The summer festival of the World Cup will quickly fall into memory and now during the build up to the new seasons of domestic football across Europe, the club level action starts to swing into play now with the arrival of this summer’s International Champions Cup. This once again is a pretty big collection of top sides from Europe heading off to different parts of the globe to compete, if this makes sense, in a friendly competition.
Basically, there are 18 of Europe’s top sides taking part in this, but all teams only play three different matches, so it’s not a massive round robin affair where everybody plays everybody else. The eighteen sides are then ranked at the end of the matches to see who is going to be crowned champions. It’s all totally meaningless of course, but it does see big clubs going up against each other which is always a crowd pleaser. A lot of the faces that are taking part in the International Champions Cup will be showing up in the Champions League next season.
This year’s International Champions Cup is being played in three different zones, the USA, Europe and out in Singapore. The bulk of the action is a big money spinner coming from the USA. Singapore is hosting just the two matches which are Atletico Madrid v Arsenal and then Arsenal v PSG. In total there will be 27 matches in total to look at for your International Champions Cup 2018 betting.
England: Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham
France: PSG, Lyon (Lyon came in to replace Sevilla who withdrew)
Germany: Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Italy: Inter Milan, Juventus, Milan, Roma
Spain: Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Real Madrid
It is really barely worth raising any interest in the outright winner market for the International Champions Cup 2018. You have just three games for each team and different teams are playing teams of varying quality and this will just be training exercises more than anything. So you’re better off just staying focused on the outcome of the individual matches instead for your International Champions Cup betting odds.
All of the matches at the International Champions Cup will be played from July 20th through to August 12th. Even though that coincides with the start of the English Premier League, mainland Europe starts their campaigns later than England.
July 20th, 2018
Manchester City v Borussia Dortmund
July 21, 2018
Bayern Munich v PSG
July 22, 2018
Liverpool v Borussia Dortmund
July 25th, 2018
Borussia Dortmund v Benfica
Manchester City v Liverpool
Roma v Tottenham
Milan v Manchester United
July 26th, 2018
Atletico Madrid v Arsenal
July 28th, 2018
Arsenal v PSG
Benfica v Juventus
Chelsea v Inter Milan
Manchester United v Liverpool
Bayern Munich v Manchester City
Barcelona v Tottenham
July 30th, 2018
PSG v Atletico Madrid
July 31st, 2018
Barcelona v Roma
August 1st, 2018
Arsenal v Chelsea
Be Nice v Lyon
August 4th, 2018
Milan v Lyon
Real Madrid Juventus
Milan v Barcelona
August 7th, 2018
Chelsea v Lyon
Real Madrid v Roma
Atletico Madrid v Inter Milan.
Within all of the action at the 2018 International Champions Cup, you will find big showdown, such as the feature of a London Derby of Arsenal v Chelsea and the North-West Derby showdown between Manchester United and Liverpool. That one is in Ann Arbor Michigan, while the London Derby is being played of course, not in London, but in Dublin.
This is the sixth edition of this tournament and as of yet, there have been no format the same from one year to the next. The old formats had champions of each zone where it was being played, so there was a North America and Europe Champion, for example, a Champion in China etc. The participating teams didn’t even play the same number of matches in some instances.
Real Madrid were the first ever winners, beating Chelsea to the punch in 2013 and then in 2014 Manchester United won with Liverpool taking the runners-up spot. Paris St Germain won it in back to back years in 2015 and 2016 and then Barcelona were crowned champions last season with Manchester City following them in second.
The 2018 edition will be the first one that is just one big table and the winner of that after three games each is the champion. There is not geographical champions to be crowned.
This tournament does, of course, allow fans to get a look at new summer signings that clubs have made and one of those will be Cristiano Ronaldo who will be turning out for Juventus after his big move. Fortunately, we do get to see him potentially take on his former club as there is a Real Madrid v Juventus fixture scheduled for August 4th from Landover which will provide some exciting International Champions Cup betting odds.
There is just no reasonable way that you can expect to pick out the winner of the International Champions Cup. But what the tournament does do is bring some exciting club level betting to the summer proceedings and it does fill a nice gap before the start of the European domestic seasons. So look out for some great International Champions Cup betting odds, not only in the match outrights but through other avenues as well.
This is a great time to relax and look at some live in-play betting on some big, albeit non-competitive matches, and get your eye in on the teams before the start of the new seasons. Perhaps you will see something that you like about a team and then go and back them for their domestic season for some silverware. There will be plenty of the usual submarket betting options available on all of these games at bookmakers, like the correct score, over/under, goalscorer markets, handicaps, accas and so much more.
14th July 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
Can Real Madrid make it three UEFA Champions League Final wins in a row? That is the history that they could create on Saturday as they step out in Kiev to defend their title once again. It has been a dogged campaign from them and standing in their way is the powerful and attack-minded Liverpool. It is a clash between two of the most famous names in European football. Who will prevail?
Real Madrid 6/5, Liverpool 21/10, Draw 13/5* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018)
It has been a strange campaign from the reigning Champions Real Madrid as they have been pushed hard all the way and have just managed to survive so many close calls. We have become so used to seeing them dominate teams but it hasn’t happened this term. As it was in last season’s campaign, they only finished second in the group stage as Tottenham got the better of them. But just as it was last season that hasn’t stopped Real Madrid running to the Final for what is the third season running. In the quarter-finals they were on the ropes in the second leg at home against Juventus but just managed to survive, and then they were on the back-foot for most of their semi-final tie against Bayern Munich. Once again they just managed to dig in their and survive somehow with the Germans missing a wealth of chances. But that is just a testament to their fortitude and how much this competition means to Real Madrid. They have got the job done by hook or by crook. They will need to be at their defensive best for this one and given the circumstances and the previous head-to-head between Real Madrid and Liverpool it may just be worth looking at under 3.5 goals at 46 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018).
The defence of Real Madrid has been pretty shoddy most of the time during their Champions League campaign and they don’t look too likely to pick up clean sheet in Kiev. They have scored in each of their last 29 UEFA matches though and their overall record against English opposition is W15 D11 L11. In their UEFA Champions League this season Real Madrid are W8 D2 L2 with just the three clean sheets in 12 games. In the UEFA Champions League specifically they have scored in each of their last 27 matches and both teams to score at bet365 is going to be an appealing yet low-value option for punters in UEFA Champions League final betting. Real Madrid have lost just three of their last 31 European fixtures, winning 21 of those. Cristiano Ronaldo was on a tear in the early rounds scoring in every single match in the group stage, scoring in each leg also of the round of 16 and of the quarter-finals. He didn’t get on the scoresheet against Bayern Munich in the semi finals but he is the 3/1 odds-on favourite at bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018) in the first goalscorer market. Real Madrid are looking for their 13th European Cup/Champions League title. The Spaniards have already beaten English opposition this season too, getting the better of Manchester United in the UEFA Super Cup back in August.
Liverpool are on the hunt for their sixth European Cup title. It has been some season from Liverpool who are the top scorers in the tournament this season having netted 40 goals in total. Between them, Mo Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane have netted 29 of those goals for the club. It has been a thrilling campaign from Liverpool who have come through some tough challenges of their own with flying colours. They were up against this season’s Premier League champions Manchester City in the quarter-finals and the Reds were underdogs for the dual but their powerful attack made light work of the Citizens. Then in the semi finals Liverpool had to deal with the challenge of Italian side Roma who had knocked out Barcelona in the previous round. Once again it was Liverpool’s quick counter attacking football which tore down the challenge of their opponents and Mo Salah was once again at the head of everything that Liverpool did well. The Premier League Golden Boot winner is a 5/6 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018) anytime goalscorer option with bet365.
Liverpool have a great strike record in European Cup finals having won five of their seven previous appearances. This will be a new experience for the entire Liverpool squad as nobody currently playing for them has any previous UEFA Champions League final experience. What will them giving up so much experience to Real Madrid mean for them on the night? It’s hard to see it affecting them too much because Liverpool just look a fearless side and they hold a W14 D12 L1 record against Spanish sides currently. Outside of England, Liverpool have won just one of their last seven games against Spanish opposition which was the 2009 success against Real Madrid. Liverpool went unbeaten in this season’s UEFA Champions League until their defeat against Roma in the second leg of their semi-final tussle. Overall this season Liverpool are W7 D4 L1 in their UEFA Champions League campaign. There is no doubt that they have the scoring power to compete here and they have the pace to really get at what looks to be a weak Real Madrid defence. However bookmakers have them as slight underdogs and the shortest priced option in the bet365 correct score market is a 1-1 draw at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). A Liverpool 2-1 success is coming in at 11/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00.35 a.m. on May 21st, 2018).
This will be the sixth fixture between Real Madrid and Liverpool and from those previous encounters it is Liverpool who are 3-2 ahead. There has been a total of 10 goals scored across those five previous encounters and the count stands 6-4 in favour of the English side. Liverpool and Real Madrid most recently came together in the 2014/15 Champions League group stage when the Spaniards won both encounters. Real Madrid had Karim Benzema score in both of those fixtures. Each of the five previous games between Real Madrid and Liverpool all produced a win to nil. This is a repeat of the 1981 European cup final which was won by Liverpool through a one-nil scoreline. That is the only time that an English club has beaten and Spanish club in the final of the European Cup/UEFA Champions League and incidentally is the last time that Real Madrid lost a European Cup Final.
Liverpool just have nothing to fear in this game at all because Real Madrid have looked pretty shaky right through the tournament. It is remarkable when you look back that the Spaniards have gotten this far because of the pressure that they have been under. Their backline is nothing special whatsoever and the power and pace that is in Liverpool’s attack can win the night for the Premier League side.
22nd May 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
The Reds sign off for the season on home soil and will, of course, have a bigger focus on the Champions League Final later in the month. All that the Reds need out of this game is a point to guarantee their top four finish. Brighton have survived for the season and given they had extra work in midweek, may have a tough afternoon at Anfield.
Liverpool 1/7, Draw 13/2, Brighton 16/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 9th, 2018)
As long as Liverpool don’t lose this and see Chelsea win their final game, then Liverpool will lock in their top four finish. The Reds are only W1 D3 L1 in their last five league games, suffering a midweek defeat at Chelsea. It’s understandable that their league form has dropped because of their run to the Champions League final. Liverpool just need to get through this game to also complete a full season at home unbeaten as they are W11 D7 at Anfield this term, winning four of their last five there. They have taken a clean sheet in each of their last four home games as well so Liverpool to win to nil at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:40 a.m.) and that should appeal to punters. The Reds have averaged 2.3 goals per game this season at Anfield while they have conceded just the ten goals in a wonderful defensive record. That is a clean sheet earned in 61% of their home games. 66% of their home goals have been scored in the second half of matches this season and that man Mo Salah is the 2/1 bet365 first goalscorer favourite.
The Seagulls couldn’t compete with Manchester City at the Etihad in midweek, but they did get a goal on the board in their 3-1 loss. That leaves them with just the two wins away from home this season (D5 L11) and that record may not be improved in this one. Brighton have lost three of their last four on the road and are without a win now in their last twelve away from the Amex. In the end, it doesn’t matter because they have survived in the top flight for another season and that was their goal at the start of the campaign. Brighton have scored just the ten goals on their travels this season and in the bet365 correct score market, a Liverpool 2-0 is at 7/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 9th, 2018 at 6:40 a.m.) is the shortest-priced option there to consider. To their credit, Brighton’s defence hasn’t been bad this season and only 22% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals and if you consider that Liverpool 2-0 then this one may be worth backing to go the same way. Brighton have scored 80% of their away goals in the first half of matches.
Brighton suffered a heavy home loss against Liverpool earlier in the season in what was the first meeting between the two clubs since a 2012 FA Cup tussle which the Reds also won handsomely. Liverpool are on a four-match winning streak against Brighton and they are unbeaten in six against them. Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings and each of those also went over 2.5 goals (four of them went above 3.5 goals).
Liverpool will likely go and put on a show in their final game of the season. Brighton can relax about their day and did have extra work in midweek to get through. Back the Reds to get the win by at least a two-goal margin.
11th May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The date is set and now the teams are set. It will be Liverpool taking on the reigning Champions Real Madrid in the final of the 2018 UEFA Champions League on May 26th and that will be a 7.45 pm kick off time. These two have a very rich history between them in the European Cup and while Liverpool will be looking for their sixth success at the event, Real Madrid are looking to extend their lead further in the all-time list by winning what would be their thirteenth title.
Both teams have had their scares along the way, with Real Madrid showing tremendous character to come through three very tough rounds of knockout stage action. Liverpool’s passage has been a bit more plain sailing along the way, but they did come under pressure from Roma in the semi finals. Who will be crowned the kings of Europe when the two meet at the NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium in Kiev? For administrative purposes, Real Madrid are the “home” team.
Real Madrid 5/4, Liverpool 2/1, Draw 13/5* (betting odds taken on May 2nd, 20187 at 10:22 p.m.)
There have been five previous matches contested between Real Madrid and Liverpool before and from those games, it is Liverpool who are 3-2 ahead. The first-ever meeting happened in the 1980/81 European Cup Final which was being hosted at the Parc des Princes in Paris. Both teams sort of cancelled each other out tactically in the game so it wasn’t the greatest of spectacles. It was Liverpool defender Alan Kennedy who got the winner for the English side eight minutes from time.
Their next meeting didn’t come along until the 2008/09 UEFA Champions League first knockout round and once again it was Liverpool who took the spoils of the contests. They bagged themselves a surprise 1-0 away win at the Santiago Bernabeu and then it was even easier pickings for them back on home soil as they produced a stunning 4-0 win, Fernando Torres opening the scoring and Steven Gerrard chipping in with a brace as well.
Real Madrid got their revenge a few seasons later when they met in the 2014/15 UEFA Champions League group stage. Real Madrid silenced the Kop with a ruthless 3-0 win and then collected a 1-0 home win over Liverpool. Karim Benzema netted their goal at the Bernabeu and he got two of their three at Anfield as well. He may be one the Reds have to watch in the final.
Real Madrid qualified as the reigning champions but they could only finish runners-up in the group stage as they couldn’t get the better of Tottenham. However, just as it didn’t last season, that didn’t stop their progress. Real Madrid had a really tough run of draws in the knockout stages, opening against PSG for which they were underdogs, but they secured a 5-2 aggregate win as the French champions struggled to get going without the injured Neymar.
Then it was up against Juventus, who they beat in last season’s final and the Spaniards squeezed through by the skin of their teeth after a brilliant fight back by the Italians. Real Madrid had won 3-0 in Turin, but after collapsing at home against the Italians and the game heading to extra time, Real Madrid were handed a lifeline with a penalty being awarded to them. Cristiano Ronaldo made no mistake from the spot. They were under real pressure again in the semi finals as they just about edged Bayern Munich 4-3 on aggregate, the Germans missing handfuls of chances to win the tie.
Liverpool finished fourth in last season’s Premier League booking a spot in the play off round of the UEFA Champions League. After posting a 6-3 aggregate win over Hoffenheim in the qualification round, the Reds navigated their way through the main group stage without too many worries really. They were frustrated a couple of times by Sevilla but ultimately always had the edge in the group and they took the group win. They then dispatched Porto in the round of sixteen after a thumping 5-0 away win in the first leg.
Then they went into their all-English quarter-final duel with Manchester City. The Reds were underdogs to qualify from that ahead of time, but they produced such a brilliant performance in the first leg to give themselves a 3-0 advantage to defend out on the road in the reverse fixutre. They did just that by winning the second leg too. Then it was that goal-fest of a semi-final duel with Roma. Liverpool romped to a 5-2 first leg win and once again that was such a big first-leg advantage. They got through 7-6 on aggregate in the end after losing in Italy 4-2.
Real Madrid: Navas; Carvajal, Ramos, Varane, Marcelo; Isco, Casemiro, Modrić, Kroos; Benzema, Ronaldo
Liverpool: Karius; Alexander-Arnold, Lovren, Van Dijk, Robertson; Wijnaldum, Henderson, Milner; Salah, Firmino, Mané
So Real Madrid have not had an easy passage through the knockout stages. It really couldn’t have been a much harder route that they took and that is reflected in the number of goals that they have given up. They haven’t been all that sound at back all season neither in Europe not on the domestic front and that could well be their weakness. Their defence has ridden its luck at times. If their second leg against Juventus had gone to extra time the Italians looked to be on top in that game for sure. Then in the semi finals, Bayern Munich over the two legs really missed plenty of chances to have sealed the tie.
But that’s what good teams do. They win and find a way to win even when they aren’t playing well. Cristiano Ronaldo has already broken his own record for the most goals in a single Champions League season by netting 15. He scored in each of the first ten games of the competition before not finding one in either leg against Bayern Munich in the semi-finals. He is one of those players that even if he is quiet you know at some point that he is going to get a chance from somewhere to carry his side through. He has been there done it all and perhaps the one advantage that Real Madrid do have over Liverpool is better strength in depth. Both teams to score in the final at bet365 is at 4/9 odds* (betting odds taken on May 2nd, 20187 at 10:22 p.m.).
Real Madrid: P12 W8 D2 L2 F30 A15
Liverpool’s game is just built on one principle. Attack. Press high and attack. It is a high risk/high reward but Jurgen Klopp has set the team up so well and they have been devastatingly good in attack. Mo Salah has grabbed all the headlines this season for his goalscoring exploits and he has tallied ten goals in the Champions League campaign. But that is just scratching the surface of things when you look at it because Roberto Firmino has chipped in with ten and Sadio Mane has continued nine goals in the competition this season. So Liverpool are the kind of team that can afford to have one of their forwards have an off day because the coverage is there.
Real Madrid relies on one man in contrast. Liverpool are looking fearless, they look strong and full of belief and with the attacking threat they carry and going up against the defence of Los Merengues which hasn’t been stable all season, there is a good chance for the Reds here. They have tallied ten goals more than Real Madrid have done on the way to the final and the final to go over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken on May 2nd, 20187 at 10:22 p.m.). They also have James Milner who has produced more assists than anyone in this season’s Champions League (9) and Firmino with eight assist as well. Their strengths are in attack and they can’t veer away from that.
Liverpool P12 W7 D4 L1 F40 A13
Real Madrid are looking for an amazing 13th European Cup/Champions League title. They have won three of the last four editions and they just seem to know how to turn up and get the job done. They have such a tremendous affinity with the competition. The numbers are just remarkable. This will be their sixteenth final and they have won twelve of those previous fifteen. So when they get there, it’s rare that they lose at this stage. They carry with them Cristiano Ronaldo who is the all-time leading goalscorer in the competition with an astounding 120 goals from 152 appearances.
As for Liverpool, this will be their eighth European Cup/Champions League final. They are W5 L2 from their previous seven appearances and their last success came in dramatic fashion in the 2005 final in Istanbul. It is one of the most memorable Finals ever. Liverpool were 3-0 down at half time and looking dead and buried against AC Milan. But in a crazy six-minute spell in the second half, the Reds tied the game and went on to win via a penalty shoot out. Their most recent final was 2007 which they lost against in return against AC Milan.
Los Merengues are not as good as they were last season or as good as they have been for a few seasons now. Zinedine Zidane has made them in a more pragmatic side, one that is finding ways to win without playing well. The worry there, of course, is when they do put it together they can still be great, especially when Ronaldo is in the game. To their credit Real Madrid have had a much tougher run of fixtures to get through to the final, their backs have been against the wall time and time again and they have survived. They just haven’t been broken even though it looked at times as if they might.
That’s some character and they have the advantage of the experience of having been in three of the last four finals as well. They are used to this experience and know how to handle themselves. However, they are weak at the back and that is just going to play into the hands of Liverpool’s dynamic approach to the game. Liverpool just have nothing to fear about the Spaniards in the final. They go in fresh and ready for the challenge and once their front three gets going, the Real Madrid back line could easily be turned inside out. There could be another big night of European glory to come from Liverpool so back the Premier League side to win but for both teams to score.
4th May 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
This is the high-profile clash of the Premier League weekend. All that Liverpool are really looking to do is secure third place in the table over Tottenham, even though that’s out of their hands as Spurs have a game in a hand over them. Chelsea’s thin hopes of a top-four finish will diminish with anything less than three points here.
Chelsea 23/20, Liverpool 11/5, Draw 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 9:44 p.m. on April 30th, 2018)
Chelsea’s home form stands at W10 D3 L4 and a positive going into this one is that they are going to be a lot fresher than Liverpool are. The Blues have been patchy at Stamford Bridge recently though with a W2 D1 L2 record in their last five league games there. This will be their first home game though April 8th which was a 1-1 draw with West Ham. They have won their last three league games, all away from home and all by a one-goal margin. Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin at bet365 is at 3/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). Chelsea have averaged 1.65 goals per game at home this season and they have scored in each of their last four. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last three at home though and both teams to score is going to be a pretty obvious betting option going into this one. Eden Hazard looks to have rediscovered his top form after a bit of a slump and is a pretty solid anytime goalscorer option for the home side. Chelsea still have a mathematical chance at a top-four finish heading into the weekend, but it is highly unlikely to end up happening for them.
Liverpool have been doing the extra work in their Champions League campaign so have been trying to balance the domestic duties with that. It has led to them making chances for Premier League games recently and that is why they are only W1 D3 in their last four games in the English top flight. They have been distracted by Europe. Their away form reads W1 D1 L2 in their last four which is part of an overall W9 D5 L4 record for the term away from Anfield. Liverpool have not won at any of the other current top six this season, losing at Man City, Man Utd and Spurs while drawing at Arsenal. They conceded at least two goals in each of those as well. Over 3.5 goals is at 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). The Reds have returned over two goals per away game on average this season and leading the way is Mo Salah with thirteen away goals for the team and he’s going to be heavily backed against his former club in the anytime goalscorer market. If they do lose this Chelsea would move to within three points with a game in hand over them. But still, Liverpool dominate the Blues in goal difference advantage.
Three of the last four meetings have ended in a 1-1 draw with Liverpool winning the other one in that sequence. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games against the Blues. The Reds have won their last two league visits to Chelsea as well. Both teams have scored in each of the last seven Premier League games.
Chelsea are the fresher of the two sides with all of the extra Champions League work that Liverpool have been doing. The Blues really have nothing to lose at this point, so they can have a good go at this. Back Chelsea to win in a game where both teams score probably.
3rd May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Liverpool have one foot in the final of the Champions League this season now after their exhilarating 5-2 home win over Roma last weekend. It was another brilliant show of attacking power that they produce and they had the Italians at sixes and sevens. But in the last round Roma pulled off one of the greatest Champions League comebacks to knockout Barcelona. Can they haul themselves back into this tie?
Roma 29/20, Liverpool 17/10, Draw 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 02:45 a.m. on April 26th, 2018)
Roma have big ground to make up as they are 5-2 down from their trip to Anfield. However, in the last round, they had to find three goals to overturn a 4-1 deficit against Barcelona and they did exactly that with a stunning and rousing performance. Just to put hat comeback into context it was the joint second largest first-leg deficit to be overturned in the UEFA Champions League. This is only the second European Cup semi-final that Roma have been involved in, the Giallorossi winning their previous one (against Dundee United) before losing to Liverpool in the final of the 1984 European Cup. So do Roma have enough about them to launch yet another come back? Let’s not forget that in the round of sixteen they had to fight back against Shakhtar Donetsk having lost the first leg away from home. The Italians have already beaten English opposition at home this season, getting a big 3-0 win over Chelsea in the group stage. In the bet365 correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 7/1 while a Roma 3-1 which would be enough to get them through on away goals is at 16/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:45 p.m. on April 26th, 2018).
Just how important are those two late away goals that they scored in the first leg going to end up being? Roma’s record at home to English clubs is W9 D3 L4 and the Giallorossi have won four of their last five home games against Premier League sides so they have a decent track record. Overall though their Champions League record isn’t great as they have won just six of their last 26 games in the competition (D8 L12) but have won five of their last ten. They have actually not conceded yet at home in this season’s competition but the way Liverpool tore them open in the first leg, both teams to score lokos a decent proposition for 4/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:45 p.m. on April 26th, 2018). Former Manchester City man Edin Dzeko has come up with some massively important goals for Roma this season and a big performance from him is going to be so crucial for the chances of the Italians. The Italians have won just five of their last twelve European home matches, the last two have been impressive responses though.
Liverpool hold a W7 D2 record from previous European Cup semi final appearances. They are on the brink of success now in this one. At Anfield, Roma looked as if they were containing the Reds well for the first twenty minutes, but then Liverpool found their footing and thanks to another star-studded show from Mo Salah, the Reds ran riot. Mo Salah will take plenty of backing in the bet365 anytime goalscorer market after he tormented his former club. Now they have a big advantage on the board and it’s not unreasonable to think that they can get more, especially if Roma press forward. The Reds hold a W10 D5 L11 record against Italian sides and their overall record in two-legged knockout ties against Italian clubs in UEFA competition is won four, lost two (winning the last two). They have a pretty decent record in Italy though as they have lost just one for their last seven away games in Italy, winning three of those.
Liverpool have produced plenty of goals in the competition this season, thumping Maribor 7-0, winning 5-0 at Porto and putting five goals past Man City in their quarter-final tussle. Over 3.5 goals at bet365 is at even money odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:45 p.m. on April 26th, 2018). Liverpool have suffered just the one loss in their last thirteen away games in Europe now but overall have won just five of their last eighteen on the road (four of six his season). Liverpool have triumphed in 30 UEFA competition ties when they have won the home first leg and have lost just five those situations. Five times before Liverpool have won the first leg of a tie by a three-goal margin at home and they have won through on each of those occasions. Liverpool holds a W3 L1 record in European penalty shoot outs. There is not going to be a lot of reason to panic for Liverpool even if they concede first. They have the quality on the break to pick off a Roma defence which looked pretty vulnerable in that first leg.
The first time Liverpool and Roma met was at the Stadio Olimpico on the 1984 European Cup Final which Liverpool won on penalties. Their next meeting was in the fourth round of the 2001 UEFA Cup When the two of them traded away wins, with Liverpool winning through on aggregate. Then they were together the following season in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League with a draw in Rome and a home win for the Reds at Anfield. Then there was this season’s first leg meeting at Anfield which Liverpool won 5-2. Both teams have scored in just two of the previous six meetings.
This is done. Roma just had no way to live with Liverpool after the first twenty minutes of the first leg. Liverpool are not likely to let this advantage slip all the way even though they know at some point they will come under pressure. They will know that they can pick off the Italians at will on the counter if need be. Away win.
30th April 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
Liverpool blew a two-goal lead against bottom side West Brom on the weekend and had to settle for a frustrating point. At this stage, the most likely outcome is now the third-place finish in the league. As for Stoke they collected a point against Burnley on the weekend, but are four points clear of safety now having played a game more than those just outside of the relegation zone.
Liverpool 2/7, Draw 9/2, Stoke 17/2* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
Naturally, the focus of the Champions League is coming into play in results in the Premier League for Liverpool. The Reds have their top four finish and so can afford to switch off in the top flight in order to push for glory on the European front. Liverpool are W1 D2 in their last three and they are without defeat in their last five league games. They had a good 2-0 lead at the Hawthorns on the weekend before switching off and conceding two goals in the final ten minutes to end in a 2-2 tie. Liverpool are a four-match winning streak at home for the league season and this is their penultimate league home game for the term. The Reds haven’t conceded in any of their last three home games and Liverpool to win to nil at bet365 is at 6/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018). Liverpool have averaged almost 2.5 goals per home game this season and they have shipped just the 10 goals in 17 games at Anfield in the top flight. They have netted at least two goals in each of their last eight at Anfield and the Stoke defence isn’t likely to trip them up really. A Liverpool 2-0 correct score is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018) and will have some appeal.
The position for the Potters looks pretty dodgy right now. They are four points clear of safety and without a win in a while. They are winless in their last eleven league games now after drawing 1-1 with Burnley on the weekend at home. Once they are through this Liverpool test they have to face Crystal Palace and Swansea in their last two games. But then if this weekend doesn’t go well for them they could be relegated before that. Stoke are without a win in their last dozen games on the road but they have drawn three of their last four. But the Potters have lost each of their away games this season against the other sides currently sat in the top seven so that doesn’t bode well for them. Stoke have won just once away all season and it really is hard seeing them make an impact in this one. Both teams not to score at bet365 is at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018) and the Potters have failed to score in two of their last three on the road. Overall this season they have only managed 13 away goals while they have conceded at over two goals per game on average.
Liverpool brushed Stoke aside with a 3-0 win at the Bet365 Stadium earlier this season which leaves them with a four-match Premier League winning streak against the potters. The Reds have won their last two home league games against them by a 4-1 scoreline and they are on a four-match winning streak at home and they are unbeaten in their nine previous Premier League home (W7 D2). Each of the last four meetings have ended above 2.5 goals.
Even though they have the distractions of the Champions League, the Reds should be able to get three points against Stoke. The Potters are battling, but without the end rewards that they need and their defence is unlikely to hold out at Anfield.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
After their tremendous job against Manchester City in the quarter finals, Liverpool will look to make the most of home advantage in the first leg of their semi-final tie against Roma. Liverpool have already proven that they have the firepower to destroy defences, so will Roma be able to produce a defensive display good enough to withstand the Reds’ pressure? The Italians produced a stunning fightback to knockout Barcelona in the last round though and that will be in the back of the minds of the Reds.
Liverpool 1/2, Draw 10/3, Roma 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018)
The Reds have such a great record from previous European Cup semi-final appearances, winning seven of their previous nine. They did suffer a loss in their last one though which was against Chelsea in the 2007/08 season. But after a decade away they are back in the final four and face up to Roma. Liverpool hold a W4 L2 record in two-legged knockout ties against Italian opposition in Europe, winning the last two. Liverpool are behind W9 D5 L11 in previous individual matches against Italian opposition though. This will be their first meeting with a Serie A side since a 2012/13 UEFA Europa League meeting with Udinese when the two of produced respective home wins. Liverpool’s home record against Italian opposition is W6 D0 L4, losing two of their last three at Anfield.
Liverpool have shown strength in attack this season and over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018) which will appeal to punters. Liverpool remain unbeaten at Anfield this season in Europe after producing a W2 D1 record in the group stage, before confident and big wins on home soil against Porto and then Man City in the knockout stages. Liverpool will once again be looking towards Mo Salah to deliver the goods as he goes up against the side who sold him to Liverpool in the summer. Liverpool have only suffered the one home defeat all season at Anfield across all options (W16 D8) and they hit the back of the net in all but three of those. They know they aren’t going to get an easy game in Rome, can they give themselves a nice cushion ahead of that?
Roma produced one of the all-time classic comebacks of Champions League history with a 3-0 success against Barcelona in the second leg of their quarter-final duel. That was after a heavy 4-1 loss at the Nou Camp. At the centre of their revival with important goals was Edin Dzeko and is the main anytime goalscorer option for the visitors. In the correct score market at bet365 a Liverpool 2/1 jointly with a 1-1 draw, are the shortest-priced options at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). Roma have only been to one previous European Cup semi-finals, which was in 1983/84 against Dundee United. The Italians prevailed on that occasion. Their form against English sides isn’t great because after winning their first three two-legged sides against English opponents, they have lost each of the last six. They have been to England this season already, playing out a 3-3 draw at Chelsea in the group stage.
Roma have produced only the one win in their last 16 games in England (D6 L9). Their only victory in England being at Liverpool in their 2000/01 UEFA Cup tie. In the round of sixteen Rome fought back from having lost the first leg away from home against Shakhtar Donetsk, the same as they did against Barcelona in the quarter finals. So they have a lot of spirit and a lot of character and even if they don’t come out on top at Anfield, they won’t be out of the tie. Both teams to score in the first leg is at 4/9 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). The Giallorossi have only won six of their last 25 Champions League games (D8 L11) but have won five of their last nine. There is no shortage of self belief there, clearly.
The most famous of the five previous meetings between Liverpool and Roma was their first one, the 1984 European Cup Final, which was the first ever to go to a penalty shoot out. Liverpool won that. Their next meeting was in the 2000/01 UEFA Cup fourth round, with Liverpool taking a 2-0 lead in Rome, before losing 1-0 back at home. Liverpool went on to win the tournament that season. They were then paired up in the 2001/02 UEFA Champions League second group stage with a 0-0 draw in Rome and a 2-0 win for Liverpool back at Anfield.
You know what you are going to get from Liverpool. They have only a Plan A and that’s it. While that works for them clearly, it will leave them a little exposed at the back and Roma are good enough to get themselves on the scoresheet. Home win and both teams to score.
22nd April 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
All credit to West Brom for pulling out a shock win at Old Trafford last weekend. That was a big win for them, but it does little for their survival chances as they are still well adrift at the foot of the table. Liverpool continued in their winning ways at Anfield last weekend with a success over Bournemouth and will be looking to secure more points in the pursuit of a second place finish.
Liverpool 4/9, Draw 7/2, West Brom 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Baggies pulled a shock result out of their hat last weekend by taking a 1-0 win at Old Trafford. It was a performance of organised commitment as well, something that has been lacking this term. So that’s four points form their last two league games now so they are looking to finish the season with a flourish even if it ends in likely relegation. The Baggies will be looking to snap a five-match winless streak of form at the Hawthorns on the weekend as they face Liverpool (D1 L4). Their clean sheet at Old Trafford on the weekend was their first since a 2-0 home win over Brighton back on January 13th. West Brom have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last ten league games. Their home form this season reads just W2 D8 L7 which is obviously why they are in relegation trouble. The Baggies have actually scored in each of their last seven home games and as they have conceded in each of their last five so both teams to score at bet365 is a good option at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). West Brom have netted 18 goals in 17 home games this season and Jay Rodriguez, who got the winner at Old Trafford is their top scorer now this season with seven.
Liverpool eased to a 3-0 home win over Bournemouth on the weekend, so they had no European hangover whatsoever. The Reds are W3 D1 L1 in their last five league games and they have only actually won one of their last three on the road W1 D1 L1, playing out a 0-0 with Everton in their last road game, but they made a lot of changes to their starting lineup for that. Overall this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L4 on the road and they have averaged over two goals per away game. Mo Salah was at it again last weekend and he is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 2/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Twelve of his thirty league goals this season have come away from home. Liverpool have netted in 82% of their away games this season and they have only failed to win one of their seven away games (L1) against the current bottom eight sides in the league at the moment. In the bet365 correct score market Liverpool 2-1 option is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) and with good appeal.
Liverpool have met West Brom twice this season and have failed to beat them. There was a 0-0 draw between them in the league at Anfield back in December and then they met in the FA Cup fourth round and the Baggies pulled off a shock 3-2 win at Anfield, a game stacked with VAR controversy to get through. In the last five Premier League meetings, Liverpool are W2 D3 and West Brom are winless in four home league games against the Reds.
West Brom did so well last weekend, but their defence is going to come under a lot more pressure than what Man United’s attack put them under. There should be three points heading Liverpool’s way in a game which finishes over 2.5 goals.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This may well end up being one of the most entertaining Premier League games of the weekend. Liverpool have been in fantastic form at Anfield this season and they get to take on Bournemouth who have been involved in a lot of thrilling, high scoring games recently. So there should be, once more, plenty of goals flying around on Merseyside.
Liverpool 2/11, Draw 6/1, Bournemouth 12/1* (Betting Odds taken at 11:22 p.m. on April 9th, 2018)
Liverpool are on a three-match winning streak at Anfield in the Premier League, having returned a total of eleven goals from that run of games. They are still unbeaten on home soil for the entire term with a fantastic W10 D6 record. Overall home and away they have posted a W6 D2 L1 record in their last nine games, a much-changed starting line-up drawing at Everton last weekend. Liverpool have averaged 2.4 goals per home game across their sixteen league games for the season and there is a strong chance that this is going to end up being a high scoring game and over 3.5 goals at bet365 is at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:30 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). The Reds have scored in each of their last seven home fixtures, netting at least two goals in each of those. Liverpool have collected a clean sheet in over half of their home games this season but for the visit of Bournemouth, who like to get forward it is probably worth looking at the both teams to score option. This could be a really open and entertaining fixture. Liverpool incidentally have scored 66% of their home goals and have conceded 70% of their home goals in the second half of matches.
It’s been a dramatic little run from Bournemouth. They scored an 89th-minute winner at home against West Brom in mid-month, then rescued a point at Watford following that thanks to a 90th-minute goal from Jermain Defoe and last weekend at home against Crystal Palace, Joshua King netted an 89th-minute equaliser for them. That’s a lot of late drama but it does show that the Cherries just don’t give up. They are fun to watch at least. The Cherries have scored in each of their last fourteen league fixtures and in each of their last six on the road. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight. In the bet365 correct score market an entertaining 3-1 win for Liverpool is only at 10/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:30 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) and not a bad proposition. The Cherries have averaged a goal per game on the road this season but have netted at least two in half of their last six. Overall this season Bournemouth have produced a W3 D6 L7 record.
Liverpool produced a fantastic 4-0 win on their travels earlier this season when they went to Bournemouth. They only managed to get one point off the Cherries last season though, drawing 2-2 at Anfield. Each of the last four meetings have produced at least four goals and each of the last four have produced at least three goals. Liverpool holds a W8 D3 L1 record against Bournemouth from all previous meetings in all competitions.
Bournemouth just don’t have a lot of defensive guile about them and this should be a good solid home win for the Reds. You would have to back the goals to fly around in the fixture though so look for Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals.
11th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting