Leeds shook off some poor form at the end of the regular season to give themselves an advantage going into the second leg of this playoff semi-final. Leeds will head back to Elland Road with a 1-0 advantage in the tie now. Will that be enough for the Whites to hold on and make it through? Will Derby have enough about them to mount a comeback? Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Leeds have a good advantage behind them now for this playoff tie. They badly needed that positive at Pride Park in the first leg of this semi-final too, as they fell out of form at the end of the regular season. Leeds took just the one point from their final four league games of the season. So they were struggling there and had lost back to back away games as well. Across the course of the regular season, Leeds posted a W14 D4 L5 record for the season at Elland Road. In their last five games of the regular season though they only posted a W2 D1 L2 record, taking one point from their final two games played.
Leeds averaged 1.65 goals per home game in the course of the regular season and had their defensive strengths as well. They conceded at an under a goal per game on average. In total Leeds earned a clean sheet in 39% of their home fixtures. They finished the regular season on a four-match scoring streak of form at Elland Road, and they were level at the halftime break in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches and they opened the scoring in 14 of their games. The Whites closed out the season with the fifth best home record of all teams in the Championship and the third-best defence overall.
The Rams were carrying great form through to the end of the regular season with them, so it was a little surprising that they let the home advantage slip in this tie. The Rams were on a four-match winning streak of form before the loss against Leeds in this first game of this tie. Now, what can they come up with on the road? Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, drawing two of those. Across the course of the regular season, they came up with seven away wins in a W7 D7 L9 record. They lost three of their five away games against the top five finishers.
Derby averaged 1.26 goals per away game, conceding at an average of 1.5 per road game. They did struggle for their away clean sheets, taking one in just 13% of their road fixtures. Of the seven wins that they did take away from home during the season, five of them were by a one-goal margin. Five of their nine away defeats were by a one-goal margin only. Derby finished the season on a six-match scoring streak, but how costly will that blank at Pride Park be? Derby only managed to open the scoring in one away game. They are going to have their work cut out for them.
The confidence that Leeds will have taken from their first leg success will have been huge. They can afford to be patient now and take the string out of this second leg. Another low scoring game could be on the cards. Leeds to win to nil.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
At one stage of the season, it looked as if Derby had blown their chances of reaching the playoffs this season. But the strong finish got them there in the end, the Rams having to hold their nerve. As for Leeds, a poor run of form over their final four matches of the season saw them squander a golden chance at automatic promotion. Can they pick themselves back up to challenge in this play-off semi-final? Read our Derby v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
Between the middle of February and early April, Derby managed to win just two of 10 league games and they didn’t look as if they were going to be partaking in playoff action this season. However, they rallied themselves well with Frank Lampard guiding his troops to 4 wins in their last six league games (D2). So that was a fantastic run of form and there were a couple of tough games in that sequence as well. They managed to earn a 2-0 away win at Bristol city who were still in the mix for a run at the playoffs at the time, and then on the final day of the season Derby made sure of their own playoff fate by beating West Brom at Pride Park.
The home form of Derby over the course of the season was W13 D7 L3. They produced a mixed bag of results from their five games against the teams who finished above them in the table, Derby going W2 D1 L2 from those five games. They averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season and they were impressive at the back, conceding at under a goal per home fixture. In total, Derby claimed a clean sheet in 37% of home games. Of their 13 home successes for the season, nine of them were by a margin of at least two goals. Derby are on a seven match undefeated streak of form home form and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last four home fixtures.
Leeds won 4-1 at Derby earlier this season
Leeds are undefeated in three league games against the Rams (W2 L1)
Derby have won one of their last four at home against Leeds (D1 L2)
Leeds are on a five-match scoring streak against the Rams
Well, it certainly turned all bit sour for Leeds at the end of the season. They managed to claim just the one point in their final four games of the campaign and pretty much summing up their demise, was a 3-2 away defeat at bottom side Ipswich on the final day of the season. So there has to be some concern over them ahead of this tough play-off semi-final. Basically, these had just lost their way with three defeats in their last four away games of the season as well (W1). So this is actually a big tough mental battle for them now. But they can take confidence from their performances in big away games during the course of the regular season. From their five away matches against other top six finishers leave produced a W4 L1 record.
The overall away form of Leeds this season was W11 D4 L8 and they average 1.5 goals per away game. In total, they claimed a clean sheet in 36% of their away games for the season. In 13 of their 23 away games during the regular season, Leeds were sat level at the halftime break in games. Seven of their 11 away wins recorded were by just the one goal margin only. The Whites scored 66% of their away goals in the second period of their away games. To finish the season, Leeds failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their final four games they are really going to need to rediscover their defensive strength ahead of this first leg away test against Derby. Leeds did finish the regular season with the third best defensive record in the second tier.
Give the respective form of these two at the end of the season, Burnley look well primed to earn a good advantage for themselves in the first leg of this semi-final tie. Leeds have just lost confidence in themselves. Derby to win.
7th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds badly need to get some momentum going again ahead of the playoffs. Their automatic promotion hopes were crushed with a poor run of form just at the wrong time to close out the season. They have a chance to snap back to winning ways here as they take on bottom side Ipswich. Read our Ipswich v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 3rd, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
The Tractor Boys have lost their last three league games, having taken just the one point from their last five played. They have won just the four league games this season, two each home and away. Their overall home record is just W2 D11 L9. During that campaign, they have managed only the 19 home goals as well. Just 23% of league fixtures at Portman Road have gone over 2.5 goals so this may not be a great spectacle. Even though they are bottom of the league, Ipswich have not done too badly in defence at home, averaging 1.3 per game against. However, they are currently without a clean a sheet in 8 home games, none in their last 18 home and away combined. At least after this, they can get to the summer and start rebuilding ahead of their season in League One next term.
Leeds claimed a 2-0 home win over Ipswich in October
The Tractor Boys won this corresponding fixture last season 1-0
Ipswich have won one of their last five league games against Leeds (D2 L2)
Leeds are unless in their last four trips to Portman Road
Leeds claimed a draw against Aston Villa in midweek, which is their only point from their last three league games. That dip in form cost them an automatic promotion place. Out on the road this season, Leeds are W11 D4 L7 and they have not done too badly on their recent travels. They are W3 L2 in their last five on the road. They failed to score in either of those defects though. Out on the road against sides currently in the bottom five in the table this season, Leeds have gone W3 D1 so they will be expected to be fine in this one. They need to come out and play and get a bit of confidence back behind them.
Leeds have averaged 1.5 goals per away game this season, taking a clean sheet in 32% of their road games. Of the eleven wins out on the road that they have taken this season, seven of them have been by a one-goal margin only. Leeds have been sat level at the halftime break in 12 of their 22 away games. Each of their last three away games have gone under 2.5 goals and the Whites have netted 67% of their away goals this season in the second half of games. Only the current top two of Norwich and Sheffield United have produced better away records in the Championship this season that Leeds have done.
Ipswich are pretty much a spent force and this is a great chance for Leeds to get some form back behind them ahead of the playoffs. That could be important as well as finishing third in the table to get a technically easier playoff match.
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds have fallen out of form at the wrong time, having lost their last two fixtures. They have missed out on automatic promotion. They go into a really tough game at Elland Road on Sunday as well as they face up to Villa. A huge surge of form from Villa has seen them lock down a playoff place. Will they be able to extend their massive winning streak? Read our Leeds v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 11/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 27th, 2019 at 9:00 p.m.)
Leeds have suffered back to back defeats against Wigan and Brentford. The fixture at home against the struggling Latics was a hammer blow for them in their push for automatic promotion. Not many people would have seen that result coming against such a poor away side. Leeds have posted a W14 D3 L5 record on home soil this season and they have won five of their last seven at Elland Road (L2). This is their final home fixture of the regular season and will be at least looking to try and get back into some kind of form. They have won five of their eight games at home against the current top ten sides (D1 L2).
Leeds average 1.7 goals per home game and their defence has stayed tight, conceiving at under a goal per game on average. In total, they have picked up a clean sheet in 41% of home games this term, which is superb. Of the home wins that they have taken, half of them have been by a two-goal margin at least. The Whites have been level at the halftime break in 11 of their home fixtures and they have scored 62% of their home goals in the second period of matches. Leeds have not been in involved in a league draw in any of their last thirteen played, home and away. In total, the Whites have opened the scoring in 13 home fixtures. Only Norwich and Sheffield United have better home records than Leeds do.
Leeds earned a 3-2 win at Villa earlier this season
There was a 1-1 draw in this corresponding fixture last season
Just one of the last seven meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Leeds are undefeated in their last five at Elland Road against Villa
Aston Villa took a 1-0 home win over Millwall last weekend which extended their winning streak ten games in the league. That’s been such a fantastic run from them since the start of March. Out on the road they are on a five match winning streak and are undefeated in their last six. The Villains have scored at least two goals in each of their last four away games now. Their overall away record is W9 D7 L6 this season, so it’s been this huge surge which has really bumped those numbers up. Villa’s away record this season against the other top four sides is W1 L2.
The Villains have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game this season, conceding at just over a goal per game. They have bagged a clean sheet in 27% of road games, and have two in their last five on the road. Six of their nine away success for the season have been by at least a two-goal margin. The Villains have been sat level at the halftime break in 13 of their 22 away fixtures. Overall home and away, they are unbeaten in their last eleven games and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last four on the road. 65% of Villa’s away goals have come in the second period of matches.
Leeds have to show a bit more character than what they have done in their last couple of games. They haven’t handled the pressure. They face a tough side in this one in the form of Aston Villa. But you feel that Villa’s winning streak has to end sooner or later. Draw.
27th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Brentford are set for a mid-table finish in the Championship this season and haven’t been in great winning touch lately. Leeds are looking to close out the season with a top-two finish, joining Norwich up in the top flight next season. Read our Brentford v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
The Bees did pick up a win in their last home fixture which was a 2-0 success over the relegated Ipswich. Their home form this season has been pretty good as they are at W12 D4 L5 this season on home soil. Of the five defeats which they have suffered at home though, four of them have been against current top-eight sides. So it is really only against the better sides that the Bees have struggled.
Brentford currently have just a W1 D1 L1 record in their last three on home soil but were on a five-match winning streak at home prior to that. The Bees have scored very well this season as they are averaging over two goals per home game this term. They have tallied up a clean sheet in 33% of their home games for this campaign. Only three of their twelve home wins have been by a one-goal margin and they have been ahead at the half time break in eight home fixtures. Brentford have opened the scoring in 13 of their 21 home games.
There was a 1-1 draw between them earlier this season
Leeds have won their last two home games 1-0 against Brentford
Just one of the last eleven meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Four of the last five meetings have ended in a home win
The Whites collected a 2-0 success out at Preston in their last away game. They have earned a W11 D4 L6 record on their travels this season and they have won three of their last four on the road (L1). The loss in that sequence was a surprise reverse out at Birmingham. Leeds have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game this season and they have conceded at just over a goal per away game. I
n total, they have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their away games. Each of the last three wins on the road that the Whites have earned have been with a clean sheet. Leeds have been sat level at the half time break in 12 for their 21 away games which has lead to Leeds scoring 67% of their away goals in the second half of matches. 9 of their 12 half time away draws have been 0-0 score lines. Leeds have actually only opened the scoring in eight away games this season.
The Bees have been off the boil a bit lately and should be there for the taking. Leeds aren’t a bad side away from home at all and with so much still at stake for them, then they are likely to be driving harder at this. Leeds to win at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from Paddy Power on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
20th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds have won their last two league games and if they keep that going until the end of the season, they will guarantee automatic promotion. This isn’t a bad home game for them as well with Wigan struggling to avoid relegation. The Latics are two points clear of the drop zone. Read our Leeds v Wigan betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 4:58 p.m.)
Leeds took a home win over Sheffield Wednesday last weekend, so that is back to back league successes for them. At Elland Road, they have produced a W14 D3 L4 record this season and they have won five of their last six there. Leeds have won their last two on home soil and this one will be their penultimate home league game for the season. Leeds have averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season. Defensively they have conceded at under a goal per home fixture.
Leeds have banked a clean sheet in 43% of their home games this season. They have not been involved in a home draw in any of their last 13 at Elland Road. Leeds have scored two-thirds of their home goals in the second period of fixtures. They have opened the scoring in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds have the joint-best home record this season in the Championship alongside leaders Norwich. They have the third-best defence as well and the Whites are the fourth highest scorers.
Leeds earned a 2-1 away win over Wigan earlier this season
Leeds are unbeaten in their last four against the Latics
Wigan are W2 D2 L1 in their five previous games at Elland Road
The overall head to head is even at four wins each and four draws
Wigan held out for a good point at home against Norwich on the weekend. They are only the two points above the drop zone though heading back into the weekend so have some work to do. It has been a poor season away from home that they have had, with just a W1 D4 L16 record behind them. The Latics have averaged under a goal per away game, while they have collected exactly two goals per road game on average.
Wigan have lost four of their last five out on their travels, but they have scored in all but one of their last seven away from home. They have not won any of their last 19 league away games though and in that span of matches haven’t earned a clean sheet either. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five away games. Each of those five went over 2.5 goals. Wigan have scored 74% of their away goals in the first period of fixtures.
Leeds surely have to take their chances in this one at Elland Road. Wigan have had a dreadful season on the road and the Whites can pounce in this one. Leeds to win to nil looks a solid enough proposition.
16th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds are holding down second place heading into the weekend and three points here will guarantee that they finish the weekend there. After a good midweek away win, the get back to Elland Road where they will be facing the Owl. Sheffield Wednesday have been in pretty good form, but are likely to miss out on the playoffs. Read our Leeds v Sheffield Wednesday betting tips for more.
Sheffield Wednesday 9/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 11th, 2019 at 3:44 p.m.)
The Whites earned a 2-0 win at Preston in midweek to move back up into second place in the table. At Elland Road this season they are W13 D3 L4 and they have won four of their last five on home soil (L1). The Whites have scored at least two goals in all but one of their last five at Elland Road as well now. At home in this season’s campaign, the Whites have tallied up 35 goals, while they have conceded at under a goal per game on average. In total they have banked a clean sheet in 40% of home games.
Three of their last four home successes have been by a one-goal margin only. Of the goals which Leads have produced at home this season, 63% of them have been in the second half of fixtures. They have opened the scoring in 11 of their 20 home fixtures, while have been leading at the halftime break in seven. Norwich are the only side to have earned more points at home this season in the Championship than Leeds have done. Leeds are the joint fourth-top scorers as well. The whites also boast the third best defensive record.
There was a 1-1 draw when they met earlier in the season
Sheffield Wednesday are undefeated in their last three against Leeds (W2 D1)
Leeds are W2 D3 L1 in their last six home games against the Owls
Sheffield Wednesday won 2-1 at Elland Road last season
The Owls have been in good form since just before Christmas. They have lost just two league fixtures in their last twenty played in the Championship. They have suffered only the one in their last fourteen, which was at home against Aston Villa. That means that the Owls are on a six-match undefeated streak of away form on the road at the moment and they have kept each of their last three road games to under 2.5 goals. While they are a tough side to beat on the road, they are W2 D4 in their last six road fixtures.
The overall away record of the Owls this season is W6 D6 L8. They have produced 21 goals in total which is nothing spectacular. They have taken a clean sheet in 30% of their away games and they have earned a clean sheet in four of their last six away from home. Of the goals which they have scored on their travels, two-thirds of them have been in the second half of games. They have also conceded two-thirds of their away goals after the halftime break. The Owls have been level at halftime in 9 of their 20 away games. Can they frustrate the Whites at Elland Road?
This is likely to be a tight battle, but Leeds on home soil may be able to just nick it. The Owls have done very well on the road recently, but not in terms of winning too many. Leeds need three points and they can earn them.
12th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Preston have been hit with back to back defeats in the league. But even with that said they are only the five points outside of the top six. But they need to get their momentum back quickly. Leeds have lost two of their last three now after suffering a shock defeat away at Birmingham over the weekend. Read our Preston v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 7th, 2019 at 4:02 p.m.)
Preston have had a bit of a setback in their last couple of games, back-to-back defeats against Reading and Sheffield United. Before that dip in their form, they were on a 12 match undefeated streak in the Championship. The defeat suffered against Sheffield United was at home at Deepdale which snapped a seven-match undefeated streak of form that Preston were on at home. Preston’s home record this season in the Championship is W7 D9 L4 and in those games, they have produced an average of 1.7 goals per game. There have been a lot of high-scoring games at Deepdale this season with 45% of fixtures there ending up over 3.5 goals.
Preston have earned a clean sheet in a quarter of their home games and each of their last four home fixtures have ended up going under 2.5 goals. 68% of the goals that they have conceded at home this season have been in the second period of fixtures. While they were on that long undefeated streak of form at home, Preston have only actually claimed two home wins in their last seven at Deepdale. Both teams have scored in 70% of games at Preston this season. Home and away this season, Preston have claimed 15 league wins and 9 of those have been by just the one-goal margin. They have been winning at the half time break in nine home games this season (D8 L3).
Leeds took a 3-0 home success over Preston back in September
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Preston won this corresponding fixture last season
Leeds have lost just one of their last eight league games against Preston
Leeds can’t quite get their consistency going at the moment as they have suffered two defeats in their last three games (W1). There was a shock defeat for them on the weekend as they suffered a 1-0 loss at St Andrews against a struggling Birmingham. That leaves Leeds with an away record of W10 D4 L6 in the Championship this season. They are W2 L2 in their last four away from Elland Road. If they claim three points in this game, it would put them back up into second place over Sheffield United with the Blades playing on Wednesday. Leeds have averaged 1.5 goals per away game, claiming a clean sheet in 30% of road fixtures.
Out on the road against teams who are currently in the top half of the table, Leeds are W6 D2 L2 which is a very good return from such fixtures. Of the 10 wins that Leeds have collected away from home this season, seven of them have been by just the one-goal margin. Leeds have been level at half-time in 11 of their 20 road games. The Whites have scored 65% of their away goals after the halftime break in fixtures. They have surprisingly only opened the scoring in 7 of their 20 road games this term. Leeds head into the midweek action with only three teams in the Championship holding better away records than theirs.
Preston are not an easy side to get the better of on home soil and they may well be able to dig in there and frustrate their visitors on Tuesday. Leeds haven’t gotten the results that they have wanted recently and may have to settle for a point. Draw.
8th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Birmingham’s troubles continued last weekend with a loss at the Hawthorns against West Brom. That, combined with their points-deduction, leaves them only five points above the drop zone. Leeds got themselves a good home win on the weekend to push themselves back up into second place at the expense of Sheffield United. Read our Birmingham v Leeds betting tips for more.
Leeds even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 5:11 p.m.)
Thing went from bad to worse for Birmingham last weekend with a 3-2 loss at West Brom. That is a five-match losing streak that they are on in the Championship, and pile on top of that their points deduction and March was a really rough month for them. They are back at home on the weekend where they hold a W6 D8 L5 record this season. They have lost back to back league games there though without scoring and they are currently winless in four at St Andrew’s with a D1 L3 record in hat sequence.
Birmingham have failed to score in four of their last five league games home and away. They have netted in just one of their last four at home. The Blues have averaged 1.4 goals per home game this season and they haven’t done bad defensively. They have conceded an average of just over a goal per game with a clean sheet in 32% of home games. However, with that having been said, they haven’t taken an clean sheet home and away in any of their last nine games. The Blues have conceded 65% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures, having been level at the break in 11 of 19 home games.
Leeds have lost one of their last four visits to St Andrew’s (W2 D1)
Birmingham took a 2-1 win at Elland Road in September
The Blues have won back to back league games against Leeds
Birmingham have scored in 9 of their last 10 against Leeds
After having lost against Sheffield United in their previous game, Leeds got their promotion push back on track with a 3-2 home win over Millwall last weekend. They will be looking for their third straight away win on the weekend after taking out Bristol City and Reading in their last two road games. Leeds are W10 D4 L5 this season in the division on their travels. They have had no problem sticking the ball in the back of the net, having averaged 1.6 goals per away games and they have scored in all but one of their away games this season which is a fantastic record.
Leeds have earned a clean sheet in a third of their away games and seven of their ten away wins this season have been by a one-goal margin only. The Whites have been level at half time in eleven of their away games. They have come up with 65% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures. Their last two wins on the road have both been with a clean sheet. Only Norwich and West Brom have managed to pick up better away records than what Leeds have collected this season in the Championship. They also have the fourth best offensive and defensive records.
The Blues are in a mess at the moment and Leeds have produced results away from home recently. The visitors should just have enough to get over the line and they are a decent price at which to collect the win as well. Leeds to win.
5th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds had a setback last time out in the league as they lost a big duel at Elland Road against Sheffield United, conceding second place in the table to the Blades. Will the Whites be able to snap back to winning form as they welcome Millwall? The Lions are hovering perilously close to the drop zone still. Read our Leeds v Millwall betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 5:16 p.m.)
That was a blow for Leeds and their push for an automatic promotion spot last time out. They had a chance to open up a five-point cushion in second place, but instead lost against Sheffield United and now are playing catch up. Leeds have won four of their last six games, home and away in the second tier. They have had a good time on home soil for the large part this season, their overall home record is W12 D3 L4 currently.
The loss against Sheffield United snapped a three-match winning streak that they had put together at Elland Road. Leeds have averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season, conceding just an average of 0.84 per game. Less than half of their home games have finished above 2.5 goals. Leeds have earned a clean sheet in 42% of all home games, but only have one in their last five at Elland Road. The Whites have scored 62% of their home goals in the second half of matches. Only the current top two boast a better home record than Leeds.
There was a 1-1 draw in a meeting at The Den in September
Millwall are undefeated in three against Leeds (W2 D1)
Leeds have won five of their last six home games against the Lions
Both teams have scored in just 3 of the last 11 meetings
Millwall are only one point above the drop zone. They gave themselves a huge lift last time out though as they snapped a four-match losing streak by beating Birmingham 2-0 away from home. Millwall are only at W3 D4 L12 this season away from home in the Championship so they are naturally massive underdogs here. They have lost their two away games played at current top four sides this season.
Millwall have averaged exactly a goal per away game this season. They have only managed a clean sheet in 16% of their road games though. Eight of their twelve away losses this season have been by just the one-goal margin. The half time away record of Millwall is at W3 D7 L9. As a positive, they have scored in each of their last six league games, home and away. 68% of their away goals scored have been in the second half of fixtures. Just three sides have a worse away record in the division than Millwall.
This is a golden opportunity for Leeds to return to winning ways. They have the strengths at home to keep the Lions at bay. Leeds to win to nil looks a pretty good proposition in the fixture.
29th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting