Marseille are knocking on the door of the top four in Ligue 1 but they have just lost a little bit of momentum. They will be hoping to get it back as they face the relegation-threatened Monaco on Sunday. Monaco have grabbed Cesc Fabregas from Chelsea in the hopes of putting together a stronger second half of the season. Thierry Henry’s men are in trouble. Read our Marseille v Monaco betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 11th, 2019 at 8:22 p.m.)
Marseille went into the winter break with a D2 L1 record in their final three games
Their home form has been solid this season in the league at W5 D2 L1
In their last home game, they draw 0-0 with Reims
They have won all four games played at home this season against sides currently 14th or lower
Marseille won all of those four games to nil, scoring at least two goals in each
Marseille have averaged over two goals at home this season
They have shipped only six home goals this season in their eight games
62% of their home games they have returned a clean sheet in
Marseille have won four of their eight home games to nil this season
Each of their last four league home games have ended under 2.5 goals
They have produced 65% of their home goals in the first half of matches
Only Lyon and PSG have scored more league goals than Marseille this season
Marseille collected a 3-2 away win over Monaco back in September
Monaco are unbeaten in their last four visits to Marseille (all competitions)
Each of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine meetings
Monaco are in trouble second from bottom in Ligue 1 five points from safety
Under Thierry Henry’s stewardship, they have won two league games only
Monaco suffer back to back losses heading into the winter break
Their away from this season is better than their home form
On their travels, they are W3D1 L4 for the season
They have lost all four of their away games this season against top half of the table teams
Monaco have tallied up nine goals on their travels but have only the two clean sheets
Their two away clean sheets have been produced in their last three away games
They have won two of their last three away games in the French top flight (L1)
Monaco are 25 points worse off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign
They have scored 89% of their away goals in the second half of matches
Only three teams have scored fewer league goals than they have
They have the third-worst defensive record in Ligue 1 as well
Monaco have failed to score in 39% of all their league matches this season
Cesc Fabregas single-handedly isn’t going to change the fortunes of Monaco. They have looked really poor. Marseille are a strong home side and we have to really eye up the home win to nil as a serious proposition.
12th January 2019 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
PSG’s momentum this season has been ridiculous with them having won all ten of their league fixtures this season and they aren’t far off averaging four goals per game. They will face a fellow top-four side here as they make a trip to Marseille. Can Marseille produce a performance to deny the champions their first points of this campaign? Read our Marseille v PSG betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 26th, 2018 at 1:21 p.m.)
Marseille have earned back to back clean sheet wins in Ligue 1 so have a nice bit of form behind them ahead of this tough home game. They are actually unbeaten in their five league home games this season with a W4 D1 record. Three of Marseille’s home wins this season have been with a clean sheet. However, because this is PSG showing up, that’s probably worth a pass as a betting option.
Marseille have scored at least two goals in each of their home games this season. Over 3.5 goals is well worth a look at even money odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). 80% of Marseille’s home games this season have made it over 3.5 goals. There is more to support that as well because Marseille’s last 10 home matches against PSG in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals.
Marseille have won seven of their last eight league games at home so certainly have the home from behind them. They could be missing the influential Florian Thauvin though who remains a doubt for this game after missing the Europa League on Thursday night. He has scored in three of Marseille’s five home games this season. In total at home, this season in the top flight Marseille have produced 15 goals and have conceded just the four.
Marseille took a point in a 2-2 draw at home against PSG last season
PSG are unbeaten in their last seventeen games against PSG
PSG have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 against Marseille
Marseille lost 3-0 twice at PSG last season in league and cup
Marseille have scored in each of their last seventeen home games against PSG
PSG are W4 D2 in their last six league meetings with Marseille
There doesn’t appear to be any stopping PSG at the moment as they have taken back to back 5-0 league wins now over Lyon and Amiens respectively. They have produced a victory in all ten of their league games this season and they have come up with at least three goals in all four of their road games. They have pretty strong form against Marseille having won 14 of their last 16 matches against them in all competitions.
In the correct score market a PSG 2-1 is the shortest-priced option at 15/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). PSG have averaged over three goals per away game this season, while they have won their last three league matches without conceding. But because PSG have conceded in three of their four road games, both teams to score is at 4/7 odds* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm)
That Parisians have been winning at both half time and full time in 6 of their last 7 matches (Ligue 1). Kylian Mbappe has five goals in this last two league games for them, and has nine goals in five league appearances so far this season. He can be backed at 15/4 odds in the first goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 26th, 2018 at 4:51 pm). Then there is Neymar of course who has returned eight goals in eight league fixtures for the Champions this season.
It should be another win for PSG just because they are on a different level here. Still, Marseille have a good scoring record against them and so we will back the PSG to win & both teams to score option.
27th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
A top two battle will be going down in the Principality of Monaco on Saturday night in this huge clash. Not too surprisingly, it is PSG leading the way at the top of the French League as they have yet to be beaten so far this term. Monaco, despite a heavy summer of selling, are their closest challengers but are already six points adrift of the leaders. They badly need this home win to keep in touch. PSG are 8/15 to win with bet365, with the draw trading at 15/4 and Monaco at 9/2.
Monaco have managed to just about stay in touch with league leaders PSG this season which is surprising considering the number of sales and loan deals over the summer which saw them lose top talent like Benjamin Mendy, Tiemoue Bakayoko and Kylian Mbappe. To their credit they have pieced things together pretty well since then but you get the feeling that this is not a game which they can afford to lose as they are trailing PSG by six points already. Monaco have gone W9 D2 L2 this season in the French top flight and they are unbeaten on home soil with a W5 D1 record. They have beaten Marseille and Caen there, two of the current top six sides this season so they have been pretty reliable throughout. They have been potent in front of goal as well with 21 goals having been returned at an average of 3.5 goals per game. They have conceded just the four but three of those have been in the second half of matches.
Over 2.5 goal sat bet365 is a price of 4/11 and that’s because four of the last five meetings have ended that way. They have already met this season in the French Super Cup with PSG taking a 2-1 victory back in July. Monaco did win this corresponding league fixture last season though, pounding out a 3-1 victory over the Parisians. In the anytime goalscorer market for the home side, Falcao is an 11/10 option for them with Stevan Jovetic at 9/4. Monaco have scored in both halves in 83% of their home fixtures this term. Defensively they haven’t been as solid as PSG have been this season and both teams to score in this one looks pretty likely at a price of 1/2. Monaco will be looking to snap a four match winless streak that they are on against PSG in all competitions now, losing each of their last three against them.
PSG are rolling along at the top of the table, unbeaten for the season and having dropped just the four points in a couple of drawn matches. Both of those draws did happen out on the road as they failed to get the better of Montpellier and Marseille. They have goals in them of course and they have netted twelve in their last three league games and rattled off seven against Celtic in the Champions League in midweek. Edinson Cavani has been in terrific goalscorer form with fifteen league goals already this season and he is the 5/2 bet365 first goalscorer favourite. Neymar, who has seven league goals for his new club is a 4/5 anytime goalscorer option. PSG have averaged 2.8 goals per away game in the top flight this season and 50% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals. 71% of the goals that they have scored this season on their travels have come in the second half of matches.
PSG have to take the money in this one just because of their attack and they are the stronger of the two at the back as well. Monaco’s shortcoming this season have been because they haven’t quite filled all the gaps of their summer sales. PSG can take advantage and bank a big three road points.
25th November 2017 / lee - Category: Betting Advice
Monaco have a chance to quickly put the disappointment of their Champions League semi-final loss to Juventus behind them. They need just the three points in this one to be crowned French champions. So this is a big chance on home soil for them and they take on a Lille side who have lost three of their last five league outings. Monaco are 1/6 for the win, with the draw at 13/2 and Lille are 12/1.
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Here’s the situation for Monaco. They win this game and they will be crowned champions. If PSG wins their game on the weekend as well, mathematically Monaco would not be champions, but they would have a six-point advantage over second-placed PSG with a game in hand plus a massive goal difference advantage. Monaco have produced a fantastic W15 D1 L1 record at home this season in Ligue 1. Home or away they have not lost a game since a defeat against Lyon back on December 18th last year, putting up a W15 D2 record since then. They are running on a nine-match winning streak at the moment in the French top flight. Immense stuff it has been from them and they should close out the deal here. They go into this game 43 points ahead of mid-table Lille and they have already beat them twice this season too, once in the league and once in the French Cup. Both teams to score at bet365 is a value punt at 4/5 as both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings between these two.
In the bet365 correct score market, a Monaco 2-1 win is a good price of 9/1. Monaco need just two goals to reach 100 for the season in the league and Falcao is up at a price of 2/5 in the anytime goalscorer market with Kylian Mbappe, who is a doubt for this one, at 8/11. They are such a good, positive young side that there shouldn’t be any slip up in this one. Lille have won just the six away games this season in a W6 D4 L8 record, but they have won three of their last four away from home (L1). They have managed only just over one goal per game this season though (37 goals in 36 matches) so aren’t a tremendous threat going forward. They are patchy at best and they have taken just the one victory in their nine matches so far against the current top five in Ligue 1 so haven’t carried themselves off well against the better opposition. Nicolas De Preville is a 4/1 anytime goalscorer option for them and he has three goals in his last three games.
Monaco home win: Monaco can shake off that midweek disappointment by firing themselves towards the league title here. It’s unlikely that the visitors are going to turn up and ruin their party at all.
12th May 2017 / lee - Category: Betting Advice