Derby have made a solid start to the new Championship after the heartbreak of losing the Play-Off Final last season. They are unbeaten over their opening three matches. That is more than can be said of Bristol City, but the Robins are just one point behind the Rams. So there is a big early three points up for grabs. Read our Derby v Bristol City betting tips for more.
Bristol City 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 18th, 2019 7:27 p.m.)
It has been a return of W1 D2 from Derby’s three games this season in the Championship. Their lone win happened on the opening weekend of the season as they got a 2-1 win at Huddersfield. They have followed that up with a home draw against Swansea and an away draw on the weekend against Stoke. All four goals for Derby have come from two players, two each for Tom Lawrence and Martyn Waghorn.
The Rams produced a W13 D7 L3 record at home in last season’s Championship and they are now, including their draw against Swansea this season, on an eight-match undefeated streak of home form in the division, winning four of their last five. On the weekend, they will have been disappointed at not having converted an early lead at Stoke into a win but they instead found themselves needing to come up with an equaliser in the second half.
The Rams took four points off Bristol City last season
Derby took a 2-0 win at Ashton Gate in the last campaign
Four of the last six meetings have ended in a draw
Just one of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
The Robins have recovered from a tough opening to the new season. They started with a home defeat against Leeds, but have taken four points from their next two games. It started with a 1-1 draw at Birmingham, before securing a solid 2-0 home win over QPR on the weekend. The huge positive from them is that they have scored in all three games played so far this season. All four of their goals have come from different players. In last season’s Championship campaign Bristol City won more games on the road than they did at home. They took a W11 D5 L7 record on their travels. With their draw at Birmingham this season that is a three-match undefeated streak of form on the road that the Robins are on in the Championship.
This may well be a close game, but we are going to stick with home advantage. It is not easy to go out on the road in such a short space of time after the weekend action. So because of that, we have to side slightly with the Rams at home to sneak a win by a one-goal margin.
19th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke are already under some early pressure having lost their opening two games of the new Championship season. Their defence has been exposed badly so far. After losing last season’s Championship play-off final, Derby have made a good start to the new campaign picking up four points from their opening two fixtures. Can the Rams keep some early momentum going? Read our Stoke v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 13th, 2019 at 7:00 p.m.)
The Potters have had a rough start to the new campaign. They have been hit with back to back defeats. Their first one was at home against QPR and then they took a 3-1 hammering out at the newly promoted Charlton last weekend. So tough times for Stoke then and they are going to be under some heavy pressure here to get something going. But this doesn’t look like being a particularly easy game for them.
Especially with their defence having already shipped five goals in two games. Stoke produced a home record of W8 D9 L6 last season in the championship. They drew each of their last five home games of the last campaign. So throw in their home defeat against QPR that is a big six-match winless streak of league home form they are on. If you look at their overall home and away record from the end of last season to the start of this new one, they are winless in eight (D4 L4).
Stoke earned four points from the two Championship meetings with Derby last season
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Derby have lost their last two Championship games at Stoke
Under 2.5 goals has featured in all but one of the last six meetings
After their summer of change and after narrowly missing out on a place in this season’s Premier League, it was always going to be interesting to see what Derby were going to come up with. They have started the new Championship season well with a W1 D1 record on the board. They travelled to Huddersfield on the opening weekend of the season and took a 2-1 win there. The Rams followed it up with a 0-0 home draw against Swansea.
Tom Lawrence has got both of their league goals this season. Both of those goals were inside the first 25 minutes of action at Huddersfield. So that is around 145 minutes without a league goal from them since then. Last season Derby posted a W7 D7 L9 record out on their travels and they were unbeaten in their final three road games of the regular season. One area in which they did struggle was earning away clean sheets, with one coming in just 13% of their road games.
There appears to be some trouble brewing at Stoke who have put in two poor defensive displays thus far. Despite all the changes that have happened at Derby over the summer, they looked to have settled pretty quickly into their new season and can go and get themselves a good away win.
15th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Rams are up and running for the new season with a 2-0 win over Huddersfield on Monday night. That was a tough opener out of the way and so it is to Pride Park on the weekend for their first home game of the new term. They will be facing a Swansea side who also opened positively, beating Hull. Read our Derby v Swansea betting tips for more.
A brace from Tom Lawerence gave Derby a 2-1 win in their opening game of the season. A positive start then for new boss Philip Cocu. That will have been a massive relief for them after a difficult summer. They lost in the playoff semi-finals to Aston Villa and then saw boss Frank Lampard walk away to join Chelsea. At the start of July, the Rams turned to former Netherlands international Cocu to steady the ship.
The Rams were under pressure for most of the second half, but they didn’t crumble. They just looked as if they ran out of steam, which was understandable. They will have Wayne Rooney as player-coach joining them in January. In last season’s Championship Derby did struggle a bit on their travels. The bulk of their success last season happened on home soil where they took a W13 D7 L3 record. They were unbeaten in their final seven games of the regular season there.
Derby earned four points against Swansea last season
The Rams have won their last two at home against the Swans by a 2-1 scoreline
Swansea are winless in four against Derby (W2 D2)
Both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings
Swansea picked up three points on the opening weekend of the new season thanks to a 2-1 home win over Hull. Borja Baston and defender Mike van der Hoorn got their goals in the match. They went into the season with a pretty good pre-season behind them and they looked decent. Will it be enough to avoid defeat at Pride Park? Swansea did get themselves a top ten finish in the Championship last season but were a long way short of making it back up to the Premier League.
Their season was all built around their home form as well. They only posted a W6 D5 L12 record on their travels last term and they lost seven of their last nine road games (W1 D1). It was a pretty horrible run of form from them. In total last season Swansea scored an average of a goal per game away from home, taking a clean sheet in just 22% of road fixtures. Of their twelve road losses last season, eight of them were by one goal margin only. There were level at the half time break in 11 of their 23 away games.
We can see a tight game being played out a Pride Park. Of the two, Derby perhaps looked slightly better quality on the opening weekend of the season. Swansea aren’t going to be a pushover though and that’s why a low scoring game is going to be predicated. If you are looking for a winner, Derby look the more likely.
8th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Huddersfield finds themselves back down in the Championship after their two seasons in the top flight of English football. They will be looking to rebuild now and adjust to life back down a tier. They kick off the season with a home game against Derby. The Rams were play-off losers at the end of the last term, and have had a change at the top with Frank Lampard going to Chelsea. Read our Huddersfield v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 29th, 2019 at 2:12 p.m.)
It was all doom and gloom for the Terriers last season. Their Premier League survival hopes faded very early in the season and they were quickly cut adrift at the foot of the table. Huddersfield only collected the sixteen points from their Premier League campaign, posting a W3 D7 L28 record. They also parted ways with David Wagner, the man who had gotten them up to the top flight in the first place. So now they have to try and rebuild from that, assess and adjust to life back down in the second tier.
Jan Siewert is the man charged with trying to guide them back up to the top flight. Relegation from the top flight is always a tough thing to deal with. It affects the squad and there has been plenty of comings and goings at the club including goalkeeper Jonas Lossll who has gone to Everton. They have done a bit of wheeling and dealing, grabbing a few first-timers like Isaac Mbenza from Montpellier and Tommy Elphick from Aston Villa. How strongly can they challenge for a place back in the top flight?
Huddersfield earned four points against Derby in the 2016/17 Championship
The Terriers have won one of their last 9 against the Rams only
Derby are W1 D2 L1 in their last four visits to Huddersfield
None of the last three meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
It has been all change at Derby as well. They made the play offs under Frank Lampard last season, but the summer has seen him leave to take over at Chelsea. The Rams finished in sixth place last season and enjoyed a breath of fresh air with Lampard giving plenty of time to youngsters. Unfortunately for Derby, the cream of those, like Mason Mount has followed Lampard to Stamford Bridge. The away form of Derby last season wasn’t anything spectacular or special. They posted a W7 D7 L9 record on their travels.
The Rams only managed a clean sheet in 13% of their road games last season. They averaged 1.25 goals per road game. Of the seven away wins that they recorded last season, five of them were by one goal margin only. It Was narrow margins from them a lot of the way really. They opened the scoring in 9 of their 23 road games last season. To replace Frank Lampard the Rams have brought in former Dutch international Phillip Cocu. It will be fascinating to see whether they can build on what was put in place last season or whether they will start to slip backwards.
The Terriers have some adjusting to do. The Rams know all about what it takes to get the job done in the second tier. It’s a fresh start for both, but the visitors don’t look a bad bit value to go and get themselves three points. They may just have more about them in the attack. It will be fascinating to see how these two do actually go at each other.
2nd August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds shook off some poor form at the end of the regular season to give themselves an advantage going into the second leg of this playoff semi-final. Leeds will head back to Elland Road with a 1-0 advantage in the tie now. Will that be enough for the Whites to hold on and make it through? Will Derby have enough about them to mount a comeback? Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Leeds have a good advantage behind them now for this playoff tie. They badly needed that positive at Pride Park in the first leg of this semi-final too, as they fell out of form at the end of the regular season. Leeds took just the one point from their final four league games of the season. So they were struggling there and had lost back to back away games as well. Across the course of the regular season, Leeds posted a W14 D4 L5 record for the season at Elland Road. In their last five games of the regular season though they only posted a W2 D1 L2 record, taking one point from their final two games played.
Leeds averaged 1.65 goals per home game in the course of the regular season and had their defensive strengths as well. They conceded at an under a goal per game on average. In total Leeds earned a clean sheet in 39% of their home fixtures. They finished the regular season on a four-match scoring streak of form at Elland Road, and they were level at the halftime break in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches and they opened the scoring in 14 of their games. The Whites closed out the season with the fifth best home record of all teams in the Championship and the third-best defence overall.
The Rams were carrying great form through to the end of the regular season with them, so it was a little surprising that they let the home advantage slip in this tie. The Rams were on a four-match winning streak of form before the loss against Leeds in this first game of this tie. Now, what can they come up with on the road? Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, drawing two of those. Across the course of the regular season, they came up with seven away wins in a W7 D7 L9 record. They lost three of their five away games against the top five finishers.
Derby averaged 1.26 goals per away game, conceding at an average of 1.5 per road game. They did struggle for their away clean sheets, taking one in just 13% of their road fixtures. Of the seven wins that they did take away from home during the season, five of them were by a one-goal margin. Five of their nine away defeats were by a one-goal margin only. Derby finished the season on a six-match scoring streak, but how costly will that blank at Pride Park be? Derby only managed to open the scoring in one away game. They are going to have their work cut out for them.
The confidence that Leeds will have taken from their first leg success will have been huge. They can afford to be patient now and take the string out of this second leg. Another low scoring game could be on the cards. Leeds to win to nil.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
At one stage of the season, it looked as if Derby had blown their chances of reaching the playoffs this season. But the strong finish got them there in the end, the Rams having to hold their nerve. As for Leeds, a poor run of form over their final four matches of the season saw them squander a golden chance at automatic promotion. Can they pick themselves back up to challenge in this play-off semi-final? Read our Derby v Leeds betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
Between the middle of February and early April, Derby managed to win just two of 10 league games and they didn’t look as if they were going to be partaking in playoff action this season. However, they rallied themselves well with Frank Lampard guiding his troops to 4 wins in their last six league games (D2). So that was a fantastic run of form and there were a couple of tough games in that sequence as well. They managed to earn a 2-0 away win at Bristol city who were still in the mix for a run at the playoffs at the time, and then on the final day of the season Derby made sure of their own playoff fate by beating West Brom at Pride Park.
The home form of Derby over the course of the season was W13 D7 L3. They produced a mixed bag of results from their five games against the teams who finished above them in the table, Derby going W2 D1 L2 from those five games. They averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season and they were impressive at the back, conceding at under a goal per home fixture. In total, Derby claimed a clean sheet in 37% of home games. Of their 13 home successes for the season, nine of them were by a margin of at least two goals. Derby are on a seven match undefeated streak of form home form and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last four home fixtures.
Leeds won 4-1 at Derby earlier this season
Leeds are undefeated in three league games against the Rams (W2 L1)
Derby have won one of their last four at home against Leeds (D1 L2)
Leeds are on a five-match scoring streak against the Rams
Well, it certainly turned all bit sour for Leeds at the end of the season. They managed to claim just the one point in their final four games of the campaign and pretty much summing up their demise, was a 3-2 away defeat at bottom side Ipswich on the final day of the season. So there has to be some concern over them ahead of this tough play-off semi-final. Basically, these had just lost their way with three defeats in their last four away games of the season as well (W1). So this is actually a big tough mental battle for them now. But they can take confidence from their performances in big away games during the course of the regular season. From their five away matches against other top six finishers leave produced a W4 L1 record.
The overall away form of Leeds this season was W11 D4 L8 and they average 1.5 goals per away game. In total, they claimed a clean sheet in 36% of their away games for the season. In 13 of their 23 away games during the regular season, Leeds were sat level at the halftime break in games. Seven of their 11 away wins recorded were by just the one goal margin only. The Whites scored 66% of their away goals in the second period of their away games. To finish the season, Leeds failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their final four games they are really going to need to rediscover their defensive strength ahead of this first leg away test against Derby. Leeds did finish the regular season with the third best defensive record in the second tier.
Give the respective form of these two at the end of the season, Burnley look well primed to earn a good advantage for themselves in the first leg of this semi-final tie. Leeds have just lost confidence in themselves. Derby to win.
7th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Derby missed a chance in midweek to lock down the final playoff spot. They could only manage a draw at Swansea, meaning that they can still be caught now on the final weekend by either Middlesbrough or Bristol City. So the Rams have to sweat. This is no easy game for them either against the in-form Albion. Read our Derby v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 14/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 3rd, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
The Rams claimed a point in a 1-1 draw at Swansea in midweek, which was their game in hand over the others in the playoff race. If they had won that they would be sitting three points clear of Middlesbrough with a massive goal difference advantage over Boro. So they would really have claimed the sixth spot. They didn’t win though and now they need a big shift at home against West Brom. Derby are W12 D7 L3 this season on home soil in the second tier, they have won their last three at Pride Park.
Home and away the Rams have suffered just one defeat in their last eleven league games now, winning five of those games in that sequence. Derby have produced an average of 1.7 goals per home game this season, claiming a clean sheet in 36% of fixtures. Derby has scored at least two goals in each of their last three home games so have that going for them. They have gone without a clean sheet in any of their last five though, home and away. The Rams have been level at the half time break in 10 of their home games this season. A point in this one won’t guarantee them the sixth place, so they have to push for a positive result.
Derby claimed a 4-1 away win at West Brom in October
The Rams are W1 D1 in their two previous CHampionship home games against WBA
West Brom have won one of their last five against the Rams in all competitions
Both teams have scored in each of the last four meetings
The Baggies have locked down a playoff spot and they could finish third if they win and third-placed Leeds lose. West Brom have come into a bit of form with three wins in their last four games played (D1). West Brom have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league games now and out on the road they have taken a W11 D4 L7 record this season. Even though their form has been going well, it’s interesting that each of their last five wins have been against teams who are 12th or lower in the table.
West Brom average 1.5 goals per away game this season and they are winless in three on their travels, winning one of their last five away games. They have actually failed to scored in two of their last three away games now. They played out a 0-0 draw at Reading in their last road fixture. In total West Brom have earned a clean sheet in 27% of away games, but home and away they have managed just one in their last seven fixtures. Of their eleven road victories this season, eight of them have been by a one-goal margin. Five of their seven away losses have been by a one-goal margin.
Huge pressure is on Derby and this is a difficult home game for them on the final day of the season. There has to be nerves going on here. West Brom will be a threat and the Baggies may well have enough about them to deny the Rams that win. Draw.
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Swansea will be finishing in the top half of the table this season but haven’t done enough to get themselves into the playoff picture. This is a huge game for Derby though who are occupying the sixth place in the table heading into midweek action. A win will leave them with a three-point cushion over the chasing Middlesbrough and with a far superior goal difference over them. Anything less and they could still be caught on the final day. Read our Swansea v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
Swansea are carrying some good form at the moment and will it be enough to scupper some important points for the visiting Derby? Swansea have won five of their last seven Championship fixtures, home and away (D1 L1). Their home form is absolutely superb at the moment having won six of their last seven at the Liberty Stadium. Going back further they are currently undefeated in their last 10 Championship home fixtures, winning seven.
So that is not something Derby really want to hear right now. Swansea have scored well at an average of 1.9 goals per home game this season and 64% of all fixtures at the liberty stadium have made it over 2.5 goals. Actually, 45% of Swansea’s home games have made it over 3.5 goals. The Swans have taken a clean sheet in 36% of their home fixtures this season and seven of their 12 home wins have been by a margin of at least two goals.
Looking at their goal scoring at the moment Swansea have scored at least two goals in each of their last six home games. They are however without a clean sheet in their last four. They were at home on the weekend when they played out a 2-2 draw against Hull. Swansea are on a 10 match scoring streak at the moment on home soil and they have been leading at the halftime break in eight of their home fixtures. Swansea have opened the scoring in 14 of their 22 home fixtures and over the last eight rounds of Championship action, there are only two teams in the league who have earned more points in that span of games than what Swansea have done.
Derby took a 2-1 home win over Swansea back at the start of December
That is back-to-back wins in the league at that Derby have taken over Swansea, both 2-1 wins
Swansea are winless in three league games against Derby
The Swans Are unbeaten in their last four home games against Derby, three of those being a draw
Derby got themselves a huge result in a tough away game at Bristol City on the weekend. The Rams took a 2-0 win at Ashton Gate. That it is three wins in their last four league games now, so they have come back into form at the perfect time to make a run at the playoffs. A victory in this one will all but guarantee that they get there, because of their superior goal difference over Middlesbrough. Derby have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven league games, so like Swansea, they are in pretty good shape at the moment.
The Rams have suffered only one defeat in their last 10 league fixtures, home and away. While there are a lot of positives when for them at the moment, their victory at Bristol City on the weekend snapped a eight-match away winless streak that they were on. The overall away form of Derby this season is W7 D6 L9. In the away games during this campaign Derby have averaged 1.3 goals per road fixture. They have conceded at an average of 1.5.
There has been a significant lack of clean sheets from them. Derby have taken a clean sheet in just 14% of their away games. But it is worth noting that they have earned a clean sheet in three of their last four league games, home and away. Of the seven wins that Derby have recorded this season away from pride Park, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. If they only manage to get a draw in this one, or no points at all, they are going to have to fight on the final day of the season
There is certainly enough about the home form of Swansea at the moment to warrant backing them to get something out of this game. Derby need a win to be able to relax somewhat on the final day of the season, but the draw in the match outright in this one looks a pretty good proposition.
29th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Pressure. Is. On. What a setup there is for this game. This is a battle for a top six place. Derby start the weekend in that precious sixth spot but are only a point ahead of Bristol City. So this almost has the feel of being a winner takes all match. Whoever does come out on top will have strong control of locking down that final play-off place. Read our Bristol City v Derby betting tips for more.
Bristol City 7/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 26th, 2019 at 6:58 p.m.)
Bristol City suffered a 2-0 reverse at Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. With just one point from their last three league games, their chance of a top-six finish have been hit. They are undefeated in their last four games on home soil with a W2 D2 record. They played out a 1-1 draw against Reading in their last home fixture. Overall this season the Robins have taken a W8 D8 L6 record at Ashton Gate. They have averaged 1.3 goals per home game this season in the Championship.
Just 36% of Bristol City’s home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, the Robins having taken a clean sheet in 18% of home games. Of their eight home successes this season, six of them have been by a one-goal margin. Bristol City have been level at half time in eleven home games. They have produced 68% of their home goals in the second period of fixtures and they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last seven on home soil. They have the third best defensive record in the league though, can it help them to get a crucial three points in this one?
There was a 1-1 draw between these two at Pride Park in December
Four of the last five meetings have ended in a draw
Bristle City are unbeaten in five against the Rams
The Robins won 4-1 at home over Derby last season
The Rams collected a 2-0 home win over QPR last weekend to move them back up into the play-off places. That is seven points collected from their last three league games now The Rams have only suffered the one defeat in their last nine league outings now so have come back into form just at the right time. However, their upturn in form has largely come about on home soil. The Rams are winless in their last eight games away from home in the Championship. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last six.
Derby have actually conceded at least two goals in each of their last four league away games now. Derby have averaged 1.2 goals per away game this season and they have only managed a clean sheet in 10% of their road games, which is pretty poor. Of the six away victories that they have taken this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Just seven times this season have Derby opened the scoring in an away game. Derby have posted a W2 D1 L3 record from their six away games against others currently in the top seven this season. Bristol City are eighth.
It is not difficult to imagine that this is going to be a really tense game given what is at stake. The onus is on the Robins to come out and produce on home soil though. With the away form of Derby not being great at the moment, the home win does have the most appeal.
27th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Rams are sitting just outside of the playoffs and they really need to make a move. They are three points out of sixth place as it stands so have some work to do. They could only manage a draw out at Birmingham though on Friday. QPR suffered a loss on Friday in a home defeat against Blackburn. Read our Derby v QPR betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 19th, 2019 at 8:08 p.m.)
The Rams twice had to come from behind at Birmingham to get themselves a draw. They need more than that to really get into a stronger position in the race for a top six finish though. Derby have only suffered the one defeat in their last eight league games (W3 D4). They have won three of their last five league home games (D2). The Rams have only suffered a defeat in their last twelve home fixtures. So that has been a good record from them. This game, on paper, is the easiest one that they have left during their run in.
Derby have averaged 1.7 goals per home game this season and their defence has been good. The Rams have conceded at under a goal per home game and only 48% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. The Rams have earned a clean sheet in 33% of their home games in the Championship this season. Seven of their eleven home victories have been by a two-goal margin or more. Derby have fired off a total of ten goals in their last two home games so they have been a bit more ruthless. They have scored at least two goals in four of their last five, home and away.
The last two meetings have ended in 1-1 draw
Derby are undefeated in five against QPR
Both teams have scored in two of the last nine meetings
Derby have won their last four league home games against QPR to nil
QPR lost 2-1 at home against Blackburn on Friday. That leaves them with only one win in their last nine league fixtures. Away from home, they have had a lot of trouble this season. They have only taken the four wins all term on their travels (D6 L11). They are currently without a win in any of their last nine on the road now and they have lost six of their last eight away from Loftus Road (D2). They may very well be facing a stiff challenge to get anything out of this trip to Pride Park on Monday.
QPR have scored 18 away goals this season which is an average of under a goal per game. Their defence has been very leaky this season having conceded at an average of 1.7 goals per away game. 57% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They have managed to pick up a clean a sheet in 24% of their away games. QPR have been level at the halftime break in 10 of their 21 away games and they have conceded 57% of their away goals in the second period of games. QPR have scored in just one of their last five away games.
Derby have to throw everything at this now and they should get the better of QPR. The R’s just haven’t been there with their away form at all and don’t pose too much of a threat in front of goal. There’s a good chance for Derby to pick up a win to nil in this one.
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting