Brighton were the first team to make a managerial move after the close of the 2018/19 EPL season. They gave Chris Hughton the boot after a disappointing campaign where the Seagulls had finished 17th in the table. They only managed to pick up three wins in their final 23 games of the season meaning that they had big relegation concerns hanging over them all the way.
Graham Potter 1/6
Phil Neville 5/1
Lee Johnson 5/1
Nathan Jones 12/1
Slavs Jokanovic 16/1
Frank Lampard 16/1
Steven Gerrard 16/1
Rafa Benitez 18/1
Chris Wilder 20/1
Saltor Bruno 20/1
Adi Hutter 20/1
Mikel Arteta 20/1
Claude Puel 20/1
Claudio Ranieri 25/1
Gennaro Gattuso 281
Gary Rowett 28/1
* (betting odds taken from Ladbrokes on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm)
It was only the lack of form from Cardiff in the end which really kept the Seagulls safe. Hughton made the move to Brighton in December 2014, getting the south coast club up to the Premier League in 2017. It was a good solid season that they had in their first ever Premier League campaign too, taking a 15th place finish.
Brighton are already 2/1 odds to suffer relegation from the Premier League next season* (betting odds taken from Ladbrokes on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm).
Brighton did also make a run to the FA Cup semi finals this season where they were edged out by Manchester City 1-0. Houghton’s last game in charge of the club was also against Manchester City on the weekend, suffering a 3-1 loss against the champions at the Amex.
There does seem to be a clear target who the Seagulls want as their net manager if the reports are true. It is Swansea boss Graham Potter, a man who has no Premier League experience, who is apparently catching the eye of the Seagulls. He was at 1/4 odds early on Monday* (betting odds taken from Ladbrokes on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm).
Brighton want to take the club in a different direction instead of just grinding, and Potter is seen as the man to add a bit more of a positive identity to the club. Behind Potter is Phil Neville who has appeared as the 5/1 second favourite, the former Manchester United man is currently the England Women’s boss and looking forward to the World Cup in the summer.
Frank Lampard has come in as short as 9/1 with some bookmakers* (betting odds taken from Ladbrokes on May 13th, 2019 at 4:04 pm), with his Derby side having lost at home in the first leg of their Championship play-off semi-final against Leeds. Would he be tempted to a move up to the Premier League if he can’t get there with the Rams?
13th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
One more win then lands City title. The Citizens dug out a nervy 1-0 home win over Leicester on Monday night and now need just the one final push to get themselves over the finish line. It has been a long while since Brighton picked up the league victory but they have drawn three of their last four. After booking survival, can they hold off the Citizens? Read our Brighton v Manchester City betting tips for more.
Man City 1/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
The Seagulls are winless in their last eight league games (D3 L5). Each of those three draws in that sequence happened inside their last four games played. If they were to dig out another one on the final day of the season, it could scupper Manchester City’s hope of holding on to the title. The Seagulls have collected just the one point from their last four games at home so they aren’t running in great form at the moment. In those four home games, Brighton produced just the one goal.
Across the course of the season at home in the top flight Brighton have only managed an average of goal per game. Just 39% of fixtures at the Amex Stadium this season have made it over 2.5 goals. In their seven games played this season against the other top four teams, home and away, Brighton suffered a defeat in each of them. They did, however, score in each of their three home games in that sequence.
The overall home record of Brighton this season is W6 D5 L7 but they have lost five of their last eight in there (W1 D2). In total Brighton have taken a clean sheet in 28% of home games but they are without one in any of their last four at the Amex. Of the six home wins that they have taken this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Each of their last five Premier League games, home and away have gone under 2.5 goals. Brighton are safe from relegation, so at least they have no stress is about having to get anything out of this game.
Man City earned a 1-0 home win over Brighton in September
They then beat them in the FA Cup semi-final 1-0
City are on a four-match undefeated streak against Brighton in all competitions
Brighton are winless in five against City
Manchester City are on a 13 match winning streak in the Premier League at the moment. If it ends up being 14 in a row then they will be winning the Premier League title again. It has been a tremendous run of form by the Citizens and of course in such a high-pressure title race, they have had their stressful moments. Three of their last four wins in this big sequence have been by a 1-0 scoreline only. Manchester City are currently running on a six-match winning streak out on the road.
The overall away record of Manchester City this season is W13 D2 L3 and they have averaged 1.9 goals per away game. Defensively they have done brilliantly as they have only conceded 10 goals on their travels all season. That has been a clean sheet for them in 61% of their away games. It is well worth taking a look at just what their defence has done lately. In their last 12 league games, home and away, Manchester City have conceded just the two goals, collecting 10 clean sheets.
Of their away wins this season in the top flight, nine of the 13 have been by a margin of at least two goals. The Citizens have also been leading at the halftime break in 11 of their away games. City are on a 10 match scoring streak away from home, and home and away combined have scored in each of their last 21 EPL fixtures. Of those 10 goals which they have conceded away from home this season, 70% of them have been in the second period of fixtures. They have opened the scoring in 15 of their 18 away games. This just one final 90 miutes of action for them to hold their nerve in.
This has been some remarkable run from Manchester City under pressure. They managed to just hold their nerve against Leicester on Monday, and you would expect them to do the same against Brighton. It may well be another low scoring victory, but City will not care. Manchester City to win to nil
10th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Arsenal’s form has been really rocky lately, having suffered a three-match losing streak. They are still miraculously in the hunt for a top-four finish though but need to at least match whatever Chelsea do this weekend to keep themselves in the mix. Brighton go into the weekend four points clear of the drop zone. Read our Arsenal v Brighton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 2nd, 2019 at 7:34 p.m.)
The Gunners have got to rid themselves of some poor form in order to keep their hopes of a top-four finish alive this weekend. It is a three-match losing streak that they are on at the moment. In each of those three defeats, which were against Crystal Palace, Wolves and Leicester, Arsenal conceded exactly three goals. Their last home game saw them go down against Palace, but that did snap a tremendous ten match winning streak of home form that the Gunners had been on. Arsenal have produced a W14 D2 L2 record on home soil this season in the top flight.
They have won eight of their nine games against teams currently in the bottom half of the table (the one exception the game against Crystal Palace). Arsenal have averaged 2.3 goals per home game there and their defence has actually done well. They have conceded at under a goal per game on average, taking a clean sheet in almost 40% of home fixtures. Of their fourteen home successes this season, 12 of them have been by a margin of at least two goals. Arsenal have scored in each of their last seventeen home games, scoring at least two goals in each of their last nine at the Emirates.
Arsenal were held to a 1-1 draw at Brighton earlier this season
The Seagulls are undefeated in their last two against the Gunners
Arsenal are W12 D3 L3 in the overall head to head against the Seagulls
Both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings
Brighton are not out of the weeds completely. They hold a four-point cushion over Cardiff but have a far superior goal difference to that of the Bluebirds. So that could be important at the end of the day. The difficulty for Brighton is that they have this tough away game and then they finish the season against Manchester City. So that’s a tough finish in a tight position. If they can just at least match whatever it is that Cardiff come up with on the weekend, then the Seagulls will be safe. So it’s going to be all hands to the pump at the Emirates for them. Brighton have taken just the two points from their last seven league games.
The Seagulls have posted an away record of W3 D3 L12 this season scoring just the fifteen league goals away from the Amex. In their last away game they nearly held out for a point at Spurs but conceded two minutes from time. That leaves them with a D1 L2 record from their last three away games. Brighton have managed a clean sheet in just 11% of their road fixtures and of the defeats suffered, half of them have been by at least a two-goal margin. Only the current bottom three have worse away records than that of Brighton. The Seagulls have been trailing at the halftime break in 9 of their 18 away games this season. They have failed to hit the back of the net in any of their last three on the road. They have scored in just one of their last seven games, home and away.
Arsenal did slip up in their last home game, but they have been pretty reliable at the Emirates this term. Brighton are not too likely to have enough to challenge them, but as they have to at least push, the home win & both teams to score isn’t a bad option.
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton still have a bit of a survival fight on their hands. They are three points above the drop zone heading into the weekend. They face Arsenal and Man City in their last two games of the season so may need all they can get out of this. Newcastle have already done enough this season to get themselves safe. Read our Brighton v Newcastle betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 25th, 2019 at 7:36 p.m.)
Brighton suffered a 1-0 loss in midweek at Spurs. They conceded late in the game as well, which was a crushing blow for them because that would have been a fantastic point. Brighton are on a three-match losing streak at the Amex in the top flight at the moment and they have lost five of their last seven there (W1 D1). Overall now home and away they have taken only the one point from their last six league fixtures. Their home record for the season is now at W6 D4 L7 and they badly need to find that seventh win here. Following this one, they make the trip to Arsenal and then finish at home for the season against Man City.
Brighton have scored an average of exactly a goal per game this season on home soil, failing to score in 29% of their home games during this campaign. In total, only 41% of league games at the Amex have gone over 2.5 goals. Part of Brighton’s problems is pretty clear at the moment. They have failed to hit the back of the net in any of their last six league games, home and away. Of the six home successes that they have taken, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Of the goals which they have conceded at home this season 61% of them have come in the second half of fixtures. Can they produce anything to ease some pressure off of themselves with two to play?
Brighton were 1-0 winners at St James’ Park earlier this season
Brighton are unbeaten in their last three league games against Newcastle
Newcastle have failed to score in their last three against the Seagulls (D1 L2)
Seven of the last eight meetings in all competitions have gone under 2.5 goals
The Magpies have won their last two league games, victories coming over Leicester and Southampton. So they are safe up on 41 points now so they can at least relax now until the end of the season. Will that help out Brighton? Newcastle collected a victory in their last away game which was at Leicester. That is their only victory away from home though in their last nine out on the road in the top flight. Their overall away record for the term stands at W3 D7 L7. To their credit six of their seven away defeats have been against the top six.
Newcastle have only come up with 13 goals in their 17 away games this season. Just 35% of their road games have gone over 2.5 goals this season. The Magpies have taken a clean sheet in 29% of their road games this season and all three of their away wins for the term ended have been by a one-goal margin. Newcastle have been level at half time in nine of their away games. They have scored 77% of their away goals in the first half of matches, but have conceded 64% of their road goals after the halftime break in fixtures. They are safe, they have nothing to aim for now, how will that affect their performance?
This is where it has to count for Brighton. They will know that they are unlikely to get much out of their final two fixtures of the season. So they could possibly throw the kitchen sink at a Newcastle side who may not be fully switched on. Home win.
26th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Tottenham can strengthen their third place in the league on Tuesday night as they play host to Brighton. They need a response in the wonderfully tight and exciting race for a top-four finish. Brighton grabbed a point on the weekend, leaving them three points clear of the drop zone. Read our Tottenham v Brighton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 22nd, 2019 at 3:04 p.m.)
Tottenham suffered a 1-0 loss at Manchester City on the weekend in the Premier League. That snapped a run of back-to-back league victories. What it also did do was continue their very poor away form in the top flight, Spurs having lost their last five out on the road. But their home form does remain intact as they are currently undefeated in their last six home games, winning five of those. The last two wins on home soil have both been with a clean sheet as well. The overall home record of Tottenham this season is W11 D0 L7 so it has been a strong output. Three of the four home defeats which they have suffered have been against others currently with them in the top six.
Spurs have averaged just under two goals per home game this season and with them having earned a clean sheet in 38% of all home games, their average goals against per home game is at 0.80. Tottenham have been leading at the halftime break in exactly half of their home games this season. They are currently on a six-match scoring streak on home soil in the top flight as well. Spurs have returned 61% of their home goals this season in the second half of games, but they have still opened the scoring in 11 of their 16 home fixtures. They are the fourth highest scorers in this season’s top-flight. They need to power their way to the end of the season to claim a top-four finish.
Spurs earned a 2-1 win at Brighton earlier this season
The Lilywhites are W2 D1 from their three previous EPL meetings with Brighton
Spurs won this corresponding fixture 2-0 last season
Brighton’s overall record against Spurs is W3 D4 L10
Brighton picked up a point at Wolves on the weekend. That could prove to be a precious point for them as they have a really difficult run in to the end of the season. Brighton were on a four-match Premier League losing streak before that point on the weekend. Along with this trip to Tottenham, Brighton still have to face Arsenal and Manchester City before the end of the season. Brighton have won only three games away from home this season in the top flight, losing 11. Their record against the stronger sides away from home has been poor. They have lost all seven away games against teams currently in the top nine.
Brighton are averaging under a goal per away game this season while defensively they have conceded at 1.76 per road game. There has been a clean sheet for them in just 12% of their away games this season. Six of their 11 away losses this season have been by a margin of at least two goals. Brighton have failed to score in their last two road fixtures, and in their last five home and away combined. Just five times this season have Brighton opened the scoring in an away game and only Cardiff and Huddersfield have scored fewer league goals than what the Eagles have produced.
There should be a comfortable home win for Tottenham in this one as Brighton are struggling badly for any kind of output. Tottenham to win to nil looks very solid proposition for this Tuesday night fixture.
22nd April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton v Cardiff Premier League Preview, 16th April 7.45pm
Brighton had a bad day at the office on the weekend as they suffered a hammering at home against Bournemouth. That leaves the Seagulls still with a threat of relegation hanging over them. Cardiff are pretty much in the same boat with a big fight against relegation on their hands. The three points in this game now become massively crucial for both. Read our Brighton v Cardiff betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 13th, 2019 at 4:55 p.m.)
The Seagulls took a battering at home on the weekend against Bournemouth and that dropped them to one place above the relegation zone. There is a five-point buffer between themselves and Cardiff, who they take on here. So three points for Brighton should really get them safe at the end of the day. Defeat and there would be huge stress put upon them. Brighton are currently on a three-match losing streak and have lost three of their last four at the Amex in the top flight as well.
Brighton have a home record of W6 D4 L1 this season. They have claimed just the one win in their last six there (W1 D1) so are having their struggles. Brighton average just a tiny bit over a goal per home game this season. They have taken a clean sheet in 31% of all their home games. 61% of the goals that they have shipped at the Amex have come after the half time break. Brighton have opened the scoring in less than half of their Premier League home games. Of the six wins that the Seagulls have earned at home this season, five of them have been by a one-goal margin. Only the current bottom three have worse home records than Brighton this season.
Brighton lost 2-1 at Cardiff back in early November
The Seagulls have won only one of their last seven against the Bluebirds
Brighton are undefeated in their last five at home against Cardiff (W1 D4)
Just two of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
So this is pretty much a must-win situation for Cardiff at this point. They need a response and they need it now. They lost at Burnley over the weekend, their third straight league defeat. However, what will give them a bit of hope is that they are undefeated, home and away, against sides currently in the bottom five of the table with them (W4 D2). They have to leave it all out there on the pitch at the Amex. However, they don’t have away form behind them at all right now. Cardiff are on a three-match losing streak on their travels.
The Bluebirds have only scored the nine goals away from home this season and all but one of those were scored in the second half of matches. They have conceded at an average of 1.9 per game. Cardiff have collected a clean sheet in just three road games but don’t have one in any of their last six. Cardiff have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three away games. In no away game this season have Cardiff been leading at half time, in fact, they have been losing at the break in 9 of 16 games. Huddersfield have scored fewer league goals than Cardiff this season in the Premier League.
What a scenario we have here for this game at the Amex. There may not be too much to choose between the two of them on the night in what is likely to be a tense a fair. However, the home advantage may just give the Seagulls the edge in the fixture. Home win.
15th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Both Brighton and Bournemouth have lost their last two league games. Brighton go just the five points above the drop zone, but with a game or two in hand over everyone beneath them. But they need to start winning again. The Cherries picked up a poor home defeat last weekend against Burnley. Read our Brighton v Bournemouth betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 9th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
The Seagulls have lost back to back league games now after a defeat at Chelsea last time out. That has left them in a bit of jeopardy still near the foot of the table. They start the weekend five points from safety. Brighton’s home record this season stands at W6 D4 L5 but they have won only one of their last five played at the Amex. The lone win in that sequence happened against bottom side Huddersfield. Three of Brighton’s last four home successes this season have been by a 1-0 scoreline.
Five of the six home successes that Brighton have taken this season have been by a one-goal margin only. Brighton have scored 17 goals at home during this campaign, with 40% of their home fixtures ending under 2.5 goals. Brighton have claimed a clean sheet in 33% of their home games and they have earned three in their last six on home soil. There are only four teams currently in the top flight who have scored fewer league goals than Brighton have done. Brighton have been leading at the halftime break in only four home games this season.
Bournemouth took a 2-0 home win over Brighton in December
Brighton then won at Bournemouth in the FA Cup third round
Bournemouth have won five of the last seven against Brighton (D1 L1)
Brighton have won just one of their last eleven against the Cherries in all competitions
Bournemouth had a disappointing result on home soil last weekend, suffering a 1-3 defeat against Burnley. That leaves Bournemouth with back-to-back league defeats currently and they have won only one of their last nine Premier League fixtures. They have not enjoyed much success out on the road this season and they have lost 10 of their last 11 away games. The only time that they did not lose in that sequence of the game away games they collected a 2-0 victory at bottom side Huddersfield.
Bournemouth have averaged under a goal per game away from home this season. But 62% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals and that is because the Cherries have conceded an average of 2.3 goals against per away game. They have conceded at least two goals in all but one of their last 11 league games. Of the 12 defeats that Bournemouth have taken on the road this season only one of them have been by a one-goal margin. Bournemouth have been losing at the halftime break in 10 of their 16 away games. Only the bottom two of Huddersfield and Fulham have a worse defensive records them Bournemouth this season in the Premier League.
Bournemouth have been in such a mess on the road this season, that the Seagulls look a decent option to get a home win here. They need a big result to push them towards safety and there’s a good chance for them here.
10th April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Will this turn out to be as one-sided of an FA Cup Semi Final as the bookmakers are suggesting? Manchester City will be looking to keep their quadruple hopes alive as they face up against Brighton at Wembley. Will Brighton be able to pull off a massive shock in this final four showdown? Read our Manchester City v Brighton betting tips for more.
Man City 1/7
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 5:11 p.m.)
The Citizens are currently on a thirteen match undefeated streak of form across all competitions. They have already collected the League Cup this season with their penalty shootout win over Chelsea in February. Now they are one step from getting back to another cup final for the season. Manchester City have won their last seven matches in a row (90 minutes) and they have shaped up well at the back, having taken a clean sheet in three of the last four.
Man City started their FA Cup campaign with a 7-0 home win over Rotherham and then followed that up with a 5-0 success over Burnley. They then picked up a 4-1 away win at Newport, before heading out a 3-2 success out at Swansea, the Swans giving them a good run for their money in that match. That’s 19 goals in four FA Cup games only. The Citizens have scored at least two goals in each of their last five games played now. They have conceded in just two of their last eight.
Man City were 2-0 winners at home over Brighton in the EPL this season
The Citizen have won the last three meetings by a two-goal margin
Brighton won the one previous FA Cup meeting 4-0 in 1983
Man City are W11 D5 L4 in the overall head to head with the Seagulls
Tough task ahead for the Seagulls then who have done so well to get this far in the tournament. They still aren’t clear of relegation trouble in the Premier League at the moment so this has been a good distraction for them. The Seagulls have been struggling for a little bit of form lately with only the three wins recorded since they beat Bournemouth 3-1 in the third round of this season’s FA Cup right at the start of the year. They will head to Wembley on the weekend of the back of two league defeats against Southampton and Chelsea without scoring.
Their FA Cup campaign then started with a really good 3-1 success at Bournemouth and then they had a battle on their hands against Championship side West Brom following that. The Seagulls got through extra time at the Hawthorns in that tie. It was then more Championship opposition in the form of Derby that the Seagulls saw off next back at the Amex. Then they scrapped out a penalty shoot out win over Millwall at the Den in the quarterfinals after scoring two goals in the final three minutes of the game to leave things at 2-2 at the final whistle. The Seagulls have just one clean sheet in their last ten games in all competitions.
City have come out in their last two games and put a couple of early goals on the board and have coasted. More of the same could happen in this one as they are likely going to be well on top in the fixture. Manchester City to win to nil ticks the boxes.
4th April 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
Chelsea squeaked one out against the relegation-threatened Cardiff on the weekend, landing a controversial three points. The Blues fans were not happy themselves though, calling for the head of boss Maurizio Sarri. Brighton lost at home in an important clash with Southampton, increasing their relegation concerns. Read our Chelsea v Brighton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 31st, 2019 at 4:16 p.m.)
Chelsea looked ponderous and lacking a clinical edge out at Cardiff on Sunday. They were 1-0 down until Cesar Azpilicueta popped up with an 84th-minute equaliser, but he was clearly in an offside position. Ruben Loftus-Cheek went on to head a winner for the Blues in the final minute of the contest. That leaves Chelsea at W3 D1 L1 in their last five league games, home and away, but they look a long way from being a convincing side. Their home form at Stamford Bridge in the top flight is at W9 D5 L1 this season and they do have strong home form there against sides in the bottom half of the table.
Chelsea are W6 D1 in their seven home games against sides currently in the bottom half. The Blues are undefeated in their last five at home (W3 D2) and they have only conceded the two goals in their last five on home soil. Chelsea have only averaged 0.7 goals per game against them this term. Only 40% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals, with the Blues having taken a clean sheet in 47% of home fixtures. Only two of Chelsea’s nine home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin. Chelsea have now scored more goals in the final fifteen minutes of matches than any other side in the top flight.
Chelsea won 2-1 at Brighton in mid-December
The Blues are on a nine-match winning streak against Brighton
The Blues have won all four previous home games against Brighton to nil
Both teams have scored in just one of the last nine meetings
The Seagulls had a big South Coast clash at home against Southampton on the weekend. A win there would really have left a comfortable cushion between themselves and the drop zone. They lost 1-0 against the Saints though, which leaves them only five points clear of relegation trouble. So they have work to do and they have been having a tough time of things on their travels. Brighton’s away record stands at W3 D2 L10. They have lost all six away games played against sides currently in the top half of the table.
Brighton have averaged a goal per game on their travels, but have conceded at an average of 1.8 per game. 60% of their away games have gone over 2.5 with Brighton only taking one away clean sheet all season, which was back in a win over Newcastle last October. None of their ten away losses have been by a margin of more than two goals. The Seagulls are without a clean sheet in any of their last ten on the road. They have also been trailing at the halftime break in 8 of their 15 away fixtures. As a positive though they have scored in each of their last five away from the Amex. Only the current bottom three have a worse away record than Brighton do.
It should be three points going to Chelsea in this one back on home soil. Brighton have been struggling on the road and aren’t likely to get the win. However, with Chelsea remaining unconvincing, a low scoring win to nil for the Blues is a good angle into this game.
1st April 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Brighton have won back to back league games to bolster their chances of staying up this season. This is a big south coast clash now against Southampton who are one place beneath them. The Saints are three points adrift of the Seagulls only in the bottom six. There’s a massive three points up for grabs. Read our Brighton v Southampton betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on March 24th, 2019 at 10:18 p.m.)
Brighton have taken back to back league wins over Huddersfield and Crystal Palace. That was such a welcome relief for them after taking just two points from their seven games prior to that. That has lifted them to five points clear of the drop zone. If they were to win this against the Saints, that would be a tremendous push towards safety for the Seagulls. Brighton are at W6 D4 L4 for the season at the Amex. A win over Huddersfield in their last home game snapped a three-match winless streak on the south coast for them.
Less than half of the league games this season at the Amex have gone over 2.5 goals. Brighton have taken a clean sheet in 36% of their home fixtures, which isn’t bad. They have two in their last three as well. Brighton have come up with 17 goals in their 14 home fixtures. They are currently on a four-match scoring streak in the league and five of their six home wins have been by a one-goal margin only. The Seagulls have opened the scoring in exactly half of their home fixtures this season.
Brighton earned a point in a 2-2 draw at St Marys this season
Three of the last four meetings have ended in a draw
Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings
The Saints are W23 D13 L8 in the head to head
The Saints need these points to pull level with Brighton then. Southampton pulled off a shock three-points last time out as they toppled Tottenham 2-1 at St Marys. While their home form has been good, they have lost their last two on the road and they are winless in three on their travels. To be fair the away defeats in what sequence were at Arsenal and Manchester United. But this season, Southampton have lost away at two of the bottom three too (Cardiff and Fulham). Their overall away record is W3 D3 L9.
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal per game away from home this season, but they have conceded at an average of 1.9 on the road. They have managed to pick up a clean sheet in 20% of their road games this season, with 53% of Southampton’s away games ending over 2.5 goals. Southampton have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last four away home, connecting at least two goals in their last two. This is absolutely massive for them. What can give them hope is that they have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last three played, home and away.
The Saints have gotten some good results recently and will be a threat in this one. That means Brighton have to be positive because they will be challenged. The draw does look to be the most likely outcome in his one.
29th March 2019 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting