It is an epic FA Cup tie set for Friday night to start the third round. It is a Merseyside derby to look forward to as the Toffees make the short trip across the city to take on Liverpool. The two have already played out a 1-1 league draw at Anfield this season and this will be the first FA Cup meeting between the rivals since April 2012, a semi-final which Liverpool won in dramatic style. Liverpool are 2/5 to win this with the draw at 7/2 and Everton out at 13/2.
The Reds are strong odds-on favourites to get the win on the board in this one and that is understandable. Liverpool are unbeaten on home soil across all competitions this season but they have had their frustrating drawn results in a W9 D6 record at Anfield this season. They have won their last two games there though and while they have taken a lot of praise for their scoring this season once again, defensively they have been pretty rock solid at home this term. They have collected nine clean sheets in their fifteen home matches and two in their last three (one goal conceded). Liverpool to win to nil at William Hill because of that wouldn’t be a bad option to consider for the FA Cup clash. In nine of their home games this season they have scored at least two goals and of them, seven were at least three goals.
They have plenty of scoring power at their disposal and none more prolific at the moment than Mo Salah who is the even-money anytime goalscorer favourite at William Hill. He did get Liverpool’s goal in the 1-1 league draw against the Toffees back in December. Liverpool dominated that game but couldn’t break their opponents. The Reds are unbeaten in their last fifteen games against Everton in all competitions now (W7 D8). From previous FA Cup clashes, Liverpool are 10-7 up with six drawn matches between them in the competition. The last time that they were paired up in the FA Cup third round was back in the 2008/09 season with a replay needed after a 1-1 draw at Anfield. Everton won that replay 1-0 to go on to reach the final that season where they lost to Chelsea. In the correct score market at William Hill, another 1-1 draw returns a price of 15/2 while the shortest priced option available there is a Liverpool 2-0 at a 6/1 quote.
The Toffees have fallen out of form again a little bit with no wins in their last four matches played (D2 L2). The goals have dried up completely again for them as they have managed just the one goal in their last four as well. Under 2.5 goals at William Hill for the fixture is probably not too bad of an option really. The away form overall of Everton this season has been pretty well below par having only collected three victories all season on their travels in a W3 D6 L8 record. Two of those three wins have come inside their last five road games though and Everton have taken a clean sheet in three of their last five away games. Wayne Rooney made his return against Manchester United recently in the Premier League and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer for the game and goes into action as Everton’s clear top goalscorer this season. Once again the Toffees will need a big game from him.
Liverpool to win to nil may well have some decent appeal in this one. Everton have been struggling for goals again at the moment and the Reds have the superior goal scoring quality which should pull them through. Back the Reds to get the job done.
4th January 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Reds have missed out on one trip to Wembley this season as they slipped to an EFL Cup semi final defeat against Southampton in midweek. That was an extra game for them to get through and immediately they have to pick themselves up again for the early kick off on Saturday in the FA Cup. They take on Championship side Wolves who aren’t having the greatest of seasons but they went to Premier League opposition in the last round and claimed a win, landing a 2-0 victory at Stoke. Can they pull off another cup upset when they go to Anfield? Liverpool are long odds-on at 1/5, with the draw at 11/2 and Wolves at 12/1.
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The Reds are not having a great time of things lately on any front. They have won just one of their last seven games across all competitors now and that was an FA Cup third round replay down at Plymouth. So with a W1 D3 L3 record in what sequence of games, does it point to the Reds running out of steam? It has been a busy month for them because this will be their eighth game this month and have another to fit in against Chelsea in the Premier League on Tuesday night. So Klopp has had to juggle his starting elevens but it has knocked them off their stride. Liverpool have actually failed to score in four of their last seven games, a far cry for them the free-scoring that they were doing up until the turn of the new year. This game to go under 2.5 goals with Bet365 is a price of 7/5. Only three of the last ten meetings between the two clubs have gone over the goal line so there is a little trend there.
Liverpool have a W3 L1 record in their last four on home soil against Wolves in all competitions so they have some form at Anfield going against Wolves. The last time they met was in the 2011/12 Premier League season,with Liverpool winning both games. Liverpool have lost just one of their last eight meetings with Wolves in a W5 D2 L1 record in that sequence of games. Both teams not to score at Bet365 will return a price of 8/11 which looks value. The Reds are misfiring going forward at the moment and Daniel Sturridge missed a sitter against Southampton in midweek, but he is 8/11 joint favourite in the anytime goalscorer market with Divock Origi. Roberto Firmino is a little longer at 10/11. After having put together a 12 match unbeaten streak of form at Anfield in all competitions from the start of the season, Liverpool have now lost their last two there and are winless in three.
Wolves hit Stoke for a 2-0 win in the third round of the FA Cup at the Bet365 Stadium and they got rewarded with this tie. Paul Lambert’s men are in the bottom half of the Championship but there have just been signs through the month that they are upping their game. They have gone W4 D1 L2 in their last seven played in all competitions. They are patchy out on the road though, not having won back to back games away from Molineaux all season. They have gone W3 D1 L2 in their last six road games and only failed to score in one of those. This looks to be a pretty big ask for them, but they can take inspiration from Plymouth’s third round effort at Anfield when they earned a 0-0 draw. In the Bet365 correct score market for this one there is a price of 16/1 on a 0-0 draw, with the shortest priced option in the market being a Liverpool 2-0 scoreline. Wolves have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three contests with Liverpool. You are looking around the 11/2 mark for goalscorer options like David Edwards and Helder Costa for the visitors.
Liverpool have gone off the boil in front of goal at the moment and have put a lot of work in during the month. It’s been hectic for them and they have to have one eye on the forthcoming Chelsea game on Tuesday night. Wolves shutout Stoke in the last round and that means that they are likely going to play their part in the game going under 2.5 goals which looks a good option. Liverpool’s quality should just win out though and a draw/Liverpool half time/full time punt may be value.
26th January 2017 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The draw played out at Anfield was one of the surprise results of the Third Round. However, the Reds gambled with a youthful side because of their busy schedule this month which is stacked with big games. So they are likely to go under strength again for their trip down to the south coast. Can Plymouth’s defence hold out again against the Reds? It is likely that the home side are going to have actually show some ambition in this one though because they understandably failed to do so at Anfield. Liverpool are 3/10 for the win, with the draw at 5/1 and Plymouth at 10/1.
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So it was a big effort from Plymouth as heavy underdogs at Anfield to have survived to make it to the fourth round draw. Now whether or not they can actually pull off a major upset is a different thing entirely. The Pilgrims have been in some pretty good form all season long as they are looking for a promotion to League One. They have lost just one of their last nine games now (W3 D4 L1) so they can take positives from that. They came through Mansfield and Newport to get to the third round in the cup this season although their only home game in that sequence ended in a 0-0 against Newport County. The Pilgrims have lost just three games on home soil all season across all competitions where they have a W9 D4 L3 record which is pretty good.
They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four games on home soil and over 2.5 goals in this one at Betfair is running at a price of 4/7 with the bookmaker. If the Pilgrims have ambitions of getting through to the fourth round, they are going to have to show some kind of attacking impetus in this one, because they had none at Anfield. With Liverpool going with a young side again most likely in this match up, there may be a decent chance of the Pilgrims getting a goal on the board and both teams to score would run you at a price of 19/20. This is a big old ask for them though to actually win the fixture and at some point you know that they are going to come under some pressure at the back.
So it is a busy January for Liverpool, but they have some decent youngsters to call upon. The extra advantage of course is that they can sit their big guns on the bench and call on them only if needed. Liverpool are actually without a win in any of their last four games played now (D3 L1) so they are just stuttering at the moment and despite their powerful attack have failed to score in two of their last three games. Out on the road they are winless in their last three and have won just two of their last seven away from Anfield. So with Klopp likely sending out a weakened side, is there any hint of vulnerability? Not really at all here, because they were the one who did all of the design in the first attempt and just couldn’t crack that disciplined back line. They are likely to have the pace and power to hurt the Pilgrims at Home Park. Wait for line ups to dip into the goalscorer markets.
The Reds are likely going to rest some players again in this one, but their youthful side looks pretty quick and if Plymouth show an ounce of ambition in getting out from the back, then the Reds can pick them off with pace. Plymouth’s trip to Anfield was just about hanging in there and you would have to imagine that they had their day and the Reds will edge their way through. Look for a Liverpool 2-0 correct score which looks value at Betfair.
17th January 2017 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting