The Midlands derby is always one to look forward too and it’s an important one for both of these. Birmingham need the points to help stave off the threat of relegation while the Villains need them to try and hone in on automatic promotion. Both are carrying some pretty decent form with them at the moment and this should be a cracking encounter at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 13/5, Birmingham 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.)
Villa are running in some hot form at the moment with a tremendous six-match winning streak going. That leaves them just outside the automatic play off spots going into the weekend. They really have their act together at the moment and four of those six wins have been with a clean sheet too. Aston Villa to win to nil at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) is at 6/4 odds. Villa’s home record in the Championship this season reads W9 D5 L1 and they are on a three-match winning streak there and are unbeaten in their last seven at Villa Park now. They have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home games as well but up in the correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is at the head of the market and that is because there have been a lot of low-scoring, tight Midlands derby duels between Villa and Birmingham recently. Villa have conceded at an average of under a goal per game this season so far at home and they have scored 28 goals in their 15 home games which is about 1.9 goals per game. Villa have been leading at half time in nine of their home games as well this season. Villa have scored in each of their last eight league games and their top scorer this season is Albert Adomah with seven of his twelve league goals having come on home soil.
The Blues have finally started to get things together and they are moving away from the threat of relegation. That is because they have gone W4 D1 L1 in their last six league games a vast improvement to how poor they were going for the rest of the season. They have won their last two game back to back by a 3-1 scoreline, taking down Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday. Away from home, they’ve managed to go four unbeaten now and have won two of their last three away from St Andrews. Those have been the only away wins that they have gotten this season in an overall W2 D4 L9 record. They have struggled up front this term with only the eleven goals scored on their travels in fifteen games and just 20% of their away fixtures this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 1.5 goals at bet365 for 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) looks a decent option to roll with for this derby game. After their improvement recently Birmingham will be starting the weekend four points clear of the relegation zone, so they have a bit of a cushion, but they were taken to extra time in midweek in their FA Cup replay against Huddersfield (which Birmingham lost) so that wasn’t ideal preparation for this one.
The last four between these two at Villa Park have been tight battles with Villa winning three of them by a 1-0 scoreline and the other being a 0-0 draw. There was a 0-0 draw between the two rivals St Andrews back in October. It means that each of the last five meetings now have ended under 2.5 goals and just one of the last nine meetings have managed to make it over the goal line. Aston Villa can boast a six-match unbeaten streak of form on home soil against the Blues, with wins in five of those.
Aston Villa are just in brilliant form at the moment and now have automatic promotion fully within their sights. A Midlands derby is never an easy game though, but the Villains are strong enough to get through this battle on home soil but as the Blues are improving, back the home side to just edging the duel by a one-goal margin only.
9th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Premier League side Huddersfield will have been really frustrated at not having seen off Championship strugglers Birmingham at the first attempt. Now the FA Cup tie becomes just a little bit trickier as the Blues have been improving their form recently and a Cup upset could still be in the making.
Birmingham 8/5, Huddersfield 9/5, Draw 21/10 (Betting Odds taken on February 2nd, 2018 at 6:28 p.m.)
The Blues are a side on the up it would appear after winning their last two games back to back. Following their draw against Huddersfield, they have beaten both Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday in the league and altogether that is a four-match undefeated streak that they are on right now and they are pulling away from the relegation zone in the Championship. So with a bit of momentum, they should be something of a threat in this one. Both teams to score at William Hill* (Betting Odds taken on February 4th, 2018 at 2:28 p.m.) may be a good place to start as the Blues have no clean sheet in their last four played. At home, they are W3 L1 in their last four played there. Overall this season St Andrews hasn’t seen a lot of goals and nine of Birmingham’s last twelve home fixtures have ended under 2.5 goals, which is another decent option to look at here. Birmingham struggled past fellow Championships triggers Burton 1-0 at home in the last round. In the William Hill correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 11/2.
So now this becomes tricky for Huddersfield who were beaten at Old Trafford by Manchester United in the league on the weekend. The overall form of the Terriers is poor now as they are winless in their last five (D1 L4) and they have won only one of their last ten games played in all competitions (D4 L5). So they have no momentum of form and they have not produced well out on the road with this season, winning just three times away from home in an overall record of W3 D2 L10 away from the St John Smiths. They have lost their last two away games by a 2-0 scoreline and they have failed to score in the of their last four on the road. They also lost their last visit to St Andrews by that scoreline too which was in last season’s Championship campaign. Four of the last six meetings between Huddersfield and Birmingham have been 1-1 draws and from those six games, the head to head is even at two wins each and those four draws. This should be tight again between them and at William Hill the Blues are 4/5 odds to qualify* (Betting Odds taken on February 4th, 2018 at 2:28 p.m.). The winner of this replay will host Manchester United in the next round.
It is worth rolling with the Blues at home in this one, just because to some degree, they look as if they starting to turn around their fortunes. The Terriers are having a tough old time of things at the moment and confidence can’t be that high. Home win.
5th February 2018 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
This is an important game going down in the relegation battle in the Championship. Sunderland pulled out a win last weekend to get themselves out of the bottom three and this has to be a good chance for them to build on that. Birmingham are stuck to the bottom of the pile with a three match losing streak going but would leap above the Black Cats if they could pull out a surprise win. Sunderland are 19/20 to take the win, with the draw at 12/5 and Birmingham at 3/1.
The Black Cats still have a tremendous amount of work to do to get themselves safe this season. They have improved a bit to a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four league games, the loss in that sequence happening against Reading recently. They finally managed to land their first home victory of the league season last weekend when they sprung a 1-0 surprise on the visiting Fulham. Still, that is a really poor W1 D4 L6 home record for the season at the Stadium of Light and nothing really to cheer about. The Black Cats have just returned over a goal per game on home soil the season and have yet to be leading a home game at half time. Defensively they have conceded at an average of 1.7 goals per game and even though these are two sides out of form, it is worth having a flutter on both teams to score at William Hill as that has happened in the last two between them in the north east.
Sunderland have only kept the one clean sheet on home soil this season so have been wide open. Lewis Grabban is their top scorer for the term with eleven league goals, so he’s going well and six of those have been at home as well, so he is the standout option in the anytime goalscorer market for the game where he is even money. This will be the first meeting between the two teams since the 2010/11 Premier League and there was a 2-2 draw played out on that occasion. Their most recent meeting, however, was a Capital One clash back in 2014 which Sunderland took a win in. Sunderland are W2 D1 L1 in their last four league fixtures against the Blues now in all competitions and they have remained unbeaten in four at home against them as well. Sunderland have scored exactly two goals in each of their last three at home against the Blues. In the William Hill correct score market a Sunderland 1-0 victory is in at a price of 11/2 while a 2-0 victory for them crops up at 15/2. What a morale booster it would be for Sunderland if they could pick up back to back wins at home.
Can Birmingham give themselves a huge boost by taking three points in this one? That would afford them some kind of lifeline in this big relegation scrap that they are in, but they are going to sink further into trouble if they lose it. Birmingham have collected a D1 L4 record in their last five league games and have managed to win just one of their last ten games in the second tier. The away form looks even worse for them because they are still on the hunt for their first road success of the season having gone D2 L9 on their travels. That’s almost too poor to put into words. There has not been a clean sheet for them away from home and in total they have managed only the four away goals as well. Only 18% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals so it is well worth looking under the goal line at William Hill. This is one of those games where they have to be a little bit bolder in their approach.
Sunderland have offered just that little bit more than the Blues have done lately and after their success over Fulha, last weekend at the Stadium of Light, the Black Cats have to be some value to edge this one. It would be a massive three points for them.
21st December 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Sheffield United were involved in a nine goal thriller in midweek as they suffered a 5-4 loss at home against Fulham. They are still tracking along as one of the stronger teams in the Championship though and that was a pretty rare defensive horror show from them. Birmingham still have a lot of work to do to try and turn their season around and get up towards mid table safety. This won’t be an easy trip to Bramall Lane where the Blades are 4/7 odds on favourites on home soil to win, with the draw at 3/1 and Birmingham at 19/4.
The Blades suffered a home defeat in midweek as they went down 4-5 at home against Fulham in a thriller. Overall their home form is still strong though because that loss snapped a four match winning streak that they were on at Bramall Lane in the Championship. Overall they have gone W7 L2 there so far this term and they are still holding themselves inside the top three after the midweek action. There has been no drawn match in the league for Sheffield United this term at all and they have won five of their last seven played so are going very well. Defensively they have been struggling lately though as they have conceded in each of their last six league games home and away. Both teams to score at bet365 returns a price of even money.
Leon Clarke has rattled off twelve goals this season in the league and is a 7/5 anytime goalscorer option with Billy Sharp at 6/5. The Blades have netted an average of two goals per game on home soil while they have conceded an average of one per game. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 returns a price of 19/20. They have scored at least two goals in four of their last five home fixtures now. Home and away in their last three games, they have scored eleven goals. That’s been some output from them. Each of the last four games between these two at Bramall Lane have seen at least three goals in them, so this could be an entertaining affair. The last time that these two met was in the FA Cup third round back in 2012 and Birmingham won that game 4-0 away from home.
The Blues have won four of the last five meetings between them in all competitions. Birmingham managed to get out of the drop zone in the Championship thanks to a win over Nottingham Forest last weekend. They followed it up with a defeat in midweek against Middlesbrough though. That is four losses in their last six played now (W1 D1). Away from home, the Blues are still searching for that elusive first win of the season but they are seriously going to have to up their goal output to get it. They have only netted the three away goals in their nine games away from St Andrews all season. They have failed to net in any of their last three and each of their last three away from home have ended in a 2-0 defeat for them. A Sheffield United 2-0 correct score wager at bet365 should naturally have some appeal because of that and that is a price of 6/1. Six of their eleven league defeats this season home and away have been by that scoreline.The win over Forest was a boost, but they are still in heaps of trouble.
The Blades have been strong enough at home this season to collect a win in this one against a struggling side. That will see them nicely get over their defeat against Fulham in midweek. There may well be plenty of goals in his one too but the Blades will deliver more of them.
23rd November 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Birmingham survived a derby against city rivals Aston Villa on the weekend, playing out a 0-0 draw with the Villains. That was enough to keep them above the drop zone as all three sides beneath them also failed to win. But the Blues are still in trouble though and they face an improving Brentford side. Brentford have improved to an unbeaten stretch of six games and will be charged up after two wins in their last three. Brentford are 6/4 favourites at William Hill to take the win, with Birmingham at 7/4 and the draw at 5/2.
So the Blues are just about staying out of the drop zone at the moment and they improved their form slightly to W2 D2 L2 in their last six league games now as they held out for a 0-0 draw with rivals Aston Villa on the weekend. But it was another game where they failed to score and the Blues have failed to hit the back of the net in seven of their fourteen league games this season and now have just one in their last three matches. Only once this season in the Championship have they scored more than one goal in a game. Birmingham’s home record for the term reads W3 D2 L2 and they are unbeaten in three now at St Andrews at least. This will probably be another low scoring game that they are involved in and under 2.5 goals is a price of 21/20 at William Hill which has some pretty good appeal. Only 29% of Birmingham’s home games in the league this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
Birmingham are a massive eleven points worse off than they were at this stage last season and after 14 games of last season’s campaign, they had scored 19 goals. So far this season they have just eight. In the William Hill correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest priced option at a price of 11/2. Birmingham lost this corresponding fixture against Brentford last season, suffering a 3-1 defeat but they did win out on the road against them. Birmingham actually have a decent head to head record recently against Brentford having gone W4 D1 L1 against the Bees. Birmingham have yet to be behind at half time in any of their home games this season in the Championship and a half time draw at William Hill has good appeal at 5/4.
Brentford are carrying some good form at the moment. They had a slow start to the season but have improved to a good W3 D4 in their last seven. Those are the only three wins that they have recorded this season in the league though but they have proven to be a difficult side to beat. Overall they have drawn seven of their fourteen Championship fixtures this season (W3 L4) but appear to be strong enough to hold the struggling Birmingham at bay. Brentford have scored three goals in each of their last two games and at least two goals in four of their last six matches. Ollie Watkins is a 21/10 anytime goalscorer option for them and he is the top scorer for the Bees this season. Brentford’s away form this season is W2 D2 L3 but they are unbeaten in their last three away games with a W2 D1 record.
Brentford to win: It is worth having a flutter on the visitors in this one because they are at least carrying some form and can pose a threat in the game. There just aren’t the goals there for Birmingham to go and hurt sides so look for a narrow away win.
31st October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is a Birmingham derby match up on Sunday afternoon in the Championship and the two clubs are going in wildly different directions it would seem this season. Aston Villa have really turned up the heat after a slow start to the season and are now looking like a promotion candidates. Birmingham are struggling along at the other end of the table, barely able to keep themselves out of the drop zone. It is going to be an intense afternoon in the Midlands. Villa are 11/8 at bet365 to win the tussle, with the draw at 23/10 and Birmingham at 23/10 too.
The struggles for Birmingham continued last week as they slumped to a 2-0 defeat out at Millwall which leaves them just above the drop zone heading into the weekend. As a positive for them though, they have won their last two league games, beating Sheffield Wednesday and then Cardiff both by a 1-0 scoreline. A Birmingham 1-0 correct score at bet365 fetches a price of 7/1 with a Villa 1-0 at 6/1 and the 1-1 draw at 5/1 as the main options in the game. Birmingham’s overall form at St Andrews this season in the league is W3 D1 L2 which isn’t bad considering but they have struggled to create much. They have scored only the five home goals in the league this season and only 33% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. This may be a low scoring derby match and under 2.5 goals at bet356 is trading at 4/7.
Birmingham are unbeaten in three home games against Villa now with a W1 D2 record in all competitions. The two league games in the sequence both ended in a 1-1 draw including last season’s meeting at St Andrews. Birmingham then lost 1-0 at Villa later in the season. So again, a low scoring fixture should be on the cards. Five of the last six meetings between the clubs in all competitions have gone under the 2.5 goal line so there certainly is a trend there. Jacques Maghoma is the only player for Birmingham this season to have netted more than one league goal and he’s a price of 9/2 to net in this one. Isaac Vassell and Lukas Jutkiewicz are around the 9/4 mark in the game for them. This would be a tough loss for the Blues if they were to go down in this one and end the weekend in the drop zone because of it.
Aston Villa had a sluggish start the season posting just a W1 D4 L2 record in their first seven games. Things have changed drastically for them since then as they have gone W5 L1 in their last six outings. So they have really woken up finally and seem to be flourishing in front of goal as well with them having scored at least two goals in four of their last six. The only defeat in their latest sequence of games was a 2-0 loss at league leaders Wolves. Villa have won two of their last three games on the road, hammering Barnsley and Burton. Overall they have gone W2 D1 L3 on the road, which isn’t great but they are improving. Albert Adomah has scored three away goals for Villa this season and is a 10/3 anytime goalscorer option, while Jonathan Kodjia tops out the market at 11/10.
Aston Villa to win: The Villains are the clear form team in this one and even though it will be a competitive afternoon at St Andrews, the visitors can go and pick up the points. They seem to pretty much have things together at the moment and look value.
28th October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This is a big clash down in the bottom third of the table as the Lions will be out looking to snap back to back defeats in the Championship. The pressure is on them a bit now because Birmingham collected a much needed win last weekend to pull themselves out of the drop zone and would leap above Millwall if they could follow that up with another victory. Millwall are 21/10 with William Hill to pick up the win, with the draw at 9/4 and Birmingham at 5/2.
The Lions have suffered back to back Championship defeats going into this one and will want to snap themselves out of that as quickly as they can. It hasn’t been a hugely profitable season for them overall with just a W3 D4 L5 record on the board, but all of their wins have happened on home soil, which is a positive for them in this one. They were on a three match winning streak at home, taking great wins over Norwich, Leeds and Reading, before slipping to a 3-1 defeat there against Barnsley in their most recent home fixture. You have a price of 43/40 on over 2.5 goals at William Hill on this one because Millwall have averaged two goals per game exactly on home soil this season in the Championship.
The Lions start the weekend in 17th place in the league which is only three above the drop zone and only two ahead of Birmingham. So there is an important three points up for grabs in this one. In the William Hill correct score market a Millwall 1-0 option is a 6/1 price with only the 1-1 draw coming in at a shorter price of 5/1 with the bookmaker. Millwall came up from League One last season so this is their first clash with the Blues since the 2014/15 Championship season. The two sides traded away wins on that occasion and actually, there hasn’t been a home win in this fixture in any of the last seven meetings. Millwall are a price of 13/5 to win to nil in this one against the Blues who have struggled badly away from home.
Birmingham have given themselves a glimmer of hope with a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four games. That was after a massive five match losing streak that they were on. They are still only on a W3 D2 L7 record for the season so they have their struggles and are only just above the relegation zone by a point heading into the weekend. Away from home, they are still looking for their first league triumph of the season having picked up just the one point in their six road games. They were hammered 6-1 by Hull in their last away game and the Blues have failed to score half of their away games this season, totalling three goals only. 33% of their away games though only have gone over 2.5 goals. Already they are nine points worse off than they were last season and have a lot of work to do. Away from home, they have shipped 2.6 goals per game. They have had their breakthroughs at home, can they start to turn around their away form?
Millwall to win: The Lions have collected three wins in their last four home games and should be strong enough on home soil to see off the Blues who have very little form out on the road this season to speak of and are reliable enough to back.
20th October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Championship swings back into action on Friday night with league leaders Cardiff making the trip to the Midlands to take on Birmingham. A win for the Bluebirds would put some pressure on second placed Wolves ahead of the weekend by opening up a four point gap over them. The Blues are still struggling along in the relegation zone and badly need a win to claw their way free of those stresses for a bit. The home side are 12/5 underdogs at Paddy Power for the win, with Cardiff a 23/20 shot to land the three points. The draw is at 23/10.
It has not been a memorable season for Birmingham then with just the two victories to their name across the course of the term and just one in their last nine. New boss Steve Cotterill has a big task on his hands here. As a positive though both wins that they have recorded this season have been on home soil. At St Andrew’s this season they have posted a W2 D1 L2 record and only in one of those games have they scored more than one goal. Overall home and away they have failed to score in six of their eleven league games. Under 2.5 goals at Paddy Power picks up a price of 3/4 while both teams NOT to score in the fixture is trading at a price of even money with the bookmaker. Birmingham’s top scorer this season is Jacques Maghoma with just the two. Isaac Vassell and Lukas Jutkiewicz are both at 9/4 with Paddy Power in the anytime goalscorer market.
Last season there were two draws played out between these two and each of the last three Championship meetings have ended level as well as four of the last six. In the Paddy Power correct score market the 1-1 draw is a price of 5/1 with a Cardiff 1-0 victory just behind at 13/2. Cardiff have lost just one of their last eleven games against Birmingham in the second tier with a W 4 D6 L1 record in that sequence. The Bluebirds are a point clear of Wolves at the top of the table and they have produced a fantastic W7 D3 L1 record this season. Their only slip happened on the road at Preston. Away from home the Bluebirds have posted a W3 D1 L1 record and do have only the one clean sheet on the road. But will the Blues be able to hurt them? Cardiff have only been behind once at the break away from home this season and level in three of them. A Draw/Cardiff half time/full time bet is a decent 9/2 option and in the anytime goalscorer market, Kenneth Zohore is the 13/10 outright favourite.
Cardiff to win: The Bluebird have done well enough out on the road this season in the second tier to suggest that they can pick up a victory in this one. The Blues are still looking highly unreliable to warrant backing with any kind of confidence.
10th October 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Owls will have been smarting after their home defeat against rivals Sheffield United on the weekend in the big Steel City derby. That was a blow to them as it snapped their seven match unbeaten streak of form in the Championship. But they have a decent chance to bounce straight back here as they face Birmingham who are struggling along in the relegation zone. Sheffield Wednesday are 6/4 at bet365 to win this with the Blues at 19/10 and the draw at 11/5.
The Blues have been having a pretty dreadful season and they have taken just the one point from their last six league outings. That point though did come on the weekend in their most recent match where they took a 1-1 draw at Derby. The lack of goals from them has been pretty telling this season and they have netted just the five of them in their nine league games so far across their W1 D2 L6 record. They have failed to score in five of the nine and Sheffield Wednesday to win to nil at bet365 returns a price of 3/1. That’s not a bad punt considering. At home in the league, this season Birmingham have posted a 1 D1 L2 record with half of them going under 2.5 goals. The Owls are defensively solid by and large and under 2.5 goals at bet365 for this clash will bring in a price of 3/5. Birmingham have failed to score in four of their last six Championship matches against the Owls now. They don’t look to be carrying the form to exactly threaten at the moment it would seem.
Sheffield Wednesday were on a great seven match unbeaten streak of form in the top flight but were rocked in a home defeat against rivals Sheffield United on the weekend. Will they bounce back from that? The Owls have gone W1 D2 L1 only on the road so far, so if they can produce a win, it will probably be by a tight margin as they haven’t produced a great winning or scoring touch on the road. The Owls have scored exactly one goal in three of their four away games. In the bet365 correct score market at Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 result comes in at a good price of 6/1. Gary Hooper and Steven Fletcher are the joint 2/1 favourites in the anytime goalscorer market for this one. Wednesday did lose this corresponding fixture last season but that is their only defeat in their last seven matches against the Blues in the second tier, winning five of those other six games in the sequence. They have won two of their last three visits to St Andrew’s.
Sheffield Wednesday to win: Birmingham are just so lightweight going forward that the Owls have to be backed to get a solid away win on the board. They will need it after their blow last weekend. Away win and probably to nil.
27th September 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Here’s a strange one. With Birmingham signing Jota from Brentford, there has been a lot of money flocking in for Birmingham to get promotion from the Championship. That’s strange because they are out of form and just above the drop zone. Leeds are going great guns at the moment and the Blues may not be able to find much comfort out at Elland Road against Leeds who have five clean sheets on the trot. Leeds are 8/13 to take the win, with the draw at 3/1 and Birmingham at 4/1.
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You can’t say enough good things about Leeds at the moment really with an impressive start under their belt. They have gone W4 D2 for the season but that doesn’t tell the whole tale. They have collected five clean sheets on the bounce and have just started to up their scoring output as well. They have won their last three games on the bounce, scoring seven unanswered goals and will be expected to take down the struggling Blues at Elland Road. Leeds to win to nil at Coral fetches a fantastic price of 7/4 which looks bags of value considering the form that Leeds are in. Up in the anytime goalscorer market, Pierre-Michel Lasogga, who scored a brace on the weekend in a 5-0 drubbing of Burton is even money favourite to net. Leeds have gone W1 D2 at home so far this season in the league with no goals conceded.
So will Birmingham be able to break them? In the Coral correct score market, you have a price of 11/2 on a Leeds 1-0 victory being returned. So the Blues are on a three match losing streak with just the one goal in their last four games. Overall they have scored in just two of their six Championship matches this term. They have really put their stock in the signing of Jota to lift them up the table. He is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option for this one. Birmingham have just the three league goals to their name this season and both teams not to score at Coral is a price of 5/6. Away from home during the campaign, Birmingham have lost all three of their road games, scoring just the one goal. Each of their away defeats have been by a single goal margin and Leeds to win by a 1 goal margin at Coral is a pretty decent looking 5/2 price.
Leeds to win: How can you not back the home side? No, they don’t have the winning form at home against Birmingham, but the Blues have only scored in tow of their games this season and they are taking on a mighty defence. Leeds to win to nil has to be a tempter.
11th September 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting