Leeds shook off some poor form at the end of the regular season to give themselves an advantage going into the second leg of this playoff semi-final. Leeds will head back to Elland Road with a 1-0 advantage in the tie now. Will that be enough for the Whites to hold on and make it through? Will Derby have enough about them to mount a comeback? Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Leeds have a good advantage behind them now for this playoff tie. They badly needed that positive at Pride Park in the first leg of this semi-final too, as they fell out of form at the end of the regular season. Leeds took just the one point from their final four league games of the season. So they were struggling there and had lost back to back away games as well. Across the course of the regular season, Leeds posted a W14 D4 L5 record for the season at Elland Road. In their last five games of the regular season though they only posted a W2 D1 L2 record, taking one point from their final two games played.
Leeds averaged 1.65 goals per home game in the course of the regular season and had their defensive strengths as well. They conceded at an under a goal per game on average. In total Leeds earned a clean sheet in 39% of their home fixtures. They finished the regular season on a four-match scoring streak of form at Elland Road, and they were level at the halftime break in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches and they opened the scoring in 14 of their games. The Whites closed out the season with the fifth best home record of all teams in the Championship and the third-best defence overall.
The Rams were carrying great form through to the end of the regular season with them, so it was a little surprising that they let the home advantage slip in this tie. The Rams were on a four-match winning streak of form before the loss against Leeds in this first game of this tie. Now, what can they come up with on the road? Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, drawing two of those. Across the course of the regular season, they came up with seven away wins in a W7 D7 L9 record. They lost three of their five away games against the top five finishers.
Derby averaged 1.26 goals per away game, conceding at an average of 1.5 per road game. They did struggle for their away clean sheets, taking one in just 13% of their road fixtures. Of the seven wins that they did take away from home during the season, five of them were by a one-goal margin. Five of their nine away defeats were by a one-goal margin only. Derby finished the season on a six-match scoring streak, but how costly will that blank at Pride Park be? Derby only managed to open the scoring in one away game. They are going to have their work cut out for them.
The confidence that Leeds will have taken from their first leg success will have been huge. They can afford to be patient now and take the string out of this second leg. Another low scoring game could be on the cards. Leeds to win to nil.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds will return to Championship action on Friday night looking to bust themselves out of a mini-slump. The league leaders have lost back to back games and now their lead over Norwich is down to two points. Derby continues in a tough run of games as they look to try and strengthen their place in the top six. Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.)
Leeds suffered a loss at Nottingham Forest in their last league game
That is back to back league losses they have suffered now
Their home form in the Championship is W8 D3 L2 this season
They were on a four-match home winning streak before losing to Hull in their most recent home fixture
Leeds have lost just one of their last eight league home games
Just 38% of league games at Elland Road this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Leeds have averaged 1.6 goals per home game this season
The Whites have banked a clean sheet in 46% of their home games
Just twice this season have Leeds failed to score in a league home fixtures
Leeds have not been involved in a league draw in their last eleven played
They have been level at halftime in six of their thirteen home games
The Whites have scored 71% of their home goals in the second half of games
Home and away combined Leeds have no clean sheet in four games
Leeds have the best home record of all Championship sides currently
Only Middlesbrough have conceded fewer league goals than Leeds have
There was a big 4-1 win for Leeds out at Derby back in August
Leeds have lost only one of their last four against the Rams (W2 D1)
Derby won their last visit to Elland Road 2-1
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
The Rams earned a point in a draw against Middlesbrough in their most recent league game
That has left them with only the one league defeat in their last seven played
Derby’s away record for the season stands at W6 D2 L5
So far in their four away games against current top four sides the Rams are W2 D1 L1
Derby won their last away game, a 4-3 win at second-placed Norwich
The Rams have alternated between a wing and a draw in their last five
62% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
They have managed get just one clean sheet on the board this term away from home
Derby have averaged 1.5 goals per away game this season
Both teams have scored in 77% of their away games
Derby have scored in each of their last eight Championship away games
The Rams have conceded six goals in total in their last two away fixtures
Home and away combined the Rams haven’t gotten a clean sheet in any of their last four on the road
Leeds have had a good season on home soil and as well as Derby have done in their tough run of games, it is still going to be a difficult trip to Elland Road to get points out of. We are backing the Whites to bounce back at home.
8th January 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There is a big clash in the Championship on Friday night with the promotion-chasing Leeds and Derby going head to head in a heavyweight battle. Leeds start the game in fifth place and five points ahead of seventh-positioned Derby. So Leeds could give themselves a huge cushion in the top six with a win in this one, while the Rams need to claw out a win which would see them move, even temporarily in the play offs spots. A lot at stake in his one and it could be a great match up to tune in to. Leeds are 8/5 for the win, with the draw at 2/10 and Derby are at 9/5 for victory.
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So a big game in store here and a valuable three points up for grabs in the fixture as well. Leeds won’t be happy with the recent fixture line up as they had to play their FA Cup third round tie against Cambridge on Monday night and then they go back into league action on Friday night. Not much of a rest for them then but boss Garry Monk obviously changed things up in terms of personnel for the Cambridge trip (which Leeds won). United are on a great stretch of form, five unbeaten in the Championship now in a W4 D1 record. They have lost only two of their last thirteen league matches now in a brilliant run of W9 D2 L2 record. So they are on fire and the reading is even better when you look at their home form. They have won five of their last six on home soil and have lost just one of their last ten Championship home fixtures.
Overall Leeds have gone W8 D2 L3 this season on home soil and their defence is pretty immense. They are on a four match clean sheet streak at home and have kept one in five of their last six on home soil. Newcastle are the only side to have netted at Elland Road in that sequence. Leeds have given up just the 9 goals on home soil this season and a Leeds to win to nil wager at William Hill is a good price of 3/1. Leeds lost 1-0 at Derby earlier in the season and it is probably worth going for the game to drift under 2.5 goals on this one, because Derby are not exactly a pushover either. In the anytime goalscorer market United have Chris Wood trading as 13/8 favourite to net. Leeds are unbeaten in their last three at home against Derby in the Championship (W1 D2).
So this is probably going to be tight and both teams to score at William Hill is a price of even money. The Rams need a win here to really boost their play off chances. They are carrying terrific form as well. They were on a ten match unbeaten streak in the Championship (W8 D2) before they slipped to a defeat to Norwich on January 2nd. So will they be able to bounce back from that away defeat? The Rams have gone W5 D3 L4 away from home this season and that loss at Norwich snapped a four match unbeaten streak (W3 D1) from them on the road. So they are in good form and they have still kept seven clean sheets in their last nine Championship matches. In the correct score market at 1-1 return is a strong price of 5/1 or you can take a 6/1 quote on either Leeds or Derby running out with a 1-0 win. This Is going to be tight tense and enthralling.
A good match up to come between two very good defences. There really isn’t too much to chose between them and Leeds have been terrific on home soil lately which suggests that they are not going to slip up in this one. Derby don’t give much away at the back and are the lowest scoring side in the top 16 in the Championship at the moment. Under 2.5 goals all the way and a 1-1 correct score is screaming appeal.
11th January 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting