Derby have some pretty unsteady form behind them at the moment, but they have still managed to cling onto a top six place. But that is a bit tenuous and they are going to have to raise their game considerably to stay there. Stoke will turn up being unbeaten in five. Read our Derby v Stoke betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 12th, 2019 at 3:35 p.m.)
Derby were held at home in a 1-1 draw by Sheffield Wednesday on the weekend. That leaves the Rams with only the one win in their last six league outings (D2 L3). So they aren’t on song at the moment at all. That result on the weekend leaves them at W9 D6 L3 for the season. Their home form hasn’t been bad with three wins in their last four at Pride Park (L1) and in all of their home wins this season in the Championship, Derby have scored at least two goals. Dery have just one clean sheet in six home games.
Home and away, the Rams have not taken a clean sheet in their last six played. So their defence has been letting them down a bit. In total Derby have taken a clean sheet in 28% of their home games this season, with both teams having scored at 61% of their home fixtures. None of their nine home win this season have been by a margin of more than two goals. The Rams have only been trailing at half time three times at home this term, conceding 61% of their home goals in the second half of fixtures.
Stoke claimed a 2-1 home success over Derby earlier this season
Stoke have won three of the last four meetings in all competition (L1)
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Derby have lost their last two at home against Stoke by a 2-0 scoreline
Stoke earned a point away at QPR on the weekend. That was their fourth draw in their last five games (W1). So they are proving hard to beat at the moment. Their away campaign has been a real bust for them this season with just a W2 D11 L5 record having been posted. Their last away victory was record back towards the end of October. They are on a ten-match undefeated streak of form since then on their travels. Each of their last four away games have ended up under 2.5 goals. Each of their last eight games, home and away have gone under the goal line.
Stoke have averaged under a goal per game on their travels this season. The Potters have two clean sheets in their last three away games (both 0-0 scorelines) but they have scored just one goal in their last four away from home. Stoke have taken a clean sheet in a total of one-third of their away games. Four of Stoke’s five away defeats this season have been by a two-goal margin. The Potters have only opened the scoring in five of their 18 road fixtures so far this season. They have the sixth-best defensive record in the second tier currently.
Stoke look to have enough about them to go and claim a point at Pride Park on the weekend. The Rams certainly are nothing too much for them to fear at the moment. The 1-1 correct score looks a solid proposition.
13th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Nottingham Forest are on the outskirts of the playoff spots in the Championship and with a big task ahead of them to get into the mix. This is a big game for them and for Derby who are one place above them. The Rams are losing a bit of momentum and they too are playing catch-up with the top six. Read our Nottingham Forest v Derby betting tips for more.
Nottingham Forest 7/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 21st, 2019 at 3:27 p.m.)
Forest have only lost one of their last five League games, but have played out back-to-back draws heading into this one. Their home form has not been all that bad really in the Championship this season. Forest are W8 D4 L4 on home soil. Forest also won three of their last four home games (L1) including their last two. But when you look back at the bigger picture of their current form, they are just W2 D2 L3 home and away combined.
So that inconsistency is where their push for a playoff spot has hindered them. Nottingham Forest have scored 22 goals in 16 home games this season. Less than half of their League home games have ended up over 2.5 goals. They have done pretty well defensively as they have conceded at under a goal per game at home on average in the Championship.
That having been said they don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last six home fixtures. In total there has been a clean sheet for Forest in 31% of their home games. It has not been a bad season from them at all as they are currently 10 points better off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign. Forest have conceded 80% of their home goals in the second half of games.
There was a 0-0 draw between them earlier this season
The last two meetings have ended in 0-0 draws
Derby are undefeated in six against Forest (W3 D3)
Forest have failed to scored in five of their last six against the Rams
The Rams missed a chance in midweek to get back up into the top six as they suffered a shock home defeat against Millwall. While Derby are still in contention for a promotion push, they have been very inconsistent with their results. They have not won back-to-back League games since early December. In their last nine League games, they are W3 D3 L3 so it has been a bit hit and miss for them.
Overall away this season Derby have a W6 D4 L6 record on the board. The Rams are without a win in any of their last three away games and have won only one of their last five on the road (D2 L2). A big part of the problem has been a lack of clean sheets as they have managed just two all season long away from Pride Park.
Derby have scored 21 and have conceded 21 goals away from home this season. Across their last three away games, Derby have managed put just the one goal on the board had that was at current bottom side Ipswich in a 1-1 draw. But they do have the fifth best defensive record in the second tier heading into the weekend, it is not quite happening for Frank Lampard’s men at the moment.
The home form of Nottingham Forest hasn’t been all that bad, and as Derby are pretty much hit and miss on their travels, it could be a good opportunity to back home win in the match outright.
23rd February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The two had contrasting fortunes on the weekend in the FA Cup, Derby bowing out while the Lions pushed onto the quarterfinals. It is back to league action on the weekend with both of them in need of the points for very different reasons. Read our Derby v Millwall betting tips for more.
West Brom 11/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 17th, 2019 at 6:25 p.m.)
The Rams are just searching for a bit more winning consistency in the league. The last time that they managed to win back to back games was at the start of December. They are W3 D3 L1 in their last seven league fixtures now but are unable to put a winning streak together. Last time out in the league they were held to a 1-1 draw at bottom side Ipswich. Derby are currently on a great undefeated run of six at home in the league, winning their last two there. Overall the Rams are W8 D5 L2 at home this season.
Derby have averaged 1.5 goals per home game this season, taking a clean sheet in a third of their fixtures. They are currently on a four-match scoring streak at Pride Park, having scored exactly two in both of their last two there. This is a game in hand which they have over the current top four. A win in this one moves them up into fifth place, a draw up into sixth. Only three teams in the division currently have a better defensive record than Derby this season. Only four teams have better home records too.
Millwall earned a 2-1 home win over the Rams in August
The Lions have lost just one of their last six against the Rams (W2 D3)
Both teams have scored in two of the last six meetings
Three of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Millwall do still have some relegation concerns. They will go into this game only the two points above the drop zone. They do have games in hand to cash in with potentially though. But they are still with the distraction of the FA Cup, a win over AFC Wimbledon pushing the Lions through the quarterfinals over the weekend. In the league, Millwall are currently winless in five (D3 L2). Their away form this season leaves a lot to be desired. Just once this season in the Championship have Millwall collected three points from a road game. That lone Championship away win this season was at bottom side Ipswich on January 1st.
Overall Millwall are W1 D4 L10 on their travels. It is worth noting that goals have been drying up for them as they have scored just one goal in their last five league games in total. Millwall have averaged less than a goal per game on their travels, while they have conceded at an average of 1.8 per away game. The Lions have just one away clean sheet this season, conceding in each of their last fourteen on the road. The Lions have scored 11 of their 14 away goals in this season in the second half of matches, but have a half time away record of W2 D5 L8.
Millwall have terrible away form this season, while the Rams have put together a good home campaign. The straight forward option of the home win looks a good proposition.
17th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This could actually be quite a close game down at the Amex. Championship Derby like to play a good open game. Will they be able to come through as underdogs and reach the quarterfinals? Brighton will have their hands full as they have been struggling for wins. Read our Brighton v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 13th, 2019 at 3:34 a.m.)
Where have the wins gone for Brighton? The Seagulls are currently on a seven-match streak in all competitions without one (over 90 minutes). In the last round of the FA Cup, they were taken to extra time in their replay against Championship side West Brom. Fortunately for the Seagulls, Glenn Murray came on and rescued them with two extra-time goals. Looking back a little further Brighton have just two wins in their last fourteen games in all competitions.
Just one of those were at home. So it is not quite happening for them. In the third round of the FA Cup, they did pull off an upset in winning away at Bournemouth. Their home form has seen them go winless in four at the Amex and in that sequence, they scored just one goal. Brighton have scored exactly one goal in eight of their last eleven home fixtures. To be fair they have taken three clean sheet in their last five at the Amex.
So Derby will be looking at Brighton and probably not seeing too much to fear at the moment. The big focus for the Rams is trying to get a top six finish in the Championship. In midweek they may have had one eye on this FA Cup tie, because they could only manage a 1-1 draw out at bottom side Ipswich. But still, that leaves the Derby with just one defeat in their last 10 fixtures played across all competitions.
The draw leaves Derby on a four-match undefeated streak on their travels. In the third round of the FA Cup they did take out a Premier League side, the Rams winning a replay in a penalty shootout against Southampton. They followed that up with an away win against league one side Accrington. Given that Derby have only lost one of their last six on the road, there is every reason to believe that they can put up a serious challenge at the Amex stadium.
Brighton may just have enough on home soil to see off the underdogs. We can see it being tight and we can see goals flying around. Seagulls to narrowly prevail.
14th February 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Accrington get to entertaining more Championship opposition in the FA Cup after beating Ipswich in the last round. This may be a tougher challenge for Accrington tough as they face up against the Rams. It is their visitors who are favourites to get the win out of the match. Read our Accrington v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 3:23 p.m.)
It has been a pretty average the season for Accrington down in League One, but the positive from that is that with no real promotion drive or relegation concerns they could fully focus on the FA Cup. They claimed an upset in the third round as they took out Ipswich. Granted Ipswich are the bottom side in the Championship while Derby are sat inside the top six. Actually, the win Accrington took over Ipswich is their only victory in their last six games played across all competitions.
Accrington have been a bit patchy with their home form having posted a W2 D1 L3 in their last six. All three of their FA Cup matches this season have been at home and they took out Colchester and Cheltenham in the first two rounds. Accrington have only scored in two of their last six games across all competitions but still, where the FA Cup is concerned, they have done much better than last season when they were knocked out in the first round by non League side Guiseley.
Back in the 1955/56 and 1956/57 seasons is when the previous meetings between Accrington and Derby happened. Even though that has no relevance in this weekend’s FA Cup fourth-round tie, the head-to-head is actually even with one win each and two draws. Derby are D1 L1 from their two previous visits to Accrington. Anyway going back to this weekend’s clash Derby are a top six side in the Championship and their main goal this season is getting up to the Premier League.
They took out a Premier League side in the third round of this season’s FA Cup as they beat Southampton. Derby got the win in a replay at St Mary’s via a penalty shootout. Derby have scored at least two goals in each and every cup match (FA Cup and EFL cup) that they have played this season. Derby are not in the greatest of form as they have only taken two victories in their last nine games (D5 L2) but they are clear favourites here against a team from a lower tier. In their last nine away games across all competitions Derby are W3 D2 L4.
We can see Derby getting through the tie comfortably. They don’t have a great defence it has to be said, but Accrington are lacking goals at the moment. So Derby to win to nil at 11/5 fits as our prediction* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 8:13 p.m.)
24th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
There could be another tight duel between the two sides as they look for a place in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Southampton survived a tricky away test at Pride Park, now can they make the most of home soil advantage? The winner makes a trip to League One side Accrington in the next round. Read our Southampton v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 13th, 2019 at 4:47 p.m.)
The Saints earned a great 2-1 away win at Leicester on the weekend to give their survival hopes in the Premier League a massive boost. That is a three-match undefeated streak of form that they are on now. In the middle of that streak was their 2-2 draw at Derby in this FA Cup third round tie. Twice the Saints took the lead at Pride Park but they were pegged back on both occasions. Nathan Redmond got both of Southampton’s goals in the game.
The Saints didn’t take the game lightly in terms of sending out an understrength side, which was nice to see. Can they finish this tie at home? The Saints have won just the one home game all season and have lost their last two there. Each of their last four home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Overall Southampton are W1 D5 L4 on home soil this term. They have just the two clean sheets but have netted in each of their last five there.
The Rams suffered a 2-0 away defeat at league leaders Leeds in Championship action on Friday. So they have at least had a little extra rest. Frank Lampard’s troops have just been struggling for form as they have taken just the one win in their last seven games now in all competitions (D4 L2). So they have gone off the boil a bit. Their promotion push at the end of the day is always going to be more important than the FA Cup.
Derby have alternated between a loss and a win in their last seven away games. Next in the sequence would be a win. The Rams have netted in all but one of their last ten games on the road, so that is a positive for them. The negative in that is that they have struggled really bad for clean sheets. They have only one in their last fourteen away from Pride Park. This is their first trip St Marys since a Championship visit in 2012 which they lost 4-0.
The Saints haven’t delivered much of a season on home soil, but they seem to have a little extra in their step since their managerial change. They Could have just enough to edge their way past the visiting Derby. Home win.
14th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Leeds will return to Championship action on Friday night looking to bust themselves out of a mini-slump. The league leaders have lost back to back games and now their lead over Norwich is down to two points. Derby continues in a tough run of games as they look to try and strengthen their place in the top six. Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 7:10 p.m.)
Leeds suffered a loss at Nottingham Forest in their last league game
That is back to back league losses they have suffered now
Their home form in the Championship is W8 D3 L2 this season
They were on a four-match home winning streak before losing to Hull in their most recent home fixture
Leeds have lost just one of their last eight league home games
Just 38% of league games at Elland Road this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Leeds have averaged 1.6 goals per home game this season
The Whites have banked a clean sheet in 46% of their home games
Just twice this season have Leeds failed to score in a league home fixtures
Leeds have not been involved in a league draw in their last eleven played
They have been level at halftime in six of their thirteen home games
The Whites have scored 71% of their home goals in the second half of games
Home and away combined Leeds have no clean sheet in four games
Leeds have the best home record of all Championship sides currently
Only Middlesbrough have conceded fewer league goals than Leeds have
There was a big 4-1 win for Leeds out at Derby back in August
Leeds have lost only one of their last four against the Rams (W2 D1)
Derby won their last visit to Elland Road 2-1
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
The Rams earned a point in a draw against Middlesbrough in their most recent league game
That has left them with only the one league defeat in their last seven played
Derby’s away record for the season stands at W6 D2 L5
So far in their four away games against current top four sides the Rams are W2 D1 L1
Derby won their last away game, a 4-3 win at second-placed Norwich
The Rams have alternated between a wing and a draw in their last five
62% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
They have managed get just one clean sheet on the board this term away from home
Derby have averaged 1.5 goals per away game this season
Both teams have scored in 77% of their away games
Derby have scored in each of their last eight Championship away games
The Rams have conceded six goals in total in their last two away fixtures
Home and away combined the Rams haven’t gotten a clean sheet in any of their last four on the road
Leeds have had a good season on home soil and as well as Derby have done in their tough run of games, it is still going to be a difficult trip to Elland Road to get points out of. We are backing the Whites to bounce back at home.
8th January 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Rams will believe their chances of getting past a Premier league opponent in this one are pretty good. They have been strong at Pride Park this season in the Championship and they take eona Southampton team who have had their fair share of problems. Can the Saints survive this tricky away tie? Read our Derby v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Derby are a top six side in the Championship and they are not going to be a pushover here, not even against Premier League opposition. They are pretty solid are the Rams as they have lost just one of their last seven games. They have only suffered two defaults at Pride Park all season and one of those was on the opening weekend of the season. The Rams are unbeaten in their last four home games, but each of their last three have been drawn. But Frank Lampard’s’ troops do appear to have a decent shot at producing something good here. Last season in the third round they lost at Old Trafford against Man Utd and this could be a significantly more favourable tie. This will be their first game against Southampton since the 2011/12 Championship season. The Rams are winless in five against the Saints.
It is no secret of course about the struggles that Southampton have had this season, which saw boss Mark Hughes get the sack. To be fair to new boss Ralph Hasenhuttl things have started to look a little better for them. But they are still with that threat of relegation hanging over them at the moment and you wonder if they will really be as gung-ho about this time as Derby are going to be. This is a tricky FA Cup tie for them because their away form overall this season is just poor, for the want of a better word. It hasn’t’ really happened in front of goal for them and this will be a big test. But perhaps they can pull inspiration from their run to the semifinals last season against the odds. They do also have the head to head form against the Rams, despite not having met them for a while. How much focus do they put on this?
It is one of those times where the underdog on home soil looks a pretty decent proposition. There’s nothing wrong with Derby’s form at Pride Park and they can have a right go at this. Derby to win outright at 9/5 odds is our prediction* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 8:26 pm)
3rd January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Every game for Derby lately seems to a big clash for them. They took a thrilling win out at title-contenders Norwich on the weekend to give themselves a lift. They are still scrapping along in the tight-top six. They take on Middlesbrough who are sat there level on points with them. Boro are edging Derby on goal difference only. Read our Derby v Middlesbrough betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 2:58 p.m.)
The Rams scrapped and fought their way to a 4-3 win at Norwich on the weekend
They got the win thanks to two goals in the final four minutes of the game
That snapped a three-match winless streak that they were on (D2 L1)
The Rams are undefeated in their last three at Pride Park, drawing the last two
Derby have produced 17 goals at home, conceding 13
Their home record for the Championship season is W6 D4 L2
Derby have earned a clean sheet in a third of their home games this season
They have failed to score in a quarter of their home fixtures
Four of their six home victories in the Championship have been by a two-goal margin
The half time record of Derby at home this season is W3 D7 L2
Derby have opened the scoring in four of their dozen home fixtures
They will get another tough game after this as they visit current leaders Leeds
There was a 1-1 draw between them at the Riverside back in October
Derby have won just one of the last eight against Boro (D2 L5)
Derby are winless in three at home against Boro (D1 L2)
Both teams have scored in just three of the last eight meetings
Boro collected a victory at home against bottom side Ipswich on Saturday
That leaves them with a W3 D2 L3 record in their last six league outings
Their away form is W5 D5 L2 this season
They haven’t won any of their three away games at current top-eight sides
Boro have scored 14 goals on their travels this season
They have only conceded nine at an average of 0.75 goals per road game
Just 33% of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals
Boro have done well defensively with a clean sheet in 42% of away games
They have lost only one of their last eight away games (at QPR on December 15th)
Middlesbrough have been level at half time in seven of their twelve away games
Middlesbrough are on a four-match scoring streak on the road
Each of their last three games (home and away) have gone under 2.5 goals
Boro have scored 71% of their away goals in the second period of matches
They have actually opened the scoring in half of their away games
Boro have the best defensive record in the second tier
The Rams got a huge lift in that big triumph out at Norwich. Boro really aren’t running so hot and therefore the main proposition that we have here is a narrow home win. This is a big shot at three points on home soil for the Rams.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Norwich start the weekend in second place after picking up a point in a thrilling home draw against Nottingham Forest in midweek. The Canaries stay at Carrow Road for the visit of Derby on Saturday. The Rams had a big slip up against Sheffield United on Boxing Day leaving them winless in three. Read our Norwich v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
Norwich fought back from 3-0 down to earn a home draw against Nottingham Forest on Boxing Day
That left the Canaries undefeated in twelve league games
Their form at Carrow Road this season is W8 D1 L3
The draw against Forest in midweek snapped a five-match winning streak at home that Norwich were on
Norwich are on a six-match scoring streak at Carrow Road
They have scored thirteen times in their last four home games alone
They are average 1.9 goals per home game in the league this season
42% of games at Carrow Road this season have gone over 3.5 goals
The Canaries have banked a clean sheet in 33% of their home fixtures
They are without a clean sheet in any of their last four home games though
Norwich have scored 87% of their home goals in the second half of fixtures
The Canaries have scored at least two goals in each of their last four home games
Twelve of their 23 home goals this season have been scored in the final fifteen minutes of matches
Only league leaders Leeds have a better home record than Norwich
Only two sides in the Championship have scored more goals than Norwich have
Norwich collected a point in a 1-1 draw at Derby earlier this season
That is back to back 1-1 league draws the two have played out
Derby are undefeated in three against Norwich (W1 D2)
Norwich have won just one of the last eight against Derby (D4 L3)
The Rams suffered a 3-1 loss at Sheffield United in midweek
That leaves them winless in three league games (D2 L1)
Derby are W5 D2 L5 this season away from home in the Championship
They have tallied 16 road goals, an average of 1.3 per game
58% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals
The Rams have only managed to earn the one clean sheet on their travels this season
That was in a 1-0 win at Wigan at the start of December
Both teams have scored in 75% of Derby’s away games this season
Four of Derby’s five away defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin
In half of their away fixtures, this season Derby have been ahead at half time (D2 L4)
The Rams are on a seven-match scoring streak on their travels
They are currently six points worse off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign
Norwich look so solid at Carrow Road that it is hard to see them losing. So pushing that forward they could well have enough with their scoring power to edge their way past the Rams. It’s worth backing the visitors to get on the scoresheet though.
27th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting