This is the pick of the bunch when it comes to international friendly matches this week. Germany will be taking on Argentina in Dortmund and it is the hosts who are favourites. Neither squad is going to be at full strength for this one, with Germany having taken a heavy hit with injuries. Read our Germany v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 8th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Germany will be lining up against Estonia on the 13th in their one game in the European Championships qualifiers during this international break. They get a warm-up for that one by taking on Argentina on Wednesday night. The Germans have won four of their last five games played, the one exception in that run, a 2-4 loss at home against the Netherlands in the Euro 2020 qualifiers. That is their only loss in their last eight fixtures and they seem to be on the road to recovery after a difficult year from late 2017 through to the end of the Nations League.
They are scoring a lot more freely at the moment, Die Mannschaft having netted at least two goals in each of their last five games played. Just once in their last eight have they failed to score at least two goals in a fixture. Surprisingly they have won only one of their last four at home, but have scored at least two goals in five of their last six. Germany aren’t at full strength with several players like Toni Kroos, Ilkay Gundogan and Timo Werner sidelined.
The last meeting was a friendly in 2014 which Argentina won
Argentina have won two of the last three meetings
Germany trails the head to head W2 D3 L5
Both teams have scored in two of the last five meetings
Argentina are always a really hard side to read when it comes to international friendly matches. It is not always them at their strongest that you see. But they have a good record nonetheless. Argentina are undefeated in their last four international friendly games, conceding just one goal in that sequence of games. However, really since that 6-1 drubbing by Spain back in March last year, they haven’t faced anyone of note other than Brazil (L1) and Mexico (W3).
So their experiences against European nations are hard to gauge. They aren’t at full complement for this one, with Lionel Messi out injured, and the Albiceleste have some fresh faces in their squad. Argentina has suffered just one loss in their last 10 friendly away games. However, the quality of opposition has to come into question in that sequence against the likes of Hong Kong, El Salvador and Iraq.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
With both nations being deprived of some key figures, this may turn out to be a lower-key affair than expected. Germany certainly won’t want to risk too much ahead of their Euro 2020 qualifiers against Estonia. The Germans are a good home team, so they can grab the win by a one-goal margin.
8th October 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
While Germany are running as outright favourites to win the World Cup 2014, punters are going to be recognising some value on Argentina. Even though Germany ran riot over Brazil in their quarter final match, it is likely that the final is going to be a pretty close, tense affair. No-one is going to want to go out and get all gung-ho, not in the final. There is going to be an element of caution-first.
That being the case, it will play into the hands of Argentina very nicely. They like the game slow, they are happy to use spoiling tactics when they are ahead, and then just get the ball to Lionel Messi to try and do some damage. With Messi trading as the favourite to win the Player of the Tournament award, then the Albiceleste have a good shot here and they aren’t such a long price that they are heavy underdogs.
So they could represent huge value, especially in the To Lift the Trophy market at online betting site Bwin. Argentina are great value odds at 7/5 with Bwin to land the trophy by whatever means necessary. This is a shorter priced option than the match outright of course, but that is because of the extra coverage available.
It doesn’t matter if Argentina win in 90 minutes, in extra time or in a penalty shoot out, as long as they get their hands on the trophy then you will be in profit. With star performers like Lionel Messi and Thomas Muller on show, it is going to be worth taking advantage of a great promotion at Bwin on the first goalscorer market. If your winning selection scores two or three goals in a match then you will be paid out double or treble winnings!
13th July 2014 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting
This will be the third time that the two have contested the World Cup Final. The honours stand even at one apiece, but Germany are trading as favourites to land the victory in this one. That will be on the back of the way that they stunned host nation Brazil with a 7-1 victory in the semi final, in what was a remarkable match. Can Argentina, who have a strong defence, handle the Europeans? The odds on Argentina to win against Germany are 5/2 against the 13/10 odds on Die Mannschaft.
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Germany have already created one of the memories of the entire history of the World Cup thanks to their demolition of Brazil. Can they take it a step further now and finish off with the title in their hands at the expense of Argentina? Germany are the favourites to bag the win in what will be their eighth World Cup final. They hold the record for the most appearances in the final, having won three of the previous seven. The way that they clinically targeted Brazil’s defensive weaknesses was incredible and it showed the special talent that they do have in their ranks.
Germany are looking for their fourth World Cup title, but they have only won one of their last four World Cup Final appearances. Still, they are in tremendous form at the moment and are unbeaten in their last 17 international matches. Miroslav Klose now holds the all-time scoring record in the competition thanks to his goal against Brazil, while Thomas Muller, who has had a hand in sixteen World Cup goals in just twelve appearances looks bags of value at 2/1 in the anytime goalscorer market. He has matched his five goal Golden Boot winning haul from four years and if he gets one more then he will walk off with the Golden Boot again, becoming the first player ever to win it at successive tournaments.
Because this is the final and Argentina have a tough defence, and with Germany having kept three clean sheets in the competition themselves, it could be worth going under 2.5 goals. Keeper Manuel Neuer has continuously proven why he is regarded as the best in the world. You have to ask yourself whether Germany are likely to be as explosive as they were in the semi final. Tough to reproduce that in back to back games.
This will be the sixth time that the two nations have faced off against each other in the World Cup. From those six meetings, Germany have only lost the once against Argentina, and Germany took a big 4-0 quarterfinal victory over the Albiceleste four years ago in South Africa. Both Thomas Muller and Miroslav Klose were on the scoresheet on that occasion. Germany did lose the most recent meeting between the two nations, a 3-1 friendly defeat in 2012, and they trail the overall head to head 9-6.
While Germany have been swashbuckling, Argentina have been the antithesis of that, but it has worked equally as well. The Albiceleste have done just enough in their matches to get through, but they have not looked particularly fluent or convincing going forward. They aren’t prepared to, or for some reason can’t, get bodies into the box to convert chances. All of the wins in the World Cup so far this year have been by a single goal margin (including extra time) and then they needed a penalty shoot out too see of Holland in the final four. The Albiceleste have triumphed in four of five penalty shoot outs that they have been involved in at the World Cup.
Argentina are defensively strong and because they don’t commit a lot going forward, they are tough to break down. They have kept four clean sheets so far and haven’t conceded a goal in the knockout stage yet. They have also not been behind in the competition so far. They are back in the final of the World Cup for the fifth time in their history, having converted on two of their previous four appearances. Lionel Messi has had a brilliant tournament so far, but he hasn’t been able to add to his group stage goals. He has scored five World Cup goals in his career and not one of them have been in the knockout stages. He is carrying the can for them, he makes everything happen with the ball at his feet, and he has created more goal scoring chances than anyone else in the World Cup 2014 so far. Messi, is 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market.
From ten previous Europe or South America Finals, there has been seven wins for South American nations. Given Argentina’s defence as well, they could spring a surprise in this one. Did Germany peak one game too early? The Odds on Argentina to win against Germany at 5/2 at tempting enough to have a punt on.
12th July 2014 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting
This is it. Germany v Argentina in the World Cup Final. The two antepost joint second favourites come together to meet at the Maracana in Rio on Sunday, July 13th for the biggest prize in football.
Die Mannschaft are running as favourites to win the final now after they made a huge statement in their semi final match against host nation Brazil, crushing the Selecao 7-1. It was such an audacious, tactically brilliant and ruthless victory that punters have flooded to back the Germans to go one step further and win their fourth World Cup in what will be their eighth final.
The regular market price on Germany to win against Argentina is pretty short at 4/7, and they are 4/6 shots in To Lift The Cup market. They of course have a huge ace up their sleeve in Thomas Muller, whose incredible scoring feats in World Cup matches has seen the 24 year old land five-goal hauls in back to back World Cups.
Will Muller make the difference and outshine Lionel Messi?
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12th July 2014 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting
Who will the media representatives who get to decide who was Player of the Tournament at the World Cup 2014 decide upon? Who will be bestowed with the individual award? Four years ago it was Uruguay’s Diego Forlan who walked away with the title, with Lionel Messi playing a very quiet bit part in that tournament.
But four years on and Lionel Messi has lived up to his top billing and is now 6/4 favourite to win the Golden Boot with online betting Bet365. The Barcelona man has been a prominent force at the World Cup so far, not only weighing in with some vital goals, but scoring some beautiful ones too. He has never before scored a goal in the knockout stages of the World Cup so will be hoping to change that in the final against Germany on Sunday.
No-one has created more goalscoring chances at the World Cup 2014 than Lionel Messi has done, 21 of them in total. He has also embarked on more dribbles than anyone else (65) and he has completed a tournament high 39 of them. So he has certainly been involved, even though many would have expected him to be closer to the Golden Boot title as well.
There is an outside chance that Messi could win the Golden Boot. He would need two goals in the final and a couple of assists, or a hattrick for himself, and hope that Germany’s Thomas Muller doesn’t find the back of the net. They are both trying to match or beat Colombia’s James Rodriguez’s haul of six goals. If it ends even, then it comes down to assist, where Muller leads 3-1 over Messi heading into the Final.
Muller, at a price of 3/1 with online bookmaker Bet365 in Golden Ball odds at the World Cup, is the biggest threat to Messi. The German star has again amassed a five goal haul, the same tally that won him the Golden Boot four years ago at South Africa 2010. If he scores in the final then he’ll likely win the Golden Boot and become the first man to ever win it at successive World Cups. It would be a tough decision to deny Muller the Golden Ball as well if he does that.
But with Lionel Messi being the king of media attention, it is likely that the award would go to him, and the bookmakers recognise that and have Lionel Messi Golden Ball odds at 6/4.
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12th July 2014 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting