There was some big action in the Next Premier League Manager To Go market this weekend. On Saturday, Everton boss Marco Silva was the name at the head of the list as he watched his side crumble yet again. But 24 hours later it was Chelsea boss Maurizio Sarri who had replaced Silva as the most-backed man to go after his side were destroyed by Man City.
Maurizio Sarri 4/5
Marco Silva 3/1
Claude Puel 5/1
Claudio Ranieri 16/1
Rafa Benitez 16/1
Neil Warnock 25/1
Manuel Pellegrini 40/1
Roy Hodgson 40/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 10th, 2019 at 7:23 p.m.)
Sarri is 4/5 to be the next boss to lose his job in the top flight* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 10th, 2019 at 7:23 p.m.). Chelsea paid a visit to the Etihad with no away form behind them and the Londoners were torn to shreds in a 6-0 defeat. Granted anyone would have found Man City hard to handle because they were brilliant, but it further highlighted the demise of Chelsea.
The Blues dropped down to sixth at the close of the weekend and things are not going well at the Bridge. Sarri, who has looked increasingly frustrated, has called his players out for not getting motivated enough this season. He seems to have been picking at their star player Eden Hazard and has rapidly been looking as if he has been losing his way. Chelsea really pushed the boat out to get the Italian in the summer.
Will they take lessons from the likes of Liverpool with Jurgen Klopp and Man City with Pep Guardiola and give Sarri the time he needs to build the Blues back to greatness? Chelsea are rarely a club who looks in that direction though. They demand immediate success and that could spell trouble for Sarri.
They have to try and deal with Man City in the EFL Cup final in a couple of weeks and their next league game is against Tottenham.
Up in the northeast, Marco Silva must be feeling immense pressure too. Everton had been pursuing him for so long and now they have him, they have started to go backwards. The Toffees lost 1-0 at Watford on Saturday, their third straight league defeat and their sixth in their last eight played. After visiting Cardiff, Everton then go to Anfield in the Premier League. Will a derby defeat be the final straw for the partnership?
11th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford are just missing a winning touch from their current form, which has been pretty solid and stable. They have lost just one of their last six played and will be looking to make the most of home advantage in this one. Everton will go into this one after back to back defeats. Read our Watford v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
The Hornets drew again last weekend as they played out a 0-0 draw at Brighton. They came under some pressure in the game as well, keeper Ben Foster keeping Watford in it. That is four draw matches in their last six played now for Watford (W1 D1). However, their performances at Vicarage Road against teams currently in the top half of the table are worth noting. They are W1 L5 from six against top ten opponents this season. So that’s been a pretty poor return. Overall they have a W5 D2 L5 home return.
Watford have scored 16 home goals and have conceded 18. A high percentage of 75% of their games at Vicarage Road have gone over 2.5 goals. They have earned a clean sheet in a quarter of their home games and in two of their last three home and away combined. Three of Watford’s five home wins have been by a one-goal margin. The Hornets have scored 69% of their goals at home in the second half of fixtures this season. Just four times they have opened the scoring at home and they have conceded in 75% of home fixtures.
There was an entertaining 2-2 draw between these two earlier this season
Watford have won their last two at home against Everton, unbeaten in three
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Six of the last eight comings-together have gone over 2.5 goals
The Toffees lost against Wolves last weekend in the top flight and then had an extra shift in midweek, suffering another loss against Manchester City. That has left Everton with a W3 L5 record in their last eight top-flight games. Overall this season they have only managed to put together a W3 D3 L6 record on their travels. It has been three losses in their last four on the road, the only exception being a 1-0 win out at bottom side Huddersfield. Everton still haven’t won an away game this season against any of the current top-ten side.
Everton have returned 15 goals in their away games this season, having conceded 19. They have only earned the two clean sheets away from Goodison Park in this season’s EPL. They have been level at the break in eight of their thirteen road games. Six of those eight were 0-0 half time scores. Their loss at Man City on Wednesday saw them have a four-match scoring streak snapped. Everton have conceded a heavy bulk of their away goals this season in the second half of fixtures.
Everton have been in decline but Watford have struggled for wins at home against the better sides this season. The thing about the Hornets is that they are capable of playing well at times and may have enough to edge this.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Manchester City made an impressive statement on Sunday as they cruised to a home win over Arsenal. That was a perfect response to a shock loss against Newcastle in their previous match. City jump back into action on Wednesday evening as they face up to Everton who saw their difficult season continue with a home loss against Wolves on the weekend. Read our Everton v Manchester City betting tips for more.
Man City 1/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 3rd, 2019 at 8:04 p.m.)
Things are just not quite going away Everton at the moment. They were booed off the pitch at the end of the 3-1 reverse at home against Wolves on Saturday. In their last eight League games, Everton have lost five. Their home form has been slipping away too as they are now just W1 L3 in their last four fixtures at Goodison Park. The overall home form of Everton this season is W6 D3 L4 and again three of those last four defeats have been in their last four home fixtures.
In their 11 games this season (home and away combined) against sides currently in the top half of the table, Everton have a poor record of just the one win in that sequence of such games. In eight of their 13 home games this season Everton, have been level at the halftime break. The Toffees have earned just the one clean sheet in their last six League home fixtures. Throughout out their home campaign this season, Everton have only failed to score in the one home Premier League fixture. Everton have not been involved in a draw in any of their last nine League games, home or away.
Manchester City have won their last two League games against Everton by a 3-1 scoreline
Everton have won only one of their last 11 League games against the citizens
Three of the last four meetings have gone over 3.5 goals
Both teams have scored in five of their last six meetings in all competitions
Manchester City produced a fantastic performance at home against Arsenal on Sunday in a response to their shock loss into Newcastle. Sergio Aguero grabbed a hat-trick in the game. That victory leaves Manchester City with five wins in their last six Premier League games played. It was also the fourth time in their last six games that they have scored exactly 3 goals in the League fixture. Before that recent loss out at Newcastle, Manchester City had won back-to-back road games over Southampton and Huddersfield. Overall this season the citizens have posted a W7 D2 L3 away record.
Manchester City have averaged just under two goals per game away from home this season, and despite the odd defensive wobble they have conceded at under a goal per game on their travels. Three of the four losses though that Manchester City have suffered this season have been away from home (at Chelsea, Leicester and then Newcastle). City have taken a clean sheet in 50% of their away games but only have one in their last five. Manchester City have a tremendous record of winning at half-time in 8/12 away games played this season.
Will City be able to hold their nerve out on the road again? They have had vulnerabilities on their travels, but they are facing an Everton side who just can’t seem to put things together at the moment. A narrow away win would suit City fine and so Manchester City to win to nil is our prediction.
4th February 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
While it has not been the most convincing stuff from Everton this season, they will be going out in search of landing back-to-back wins on Saturday. After taking an away win at Huddersfield, they get the chance to follow up on home soil as they face Wolves. Wolves enjoyed a big success in midweek in thumping West Ham. Read our Everton v Wolves betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
Everton got themselves a very welcome three points on a trip to bottom side Huddersfield on Tuesday. They got a goal on the board early in the game, but couldn’t find a second, ending up winning the game 1-0. They did finish the game with 10 men. It is back to Goodison Park for them on the weekend where they have a W6 D3 L3 Premier League record this season. Things haven’t been going too well for them there. A 2-0 win over Bournemouth in their last home fixture snapped a four-match winless streak on Merseyside for them (D2 L2). Overall home and away Everton have lost five of their last eight league fixtures (D3).
The Toffees have averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season and 33% of their games at Goodison Park have ended up over 3.5 goals. Everton have taken a clean sheet in a third of their home fixtures and in fact, four of their five home wins this season have been with one. Everton have had a big trend of being level at the half-time break in Premier League games this season. In 16 of their 24 games played this term, they have been drawing at half-time. 11 of those 16 half-time draws were 0-0 scorelines. Everton have scored the opening goal in eight of their 12 home games played.
Everton earned a point in a 2-2 draw at Wolves earlier this season
Three of the last five meetings have ended in a draw
Everton have scored at least two goals in three of their last four against Wolves
Wolves are winless in their last eight trips to Goodison Park
If anyone needs a model of how to survive in the Premier League following Championship promotion, they should just look at Wolves. Wolves took a 3-0 home win over West Ham on Tuesday making it back-to-back league victories for them. They produced seven goals in those two games as well. Overall this season away in the top flight, Wolves have posted a W4 D3 L3 record. Three of those away wins have been against sides who are currently sat in the bottom half of the table. However, they have lost just one of their four away games played against sides currently in the top eight.
Wolves lost 3-0 Manchester City their last away game, but in the away fixture before that they took a fantastic win at Tottenham. Wolves have averaged exactly one goal per away game this season and they have been defensively tight as well, conceding just 13 in those 11 games. Only 36% of Wolves away games have ended over 2.5 goals. If you look at the bigger picture of their away form they have only suffered one defeat (the game at Man City) in their last four road fixtures. Of the away goals they have produced 73% have been after the half-time break, and Wolves have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last seven on the road.
Everton can land a bit of home cheer in this one. It’s not been all doom and gloom at Goodison Park this season and they can get across the line with three points in this one. It’ll probably be a tight game though, so Everton to win by a one-goal margin.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Terriers are still rooted to the foot of the Premier League table and things are looking dire for them now as they start Tuesday night’s action 11 points away from safety. Everton have not had the greatest of seasons at all away from home, but they may be confident of three points in this one. Read our Huddersfield v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 25th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Terriers are firmly rooted to the foot of the Premier League table and they don’t seem to have a way out of their current predicament. Last time out in the Premier League, Huddersfield suffered a 0-3 defeat at home against Manchester City. That is nine defeats now in their last 10 League fixtures played (D1). There are currently on a five-match losing streak on home soil and they have posted just a W1 D2 L9 home record this season. Across their sequence of home games this season in the top flight, Huddersfield have managed just five goals in total. Three of those though have been in their last five home fixtures.
Huddersfield have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game against them and they are now 13 points worse off than they were after 23 games of last season’s campaign. The Terriers are on a six-match winless streak on home soil with no clean sheet in that sequence. Huddersfield have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three home fixtures. Five of their nine defeats at home this season in the EPL have been by a one-goal margin. Huddersfield have the worst home record of all sides in the Premier League this season, they are also the lowest scoring side in the entire division.
There was a 1-1 draw between them when they met at Goodison Park back in September
Everton are undefeated in 10 games against Huddersfield
The Terriers have failed to win any of their last four home games against the Toffees (D3 L1)
Each of the three previous Premier League meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Everton’s season really has fallen apart since the start of December. They have taken just two victories in their last 10 League games played. Away from home, they have only managed the two victories this season in the top flight (D3 L6) so have been anything but reliable. They have only managed the one clean sheet on their travels as well. The Toffees have lost four of their last five road games in the top flight, the exception being a win on a visit to Burnley.
Everton have been level at the halftime break in eight of their 11 away games this season. They are without a clean sheet in any of their last five away games and the Toffees have conceded 64% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures. Everton have scored 71% of their away goals this season after the halftime break. The Toffees have opened the scoring in four of their 11 road games. There are only four teams in the League currently who have earned fewer away points than Everton have done this season. Their last away game saw them suffer a 2-1 loss at Southampton.
Huddersfield just have no form behind them to even warrant backing getting a draw out of this one. Everton have been poor with performances recently but still, we have to back the away victory.
28th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This could be a pretty competitive and exciting FA Cup fourth-round tie because Everton may well be tested in this one. The Toffees haven’t got great away form this season, and will be facing a Championship side who have been carrying some pretty handy form recently. This could be an uncomfortable afternoon for the visiting Premier League side. Read our Millwall v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 3:23 p.m.)
Millwall have done ever so well to turn their season around. They still are not clear of relegation issues in the Championship, but they are giving themselves a tremendous fighting chance of staying up. The Lions have earned four wins in their last six games across all competitions, losing one of the other two in that sequence. In the last round, they took a 2-1 win at home over the in-form Hull.
Millwall have only suffered two defeats in their last 10 home games, and just for the sake of mentioning a trend, both defeats in that sequence were 2-0 scorelines. Of the six victories that Millwall have taken on home soil, all but one of them have been by a one-goal margin. Millwall have only failed to score in two of their last 16 games at the Den. This will be the first meeting between Millwall and Everton since an FA Cup tie back in 22006 when Millwall gave a really good account of themselves then.
Back in that 2006 FA Cup tie against Everton, Millwall played out a 1-1 home draw and then lost the replay 1-0 at Goodison. Everton have a slight lead in the head to head, having gone W5 D3 L4 from their previous 12 meetings with Millwall. Everton are really not in any kind of great form as they have won only three of their last seven fixtures in all competitions. One of those wins was a 2-1 home win over Lincoln in the third round of this season’s FA Cup.
If you solely focus on their away form, there really isn’t much get excited about. Everton’s away record is W2 D3 L6 this season. One clean sheet is all that Everton have managed away from Goodison Park this season and they have actually lost five of their last seven away games in all competitions, winning just one in that sequence. Millwall have good reason to fancy their chances in this one.
We can see a bit of value in backing Millwall to at least avoid defeat in this game. Everton haven’t been great on the road and the Lions are likely to make things very uncomfortable for them on Saturday. A Millwall-draw double-chance option is at 5/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 3:23 p.m.)
24th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Saints collected an important three points last weekend with a surprise away win at Leicester. That life them out of the drop zone and up into sixteenth. Can They build no that? Everton dug out a tough home win over Bournemouth but still haven’t been carrying a great deal of form. Read our Southampton v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Saints dug out a big three points out at Leicester last weekend
That is four points from their last two league games
Still, their home form leaves a lot to be desired at W1 D5 L4 this season
Southampton had to play an FA Cup replay against Derby in midweek
The Saints have lost their last two home games, conceding five goals in total
They have produced 11 goals on home soil this season, conceding 17
In total, they have come up with two clean sheets at St Mary’s
70% of league games at St Mary’s have gone over 2.5 goals
Of the 11 home goals, 7 of them have been scored in the first period of matches
Southampton have no clean sheet in their last five at home in the EPL
In fact, the Saints have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four home games
Newcastle and Huddersfield are the only two sides with worse home records than Southampton in the top flight
The Saints start the weekend now one point clear of the relegation zone
Everton took a 2-1 league home win over the Saints back in mid-August
Southampton won this co fixture last season through 4-1
Both teams have scored in four of the last ten meetings
The Saints have won their last two at home against the Toffees in the EPL
The Toffees earned a 2-0 home win over Bournemouth last Sunday
That leaves them at W2 D2 L4 in their last eight league games
Overall this season they have produced just two away wins (W2 D3 L5)
They have scored 13 and have conceded 15 goals on their travels
Five of their thirteen away goals came in a recent win at Burnley
Everton have lost three of their last four on the road (W1)
They have managed just the one win in their last six road games in the top flight
60% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals
The Toffees have produced only the one clean sheet this season away from home
Everton’s half time away record is W1 D7 L2 this season
Five of their half time away scores have been 0-0
They have conceded two-thirds of their away goals in the second half of away games
Each of their last three league games have gone under 2.5 goals (home and away)
The draw is the most appealing option in the match outright here. The Saints had extra midweek work in the FA Cup which could work against them. Everton haven’t been great on the road and may just find the Saints too tough to crack. Draw.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Everton are sat in midtable but they are badly out of form at the moment having lost four of their last five Premier League games. The season is turning sour for them and this is a big game against Bournemouth. The Cherries too have been out of form but a point earned to start the new year sees them sitting level on points with the Toffees. Read our Everton v Bournemouth betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 8th, 2019 at 9:42 p.m.)
Everton’s struggles continued with a 1-0 home loss against Leicester on New Year’s Day
That is a W1 L4 record in their last five EPL games now
Everton have managed the one win in their last eight top-flight fixtures
Their home form has seen them go winless in four at Goodison (D2 L2)
They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per home game this season
Along the way, at home, they have taken three clean sheets at Goodison
36% of league games at Goodison Park have gone over 2.5 goals
Everton have not won a home game against anyone 12th or higher
Seven of Everton’s home league games have been level at half time (W2 L2)
The Toffees have not collected a clean sheet in any of their last eight games
Everton have opened the scoring in seven of their eleven home fixtures
In the last 8 rounds of Premier League action, only Huddersfield (0) have collected fewer points than Everton
Everton earned a point a 2-2 draw at Bournemouth earlier in the season
Things are even with two wins each and drawing the last five meetings
Both teams have scored in each of the last four meetings
Everton have won all five previous home games against the Cherries
The Cherries earned a point from a 3-3 draw against Watford to start the new year
They have gone W2 D1 L5 in their last eight league games
Bournemouth’s away form reads W3 D0 L7
They have come up with 12 away goals, conceding 23
80% of their away fixtures in the EPL this season have gone over 2.5 goals
In total, they have collected just the two away clean sheets
The Cherries have conceded in both halves of half of their home games
Bournemouth’s half time away record is just W2 D2 L6
They are without a clean sheet in any of their last five away fixtures
They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five road games
The Cherries have opened the scoring in two of their away games
Only three teams have conceded more EPL goals than Bournemouth this season
A win would do wonders for either one of these. It is a little tricky to see who will get it. Both are clearly having problems so the only thing that we can lean on perhaps is home advantage. Everton to win & both teams to score.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Everton’s form has taken a bit of a dive lately as a defeat against Brighton saw them lose for the third time in four games. So they are struggling a little bit at the moment and will be hoping for a bit of cheer back on home soil. The Foxes had their burst of positive form snapped in a defeat at home against Cardiff on Saturday. Read our Everton v Leicester betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 2:58 p.m.)
The Toffees suffered a 1-0 loss at Brighton on the weekend
That was their third loss in their last four games (W1)
Everton have won just one of their last seven league games now (D2 L4)
Their form at Goodison Park is W5 D3 L2 but they are winless in three there
Everton have not won a home game against anyone outside of the bottom eight
The Toffees lost 2-6 in their last home game which was against Spurs
Everton have scored 18 goals at home, conceding 15
40% of games at Goodison Park have gone over 3.5 goals
Both teams have scored 70% of their home fixtures
The Toffees have earned a clean sheet in 30% of their home games
Everton’s record at halftime in home games is W2 D6 L2
Everton have the positive of having scored in all home games this term
They are without a clean sheet in any of their last seven league outings
Everton have opened the scored in all but three of their home fixtures
Everton took a 2-1 win at Leicester earlier in the season
That is back to back 2-1 league wins they have taken over the Foxes
Leicester have lost their last two at Goodison Park in the EPL
Everton are W4 L3 in their last seven EPL games against Leicester
The Foxes suffered a shock home loss against Cardiff on the weekend
That was after back to back wins over Man City and Chelsea
Leicester are W4 D2 L4 on the road this season in the top flight
The Foxes have won just one of their last four on the road
They have only suffered the one defeat in their last five away from the King Power through
Leicester have scored 12 away goals, conceding 13
Less than half of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
In total Leicester have picked up a clean sheet in 30% of away games
Just once this season have Leicester been leading at the break in an away game
Each of their last five road games have gone under 2.5 goals
Leicester have scored 83% of their away goals in the second period of matches
Five of Leicester’s eight defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin
This may struggle to get going. Everton are struggling to convert wins at the moment and that should keep Leicester in this. This just has the look of being a really evenly-matched contest and Leicester may hold their own. Draw.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Everton had a great day at the office on Boxing Day, putting five goals past the struggling Burnley. That was a big boost to their away form. They stay out on the road for the weekend as they take on the Seagulls. Brighton snapped a three-match losing streak with a point against Arsenal. Read our Brighton v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 26th, 2018 at 7:41 p.m.)
The Seagulls collected a good home point against Arsenal on the weekend
That snapped a three-match losing streak they were on in the EPL
The Seagulls have decent home form of W3 D2 L1 in their last six at the Amex
Brighton are unbeaten at home against sides currently outside of the top five
The Seagulls have scored 14 home goals, conceding 11
They have scored in all nine home games this season in the EPL
Their overall home record for the term is W4 D3 L2
56% of games at the Amex have gone over 2.5 goals this season
Brighton have no clean sheet in four home league games
Brighton have been winning at half time in four of their home fixtures
They have scored 64% of their home goals in the first period of matches
The Seagulls have opened the scoring in five of their nine games at home
68% of all their points earned this season have been from home games
Brighton suffered a 3-1 loss against Everton back at the start of November
Everton have won three of the last four meetings (D1)
In last season’s game at the Amex, Everton took a 1-1 draw
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last nine meetings
The Toffees got a resounding win for themselves out at Burnley, a 5-1 winning scoreline
That was just their second away victory of the EPL season
They are now W2 D3 L4 on their travels
44% of Everton’s away games have gone over 3.5 goals
The Toffees have only collected the one clean sheet on their travels
Before their Boxing Day win at Burnley, Everton were D1 L3 in four road games
They had scored in just one of their previous three away games in the top flight
They have not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six league games
Everton though are on a five-match scoring streak of form
In six of their nine away games, Everton have been level at half time
Four of those half time scores were 0-0
They have scored 64% of their away goals in the second period of matches
Everton have failed to score in a third of their away games this season
The Seagulls did well to grab a point against Arsenal on Boxing Day and they could well do the same to the Toffees. Everton may find the going tougher than they did against Burnley on the weekend.
27th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting