Champions leaders Leeds will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on the weekend. The Whites have won four of their last five games, positive form which is in stark contrast to the slump that the Rams are in. Derby are winless in six now as they head to Elland Road. Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 17th, 2019 at 3.21 a.m.)
It has been a fantastic return of W5 D1 L1 from Leeds this season in the Championship. They have taken a win in four of their last five played (L1) the one defeat happening at home against Swansea. That leaves them with a W1 D1 L1 record on home soil in league action for the campaign. All three of their home games have finished under 2.5 goals as well so there is a trend to start with.
The goal in their 1-0 loss against Swansea is the only goal conceded by them in their last five games. They have conceded a total of three all season. All three of those goals against Leeds have happened in the second half of fixtures this season. Leeds themselves have scored nine of their twelve goals after the half time break. So while the Whites are up there setting a very good early pace, Derby will have hope from the fact that Leeds are only W1 D2 L3 in their last six league home games.
Leeds are W3 D1 L2 in their last six league games against Derby
The two traded away wins in last season’s league meetings
Three of the last four league meetings have ended in an away win
Four of the last six between Leeds and Derby have gone over 2.5 goals
The Rams are in a tough spot at the moment, not having won a league game since the opening weekend of the campaign. They are D4 L2 in their last six league games, with no clean sheet in their last five played. The Rams suffered a heavy 3-0 loss at Brentford in their last away game which leaves them at W1 D1 L1 on the road this season in the second tier. The positive is that they are scoring goals.
They have hit the back of the net in five of their seven games this season. Derby have also opened the scoring in four of their seven league games this season, but have been leading at half time in just two. 80% of the goals that Derby have conceded this season have happened in the first half of matches, while they have scored five of their last seven in the first half of games. It’s not happening for them at the moment.
Derby aren’t quite there in quality and while Leeds don’t have much home form going for them at the moment, they are at least in a stronger position. They have the extra quality and better confidence about them. Leeds have won three of the last four meetings between the two of them. Leeds to win to nil.
18th September 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Championship returns to action on Friday night with Cardiff visiting Pride Park. Derby have been struggling with their form a little bit and they start the weekend just three points above the drop zone. So they are going to be feeling the pressure greatly on home soil. Cardiff are above them, two points better off. Read our Derby v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 10th, 2019 at 12:31 p.m.)
Derby find themselves in a bit of a sticky spot down near the relegation zone. Their summer of upheaval may just be catching up with them a bit. They won their opening game of the campaign, but are winless since in a W1 D3 L2 record in this season’s Championship.
The Rams have taken a W0 D2 L1 record on home soil this season. In their last home game, they did get a very good point against West Brom. The Rams have managed only one clean sheet in the league this season, that coming in their 0-0 home opener against Swansea. It’s been two goals scored in three home games from them.
Two of the three goals which they have conceded at Pride Park has been in the first half of matches. Carrying over from the back end of last season, Derby are winless (D2 L2) in their last four league home games, scoring just two goals in a sequence. Martyn Waghorn is their top scorer this season with three goals (two of those penalties).
Derby took four points from their 2017/18 Championship meetings with Cardiff
The last two meetings at Pride Park have gone over 3.5 goals
Just one of the last four meetings have produced a home win
Cardiff have lost two of their last three league visits to Derby
Cardiff don’t have any winning momentum behind them having drawn their last two league games. However, they are undefeated in their last three played in the second tier (W1 D2). Their home form has been far better than what they have produced on the road. Cardiff are just D1 L2 away from home, which hints that this is going to be a tough game for them.
The Bluebirds have failed to score in their last two on the road as well. They played out a 0-0 draw with Blackburn in their last road game. That was a big defensive improvement because they had conceded exactly three goals in both of their previous away games. Four of the six away goals they have conceded have been in the second half of games.
Cardiff have gone W1 D1 L3 in their last five Championship away games now. Each of their last three road losses in the Championship has seen them conceded exactly three goals. That sequence was started with a 3-1 loss at Derby at the back of last season.
With little away form behind them, it is hard to back Cardiff to come up with spoils in this one. Even though Derby haven’t managed to find their feet yet at Pride Park, this surely serves up a good opportunity to get their first home win. Derby to win.
11th September 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Saturday’s Championship action is going to start with a bang as Derby play host to West Brom. The Rams haven’t won since the opening weekend of the season, so need to get something going. Meanwhile, the Baggies have started the season strongly, unbeaten across their first four games. Read our Derby v West Brom betting tips for more.
West Brom 9/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Rams had their first taste of defeat this season as they suffered a 2-1 home loss against Bristol City in midweek. That has left them with just one point from their two home games played and just one goal scored. So are they set for a difficult season at Pride Park? Too early to tell that of course, and a win in this one would give things a totally different perspective.
Derby opened the season with a win at Huddersfield and then it is D2 L1 since then. They played out a 0-0 draw with Swansea in their one home game this season. Martyn Waghorn and Tom Lawerence have two goals each for the Rams this season, while it was Jack Marriott who got a consolation for them against Bristol City in midweek. Three of their five games this season have made it over 2.5 goals.
The Rams won both league meetings with West Brom last season
Derby are on a three-match winning streak against the Baggies in all competitions
Each of the last five meetings in all competitions have gone over 2.5 goals
West Brom are winless in six against the Rams in all competitions
It has been a steady opening for West Brom, taking eight points from their first four games. Their midweek action saw them play out a 1-1 draw at the Hawthorns with Reading. That’s both of their home games this season having finished as 1-1 draws. But as a positive for their backers this weekend, is the fact that they have won their two away games. The trend there is that both wins have been by a 2-1 scoreline.
Of course, all that adds up to no clean sheet from West Brom this season so it’s probably worth a look at both teams to score. The two goals that the Baggies have shipped away from home in this campaign have both been in the first half of matches. Grady Diangana (2) is their top scorer following his second-half brace against Luton last weekend. A win at Pride Park would be a superb way to keep their early away form going.
They have been close calls, but West Brom are carrying away form and with Derby not up and running with a win yet at home, the away win has some appeal. Either way, this has the look of being a high-scoring and thoroughly entertaining lunchtime affair.
22nd August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Derby have made a solid start to the new Championship after the heartbreak of losing the Play-Off Final last season. They are unbeaten over their opening three matches. That is more than can be said of Bristol City, but the Robins are just one point behind the Rams. So there is a big early three points up for grabs. Read our Derby v Bristol City betting tips for more.
Bristol City 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 18th, 2019 7:27 p.m.)
It has been a return of W1 D2 from Derby’s three games this season in the Championship. Their lone win happened on the opening weekend of the season as they got a 2-1 win at Huddersfield. They have followed that up with a home draw against Swansea and an away draw on the weekend against Stoke. All four goals for Derby have come from two players, two each for Tom Lawrence and Martyn Waghorn.
The Rams produced a W13 D7 L3 record at home in last season’s Championship and they are now, including their draw against Swansea this season, on an eight-match undefeated streak of home form in the division, winning four of their last five. On the weekend, they will have been disappointed at not having converted an early lead at Stoke into a win but they instead found themselves needing to come up with an equaliser in the second half.
The Rams took four points off Bristol City last season
Derby took a 2-0 win at Ashton Gate in the last campaign
Four of the last six meetings have ended in a draw
Just one of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
The Robins have recovered from a tough opening to the new season. They started with a home defeat against Leeds, but have taken four points from their next two games. It started with a 1-1 draw at Birmingham, before securing a solid 2-0 home win over QPR on the weekend. The huge positive from them is that they have scored in all three games played so far this season. All four of their goals have come from different players. In last season’s Championship campaign Bristol City won more games on the road than they did at home. They took a W11 D5 L7 record on their travels. With their draw at Birmingham this season that is a three-match undefeated streak of form on the road that the Robins are on in the Championship.
This may well be a close game, but we are going to stick with home advantage. It is not easy to go out on the road in such a short space of time after the weekend action. So because of that, we have to side slightly with the Rams at home to sneak a win by a one-goal margin.
19th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Stoke are already under some early pressure having lost their opening two games of the new Championship season. Their defence has been exposed badly so far. After losing last season’s Championship play-off final, Derby have made a good start to the new campaign picking up four points from their opening two fixtures. Can the Rams keep some early momentum going? Read our Stoke v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 13th, 2019 at 7:00 p.m.)
The Potters have had a rough start to the new campaign. They have been hit with back to back defeats. Their first one was at home against QPR and then they took a 3-1 hammering out at the newly promoted Charlton last weekend. So tough times for Stoke then and they are going to be under some heavy pressure here to get something going. But this doesn’t look like being a particularly easy game for them.
Especially with their defence having already shipped five goals in two games. Stoke produced a home record of W8 D9 L6 last season in the championship. They drew each of their last five home games of the last campaign. So throw in their home defeat against QPR that is a big six-match winless streak of league home form they are on. If you look at their overall home and away record from the end of last season to the start of this new one, they are winless in eight (D4 L4).
Stoke earned four points from the two Championship meetings with Derby last season
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Derby have lost their last two Championship games at Stoke
Under 2.5 goals has featured in all but one of the last six meetings
After their summer of change and after narrowly missing out on a place in this season’s Premier League, it was always going to be interesting to see what Derby were going to come up with. They have started the new Championship season well with a W1 D1 record on the board. They travelled to Huddersfield on the opening weekend of the season and took a 2-1 win there. The Rams followed it up with a 0-0 home draw against Swansea.
Tom Lawrence has got both of their league goals this season. Both of those goals were inside the first 25 minutes of action at Huddersfield. So that is around 145 minutes without a league goal from them since then. Last season Derby posted a W7 D7 L9 record out on their travels and they were unbeaten in their final three road games of the regular season. One area in which they did struggle was earning away clean sheets, with one coming in just 13% of their road games.
There appears to be some trouble brewing at Stoke who have put in two poor defensive displays thus far. Despite all the changes that have happened at Derby over the summer, they looked to have settled pretty quickly into their new season and can go and get themselves a good away win.
15th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Rams are up and running for the new season with a 2-0 win over Huddersfield on Monday night. That was a tough opener out of the way and so it is to Pride Park on the weekend for their first home game of the new term. They will be facing a Swansea side who also opened positively, beating Hull. Read our Derby v Swansea betting tips for more.
A brace from Tom Lawerence gave Derby a 2-1 win in their opening game of the season. A positive start then for new boss Philip Cocu. That will have been a massive relief for them after a difficult summer. They lost in the playoff semi-finals to Aston Villa and then saw boss Frank Lampard walk away to join Chelsea. At the start of July, the Rams turned to former Netherlands international Cocu to steady the ship.
The Rams were under pressure for most of the second half, but they didn’t crumble. They just looked as if they ran out of steam, which was understandable. They will have Wayne Rooney as player-coach joining them in January. In last season’s Championship Derby did struggle a bit on their travels. The bulk of their success last season happened on home soil where they took a W13 D7 L3 record. They were unbeaten in their final seven games of the regular season there.
Derby earned four points against Swansea last season
The Rams have won their last two at home against the Swans by a 2-1 scoreline
Swansea are winless in four against Derby (W2 D2)
Both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings
Swansea picked up three points on the opening weekend of the new season thanks to a 2-1 home win over Hull. Borja Baston and defender Mike van der Hoorn got their goals in the match. They went into the season with a pretty good pre-season behind them and they looked decent. Will it be enough to avoid defeat at Pride Park? Swansea did get themselves a top ten finish in the Championship last season but were a long way short of making it back up to the Premier League.
Their season was all built around their home form as well. They only posted a W6 D5 L12 record on their travels last term and they lost seven of their last nine road games (W1 D1). It was a pretty horrible run of form from them. In total last season Swansea scored an average of a goal per game away from home, taking a clean sheet in just 22% of road fixtures. Of their twelve road losses last season, eight of them were by one goal margin only. There were level at the half time break in 11 of their 23 away games.
We can see a tight game being played out a Pride Park. Of the two, Derby perhaps looked slightly better quality on the opening weekend of the season. Swansea aren’t going to be a pushover though and that’s why a low scoring game is going to be predicated. If you are looking for a winner, Derby look the more likely.
8th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Huddersfield finds themselves back down in the Championship after their two seasons in the top flight of English football. They will be looking to rebuild now and adjust to life back down a tier. They kick off the season with a home game against Derby. The Rams were play-off losers at the end of the last term, and have had a change at the top with Frank Lampard going to Chelsea. Read our Huddersfield v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 29th, 2019 at 2:12 p.m.)
It was all doom and gloom for the Terriers last season. Their Premier League survival hopes faded very early in the season and they were quickly cut adrift at the foot of the table. Huddersfield only collected the sixteen points from their Premier League campaign, posting a W3 D7 L28 record. They also parted ways with David Wagner, the man who had gotten them up to the top flight in the first place. So now they have to try and rebuild from that, assess and adjust to life back down in the second tier.
Jan Siewert is the man charged with trying to guide them back up to the top flight. Relegation from the top flight is always a tough thing to deal with. It affects the squad and there has been plenty of comings and goings at the club including goalkeeper Jonas Lossll who has gone to Everton. They have done a bit of wheeling and dealing, grabbing a few first-timers like Isaac Mbenza from Montpellier and Tommy Elphick from Aston Villa. How strongly can they challenge for a place back in the top flight?
Huddersfield earned four points against Derby in the 2016/17 Championship
The Terriers have won one of their last 9 against the Rams only
Derby are W1 D2 L1 in their last four visits to Huddersfield
None of the last three meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
It has been all change at Derby as well. They made the play offs under Frank Lampard last season, but the summer has seen him leave to take over at Chelsea. The Rams finished in sixth place last season and enjoyed a breath of fresh air with Lampard giving plenty of time to youngsters. Unfortunately for Derby, the cream of those, like Mason Mount has followed Lampard to Stamford Bridge. The away form of Derby last season wasn’t anything spectacular or special. They posted a W7 D7 L9 record on their travels.
The Rams only managed a clean sheet in 13% of their road games last season. They averaged 1.25 goals per road game. Of the seven away wins that they recorded last season, five of them were by one goal margin only. It Was narrow margins from them a lot of the way really. They opened the scoring in 9 of their 23 road games last season. To replace Frank Lampard the Rams have brought in former Dutch international Phillip Cocu. It will be fascinating to see whether they can build on what was put in place last season or whether they will start to slip backwards.
The Terriers have some adjusting to do. The Rams know all about what it takes to get the job done in the second tier. It’s a fresh start for both, but the visitors don’t look a bad bit value to go and get themselves three points. They may just have more about them in the attack. It will be fascinating to see how these two do actually go at each other.
2nd August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Who will be playing the likes of Manchester City and Liverpool next season in the top flight? Aston Villa head to the Championship play-off finals as the favourites. They will be taking on the resilient Rams who produced a massive comeback to knock Leeds out of the playoffs. Can they pull off a similar upset against Villa? Read our Aston Villa v Derby betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 20th, 2019 at 11:23 p.m.)
Aston Villa simply powered their way to the end of the season. They put together a ten-match winning streak at one point. That was right before taking just one point from their last two league games of the season. But they showed good character in their play-off semi-final against West Brom. Despite a second leg defeat away from home, Villa won the penalty shootout to get through. Now it’s a game against the Rams for a place in the EPL, a team who they have beaten twice easily this season.
Villa were the third top scorers in the league this season so they have that big asset going for them. They have struck the back of the net in all but one of their last fifteen games. During the course of the regular season, they averaged 1.8 goals per game. Last season they were in this very same position as they faced up to Fulham. The Villains were favourites for that game but suffered a 1-0 defeat. It is perhaps interesting that Villa, with their games against West Brom in the semi-finals included, have only gone W3 D3 L5 against the other top six finishers this term. Two of those wins were against Derby.
Aston took back to back wins over Derby in this season’s Championship
The Villains scored seven unanswered goals against the Rams this season
Derby are winless in three against Villa currently
Both teams have scored in just one of the last eight meetings
Who much will their 3-0 and 4-0 losses during the regular season against Villa be on the midst of Derby? The Rams looked down and out, trailing 2-0 on aggregate just before the midway point of the second leg of their semi-final tie against Leeds. But then they mounted a stunning comeback to win 4-3 on aggregate in a dramatic conclusion. During the course of the regular season, Derby went W4 D1 L5 against the five teams who finished above them in the table.
That comeback success against Leeds in the semi-final, coupled with a six-match undefeated streak of form at the back end of the season, does leave Frank Lampard’s men in good stead. This is third time that Derby have been to the playoff final. Both of their previous appearances ended in defeat, the first back in 1994 against Leicester and then more recently in 2014 when they were pipped to the post by QPR. They keep knocking on the door having reached the semi-finals now in two of the last three seasons. Can they take that extra step back up to the top flight?
Derby did put a strong finish to the season together. But Villa’s form has been even better and even in defeat at West Brom in the second leg of their semi-final, they were on top in the fixture. Dean Smith’s men should be ready to deliver after their near miss in last season’s playoff final. Aston Villa to win.
24th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is Aston Villa and Derby who will be stepping out at Wembley in the Championship Play-Off Final. The Championship play-off final is the richest game in English football, with the huge prize being a place among the elite in the country next season.
Premier League football awaits one of these next season. Which one will it be? It is Aston Villa who are the 6/5 favourites with bookmakers to win the Wembley duel* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa met their Midlands rivals West Brom in their Championship play-off semi-final. The Villains took a 2-1 lead at home in the first leg, so went to the Hawthorns with something to defend. They lost 1-0 on the night, as the Baggies came back hard at them. However, there is no away goal rule in the playoffs, which worked in Villa’s favour.
Instead, the game went to a penalty shootout. It was Villa who stormed out to a lead in that as West Brom missed their first two kicks. Tammy Abraham sealed the deal for Villa to give them a 4-3 shootout success. So after a three-year absence from the top flight, Aston Villa have just one more step to go to end that. They are 8/13 for Promotion* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.).
Derby though pulled off some heroics in their semi-final against Leeds after looking down and out. The Rams were already 1-0 down in the tie from the first leg at home, and when they conceded the opening goal of the second leg at Elland Road, things looked pretty dire for them. On the stroke of half time, though, substitute Jack Marriott made the most of a mistake in the Leeds backline to tie the game up.
That changed the whole complexion of the game. Derby came out roaring in the second half, Mason Mount striking just after the restart which meant that it was game on. Derby stayed on the front foot picking up a stunning 4-2 win on the night to move through to the play-off final. It would be some achievement for Rams boss Frank Lampard in his first season in charge to get the club up to the top flight.
In the head to head between the two sides this season, it is Aston Villa who held a clear advantage. They powered their way to a 3-0 success at Pride Park in the first league meeting, before taking a 4-0 win over them back on home soil. Derby have taken just one win in their last nine games against Villa.
16th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds shook off some poor form at the end of the regular season to give themselves an advantage going into the second leg of this playoff semi-final. Leeds will head back to Elland Road with a 1-0 advantage in the tie now. Will that be enough for the Whites to hold on and make it through? Will Derby have enough about them to mount a comeback? Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
Leeds have a good advantage behind them now for this playoff tie. They badly needed that positive at Pride Park in the first leg of this semi-final too, as they fell out of form at the end of the regular season. Leeds took just the one point from their final four league games of the season. So they were struggling there and had lost back to back away games as well. Across the course of the regular season, Leeds posted a W14 D4 L5 record for the season at Elland Road. In their last five games of the regular season though they only posted a W2 D1 L2 record, taking one point from their final two games played.
Leeds averaged 1.65 goals per home game in the course of the regular season and had their defensive strengths as well. They conceded at an under a goal per game on average. In total Leeds earned a clean sheet in 39% of their home fixtures. They finished the regular season on a four-match scoring streak of form at Elland Road, and they were level at the halftime break in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches and they opened the scoring in 14 of their games. The Whites closed out the season with the fifth best home record of all teams in the Championship and the third-best defence overall.
The Rams were carrying great form through to the end of the regular season with them, so it was a little surprising that they let the home advantage slip in this tie. The Rams were on a four-match winning streak of form before the loss against Leeds in this first game of this tie. Now, what can they come up with on the road? Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, drawing two of those. Across the course of the regular season, they came up with seven away wins in a W7 D7 L9 record. They lost three of their five away games against the top five finishers.
Derby averaged 1.26 goals per away game, conceding at an average of 1.5 per road game. They did struggle for their away clean sheets, taking one in just 13% of their road fixtures. Of the seven wins that they did take away from home during the season, five of them were by a one-goal margin. Five of their nine away defeats were by a one-goal margin only. Derby finished the season on a six-match scoring streak, but how costly will that blank at Pride Park be? Derby only managed to open the scoring in one away game. They are going to have their work cut out for them.
The confidence that Leeds will have taken from their first leg success will have been huge. They can afford to be patient now and take the string out of this second leg. Another low scoring game could be on the cards. Leeds to win to nil.
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting