Birmingham have some work to do on the final day of the season. They are only two points from safety and because this is such a tough game they will be hoping teams beneath them misfire. Fulham have to better whatever Cardiff manage in the final round of matches to try and take second place in the table away from the Bluebirds.
Fulham 13/20, Draw 14/5, Birmingham 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 4:15 a.m. on May 1st, 2018)
The only way that Birmingham guarantees safety is by landing a win in this one. If they lose they could be overtaken by Bolton, Burton and Barnsley, while a draw would not leave them safe if two of the other win their games. So there is some work for the Blues to do, but at least they have home advantage. The bad news is they are facing Fulham. The Blues have actually gone W3 D1 in their last four home games so have improved dramatically and they took down Sheffield United in their last home game. Their defence still looks a bit of a mess though but with their sudden home scoring form, both teams to score at bet365 is at 4/6 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:15 p.m. on May 1st, 2018). There are going to be plenty of nerves around. Birmingham have averaged under a goal per game at St Andrew’s, but are on a four-match scoring streak there. Just 32% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals so it’s worth looking under for this one. Seven of their nine home wins this season have all been by just the one-goal margin. Fortunately for them perhaps they also know that Burton and Barnsley, two sides directly beneath them, both have very tough final games too.
Fulham have come this far and now just one more win could get them automatic promotion. They start the game in third place, one point behind Cardiff, so they will need Cardiff not to win their game. If Cardiff loses against Reading (not highly likely) and Fulham draw, the Cottagers would get second. So all Fulham can do is win and just hope. The Cottagers are on a tremendous unbeaten stretch of 23 league games and they are unbeaten in eleven on the road. It’s been stellar stuff from them and they are going to go to the play offs as favourites if that is where they end up. Fulham have averaged 1.7 goals per away game this season and if they net at St Andrew’s on the weekend that would be twelve straight away games that they would have scored in. 64% of their away goals have come in the second half of matches. They are just so good at the moment they aren’t likely to lose this one as they can basically go for broke as it’s either a second or a third-place finish for them regardless. A Fulham 2-1 correct score at bet365 is at 7/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:15 p.m. on May 1st, 2018).
Fulham were 1-0 winners when the two met in early December at Craven Cottage. Birmingham were on a great run of undefeated form against the London side before that. Actually, in the seven previous Championship matches, Birmingham are W3 D2 L2 against Fulham. Birmingham are W1 D1 L1 in their last three at St Andrew’s against the Cottagers.
The Blues are not likely to have enough to keep a rampant Fulham quiet at St Andrew’s. Fulham are just so strong and powerful and they have nothing to lose in this one and everything to gain. Away win.
3rd May 2018 / lee - Category: Premiership Betting
Wolves already know that they will be playing in the Premier League next season. That’s a formality at this point, but they need two more points to mathematically get there and four to win the league title. If Fulham fails to win against Brentford on Saturday, then Wolves will earn promotion without needing to kick a ball in this one. Their rivals Birmingham are still scrapping against relegation and so there is immense pressure on them going into this derby day fixture.
Wolves 2/5, Draw 15/4, Birmingham 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 3:51 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
Wolves can win promotion on Sunday after beating Derby 2-0 at home in midweek. That leaves them with just two more points needed to wrap up a place in the Premier League next season. It would be sweet for them to do it against a city rival. The win against the Rams on Wednesday moved Wolves to aW15 D4 L2 record this season on home soil in the second tier. They are now W5 D1 in their last six league games home and away combined and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight league wins. In the bet365 correct score market a Wolves 2-0 option is at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on April 12th, 2018 at 6:43 p.m.). Diogo Jota and Ruben Neves have both come up with two goals in Wolves’ last three games so are in a bit of form and worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market. Wolves have won 43% of their home games to nil this season, having averaged over two goals per game themselves and having conceded at under a goal per game. They are on a seven-match scoring streak of at least two goals at Molineux. With the finish line in sight you imagine that they will try and finish the job. Of the goals that they have conceded at home this season, two thirds of them have been in the second half of matches. They are well in form at the moment and with every chance of landing the victory.
The Blues were on a four-match undefeated streak of form (D3 D1) before they suffered a defeat away at Bristol City in midweek. Still, the points that they have earned lately have given them renewed hope of staying up, but they have a really tough run-in still. After facing Wolves, they still have to go against Sheffield United and Aston Villa in their final three games, both play off contenders. So the pressure could easily swing back their way. The Blues have collected only the three away wins all season in the Championship and their recent victory at Bolton, who are one place beneath them in the table, snapped a four-match losing streak of away from that they were on. Two of the defeats in that sequence were against Aston Villa and Cardiff, current top four sides like Wolves are. Birmingham have managed only the 16 away goals this season in the Championship but they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game on their travels. Birmingham have scored in each of their last four away games, but getting on the board against Wolves is going to be tough. Under 2.5 goals is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 4:21 p.m. on April 11th, 2018). Their survival hangs in the balance still.
Wolves were 1-0 winners over their Midlands rivals earlier in the season and they are W3 D1 L1 in their last five contests against the Blues. Wolves though haven’t won any of their last three on home soil against Birmingham in a D2 L1 record from that. Three of the last four meetings at Molineux have ended under 1.5 goals with two 0-0 draws played out in that sequence.
There should not be much-preventing Wolves from getting a home win on the board in his one. Even though Birmingham have been showing some survival moxie lately, Wolves are a powerful beast at Molineux. Wolves to win to nil.
13th April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
An interesting clash this should be between two sides who haven’t had the greatest of seasons. Birmingham still have bigger relegation concerns though than the Trotters do and Bolton have been in some pretty reliable form on home soil. So this is another tough game for the Blues given their current circumstances, but they have suddenly found a bit of form.
Bolton 11/8, Birmingham 15/8, Draw 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 8:01 p.m. on March 30th, 2018)
Bolton couldn’t survive a trip to Elland Road against Leeds on Friday, suffering a 2-1 loss there. That snapped a three-match undefeated streak of form that they were running on as well. They will be happy to get back to home soil though where their form has been pretty solid. The Trotters are W4 D2 L1 in their last seven home games in the Championship and that should put them in good stead for a win in this one. They have won four of their previous six home games this season (D1 L1) against sides currently in the bottom eight. So there is a good trend there for them. Six of their eight home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin and each of their last four successes on home soil have been 1-0 wins. A Bolton 1-0 correct score at bet365 is at 13/2 odds* (betting odds taken on March 31st, 2018 at 2:31 p.m.). Each of the last five home successes that Bolton have produced have been with a clean sheet so there is the simple option of backing the Trotters to win to nil as well. They beat Aston Villa in their last home game, so you would imagine that they will get past the Blues.
Out of nowhere, the Blues have kicked into survival mode. They have won back to back games now, both at home with clean sheets against Hull and Ipswich to claw their way out of the drop zone. They are still in a big fight though. Their away form is dreadful at the moment as they have lost their last four on the bounce. So even a point out of this one would be good because of that. Birmingham have only managed the 14 goals on their travels this season as well having posted a W2 D4 L13 record on their travels. So the score is probably going to be kept down in the game and under 2.5 goals is at 13/20 odds at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 31st, 2018 at 2:31 p.m.) to reflect just that. The Blues may not have too much of an input in this. Another stand-out stat of their away campaign this season is that Birmingham have been losing at half time in over half of their road games this season. They have no clean sheet in their last six games away from St Andrews, conceding at least two in each of their last four.
The recent history between these two suggests that there is going to be a tight tussle. Each of the last five meetings have all failed to produce more than one goal in a game. There was a 0-0 draw between them at St Andrew’s earlier this season and Birmingham are W3 D1 L1 in their last five games against the Trotters, winning their last visit to Bolton in the 2015/16 Championship.
Bolton can do a number on the visiting Blues in this one. Their recent home success though suggests it will be by a narrow margin and so a 1-0 correct score on the Trotters is super appealing in this.
31st March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Birmingham still have major relegation issues hanging over them, but they gave themselves a glimmer of hope with a win just before the international break, snapping a long losing streak of form. Can they build on that though? Ipswich are in mid-table but they lost back to back games before heading into the break. Which of the two will come back the stronger in pursuit of the three points?
Birmingham 21/20, Draw 11/5, Ipswich 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018)
Birmingham are in the drop zone on goal difference only against Barnsley so their win over Hull last time out before the international break gave them plenty of hope. That snapped a dreadful seven-match losing sequence that they were on and ended at three-match losing streak at St Andrews as well for them. That was their first clean sheet since January 2nd as well in the Championship. But can they build on it? Birmingham are W7 D2 L10 at home for the season where they have averaged less than a goal per game. It’s been a really poor return from them in front of goal with just 14 in 19 home games netted. Their goals against Hull snapped a three-match scoreless streak of home form but still they have failed to score in five of their last eight league outings if you look at it. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 for 8/15 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) looks a reasonable option therefore. They need the points on offer in this one.
The season is likely to come to an end with mid-table anonymity for the Tractor Boys. They have been patchy all season and they are W2 D1 L3 in their last six games so haven’t been in top form. That having been said though the two wins in that sequence were both out on the road, beating Preston and Sheffield Wednesday. They suffered a loss in their last road game though at play-off chasing Bristol City. Overall for the season Ipswich are W7 D3 L9 on their travels in the Championship and are just pretty average everywhere you look in the stats for them. Of the goals they have conceded away from home, 62% of them have been in the second half of matches so a half-time draw at bet365 is well worth a poke in this one. The Tractor Boys have gone off the boil up front having failed to score in five of their last six games now and in the bet365 correct score market the 0-0 draw is a short 6/1 option with the Brigimahm 1-0 heading the market at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018). Birmingham certainly have a lot more to play for than the visitors do in this one.
Ipswich collected a 1-0 home win over Birmingham earlier in the season and that leaves them with four points from their last two games against the Blues. Birmingham collected a 2-1 victory in his corresponding fixture from last season and have won their last two at St Andrew’s against the Tractor Boys, going unbeaten in four against them there (W2 D2).
Birmingham should be lifted by that win last time out and a break to refresh their though. Ipswich aren’t running in great form at the moment but aren’t a bad side, so back the draw at St Andrew’s.
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Midlands derby is always one to look forward too and it’s an important one for both of these. Birmingham need the points to help stave off the threat of relegation while the Villains need them to try and hone in on automatic promotion. Both are carrying some pretty decent form with them at the moment and this should be a cracking encounter at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 13/5, Birmingham 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.)
Villa are running in some hot form at the moment with a tremendous six-match winning streak going. That leaves them just outside the automatic play off spots going into the weekend. They really have their act together at the moment and four of those six wins have been with a clean sheet too. Aston Villa to win to nil at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) is at 6/4 odds. Villa’s home record in the Championship this season reads W9 D5 L1 and they are on a three-match winning streak there and are unbeaten in their last seven at Villa Park now. They have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home games as well but up in the correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is at the head of the market and that is because there have been a lot of low-scoring, tight Midlands derby duels between Villa and Birmingham recently. Villa have conceded at an average of under a goal per game this season so far at home and they have scored 28 goals in their 15 home games which is about 1.9 goals per game. Villa have been leading at half time in nine of their home games as well this season. Villa have scored in each of their last eight league games and their top scorer this season is Albert Adomah with seven of his twelve league goals having come on home soil.
The Blues have finally started to get things together and they are moving away from the threat of relegation. That is because they have gone W4 D1 L1 in their last six league games a vast improvement to how poor they were going for the rest of the season. They have won their last two game back to back by a 3-1 scoreline, taking down Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday. Away from home, they’ve managed to go four unbeaten now and have won two of their last three away from St Andrews. Those have been the only away wins that they have gotten this season in an overall W2 D4 L9 record. They have struggled up front this term with only the eleven goals scored on their travels in fifteen games and just 20% of their away fixtures this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 1.5 goals at bet365 for 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) looks a decent option to roll with for this derby game. After their improvement recently Birmingham will be starting the weekend four points clear of the relegation zone, so they have a bit of a cushion, but they were taken to extra time in midweek in their FA Cup replay against Huddersfield (which Birmingham lost) so that wasn’t ideal preparation for this one.
The last four between these two at Villa Park have been tight battles with Villa winning three of them by a 1-0 scoreline and the other being a 0-0 draw. There was a 0-0 draw between the two rivals St Andrews back in October. It means that each of the last five meetings now have ended under 2.5 goals and just one of the last nine meetings have managed to make it over the goal line. Aston Villa can boast a six-match unbeaten streak of form on home soil against the Blues, with wins in five of those.
Aston Villa are just in brilliant form at the moment and now have automatic promotion fully within their sights. A Midlands derby is never an easy game though, but the Villains are strong enough to get through this battle on home soil but as the Blues are improving, back the home side to just edging the duel by a one-goal margin only.
9th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Premier League side Huddersfield will have been really frustrated at not having seen off Championship strugglers Birmingham at the first attempt. Now the FA Cup tie becomes just a little bit trickier as the Blues have been improving their form recently and a Cup upset could still be in the making.
Birmingham 8/5, Huddersfield 9/5, Draw 21/10 (Betting Odds taken on February 2nd, 2018 at 6:28 p.m.)
The Blues are a side on the up it would appear after winning their last two games back to back. Following their draw against Huddersfield, they have beaten both Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday in the league and altogether that is a four-match undefeated streak that they are on right now and they are pulling away from the relegation zone in the Championship. So with a bit of momentum, they should be something of a threat in this one. Both teams to score at William Hill* (Betting Odds taken on February 4th, 2018 at 2:28 p.m.) may be a good place to start as the Blues have no clean sheet in their last four played. At home, they are W3 L1 in their last four played there. Overall this season St Andrews hasn’t seen a lot of goals and nine of Birmingham’s last twelve home fixtures have ended under 2.5 goals, which is another decent option to look at here. Birmingham struggled past fellow Championships triggers Burton 1-0 at home in the last round. In the William Hill correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 11/2.
So now this becomes tricky for Huddersfield who were beaten at Old Trafford by Manchester United in the league on the weekend. The overall form of the Terriers is poor now as they are winless in their last five (D1 L4) and they have won only one of their last ten games played in all competitions (D4 L5). So they have no momentum of form and they have not produced well out on the road with this season, winning just three times away from home in an overall record of W3 D2 L10 away from the St John Smiths. They have lost their last two away games by a 2-0 scoreline and they have failed to score in the of their last four on the road. They also lost their last visit to St Andrews by that scoreline too which was in last season’s Championship campaign. Four of the last six meetings between Huddersfield and Birmingham have been 1-1 draws and from those six games, the head to head is even at two wins each and those four draws. This should be tight again between them and at William Hill the Blues are 4/5 odds to qualify* (Betting Odds taken on February 4th, 2018 at 2:28 p.m.). The winner of this replay will host Manchester United in the next round.
It is worth rolling with the Blues at home in this one, just because to some degree, they look as if they starting to turn around their fortunes. The Terriers are having a tough old time of things at the moment and confidence can’t be that high. Home win.
5th February 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This is an important game going down in the relegation battle in the Championship. Sunderland pulled out a win last weekend to get themselves out of the bottom three and this has to be a good chance for them to build on that. Birmingham are stuck to the bottom of the pile with a three match losing streak going but would leap above the Black Cats if they could pull out a surprise win. Sunderland are 19/20 to take the win, with the draw at 12/5 and Birmingham at 3/1.
The Black Cats still have a tremendous amount of work to do to get themselves safe this season. They have improved a bit to a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four league games, the loss in that sequence happening against Reading recently. They finally managed to land their first home victory of the league season last weekend when they sprung a 1-0 surprise on the visiting Fulham. Still, that is a really poor W1 D4 L6 home record for the season at the Stadium of Light and nothing really to cheer about. The Black Cats have just returned over a goal per game on home soil the season and have yet to be leading a home game at half time. Defensively they have conceded at an average of 1.7 goals per game and even though these are two sides out of form, it is worth having a flutter on both teams to score at William Hill as that has happened in the last two between them in the north east.
Sunderland have only kept the one clean sheet on home soil this season so have been wide open. Lewis Grabban is their top scorer for the term with eleven league goals, so he’s going well and six of those have been at home as well, so he is the standout option in the anytime goalscorer market for the game where he is even money. This will be the first meeting between the two teams since the 2010/11 Premier League and there was a 2-2 draw played out on that occasion. Their most recent meeting, however, was a Capital One clash back in 2014 which Sunderland took a win in. Sunderland are W2 D1 L1 in their last four league fixtures against the Blues now in all competitions and they have remained unbeaten in four at home against them as well. Sunderland have scored exactly two goals in each of their last three at home against the Blues. In the William Hill correct score market a Sunderland 1-0 victory is in at a price of 11/2 while a 2-0 victory for them crops up at 15/2. What a morale booster it would be for Sunderland if they could pick up back to back wins at home.
Can Birmingham give themselves a huge boost by taking three points in this one? That would afford them some kind of lifeline in this big relegation scrap that they are in, but they are going to sink further into trouble if they lose it. Birmingham have collected a D1 L4 record in their last five league games and have managed to win just one of their last ten games in the second tier. The away form looks even worse for them because they are still on the hunt for their first road success of the season having gone D2 L9 on their travels. That’s almost too poor to put into words. There has not been a clean sheet for them away from home and in total they have managed only the four away goals as well. Only 18% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals so it is well worth looking under the goal line at William Hill. This is one of those games where they have to be a little bit bolder in their approach.
Sunderland have offered just that little bit more than the Blues have done lately and after their success over Fulha, last weekend at the Stadium of Light, the Black Cats have to be some value to edge this one. It would be a massive three points for them.
21st December 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Sheffield United were involved in a nine goal thriller in midweek as they suffered a 5-4 loss at home against Fulham. They are still tracking along as one of the stronger teams in the Championship though and that was a pretty rare defensive horror show from them. Birmingham still have a lot of work to do to try and turn their season around and get up towards mid table safety. This won’t be an easy trip to Bramall Lane where the Blades are 4/7 odds on favourites on home soil to win, with the draw at 3/1 and Birmingham at 19/4.
The Blades suffered a home defeat in midweek as they went down 4-5 at home against Fulham in a thriller. Overall their home form is still strong though because that loss snapped a four match winning streak that they were on at Bramall Lane in the Championship. Overall they have gone W7 L2 there so far this term and they are still holding themselves inside the top three after the midweek action. There has been no drawn match in the league for Sheffield United this term at all and they have won five of their last seven played so are going very well. Defensively they have been struggling lately though as they have conceded in each of their last six league games home and away. Both teams to score at bet365 returns a price of even money.
Leon Clarke has rattled off twelve goals this season in the league and is a 7/5 anytime goalscorer option with Billy Sharp at 6/5. The Blades have netted an average of two goals per game on home soil while they have conceded an average of one per game. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 returns a price of 19/20. They have scored at least two goals in four of their last five home fixtures now. Home and away in their last three games, they have scored eleven goals. That’s been some output from them. Each of the last four games between these two at Bramall Lane have seen at least three goals in them, so this could be an entertaining affair. The last time that these two met was in the FA Cup third round back in 2012 and Birmingham won that game 4-0 away from home.
The Blues have won four of the last five meetings between them in all competitions. Birmingham managed to get out of the drop zone in the Championship thanks to a win over Nottingham Forest last weekend. They followed it up with a defeat in midweek against Middlesbrough though. That is four losses in their last six played now (W1 D1). Away from home, the Blues are still searching for that elusive first win of the season but they are seriously going to have to up their goal output to get it. They have only netted the three away goals in their nine games away from St Andrews all season. They have failed to net in any of their last three and each of their last three away from home have ended in a 2-0 defeat for them. A Sheffield United 2-0 correct score wager at bet365 should naturally have some appeal because of that and that is a price of 6/1. Six of their eleven league defeats this season home and away have been by that scoreline.The win over Forest was a boost, but they are still in heaps of trouble.
The Blades have been strong enough at home this season to collect a win in this one against a struggling side. That will see them nicely get over their defeat against Fulham in midweek. There may well be plenty of goals in his one too but the Blades will deliver more of them.
23rd November 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Birmingham survived a derby against city rivals Aston Villa on the weekend, playing out a 0-0 draw with the Villains. That was enough to keep them above the drop zone as all three sides beneath them also failed to win. But the Blues are still in trouble though and they face an improving Brentford side. Brentford have improved to an unbeaten stretch of six games and will be charged up after two wins in their last three. Brentford are 6/4 favourites at William Hill to take the win, with Birmingham at 7/4 and the draw at 5/2.
So the Blues are just about staying out of the drop zone at the moment and they improved their form slightly to W2 D2 L2 in their last six league games now as they held out for a 0-0 draw with rivals Aston Villa on the weekend. But it was another game where they failed to score and the Blues have failed to hit the back of the net in seven of their fourteen league games this season and now have just one in their last three matches. Only once this season in the Championship have they scored more than one goal in a game. Birmingham’s home record for the term reads W3 D2 L2 and they are unbeaten in three now at St Andrews at least. This will probably be another low scoring game that they are involved in and under 2.5 goals is a price of 21/20 at William Hill which has some pretty good appeal. Only 29% of Birmingham’s home games in the league this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
Birmingham are a massive eleven points worse off than they were at this stage last season and after 14 games of last season’s campaign, they had scored 19 goals. So far this season they have just eight. In the William Hill correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest priced option at a price of 11/2. Birmingham lost this corresponding fixture against Brentford last season, suffering a 3-1 defeat but they did win out on the road against them. Birmingham actually have a decent head to head record recently against Brentford having gone W4 D1 L1 against the Bees. Birmingham have yet to be behind at half time in any of their home games this season in the Championship and a half time draw at William Hill has good appeal at 5/4.
Brentford are carrying some good form at the moment. They had a slow start to the season but have improved to a good W3 D4 in their last seven. Those are the only three wins that they have recorded this season in the league though but they have proven to be a difficult side to beat. Overall they have drawn seven of their fourteen Championship fixtures this season (W3 L4) but appear to be strong enough to hold the struggling Birmingham at bay. Brentford have scored three goals in each of their last two games and at least two goals in four of their last six matches. Ollie Watkins is a 21/10 anytime goalscorer option for them and he is the top scorer for the Bees this season. Brentford’s away form this season is W2 D2 L3 but they are unbeaten in their last three away games with a W2 D1 record.
Brentford to win: It is worth having a flutter on the visitors in this one because they are at least carrying some form and can pose a threat in the game. There just aren’t the goals there for Birmingham to go and hurt sides so look for a narrow away win.
31st October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is a Birmingham derby match up on Sunday afternoon in the Championship and the two clubs are going in wildly different directions it would seem this season. Aston Villa have really turned up the heat after a slow start to the season and are now looking like a promotion candidates. Birmingham are struggling along at the other end of the table, barely able to keep themselves out of the drop zone. It is going to be an intense afternoon in the Midlands. Villa are 11/8 at bet365 to win the tussle, with the draw at 23/10 and Birmingham at 23/10 too.
The struggles for Birmingham continued last week as they slumped to a 2-0 defeat out at Millwall which leaves them just above the drop zone heading into the weekend. As a positive for them though, they have won their last two league games, beating Sheffield Wednesday and then Cardiff both by a 1-0 scoreline. A Birmingham 1-0 correct score at bet365 fetches a price of 7/1 with a Villa 1-0 at 6/1 and the 1-1 draw at 5/1 as the main options in the game. Birmingham’s overall form at St Andrews this season in the league is W3 D1 L2 which isn’t bad considering but they have struggled to create much. They have scored only the five home goals in the league this season and only 33% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. This may be a low scoring derby match and under 2.5 goals at bet356 is trading at 4/7.
Birmingham are unbeaten in three home games against Villa now with a W1 D2 record in all competitions. The two league games in the sequence both ended in a 1-1 draw including last season’s meeting at St Andrews. Birmingham then lost 1-0 at Villa later in the season. So again, a low scoring fixture should be on the cards. Five of the last six meetings between the clubs in all competitions have gone under the 2.5 goal line so there certainly is a trend there. Jacques Maghoma is the only player for Birmingham this season to have netted more than one league goal and he’s a price of 9/2 to net in this one. Isaac Vassell and Lukas Jutkiewicz are around the 9/4 mark in the game for them. This would be a tough loss for the Blues if they were to go down in this one and end the weekend in the drop zone because of it.
Aston Villa had a sluggish start the season posting just a W1 D4 L2 record in their first seven games. Things have changed drastically for them since then as they have gone W5 L1 in their last six outings. So they have really woken up finally and seem to be flourishing in front of goal as well with them having scored at least two goals in four of their last six. The only defeat in their latest sequence of games was a 2-0 loss at league leaders Wolves. Villa have won two of their last three games on the road, hammering Barnsley and Burton. Overall they have gone W2 D1 L3 on the road, which isn’t great but they are improving. Albert Adomah has scored three away goals for Villa this season and is a 10/3 anytime goalscorer option, while Jonathan Kodjia tops out the market at 11/10.
Aston Villa to win: The Villains are the clear form team in this one and even though it will be a competitive afternoon at St Andrews, the visitors can go and pick up the points. They seem to pretty much have things together at the moment and look value.
28th October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting