The Midlands derby is always one to look forward too and it’s an important one for both of these. Birmingham need the points to help stave off the threat of relegation while the Villains need them to try and hone in on automatic promotion. Both are carrying some pretty decent form with them at the moment and this should be a cracking encounter at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 13/5, Birmingham 5/1* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.)
Villa are running in some hot form at the moment with a tremendous six-match winning streak going. That leaves them just outside the automatic play off spots going into the weekend. They really have their act together at the moment and four of those six wins have been with a clean sheet too. Aston Villa to win to nil at Bet365* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) is at 6/4 odds. Villa’s home record in the Championship this season reads W9 D5 L1 and they are on a three-match winning streak there and are unbeaten in their last seven at Villa Park now. They have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home games as well but up in the correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is at the head of the market and that is because there have been a lot of low-scoring, tight Midlands derby duels between Villa and Birmingham recently. Villa have conceded at an average of under a goal per game this season so far at home and they have scored 28 goals in their 15 home games which is about 1.9 goals per game. Villa have been leading at half time in nine of their home games as well this season. Villa have scored in each of their last eight league games and their top scorer this season is Albert Adomah with seven of his twelve league goals having come on home soil.
The Blues have finally started to get things together and they are moving away from the threat of relegation. That is because they have gone W4 D1 L1 in their last six league games a vast improvement to how poor they were going for the rest of the season. They have won their last two game back to back by a 3-1 scoreline, taking down Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday. Away from home, they’ve managed to go four unbeaten now and have won two of their last three away from St Andrews. Those have been the only away wins that they have gotten this season in an overall W2 D4 L9 record. They have struggled up front this term with only the eleven goals scored on their travels in fifteen games and just 20% of their away fixtures this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 1.5 goals at bet365 for 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds taken on February 9th, 2018 at 3:58 p.m.) looks a decent option to roll with for this derby game. After their improvement recently Birmingham will be starting the weekend four points clear of the relegation zone, so they have a bit of a cushion, but they were taken to extra time in midweek in their FA Cup replay against Huddersfield (which Birmingham lost) so that wasn’t ideal preparation for this one.
The last four between these two at Villa Park have been tight battles with Villa winning three of them by a 1-0 scoreline and the other being a 0-0 draw. There was a 0-0 draw between the two rivals St Andrews back in October. It means that each of the last five meetings now have ended under 2.5 goals and just one of the last nine meetings have managed to make it over the goal line. Aston Villa can boast a six-match unbeaten streak of form on home soil against the Blues, with wins in five of those.
Aston Villa are just in brilliant form at the moment and now have automatic promotion fully within their sights. A Midlands derby is never an easy game though, but the Villains are strong enough to get through this battle on home soil but as the Blues are improving, back the home side to just edging the duel by a one-goal margin only.
9th February 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It’s not the highest profile game on the Championship coupon this weekend but these Midlands derbies are always entertaining for one reason or another. Villa are safe up in mid table but Birmingham, who had Gianfranco Zola resign this week and they have brought in Harry Redknapp to try and save the day. The Blues go into the weekend just three points clear of the drop zone. Aston Villa are even money for the win, with the draw at 5/2 and Birmingham at 11/4.
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A good Midlands derby to get stuck into them on Sunday. Villa have been going along well enough since the end of February having gone W7 D1 L3 in their last eleven league games. So that’s a huge positive for them and they have won five of their last six on home soil (L1). That lone defeat was in their last home game against play-off candidates Reading. Villa have seven clean sheets on the board in their last eleven league games and in five of their last six home games. Aston Villa to win to nil at Bet365 is running at a price of 2/1. There is also an option of 7/10 on under 2.5 goals which looks likely to happen. There was a 1-1 draw between the two rivals back at the end of October and a repeat 1-1 correct score at Bet365 is a quote of 11/2 which is the same price as a Villa 1-0 victory. There have been just two goals scored in the last three between these at Villa Park and that produced two 1-0 home wins for Villa.
The Blues aren’t clear of the drop zone at the moment and if Blackburn and Notts Forest manage to win their games on Saturday, then things will be looking much worse for them ahead of kick off. Harry Redknapp has stepped in as manager and he needs to pull something big out of his bag of tricks. Birmingham are winless in their last nine games played now (D4 L5) and they have won just one of their last thirteen played. They have produced some miserable away form this season in the second tier as the Blues have gone W4 D9 L8 and they have gone W1 D5 L6 in their last twelve road games. It’s been a rough ride but they have scored in all but one of their last five games. Both teams to score at Bet365 is a quote of 10/11 in this one. Birmingham have won just one of their last eleven games against Villa in all competitions now (D3 L7). It could add up to another difficult afternoon for the Blues.
Draw: The Villains have been decent enough on home soil to go and avoid defeat in this Midlands derby match up. The Blues took a heavy hit against Burton last weekend but they may be able to scrap out a point in this one.
19th April 2017 / lee - Category: Championship Betting