They left it late but Liverpool won once again on the weekend as they sunk rivals Everton in the Merseyside derby in dramatic fashion. The three points saw them keep pace with leaders Manchester City. Burnley suffered their fifth defeat in six league games as they fell to Crystal Palace. Read our Burnley v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 3rd, 2018 at 2:18 p.m.)
Burnley went down 2-0 on the road at Crystal Palace on the weekend, which saw their miserable slump continue. That leaves the Clarets with only the two points in their last seven league outings. They are just W1 D1 L4 at home and are rooted in the Premier League drop zone. The Clarets have suffered back to back home defeats in the league and have gone winless in three in their own backyard. Burnley have just the one goal in their last three league home games. Both teams not to score is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 3rd, 2018 at 2:31 pm). No-one has earned fewer home points than Burnley this season in the EPL.
Burnley have faced two of the current top three this season (Chelsea and Man City) and have lost both of those games without getting on the scoresheet. In total, they have managed just seven home goals and of those home goals, 71% of them have been in the first half of matches. The Clarets have conceded an average of two goals per game on home soil this term, picking up just the one clean sheet along the way. Burnley have been trailing at the half time break in three of their six home fixtures. A Liverpool/Liverpool half-time/full-time option is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 3rd, 2018 at 2:31 pm). The Clarets have the worst home record of all sides in the top flight currently
Liverpool won 2-1 at Turf Moor last season
The Reds are on a three-match unbeaten streak against Burnley (W2 D1)
Liverpool are W6 D1 L1 in eight previous EPL games against the Clarets
Both teams have scored in just three of the last nine
Liverpool banked a win against Everton in the Merseyside derby and it couldn’t have been much more dramatic, as they took their goal in the sixth minute of stoppage time. It was another big pressure test for them which they passed to keep their unbeaten form for the season going. Out on the road in the top flight this season Liverpool have come up with a very good W5 D2 L0 record. In their last game away from Anfield they picked up a 3-0 win at Watford. They have taken three straight clean sheets as well now in the league (home and away combined). Liverpool to win to nil is at 10/11 odds* (betting odds taken on November 3rd, 2018 at 2:31 pm)
Liverpool have conceded just four away goals all season, scoring 12 of their own. Of the goals that they have conceded on the road, three of them have been after the half time break. Less than half of their away games this season have made it to at least three goals. So under 2.5 goals is at 13/10 odds* (betting odds taken on November 3rd, 2018 at 2:31 pm). They have found the back of the net in each of their last six league games. They have been leading at halftime in four of their seven road games. After their clean sheet on the weekend, they now have the best defensive record in the top flight. Only Spurs have a better away record than Liverpool this term.
Liverpool can go and strike a win even if they have not been clicking as an attacking unit during the last week. The defence of Burnley is at sixes and sevens and will likely give up chances to the visitors. Away win.
3rd December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Clarets have enjoyed a fine season on home soil in the top flight but their great defence will naturally be put to the test in this one against the powerful Liverpool attack. The Reds have put together some very strong form out on the road since the beginning of November and go as 4/9 odds on favourites to win the game, with the draw at 3/1 and Burnley are big 7/1 underdogs.
Burnley’s home form has been strong this season with a W5 D2 L3 record on the board from their ten outings at Turf Moor. They did suffer a loss in their last home game though as they went down 3-0 against Spurs. Four of the five wins that they have recorded on home soil have all been achieved by just the one goal margin, while two of the three losses they have suffered at Turf Moor have been by the one goal margin too. They have conceded just the six goals at home and half of those were in that recent defeat to Spurs. The Clarets have managed only the seven home goals this season and in total, just 10% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals. This one is even money to go under the goal line. Can they keep Liverpool at bay though? The Clarets are a big price of 11/2 at Ladbrokes for a clean sheet in this game. It may well be worth considering both teams not to score as in each of the three defeats they have suffered at home this term, Burnley have failed to score in. 67% of the goals that they have conceded on home soil have come in the second half of matches.
The away form of the Reds is pretty hot right now with a W4 D1 record in their last five on the road and they have scored at least three goals in each of those five games as well. Seven times in their ten away games this season they have managed to score at least three goals in a match. In the Ladbrokes correct score market, a Liverpool 2-0 option is at 13/2 as they are going up against a good Burnley defence, while a 3-0 away win comes in at a price of 10/1. Overall the Reds have posted a W5 D3 L2 record on their travels this season in the top flight and they have been ahead at the break in six of their road games. So they are averaging 2.7 goals away from Anfield, but their defence has taken a battering on the road, conceding at a rate of exactly two goals per game on average. 70% of their away games have gone over 4.5 goals which is staggering. Both Mo Salah (injury doubt) and Roberto Firmino have been in good scoring form on the road and they are 11/10 and 11/8 respectively in the anytime goalscorer market for this one. Liverpool have opened the scoring in seven of their away games and have been leading at half time in six of them.
The Clarets dug in for a 1-1 draw at Liverpool earlier in the season and that leaves things even in the last three Premier League meetings between them with one win each and a draw. From the seven previous Premier League meetings between them, Liverpool are up in the head to head with a W5 D1 L1 record over Burnley.
The scoring threat that Liverpool possess gets the nod in this one. The Clarets have been defensively immense at home this season but this is going to be a huge test for them, probably one that they aren’t going to get through. Away win.
31st December 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
It was a tough return to the Premier League for Burnley as they lost their opener at home against Swansea, punters having thrown plenty of backing at the Clarets to have taken that one. They stay at home and will have the tough task of trying to contain the impressive Liverpool who opened with a thrilling win at Arsenal. The Reds are running as strong favourite to go and take three points from the clash at Turf Moor. Liverpool are 1/2 odds on, with the draw at 3/1 and Burnley at 6/1.
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This probably isn’t a fixture that the Clarets are looking forward too very much. They have yet to score a single Premier League goal against the Reds and have suffered a defeat in each of their previous four fixtures against them. The Clarets somewhat surprisingly lost last weekend, going down 1-0 at Turf Moor against Swansea. Burnley were so good, so resilient at home in last season’s Championship, losing just the two games there all season. So that loss against Swansea will have sent up some red-flags. This is a tougher game for them now and they are heavy outsiders to get the win on the board. Burnley’s last nine Premier League have only produced seven goals in total, Burnley weighing in with just two of them. Under 2.5 goals on this one is running at 5/6 and that is likely the only way that the Clarets are going to get close to getting anything out of this.
Andre Gray was a big scoring success for Burnley last season, but he has scored only one goal in his last ten league matches at Turf Moor. They look as if they are going to struggle for goals again, so they need him to produce somehow and he is a 9/4 anytime goalscorer quote for this game. The last time that Burnley beaten Liverpool in the league was back in September 1974 (D2 L5 since) and they haven’t scored in their last six home games against the Reds either. So this fixture, especially after last week’s result isn’t looking too great for them. Liverpool are just one of two sides to have never conceded a Premier League goal against Burnley (the other being Swansea). So the Clarets may have a big uphill struggle on their hands in this one after watching Liverpool put four past Arsenal last weekend.
Liverpool showed a lot of tenacity and will to record their 4-3 win over Arsenal. While the looked impressive getting forward, there will be question marks remaining over the defence. Sadio Mane who is a 6/4 anytime goalscorer option for this one, has netted 9 goals in his last 9 Premier League appearances now and with the high output of Roberto Firmino, as well as throwing the likes of Daniel Sturridge and Divock Origi in the mix, Liverpool have goals. Liverpool’s last nine away games in the Premier League have contained 41 goals (4.6 per game on average). So they clearly have the power going forward to contend, will their defence be able to carry them through? Both teams to score in this one is a price of even money, that of course, backing Burnley to break their duck.
You imagine that the confidence Liverpool got from beating Arsenal last weekend was huge. They look shaky at the back though still, but with the pace and pressing game that they have going, they should have more than enough to go out and record another three points away from Anfield at the start of the season. Liverpool to win but under 2.5 goals which has been the case in three of their last four visits to Turf Moor.
18th August 2016 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Things didn’t go so well for Burnley the last time that these two met in the Barclays Premier League, as the Clarets lost both meetings 4-0. However they will be hoping to bank on some good home form at the moment to take at least a point off of the Reds. Even with signs of improvement at Liverpool, they are winless in their last three in the top flight, but they go as 5/6 favourites for the win, with the draw at 13/5 and Burnley at 10/3 to pick up three home points.
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The Clarets are unbeaten in their last four Premier League home matches, posting a W2 D2 record. So they are going nicely there and took a 1-0 win over Southampton in their last home fixture. Overall, Burnley are showing some good fighting spirit with a W3 D2 L2 record in their last seven games in the top flight but they head into their next fixture still in the bottom three. For the Clarets, Ashley Barnes as scored in both of his last two Premier League matches and is a 3/1 price in the anytime goalscorer market, with team mate Danny Ings a 2/1 shot.
Burnley have failed to score in their last four league games against the Reds and in five of the last six matches in all competitions against the Merseysiders. So they don’t have great form against Liverpool, and it may just be worth going against Both Teams To Score for a price of even money at online bookmaker Betfair. Only 33% of Burnley’s home games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, but they have scored in five of their last six as well as having conceded inf five of their last six. So perhaps just work looking over the mark for this one at a price of even money. The Clarets have returned an average of just 0.78 goals per game on home turf this term. Can their good run of home form prop them up in this one, against a Liverpool side who have yet to rediscover their winning touch?
Liverpool managed to rescue a home point against Arsenal on Sunday with a late equaliser, but against showed weakness in the final third of the pitch and some vulnerability at the back. But there were signs of improvement in the way they dominated the midfield area against the Gunners. But Liverpool have posted just two wins in their last nine Premier League outings (W2 D3 L4) so clearly still some work to do. Their away form doesn’t make good reading having lost three of their last four outside of Anfield, conceding an average of two goals per game in those four matches. Liverpool’s overall record this season away from home reads W3 D0 L5.
Liverpool have lost both Boxing Day fixtures under Brendan Rodgers’ stewardship, but do look the more likely of the two to find the back of the net. Rickie Lambert and Raheem Sterling are both even money quotes in the anytime goalscorer market, with Mario Balotelli at 13/10. Given Liverpool’s head to head form against Burnley, the Reds should be backed to come away with the three points. They do look to be growing in confidence , even if everything is not clicking just yet. 88% of Liverpool’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals, thanks to their sloppy defending, so this should be an exciting encounter.
The Clarets have been doing alright at home as of late and are desperate for the points. But still they look unlikely to walk away with all three points against Liverpool. It probably won’t be a big win for the Reds if it comes, most likely by the single goal margin which they would take right now, but there looks value in backing the away win.
22nd December 2014 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting