Liverpool blew a two-goal lead against bottom side West Brom on the weekend and had to settle for a frustrating point. At this stage, the most likely outcome is now the third-place finish in the league. As for Stoke they collected a point against Burnley on the weekend, but are four points clear of safety now having played a game more than those just outside of the relegation zone.
Liverpool 2/7, Draw 9/2, Stoke 17/2* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
Naturally, the focus of the Champions League is coming into play in results in the Premier League for Liverpool. The Reds have their top four finish and so can afford to switch off in the top flight in order to push for glory on the European front. Liverpool are W1 D2 in their last three and they are without defeat in their last five league games. They had a good 2-0 lead at the Hawthorns on the weekend before switching off and conceding two goals in the final ten minutes to end in a 2-2 tie. Liverpool are a four-match winning streak at home for the league season and this is their penultimate league home game for the term. The Reds haven’t conceded in any of their last three home games and Liverpool to win to nil at bet365 is at 6/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018). Liverpool have averaged almost 2.5 goals per home game this season and they have shipped just the 10 goals in 17 games at Anfield in the top flight. They have netted at least two goals in each of their last eight at Anfield and the Stoke defence isn’t likely to trip them up really. A Liverpool 2-0 correct score is at 13/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018) and will have some appeal.
The position for the Potters looks pretty dodgy right now. They are four points clear of safety and without a win in a while. They are winless in their last eleven league games now after drawing 1-1 with Burnley on the weekend at home. Once they are through this Liverpool test they have to face Crystal Palace and Swansea in their last two games. But then if this weekend doesn’t go well for them they could be relegated before that. Stoke are without a win in their last dozen games on the road but they have drawn three of their last four. But the Potters have lost each of their away games this season against the other sides currently sat in the top seven so that doesn’t bode well for them. Stoke have won just once away all season and it really is hard seeing them make an impact in this one. Both teams not to score at bet365 is at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:22 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018) and the Potters have failed to score in two of their last three on the road. Overall this season they have only managed 13 away goals while they have conceded at over two goals per game on average.
Liverpool brushed Stoke aside with a 3-0 win at the Bet365 Stadium earlier this season which leaves them with a four-match Premier League winning streak against the potters. The Reds have won their last two home league games against them by a 4-1 scoreline and they are on a four-match winning streak at home and they are unbeaten in their nine previous Premier League home (W7 D2). Each of the last four meetings have ended above 2.5 goals.
Even though they have the distractions of the Champions League, the Reds should be able to get three points against Stoke. The Potters are battling, but without the end rewards that they need and their defence is unlikely to hold out at Anfield.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
After their tremendous job against Manchester City in the quarter finals, Liverpool will look to make the most of home advantage in the first leg of their semi-final tie against Roma. Liverpool have already proven that they have the firepower to destroy defences, so will Roma be able to produce a defensive display good enough to withstand the Reds’ pressure? The Italians produced a stunning fightback to knockout Barcelona in the last round though and that will be in the back of the minds of the Reds.
Liverpool 1/2, Draw 10/3, Roma 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018)
The Reds have such a great record from previous European Cup semi-final appearances, winning seven of their previous nine. They did suffer a loss in their last one though which was against Chelsea in the 2007/08 season. But after a decade away they are back in the final four and face up to Roma. Liverpool hold a W4 L2 record in two-legged knockout ties against Italian opposition in Europe, winning the last two. Liverpool are behind W9 D5 L11 in previous individual matches against Italian opposition though. This will be their first meeting with a Serie A side since a 2012/13 UEFA Europa League meeting with Udinese when the two of produced respective home wins. Liverpool’s home record against Italian opposition is W6 D0 L4, losing two of their last three at Anfield.
Liverpool have shown strength in attack this season and over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018) which will appeal to punters. Liverpool remain unbeaten at Anfield this season in Europe after producing a W2 D1 record in the group stage, before confident and big wins on home soil against Porto and then Man City in the knockout stages. Liverpool will once again be looking towards Mo Salah to deliver the goods as he goes up against the side who sold him to Liverpool in the summer. Liverpool have only suffered the one home defeat all season at Anfield across all options (W16 D8) and they hit the back of the net in all but three of those. They know they aren’t going to get an easy game in Rome, can they give themselves a nice cushion ahead of that?
Roma produced one of the all-time classic comebacks of Champions League history with a 3-0 success against Barcelona in the second leg of their quarter-final duel. That was after a heavy 4-1 loss at the Nou Camp. At the centre of their revival with important goals was Edin Dzeko and is the main anytime goalscorer option for the visitors. In the correct score market at bet365 a Liverpool 2/1 jointly with a 1-1 draw, are the shortest-priced options at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). Roma have only been to one previous European Cup semi-finals, which was in 1983/84 against Dundee United. The Italians prevailed on that occasion. Their form against English sides isn’t great because after winning their first three two-legged sides against English opponents, they have lost each of the last six. They have been to England this season already, playing out a 3-3 draw at Chelsea in the group stage.
Roma have produced only the one win in their last 16 games in England (D6 L9). Their only victory in England being at Liverpool in their 2000/01 UEFA Cup tie. In the round of sixteen Rome fought back from having lost the first leg away from home against Shakhtar Donetsk, the same as they did against Barcelona in the quarter finals. So they have a lot of spirit and a lot of character and even if they don’t come out on top at Anfield, they won’t be out of the tie. Both teams to score in the first leg is at 4/9 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). The Giallorossi have only won six of their last 25 Champions League games (D8 L11) but have won five of their last nine. There is no shortage of self belief there, clearly.
The most famous of the five previous meetings between Liverpool and Roma was their first one, the 1984 European Cup Final, which was the first ever to go to a penalty shoot out. Liverpool won that. Their next meeting was in the 2000/01 UEFA Cup fourth round, with Liverpool taking a 2-0 lead in Rome, before losing 1-0 back at home. Liverpool went on to win the tournament that season. They were then paired up in the 2001/02 UEFA Champions League second group stage with a 0-0 draw in Rome and a 2-0 win for Liverpool back at Anfield.
You know what you are going to get from Liverpool. They have only a Plan A and that’s it. While that works for them clearly, it will leave them a little exposed at the back and Roma are good enough to get themselves on the scoresheet. Home win and both teams to score.
22nd April 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
All credit to West Brom for pulling out a shock win at Old Trafford last weekend. That was a big win for them, but it does little for their survival chances as they are still well adrift at the foot of the table. Liverpool continued in their winning ways at Anfield last weekend with a success over Bournemouth and will be looking to secure more points in the pursuit of a second place finish.
Liverpool 4/9, Draw 7/2, West Brom 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Baggies pulled a shock result out of their hat last weekend by taking a 1-0 win at Old Trafford. It was a performance of organised commitment as well, something that has been lacking this term. So that’s four points form their last two league games now so they are looking to finish the season with a flourish even if it ends in likely relegation. The Baggies will be looking to snap a five-match winless streak of form at the Hawthorns on the weekend as they face Liverpool (D1 L4). Their clean sheet at Old Trafford on the weekend was their first since a 2-0 home win over Brighton back on January 13th. West Brom have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last ten league games. Their home form this season reads just W2 D8 L7 which is obviously why they are in relegation trouble. The Baggies have actually scored in each of their last seven home games and as they have conceded in each of their last five so both teams to score at bet365 is a good option at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). West Brom have netted 18 goals in 17 home games this season and Jay Rodriguez, who got the winner at Old Trafford is their top scorer now this season with seven.
Liverpool eased to a 3-0 home win over Bournemouth on the weekend, so they had no European hangover whatsoever. The Reds are W3 D1 L1 in their last five league games and they have only actually won one of their last three on the road W1 D1 L1, playing out a 0-0 with Everton in their last road game, but they made a lot of changes to their starting lineup for that. Overall this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L4 on the road and they have averaged over two goals per away game. Mo Salah was at it again last weekend and he is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 2/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Twelve of his thirty league goals this season have come away from home. Liverpool have netted in 82% of their away games this season and they have only failed to win one of their seven away games (L1) against the current bottom eight sides in the league at the moment. In the bet365 correct score market Liverpool 2-1 option is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:52 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) and with good appeal.
Liverpool have met West Brom twice this season and have failed to beat them. There was a 0-0 draw between them in the league at Anfield back in December and then they met in the FA Cup fourth round and the Baggies pulled off a shock 3-2 win at Anfield, a game stacked with VAR controversy to get through. In the last five Premier League meetings, Liverpool are W2 D3 and West Brom are winless in four home league games against the Reds.
West Brom did so well last weekend, but their defence is going to come under a lot more pressure than what Man United’s attack put them under. There should be three points heading Liverpool’s way in a game which finishes over 2.5 goals.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This may well end up being one of the most entertaining Premier League games of the weekend. Liverpool have been in fantastic form at Anfield this season and they get to take on Bournemouth who have been involved in a lot of thrilling, high scoring games recently. So there should be, once more, plenty of goals flying around on Merseyside.
Liverpool 2/11, Draw 6/1, Bournemouth 12/1* (Betting Odds taken at 11:22 p.m. on April 9th, 2018)
Liverpool are on a three-match winning streak at Anfield in the Premier League, having returned a total of eleven goals from that run of games. They are still unbeaten on home soil for the entire term with a fantastic W10 D6 record. Overall home and away they have posted a W6 D2 L1 record in their last nine games, a much-changed starting line-up drawing at Everton last weekend. Liverpool have averaged 2.4 goals per home game across their sixteen league games for the season and there is a strong chance that this is going to end up being a high scoring game and over 3.5 goals at bet365 is at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:30 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). The Reds have scored in each of their last seven home fixtures, netting at least two goals in each of those. Liverpool have collected a clean sheet in over half of their home games this season but for the visit of Bournemouth, who like to get forward it is probably worth looking at the both teams to score option. This could be a really open and entertaining fixture. Liverpool incidentally have scored 66% of their home goals and have conceded 70% of their home goals in the second half of matches.
It’s been a dramatic little run from Bournemouth. They scored an 89th-minute winner at home against West Brom in mid-month, then rescued a point at Watford following that thanks to a 90th-minute goal from Jermain Defoe and last weekend at home against Crystal Palace, Joshua King netted an 89th-minute equaliser for them. That’s a lot of late drama but it does show that the Cherries just don’t give up. They are fun to watch at least. The Cherries have scored in each of their last fourteen league fixtures and in each of their last six on the road. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight. In the bet365 correct score market an entertaining 3-1 win for Liverpool is only at 10/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:30 p.m. on April 10th, 2018) and not a bad proposition. The Cherries have averaged a goal per game on the road this season but have netted at least two in half of their last six. Overall this season Bournemouth have produced a W3 D6 L7 record.
Liverpool produced a fantastic 4-0 win on their travels earlier this season when they went to Bournemouth. They only managed to get one point off the Cherries last season though, drawing 2-2 at Anfield. Each of the last four meetings have produced at least four goals and each of the last four have produced at least three goals. Liverpool holds a W8 D3 L1 record against Bournemouth from all previous meetings in all competitions.
Bournemouth just don’t have a lot of defensive guile about them and this should be a good solid home win for the Reds. You would have to back the goals to fly around in the fixture though so look for Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals.
11th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Manchester City have taken a couple of physiological hits in the last week. First, there was their issues in the first leg of this quarter-final tie at Anfield, losing 3-0 and then blowing a 2-0 half time lead at home against Manchester United on the weekend, in their chance to wrap up the Premier League title. Manchester City look to be really up against it at the moment but an early goal for them in this one would probably blow the tie wide open.
Man City 4/9, Draw 15/4, Liverpool 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 7:26 p.m. on April 8th, 2018)
So Manchester City have it all to do. They need a minimum of four goals and a clean sheet to turn this time around. In the bet365 correct score market the shortest priced option is a Man City 2-1 success at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:26 p.m. on April 8th, 2018) which doesn’t get them anywhere close to qualifying. A 4-0 win for them is at 18/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:26 p.m. on April 8th, 2018). This is only Man City’s second quarter-final tie in the Champions League, failing against PSG in the 2015/16 season. They have only played one previous European tie against an English side before, losing against Chelsea 2-0 on aggregate in the 1970/71 European Cup Winners’ Cup semi-finals. City were on a 13 match unbeaten streak of form at home in Europe before losing against Basel in the last round. They had won their previous four before that. Overall home and away the Citizens have won six of their eight games in the competition this season. City have won only two of the six UEFA competition ties in which they lost the away first leg. Sergio Aguero is back fit and he is the 7/2 first goalscorer favourite at bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 7:26 p.m. on April 8th, 2018). He has 15 goals in 16 games in all competitions in 2018.
It will be interesting to see how Liverpool handles this all now. Do they just try and sit back from the start and invite City on? Do they just go about their usual business which has served them well twice against the Citizens this season now? Liverpool are W5 D3 from eight previous two-legged knockout ties against fellow English sides. That having been said they have never won a European away game against an English side(D5 L4); their record against English rivals in Europe overall is W6 D8 L5. The Reds have won two of their four away games in the competition this season however they have collected just four wins in their last 17 European away games (D8 L5) so haven’t been great on the road. Liverpool are W29 L5 from previous two-legged ties in Europe when they have won the first leg at home. Four of those occasions were 3-0 home wins for the Reds and they won through on each of those occasions. Liverpool are a threat going forward and both teams to score is at 1/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:26 p.m. on April 8th, 2018). Liverpool have only failed to score in three of their last 21 matches in all competitions and their away record this season in all competitions is W12 D6 L5. They will wait on the late fitness fo Mo Salah who has 17 goals in his last 15 appearances for Liverpool.
The quarter-final first leg of this tie was the first time that Liverpool and Man City hade met in Europe. Overall on the domestic scene, the two clubs have met 178 times before with the Reds well ahead with an 87-44 head to head lead with 46 draws. Man City took a 5-0 home win over Liverpool in this season’s Premier League. But Liverpool turned the tables at Anfield when they met in January, becoming the first side to beat them in this season’s Premier League. There have only been two previous two-legged knockout ties between them (both in the League Cup) with Liverpool winning through on both occasions. As an omen, the Reds went on to the win the trophy on those two occasions 1980/81 and in 2011/12.
Does City have a mammoth comeback in them? The problem for them is trying to keep Liverpool off the scoresheet because they will be unravelled if the Reds get an away goal. City are good enough to get themselves the win but aren’t likely to deny Liverpool a goal so back a Man City to win and both teams to score punt.
9th April 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
Liverpool will continue to strive towards a top-two finish this season as they face off against Everton in the Merseyside derby on the weekend. Best case scenario for the Reds is that they finish in second place after the weekend. Worst case scenario fourth. Everton will be under pressure under the weight of Liverpool’s powerful home form and the Toffees found Manchester City too hot to handle last weekend.
Liverpool 8/13, Draw 16/5, Everton 15/4* (Betting Odds taken at 7:32 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
The Toffees have had a pretty decent run of form at Goodison Park recently with three wins in their last four there (L1). It was in their last home game that they suffered that loss which was against Manchester City. They have done well enough in front of goal having scored at least two goals in eight of their nine home victories this season on home soil. While a win for them in this one is going to be tough, it should contribute to this being a high scoring game. Everton have averaged 1.6 goals per game at home and over 3.5 goals at bet365 is at odds of 7/10* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Overall this season Everton’s home form is W9 D2 L5 but with only the two losses in their last eleven there. The Toffees are on a five-match scoring streak at home. Cenk Tosun has scored three goals in his last three games for the Toffees so may be worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market. Everton’s season is really being held up by their home form but they have only been leading at halftime on three occasions this season at Goodison Park. Clean sheets have been hard to come by for the Toffees and therefore both teams to score at bet365 has to be a decent proposition.
Liverpool have been in terrific league form. They have played to a W6 D1 L1 record in their last eight games and since their loss at Old Trafford back on March 10th, they have won their following two games, totalling seven goals and conceding just the one. They scraped past Crystal Palace last weekend and of course, had extra midweek work in the Champions League against Man City to contend with. The Reds have won three of their last four away games in the Premier League, part of a W9 D3 L4 record this season on their travels. Mo Salah still can’t stop scoring and he is the 5/2 bet365 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 4:51 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). The Reds have averaged 2.3 goals per away game this season and they are on a four-match scoring streak on their travels. 50% of their road games have made it over 3.5 goals (44% have gone over 4.5 goals) so they are shaping up well for a challenge in this one. A second place finish in the league this season is well and truly on for them still. Liverpool have opened the scoring in ten of their sixteen away games this season.
Everton battled out a home point against Liverpool earlier the season but fell to their rivals in the FA Cup. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six trips to Goodison Park in the Premier League with a W2 D4 record from that sequence. Liverpool have lost just one of their last seventeen games home and away against the Toffees. Both teams have scored in each of the last three.
Liverpool won’t take their foot off the gas in this one and they are likely to three points. Everton have done pretty well on home soil this season, but still with the threat of Liverpool’s attack, their defence may have a tough time holding out.
4th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This is the first UEFA meeting between the two English sides. Liverpool have already tasted success at Anfield against the Citizens this season in the Premier League, so will they be able to double up? Or will City be all the wiser for their mistakes in that game and have a better idea of how to handle themselves in this first leg? This has the makings of being an epic tie.
Man City 11/8, Liverpool 19/10, Draw 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 11:54 p.m. on March 30th, 2018)
This is going to get interesting then. This is the first time that Liverpool will have competed in a Champions League quarter-final in nine years. This will be the 17th all-English clash in UEFA Competitions and Liverpool have been involved in ten of those such is their rich history. The Reds were up against Porto in the round of sixteen and won the tie in the first leg away from home posting a 5-0 victory. They played out a 0-0 draw back at Anfield. Liverpool are W3 D2 from their five Champions League home games this season, scoring sixteen goals in that sequence. Goals will be expected in this but probably not as many as the seven-goal thriller between them at Anfield in January which Liverpool won 4-3. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 is probably going to get a lot of backing in this one and that is at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:53 p.m. on March 30th, 2018). This is probably going to be more tense and cautious with a lot more at stake.
The Reds have won nine of their previous 13 European Cup quarter-finals and of their eight previous two-legged ties against English opposition, Liverpool are W5 L3. Overall Liverpool’s record against English clubs in Europe is W5 D8 L5 with all five of those wins coming at home (D3 L1). So looking at that stay, Liverpool are going to have to produce a lead to try and defend in the second leg or it’s going to be tough for them. In the bet365 correct score market, the shortest priced option is a 1-1 draw at 11/2 with a 2-1 victory for Man City following at 17/2* (all Betting Odds taken at 11:53 p.m. on March 30th, 2018). The Reds are unbeaten in their last fourteen European home games (W9 D5).
Manchester City are making just their second appearance in the Champions League quarter finals. They lost 3-2 on aggregate to PSG in the 2015/16 campaign in their only previous visit. They have only once before met a fellow English side in Europe and that ended in two 1-0 defeats against Chelsea in the 1970/71 European Cup Winners’ Cup semi-final. In this season’s Champions League group stage, City cruised to wins in each of their opening five games before losing what was a dead rubber for them at Shakhtar Donetsk on match day six. In each of their three road victories this season in the competition, City have scored exactly four goals. That’s the attacking threat that they carry. Last season they didn’t win one single away game, so there’s a vast improvement. Sergio Aguero is the 4/1 first goalscorer favourite at bet365 after his prolific 2018. City have the goals in them, will they be able to stand up to Liverpool better defensively this time around?
The Reds have won their last five at home against Manchester City, the last two being Premier League successes by a one-goal margin. Liverpool have stayed unbeaten on home soil now in their last sixteen fixtures against the Citizens in all competitions. They have won five of the last eight overall home and away against Man City in all competitions. Both teams have scored in just two of the last five clashes.
Manchester City just look to have the extra quality about them that should hold up on the day. Their loss at Anfield will have primed them much better for this Champions League attempt which will probably be a little more sedate. Look for the draw.
1st April 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
It is that time of the season once again, where you can start looking ahead to what may be to come next season. This year’s Premier League title has looked like a foregone conclusion for most of the way, with Manchester City running rampant. While we still have the rest of the domestic action, the Champions League and of course the World Cup in the summer to think about betting on, City have been priced up as favourites for next season’s Premier League title.
Bet365 have installed Pep Guardiola’s men as the 4/6 outright favourites* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) to successfully defend their title next season. They have made it look so easy in this season’s Premier League, no-one even getting close to matching their power and consistency in what could be a record-breaking season for them that is it hard to see them having it all fall down anytime soon.
At those 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) offered by Bet365, it implies that Man City have a staggering 60% chance of winning the Premier League title next season as well. If they were to successfully deliver a title defence, then they would be the first team to do so since rivals Manchester United pulled it off in the 2007/08 season.
Manchester United have been priced up at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) making them third-favourites in the title race for next season, which is only a 14% chance that they will top the pile at the end of the season. Things have turned a little bit sour under Jose Mourinho this season and could need a shakeup in the summer. Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool are sandwiched between the two Manchester clubs at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) which means that are expected to be City’s closest challenge.
But Liverpool could find themselves with a big problem on their hands in the summer and that is holding on to the free-scoring Mo Salah as clubs like PSG and Real Madrid are bound to come knocking on the door for him. It is hard to know what situation Chelsea are going to be in next season with rumours that Antonio Conte could be parting ways with the club after some setbacks this season. The Blues are priced up as 10/1 shots* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) to get the Premier League title next season and with Willian and Eden Hazard likely to be in hot demand, it could be a long way back to the top for Chelsea.
Once again under Mauricio Pochettino Spurs have been the epitome of style, but on top of their missed chances in recent seasons of winning the league and more failure this season in that regard, they have been priced out at 14/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018). But it is a lot shorter than the 25/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) that bet365 have priced up Arsenal at. to win the league next season.
Outside of the traditional big six, the ones deemed most likely to do a “Leicester” and pull out a surprise title are Sam Allardyce’s’ Everton at 200/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) and yes, Leicester themselves at 300/1* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018).
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Crystal Palace need to pick up where they left off before the International Break. They collected a hugely important win over Huddersfield to boost their survival chances. However, this is such a tough game for them to get back into action with. Liverpool are firing along still pressing hard for a top-two finish. Palace can only hope to catch them cold on their return to action.
Liverpool 2/5, Draw 7/2, Crystal Palace 13/2* (Betting Odds taken at 03:22 a.m. on March 26th, 2018)
Palace were on a poor slide of form in the Premier League before landing an important 2-0 away win at Huddersfield just before the international break. That snapped a run of seven winless fixtures that they were on, increasing their risk of relegation. They are still in the relegation mixer though starting the weekend just two points clear of the drop zone. This is a tough game for them, but it really is their last really tough fixture that they have to plough through from now to the end of the season. Palace hold a W4 D5 L6 record at home this season and they are winless in their last three at Selhurst Park, losing their last two against Spurs and Manchester United there. Palace have a W1 D2 L3 record in their last six on home soil. They are getting forward, but have been lacking a bit of finishing class in the box and their defence is no doubt going to come under some heavy pressure in his one. Both teams to score at Bet365 is at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:27 p.m. on March 26th, 2018).
The Reds are duelling with Manchester United for second place in the league and they have been in decent enough form, winning four of their last five league outings. The only game they failed to win in that sequence was a trip to Old Trafford. The Reds thumped Watford 5-0 before the international break with Mo Salah bagging four and he is the bet365 first goalscorer favourites at 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:27 p.m. on March 26th, 2018). The Reds are W8 D3 L4 on their travels this season in the top flight, going W2 L2 in their last four away from Anfield. They can, of course, be relied on for goals and have averaged 2.3 per away game which should help this game get above that 2.5 goal line pretty comfortably. The Reds have scored in each of their last seven league fixtures now and in the bet365 correct score market, a Liverpool 2-1 option isn’t a bad option really to consider for this one. There is a great chance for them to heap some pressure back onto the shoulders of Manchester United in the race for second.
Over the last six Premier League meetings things are even with three wins each actually. The Reds took a 1-0 win over Palace earlier in the season at Anfield but both teams have scored in eight of the last nine league meetings. Ten of the last eleven meetings in all competitions have gone over 2. 5 goals. So it is likely that this will be an entertaining game. Palace are winless in three home games against Liverpool in all competitions.
Liverpool to win and both teams to score looks to be the right option to roll with in this one. The Reds are obviously the stronger of the two and Palace will have trouble containing them. It gets much easier for Palace after this one, they just need to see it out.
27th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Champions League quarter-final draw threw up a big clash between the two remaining English sides in the competition, Manchester City and Liverpool. That will be a duel to look forward to and it at least guarantees that there will be one Premier League side in the final four. The other big tie for the final eight is a meeting between last season’s finalists, Juventus and Real Madrid. Barcelona and Bayern Munich have easier looking ties, facing Roma and Sevilla respectively in their quarter-final ties.
Barcelona 5/2, Man City 3/1, Bayern Munich 4/1, Real Madrid 9/2, Juventus 10/1, Liverpool 12/1, Sevilla 66/1, Roma 66/1* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
After seeing off Chelsea, Barcelona will be pretty happy with this tie against Serie A side Roma. They have moved to the head of the winner’s market for this season’s Champions League coming into 5/2 odds at Bet365* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.) following the quarter final draw. Barcelona are currently running on a twelve match unbeaten streak of form against Italian sides (W9 D3) and Lionel Messi has scored twelve goals in nineteen previous fixtures against Italian opponents. The last time that Barcelona played a home game against Roma, they ran out 6-1 winners over them in the 2015/16 Group Stage. As for Roma, they had a real struggle in their round of sixteen tie against Shakhtar Donetsk, losing the first leg away from home 2-1 but managing to edge their way through with a nervy 1-0 home success. From the four previous meetings between Barcelona and Roma, things are even with one win each and two drawn matches.
Prediction: Barcelona should be comfortable enough in this time, they are a class above what Roma are likely going to be able to come up with on their very best days.
Barcelona 1/4, Draw 9/2, Roma 11/1* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
Sevilla caused a bit of a shock in the last round as they collected a win over Manchester United thanks to a great performance in the second leg at Old Trafford. Still, they do look a little bit hit and miss in terms of their quality and they look likely to give up a lot of chances at the back to Bayern. The Germans eased their way past Besiktas in the last round as was fully expected of them and are going into this tie as strong favourites to win it. Bayern and Sevilla have never actually met before in UEFA Competition, however, Bayern are on a five-match losing streak in Spain, while Sevilla have never suffered a home defeat against a German opponent (W7 D4). It could make the first leg interesting at least.
Prediction: Bayern Munich are going to expose the gaps in the back line of Sevilla, which doesn’t look all that study. Sevilla’s best chance is going to be running up a good lead in the first leg, but still, it’s not likely to happen for them.
Bayern Munich 8/11, Draw 3/1, Sevilla 16/5* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
A rematch between the two finalists from last season, which Juventus suffered a 4-1 defeat in at the hands of Real Madrid. The Italians showed all of their class, resilience and fortitude in battling out a win at Wembley in the second leg of their duel with Tottenham in the last round. Juventus actually have won each of their last four two-legged ties against Real Madrid including the 2014/15 semi-final. Juventus collected a victory in six of their last seven home matches against Real Madrid. However in the head to head from nineteen previous fixtures that the two clubs have played, it is Real Madrid who are slightly ahead 9-8 with the two drawn matches. The Bianconeri are actually 6/4 favourites at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.) to get the victory in the first leg in Turin on the back of their good home form against the Spaniards.
Prediction: Real Madrid may have their hands full in this tie, especially in the first leg in Turin. The problems for Real Madrid have been at the back and there could be a price to pay. Of the four ties, this looks to the most likely to end up in an upset.
Juventus 6/4, Real Madrid 9/5, Draw 9/4* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
An all Premier League clash then, not what either of them would have wanted at all. But at least one English side will be in the final four. The two have never met before in UEFA competition and what adds just a little bit of spice to this one is that the only side to have beaten Manchester City in the Premier League this season is Liverpool who rolled out a 4-3 home win over the Citizens. Liverpool does also boss the head to head from previous domestic fixtures as well, being 87-45 ahead with 46 drawn matches. City have only collected once victory in their last eight games against Liverpool in all competitions, but they are 13/10 favourites at bet365 to win the first leg* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.). Liverpool’s success could hinge on them getting a big enough lead in the first.
Prediction: Over the context of two legs, Manchester City may well have enough to get the win on the board and progress. Even if they were to slip up at Anfield in the first leg, they would likely have enough to turn things around back at home. It is an uncomfortable tie for both, but Manchester City to progress.
Man City 13/10, Liverpool 2/1, Draw 12/5* (betting odds taken on March 16th, 2018 at 6:42 p.m.)
3 April: Sevilla v Bayern, Juventus v Real Madrid
4 April: Barcelona v Roma, Liverpool v Man. City
10 April: Roma v Barcelona, Man. City v Liverpool
11 April: Bayern v Sevilla, Real Madrid v Juventus
17th March 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting