The Seagulls have done a terrific job of keeping a big gap between themselves and the drop zone. They are unbeaten in three as they play host to Liverpool. This will be Liverpool’s first big test of resilience this season after losing their first EPL game last weekend. That was against Manchester City and their lead over the Citizens at the top is down to four points. Read our Brighton v Liverpool betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 7th, 2019 at 10:41 p.m.)
The Seagulls earned a 2-2 draw with West Ham in their last league game
They are currently on a three-match undefeated streak (W1 D2)
Their home form for the season is W5 D3 L2
They collected a 1-0 win over Everton in their last home fixture
They have lost only one of their last seven at the Amex in the EPL
Brighton have produced 15 home goals, scoring in every home fixture
They have taken three clean sheets along the way at the Amex
The last two league games at Brighton have ended under 2.5 goals
In total, three of their home games have made it over the 3.5 goal line
Both teams have scored in 70% of league fixtures at the Amex
Four of their five home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin
The Reds earned a 1-0 home win over Brighton earlier this season
Liverpool are on a six-match winning streak against the Seagulls
Brighton are winless in eight against the Reds in all competitions
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
The Reds get their first taste of league defeat in a 2-1 reverse against Man City on January 3rd
Liverpool had been on a nine-match winning streak before that in the league
Their away record for the season is now at W8 D2 L1
They have scored 22 goals on their league travels in their 11 games
They have conceded just the seven goals away from home
55% of Liverpool’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals
Liverpool have taken a clean sheet in two of their last three road games
In total, they have banked a clean sheet in 45% of their away fixtures
Their half time record away from home is W6 D3 L2
Liverpool are currently on a 13 match scoring streak in the top flight
The Reds have scored in each of their away games this season
68% of their away goals have been scored in the second half of fixtures
They have opened the scoring in all but three of their away games
Liverpool have shown plenty of grit out on the road this season in the top flight and they will need some of that here. The Reds will find the Seagulls a tough opponent to shake off, but we still have to predict three points for the Reds. Liverpool to win by a one-goal margin.
9th January 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
The Seagulls failed to get the better of bottom side Crystal Palace in midweek, playing out a 0-0 draw against the Eagles. It does maintain the decent overall form that they are in though but they are going to potentially have a hard time in keeping the visiting Reds quiet. Liverpool have won four of their last five games played now and with Mo Salah in blistering scoring form, the Reds are going as firm 4/9 odds on favourites to win this with the draw at 7/2 and Brighton out at 11/2.
The Seagulls will have been disappointed in a 0-0 home draw against Crystal Palace in midweek, but it means that they have lost just one of their last seven league games now (W2 D4) so they are holding their own. Their form at the Amex is pretty solid as well as they have gone W2 D4 L1 there all season and undefeated in their last six league outings there. You really aren’t going to expect a lot of goals to turn up in matches involving the Seagulls and just 29% of their home league fixtures this season have gone over the 2.5 goal line. So under 2.5 goals at Betfair is worth a flutter at around even money. Their defence will, of course, be tested against the might of the Liverpool attack. The Seagulls though have only conceded seven home goals all season and as they showed in a gutsy performance at Old Trafford last weekend where they lost 1-0 only, they can defend. 75% of Brighton’s home goals this season have come after the break in matches. They are currently running on a four match losing streak on home soil and if they could get a point out of this one, and they do boast the sixth best defensive record in the top flight, that would be a huge point for them.
Liverpool are starting to get themselves up through the gears again and they took a good 3-0 away win at Stoke in midweek, which followed on from their 1-1 draw with Chelsea last weekend. That is an unbeaten W4 D1 record that they have produced in their last five league games now and they have scored at least three goals in four of their last five played (the 1-1 draw with Chelsea the exception). A Liverpool 3-0 correct score option for this is a big 10/1 option while the more sedate 1-0 option is in as the shortest priced option at 13/2. What a season Mo Salah is having, as he’s the current top goalscorer in the top flight. He has netted a brace in three of his last four games and is on a four match scoring streak overall. Salah is the Betfair 11/10 anytime goalscorer favourite and just because of his form, he could be the one to get the Reds the breakthrough. Liverpool have posted a W3 D2 L2 record away from home this season and have won their last two back to back, taking comfortable wins at West Ham and Stoke. They may find the defence of the Seagulls a little tougher to break. Both teams not to score at Betfair is likely the way to go and that returns a price of 4/5 and for the Reds to go to the south coast and take a win to nil, that will return a price of 6/4 with Betfair. The Reds will want to carry forth their momentum before going into the Merseyside derby against Everton next weekend.
This will be the first meeting between Brighton and Liverpool since the 2011/12 season when they met in both the League Cup & the FA Cup. Liverpool won both of those contests and the Anfield crew are unbeaten in their last five games against the Seagulls since a 2-0 loss on the south coast in the 1984 FA Cup. The last league meeting between them was in the 1982/83 Old Division 1, with Liverpool collecting four points from the two meetings.
Liverpool may have to be a little bit patient because the Seagulls know how to hold their own at the back, especially on home soil. But the goals are starting to flow really well again from Liverpool, with most of them from Salah and the Reds can go and get the win and backing them to do it to nil isn’t a bad option.
30th November 2017 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting