The new season of the Premier League starts on Friday, August 9th with a game at Anfield between Liverpool and Norwich. That is where another round of top-flight title-chasing action will all start. The Reds of course on home soil will be looking to get off to a flying start.
Jurgen Klopp’s men produced such a strong season last term, losing just one game and still couldn’t get across the finish line. Liverpool are 9/4 second-favourites pre-season to beat Manchester City to the punch this time around* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm).
Manchester City 4/6
Manchester United 25/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm)
Manchester City, who made it back to back Premier League titles last season thanks to a fourteen match winning streak to close out the season, are the early 4/6 odds-on favourites* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm). Looking at the pre-season odds at bookmaker bet365, the title race is expected to be nothing more than a two-horse race once again between the two current powerhouses.
Despite looking as if they may lose their grip on the title to Liverpool last season, somehow Pep Guardiola’s men found a way to win, despite losing four games compared to the one that Liverpool dropped. The Citizens open their title defence with an away game at West Ham at lunchtime on the opening Saturday of the season.
It looks as if the gap is widening between the top two and everyone else who could potentially be in the title race. Spurs have continuously missed the boat, not having had the stamina to stick out a season in full contention for the title. There are question marks surrounding them now, the biggest of which is going to be over manager Mauricio Pochettino.
Will he still be sticking around? He suggested towards the back end of last season that he may look for a new challenge and didn’t seem particularly happy about Tottenham’s lack of a war chest to go dipping heavily into the transfer market to boost their depth, which they are clearly in need of. Spurs open at home against Aston Villa on Saturday, August 10th. Tottenham are out at 16/1 to get the title* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm)
Chelsea have a transfer ban hanging over their heads and it’s hard to see them doing enough, whoever may end up in charge, to get their noses into the title race. They were a long way short in quality last season. Even with some questionable tactics, the quality of players just wasn’t there. It will be less without Eden Hazard.
Perhaps some of the younger blood will get a chance to shine now that their hands have been tied in the transfer market, but that’s not something that is likely to bolster their current situation of not realistically being a title contender. The Blues have a tough opener as they will be heading to Old Trafford to face Manchester United on Sunday, August 11th.
The Red Devils had a tough time at the end of last season. They have some major rebuilding to do and they have been out as big 40/1 with some bookmakers to win the Premier League this season. They are currently at 25/1 with bet365* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm). That seems like almost an embarrassing number that they have on them, but it is indicative of their decline since the hay days of Sir Alex Ferguson era.
With Paul Pobga looking as if he wants away and a crop of ageing players not delivering along with no Champions League action next season to attract new players, it’s a tough spot for the Red Devils. They have the inexperienced hand of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer in charge as well and his bubble was severely burst at the back end of last season.
The bookmakers are perceiving Arsenal as even less of a title threat than Manchester United are. The Gunners are out at 40/1 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on June 28th, 2019 at 10:23 pm) to pull off a title. This will be a big second-season for boss Unai Emery who couldn’t figure out how to get Arsenal playing like a decent away team.
They did battle through to the Europa League Final where they lost to Chelsa, but far too many defensive weaknesses were costly for them on the domestic front. They have a great attack but need to add some serious grit in the middle of the park and defence. Arsenal’s first test of the season will be a trip to Newcastle on Sunday, August 11th.
29th June 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The 2019 UEFA Champions League Final sees Tottenham stepping into unknown territory. They are making their debut in the European Cup Final and will be taking on five-time winners Liverpool. Across the course of the domestic season, Liverpool banked 2-1 wins over the Lilywhites in the Premier League. Can they keep their winning streak going or do the Londoners have some away to fight back? Read our Tottenham v Liverpool betting tips for more.
This is a big moment for the club heading into their first ever European Cup Final. Spurs had to mount a massive fightback in the semifinals against Ajax to get this shot at the trophy. A second-half hattrick from Lucas Moura in Amsterdam saw Spurs get across the line with a 3-2 success on the night, meaning that they won through on away goals. That made them just the second team in the history of the competition to have recovered from losing the first leg of a semi-final tie at home.
Tottenham are the first newcomers in the European Cup final since Chelsea made it there back in 2008. If they win this one then Spurs would become just the sixth club in Europe to have won all three of UEFA’s major club trophies. Spurs have never managed to pick up a victory in Spain before, taking a D3 L3 record from their six previous visits there. They are D2 L1 from previous visits to Madrid (against Real Madrid) specifically.
Before their semi-final battle with Ajax, Spurs had taken an away-goal win against Man City in the quarterfinals. In the round of sixteen, they had tore apart Borussia Dortmund. Spurs hold a W6 D2 L4 record overall in this season’s Champions League. From their four previous games against fellow English sides in the competition, Spurs are D1 L3. The form of Spurs did fall away at the end of the season.
They have posted just the two wins in their last eight fixtures in all competitions (D1 L5) earning just one clean sheet in that sequence. They have one win in their last five played (D1 L3). All season across all competitions, Spurs have only drawn five games (of 57 played) during the campaign. Tottenham are well down in the head to head against Liverpool, winning 48 and losing 79 of their previous 170 meetings. Spurs have taken just the one win in their last 14 games against the Reds, losing nine.
Liverpool won both EPL meetings 2-1 against Spurs this season
Liverpool have won 9 and lost 1 of their last 14 games against Tottenham
Both teams have scored in seven of the last eight meetings
Five of the last six meetings have ended up over 2.5 goals
After their great Premier League campaign, Liverpool ended up empty-handed as they narrowly missed out on the title to Man City. Will they be able to collect the Champions League trophy to put some big gloss on the campaign? They are five-time winners of the European Cup and twelve months ago they had a disaster against Real Madrid in the final of the Champions League. Liverpool are back after a dramatic semi-final win over Barcelona.
Liverpool had lost the first leg 3-0 at the Camp Nou but turned the tie on its head back at Anfield. This will be the club’s ninth appearance in the final of the European Cup and it is the third time they have made a UEFA final in consecutive seasons. There are only two teams in history who have suffered successive European Cup Final defeats (Juventus and Valencia). Liverpool’s overall record in UEFA finals is W11 L9.
The Reds are W1 D1 L2 from their four previous trips to Madrid. The two defeats in that sequence were in their last two visits there (against Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid). Barcelona have suffered a loss in four of their last five visits to Spain. Their overall record from matches played in Spain is W7 D5 L6. In their last five games in Europe against English opponents, Liverpool are W3 D2.
Liverpool have suffered a defeat in six of their last 14 games in European competitions, with each of those six defeats coming outside of England. Against fellow English opposition in UEFA competition, Liverpool hold a W7 D8 L5 record. They are carrying some brilliant current form at the moment having won 13 of their last 14 games (L1). They have also picked up a clean sheet in four of their last six played. Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 13 of their last 14 games across all competitions as well.
The Reds should have the upper hand in this one. They have gotten the better of Spurs twice already this season and the Lilywhites carried little form with them at the end of the season. Liverpool should be spurred on after their misery of twelve months ago. Liverpool to win.
27th May 2019 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
The only way that Liverpool now get the title this season is to go and produce a victory over Wolves and hope that Manchester City fail to get a win out at Brighton. Is there one final dramatic twist left in what has been a brilliant title race, or will Liverpool be coming up just a tiny bit short at the end of the day? Read our Liverpool v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
Liverpool have a very simple task ahead of them on Sunday. With nothing left to lose at this point, they have to go out and collect three points at home against Wolves. Whether that would still be enough to win the title this season will depend on Manchester City’s result against Brighton. In order for Liverpool to get the title, they will need some help from Brighton in that game, namely preventing a win for the Citizens. So not everything is in Liverpool’s own hands.
Their home form is on point at the moment in the Premier League as the Reds are on a six-match winning streak at Anfield and they have remained undefeated there are all season, winning 16 of their 18 games. Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their last six home fixtures as well. In total, they have averaged just under three goals per home game this season and 67% of league fixtures at Anfield have made it over 2.5 goals. But this season Liverpool have not just been all about attacking power.
They have been rock solid at the back conceding just 10 goals across the course of the season on home soil. In total, they have claimed a clean sheet in 61% of their home fixtures. Of their 16 home wins recorded this season only four of them have been by a margin of one goal only. Liverpool are on a 14 match scoring streak at home, and home and away have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight. The Reds have also been leading at the half-time break in 12 of their home games, opening the scoring in all but four of their Anfield fixtures.
Liverpool earned a 2-0 league win at Wolves in December
Wolves then beat the Reds at home in the FA Cup in January
Wolves have lost their last four EPL games against Liverpool
Both teams have scored in one of the last eight league meetings
Outside of the big six, Wolves have been the success story of the Premier League season. They are locked in for a seventh-place finish this season which is a fantastic reward for them. They are currently on a three-match winning streak in the league, going unbeaten in four. In this current sequence of wins, they did collect a victory over Arsenal. Actually the record against the big six teams away from home this season is well worth mentioning.
From their five away games played against the top six finishers, Wolves have produced a fine W1 D3 L1 record. The one defeat in that sequence was at Manchester City when Wolves played with 10 men for a large portion of the fixture. The overall away record of Wolves this season is W6 D5 L7. With just the one victory in their last six away games played (D2 L3), it does not exactly hint at them pulling out the victory at Anfield.
But they are a side who are often hard to get the better of. Wolves have averaged just a shade over a goal per away game this season and only 39% of their away fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. They haven’t been bad in defence but only from the perspective that they have not conceded heavily in a lot of games. They have managed to claim a clean sheet in only 11% of away games this season. It is interesting that of the seven away defeats which they have suffered this season, five of them have been against teams currently sitting in the bottom six. So they have known how to raise their game against stronger opposition.
This is on actually the easiest of home games for Liverpool because Wolves are a good side and have performed well against the big guns in the league. However, Liverpool have to get their foot on the gas and basically have nothing to lose at this point. Liverpool to win and both teams to score.
10th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Anfield was rocking on Tuesday night. If there was a roof on the stadium, it would have been blown off by the noise and emotion which erupted at the final whistle of a staggering match. Liverpool went into the game trailing Barcelona 3-0 from the first leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-final tie.
So it was a night of hope more than optimism before kick-off, but things started to change after Divock Origi got an early goal on the board for them. Still, only being 1-0 up at half time, there was a long, long way for Liverpool to go, but they got there in the end as they tore into the Spaniards.
Considering that Liverpool were without two key attackers in Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino, the success was even more memorable. They had to produce a bit of a rearguard action at the end of the game as Barcelona desperately sought an away goal that would have put them through to the final. It didn’t come.
Liverpool stayed strong and inflicted another miserable exit from the competition for Barca. Last season Barcelona lost in the quarterfinals against Roma having won the first leg of the tie at the Camp Nou by a 4-1 scoreline. They lost 3-0 in Italy and were knocked out on away goals. This one has to hurt just as much.
Liverpool could have been taken at 50/1 odds with bet365 for a 4-0 correct score before kick off.
That extraordinary show of strength now has seen Liverpool move in from 22/1 odds to just 4/9 to win this season’s Champions League* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 8th, 2019 at 2:40 p.m.). The Reds will await the winner of the Ajax v Tottenham tie.
The Champions League final is booked for June 1st.
8th May 2019 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
Liverpool have left themselves with a mountain to climb after a 3-0 away defeat at Barcelona in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final. So they are going to have to come up with something astonishingly memorable at Anfield on Tuesday night to overturn this. Barcelona will likely turn up and bide their time and look to hit Liverpool on the break. Read our Liverpool v Barcelona betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:27 p.m.)
So the first leg did not bode well for Liverpool even though they played a very good game. They did actually have golden opportunities to get themselves on the scoresheet and pick up a precious away goal, but they squandered them. Liverpool have never lost at Anfield in the semifinals of the European cup winning eight of their 10 previous matches there are at this stage (D2). In those 10 games, Liverpool have conceded only the four home goals, two of those were in last season’s semi-final on Merseyside against Roma.
Liverpool have won their last 10 two-legged European ties which includes qualifying times. But now that record look in serious jeopardy. The Reds have won seven of the eight UEFA Champions League knockout stage ties in which they were playing at home in the second leg. They have won their last six such ties on the bounce. Liverpool have a W8 D2 in two-legged UEFA knockout ties with Spanish sides.
Their home record against Spanish opposition is not particularly great as they have won just five of 17 previous fixtures at Anfield against Spanish visitors (D7 L5). As for their current home form in Europe, they were on a five-match winning streak on home soil in the competition, which included home successes in each of their three group stage fixtures. Then in the round of 16, they played out a 0-0 home draw against Bayern Munich, before winning 2-0 at Anfield over Porto in the quarter-finals. Liverpool are now undefeated in their last 21 European home games, winning 15 of those.
27 times in their history Liverpool have lost the first leg away from home of the UEFA competition ties. They have won through in 13 of those 27 previous locations. In two of those ties, they have suffered 3-0 away defeats in the first game and went on to be eliminated in both. In their previous meetings with Barcelona the head-to-head stands even now with both having claimed three wins each and have played out three goals. The last time that Liverpool hosted Barcelona, the visitors claimed a 1-0 victory.
Barcelona rested their star players on the weekend having already won the Spanish league title. So that the benefit for them ahead of this trip to Anfield. It was former Liverpool man Luis Suarez who gave Barcelona the first-half lead in the first leg. Lionel Messi then came up with two goals in the final 15 min of the fixture, his second and absolutely stunning free kick from 30 yards out. Interestingly in last season quarter-final against Roma, Barcelona bowed out after having earned a three-goal margin at home in the first leg. The difference then was a Roma have managed to get an away goal, whereas Liverpool have not.
Three of Barcelona’s eight semi-final defeats have come against English opposition. Barcelona have actually lost each of their last three away games at the semi-final stage of the UEFA Champions League. Remarkably they have only claimed two away victories (D2 L10) in their previous fourteen semi-final away games. The Spaniards have lost eight of their 12 previous UEFA Champions League knockout stage ties when they have played the second leg away from home.
Barcelona have claimed a win in 15 of their 25 previous two-leg European ties against English opposition. They have lost just one of their last nine. Barcelona have already seen off English opposition this season as they knocked out Manchester United by a 4-0 aggregate in the quarter-finals. Back in the group stage they were up against Tottenham as well and claimed four points from those two matches against the Premier League side. Overall it is a W4 L1 record against English sides by Barcelona this season.
Barcelona have won five of their last seven road games in England (D1 L1). Overall home and away in the Champions League, Barcelona have suffered just one defeat in their last 22 fixtures, winning 14 of those. That lone defeat was against Roma in last season’s quarter-final, when Barcelona crashed out. Before their success at Old Trafford in the last round against Manchester United, Barcelona had failed to win six away knockout stage games (D2 L4) and scored just one goal in that sequence. Barcelona have won 38 of the 42 UEFA competition ties in which they won the first leg at home but have lost the two most recent ones.
It’s a tough game to predict now because Liverpool have to get themselves on the front foot and an early goal would raise belief. However they were so easily picked off by Barcelona’s attacking game, and that has to come into play the game here. So this could be a high-scoring game, but perhaps worth backing Liverpool to claim the match victory.
6th May 2019 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
Will Newcastle, managed by former Liverpool boss Rafa Benitez be the ones to trip up Liverpool in their title pursuit? This is a tough game for Liverpool sandwiched between their Champions League semi-final matches. The Reds have to stay focused but have struggled for results at St James’ Park recently. Read our Newcastle v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 2nd, 2019 at 7:34 p.m.)
Newcastle played out a draw with Brighton last weekend. That moved them on to a three-match unbeaten streak of league form. Their overall home form this season is W8 D1 L9 and it has been a very good second half of the season from them at St James’ Park. Newcastle have won six of their last seven league home games now, the one exception in that sequence being a reverse against Crystal Palace. So they have home form but will it be enough to trouble Liverpool? Newcastle are W1 L6 at home against teams in the top eight this season.
The one win in that sequence was their 2-1 success over Man City. That’s a warning to Liverpool if ever they needed one. Newcastle have scored at least two goals in all but one of their last seven home games as well. They have guaranteed Premier League football for themselves next season so aren’t actually playing for anything. Newcastle have both scored and conceded 22 home goals this season. They have only opened the scoring in six home games this season and it is going to be fascinating to see what they are going to come up with in this one.
Newcastle lost 4-0 on a visit to Anfield in December
The Reds have won their last two against the Magpies
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four home games against Liverpool
Both teams have scored in two of the last seven meetings
Liverpool were rocked in a 3-0 Champions League defeat at Barcelona in midweek and they have the second leg of that coming up next week. But they can’t let up in intensity here. Dropped points in this game could hand the league title to Man City. Liverpool are carrying away form though as they have won their last three away from home. That is part of an overall road record this season in the EPL of W12 D5 L1. They have won eight of their nine away games against sides currently in the bottom half of the table (D1).
Liverpool have averaged 1.7 goals per away game this season, taking a clean sheet in 50% of those games. They have been so defensively strong all season and have conceded just the two goals in their last five road games. Of their twelve away wins this season seven of them have been by a margin of at least two goals. Liverpool have scored 68% of their road goals in the second period of fixtures. They have conceded 60% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Liverpool have opened the scoring 12 of their 18 away games.
Newcastle cold have a big say in the destination of the title this season. Their home form suggests that they are not going to roll over lightly at St James’ Park in this one. Newcastle – Draw Double Chance.
2nd May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Barcelona and Liverpool have five European Cup titles to their name and this is such a massive showdown in the semifinals. Barcelona are an absolute beast on home soil and they will be defending a long unbeaten record at the Camp Nou in the UEFA Champions League. But then it is Liverpool who have won all previous ties between these two giants of European football. Read our Barcelona v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
Barcelona are now undefeated in 31 UEFA Champions League home matches. That is an absolutely astonishing record. Surprisingly the recent record of Barcelona in the Champions League semi finals is not particularly good. They have lost three of their last five semi-final ties. Actually, three of their eight semi-final defeats in the history of the European Cup/Champions League, have happened against English opposition. Barcelona have won each of their last five two-legged ties against English opposition. In total, their record in such ties against English opponents is W15 L10.
They have had plenty of experience against English opposition this season as they were up against Tottenham in the group stage, taking four points off the Premier League side. Then they were up against Manchester United in the quarter-finals, with Barcelona winning that tie 4-0 on aggregate. So now Barcelona are on a streak of just one defeat in their last 15 games against English clubs, winning 11 of those 15 games.
Barcelona’s home record against English opposition is W21 D11 L2, however, both of those defeats in that sequence did happen against Liverpool. Barcelona have won eight of their last 10 home games against English opposition, drawing the other two. Barcelona have only lost one of their last 21 knockout fixtures in the UEFA Champions League, winning 13 of those.
They are currently on a thirteen match undefeated streak at home in the knockout stages of the competition, winning 11. On home soil this season in Europe Barcelona have won four of their five games, the one exception being a 1-1 draw against Spurs on matchday six of the group stage, Barcelona already having won the group by that time. As for that man Lionel Messi, he is the current top scorer in this season’s tournament.
Liverpool league the head to head 3-2 against Barcelona from eight previous games
Liverpool have won all three two-legged contests against Barcelona
This is the first meeting since the 2006/07 UEFA Champions League round of 16
Liverpool took the tie on away goals after winning the first leg 2-1 at the Camp Nou
Liverpool are on a 19 match undefeated streak of form in all competitions at the moment, winning 14 of those. That’s the kind of positive form that they need to take forward with them to Spain in midweek. This is such a tough first leg away from home though, so it will be interesting to see how well their defence stands up to what they know will be a strong attacking performance from Barcelona.
The record of Liverpool in European cup semi finals is W8 L2. Liverpool have won their last 10 two-leg European ties, which includes their successes over Bayern Munich and Porto this season. It has been a while since they have met Spanish opposition in a two-legged tie though, as this will be their first since meeting Villarreal in the 2015/16 UEFA Europa League semi-finals. The Reds lost 1-0 in Spain, before winning 3-0 back at Anfield.
That win over Villarreal on home soil is Liverpool’s only victory in their last eight fixtures against Spanish opposition, losing five of the other seven. The last time they made a trip to Spain was in last season’s group stage when they played out a 3-3 draw at Sevilla. Liverpool had been on a run of four straight European away defeats before picking up a 3-1 success at Bayern Munich in the round of 16. They then 4-1 at Porto in the following round.
In total Liverpool have lost five of their last 12 European matches, with all of those defeats coming outside of England. But now with this five-match undefeated streak of form in Europe, the tide looks to be turning well in their favour. Sadio Mane has produced 11 goals in Liverpool’s 12 matches and now with Mo Salah becoming the Premier League top scorer last weekend, they do have the firepower, especially on the counter-attack to cause Barcelona some problems.
Even though Liverpool have been in such great form lately, this is still a massive task ahead of them in Spain. Barcelona will know the importance of putting on a very good strong show on home soil and with them in current hot form, and with Lionel Messi scoring for fun, the appeal a game in betting terms is for a Barcelona to win & both teams to score option.
29th April 2019 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
It is Liverpool who can land the first blow of the weekend in the title race this weekend. The Reds trail Manchester City by a point at the top with three games to go. All they can do is keep winning and hope for the best. Against a Huddersfield side who are on a big losing streak, that may not be too difficult for them. Read our Liverpool v Huddersfield betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 25th, 2019 at 7:36 p.m.)
The Reds have to keep winning and hope that Man City slip up somewhere inside of the final three rounds of league action. The Reds are on a hot streak of form at the moment as they have won their last six on the bounce. Their last two wins have both been by a 2-0 scoreline, over Cardiff and Chelsea. They have strung together a five-match winning streak on home soil as well, remaining undefeated at Anfield all season. Their home record for the season is W15 D2 L0.
The Reds have averaged 2.8 goals per home game this season, while they have only conceded the ten home goals. That’s an average of 0.6 goals per home game against them. As a nod towards their scoring then, is the fact that 65% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. In total, they have earned a clean sheet in 59% of home games. Of their fifteen home wins this season only four of them have been by a one-goal margin. The Reds have also been leading at the halftime break in 11 of their home games and are on a thirteen match league scoring streak at Anfield. The Reds have opened the scoring in 13 of 17 home games in the EPL.
Liverpool have won all three previous EPL meetings with Huddersfield to nil
The Reds won this corresponding fixture 3-0 last season
Liverpool have scored nine unanswered goals in their last four against the Terriers
The last time that the Terriers beat Liverpool in any competition was 1959
Huddersfield are down and out and are not showing any signs of putting a win on the board during their run in. It’s certainly going to be tough for them to do so in this game. The Terriers have lost their last seven league games in a row now and in that sequence of games, they failed to score in four of them. The Terriers have lost all ten games played this season against the top six. They scored just the three goals in those ten games as well. Their overall away record is just W1 D3 L13 for the season.
In total, they have only produced the eleven away goals out on the road this season. 64% of those were produced in the first half of fixtures. Huddersfield have conceded at an average of 2.3 goals per away game. In total, they have managed just the two clean sheets on their travels this season. They are without a clean a sheet in any of their last seven league games and in any of their six on the road. In their last six, home and away, they have conceded at least two goals in each. They are the lowest scorers in the league and have the second-worst defence.
A comfortable 2-0 home win for the Reds looks about the right mark. They have to keep something in the tank for their visit to Barcelona in the Champions League semi-finals in midweek. So that may keep the score down a bit in this one.
25th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This is a bit of an unenviable task for Cardiff in this one as they have to try and shut down the title-chasing Liverpool. Cardiff picked up a win in midweek to give themselves a shot at survival. Liverpool also took a win last weekend in their final game against one of the other big six teams in the division. Will they continue to drive on towards the finish line? Read our Cardiff v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 11:57 p.m.)
There is a tough task ahead for Cardiff in this one. They snapped a three-match losing streak in midweek with a 2-0 away win at the slumping Brighton. That leaves Cardiff heading into the weekend of top-flight action three points from safety. But in their final four games of the season, they have to go up against Liverpool in this one and then on the final day of the season make a trip to Manchester United. So they are really going to have to dig out something special to get themselves safe. Anything out of this home fixture against a high flying Liverpool would be a huge bonus for the Bluebirds.
The home record of Cardiff this season is W6 D2 L9 but they have lost three of their last four there (W1). The Bluebirds have managed 19 goals on home soil this season but problematically they have conceded at just under two goals per home fixture. 65% of all of Cardiff’s home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals. In total Cardiff have earned a clean sheet in 29% of their home games which is just about average. Cardiff have scored 63% of their home goals this season in the second period of fixtures. Their record against the big six teams in the Premier League this season is not good as they have lost all 10 such fixtures.
A Liverpool are on a 4-1 home win over Cardiff in October
Liverpool have won all three of their previous Premier League meetings
The Reds have scored 13 goals in their last three games against Cardiff
Each of the last four meetings in all competitions have ended over 3.5 goals
With a bit of something special from Mo Salah last weekend, Liverpool produced a 2-0 home victory over Chelsea. Three of their four remaining games now are against sides currently in the bottom half of the table, with the exception being Wolves. So their title hopes are still very much alive and kicking at the moment and they will be looking for their third straight Premier League away win on Sunday. This season out on the road Liverpool have produced a record of W11 D5 L1 and they are undefeated in their last six away from Anfield.
The victory over Chelsea last weekend was their first clean sheet in five Premier League games. Liverpool have conceded in their last two road fixtures which were against Fulham and Southampton. But still, Liverpool have only conceded the 10 away goals all season at an average of 0.6 per game. In attack, they have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away fixture. They have claimed a clean sheet in 47% of their road games this season. Home and away Liverpool are undefeated in their last 13 top-flight games and of the goals that they have scored out on the road this season 66% of them have been after the halftime break. Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league games played.
Liverpool don’t look as if they are going to slip up between now and the end of the season. They are pulling out wins when they are playing all that well and that is really not much opponents can do about that. Liverpool can get the win on the board in this one with a clean sheet.
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Liverpool have one foot in the door the semifinals after a 2-0 home success over Porto with first leg at Anfield. But they cannot switch off on their trip to Portugal as Porto did create themselves some decent chances in the first leg. But will they be able to do enough to turn around this tie on home soil? Read our Porto v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 13th, 2019 at 4:57 p.m.)
Porto have a big hill to climb in this game now back on home soil as they are trailing 2-0. In last season’s round of sixteen in the Champions League, Porto faced Liverpool and they lost 5-0 on home soil on that occasion. Porto are now on a D3 L4 record in their seven previous fixtures against Liverpool, still seeking that first win. In this game they will be looking for their first semifinal appearance since the 2003/04 season whey they lift the title with Jose Mourinho in charge. Their record in two-legged ties against English clubs is W3 L8.
Porto have won all four of their home games played this season in the Champions League, so do have that great from behind them. They have claimed a win eight of their last fifteen European home games (D2 L5). In the last round of the Champions League, they produced a win over Roma. Their overall home record against English clubs is W8 D6 L4. The Dragons collected sixteen points in the group stage, more than any of other club managed. Porto have won only five of the 21 UEFA competition ties in which they lost the away first leg. However, they have lost their last five two-legged ties against English sides.
Liverpool are well in control though thanks to goals from Naby Keïta and Roberto Firmino. All six of the games between these two played before this tie, have come since 2000, with Liverpool being well up against the Dragons in the head to head. Liverpool have won ten of their previous 14 European Cup quarter-finals. In the last round of the competition, Liverpool saw off Bayern Munich with an impressive away second-leg, banking a 3-1 success at the Allianz Arena. However, Liverpool did lose all three of their away games in the group stage, which was really strange from them.
Liverpool have actually lost five of their last ten European games, all defeats in that sequence happening outside of England. Liverpool have triumphed in 31 UEFA competition ties when they have won the home first leg. On each of the seven occasions that they have won the first leg at home 2-0, they have gone on to win the tie. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last seven away games in all competitions (W4 D3), winning the last three. Only once this season in all competitions as Liverpool lost by a two-goal margin on their travels. That was in Europe at Red Star Belgrade.
Liverpool will likely come under some big early pressure in this game as portable try and get themselves back in the game. This could end up being a thrilling end-to-end game with Liverpool playing on the counter-attack and a Porto-draw double chance looks a good fit.
15th April 2019 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting