There is a top three clash in Serie A on Friday night as league leaders Juventus play host to third-placed Inter Milan. While this is a top three clash Inter are a massive eleven points behind the leaders and even at this stage look to have far much to do to catch up. Still, they will be looking to become the first side to beat the Old Lady in the league this term. Read our Juventus v Inter betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 5th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
Juventus picked up a good 3-0 road win at Fiorentina last weekend. That was their fifth league win on the bounce. It extended their unbeaten form for the league season too out to W13 D1 which is pretty impressive. In Turin, they have a W6 D1 record, the only failure to win there was a 1-1 draw against Genoa in late October. On home soil in Serie A Juventus have averaged over two goals per game. They have only shipped the four home goals against them as well. Juventus have a clean sheet in 43% of home games this term.
Juventus have earned a clean sheet in each of their last three league outings home and away combined and at home, less than half of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. The Old Lady have hit the back of the net in all of their league matches this season, scoring at least two in each of their last five alone. They have also been leading at the halftime break in five of their seven home games. Cristiano Ronaldo is on a three-match scoring streak in the Italian top flight.
There was a 0-0 draw between them last season in this corresponding fixture
Juventus are unable in six home games against Inter in all competitions
Both teams have scored in just two of the last eight in all competitions
In the last six league meetings, Juve are W3 D2 L1 against Inter
Just two of the last six league clashes have gone over 2.5 goals
Inter failed to earn maximum points last weekend as they were held to a 2-2 draw at Roma. They have gone W9 D2 L3 in Serie A this season which has been a great return from them. Away from the San Siro their record is W4 D1 L2 but are winless at D1 L1 in their last two. That was after winning four away games on the bounce. Inter have conceded six goals in their last road games and that was after only conceding two in their previous five. Out on their travels, Inter have come up with 12 goals in their 7 games and 71% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Inter have scored 67% of their away goals in the second half of games and they have shipped 75% of away goals after the halftime break. Their scoring form has been consistent this season as they have gotten on the scoreboard in each of their last ten league games (home and away combined). They are on a six-match scoring streak away from home in the league too. Each to their last five games home and away have made it over 2.5 goals. The only side to have conceded fewer goals in the league than Inter this season is Juventus. Only two teams have scored more than they have.
Juventus to win to nil at 6/4
Under 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 4th, 2018 at 6:34 pm)
It is just so hard to oppose Juventus, even in top clashes like this. They are so immensely strong in the league on home soil, that even Inter are probably going to struggle. Juve knows how to handle themselves in top matches like this. Home win to nil.
5th December 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
There are two form sides having a showdown in this one on Monday night in a top-four clash. Inter are on a five-match winning streak in Serie A and will be looking to hold off the attentions of Lazio. Lazio are in great form too having won five of their last six in the league and they are just a point behind Inter. Read our Lazio v Inter betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 26th, 2018 at 1:21 p.m.)
Lazio have won back to back league games heading into this fixture, that was after banking a comfortable 2-0 away win at Parma last weekend. Both of those wins were with a clean sheet. In their last seven league games, Lazio have powered their way to a W6 L1 record, with the only reverse in that sequence happening in a fixture against Roma. Lazio have lost their two games so far this season played against sides currently in the top four (Napoli and Juventus) so that is a bit of a concern from a betting perspective. Lazio are W4 L1 at home this season, winning each of their last three.
Lazio have produced the seven home goals across four games this season and two of those games have seen them get a clean sheet. Under 2.5 goals is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). There is a good trend with Lazio in that they have opened the scoring in each of their four home games this season while they have not been trailing at halftime in any of them. Ciro Immobile is on a three-match scoring streak in the top flight. Immobile is 5/6 in the anytime goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). Lazio have put together a seven-match scoring streak in the top flight and four of their six wins this season have been by a one-goal margin.
Inter took four points from league meetings with Lazio last season
Three of the last four meetings have produced an away win (D1) (all competitions)
Four of the last five meetings in all competitions have gone over 2.5 goals
Lazio have lost their last two league home games against Inter
Inter have scored exactly three goals in three of their last four league games against Lazio
Inter are unbeaten in four Serie A games against Lazio (D2)
Inter came out on top in a Milan derby last weekend, Mauro Icardi getting the weekend deep into stoppage time for them at the San Siro. Those three points moved Inter onto a five-match winning streak in the top flight. Four of the six wins Inter have recorded this season have all been with a clean sheet as well. An Inter to win to nil option is at 9/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). The interesting thing about them in this one is that they have yet to face a current top four side either home or away this season.
Inter are on a three-match winning streak away from home, shipping only two goals in their four road fixtures. The 1-1 correct score option is the shortest-priced option in the market at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 28th, 2018 at 12:13 pm). Inter have scored the bulk of their goals (83% actually) away from home in the second half of games. They have opened the scoring in all but one of their four road games as well. The half time draw probably isn’t a bad option for this. Inter Milan have scored 54% of their goals after the 75th minute. Mauro Icardi has scored each of Inter’s last three goals in Serie A and Icardi is at 6/5 in the anytime goalscorer market
The draw tops out our prediction for Lazio v Inter. They have very similar form this season and the reason we can’t fully support Inter for a win is that they are untested against the top sides in the league so far. Draw.
28th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting
It is a big Milan derby at the San Siro on the weekend and it should be a good showdown. Inter are up in third place in the table four points clear of Milan who are a long way down the standing in tenth. So Milan could make a massive move for themselves with a win in this one. Read our Inter v AC Milan betting tips for more.
AC Milan 2/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 17th, 2018 at 9:55 p.m.)
Inter are on a big four-match winning streak in Serie A, so were really starting to put it together after some sticky form early on. They are W2 D1 L1 at home this season but have won their last two there. They have scored exactly two goals in three of their four home games. We do feel this is going to be close and competitive and an Inter Milan 2-1 correct score option is at 17/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). Four of their six home goals this season have been netted in the first half of games. They have not conceded a first-half goal on home soil yet this term. The half time draw looks a pretty solid option for this one.
Four of their five wins this season have been by a one-goal margin only so Inter to win by a one-goal margin is handily priced up at 3/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). Their big threat up front is Mauro Icardi who has three goals in his last three games for Inter. He has just the one at home through this season which was from the penalty spot. Everything about this game just screams that it is going to be competitive. Opening up a seven-point lead over the rivals with a win would go down a treat.
AC Milan have started putting things together well too this season. They lost their opener against Napoli but have remained undefeated in their six league games since (W3 D3). A win would be huge for them as it would put them to within a point of Inter (who start in third) and AC Milan would have a game in hand over them as well. AC Milan have outscored their rivals this season in the league, despite having played a game less. They have fifteen against Inter’s twelve goals.
So that is a good indicator that they are going to pose a big challenge to Inter here. Both teams to score is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on October 17th, 2018 at 10:32 pm). They have had their issues at the back to be fair as they have not yet earned a clean sheet in Serie A so far. They have shipped exactly one goal in five of their seven league games this season. Their defeat at Napoli is their only game so far this season against a current top four side. They have only picked up a W1 D2 L1 record on their travels this season. They went into the international break having scored seven goals in two though.
Last season there was a 3-2 win for Inter in this fixture, with the reverse ending in a 0-0 draw. Three of the last four Milan derby matches in Serie A have finished in a draw. Over the last six league meetings, Inter are narrowly ahead with a W2 D3 L1 record. Four of the last five meetings have actually gone over 2.5 goals.
There is a nice odds-against price on Inter to come out on top in this game. It should be another tight contest between them, but Inter shade things ever so slightly in overall quality and are the more settled of the two.
18th October 2018 / lee - Category: European Football Betting