eagles have only managed to score three goals in their last five games, so they aren’t a prolific side in attack. That may allow Madagascar to get what they need out of this. Nigeria are looking to regain a bit of status in this continental tournament. They were the 2013 champions but failed to qualify for the last two editions. Nigeria topped their qualification group with a W4 D1 L1 record, averaging over two goals a game. They have only managed more than one goal in just one of their last eight fixtures now.
Madagascar may be able to get a point out of this. Nigeria aren’t exactly lighting up the tournament in front of goal and may well make some changes for this one, only needing a point to top the group. The draw in the match outright looks a decent option.
29th June 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting