The Championship returns to action on Friday night with Cardiff visiting Pride Park. Derby have been struggling with their form a little bit and they start the weekend just three points above the drop zone. So they are going to be feeling the pressure greatly on home soil. Cardiff are above them, two points better off. Read our Derby v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 10th, 2019 at 12:31 p.m.)
Derby find themselves in a bit of a sticky spot down near the relegation zone. Their summer of upheaval may just be catching up with them a bit. They won their opening game of the campaign, but are winless since in a W1 D3 L2 record in this season’s Championship.
The Rams have taken a W0 D2 L1 record on home soil this season. In their last home game, they did get a very good point against West Brom. The Rams have managed only one clean sheet in the league this season, that coming in their 0-0 home opener against Swansea. It’s been two goals scored in three home games from them.
Two of the three goals which they have conceded at Pride Park has been in the first half of matches. Carrying over from the back end of last season, Derby are winless (D2 L2) in their last four league home games, scoring just two goals in a sequence. Martyn Waghorn is their top scorer this season with three goals (two of those penalties).
Derby took four points from their 2017/18 Championship meetings with Cardiff
The last two meetings at Pride Park have gone over 3.5 goals
Just one of the last four meetings have produced a home win
Cardiff have lost two of their last three league visits to Derby
Cardiff don’t have any winning momentum behind them having drawn their last two league games. However, they are undefeated in their last three played in the second tier (W1 D2). Their home form has been far better than what they have produced on the road. Cardiff are just D1 L2 away from home, which hints that this is going to be a tough game for them.
The Bluebirds have failed to score in their last two on the road as well. They played out a 0-0 draw with Blackburn in their last road game. That was a big defensive improvement because they had conceded exactly three goals in both of their previous away games. Four of the six away goals they have conceded have been in the second half of games.
Cardiff have gone W1 D1 L3 in their last five Championship away games now. Each of their last three road losses in the Championship has seen them conceded exactly three goals. That sequence was started with a 3-1 loss at Derby at the back of last season.
With little away form behind them, it is hard to back Cardiff to come up with spoils in this one. Even though Derby haven’t managed to find their feet yet at Pride Park, this surely serves up a good opportunity to get their first home win. Derby to win.
11th September 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Both Cardiff and Fulham took a tumble from the Premier League last term. Cardiff will be looking for more home joy this season in the Championship as that is where their two wins for the new campaign have been produced. Fulham had a three-match winning streak snapped last weekend as they were toppled at Craven Cottage by Nottingham Forest. Read our Cardiff v Fulham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 27th, 2019 at 7:52 p.m.)
Cardiff have won their two league home games this season, both 2-1 successes over Luton and Huddersfield. So will the Bluebirds be able to keep their momentum going?. Their overall record for the season in the Championship is W2 D1 L2. They played out a 0-0 draw at Blackburn on the weekend which was their first clean sheet of the new campaign.
So the betting trends are there with the 2-1 scoreline, Cardiff scoring exactly 2 goals and both of their home games going over 2.5 goals. All but one of the six goals that have been produced in Cardiff’s home games this season have been scored in the second half of matches. In last season’s Premier League, Cardiff claimed a 4-2 home victory over the Cottagers and if they were to win this latest meeting they would jump above Fulham by a point.
Each of the last three meetings in Wales have gone over 3.5 goals
The two traded home wins in the Premier League last season
Fulham have lost one of their last 9 against Cardiff in all competitions
Both teams have scored in all but one of the last nine meetings
Fulham will start the new weekend of Championship action sitting in fifth place in the table. It has been a W3 L2 record produced by the Cottagers this season in the second tier. They were on a three-match winning streak before being toppled at home by Nottingham Forest last weekend. That was something of a surprise and it creates a bit of pressure on them now for this fixture.
They did come up with a good winning response after losing their opening game of the season at Barnsley. That is one win and one defeat which Fulham have taken on the road this season, their success happening against another of last season’s relegated Premier League teams, Huddersfield. Each of those last three Championship games for Fulham have gone over 2.5 goals.
Cardiff, albeit by the narrowest of margins, have delivered at home the season in the Championship. With Fulham having a wobble last time out, there may be a bit of value in backing the Bluebirds to follow up on last season’s home win over the Cottagers.
29th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Rovers have shaken off a bad start to the season by winning their last two games. So they have a little bit of momentum going. Their six-point haul leaves them level with Saturday’s opponents Cardiff in the middle of the Championship table. Read our Blackburn v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Rovers started the season with back to back defeats, conceding exactly two goals in both of those losses. But they have turned the tables well by winning their next two games. Their first win was a 1-0 home success over Middlesbrough. They then turned around in midweek and beat Hull by the same scoreline.
That is each of their last three league games going under 2.5 goals. Derrick Williams got their winning out at Hull in midweek and that is the only one of their three goals this season to come from open play. Can Rovers take their winning form a step further? If so, backers will probably stick with the one-goal margin trend.
Each of the last three meetings at Ewood Park have ended 1-1
Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 9 against Rovers in all competitions
Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings
Four of the last six meetings have ended in a 1-1 draw
It has been mixed fortunes for Cardiff this season in the Championship. They have won their two home games played, while they have lost their two away games. Cardiff dug out a 2-1 home win over Huddersfield in midweek. But back last weekend they had a nightmare out at Reading, losing 3-0.
That is three goals exactly that the Bluebirds have conceded in both of their away games this season. With no clean sheet this term, defensive issues are happening it would seem. Joe Ralls is top scorer for them this season with two goals. Four of their six away goals conceded have been in the second half of mixtures.
Naturally, the 1-1 draw is probably going to be on the radar here. However, with Cardiff badly missing the mark defensively out on their travels, it is the home win that appeals. There is probably not going to be much to choose between them, so a Rovers to win by a one-goal margin fits.
23rd August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
With two losses in three games of the Championship down, Cardiff are having their struggles adapting to life back in the second tier. Can they secure three points at home against the Terriers, who were up in the Premier League with them last season? Huddersfield so far, have fared even worse than the Bluebirds have following relegation. Read our Cardiff v Huddersfield betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 19th, 2019 at 5:22 p.m.)
There have been plenty of goals flying around in Cardiff’s games so far this season. They are W1 L2 for the season with the two defeats happening out on the road at Wigan and Reading, conceding exactly three goals in both of those losses. Cardiff did win their only home game played so far, taking a 2-1 success over Luton, who won the League One title last season. So it’s not been plain sailing for Neil Warnock’s men. With all of their league games having gone over 2.5 goals so far, that’s worth a look for this one. That is a worrying amount of goals that they have conceded so far.
Cardiff and Huddersfield played out two 0-0 draws in the EPL last season
The Bluebirds are unbeaten in 11 games in all competitions against the Terriers
Both teams have scored in two of the last seven meetings
Huddersfield are winless in seven visits to Cardiff
The Terriers have only managed one point from their three games back in the Championship. They sacked Jan Siewert over the weekend following a loss at home against Fulham. He won one of his 19 games in charge of the Terriers. Their only point of the campaign happened in a 1-1 draw at QPR, which at least may give them some optimism here.
Like Cardiff, they have not managed a clean sheet in the Championship yet this season, but they have scored one goal in all three of their matches played. So the both teams to score option does warrant a bit of consideration here as neither have a defence that can be relied upon. Karlan Ahearne-Grant has scored all three of the Terriers’ league goals this season, two of them from the penalty spot.
There is just nothing to choose between the two of them. Cardiff will be hoping for big points on home soil, but they couldn’t get the better of the Terriers last season in the top flight. So the draw in the match outright again has to look value. It’s not been a good early campaign from either.
19th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
With back-to-back defeats to open the season with, Reading have had their struggles getting going for the campaign. So they will be under pressure to get something positive out of this home game on Sunday. Cardiff have already had a taste of victory this season having collected a home success over Luton last weekend. Read our Reading v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 13th, 2019 at 7:22 p.m.)
It has been a bad start to the new season from the Royals. They opened with a 3-1 loss at home against Sheffield Wednesday and then tanked to a 2-1 loss at Hull. So they need a massive boost for themselves. There will be significant early worries for them because last season they had their struggles in the division. The Royals were only two places above the drop zone in the final league standings. If they can’t get themselves up and running then there could be a long season ahead.
They have back to back away games coming up after this as well. It is a worrying amount of goals that they have given up so far. Last season their record at home in the Championship was W8 D6 L9 and 61% of all games at the Madejski went over 2.5 goals. Without question, their form at home did pick up in the second half of the campaign. However, looking back to the start of last season, they lost their opening three games (home and away), failing to win any of their first six and lost their first four home fixtures.
This will be the first meeting since the 2017/18 Championship season
Reading are undefeated in five games against the Bluebirds
Cardiff have failed to win any of their last four trips to the Madejski
Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings at Reading
Cardiff lost their opening game of this campaign, a 3-2 reverse at Wigan. Having dropped down from the Premier League that wasn’t the start that they wanted. Then a last-minute goal at home against Luton gave them their first success in this season’s Championship. That is back to back games which have gone over 2.5 goals from them, so that could be worth a look from a betting angle, considering the goals that Reading have given up too.
The Bluebirds had that terrible campaign in the Premier League last season then. At the end of the day, just one more league win by Neil Warnock’s men would have gotten them safe. The Bluebirds posted a W4 D2 L13 record on their travels in last season’s Premier League. Sticking the ball in the back of the net was a huge problem for them though as they averaged just 0.68 goals per away game. That should significantly rise in the Championship.
Both of these have shipped far too many goals for their own liking so far this season. Cardiff did suffer a slip up on the road in their opening away game of the season and Reading may just be able to do enough on home soil to get themselves a precious point to get their season going.
16th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There was a loss for Cardiff on their return to the second tier following their relegation from the Premier League last season. Will they be able to get better fortunes on home soil? Luton, who were promoted from League One, will be happy with their return of point from their first game back in the Championship. Read our Cardiff v Luton betting tips for more.
The Bluebirds, who were relegated to the Championship at the end of last season, suffered a 3-2 loss at Wigan in their opener. It was a great game in which Cardiff had opened the scoring in, but then with just under half an hour to go, found themselves 2-1 behind. They managed to get themselves back level before they were sunk in the 75th minute. All those goals given up will be a concern for then. It was Joe Ralls and Omar Bogle who got their goals.
It is hard to judge their efforts from last season, because of playing the Premier League. The Bluebirds took a W4 D2 L13 record on their travels in the top flight and they did win two of their last three on the road, both 2-0 successes at Brighton and Manchester United. Back in their successful 2017/18 Championship campaign, Cardiff posted an away record of W11 D5 L7. That opening defeat of this season will have hurt, can they redress the balance back in south Wales?
This is the first meeting since the 2006/07 Championship
Cardiff are undefeated in their last three against Luton
The Bluebirds have won just one of their last three at home against the Hatters
Three of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Luton could not have had much more of an exciting start to the seasons in the second tier. They were at home at Kenilworth Road against Middlesbrough and played out a 3-3 draw. In the 25th minute, they were in a dreamland of being 2-1 up after having conceded the first goal of the game. But Boro managed to turn things around with around 20 minutes to go, taking a 3-2 lead. But then the hero of the day for the home side was Jamie Collins who got Luton’s equaliser three minutes from time.
Luton were outplayed in the match but that was to be expected against a strong side. The Hatters were extremely good in League One last season, winning the league title there. They remained undefeated at home all season, and their survival in the Championship is likely going to be based on their home form. Away from home Luton were W11 D6 L6. This is probably going to be a test of their battling qualities in Cardiff.
Cardiff will have had a rocket put up them from Neil Warnock after those goals conceded last weekend. They are probably going to enjoy themselves a little bit more on home soil. Luton did well to dig out a potion at home last weekend, it could be a different story on their travels. Home win.
8th August 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The season that Cardiff had in the top flight last season showed what a difficult thing it is for newly promoted clubs from the Championship. It was a rough ride for the Bluebirds and they find themselves back down in the second tier. Wigan did well to handle their first season back in the second tier last term following promotion. Read our Wigan v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 28th, 2019 at 1.31 p.m.)
Wigan’s survival in the Championship last season, after having earned promotion from League One, was all based on their home form. The Latics were W11 D8 L4 on home soil last term in the second tier and that was what kept them afloat. They finished the season so well though overall posting a W4 D4 L1 record in their final nine games to finish in 18th, 11 points clear of the relegation zone.
Following that, they will be looking to find a way to actually push on. A notable feature of their home record last season was their defensive output. They averaged under a goal per game at home against them and earned a clean sheet in 48% of home league games. Can they get their new season up and running at the DW Stadium? Some notable transfer out of the summer includes James Vaughan, Nick Powell, Darren Gibson and Jonas Olsson.
Wigan earned four points in the league against Cardiff last season
Both teams have scored in just one of the last six meetings
Three of the last four meetings have produced a 1-0 scoreline
Wigan are W11 D10 L6 in the overall head to head with Cardiff
So there was no easy ride for Cardiff in the EPL season and there was never expected to be. They finished third from bottom in the top flight, however, there was something of a positive in that from them. They won 10 games last season which was the highest tally of any side which finished in the bottom five along with them. Scoring goals in the top flight became a massive problem for them and they averaged under a goal per game across the course of the season.
But they will be looking to stay strong and regather themselves as they drop down a tier. Neil Warnock is still in charge and it’s fair to say he did serve them well in the EPL season and kudos to the Bluebirds for sticking with him. They have added a few bits and pieces through the transfer market, and have done well to hold most of their squad together. The one notable departure is striker Kenneth Zohore to West Brom. After a couple of good seasons for the Bluebirds in the Championship, he managed just one goal in the top flight last season.
This will be interesting because Wigan were superb on home soil last season. But you do have to look at the quality of the respective two squads here and Cardiff do look the stronger. A narrow away win seems to fit the bill nicely.
31st July 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There is so much happening on the final day of the season. Basically, Cardiff have their promotion destiny in their own hands. A win secures them second place. It’s a simple as that. Anything less and they are in danger of missing out to Fulham. Reading have something in this game to play for, they are only two points clear of the drop zone.
Cardiff 4/11, Draw 15/4, Reading 15/2* (Betting Odds taken at 4:15 a.m. on May 1st, 2018)
There is going to be some exciting drama on the final day of the Championship season. Cardiff just have to win this home game to get themselves over the line and secure automatic promotion. That will be a huge relief. Anything less and Fulham will have a chance to steal it from them. Cardiff have won eight of their last nine home games (L1) and the only defeat in that sequence was against Champions Wolves so they should be thinking that they are going to be alright. Nerves may, of course, play their part on the day and Cardiff to win by a one-goal margin at bet365 is at 5/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). That is all they need. A win. Anyway, anyhow. Four of Cardiff’s last five home wins have been by a one-goal margin only so there is a trend there anyway. In the bet365 correct score market a Cardiff 1-0 is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). While they have scored well at 1.8 goals per home game on average, they have been defensively strong too with just 16 goals conceded in 22 home games.
The Royals are not mathematically safe but would need for a lot of things to go wrong in other matches for them to fall into the drop zone. So they should end up safe even if they lost this one. They are just the two points above the relegation zone going into the game and they aren’t carrying any form with only the one point collected in their last four games. Their away form is pretty shocking at the moment as well, not only are they without a win in their last seven on the road, they are on a five-match losing streak as well on their travels. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last eight road games and have failed to score in their last three. Cardiff to win to nil is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 10:55 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). Their away form is going to leave them in some peril here and it’s so hard to see them coming up with a win all of a sudden. But if they lose this it would still need Birmingham to not get a point along with Barnsley and Burton to not win their final games. Reading should just about be alright, but digging in for a point here would ease a lot of tension.
There was a good 2-2 draw between them when they met the Madejski. Reading are actually without a loss in their last four against Cardiff (W2 D2) so they do have that going for them. They even bust out a 1-0 win in this corresponding fixture from last season. How they would love a repeat of that. The Royals are W3 D2 L3 in their last eight visits to South Wales in all competitions.
This is going to be a tight affair but home advantage may just tip the balance in this one. Nerves have to come into play here and a Cardiff to win by a one-goal margin looks about right.
3rd May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Derby suffered a hit on the weekend as they lost in a big game against fellow play-off candidates Middlesbrough. That leaves the Rams one place and one point now outside of the top six. But this is their game in hand over everyone above them, but they aren’t in form at the moment. Cardiff took another win on the weekend to just hold on to second place. A win puts them four points clear of Fulham with two to play. So an important clash for the both of them.
Cardiff 8/5, Derby 9/5, Draw 21/10* (Betting Odds taken at 3:42 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)
Derby have been grinding since early February really. They have won just the two fixtures since taking a 3-0 home success over Brentford on February 3rd. They are currently running on a three-match losing streak in the Championship and suffered a 2-1 home reverse against Middlesbrough on the weekend in a big clash for play-off points. So this is another tough encounter for them. Their home form for the season is W10 D5 L6 but they are just W1 D2 L3 in their last six home fixtures. As a positive they have scored in each of their last seven at Pride Park and therefore both teams to score at Ladbrokes is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on April 23rd, 2018 at 3:02 p.m.). Each of their last five home games in the league have also gone above 2.5 goals so that’s worth a look as well in this one. Derby have scored well at home this season at an average of 1.6 per game in fact. On top of that, they have conceded at under a goal per game at home. Matej Vydra is their top scorer with twelve of his nineteen league goals for the season coming at home.
Cardiff have landed back to back wins in the league which has seen them just about hold off the attention of Fulham in the race for second place. This is a game in hand the Bluebirds have so they can push on open up a nice four-point cushion over the Cottagers. They have two relatively easy games to come after this as well. Cardiff’s recent success at Norwich leaves them with a good W3 D1 L1 record in their last five road games and they have scored in six of their last seven on the road. In the Ladbrokes correct score market a Cardiff 2-1 is at 9/1 odds* (betting odds taken on April 23rd, 2018 at 3:02 p.m.). The Bluebirds have scored at least two goals in three of their last four away victories. It is well worth considering the half-time draw as the Bluebirds have been level at the break in 13 of their 21 away games this season. Cardiff have been strong at the back all season and have conceded at under a goal per game on average on their travels. A clean sheet has come their way in 33% of their away games this season and 62% of their away goals have been scored in the second half of matches.
Derby picked up an away point in a 0-0 draw at Cardiff when the two met earlier this season. That has left things even between them with two wins each and a draw in their last five meetings. Derby suffered a 4-3 defeat in this corresponding fixture last season, and they have won just one of their last six home games against the Bluebirds W1 D2 L3. Both teams have scored in just two of the last half a dozen meetings.
Derby just can’t seem to deliver the goods and Cardiff are just throwing everything at trying to get over the finish line in second place. Look for the Bluebirds to go and continue their good form by sneaking a win by a one-goal margin.
23rd April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
As long as Cardiff just keep winning they will book themselves automatic promotion at the end of the season. The Welsh club landed a good away win at Norwich last weekend to snap a small winless streak that they were on. Can they push on? Nottingham Forest also collected a win last weekend as they took down Ipswich. They are likely going to end up lodged in the bottom half of the table though.
Cardiff 11/20, Draw 3/1, Nottingham Forest 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 4:44 p.m. on April 16th, 2018)
The Bluebirds got themselves a pressure-relieving win at Norwich last weekend which came after they had taken just one point from their previous three games. It was enough to get them back into second place at the end of last weekend. If they win their last four games they are up in the Premier League, it is as simple as that. The Bluebirds lost their last home game against league leaders Wolves which snapped a tremendous seven-match winning streak that they were on at home. Overall the Bluebirds are W15 D3 L3 for the season on home soil and so have the form to suggest that they can collect the points in this one. Cardiff have averaged 1.8 goals per home game as well and have been ahead at half time in eleven home games. A Cardiff/Cardiff half time/ full-time bet at William Hill is 13/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:44 p.m. on April 16th, 2018). Their defence has been superb overall this season and they have conceded just the 15 goals in 21 home fixtures this season so backing the Bluebirds to win to nil is going to be a good proposition.
Forest don’t have anything to play for and that’s been showing in their recent results. They snapped a six-match winless streak (D3 L3) with a home win over Ipswich on the weekend. They are stuck on a four-match winless streak out on the road and they have failed to score in six of their last seven away games. Forest have averaged 1.1 goals per game away from home this season but are without one in their last four. Each to their last four away games have produced less that three games so backing under 2.5 goals at William Hill is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:44 p.m. on April 16th, 2018) is a good option to consider. They just don’t look like any kind of threat and they have scored just two goals only in their last seven league matches home and away combined (failing to score in six of those). It’s hard to picture the Bluebirds not getting out of this with a clean sheet.
Cardiff collected a good 2-0 win when they visited Forest back in November, making it three straight wins over the Tricky Trees. Cardiff are on an eight-match unbeaten streak of form against Forest now in the Championship now and have remained unbeaten in their last five home games against them, taking three clean sheets in that sequence.
Cardiff can deliver here as that victory last weekend will have eased their nerves a bit. They can settle down and collect three points in this one to edge closer to automatic promotion. It is likely that they will collect a clean sheet, as well as Forest, aren’t a major threat.
17th April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting