Leeds have been unable to stop their slide back down towards the middle of the Championship table as their winless streak continued last weekend in a Yorkshire derby defeat against Sheffield United. Bristol City are struggling for victories as well at the moment and are just hanging onto their play off place and have to up their game as well.
Leeds 8/5, Bristol City 13/8, Draw 23/10* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 4:21 p.m.)
Leeds have taken just a D2 L5 record in their last seven league games so all’s not well again at Elland Road. Their defence has conceded nine goals in their last four games now and at home, they have shipped four goals in each of their last two fixtures (defeats against Millwall and Cardiff. Leeds have only managed to score in three of their last seven games as well in the Championship and everything has gone sour again. Their home form reads W6 D4 L5 for the season and if you look at the bigger picture then they have lost just two of their last seven league games on home soil. If they were to churn out a win in this one then you would imagine that it wouldn’t be a huge victory. Leeds to win by a one-goal margin with Paddy Power is at 7/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.). Four of their six home wins have been by a one-goal margin only. Leeds have averaged 1.4 goals per home game this season, and they have been leading at half time in eight of their home fixtures, trailing at the break in just two of them. 33% of their league goals this season have happened in the final fifteen minutes of matches.
The Robins have managed only the one win in their last seven league games so aren’t doing much better than Leeds are at the moment. They are W1 D2 L1 in their last four though after playing out a crazy 3-3 come draw with Sunderland on the weekend. Their away form is nothing to write home about at the moment as the Robins have failed to collect a win in any of their last four on the road now, drawing two and losing two. They do still have one of the better away records in the division this season and one of the best offensive records too, but they have lost momentum a bit, highlighted in their 1-0 loss at Bolton in their last away game. The Robins have failed to hit the back of the net in any of their last three games out on the road in the Championship and under 1.5 goals at Paddy Power is at 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.). Overall this season Bristol City are W6 D6 L3 on the road in the Championship but it’s not quite happening for them at the moment and in the Paddy Power correct score market the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 11/2 while a Leeds 1-0 is at 8/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.). Can they make something happen at Elland Road on Sunday to keep them hanging on the play off spots?
Leeds collected a 3-0 away win at Ashton Gate earlier in the season and that is back to back league wins that they have taken over City now. They have only lost one of their last seven games in league competition against the Robins too. Leeds are on a six-match winning streak at Elland Road against Bristol City at the moment and each of the last four have all been by a one-goal winning margin only.
It may just be worth backing Leeds to end their slump and edge a win in this one. That is what the head to head suggests is going to happen and with Bristol City struggling to get themselves going on the road, a home win could well crop up here.
14th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is the second East-Anglian derby of the season on Sunday from the Championship and it couldn’t be tighter between the two of them. They head into the clash at Carrow Road level on points in the league with Ipswich just a place above the Canaries on goal difference. Of the two of them though it is Norwich who are carrying slightly the better form at the moment.
Norwich 3/4, Draw 5/2, Ipswich 4/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 4:21 p.m.)
The Canaries are W5 D2 L1 in their last eight league games which has been a really good return from them. They are back on point defensively as well with five clean sheets taken in that sequence. They have alternated between a win and loss in their last five home games in the Championship though which leaves them with a W5 D5 L5 record this season. This is likely to be a tight game and under 2.5 goals at William Hill is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.).Norwich have scored sixteen and have conceded sixteen goals at Carrow Road this season and they have netted in each of their last seven on home soil so there is a decent chance of them getting something out of this. In the William Hill correct score market a Norwich 1-0 looks a decent proposition at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.). 75% of the goals that they have come up with on home soil this season have been in the second half of matches so it is well worth considering a half-time draw or even a draw/Norwich half time/ full-time option for the derby.
The Tractor Boys are W2 D2 L1 in their last five league outings now and they have been struggling for wins really since just before Christmas having taken only the two in their last nine league matches. Away from home the Tractor Boys are only W5 D2 L8 for the season and have taken one win in their last five away from Portman Road. That win did come in their last road game though as they won out at Sunderland 2-0. That leaves them with back to back clean sheets in the league and with three in their last five. That again will likely help keep this to a low scoring game and both teams not to score at William Hill is up at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 12th, 2018 at 5:21 p.m.). Ipswich have scored nineteen goals on their travels this season but have been losing at half time in seven of their fifteen road games. They have managed a clean sheet in just 13% of their away fixtures. Martyn Waghorn and Joe Garner are their joint top goalscorer this season in the league with ten each.
Norwich took a 1-0 win at Portman Road earlier this season and that leaves them undefeated in their last nine games against the Tractor Boys in all competitions now (W6 D3). Six of the last seven East-Anglian debris have ended under 2.5 goals so these are generally pretty tight affairs. Norwich are unbeaten in their last seven home games at Carrow Road against their rivals in all competitions with a W4 D3 record in that sequence.
Norwich just have the edge in form at the moment of the two and with home soil and a good head to head advantage over the Tractor Boys then this should add up to a narrow home win for the Canaries.
14th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Bluebirds earned a draw out at Millwall last weekend to keep themselves steady in the push for a play off place in the Championship this season. They get back to home soil in midweek as they play host to Bolton. The Trotters have improved recently, enough to just keep themselves out of the relegation places at least. But they are still in trouble down there.
Cardiff 1/2, Draw 3/1, Bolton 6/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Bluebirds have gone unbeaten in their last four league games now with a W2 D2 record. After three consecutive away games they get back to home soil in midweek to try and follow up on a 4-0 victory over Sunderland in their last league home game which was nearly a month ago. The Bluebirds have gone W9 D3 L2 in their home games this season in the division so they have been strong but both the defeats in that sequence have been inside their last three home fixtures. Cardiff have scored a healthy 26 goals in their 14 home games this season which is an average of 1.8 goals per game and defensively they have been really tight with them averaging under a goal per game against them. Cardiff to win to nil at William Hill is at 6/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 8:57 p.m.). Cardiff have won 36% of their home games this season to nil and only the three teams above them in the league before this game, Wolves, Villa and Derby have a better home record this season than Cardiff do. The solid defence of the Bluebirds is likely to help this midweek clash stay under 2.5 goals as well. The importance of the three points for Cardiff is huge. It opens them up a six points lead over fifth-placed Fulham in the play off race.
The Trotters have gone unbeaten in their last three league outings now (W1 D2) so they are holding steady and have actually only lost one of their last six now. So they have been improving and just keeping themselves away from the drop zone which is all that counts at this point. Unfortunately, the bulk of their improvement has been at home. Away from home, they have won just once this season in a W1 D5 L8 record band they have lost four of their last five (W1) out on their travels. They have scored just the nine goals all season away from home while they have conceded an average of 1.8 against. So the numbers don’t stack up very well for them. Just 29% of their away games this season have made it over 2.5 goals so it is worth expecting this to be a low scoring affair and under 2.5 goals at William Hill is at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 8:57 p.m.). In total each of Bolton’s last nine league outings have ended under the 2.5 goal line. 62% of the goals that the Trotters have shipped on the road have come in the second half of matches.
Bolton sprung a 2-0 surprise on Cardiff earlier this season on home soil against the Bluebirds and that snapped a two-match losing sequence that they were on against the Welsh club. Over the last five Championship meetings between the two clubs, Bolton are actually 3-2 up and the Trotters have gone W1 D1 L1 in their last three visit to Cardiff in league competition.
Cardiff should be strong enough on home soil to find a way to win this one. Their defence has been improving recently and the visiting Trotters may not have quite enough to hurt them. There is a decent chance that the Bluebirds can get themselves a win to nil in this one.
12th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Sheffield Wednesday have an FA Cup tie to look forward to on the weekend so they could be a bit distracted by this league fixture in midweek. It continues to be a season of poor returns by the Owls in the Championship. Derby meanwhile are up in third and have the chance to at least temporarily get back second place from Aston Villa. Can the Rams strike the win at Hillsborough?
Derby 23/20, Draw 9/4, Sheffield Wednesday 5/2* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
Sheffield Wednesday have not managed to pick up a victory in any of their last seven league outings now. They suffered a 3-1 home defeat in their last game at Hillsborough against the relegation-threatened Birmingham. The Owls have drawn four of their last five league games and because of all that, in the William Hill correct score market, the 1-1 draw is at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 8:42 p.m.). Wednesday have actually only won four times this season on home soil in the Championship and have not managed a single one in any of their last eight. In total, they have tallied up 19 goals in their 15 home games but have struggled to get clean sheets on the board at Hillsborough, just the three of them in fact all term. Sheffield Wednesday have conceded 62% of their goals at home in the first half of games and currently going into this midweek fixture, only four teams have a worse home record in the division than the Owls have this season.
After a draw it the weekend in the league, Derby saw Aston Villa climb above them into second place, but the Rams can grab back second on Tuesday night, even if it is just until next weekend. Derby are W1 D3 in their last four Championship fixtures but they are on a long twelve match unbeaten streak for from now. Away from home, they have done tremendously well with an eleven match unbeaten sequence. Stack that up with the lack of winning form by the Owls and the Rams don’t look likely to lose this. Derby’s defence has been very good away from home, conceding an average of under a goal per game, while going forward they have netted an average of 1.5 goals themselves per game. Just three times away from home this season have Derby been losing at half time in a game and even though 60% of their away games have produced more than two goals, under 2.5 goals for the Hillsborough clash for 4/6 odds at William Hill* (Betting Odds taken on February 11th, 2018 at 8:42 p.m.) looks the way to go for this fixture on Tuesday. Seven of Matej Vydra’s seventeen goals for Derby in the league this season have been away from home and he makes a good anytime goalscorer option.
The Rams collected a 2-0 win at home over the Owls earlier this season and they have suffered only the one loss in their last nineteen games home and away against Sheffield Wednesday in all competitions. So it has been a strong head to head that they have carried. They lost this corresponding fixture last season though and have failed to win any of their last three visits to Hillsborough in the league (D2 L1), scoring just the one goal in that sequence of games. The Rams have only one win in their last six visits to face Wednesday.
It’s unlikely that the Owls are going to be at full intensity for this one with their FA Cup tie coming up. Derby are a solid enough side to go and take advantage of the situation and land a good win for themselves. It will be a low scoring game most likely so look under 2.5 goals.
12th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Midlands derby is always one to look forward too and it’s an important one for both of these. Birmingham need the points to help stave off the threat of relegation while the Villains need them to try and hone in on automatic promotion. Both are carrying some pretty decent form with them at the moment and this should be a cracking encounter at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 13/5, Birmingham 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.)
Villa are running in some hot form at the moment with a tremendous six-match winning streak going. That leaves them just outside the automatic play off spots going into the weekend. They really have their act together at the moment and four of those six wins have been with a clean sheet too. Aston Villa to win to nil at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) is at 6/4 odds. Villa’s home record in the Championship this season reads W9 D5 L1 and they are on a three-match winning streak there and are unbeaten in their last seven at Villa Park now. They have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home games as well but up in the correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is at the head of the market and that is because there have been a lot of low-scoring, tight Midlands derby duels between Villa and Birmingham recently. Villa have conceded at an average of under a goal per game this season so far at home and they have scored 28 goals in their 15 home games which is about 1.9 goals per game. Villa have been leading at half time in nine of their home games as well this season. Villa have scored in each of their last eight league games and their top scorer this season is Albert Adomah with seven of his twelve league goals having come on home soil.
The Blues have finally started to get things together and they are moving away from the threat of relegation. That is because they have gone W4 D1 L1 in their last six league games a vast improvement to how poor they were going for the rest of the season. They have won their last two game back to back by a 3-1 scoreline, taking down Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday. Away from home, they’ve managed to go four unbeaten now and have won two of their last three away from St Andrews. Those have been the only away wins that they have gotten this season in an overall W2 D4 L9 record. They have struggled up front this term with only the eleven goals scored on their travels in fifteen games and just 20% of their away fixtures this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 1.5 goals at bet365 for 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) looks a decent option to roll with for this derby game. After their improvement recently Birmingham will be starting the weekend four points clear of the relegation zone, so they have a bit of a cushion, but they were taken to extra time in midweek in their FA Cup replay against Huddersfield (which Birmingham lost) so that wasn’t ideal preparation for this one.
The last four between these two at Villa Park have been tight battles with Villa winning three of them by a 1-0 scoreline and the other being a 0-0 draw. There was a 0-0 draw between the two rivals St Andrews back in October. It means that each of the last five meetings now have ended under 2.5 goals and just one of the last nine meetings have managed to make it over the goal line. Aston Villa can boast a six-match unbeaten streak of form on home soil against the Blues, with wins in five of those.
Aston Villa are just in brilliant form at the moment and now have automatic promotion fully within their sights. A Midlands derby is never an easy game though, but the Villains are strong enough to get through this battle on home soil but as the Blues are improving, back the home side to just edging the duel by a one-goal margin only.
9th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This should be a great battle in this Yorkshire derby. Sheffield United have been of the boil again with back to back league defeats having been suffered. They are looking less and less likely to make a play off run at the moment. Leeds are pretty much in the same boat, drifting away from the top six and with wins hard to come by.
Sheffield United 4/5, Draw 5/2, Leeds 7/2* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 3:30 a.m.)
The Blades have lost back to back games in the league against Wolves and Aston Villa, not easy games for them and it shows that they have really lost the quality to get themselves into the automatic promotion race again. They have fallen badly out of that and have a lot of work to do just to get to the play offs. They go into the weekend five points away from the top six. The Blades have taken only the one win in their last six league games now, which was out at Norwich in mid-January. Their last home win was a 3-0 victory over Sunderland on Boxing Day and that leaves them winless in three league games at Bramall Lane and with just a poor W1 D2 L4 in their last seven there. Each of Sheffield United’s last three home games have produced less than three goals in them so under 2.5 goals at Bet365 is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 00:11 a.m.) is worth a look.
The Blades did earn a 2-1 success out at Elland Road when these two met towards the end of October and that is back to back wins that they have taken over Leeds now. The Blades have actually lost just one of their last ten matches against Leeds in all competitions on, winning six of the games in that sequence. The Blades are unbeaten in their last seven home games against Leeds. Only one of the last five meetings between Leeds and Sheffield United have made it over 2.5 goals.
Just like Sheffield United, Leeds are looking less and less likely to get into the play offs. They are now on a six-match winless streak of form in the Championship, collecting just the two points in that sequence through 0-0 draws against Nottingham Forest and Hull. The problem for Leeds has been scoring goals as they have failed to score in four of their last six played, which may lend value to a Sheffield United to win to nil wager at Bet365 for 15/8 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 00:11 a.m.). Leeds are winless in three road games now without a goal on the board in any of them and it really has all fallen apart for them. Again just a hint at a low scoring game, each of Leeds’ last three away games have gone under 2.5 goals. Over a third of the goals that they have conceded this season have come in the final fifteen minutes of matches.
The draw should have the most appeal for this Yorkshire showdown. Neither are carrying the kind of form that they were showing earlier in the season and they are both just grinding things out rather than looking any particular threat. Draw.
7th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Lions had to do battle with Rochdale in an FA Cup replay in midweek which may have taken something out of them ahead of this fixture. The Lions aren’t likely to drive their way into the play offs this season in the league, despite a five-match unbeaten streak of form going. Cardiff are up in the play off spots and have recovered after a slump to start carrying a bit better form.
Millwall 8/5, Cardiff 7/4, Draw 2/10* (Betting Odds taken on February 5th, 2018 at 3:26 a.m.)
Millwall had the annoyance of an FA Cup replay in midweek to deal with and then it’s straight back into league action on Friday night as well as they take on promotion-chasing Bluebirds. The Lions are unbeaten in their last four league games, which is a good return for them and they have only lost one of their last seven in the second-tier (W3 D3). So that suggests that they could be good enough to avoid defeat in this one and indeed they are running unbeaten in their last seven games at The Den. Overall their home record this season is W7 D5 L3 but a half-time draws jumps off the page at Ladbrokes for 19/20* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 00:11 a.m.) as the Lions have been level at the break in eleven of their fifteen home games. Millwall have averaged 1.5 goals per game this season, however, each of their last three league home games have gone under 2.5 goals so that’s probably the better option for the visit of Cardiff in this game.
The last two meetings between Cardiff and Millwall have both ended in 0-0 draws and each of the last seven matches between them have all gone under 2.5 goals so there is certainly a good trend there to expect a low-scoring game. Millwall are unbeaten in their last three against the Bluebirds (W1 D2) and four of the last seven games between them have ended in a 0-0 draw. In the Ladbrokes correct score market a 0-0 draw here is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 6th, 2018 at 00:11 a.m.). There have been just the two goals in total in the last four meetings and only four in the last seven. It wouldn’t be a huge surprise therefore if there is a winner to nil in this one. Millwall’s chances at the playoffs are pretty slim, but they will be taking on a Cardiff side who are right up there in the mix.
The Bluebirds have improved recently to collect seven points from their last three league games and that was after a poor four-match losing streak that they were. They have suddenly tightened up again with just the one goal conceded in their last three while netting eight in that sequence themselves. Overall their away form this season is W7 D3 L5 and they are unbeaten in two (W1 D1) after going three without one on their travels. Overall the Bluebirds have scored 18 goals away from home this season and have conceded just 15 in 16 on the road, so they have been tough to break down. They have taken a clean sheet in a third of their road games which is pretty average. 61% of their away goals have been after the break, which again may strengthen the chance of a half-time draw in this one. Cardiff currently boasts the third-best defensive record in League Two so that will likely keep them in this fixture.
Cardiff seems to have come back to life and with Millwall having had the extra exertions in midweek, then the Bluebirds look value to go and take an away win in this one. This game will mean a lot more to them than it will to the home side. Away win.
6th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Wolves will get a home test against Sheffield United on the weekend and the league leaders will be looking to recover from a defeat in their last home game at Molineux, where Notts Forest got the better of them. The Blades slipped to a home loss to Aston Villa in midweek and now here comes along another tough matchup.
Wolves 8/11, Draw 13/5, Sheffield United 15/4* (Betting Odds taken on January 30th, 2018 at 10:35 p.m.)
Wolves are more than handily poised at the moment to win the Championship this season and they recovered from a blip at home recently in a defeat to Nottingham Forest, by taking a 1-0 win at Ipswich last weekend. It’s back to home soil this weekend though where that loss against Forest snapped a tremendous eleven match unbeaten streak of form that they were on at Molineux (W9 D2) in the Championship. Wolves have six clean sheets in their last nine league matches now so Wolves to win to nil at Coral will have some appeal in this game at 7/4* (betting odds taken on January 31st, 2018 at 4:39 p.m.). Overall this season at Molineux, Wolves are W10 D2 L2 and they are looking like such a strong side. They have averaged two goals per game on home soil which their defence has been rock solid having conceded less than a goal per game on average this season. Wolves are currently a staggering 30 points better off than they were at this stage of last season’s campaign.
Wolves have the best offensive record in the division and they have Leo Bonatini and Diogo Jota, for the most part, to thank for that. They are joint 5/4 favourites in the Coral anytime goalscorer market for the game* (betting odds taken on January 31st, 2018 at 4:39 p.m.). In the correct score market the shortest priced option is a 1-0 home win. Wolves are unbeaten in their last five home games against the Blades, taking a clean sheet in the three of their last four at home against them. Wolves will be out for a bit of revenge here after losing at Bramall Lane earlier in the season. From the last six matches between the two of them, things are pretty even with Wolves W3 D1 L2 up against the Blades. The last time these two met at Molineux was in the 2013/14 League One season and Wolves took a 2-0 win them. Both teams have failed to score in four of the last six meetings.
Sheffield United are still in the play off picture, but they need to start winning games or that would quickly fade. They suffered a midweek loss at home against Aston Villa and that extra match won’t have done them any favours as they head off to Molineaux on the weekend to face the league leaders. The Blades are W2 D3 L2 in their last seven league games and those are the only two wins in the league for them in their last thirteen played. Away from home this season in the second tier the Blades are W6 D2 L6, bet they did get a victory on the board in their last road game, taking down Norwich at Carrow Road. That leaves them unbeaten in three away from home now (W1 D2). Sheffield United have not managed to collect a clean sheet in any of their last ten games away from home though which is a big concern for them and they only have one clean sheet on their travels all season in the league. They have scored 19 and conceded 19 goals away from Bramall Lane this season while 63% of their away goals scored and 63% of their away goals conceded have all been in the first half of matches.
Wolves have been strong on home soil all season and their recent misfire against Nottingham Forest at Molineux may well have just been a blip. Sheffield United are not in great form at the moment, despite going unbeaten in three on the road, may fall in this one. Home win.
31st January 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Bolton are still with relegation issues on their mind, hovering just above the Championship drop zone. They have managed to go unbeaten in their last three on home soil though in the second tier. But they will be facing a rejuvenated Bristol City who snapped out of some poor league form with a good win last weekend.
Bristol City 11/10, Draw 12/5, Bolton 3/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 30th, 2018 at 10:27 p.m.)
Bolton’s season isn’t going too well and they head into the weekend third from bottom in the Championship. However, given their recent form, with three wins in their last six, there is at least some hope of survival from them. It has certainly been much better from the side who collected only two points from their opening eleven league games this season. Low scoring games are a feature of Bolton’s matches though so under 2.5 goals at Betfair is a good place to start. Each to their last seven league matches have fallen below the goal line. Bolton are unbeaten in three home games in the league, taking back to back clean sheet wins over Cardiff and Hull, before playing out a draw with Ipswich in their last home games. So that’s pretty solid and they have lost only one of their last nine on home soil in the Championship (W5D3).
So there has been a huge improvement and they are averaging 1.2 goals per game on home soil this season and they have netted in each of their last three home fixtures. Their last four at the Macron Stadium have all gone under 2.5 goals. The Trotters do have a bit of home form going against the Robins having remained unbeaten in their last four home fixtures against them (W3 D1). However, they lost 2-0 at Ashton Gate against Bristol City earlier this season and they have failed to score in any of their last three against them now home and away. This will be just the sixth contest in the Championship between the two with things even at two wins each and a draw.
Now that the thrills of their epic EFL Cup run is done and dusted, Bristol City have one sole focus for the season, getting their promotion push going again. After a four-match winless streak in which they collected only one point, the Robins got a much-needed win last weekend in taking down QPR at Ashton Gate. That will have been a relief. They haven’t been in bad shape on the road in the Championship, as they have lost just two away games all season, but they are winless in three away from Ashton Gate (D2 L1) and that really all revolves around their Cup run. Looking at the big picture they are going to be hard to beat and they have averaged 1.4 goals per game this season on their travels. Given the lack of output from Bolton, both teams not to score at Betfair is going to appeal for this one. None of Bristol City’s last three games have made it over 2.5 goals. In the correct score market a Bristol City 1-0 is appealing at 6/1* (betting odds take on January 31st at 4:06 p.m.)
Bristol City will be looking for some big momentum now and that win over QPR last weekend will have been a big relief for them. They can use that as a stepping stone to push on now and should be able to follow it up with a win over the Trotters.
31st January 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Blades have steadied the ship with a three-match undefeated streak of form in the league and a recent win at Norwich will have boosted their confidence. They need some momentum to get back into the play off race now. This is a tough game for them though against the Villains who are up in fifth, four points clear of them and on a great four-match winning streak. The Blades are 5/4 at Ladbrokes for the win, with the draw at 21/10 and Villa at 12/5* (Betting Odds taken on January 28th, 2018 at 7:12 p.m.)
The Blades need to get themselves going again as they have taken just the two wins in their last eleven Championship fixtures. It’s been a huge drop of form for them but the positives are that those two wins have come in their last five league games (W2 D2 L1). So maybe they are starting to find their feet again. The took a win at Norwich back on January 20th so now have the chance to make it back to back wins in the league. Their form overall at Bramall Lane is pretty good with a W8 D2 L4 record there but they are only W1 D2 L3 in their last six league outings on home soil, so you can see how much they have fallen apart. The Blades have averaged 1.6 goals per game this season on home soil in the Championship and half of their home wins have been by a one-goal margin only. Defensively they haven’t been that bad with them having conceded under a goal per game on average.
The Blades earned a 2-2 draw at Villa Park earlier in the season and that was the first ever Championship duel between the two sides. In the last six meetings between the two sides, things are evenly balanced between them with two wins each and two draws. If you want to look back at longer history then the Blades have managed to win just one of their last five home games against the Villains (D1 L3). In the Ladbrokes correct score market, the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on January 28th, 2018 at 11:56 p.m.) and the most frequent scoreline that has cropped up at Bramall Lane this season is a 1-0 home which has happened on three occasions. The Blades have opened the scoring in eight of their fourteen home games. Top scorer for the Blades is Leon Clarke who has scored 11 of his 15 league goals this season on home soil.
The last six clashes between Aston Villa and Sheffield United have all seen at least three goals in them so over 2.5 goals at Ladbrokes has to be weighed up here. Aston Villa have found their stride with a four-match winning streak and that is the second time this season that they have managed to do that. They have shipped only the one goal in their last four league outings now and they have won their last two away games in the championship by a 1-0 scoreline. So this all does point to this being a low scoring game whatever the outcome, but then history suggest that it won’t be. Villa have posted a W6 D3 L5 record for the season and they have taken a clean sheet in 43% of their away games. Only one of their away games have made it over three goals this season. Villa have scored in each of their last six Championship fixtures and a half-time draw at Ladbrokes looks great value because Villa have been level in seven of their fourteen road games this season. 64% of the goals that they have conceded away from home have come in the second half of matches.
Aston Villa are good enough and in confident enough form at the moment to go and get a huge three points for themselves at Bramall Lane. The Blades are still searching hard to get that winning momentum back and it’s not there at the moment, so have a look at the visitors.
29th January 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting