There was a thrilling league contest between these two last weekend which Chelsea fought back from behind to win 3-2. The Blues will favourite to go out and take a win over Southampton in the FA Cup semi-final tie as well. This is a nice distraction for the Saints who are struggling to maintain their Premier League status. Can they at least gain some Cup cheer?
Chelsea 2/5, Draw 7/2, Southampton 13/2* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
Chelsea go out in what is their last shot at silverware this season. Their FA Cup campaign started with a nervy passage through Championship side Norwich, the Blues winning a penalty shoot-out in the replay at Stamford Bridge. Things got easier for them after that with strong clean-sheet home wins over Newcastle and Hull. They did have a tougher scrap on their hands at the King Power against Leicester in the quarter finals, the Blues needing an extra time winner from Pedro to make it through. Having avoided Spurs and Manchester United in the semi-final draw, the Blues will be happy with this setup for Wembley. In the bet365 correct score market a Chelsea 2-0 result is at 11/2 odds with a 2-1 success for them at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). The Blues, to be fair, have had their troubles keeping the ball out of the back of the net recently.
The Blues have won the FA Cup seven times, their last win coming in 2012. They lost last year’s final 2-1 to Arsenal. Chelsea visited Southampton last weekend in the Premier League and found themselves in a 2-0 hole before fighting back with three goals in the final twenty minutes of action to win 3-2. Chelsea had won their home game against Southampton 1-0 so a Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin bet at bet365 for 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) looks a decent proposition. This will be the ninth meeting in the FA Cup between the two sides and from those previous seven Southampton are W4 D3 L1 up over the Blues. However, Chelsea currently are on a five-match winning streak against the Saints in all options and lost just one of their last ten against them (losing two of the last 19 head to heads).
Six of the last eight meetings between Chelsea and Southampton have produced at least three goals so over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:50 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Southampton have won the FA Cup before, claiming it in 1976 and they have lost three other finals, the most recent of which was in 2003 against Arsenal. It has been a struggle for Southampton in the Premier League and they are staring at relegation, but have a chance through the cup to finish the season on a high. They have come through some tricky tests as well, opening with a 1-0 win at Championship side Fulham, before taking out Watford at St Mary’s. Then it was a narrow win at West Brom before collecting a 2-0 success at Wigan, who had dumped Manchester City out of the competition. So three of their wins have been by a one-goal margin only. They are going to have to overcome some poor head to head form against the Blues to progress, but going as underdogs the pressure won’t be on them.
Chelsea have the extra quality and depth and should enjoy the space at Wembley a little bit more, allowing the likes of Hazard and Willian plenty of room. Chelsea are likely to have too much for the Saints, but still, with Chelsea looking shaky at the back, go for Chelsea to win & both teams to score.
19th April 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Burnley’s fantastic winning streak continued on the weekend as they took a home win over Leicester to make it five on the trot. It’s been fantastic for them and they are closing in on Arsenal for a sixth-place finish. Chelsea fought back from 2-0 away at Southampton to record a thrilling 3-2 victory in the end after producing a fantastic second-half performance. They still look shaky though.
Chelsea 10/11, Draw 13/5, Burnley 14/5* (Betting Odds taken at 6:57 p.m. on April 15th, 2018)
The Clarets have a big head of steam going at the moment with a five-match winning streak. Four of those wins have been by a 2-1 scoreline and in the bet365 correct score market a Burnley 2-1 option is at 14/1 odds a long way from the shortest priced option of a Chelsea 1-0 at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). The Clarets are unbeaten in four at home (W2 D2) and collected a 2-1 win over Leicester there on the weekend. They could jump above Arsenal into sixth place with three points in this one. Overall their home form is W7 D4 L5 for the season and they did hold Man City to a 1-1 draw just back in February. There have only been the 14 home goals from the Clarets this season, but they are defensively strong having conceded just 13 in 16 home fixtures. Only 25% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line however each to their last five (home and away combined) have gone over and over 2.5 goals at bet365 does appeal at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). Striker Chris Wood has now scored in four of their last five.
Chelsea showed a nice bit of team spirit and character on the weekend, fighting back from 2-0 down at Shoutmon to take a 3-2 win thanks to super-sub Olivier Giroud who got a brace, with Eden Hazard getting the other. That snapped a three-match losing streak of away from that Chelsea were on, so they needed that boost of confidence. Still, they look pretty messy at the back and both teams to score at bet365 is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 9:39 p.m. on April 15th, 2018). The Blues have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game this season but have conceded at over a goal per game now. 69% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals. Chelsea doesn’t have a clean sheet in any of their last four away games and none in their last six home and away combined. It’s not been good from them at the back and 67% of the goals that they have conceded away from home have been in the second half of matches so they tend to switch off at the end of games it would appear. They have scored in 81% of their away games this season and Eden Hazard is their top away scorer with eight.
Burnley opened the season with a shock 3-2 win at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea. That was the first ever win for the Clarets over the Blues in the Premier League. Chelsea are W4 D2 L1 from their seven previous Premier League fixtures against the Clarets. Both teams have scored in each of the three previous Premier League meetings at Turf Moor and five of the seven previous top-flight clashes have gone above 2.5 goals.
Burnley are playing with such team spirit and confidence at the moment, that they may well be able to hold out. Chelsea are not looking particularly sound at the back by any stretch of the imagination, so back a midweek draw at Turf Moor.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Southampton are in dire straits now and are starting to get cut adrift at the bottom. They are three points away from safety heading into the weekend but they do have a game in hand over Crystal Palace who directly above them, fourth from bottom. Chelsea again disappointed last weekend as they allowed West Ham to grab a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge. They are going to struggle to hold on to fifth place at this rate.
Chelsea 5/6, Draw 13/5, Southampton 10/3* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018)
The Saints are on a three-match losing streak in the top flight and are winless in six (D2 L4). It’s been pretty terrible from them and since beating Everton back on November 26th, they have won just one game since which was against bottom side West Brom in early February. Overall the Saints have won just five league games this season and are in a mess. They have failed to score in four of their last six matches now and under 2.5 goals at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018) looks a decent option for this game. Southampton have produced a W3 D7 L6 record at home for the season and they are winless in eight there (going back to that victory over Everton). Each of their last four home games have gone under 2.5 goals and they have failed to come up with a goal in their last two at home. The Saints in total have scored 16 goals in 16 home games this term. Only bottom side West Brom have a worse home record that Southampton have this season. They are only going to have two home games left this season in which to drum up some survival points. It is not looking good for them.
It’s gone pretty wrong for Chelsea this season. They blew a 1-0 home lead over West Ham on the weekend after dominating for most of the match. They couldn’t find a second and allowed the Hammers to get back into things. That’s a poor W2 D1 L5 record that the Blues have managed in their last eight games now. They are on a three-match losing streak away from home in the top flight at the moment, going down against Watford, Man Utd and then Man City and they are left with a W7 D3 L5 away record this season. The defence has been uncharacteristically weak from the Blues this season and they have no clean sheet in their last five league games played and obviously none in their last three on the road. Both teams to score at bet365 may well be worth a flutter at 10/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018). They have slumped out of the top four and now even holding on to a top-five finish with Arsenal in form and breathing down their necks, may be a stretch. Still, the last time that Chelsea weren’t in the Champions League, they won the Premier League (last season).
There was a 1-0 home win for Chelsea vs Southampton in mid-December and that was Chelsea’s fourth straight Premier League success over the Saints. Southampton, in fact, have won just one of the last nine meetings between the two clubs (W1 D2 L6). Chelsea took a 2-0 win at St Mary’s last season and they are unbeaten in their last four league visit there, winning three of them.
The draw really isn’t out of the question in this one. Chelsea can’t seem to finish off teams and close out games successfully. Southampton haven’t looked like winning a game for a while but they may be able to tough out a point at home against the out-of-sorts Blues.
10th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Chelsea’s hopes of a top-four finish this season were dashed as they blew a lead at home against Tottenham to suffer a 3-1 loss. That leaves them eight points out of fourth place and running out of matches. So now it’s a matter of holding off Arsenal for fifth. West Ham landed a much-needed win over Southampton last weekend, how will they fare on the road in this London derby?
Chelsea 2/7, Draw 4/1, West Ham 11/1* (Betting Odds taken at 10:00 p.m. on April 2nd, 2018)
Chelsea’s season pretty much came to a crashing halt last weekend as they were beaten 3-1 at home by Spurs. That is five defeats in their last seven league games now (W2). Both of those wins were at home and they have a W10 D2 L4 record at Stamford Bridge this season. They have only lost two of their last dozen on home soil in the top flight though. Their defence is not looking all that sharp at the moment though and both teams to score at bet365 is a viable option for this still at 21/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). On top of that, they have not looked sharp up front either, aside from the occasional big performance from Eden Hazard or Willian. Alvaro Morata opened the scoring against Spurs last weekend and he is the 11/4 bet365 first goalscorer favourite* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). Each of their last four home games have gone over 2.5 goals that is despite them still having conceded an average of under a goal per game this term. Their season has pretty much petered out and now just have the fifth place finish to play for.
The Hammers relieved some pressure with a great 3-0 home win over Southampton last weekend. Marko Arnautovic had a great game up front and he is a 3/1 bet365 anytime goalscorer for the game* (Betting Odds taken at 8:36 p.m. on April 3rd, 2018). The Hammers on a three-match losing streak away from home and overall this season have only put up figures of W2 D5 L9. The Hammers have tallied an average of 1.25 goals per away game this season, but their defence has been pretty horrible on the road having conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game and they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last six away from home. They have scored in each of their last eight away games though so over 2.5 goals at bet365 should have plenty of appeal in this one. 65% of West Ham’s goals conceded away from home this season have come in the second half of matches. That win last weekend left them five points clear of the drop zone.
The Hammers bagged a 1-0 victory over Chelsea earlier in the season and they haven’t done all that bad against the Blues recently in the top flight. In the last five league meetings, things are even with two wins each and one draw. Chelsea though are unbeaten at Stamford Bridge against West Ham in over a decade now.
Chelsea have to come out and play in this one to at least show some fight and team spirit. They should find the gaps against the West Ham back line which hasn’t been good on the road. The Blues are lacking clinical finishing but they should win this in a game which goes over 2.5 goals.
6th April 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Chelsea v Tottenham Premier League Preview, 1st April 4.00pm
A new month brings a heavyweight duel at Stamford bridge between London rivals Chelsea and Tottenham. This could have big implications in the race for a top-four finish. Spurs are holding down fourth heading into the weekend, five points clear of their rivals, so a win for the Lilywhites in this one would pretty much close the door on the Blues. Can Chelsea lift themselves for a big home performance? They need to.
Chelsea 5/4, Tottenham 11/5, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 03:42 p.m. on March 27th, 2018)
Big pressure game for Chelsea now which is a huge opportunity to try and edge their way back to the Champions League qualification places. They have a five-point gap to make up to Spurs in order to achieve that, but a win here would put good wind in their sails. Chelsea have won their last two league outings at Stamford Bridge, beating West Brom and Crystal Palace. Overall the Blues are W10 D2 L3 for the season and they have averaged 1.7 goals per game on home soil. So while their overall form recently hasn’t been great, they do look a solid home side. Each of their last three home games have made it over 2.5 goals and that is 21/20 at bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 03:42 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) to happen in this one as well. If the Blues don’t make the most of this one then their chances of making it to the Champions League next season through the league route are going to be severely hampered. Olivier Giroud is the 13/8 favourite in the anytime goalscorer market for the game, but Willian out at 5/2* (Betting Odds taken at 03:42 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) is always a tempting proposition and has been in great form. The Blues are currently sixteen points worse off than they were at this stage last season. The pressure is on, especially with only two wins in eight previous games this season against top-six opponents.
The Blues have shown some vulnerabilities at the back and with Spurs (even without Kane) a threat, then the both teams to score option at bet365 for 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 03:42 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) is still looking viable. Spurs can take a lot of pressure off of themselves with a win in this one which would pretty much lock down a top-four finish. The Lilywhites are in great form at the moment with a four-match winning streak going and no defeat since a loss to Man City back on December 16th. Away from home this season in the top flight the Lilywhites are W8 D3 L4 and they have won four of their last six on their travels (D2). Spurs have averaged 1.9 goals per game away from home this season and have been their usual solid selves at the back, taking a clean sheet in 40% of their road games. Spurs have scored in each of their last eighteen league games now and are unbeaten in twelve in total home and away. They are missing Kane, but are still such a tight, well-knitted group of players.
The Blues did take a win at Wembley earlier this season against the Lilywhites and have won three of the last four meetings against their rivals in all competitions. They collected a 2-1 success in his corresponding fixture last season and are defending a proud unbeaten home record against Spurs in the Premier League. Chelsea have won three of their last four (D1) league home games against Spurs and overall home and away in all competitions are W4 D2 L1 in their last seven against them.
Chelsea do have a bit of home form going against the Lilywhites and they can take advantage of the visitors being without Kane. The Blues have to raise their game, leave everything out there in this one to get some pressure back on the Lilywhites for a top-four finish.
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It is that time of the season once again, where you can start looking ahead to what may be to come next season. This year’s Premier League title has looked like a foregone conclusion for most of the way, with Manchester City running rampant. While we still have the rest of the domestic action, the Champions League and of course the World Cup in the summer to think about betting on, City have been priced up as favourites for next season’s Premier League title.
Bet365 have installed Pep Guardiola’s men as the 4/6 outright favourites* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) to successfully defend their title next season. They have made it look so easy in this season’s Premier League, no-one even getting close to matching their power and consistency in what could be a record-breaking season for them that is it hard to see them having it all fall down anytime soon.
At those 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) offered by Bet365, it implies that Man City have a staggering 60% chance of winning the Premier League title next season as well. If they were to successfully deliver a title defence, then they would be the first team to do so since rivals Manchester United pulled it off in the 2007/08 season.
Manchester United have been priced up at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) making them third-favourites in the title race for next season, which is only a 14% chance that they will top the pile at the end of the season. Things have turned a little bit sour under Jose Mourinho this season and could need a shakeup in the summer. Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool are sandwiched between the two Manchester clubs at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) which means that are expected to be City’s closest challenge.
But Liverpool could find themselves with a big problem on their hands in the summer and that is holding on to the free-scoring Mo Salah as clubs like PSG and Real Madrid are bound to come knocking on the door for him. It is hard to know what situation Chelsea are going to be in next season with rumours that Antonio Conte could be parting ways with the club after some setbacks this season. The Blues are priced up as 10/1 shots* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) to get the Premier League title next season and with Willian and Eden Hazard likely to be in hot demand, it could be a long way back to the top for Chelsea.
Once again under Mauricio Pochettino Spurs have been the epitome of style, but on top of their missed chances in recent seasons of winning the league and more failure this season in that regard, they have been priced out at 14/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018). But it is a lot shorter than the 25/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) that bet365 have priced up Arsenal at. to win the league next season.
Outside of the traditional big six, the ones deemed most likely to do a “Leicester” and pull out a surprise title are Sam Allardyce’s’ Everton at 200/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018) and yes, Leicester themselves at 300/1* (betting odds taken at 11:14 p.m. on March 27th, 2018).
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Three-quarters of the FA Cup quarter-final match ups turned out to be pretty routine affairs this weekend. Everything is done and dusted with no replays now being played at this stage of the competition and it is four Premier League clubs in the semi finals, Chelsea, Spurs, Southampton and Manchester United being the last four teams left standing.
Of the two semi finals, the big one is Man Utd v Tottenham. The Lilywhites looked as if they could have a tricky tie on their hands at Swansea on the weekend. The Swans had been in great form on home soil, but Spurs, without the injured Harry Kane cruised through to a 3-0 win. They will face Manchester United who laboured to a 2-0 win at Old Trafford over Brighton.
Mark Hughes won his first game in charge of Southampton as the Saints avoided the big banana skin that they faced at League One side Wigan. The Latics had knocked out Man City in the last round but Southampton safely made it through with a 2-0 win. The tightest tie was at the King Power as Leicester and Chelsea went to extra time, where the Blues won it thanks to a header from Pedro.
Tottenahm2/1, Man Utd 9/4, Chelsea 13/8, Southampton 14/1* (betting odds taken at 11:17 p.m. on March 18th, 2018)
Chelsea 3/9, Draw 7/2, Southampton 11/2
Tottenham 6/4, Man Utd 9/4, Draw 9/4* (betting odds taken at 11:17 p.m. on March 18th, 2018)
It should be full advantage to Tottenham now. The semi-finals and the final, of course, are played at Wembley where Spurs are playing their home games this season, so they know the ground and the conditions well. They should be able to get the better of a stuttering Manchester United on the day.
Chelsea should equally be able to enjoy their day out at Wembley in the semi-finals, they will create plenty of space on the Wembley pitch and probably have too much in the bag for Southampton, setting up a nice London derby for the final between Spurs and Chelsea.
19th March 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This is a great looking FA Cup tie with Chelsea heading to the King Power on Sunday. This may well end up being a really even contest as the home side will be the fresher of the two and they will be hoping to take advantage of Chelsea’s recent wobbles in form. The Blues could be in for a tough afternoon after their midweek exertions at the Nou Camp.
Chelsea 11/10, Leicester 12/5, Draw 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 04:09 a.m. on March 14th, 2018)
The Foxes should rightly be fancying their chances in this one given their home form. They are unbeaten over 90 minutes in their last nine games at the King Power in all competitions and that includes drawn matches against Man City and Man Utd. They have drawn three of their last four at home all by a 1-1 scoreline and 1-1 correct score option at bet365 for this contest is up at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:09 a.m. on March 14th, 2018). There will be no replay, this would go to extra time and penalties if needed.So far in the FA Cup Leicester have won both of their home fixtures played to nil, taking out Fleetwood in a third-round replay and then Sheffield United in the last round. It’s just one goal in four games they have conceded in the FA Cup this season. They have been struggling for wins overall since the end of January in all competitions, having gone just W2 D3 L2 in their last seven matches played. They have scored in each of their last nine games at home and will pose the Blues some threat here.
The two have already met twice in this season’s Premier League and Chelsea collected four points from the two meetings. After landing a 2-1 win at the King Power, Leicester were on top in the duel back at the Bridge but had to somehow settle for a 0-0 draw. Chelsea are unbeaten in six games against the Foxes (W4 D2) and have won their last three at the King Power in all competitions.
Chelsea will get their chances as Leicester don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last eight games. The Blues put on a good show out at the Nou Camp in midweek in their defeat against Barcelona in the Champions League. They lost 3-0 but still produce a lot of good positive attacking intent and were prepared to take the Spanish giants on. So now the FA Cup becomes even more important to them. Both teams to score at bet365 is at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 04:09 a.m. on March 14th, 2018) which is well worth a look for the fixture. Chelsea’s form away from home is in the gutter at the moment, to say the least as they are on a five-match losing streak away on the road in all competitions and they have shipped at least two goals in four of those five games, failing to score in their last two. They have won just one of their last nine away from the Bridge now. They are going to have to step it up.
Leicester have to be a bit of value in this one to cause an upset. Not that it would be that much of an upset. Chelsea may be a bit leggy from their trip to the Nou Camp in midweek and the Foxes are capable of punching them. Home win.
16th March 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Chelsea played very well in their first leg against Barcelona, but a costly mistake gifted Barcelona an away goal for a 1-1 draw and that makes this task all the more difficult for the Premier League side. They don’t look fully capable of going out and breaking Barcelona’s massive 24 matches European unbeaten streak of form at home and they may very well be bowing out of the Champions League.
Barcelona 4/9, Draw 15/4, Chelsea 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 9:43 p.m. on March 12th, 2018)
An equaliser from Lionel Messi at Stamford Bridge gave Barcelona a really good foothold in this tie. The Catalans have been at this stage of the competition since the 2004/05 season and they have won there on eleven of those occasions. One of the times they didn’t was against Chelsea in 2005 and the other against Liverpool. Twelve months ago they were 4-0 down at this stage against PSG and produced a stunning 6-1 response back at the Nou Camp. So far they have won all three home games in this season’s competitions, scoring eight goals and coding one. Barcelona to win to nil at bet365 is at 7/5 odds. They are currently now unbeaten in 24 European home games (W22 D2) with the two draws both in quarter-final ties. Overall Barcelona’s home record against English sides is W19 D11 L2 and they have won the last four in a row, a well as six of the last seven. Barcelona have won 13 of their 23 two-legged ties with English clubs. Lionel Messi is the 11/5 first goalscorer favourite at bet365.
Chelsea deserve a lot of credit for their first leg efforts but gave away a sloppy goal in the end through a mistake. Their record at this stage of the competition is W8 L4 and they have gone out at this stage in their last two Champions League campaigns. From their ten previous two-legged ties against Spanish sides, Chelsea are W4 L6. They did face up to Atletico Madrid in the group stage and took four points away from those to games, with the win coming on the road. The Blues have won just five of their last eleven fixtures on the road now (D3 L3) in Europe, but have won two of their last three. Chelsea have won four of the six UEFA competition ties in which they drew the home first leg. The problem is, is that they need a goal in this game to get themselves back into the tie and that will mean leaving space at the back to get picked off. Chelsea are just W1 D1 L2 in their last four games in all competitions so aren’t in hot form at all. They have drawn their last four at Barcelona though and in the Barcelona to win to nil at bet365 is at 7/5 odds is at 15/2 with the shortest priced option at 6/1 odds. Chelsea’s record away to Spanish clubs is W4 D7 L5.
There have been plenty of action between these two prior to this season as this will be the fourteenth game between them. From those games, Chelsea are 4-3 ahead with six draws. This is the third time they have met in the round of sixteen and the most recent clash before this season, saw Chelsea win 1-0 on aggregate in the 2011/12 semi-finals. The Blues are unbeaten in their last four games at the Nou Camp.
It is worth getting behind the Catalans to bag themselves a win in this because they will be better than they were in the first leg at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea don’t look to have the defensive discipline in them to hold out. Home win to nil.
13th March 2018 / lee - Category: UEFA Champions League Betting
This could end up being a tough game for Chelsea. The Blues are well out of sorts at the moment and their chance of a top-four finish looks to be fading a bit. Buy Crystal Palace, despite some good performances recently are still in massive relegation trouble as they were once again thwarted by conceding a late goal in a loss against Manchester United last Monday.
Chelsea 3/10, Draw 21/5, Crystal Palace 10/1* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 a.m. on March 7th, 2018)
The Blues have been having a really rough time of things lately with four defeats in their last five Premier League games played. Three of those four losses though were away from home and the Blues have been in pretty decent shape on home soil. They are W4 D1 L1 in their last six at Stamford Bridge, beating West Brom handsomely in their last home fixture. Overall the Blues are W9 D2 L3 this season at home in the Premier League where they have taken a clean sheet in 64% of their games. Chelsea to win to nil at William Hill is at 10/11 odds* (betting odds taken at 00:45 a.m on March 8th, 2018). Chelsea are crying out for a striker to hit top form again as their chances of getting into the top four are pretty slim without either Alvaro Morata or Olivier Giroud going on a tear. Chelsea have averaged 1.7 goals per game at home this season while they have conceded at just 0.7 per game which is good. They have just been at sixes and sevens lately across the back line with only one clean sheet taken in their last five played. Both teams to score at bet365 is at 11/10.
Palace are struggling along on a three-match losing streak but that doesn’t tell the whole story. Their last two losses, at home against Tottenham and Manchester United, saw them go down in each because of conceding a late goal. But they back in the drop zone and feeling the pressure and have missed Wilfried Zaha tremendously. They are D1 L2 in their last three games on the road and overall home and away are winless in six now (D2 L4). They have only collected the two away victories all season, losing eight so they are going to be vulnerable again here. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 7/10 odds* (betting odds taken at 00:45 a.m on March 8th, 2018). Just once this season have the Eagles been ahead at half time on the road, but they have managed to score in each of their last six away games though. Problematically they have conceded in each of their last five games away from Selhurst Park and have taken a clean sheet in just 21% of their away fixtures. Two-thirds of the goals they have come up with on their travels have been in the second half of matches. Given their current standing and current form, anything out of this fixture would be a pretty big boon for the Eagles.
Palace sprung a surprise 2-1 home win over Chelsea earlier this season and that is back to back Premier League wins that they have taken over the Blues. Palace have actually won three of their last five against Chelsea in the top flight (L2) and each of those wins were by a 2-1 scoreline. The Blues have lost their last two home games against the Eagles.
Despite some brave performances, the Eagles keep coming up short and therefore Chelsea should be favoured to get the win. The Blues have been pretty stable at home this season and most of their issues lately have been on the road. Look for the home side to edge it probably by not more than a one-goal margin.
8th March 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting