Charlton v Sunderland League One Play-Off Final Preview, 26th May 3.00pm
This should be an intriguing final because there doesn’t look to be too much between them. It wouldn’t be a huge surprise if this one needed to go beyond the regulation 90 minutes. In terms of current form, it is the Addicks who are in the stronger shape. The bookmakers don’t know who to split these two. It should be tense. Read our Charlton v Sunderland betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 21st, 2019 at 1:44 a.m.)
Charlton finished the regular season by collecting a win in seven of their final eight games (L1). It was terrific form by the Addicks and they came through a thriller against Doncaster in their playoff semi-final. Charlton had taken a 2-1 first leg win away from home, so they were expected to cruise back at The Valley. But Doncaster came back hard at them and Charleton were on the ropes in extra time before a defensive mistake by their opponents gave Charlton the lifeline they needed. They lost 2-3 on the night but won the subsequent penalty shootout.
The lost against Doncaster was just their second defeat in their last seventeen games played. Charlton finished the regular season with the second-best defensive record in the division. They collected 21 points from their final eight games of the campaign, more than any other team managed in that sequence of fixtures. The Addicks averaged 1.6 goals per match across the course of the regular season, while they conceded at under a goal per game. Their defence was so strong and it carried them so far. Can it get them promotion?
Sunderland took four points off Charlton in this season’s campaign
Charlton have won three of the last five meetings (D1 L1)
They met in the 1998 Championship playoff with Charlton winning on penalties
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last nine meetings
Sunderland drew a massive total of 19 of their 46 league games this season. It was interesting though that their form fell away right at the end of the term. They were going so strong and looked in a prime position to have a shot at automatic promotion. It fell apart for them in early April, and they closed out the season with just a W1 D3 L3 record on the board. During that sequence, the Black Cats lost their unbeaten home record for the term in a 4-5 loss against Coventry.
That slump in form was costly as they missed automatic promotion and they did look nervous in their semi-final playoff. They faced up against Portsmouth in their playoff semi-final and as expected it was a really tight affair. Sunderland earned a 1-0 win in the first leg at home, and they relied heavily on their defence as they played out a 0-0 draw at Fratton Park to squeeze through. Sunderland conceded an average of just over a goal per game during the regular season, but they took just one clean sheet in their eight games of the regular season.
Charlton missed out at the semi-final stage of last season’s playoffs, so have already gone one better. This just has the look of being a really tight war of attrition at Wembley. However, with Charlton carrying the better form of the two of them, it may be the Addicks, who manage to scrap their way through to promotion even if it is not at the end of 90 minutes.
22nd May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Charlton booked an away win in the first leg of this League One play-off semi-final. So that gives them a huge advantage now as they head back to home soil for the return fixture. Earlier this season they claimed a comfortable home win over Doncaster and will be looking for more of the same. Can Doncaster find some much-needed form on this visit to The Valley? Read our Charlton v Doncaster betting tips for more.
Charlton even money
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
The Addicks hold a 2-1 advantage in the tie after the first meet. They were so strong down the back end of the regular season, winning seven of their final eight games of the campaign. They are currently on a six-match winning streak at home and they are undefeated in their last 17 there. So they really are not going to be knocked down easily, not with them holding the advantage. Across the course of the season, Charlton took a clean sheet in 43% of their home games and they conceded just 15 goals at The Valley, an average of 0.65 per game against them.
It is notable too that they posted a W4 L1 record in their five home games against the other top-six finishers during the regular season. The overall home record of Charlton for the season was W16 D5 L2. Charlton scored a total of eleven goals in their final three home games of the season and one of those three victories was against Champions Luton. Of their home success that they recorded, half of the sixteen were by a margin of at least two goals. Luton are on a nine-match scoring streak currently after the first leg of this semi-final, and they are on a six-match scoring streak on home soil. They were leading at half time in 11 of their 23 home games this season.
Rovers let a big opportunity slip at home in the first leg of this tie. They were in decent shape at home and will now know that a trip to the Valley is going to be tough for them. Doncaster went into the playoffs knowing that their away form was not great. Their overall road record for the campaign was W7 D6 L10 but they only took a win in one of their final ten games on the road. They lost four of their final seven on the road (W1 D2). So that’s the problem that they face in this one. Doncaster didn’t take an away win against any of the finishers in the top half of the table this season (D5 L6).
Doncaster averaged 1.35 goals per away game, while they conceded at an average of 1.6 per game. They only managed a clean sheet in 9% of their away games during the regular season and of the twelve away defeats that they suffered, six of them were by a margin of at least two goals. They were level at the halftime break in 11 of their away fixtures and eight of those eleven were 0-0 half time score lines. Doncaster both scored and conceded two-thirds of the away goals in the second period of fixtures. They did though open the scoring in twelve of their road games.
Charlton are such a strong team on home soil, and with the advantage already held in this tie, they should be patient and in control. Doncaster may struggle to get themselves back into what is going to be a really tough fixture. Charlton to win to nil.
14th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Doncaster held their nerve on the final day of the season to collect a crucial win to keep them in the play-off places. So that will have been a mighty relief for them but they have a tough task of taking on Charlton who finished the season with a powerful run of form to earn third place in the table. Will Doncaster be able to make the most of home advantage for this first leg? Read our Doncaster v Charlton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
Doncaster pulled themselves together on the final day of the season posting a 2-0 home win over Coventry. Before that, they had taken just one point from their previous three games played and they would have missed out on the top six if they had lost that game. They came good for them in the end and now they have to take on the challenge of Charlton. Across the course of the regular season on home soil, Doncaster produced a record of W13 D7 L3. They have won four of their last five home games losing the other one in that sequence which was a 1-2 reverse against Accrington. So it has been a really strong home campaign from them.
Given that their away form was nowhere near a strong over the course of the season, they may well have to capitalise on this big chance at home. In their home games against the five teams who finished above them in the table, Doncaster took a W1 D3 L1 record, and a win in that sequence was actually against champions Luton. Doncaster averaged just a tiny shade under two goals per home game for the season, while they comfortably averaged under a goal per home game. 65% of their home games went over 2.5 goals. Across the course of the season, Doncaster earned a clean sheet in 43% of their home fixtures. There are currently on a five-match scoring streak at home and of the 13 home wins that they did take across the course of the season, 10 of those were by at least a two goal margin.
Charlton earned four points in the league against Doncaster
Doncaster beat Charlton in this season’s FA Cup
Doncaster are unbeaten in three at home against Charlton (W1 D2)
Brother as have scored in two of the last seven meetings only
Charlton though are an excellent side. They closed out the season with a three-game winning streak, and looking back just a little further they won seven of their last eight games (L1). At the end of their campaign Charlton only missed out on automatic promotion by three points. During the course of the regular season, they posted an away record of W10 D5 L8 and in that, they averaged 1.4 goals per away game. In total, they took a clean sheet in 35% of their away fixtures and they do have a bit of winning form going for them on their travels. They have won three of their last four on the road.
The Addicks have only taken the one defeat in their last eight away league games. They are on a four-match scoring streak away from home, and home and away combined are on an eight-match scoring streak in league action. Of the eight away defeats that they did suffer during the season, seven of them were by a one-goal margin. Charlton were leading at half-time in 10 of their away fixtures this season and they are a side who really tough to break down. In their last nine games, home and away combined, they have claimed a total of seven clean sheets. They have been superb at home this season and with the second leg to come back on home soil it may just be a case of damage limitation in this first leg.
Doncaster are likely going to have a tough time away from home in the second leg of this tie and so they have to try and take the bull by the horns. However, Charlton really know how to keep things tight and they will just be looking to get back to home soil without having suffered a defeat. Under 2.5 goals.
8th May 2019 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
There is a top clash going down on Tuesday night in League 1 as league leaders Pompey look to make it five straight league wins. This is a game in hand they have over second-placed Luton and a win opens up a nine-point lead over the Hatters. Charlton were on a great winning streak before losing at Blackpool on the weekend. Read our Portsmouth v Charlton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 11th, 2018 at 3:11 p.m.)
Portsmouth won again on the weekend as they took a solid 2-0 home success over Southern. That made it four straight league wins for them. It also extended their unbeaten league form to eight, winning six of those. All season long Portsmouth have only suffered the one defeat in League One. Their home form for the season reads W6 D3 L1. They have come up with 18 goals and have conceded just the eight in their ten home fixtures this term. 60% of their games at home have ended up under 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in less than half of their home games. In half of their home fixtures this season in the league, Portsmouth have banked a clean sheet.
67% of their home goals have been scored in the second half of fixtures. They have been good at getting themselves in front as well. They have scored the first goal of the game in all but three of their home fixtures this season. Portsmouth have also been leading at the halftime break in exactly half of their home games. If they can extend their winning streak on Tuesday night in the league then they will move a massive nine points clear at the top of the table over their nearest challengers Luton.
Pompey and Charlton traded 1-0 away wins last season
Each of the last four league meetings have ended in a 1-0 away win
Each of the last five in all competitions have ended in a 1-0 away win
Charlton go into the game sitting in seventh place in the league. They could climb up to fifth with a win in this tough road game. They were away from home on the weekend and suffered a 2-1 defeat at Blackpool who moved level on points with them. That snapped a good four-match winning streak of form that Charlton had been on. Still, they have won five of their last eight league games, posting a W5 D1 L2 record in that sequence of fixtures. Charlton have banked an away record of W4 D2 L4 this season in the league
They have failed to win any of their three away games against sides currently in the top flight (D1 L2) though. Of all of their away games this season 60% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They have netted at least two goals in four of their last five fixtures so have been a threat in front of goal. The Addicks are on a five-match scoring streak in the league. They have scored first in six of their ten road games, which is really good. Charlton have also been leading at halftime in five of their ten away games in the league. They do only have the two clean sheets out on their travels.
Portsmouth should just have the edge, especially on home soil. Pompey are playing some superb stuff at the moment and it’s going to be hard for the Addicks to get anything out of this away game, especially after their loss at Blackpool on the weekend. Home win.
10th December 2018 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
There was a 1-1 draw between them at the first attempt and the second leg could be just as close. Even though League One side Charlton get home advantage now and that should give them a lift, they are facing a side in form. Mansfield have been going well in League Two and may still have a good say in this tie. Read our Charlton v Mansfield betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 18th, 2018 at 10:18 p.m.)
League One side Charlton got through the tricky away test that faced them at Field Mill in this tie. They did have to fight back in the game to get the replay secured through but they did so with over a quarter of an hour left in the fixture. Across all competitions, Charlton are W2 D2 L2 in their last six games so haven’t been in red-hot form. They are a pretty strong home side though it has to be said. Taking out Football League Trophy games they are W5 D2 L2 at home this season.
They have won four of their last six home fixtures and have banked a clean sheet in two of their last three. A repeat of the under 2.5 goals option for the game at 3/4 odds * (betting odds taken on November 19th, 2018 at 3:31 pm). They have hosted Mansfield before and that was back in a 1973 League Cup meeting which the Addicks won 4-3 and a 1977 league game which was a 2-2 draw.
The Stags are having a pretty good season in League Two and they are on a long unbeaten streak of W7 D7 in their last fourteen games. So it was no surprise that they held out at Field Mill in the first game. They have been very strong on home soil this season. They aren’t doing too badly on the road either. They have lost just once on their travels in all competitions this season which was an EFL Cup tie out at Championship side West Brom. They are W3 D4 in their last seven away games which suggests that this could go the distance.
Mansfield haven’t been goal shy and they have scored at least two goals in three of their last five away games played. They have also banked a clean sheet in three of their last four on the road. They really have the look of being in this tie and the 1-1 correct score is the shortest-priced option at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on November 19th, 2018 at 3:31 pm). In last season’s FA Cup campaign the Stags were stopped in the third round by then-Championship side Cardiff after a replay. But they did play out a draw away from home against them.
Charlton are favourites now to get through this tie but this may not be the easiest of home games at all for them. They will still get a challenge from a very well-organised Stags side. We are going to back the home win then it will likely be by nothing more than one goal margin.
19th November 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
It has been some fall from Sunderland who suffered their second successive relegation as they tumbled down from the Championship. So now the Mackems will be starting life in League One and that naturally has led to an exodus of players as they adjust to life lower down the tier. Charlton made it into the League One playoffs last season and looked a very impressive side. Will they be able to pull off an upset at the Stadium of Light?
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:55 p.m.)
Sunderland’s 2017/18 Championship season ended in utter misery as the Black Cats took the drop down to League One. They have seen some big departures like Wahbi Khazri, John O’Shea and Fabio Borini. They have of course had new players coming into the club like striker Charlie Wyke from Bradford and midfielder Luke O’Nien from Wycombe. The Mackems played four clubs free month of July, winning their last two against Grimsby and St Mirren, but going D1 L1 in the other ones. Jack Ross is the man charged with trying to lead them back up the tiers and Sunderland are the even-money favourites at bet365 to win promotion from League One this term* (Betting Odds were taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:55 p.m.). A good three points at home in this one would ease some nerves. We don’t see this as being a high-scoring game and therefore under 2.5 goals at 7/10 odds does look a bit of value in Sunderland v Charlton betting tips* (Betting Odds were taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:55 p.m.). The Black Cats are the favourites to win League One outright.
Charlton put together a pretty strong season in League One last term so they will know their way around the league. One of the strong points down the home straight was their defence which really came together well. Based on that, we are thinking that this is going to be a low scoring game. Both teams not to score is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:55 p.m.). The Addicks have pretty much stayed with the same squad as they had last season, with little happening in the transfer market in getting new players in. So that means you are going to know what to expect from Lee Bowyer’s men and they were solid through their pre-season friendly matches. Last season in League Two Charlton posted a W2 D1 L2 record against the five teams who finished above them, away from home. They can hold their own but the shortest priced option in the bet365 correct score market is a Sunderland 1-0 at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 2nd, 2018 at 6:55 p.m.).
Charlton and Sunderland will be meeting for the first time since their clashes in the 2005/2006 Premier League season. Charlton won both of those games and in fact are on a three-match winning streak against them in the head to head. Sunderland are winless in their last six contests against the Addicks (D3 L3).
Home advantage can play its part for Sunderland in this one and we are backing the Mackems to collect maximum points from the fixture. This is such a fresh new start for them and possibly they can find some joy down in League One and rebuild from a solid base. Charlton won’t be a pushover, but Sunderland winning by a one-goal margin appeals.
4th August 2018 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
Shrewsbury have the advantage in this tie after banking a 1-0 away win in the first leg. So they will be returning to Montgomery Waters Meadow on Sunday looking to close things out. It was a stunning strike from Jon Nolan that got them the win ten minutes from time. Will Charlton, who had good spells in that first leg, be able to respond?
Shrewsbury 6/5, Draw 11/5, Charlton 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 10:57 p.m. on May 11th, 2018)
So it is advantage Shrews at the moment then thanks to a sweet strike from Jon Nolan. That was a bit of a surprise result as well because Shrewsbury had only produced a W1 D3 L2 record in their last six games of the regular season which saw their automatic qualification hopes fade away. But they are in this now and one of their strengths is defence. They had the second-best defensive record in all of the division and earned a clean sheet in 48% of their home games. They conceded a total of just 17 goals in their 23 home games in the season and under 2.5 goals at bet365 for 4/7 odds* (betting odds taken at 10:38 p.m. on May 11th, 2018). So will their defence be able to stand up as well as it did in the first leg? Of the goals that Shrewsbury conceded at home during the regular season, 76% of them were in the second half matches. They finished the season without picking up a clean sheet in any of their final five home games.
Both teams not to score at bet365 is at 3/4 odds* (betting odds taken at 10:38 p.m. on May 11th, 2018) going off what was seen in the first leg. Each of Charlton’s last five away games have ended under 2.5 goals as well so there is a trend. Just 30% of their away games went over the goal line. The Addicks have to come out and do something. They started the first leg so strongly but it just wasn’t going to be their night in front of goal. Then they got sucker punched hard. They do have a bit of away form going which will give them confidence though as they have won three of their last six on the road (D1 L2) so there could be hope for them. Each of the three wins in that sequence were with a clean sheet as well. Charlton went W9 D5 L9 for the season on their travels in the League One season and they did get an away win at Shrewsbury too. So they aren’t down and out yet. The half time draw at bet365 is a good option with Charlton having been level at the break in 12 of their 23 away games. They both scored and conceded 27 goals this season away from home during the regular season. 63% of their away goals were netted in the second half of matches. Charlton boasted the fifth-best away record in the division.
Shrewsbury are 2-1 ahead from the three meetings that these two have had this season now. Their wins were both on the road. In the meeting at Shrewsbury, it was Charlton who came out on top with a 2-0 win. Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings between the two of them. Overall in the head to head Shrewsbury area 9-6 ahead with the seven drawn matches.
This will likely be another tight scrap between them with so much at stake now. Charlton have good quality about them and they built up some nice early pressure in the first leg and just couldn’t convert. Charlton were the lowest scorers of the top six finishers and with Shrewsbury’s good defence, the home side may be value to sneak another win to nil.
12th May 2018 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting
The Addicks held on to sixth place in the table to get into the play offs and it was three wins in their last four games which got them there. They may fancy their chances against the Shrews who may well have finished sixteen points better off than them, but Shrewsbury have lost their winning touch at the moment. The winner of this tie faces the winner of Rotherham v Scunthorpe.
Charlton 21/20, Draw 12/5, Shrewsbury 13/5* (Betting Odds taken at 4.33 a.m. on May 10th, 2018)
The Addicks landed sixth place in the table and they won three of their last four games for the season to get across the line. They lose at Rochdale on the weekend though, who needed those points to survive in the end. The Addicks are W3 D1 L1 in their last five home games in the league so that’s pretty solid and they have kept three clean sheets in their last four games and five of their last six league victories have been with a clean sheet. Charlton to win to nil at William Hill is at 9/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:43 p.m. on May 8th, 2018) which is a big price but a little bit tempting nonetheless. Charlton scored 31 home goals in their 23 games across the course of the regular season and took a clean sheet in less than a third of their fixtures though. So that will be a little concern for them. Of the ten home wins that they recorded during the season seven of those were by a one-goal margin only which may be a trend that appeals for the first leg of this play off. At home they won two and lost three of their games against the five sides who finished above them in the table. One of those defeats was against Shrewsbury.
The Shrews won only one of their final six league games (D3 L1) so went off the boil a little bit and that saw them fail to compete with the top two for automatic promotion. Shrewsbury now have just the one clean sheet in their last eight games home and away combined in league action. Their away form isn’t anything to write home about at the moment having gone winless in their last five on the road (D3 L2). Shrewsbury’s overall away record for the season was a pretty solid W11 D8 L4 and they were level at half time in 13 of their 23 road games so the half-time draw at William Hill may have some appeal. They did concede at an average of less than a goal per game across the entire season (home and away combined) and but took a clean sheet in just 22% of their away games. The Shrews conceded 64% of their away goals after the halftime break in matches. As a positive, though they did finish the season with the second-best defensive record in the entire division and they are going to need to call on those strengths for the first leg of this test.
Charlton have won two of their last three home games against Shrewsbury but they did lose 2-0 against them this season on home soil. But they got revenge with a 2-0 away win of their own later in the season. Things are even in the last four meetings between them with two wins each and three of those victories recorded were with a clean sheet.
Charlton may just have the edge in this one on home soil. This is probably going to be a low scoring game as the Shrews aren’t all that bad at the back at all. So look for a Charlton to win to nil wager to get the Addicks a first-leg advantage.
9th May 2018 / lee - Category: League One / Two Betting