Southampton are still doing enough to keep themselves out of the drop zone after playing out a 1-1 away draw at Burnley last weekend. Next up for them is Cardiff who are still in the bottom three, but the Welsh club gave themselves a huge lift last time out as they managed to take a victory at home over Bournemouth. Read our Southampton v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
Southampton are still trending well towards safety as they are now five matches undefeated in the Premier League. They played out a somewhat controversial 1-1 draw against Burnley last weekend, which leaves them with back-to-back results in the EPL by that very scoreline. Their home form still leaves a lot to be desired in terms of successes as they are only at W2 D6 L4 at St Marys this season in the top flight. But they have earned four points from their last two league home games, with a win over Everton and a draw against Crystal Palace. There are certainly making themselves a lot harder to beat.
There are still some defensive issues their because they have no clean sheet in their last four games and just one in their last 15 league fixtures. Southampton have drawn all four home games played this season against sides currently 13th or lower in the table. The Saints have averaged just over a goal per game at home this season and 67% of their league fixtures at St Mary’s have ended up over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in all but one of Southampton’s last eight Premier League games.
Cardiff have won their last two against Southampton by a 1-0 scoreline
The Saints are W1 D1 L3 in their last five against Cardiff
Four of the last six meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Three of the last four meetings at St Mary’s have ended in a 1-0 scoreline
Cardiff beat Bournemouth 2-0 last time out which was a very welcome three points for them. It snapped a four-match sequence where they normally managed to pick up the one point. It has been a very tough season for the Bluebirds away from home in the top flight. They have managed to earn just a W1 D2 L9 record so far. The only positive to take from that is that all of their away points have been earned against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. Cardiff have scored just seven league away goals this season.
The Bluebirds have been struggling for goals lately as they have failed to score in four of their last seven. Across their 12 away league games, Cardiff have conceded 23 goals in total. They have picked up a clean sheet in 25% of the road games. Cardiff, however have conceded at least two goals in their last two away fixtures. Four of the six league victories that Cardiff have earned the season have only been by the one-goal margin. The second half periods of their away games have certainly been busier. Cardiff have scored 86% of their away goals after the half-time break, while they have conceded 70% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures. Only Fulham have a worse away record then Cardiff to this term
Even though Cardiff have a bit of head-to-head form against Southampton, we are going to lean on the Saints to improve their situation from this game. It will probably be a tight low scoring affair. Southampton to win to nil option looks a solid proposition.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Cardiff came away from a trip to the Emirates against Arsenal empty-handed in midweek. That leaves them rooted in the bottom three of the Premier League table. Will they be able to experience any home joy on the weekend when they take on Bournemouth? The Cherries will be in high spirits after hammering Chelsea 4-0 in midweek. Read our Cardiff v Bournemouth betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
Cardiff left the Emirates Stadium with nothing on Tuesday night as they suffered a 2-1 reverse against Arsenal. So that leaves them going into the weekend still stuck in the bottom three in the Premier League. They are just struggling for form now. The Bluebirds have taken one point from their last four league games, home and away combined.
Overall this season Cardiff have produced a W4 D2 L6 record in south Wales. They have collected just one point from their last three home games, that point coming from a 0-0 draw against Huddersfield which saw Cardiff miss a big opportunity to grab survival points. Cardiff have failed to score in their last two home fixtures.
67% of Cardiff’s home games this season have managed to get above 2.5 goals. They do deserve a bit of credit for having taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their home fixtures this season. In none of their home games played have Cardiff managed to find themselves leading at the halftime break.
In fact, Cardiff have been drawing at half-time in eight of their league home fixtures. Four of the five victories that they have recorded in the top flight this season have been by a one-goal margin only. Cardiff have only opened the scoring in one home game this season and Huddersfield are the only side who have scored fewer league goals than they have.
The Cherries took a 2-0 win over Cardiff in the season’s first meeting
Bournemouth have won three of the last four meetings in all competitions
The Bluebirds are winless in five home games against Bournemouth
Cardiff have conceded eight goals in their last three league games against the Cherries
After conceding so much possession early in the game against Chelsea in midweek at home, Bournemouth turned the entire fixture on its head as they ran out 4-0 victors over the Blues. That is back-to-back wins now that Bournemouth have landed for themselves in the top flight. It leaves them with just one defeat in their last four games.
So there are definite signs of improvement in their form. Away from home this season Bournemouth hold a W3 L8 record only. They have strung together some poor form away from home as well, having lost each of their last six on the road. They have scored 12 goals in 11 away games, but they have conceded a total of 25 which is an average of 2.3 per game against.
Also, the Cherries have been struggling in front of goal on their travels lately having scored just one goal in total in their last four away Premier League fixtures combined. 73% of Bournemouth’s away games this season have ended up over 2.5 goals though. Six times this season away from home, Bournemouth have been losing at the halftime break. The Cherries have conceded at least two goals in each of the games in that sequence. But will their defence get hurt badly by the Bluebirds?
The Cherries actually look a bit of value in this one even though their current form could be a lot better than it is. They may just have enough going forward to sneak a victory in South Wales by a one-goal margin.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
After being dumped out of the FA Cup by Manchester United, Arsenal’s shot at domestic silverware has pretty much passed them by for this season. It does mean that they can fully focus on trying to get themselves a top-four finish in the EPL this season. Cardiff dropped into the relegation zone last time out and have a difficult away game their hands on Tuesday. Read our Arsenal v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 25th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Gunners took a 2-0 home win over Chelsea in their last League outing. That continued their great run of home form. Overall this season the Gunners are a W9 D2 L1 for the season at home. They are currently running on a five-match home streak of wins in the Premier League as well. They have scored at least two goals in all but one of the games in that sequence. Arsenal have produced 26 goals at home this season, conceding just the ten. They have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their home fixtures.
The Gunners have scored in each of their last eleven home games in the top flight. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last three there. Of the goals which they have produced at home, 73% of them have been in the second half of matches. Arsenal have opened the scoring in seven of their twelve home games this season, but have only been leading at half time on three occasions. Manchester City and Liverpool are the only two sides who have produced better Premier League home records this season.
Arsenal took a 3-2 win on their trip to Cardiff earlier this season
Arsenal are on a four-match winning streak against the Bluebirds
Cardiff have failed to score in four of their last five games against the Gunners
The Bluebirds have lost each of their last six visits to Arsenal in all competitions
Cardiff dropped back down into the bottom three after losing their last Premier League match 3-0 at Newcastle. So the Welsh club are starting to slide and have only taken the one victory in their last seven League games (D2 L4). They haven’t produced very well on their top-flight travels at all this season as their away record is W1 D2 L8. They have only managed to come up with the six away goals as well in their away games. Cardiff have failed to score in two of their last three away fixtures.
In total, they have taken only two clean sheets away from home this term, while they have conceded very close to an average of two goals per road game. The Bluebirds have yet to be leading at half time in an away game (D5 L6). They have shipped two-thirds of their 21 away goals in the second half of fixtures. Just twice have they opened the scoring on their travels as well this term. Fulham are the only side to have earned fewer away points than Cardiff and the only side to have conceded more goals than them.
Arsenal have been through some ups and downs lately but they should be able to secure the maximum points in this one. Backing the Gunners to win to nil is a good proposition, even with their growing injury list.
28th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Newcastle dropped into the relegation zone last weekend and they had to go through an extra midweek game in an FA Cup replay. This is big game for them at home now against Cardiff who are directly above them, fourth from bottom. The Magpies will be guaranteed to get out of the bottom three, therefore, with a win. Read our Newcastle v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
Newcastle lost 2-1 at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea last weekend
That is back to back league defeats and no win in five for them (D2 L3)
The Magpies have taken one win in their last nine EPL fixtures
Form at St James’ Park has been poor from them at W2 D1 L8
In midweek they needed extra time to beat Blackburn in a FA Cup replay
Just seven goals is all that Newcastle have managed at home in the league this season
They have concede an average of 1.55 per home games
No league game at St James Park this season has gone over 3.5 goals
Newcastle have earned two clean sheets on home soil this season
Their half time record at home in the top flight is D1 D6 L4
Five of their home games have been 0-0 at the midway break
Newcastle are without a clean sheet in any of their last four home and away
They have managed to open the scoring in just two home fixtures this term
There was a 0-0 draw when the two met in South Wales earlier this season
Newcastle are unbeaten in four games against Cardiff (W3 D1)
The Magpies have won their last nine league home games against the Bluebirds
Cardiff have scored just one goal in their last four games against the Magpies
The Bluebirds earned a point in a 0-0 home draw with Huddersfield last weekend
That leaves them at W1 D2 L1 in their last four so they are scrapping
Cardiff have only one away win this season in a W1 D2 L7 record
They have produced only the six away goals
The Welsh club have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away game
Cardiff have picked up three away clean sheets including back to back ones
However, 40% of their away games have gone over 3.5 goals
The Bluebirds haven’t been winning at halftime in any road game
Of the goals they have produced on the road 83% of them have been in the second half of matches
They have conceded 67% of their away goals after the halftime break
Only Fulham have a worse EPL record than Cardiff this season
Newcastle are only one of two sides to have scored fewer league goals than Cardiff have
The draw has the most appeal here. Cardiff held out for an important point in the end against Huddersfield last weekend. Newcastle have had a really poor season on home soil and we can see the visitors digging in and doing enough for a point.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Cardiff are hovering just above the drop zone as they head back into action this weekend. Their 2019 year started with a league defeat and will know the importance of a win in this one. They take on bottom side Huddersfield and so Cardiff’s survival hopes could be boosted massively with a home success. Read our Cardiff v Huddersfield betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
The Bluebirds lost 3-0 against Spurs on New Year’s Day
That leaves them with a W1 D1 L3 record in their last five games played
Their home form for the season reads W4 D1 L6 in the EPL
Cardiff have won three of their last five on home soil
They have tallied 13 goals on home soil but have conceded over two goals per game
Cardiff have two clean sheets at home only this season in the top flight
73% of their league home fixtures have made it above the 2.5 goal line
The Bluebirds haven’t been leading at the halftime break in any home game this season (D7 L4)
They have conceded 61% of goals at home in the first period of matches
Only in one of their EPL home games have Cardiff scored first
72% of all their league points earned this season have been at home
There was a 0-0 draw when the two met back in August
Cardiff are undefeated in ten against Huddersfield
Cardiff have earned six clean sheets in their last nine against the Terriers
The Blues birds are on a six-match winning streak at home against Huddersfield
The Terriers lost 2-1 at home against Burnley in a big survival duel on January 2nd
Huddersfield are at W1 D2 L7 on their top-flight travels this term
They are currently running along on an eight-match losing streak in the top flight
They have come up with just eight away goals this season
The Terriers have conceded over two goals per away game on average
Huddersfield are currently on a four-match losing streak away from home
They have managed just one away clean sheet all season
There has been no clean sheet in eight league games for Huddersfield
A third of their away games have gone over 3.5 goals
Huddersfield have conceded the first goal in seven of their ten road games
Only nice this season have they been leading at the halftime break away from home
Only Fulham have a worse away record than the Terriers in the EPL
The Terriers though are the lowest scoring team in the top flight
Cardiff can get the job done. They have shown more than enough on home soil to be able to get the better of the Terriers who just seem unable to come up with an answer to anything. Home win.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham fell apart at the end of their home game against Wolves on the weekend, suffering a shock defeat. Everyone’s entitled to a blip of course and was that Tottenham’s or was that a start of a slump? Cardiff pulled out a huge three points with a win at Leicester to boost their survival hopes. Read our Cardiff v Tottenham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 2:58 p.m.)
The Bluebirds bagged three points out at Leicester on the weekend
That was their first road win of the season
At home, Cardiff are W4 D1 L5 this season in the top flight
The Bluebirds are W3 L2 in their last five home games
They suffered a big 5-1 defeat at home against Man Utd in their last home game
Cardiff have tallied 13 home goals, conceding 20
They do have three clean sheets in their last five league games (home and away)
40% of Cardiff’s home games have gone over 4.5 goals
The Welsh club are on a four-match scoring streak at home
They have yet to be leading at the halftime break in any home game
The Bluebirds have collected two clean sheets at home this season
Each of their last three home wins have been by a one-goal margin
Cardiff have lost all six games played this season against current top-six sides
Spurs earned a 1-0 home win over Cardiff earlier this season
That is a four-match winning streak Tottenham are on over the Bluebirds
Cardiff have lost their last three against Spurs 1-0
Four of Tottenham’s last five wins over Cardiff have been by a 1-0 scoreline
Cardiff have failed to score in their last six against Spurs
After taking the lead at home against Wolves, Spurs lost 3-1 on the weekend
That snapped a five-match winning streak they were on in the EPL
Spurs have won their last two away games, scoring eight goals in total
Overall this season on the road Tottenham have produced a W9 D0 L2 record
They are averaging over two goals per road game in the top flight
64% of their away games have made it above the 2.5 goal line
Spurs have earned clean sheet in 45% of their away games this season
Five of their road wins this seasons have been by a one-goal margin only
The Lilywhites have been leading at the break in eight of their eleven away games
Spurs have scored in all of their away games this season
They have netted at least two in each of their last three on the road
Harry Kane is on a three-match scoring streak in the top flight
Tottenham have scored in each of their last ten league outings (home and away)
Of the away goals conceded by them, 75% have been in the second half of games
Cardiff have done well at home recently and their three points on the weekend at Leicester were huge. But Spurs are still such a class act that the visitors have to be backed to win to nil.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Leicester did Liverpool a huge favour on Boxing Day as they pulled off a home win over Manchester City. That is back to back wins for the Foxes now in the top flight after beating Chelsea last weekend. Cardiff were under huge pressure at Selhurst Park against Crystal Palace on Wednesday but survived to earn a point. Read our Leicester v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 26th, 2018 at 8:48 p.m.)
The Foxes came from behind to beat Man City on Boxing Day
That followed a win over Chelsea away from home last weekend
That is the third time this season they have won back to back games
They are yet to win three in a row this season in the EPL
The Foxes are now W3 D3 L2 in their last eight games
This season at the King Power Leicester have produced a W4 D2 L3 record
Leicester have scored 12 home goals, conceding 9
Less than half of the league fixtures at the King Power this term have gone over 2.5 goals
78% of Leicester’s home games have produced either 2 or 3 goals
The Foxes have three clean sheets on home soil this season
On the nine goals conceded at home, seven of them have been in the first period of games
In each of their four home wins this season, Leicester have scored at least two goals
The Foxes have managed to open the scoring in just two home games
Leicester were 1-0 winners over Cardiff earlier this season
The Foxes are W2 D2 L1 in their last five league games against the Bluebirds
The last meeting at the King Power ended in a 1-0 win for Cardiff
Both teams have scored in just two of the last five meetings
Cardiff played out a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace on the weekend
That snapped a two-match losing streak that they were in the EPL
The point at Palace on the weekend saw Cardiff end a six-match losing away streak
Overall this season the Bluebirds are D2 L7 in nine road games
They have managed to produce only the five away goals so far this term
They have conceded 18, an average of exactly two goals per game
44% of away games they have been involved in have gone over 2.5 goals
The Bluebirds have failed to score in 56% of their away games
The Welsh club have conceded 67% of their away goals in the second period of games
Cardiff have the joint-worst away record in the top flight this season
The Bluebirds have opened the scoring just once away from home this season
They have been losing at half time in five of their nine road games
The Foxes have put a couple of very good wins up over the Festive period. They are likely to get more points out of this one against the Bluebirds. The Welsh side are not a huge attacking threat so Leicester to win to nil.
27th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Crystal Palace pulled off the shock of the season as they came from behind to beat Man City at the Etihad on the weekend. That was a massive boost for their survival hopes. Can they build upon it? Cardiff took a hammering at home against Manchester United on the weekend. Read our Crystal Palace v Cardiff betting tips for more.
Crystal Palace 8/13
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 2:12 p.m.)
The Eagles pulled off a tremendous 3-2 win at Man City on the weekend
That improved their current form to W3 D1 L2
They have won their last two at Selhurst Park both with a clean sheet
Palace have only scored the five home goals this season
They have failed to score in 62% of their home fixtures in the EPL
But three of those have been in their last two games
Defensively they have done well conceding just eight goals at home this term
Only one game at Selhurst Park this season has gone over 2.5 goals
Palace have been trailing at the break in just one of their home games this season
Seven of the eight home goals they have conceded have been in the second half of games
Luka Milivojevic has scored a penalty in three of Palace’s last four games
Only three teams have fewer home points this season than Palace do
Palace won both meetings against Cardiff in the 2013/14 EPL season
The Eagles have won three of the last four against the Bluebirds
Both teams have scored in just three of the last ten meetings
Cardiff have lost four of their last five trips to Selhurst Park in all competitions
The Bluebirds suffered a 1-5 reverse on home soil against Manchester United on the weekend
That is back to back losses which they have suffered
Cardiff have yet to win a single away game this season (D1 L7)
Not helping them is a lack of goals as they have scored just five on the road this season
Cardiff have conceded 18 goals on their travels
That’s an average of 2.25 goals against them per road game in the EPL
The Bluebirds are on a six-match losing streak away
They have scored in three of their last four away games
50% of their away games have made it over 3.5 goals
They have been losing at half time in five of their right away games
Of their five away goals scored, four of them have been after the halftime break
Cardiff have the worst away record in the top flight
Only Fulham have conceded more league goals than they have done this term
What a lift Palace got for themselves last weekend. They have to turn that into an even bigger positive of making it back to back wins against Cardiff. The Bluebirds don’t look a threat on the road. Palace to win to nil.
23rd December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
This should be a really interesting clash from South Wales. Cardiff have been gathering some great points on home soil to aid their survival and still need to push for more. Can they upset the Red Devils? Manchester United’s patience ran out and they sacked Jose Mourinho in the week, following a toothless defeat against Liverpool last weekend. Read our Cardiff v Manchester United betting tips for more.
Manchester United 8/13
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 18th, 2018 at 1:37 p.m.)
Cardiff went to Watford last weekend and suffered a narrow 3-2 loss. There was plenty of fight from the Welsh club again though. Back on home soil, they have been doing very well. They are W4 D1 L4 in South Wales this season in the Premier League and have won their last three home games on the bounce in the EPL. Cardiff are W4 L1 in their last five league home games and that could make them a threat to Manchester United in this afternoon kick off. Cardiff have come up with twelve goals in their home games this season, conceding fifteen.
67% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. There has been only the two home league clean sheets from Cardiff this season. There is a big half time trend in their home games. In seven of Cardiff’s nine home games, things have been level at the half time break. They have not drawn any of their last fourteen league games home and away combined. Despite the good home form, they have opened the scoring in just one of their nine home games. Only Burnley and Fulham have conceded more league goals than the Bluebirds
This is the first meeting since the 2013/14 EPL season
Manchester United are unbeaten in their last seven against Cardiff
The Red Devils have won three of their last four visits to Cardiff (D1)
Cardiff conceded exactly two goals in each of their previous EPL games against United
The Red Devils lost 3-1 at Liverpool last weekend and it was another costly defeat for boss Jose Mourinho. He was sacked on Tuesday after yet another mishap. The Red Devils have gone W3 D2 L4 away from home this season, going winless in their last three away from Old Trafford in the EPL (D1 L2). On their top-flight travels, this season Manchester United have posted 15 away goals, but have conceded eighteen. Only four teams have conceded more league goals than United have done this season. That will be four of the current bottom five in the standings.
United have scored in every away game in this season’s EPL so that is a definite positive for them. Knowing that a top-four finish is likely out of the question you could see them start to just play open football. Each of their last seven away games has seen over 2.5 goals. 89% of Manchester United’s EPL away fixtures this term have gone over 2.5 goals. The Red Devils have not managed a clean sheet in any of their last seven road games. United have conceded 61% of their away goals in the first half of matches. They have opened the scoring twice on their travels only and have been ahead at the half time break in just two of their road games this season.
Manchester United are a really unappealing odds-on favourite option in this one in the match outright. It’s hard to see the value there really. They are lacking confidence but have had a shake up. Because of that, they could still scrape over the line. Manchester United to win by a one-goal margin.
18th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Watford have failed to produce a win in any of their last six games and really are just having a tough in getting things to go their way. They were denied a win in the 96th minute of their game at Everton last Monday for example. Cardiff have done well to pull clear of the drop zone but their away form is pretty questionable. Read our Watford v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 11th, 2018 at 8:43 p.m.)
The Hornets almost got themselves a good win at Everton last weekend. They conceded a 96th-minute equaliser though to deny them. That draw at Goodison Park leaves them with a record of D2 L4 in their last six league games now. At home in the top flight, this term the Hornets have produced a W4 L4 record. They have suffered back to back home defeats though but were against Liverpool and Manchester City just to put that into context. They have won all three home games played against sides currently in the bottom half of the table
The Hornets have scored 11 goals at home, conceding 13 and in total, 88% of their games at Vicarage Road have made it over 2.5 goals. So there’s a strong trend, in fact, the last seven league home games for Watford have gone above the goal line. There has been no clean sheet from Watford in their last six league games and they have conceded at least two in their last two home fixtures. They have scored 73% of their home goals in the second half of games. Watford have conceded the opening goal in five of their eight home games
This is the first meeting since the 2014/15 Championship season
The two traded away wins that season
Cardiff have lost just one of their last seven against Watford (W3 D3 L1)
Watford are winless in three home games against the Bluebirds (D2 L1)
Cardiff did their survival hopes further good with a 1-0 home win over Southampton last weekend. That was more good work from the Bluebirds but their survival hopes seem to be pinned on their home performances. Cardiff are just D1 L6 this season on their top-flight travels. They suffered a 3-1 reverse out at West Ham in their last away game. In their away games Cardiff have only managed to find the back of the net three times in total. That has been a failure to score in 57% of their road games in the EPL.
43% of their away games though have ended up finishing over 3.5 goals this season. They have only banked the one clean sheet on their travels as well. Home and away combined Cardiff have gone without a clean sheet in any of their last five league games. They have been losing at halftime in all but three of their seven away games in the top flight. As a positive, they have scored in each of their last three league fixtures. They have the joint-worst away record in the Premier League alongside Fulham. Only Burnley and Fulham have conceded more goals than the Bluebirds this season
* (betting odds taken on December 11th, 2018 at 9:50 pm)
We are going to predict a home win. Even though they didn’t beat Everton Watford can still take positives from that performance. Cardiff just haven’t delivered enough away from home to warrant a decent look.
14th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting