Brighton will be looking to snap a five-match winless streak of league form when they play host to Burnley on the weekend. It’s an important game for the Seagulls too because a loss would see the Clarets move level on points with them. Burnley starts fourth from bottom. Read our Brighton v Burnley betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 5th, 2019 at 11:38 p.m.)
The Seagulls have been struggling to get themselves going since the beginning of December really. They have taken just the one win in their last ten played now in the Premier League. They are without a win five (D2 L3). Last weekend they picked up a 0-0 home draw against Watford, doing more than enough to win the game but they couldn’t put the ball in the back of the net. Brighton’s home form isn’t bad at W1 D2 L1 in their last four, the loss in that sequence too was a 1-0 reverse against Liverpool.
Only 42% of their home games this season have ended over 2.5 goals. Each of their last four at the Amex have finished under the goal line. The Seagulls have taken a clean sheet in 33% of their home games. They have two in their last three on home soil. Brighton’s overall home record is W5 D4 L3. They scored in each of their first ten home games of the term but have failed to strike in their last two there. All three of their home defeats incidentally have been against current top-four sides and all by a one-goal margin.
Burnley earned a 1-0 home win over Brighton in December
There has been one goal in total in the last three meetings
Five of the last six meetings have ended in a draw
Just one of their last eight games between them have ended over 2.5 goals
Burnley are on a six-match undefeated streak of form (W3 D3) and they have drawn each of their last three (against Watford, Man Utd and Southampton). Their overall away form is just W2 D4 L7 this season though. But they have improved to an unbeaten three-match streak on their travels (W1 D2). So the improvement has clearly been there and they have looked spirited and up for the fight lately. Burnley have only produced the 11 goals across their thirteen league away games this season, so they have been a bit short there.
The Clarets have conceded at an average of 1.85 goals per road game, having earned only the three clean sheets (all 0-0 draws incidentally). 54% of their away games have ended over 2.5 goals. Burnley’s half time away record is well worth a look as there is a big trend there. It is W0 D9 L4. They have conceded 67% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures and have scored 64% of their away goals after the halftime break. Fulham are the only side to have conceded more league goals than they have done this season.
Brighton actually did well at home against Watford last weekend but came up against an inspired performance by keeper Ben Foster. They may be able to force it home against Burnley though as the Seagulls are tough to beat at home. Home win.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Burnley and Southampton picked up draws in their midweek action. The Clarets very nearly got themselves a fantastic three points at Old Trafford but just couldn’t hold on. Southampton collected a point in an evenly matched home duel with Crystal Palace. Read our Burnley v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 29th, 2019 at 4:59 p.m.)
The Clarets came so close to collecting a victory out at Manchester United on Tuesday night. Going into the final 10 mins of the game they were 2-0 ahead but just couldn’t hold out in the end. They had to settle for a share of the spoils. But still that was a big point and for them, as it extended their unbeaten streak of league form to 5 matches. It was the fourth time in their last five league games in which Burnley had scored exactly 2 goals. Burnley are on a two-match winning streak at home where they have posted a W4 D1 L6 record this season.
All four of Burnley’s home victories this season have been against sides currently in the bottom half of the table. The Clarets have scored an average of 1.3 goals per home game this season. 45% of league fixtures at Turf Moor this term have ended up over 3.5 goals. In their home campaign, Burnley have taken a clean sheet in 27% of their fixtures and two of those have been in their last four home games. Of the 14 goals which they have produced at home in the EPL, 11 of them have been in the first half of matches.
There was a 0-0 draw at St Mary’s between them back in August
That is back to back league draws between them
Each of the last four meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Burnley are W2 D1 in their three previous EPL home games against the Saints
Southampton earned a point towards their survival on Wednesday evening as they played out at home draw against Crystal Palace. That leaves Southampton on a four-match undefeated streak of form now in the Premier League, winning two of those. They are currently unbeaten in three away games, winning two of those out at Leicester and Huddersfield.
The draw in that most recent sequence of away games was a very well earned point at Chelsea. Overall this season, Southampton are W3 D2 L7 on their travels. It has been a transformation of their season and while still not particularly clear of the drop zone, their survival hopes certainly look a lot better than they did before they changed managers.
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home this season and they have scored five in their last three away, which again includes their 0-0 draw at Chelsea. Southampton have taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their away fixtures this season. A third of their away games have ended over 3.5 goals.
Southampton are still struggling for clean sheets as they have taken only the one in their last 14 played now (home and away combined). At this stage of the season, going up against a side who are very close to them in the league standings, even avoiding defeat can be seen as a victory.
This is probably going to be an evenly matched fixture so the only thing to split them up could be the home advantage. Burnley have been coming up with the goals and better form recently. They may be able to bag themselves a good three points.
31st January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Red Devils continued their winning ways with an FA Cup victory at Arsenal on Friday. It’s back to League business on Tuesday and their pursuit of a top finish. Will they be able to extend their current run of hot form by taking three points off the Clarets? Read our Manchester United v Burnley betting tips for more.
Manchester United 2/9
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 25th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Red Devils collected a 2-1 home win over Brighton in their last League fixture. While they had to grind a little bit in that one, they got the points which moved them onto a six-match winning streak in the top flight. It also left them with a hugely positive W7 D3 L1 home record in the Premier League this season. The victory over Brighton was their fourth straight Premier League home win and they are now undefeated in their last nine at Old Trafford. United have scored at least two goals in each of their last four at home in the League.
The Red Devils have averaged just over two goals per game at home this season and 82% of fixtures at Old Trafford have ended over 2.5 goals. There has still been only the one clean sheet earned by United at home this season. Both teams have scored in 82% of fixtures at Old Trafford. United are on a 10 match scoring streak in the League, home and away combined. In seven of their 11 home games so far Manchester United have been winning at the half-time break. United have conceded 71% of home goals in the second half of fixtures.
The Red Devils took a 2-0 win at Turf Moor earlier in the season
United are unbeaten in their last eight EPL games against the Clarets
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings
Burnley have failed to score in five of their last seven against the Red Devils
Burnley are fighting tooth and nail to put some bigger distance between themselves and the relegation zone. They earned a point from a 0-0 draw at Watford in their last Premier League away game. That moves them onto a four-match undefeated streak of form in the top flight. Overall this season Burnley have just a W2 D3 L7 record away from Turf Moor in the EPL. Following a win over Huddersfield and then the draw at Watford, Burnley are undefeated in their last two away games. They had taken just one point from six road fixtures before that upturn in form.
Burnley have struggled in front of goal on their travels, totalling just the nine away goals all season. They have conceded at an average of 1.8 goals per away game. 33% of the away games and they have been involved in have ended over 3.5 goals and at times their defence has been a shambles. To their credit though they have taken a clean sheet in a quarter of their road fixtures. Burnley have been level at the half-time break in eight of their 12 away games. They have conceded 64% of away goals in the second half of fixtures. Just once have they opened the scoring in an away game this term.
The Red Devils have everything working well for them at the moment and they should have the power to see off the Clarets at Old Trafford. It should be a comfortable and routine home win for them. They can earn it with a clean sheet too.
28th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Manchester City will continue their march on all fronts as they line up for this fourth round FA Cup clash against Burnley. With Liverpool having taken an early tumble from the competition, it is the Citizens who are favourite to lift the trophy. Burnley would have hoped for a better time than this. Read our Manchester City v Burnley betting tips for more.
Manchester City 1/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 3:23 p.m.)
The Citizens have already comfortably made it through to the EFL cup final at Wembley and will look to take a step towards making another visit there this season by reaching the FA Cup final too. After their slip ups through the month of December, Manchester City are back in form. They are currently running on a seven-match winning streak across all competitions and in the last round of the FA Cup, they thumped Championship strugglers Rotherham 7-0.
There was also that massive 9-0 home win over Burton in the EFL cup semi-final that Manchester City produced. City took a 5-0 win over Burnley at home in this season’s Premier League as well. Also back in January 2018, Manchester City hosted Burnley in the third round of the FA Cup and won that fixture 4-1. Overall Manchester City have won each of their last four home games against the Clarets. The Citizens only failed win two of their home games across all competitions this season.
Things were really looking sour for Burnley right through to the end of December. In their final match of 2018 they picked up a win over West Ham and that sparked a run of four straight wins across all competitions apparently. So they do look to have turned the corner and are currently five matches undefeated. Their last game was at 0-0 draw against Watford in the Premier League. But then again it’s almost like it really doesn’t matter what kind of form an opposing team visiting the Etihad Stadium is in.
It’s still a lot to try and get something out of Manchester City there. Burnley have won only twice away from home this season, those being League victories at Cardiff and Huddersfield. Burnley have only scored in two of their last six away games and because this is just about the worst draw that they could have gotten. They may even save themselves for Premier League action over this. It is realistically one of those games which even they themselves would probably admit that it is a lost cause.
The Citizens collected a great home win over Burnley earlier this season and we just expect more of the same. It may be all a bit routine again for them as the Clarets aren’t likely going to be that interested. Man City to win to nil is at 8/13 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 23rd, 2109 at 3:23 p.m.)
24th January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Watford v Burnley Premier League Preview, 19th January 3.00pm
The Hornets got a good away win at Crystal Palace last weekend to move up to seventh in the table. They are starting to look in good shape again and will fancy their chances at home against Burnley. However, the Clarets have suddenly come to life with a three-match winning streak going. Read our Watford v Burnley betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Hornets got a good away win at Crystal Palace last weekend
That moved them on to a three-match unbeaten streak of form league form (W1 D2)
Watford have only lost one of their last seven now in the top flight (D3 L1)
The Hornets have a home record of W5 D1 L5 this season
Four of their five home losses have been against current top-six sides
They have tallied 16 goals on home soil this season, conceding 18
82% of league games at Vicarage Road have gone over 2.5 goals this term
Both teams have scored in 64% of Watford’s home games
They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last five
The Hornets are currently on an eight-match scoring streak in the top flight
Watford have scored 69% of their home goals this season in the second period of matches
Watford have opened the scoring in four of their eleven home games
The Hornets earned a 3-1 away win at Burnley when they met in August 2018
Burnley are W3 D4 L2 in their last nine games against Watford
Three of the last four EPL meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Watford have lost only one of their last five home games against the Clarets (W2 D2)
The Clarets are on a three-match winning streak in the top flight
That is their best form of the season
Overall their away record is W2 D2 L7 this campaign
They won their last road game, a 2-1 success at Huddersfield
That snapped a D1 L5 run that they were on in the EPL away from Turf Moor
Burnley have scored only the nine away goals
They have struggled at the back having conceded exactly two goals per game on average
36% of their away games have gone over 3.5 goals
Burnley have no clean sheet in their last four on the road
They have strung together a five-match scoring streak home and away
Their half time record is D7 L4 on their travels this season
Five of those seven half time draws were 0-0 score lines
Fulham are currently the only side to have conceded more league goals this term than Burnley
Just three sides have earned fewer away points this season than the Clarets have
Watford to win & both teams to score at 5/2
Over 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 14th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Clarets have done so well lately but this won’t be an easy away game for them. Watford are proving difficult to beat at the moment. We see enough in the Hornets to back the home win in what could be a good entertaining game.
17th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Clarets have started to come to life with back to back wins having been put on the board. Getting another one in this one could be hugely important for them. They are starting the game four points ahead of second-from-bottom Fulham. The Cottagers had their unbeaten form snapped at the start of the year and a win would boost their survival hopes no end. Read our Burnley v Fulham betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
The Clarets collected a 2-1 win at Huddersfield in their last league game
That is back to back wins for them this season
Overall this season at Turf Moor in the EPL Burnley are W3 D1 L5
They have won two of their last three league games on home soil (L1)
All three of their home wins have been with a clean sheet
Burnley have scored 12 home goals, but have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game
50% of all league fixtures at Turf Moor have ended over 3.5 goals
Burnley are on a five-match scoring streak on home soil in the EPL
They have scored 75% of their home goals in the first period of home games
Fulham are the only side to have conceded more league goals than Burnley
Fulham earned a 4-2 home win over Burnley back in August
Things are even in the last five meetings with two wins each and a draw
Each of the last four meetings have produced at least three goals
Burnley are unbeaten in their last 31 home games against Fulham
The Cottagers suffered a 4-1 loss at Arsenal on New Year’s Day
That leaves them with one win in their last eight EPL fixtures
Fulham have lost eight of their last nine league away games
They have only managed to produce seven away goals all season
Fulham have conceded an average of 2.55 goals per away fixture
45% of their away games have gone over 3.5 goals
Fulham’s only away clean sheet happened in a 0-0 draw at Newcastle in December
They have conceded in both halves of 64% of away games
The Cottagers have been trailing at halftime in seven of their away games
Just twice this season have Fulham opened the scoring in an away game
They have both the worst defence and worst away record in the EPL this term
Burnley to win outright 11/8
Both teams to score 19/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
Fulham have a lot of work to do and they are catching Burnley at the wrong time. The Clarets have a decent chance at keeping their winning streak going as they have confidence behind them now and the goals are being produced. Home win.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Burnley get the chance to blow off a bit of steam away from their big battle for Premier League survival. But then again, there will be the pressure of expectancy over them winning this FA Cup third round tie on home soil against a side from League One. Barnsley are on a solid promotion push towards the Championship with some good form behind them. Read our Burnley v Barnsley betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Burnley are having to show their resilience and grit this season because it has been a difficult one for them. After their fantastic finish in the Premier League last season, they have been struggling at the wrong end of the table this go around. But they got a vital three points out at bottom side Huddersfield in midweek to ease some pressure. In last season’s third round of the FA Cup, they suffered a hammering at Manchester City. This season Burnley have only won three matches at Turf Moor (D4 L6) so the home support hasn’t had a great deal to cheer about. They have hit the back of the net in each of their last five though. The last time they met Barnsley was back in the 2013/14 Championship and the Clarets won both games 1-0.
There have been under 2.5 goals in each of the last five meetings between these two. Just back in 2013 the two of them met up in the third round of the FA Cup and it was Barnsley who took the win, but that was on home soil. Barnsley are having a solid season, having come on really strong. They are a top-four side in league One and are currently undefeated in five. In midweek they shut out the all-powerful attack of Luton in an away league game. That’s no easy thing to do. That is back to back away clean sheet from them now. But their form away from Oakwell is a little patchy as they are W3 D1 L2 in their last six on the road. They have scored just the one goal in their last three on the road as well.
It’s a tough game to call because there is a lot to enjoy about Barnsley as they look a tough side and could stick in there. But they are a League One side out at a Premier League opponent and so the home side should just shade it. Burnley to win outright at 3/4 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2018 at 10:01 pm)
3rd January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The Terriers are in huge trouble at the foot of the table with a seven-match losing streak going at the moment. They lost a crucial scrap against Fulham on the weekend. They take on Burnley who are sitting third-from-bottom. But the Clarets gave themselves a huge boost in a win over West Ham on Sunday. Read our Huddersfield v Burnley betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 31st, 2018 at 1:08 a.m.)
The Terriers suffered a 1-0 defeat out at Fulham on the weekend
That was their seventh straight Premier League defeat
Their home record for the season is only W1 D2 L7
They have lost each of their last three at the John Smiths Stadium
In their ten home games, the Terriers have produced just four goals
Three of those were produced in the first half of matches
Only 30% of league games there have gone over 2.5 goals
Huddersfield have conceded 14 goals in their ten home fixtures
64% of their home goals conceded have been in the first half of matches
They have no clean sheet in seven (home and away) for the Terriers now
Huddersfield have been trailing at the break in five of their ten home games
There was a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor between them earlier in the season
Each of the last three meetings have ended in a draw
There have only been two goals in total in the last three meetings
Burnley are unbeaten in their last two trips to Huddersfield (W1 D1)
The Clarets put in a good performance over the weekend to take a 2-0 home win over West Ham
That snapped a three-match losing streak they were on
Burnley have lost six of their last eight league games (W2)
Their away form is just W1 D2 L7 this season the lone success coming at Cardiff back in September
The Clarets have taken one point from their last six away games
In total, they have come up with seven goals away from home
They have conceded an average of just over two goals per game on their travels
The Clarets have no clean sheet in their last three away games
They have been drawing at halftime in six of their ten away games (L4)
Burnley have conceded 67% of their away goals in the second period of matches
Of the fourteen second-half away goals they have conceded, eight of them have been in the final fifteen minutes of matches
At the moment Huddersfield aren’t offering much at all and the Clarets actually churned out a good performance on the weekend. The Clarets may be able to take advantage of this situation. Away win.
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Clarets failed to turn around their fortunes in midweek as they suffered a heavy home defeat against Everton. That left Burnley firmly rooted in the bottom three and three points from safety. West Ham earned their fifth win in six games as they struck an away win at Southampton on Thursday. Read our Burnley v West Ham betting tips for more.
West Ham 23/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 28th, 2018 at 3:00 p.m.)
The Clarets were beaten heavily at home 5-1 by Everton on Boxing Day
That was their third straight Premier League defeat
Burnley have lost six of their last seven league games now
Their overall home form this season in the EPL is W2 D1 L6
That is four defeats in their last five as well at home (W1)
They have only come up with the ten home goals all season
The Clarets have shipped a total of 20 goals at an average of 2.22 per game
67% of their league fixtures at Turf Moor have ended over 2.5 goals
Burnley haven’t drawn any of their last seven league games
They have scored 70% of their home goals in the first half of matches
Only Fulham have conceded more league goals than Burnley this season in the EPL
Huddersfield are the only side to have a worse home record
The Clarets have conceded the opening goal in five of their nine home games
The Hammers recorded a 4-2 home win over Burnley earlier in the season
The Irons are W5 D1 L1 in their last seven EPL games against Burnley
Burnley are winless in their last five home games against West Ham in all competitions
Three of the last four classes have gone over 2.5 goals
The Hammers took a 2-1 win at Southampton on Thursday
That was their fifth win in their last six Premier League games (L1)
They are carrying away from of three straight wins and unbeaten in five
In total, they have produced 13 away goals this season
Their overall road record for the season is at W4 D2 L3
33% of their road games have gone over 3.5 goals
West Ham have just the two clean sheets on their travels this season
They are currently on a five-match scoring streak on the road
They have produced at least two goals in each of their last three away games
West Ham have scored at least two goals in five of their last six games home and away
They have scored the first goal in five of their nine road games this term
In the last eight games, only Liverpool and Spurs have earned more points than West Ham
Only the current top five have a better away record than West Ham this season
Burnley can’t hold themselves together at the back and West Ham have shown they can win away games recently. There should really only be the one winner in this one and that is the Hammers. Away win.
29th December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Clarets fell back into losing ways again over the weekend as they suffered a loss out at Arsenal. Can they get some home cheer on Boxing Day? Everton come for a visit and while the Toffees have been fairly decent at home, their road form this term hasn’t been that hot. Read our Burnley v Everton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 23rd, 2018 at 2:12 p.m.)
Burnley suffered a 3-1 loss at Arsenal on the weekend
That is back to back league defeats for them after beating Brighton in early December
That victory over Brighton happened in their last home fixture
The Clarets have lost six of their last eight games
They have taken just the four points in their last eight Premier League fixtures
Burnley’s home form at Turf Moor is W2 D1 L5 this season
The Clarets have conceded 15 goals in their eight home game this season
There have been two home clean sheets for them this season
62% of league games at Turf Moor have gone above 2.5 goals
Burnley have produced nine home games and have scored in each of their last three at home
67% of their home goals have been in the first half of matches
Burnley have opened the scoring in half of their home fixtures
Burnley won both league meetings against the Toffees last season
Both of those victories were by a one-goal margin
Burnley are W3 L1 in their last four league games against Everton
Everton have lost their last two trips to Turf Moor 2-1
Everton suffered a 3-1 loss in their last Premier League away game which was at Man City
They have only produced a W1 D3 L4 record away from home this season
Everton have lost three of their last four away games (D1)
This will be their first away game this season against a side currently in the bottom half of the table
The Toffees have only come up with an average of a goal per away game
62% of Everton’s road games have produced at least three goals
38% of them have gone above 3.5 goals
The Toffees have earned just one away clean sheet all season
In six of their eight away games, things have been level at the break
Four of those have been 0-0 half-time score lines
Everton have scored 6 of their 8 away goals in the second half of matches
Only four sides have earned fewer away points than Everton have
Burnley have been poor this season but may be able to scrap their way to a point on home soil. Everton haven’t been a major threat away from Goodison Park so there could be a glimmer of hope for the Clarets. Draw.
23rd December 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting