There should be a great encounter in the Midlands derby on Friday night in the Championship. Aston Villa make their way over to the Hawthorns to take on West Brom. The Baggies are have put together a strong season in a push for promotion, but just recently they will have seen some great form coming together from Villa. The visitors suddenly look to be a threat. Read our West Brom v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
West Brom 6/5
Aston Villa 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 4th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
West Brom dropped points in a home draw against Brentford last weekend at the Hawthorns. They had been on a three-match winning streak before that. The draw against Brentford also left them with a W6 D2 L2 record at the Hawthorns this term in the second tier. West Brom are the current top scorers in the Championship and on home soil they have come up with an average of 2.7 goals per game. It has played a big part in 70% of their home games going over the 2.5 goal line. While their scoring has been strong, they have struggled to earn clean sheets having picked up just the one on home soil all season long. They don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last five home league fixtures. West Brom have scored in each of their ten home fixtures this term though.
Home and away they have no clean sheet in eleven league games. 74% of West Brom’s home goals this season have been scored in the second half of matches. They have been level at the half time break in half of their ten home games this season, while they have come up the first goal in all but three of their home fixtures. With Villa’s form on the rise, a home win in this one would see the Baggies at least keep a positive game between themselves and their rivals. West Brom are four points clear of the Villains going into the game.
This is the first meeting since the 2015/16 EPL
In the last meeting at the Hawthorns there was a 0-0 draw
Three of the last four meetings have ended under 1.5 goals
West Brom are W2 D1 L1 in their last four against Villa in the league
The Baggies are unbeaten in six at home against Villa in all competitions
Villa took an impressive 3-0 win at Middlesbrough last weekend and that extended some terrific form which Dean Smith’s men have been on lately. After all their struggles this season they have hit top gear and have gone to a W4 D1 record in their last five games. That has seem them head into the weekend now just three points outside of the top six. Out on the road the Villains have produced a W3 D3 L4 record so far. The notable feature about their upturn in form is their high-scoring output. They have fired off 17 goals in their last five league games now. Aston Villa have produced at least two goals in each of their last five games
That impressive run of scoring form has helped them move to an average of 1.5 goals scored per away game this term. 60% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals and also a factor in that has been the fact that Villains have only pikced up the two clean sheets away from home so far.The positive is, is that those two clean sheets have been in their last two league away games at Derby and Middlesbrough, two of the current top seven. The Villains have been level at the halftime break in six of their ten road games and 60% of villa’s away goals this season have been after the halftime break. Both teams have scored in 70% of Aston Villa’s away games and they have scored the opening goal in five of their ten road games.
Aston Villa have done so well in front of goal lately and have certainly started to put things together so well. They will face a stern test at the Hawthorns though and we are going to shade things towards the Baggies who have come back into form well. West Brom to win by a one-goal margin.
5th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa finally seem to be coming to life having found some recent winning form in the Championship. So they are definitely on the up at the moment and will look to challenge Boro at the Riverside on Saturday evening. Boro are no pushovers, of course, heading into the weekend in third place and on a good unbeaten streak of form. Read our Middlesbrough v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 12/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 3:55 p.m.)
Middlesbrough earned a point from a midweek trip to Preston which leaves them unbeaten in seven. They are W3 D4 in that sequence of fixtures. Overall this season at the Riverside Boro have posted a W5 D3 L1 record and they are unbeaten in their last three there, winning two. Just 11% of their home games have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm) and that looks a great place to start for Middlesbrough v Aston Villa predictions. Each of Middlesbrough’s last eight home games have gone under 2.5 goals
Boro have conceded just the three goals at the Riverside this season in total, which tallies up to a clean sheet in 78% of their home fixtures. They have two clean sheets in their last three. 56% of their home games have been won to nil. Middlesbrough to win to nil is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). Seven of their ten home goals this season have appeared in the first half of matches so there’s been a big trend there. Home and away Boro are on a five-match scoring streak in the league. Four of their eight home games have been at 0-0 at halftime
Boro and Villa met five times last season
Along with league meetings, there met in the championship playoffs and the EFL Cup
Villa won 1-0 twice at the Riverside last season
There were just four goals in the five meetings last season
Villa earned a clean sheet in four of the five meetings last season
Villa went W2 D2 L1 against Boro last term
Villa were involved in a crazy 5-5 draw at home against Nottingham Forest in midweek, Tammy Abraham scoring four. That leaves them W3 D1 in their last four. Aston Villa produced a 3-0 win in their last away games out at Derby, a good result against a strong side. That victory snapped them out of a three-match losing streak away from home too. Aston Villa haven’t been great on the road with just a W2 D3 L4 record having been posted in the Championship away from Villa Park. They have produced 12 goals in their nine away games, conceding 13 and 56% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They have been vulnerable at the back as 78% of their away games has seen both teams score.
The Villains have conceded 62% of their away goals in the first half of games and yet they have been level at halftime in six of their nine road fixtures. Four of those halftime draws were 1-1 scorelines. The halftime draw is at 21/20 odds and a good proposition* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). In just 11% of their away games in the second tier this season, Aston Villa have banked a clean sheet. They have scored the opening goal in four of their away fixtures. The Villains have lost three of their four away games against sides currently in the top eight this season (W1).
Villa clearly had the better of things last season against Boro but they haven’t delivered the away form this season. Middlesbrough have been a tough beast at the Riverside and the narrow home win gets our nod.
29th November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains looked as if they were starting to turn their fortunes around just before the international break as they picked up back to back wins. They get back into action with a tough Midlands derby. Birmingham are right there level on points with their rivals in the middle of the Championship table. Read our Aston Villa v Birmingham betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 17/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 20th, 2018 at 8:13 p.m.)
Aston Villa produced back to back wins in the Championship before heading into the international break. Their last game was a fantastic 3-0 success on the road at Derby. That was the second time this season only that the Villains had managed to win back to back league games. Villa are unbeaten in three on home soil, winning their last two with a clean sheet. Aston Villa to win to nil is at 2/1 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm). Each of Villa’s last three home wins have been with a clean sheet so there is a trend.
In their eight home games in the Championship, the Villains have come up with the fifteen goals. That has helped them to a W4 D3 L1 record for the season at Villa Park. They have hit the back of the net in all of their home games thus far. 80% of the goals that Villa have conceded at home this season have been in the second half of games. So that should lean towards the half-time draw offering some decent appeal in the game at 6/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm).
Villas have won their last three at home against Birmingham to nil
Villa are unbeaten in their last 12 league games at the Blues (W8 D4)
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings in all competitions
Birmingham have failed to score in four of the last five against Villa
The Blues last won at Villa Park in the 2004 top flight
Birmingham had a ding-dong battle in a 3-3 draw with Hull in their last Championship fixture. High scoring games has been a feature for them recently. That draw leaves the Blues with a good W4 D1 L1 record in their last six fixtures and they have need at least two goals in all but two of their last six. They have earned only the one clean sheet in their last eight though. Both teams to score is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm)
Birmingham’s away form in the Championship this season is W2 D3 L3. It is well worth a look at their form against sides in the top half of the table. The Blues are just W1 D6 L2 in nine game against top-half of the table sides. Birmingham have come up with an average of less than a goal per away games. 71% of their away goals have been scored in the first half of games. 78% of their away goals conceded have been in the second half. They have struck the back of the net in each of their last nine league games. In the correct score market the 1-1 draw is at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm)
Villa have been good enough on home soil and have had a bit of momentum behind them, enough to go and get a win on the board in this one. It will probably only be by the one-goal margin though as they do look evenly matched.
22nd November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Friday night action from the Championship sees two sides struggling for form go head to head. They have both lost their last two league games and only two points separated them in the bottom half of the table. So both of them could really use the massive boost of three points from this clash. Can Villa’s superior scoring power win out? Read our Aston Villa v Bolton betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 2/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 30th, 2018 at 7:43 p.m.)
Things haven’t changed much since Dean Smith took over from Villa as they have lost their last two and are W1 L2 since the new boss came in. But they get back to home soil this weekend after losing at Norwich and QPR over the last week or so. They have lost back to back games and have claimed just the one league win in their last seven. Villa’s home form this season reads W3 D3 L1. They beat Swansea 1-0 in their last home fixture.
Actually, there has been a trend of tight margins as each of Villa’s last four games (W1 L3) have been settled by a one-goal margin. A top betting tip, therefore, is an Aston Villa to win by a 1 goal margin at 11/5 odds* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 7:48 pm). The Villains have scored in all seven home games this term, averaging 1.8 goals per home fixture. There is a clear trend in that they haven’t been losing at half time in any home game this season so the Villa/Villa half-time/full-time bet could appeal.
Currently, Villa are eight points worse off than at this stage of last season’s run in the Championship. They only have the two clean sheets overall (home and away) but those were both in victories at home over Rotherham and Swansea. Aston Villa to win to nil is at 5/4 odds* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 7:48 pm). Villa have conceded 80% of their home goals after the half time break and four of those eight in the final fifteen minutes. The Villains have scored first in five of their seven home games this season. An Aston Villa 1-0 correct score is at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 7:48 pm)
There was a home win for each in last season’s Championship meetings
Things are even with two wins each in the last four meetings
Each win recorded in the last seven league meetings (6) have been by a 1 goal margin
Four of the last seven meetings in all competitions have ended in an away win
Just three of the last eight have made it over 2.5 goals
There was another defeat for Bolton on the weekend as they went down at home against Hull, which also, like Villa, leaves them with back to back league defeats. The Trotters have picked up just the one point in their last five league fixtures, collecting just one win in their last eleven. As a positive though in among all of that, they have earned more points away from home this season than on home turf, with a W2 D3 L2 record on their travels. Overall home and away Bolton have produced just eleven goals this season.
The Trotters have failed to hit the back of the net in 43% of their road games and each of their last four on the road have produced fewer than three goals. Under 2.5 goals is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 7:48 pm) and is a strong betting tip for Aston Villa v Bolton betting. Of the goals they have conceded on their travels, 62% of them have come in the first half of matches. Bolton are eight points better off than they were at this stage of last season, so there is some kind of positive there. A win in this fixture puts them a point clear of the Villains.
This may be a tight and low-scoring affair between them. Bolton don’t carry a huge attacking threat and the scoring power of Villa should secure them the home win. But the one-goal margin victory for the Villains does have appeal.
30th October 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Robins have hit a sticky patch for the season after their barnstorming start. They have lost their last two now so need to come up with a response. They get a home game on Friday night against an Aston Villa who have fallen a bit short of expected standards with wins having been hard to come by. Read our Bristol City v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Bristol City 6/4
Aston Villa 7/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 26th, 2018 at 11:44 p.m.)
The Robins were on a great four-match winning streak in the league, but have just slipped back a bit. They have lost their last two league games, both of which were out on the road though at West Brom and Wigan. They get back to home soil where they have won their last two so that could be the boost that they need. Overall their form at Ashton Gate Reads W2 D1 and they have scored five goals in their last two home games. We are going over 2.5 goals at 19/20 odds* (betting odds taken from September 27th, 2018 at 3:00 pm).
71% of the goals that Bristol City have scored this season have been after the halftime break. Andreas Wiseman has been their go-to man so far this season with five goals on the board, although four of those have been away from home. We are going to take a look at both teams to score at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken from September 27th, 2018 at 3:00 pm) for our Bristol City v Aston Villa predictions.
A lot more was expected of Aston Villa this season. They opened with back to back wins but have since managed just the one win in their last seven played (D4 L2). So it’s not happening for them and last weekend they suffered a home loss against Sheffield Wednesday. The Villa defence has been leaky this season and there should be enough for Bristol City to get at them. We see the appeal in a Bristol City 2/1 win at 17/2 odds* (betting odds taken from September 27th, 2018 at 3:00 pm).
The Villains are winless in their last three road games in the league (D2 L1) and overall home and away this season they have managed to take just the one clean sheet. Two-thirds of their goals away from home have cropped up in the second half of matches. They have conceded 71% of their away goals in the first half of matches. They have been level at the break in three of their four away games this season, two of those 1-1. The 1-1 halftime correct score option is at 13/2 odds* (betting odds taken from September 27th, 2018 at 3:00 pm). Villa starts just the point behind City so would lose big ground if they were to suffer a defeat on Friday night.
Aston Villa definitely came out on top in last season’s Championship meetings between the two clubs. After a 1-1 draw on the road, they posted a big 5-0 home win over the Robins. In the four previous Championship meetings between the two of them, Villa are W1 D1 L1 against Bristol City.
Bristol City’s home form has been there and they are going to be keen to get back to winning ways with a big performance here. The Villains are shaky and unreliable at best and the powerful Bristol City attack can carve out enough chances to win this.
27th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Blackburn have had a solid start to the new Championship season as they are sitting in mid-table but just had a five-match undefeated streak of form broken. They will be looking to avoid another loss as they get a tricky game against Aston Villa on the weekend. The Villains are sat level on points with Rovers, not having gotten up the big head of steam that they were expected to have had. Read our Blackburn v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 8/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 12th, 2018 at 1:14 p.m.)
Solid enough stuff from Blackburn then who had a five-match undefeated streak of form from the start of the season, snapped in a heavy defeat out at Bristol City just before the international break. They are W1 D2 at Ewood Park for the term and have a clean sheet in two of those three. So there is reason to suspect that this is going to be a low scoring game and under 2.5 goals is at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on September 12th, 2018 at 1:14 p.m.).
Rovers have returned just the three goals on home soil so far this season and have conceded the two. Top scorer for them is Charlie Mulgrew so he is going to be worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market from their end. Blackburn to win by a one-goal margin is at 3/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on September 12th, 2018 at 1:14 p.m.) if you were thinking of backing the home team. Coming back after the break having suffered their first league loss of the season will be a test of their character.
It has really not happening for Aston Villa at the moment, despite still being fancied for a run at promotion. Things just are n’t going their way after a bright start to the season. They won their opening two games, scoring three goals in each and then it has been downhill since. They have D3 L1 in their last four league games and just before the international break they were torn apart in a 4-1 loss against Sheffield United at Bramall Lane. That was a tough one for them and it just highlighted more defensive problems.
Villa haven’t taken a clean sheet this season and that’s a problem. Still, they have been producing in front of goal themselves and therefore both teams to score is at 4/5 odds and worth a poke* (Betting Odds were taken on September 12th, 2018 at 1:14 p.m.). That’s a decent Blackburn v Aston Villa betting tip. The Villains are averaging just under two goals per game this season but they have the worst defensive record of the top fourteen teams in the Championship ahead of the next round of action. They need to find their feet but could face a really testing time at Ewood Park on the weekend.
Blackburn and Aston Villa traded home wins in the Championship last season, both of those being won by a one-goal margin. The home side has won seven of the last eight fixtures between these two (D1) so there is a pretty strong trend towards Rovers if you look at that. Both teams have scored in all but one of the last six meetings. Blackburn are W2 D1 in their last three home games against Villa.
There has to be a decent chance of Blackburn producing something in what is likely going to be a low-scoring tight game. Rovers have held their own well enough and can sneak past the visitors. They are worth a look in the match outright.
13th September 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains have made a strong start to the new season having picked up seven points from their three games. They were always expected to be up there in a title race this season again. They will get a solid test in this one against a Brentford side who have started just as well and who have received plenty of backing to win this season’s Championship. Read our Aston Villa v Brentford betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 6/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.)
No complaints about Villa’s form then with two wins and a draw to start their season. They opened with a good 3-1 away win at Hull and then edged their way past Wigan in their first home game. They were back out on the road on the weekend when they were held to a 1-1 draw by Ipswich. They did get in an extra EFL Cup match during midweek as well which they won 1-0 out at Yeovil. So while the goals have been there for Villa they are still searching for their first clean sheet in the league and while that goes on we are looking at both teams to score in our Aston Villa v Brentford betting tips for 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.).
The Villains posted a W10 D4 L9 record on their travels in the Champions last season but without question their away form fell away at the end of the season winning one of their last five. So their success at Hull would have given them a good start to life on the road this season. In the first goalscorer market they have Jonathan Kodjia up there at the head of the market at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.). He is looking for his second league goal of the season after getting the opening goal of their game at Ipswich on the weekend. Two of their three league games then this season have gone over 2.5 goals and we are going to expect that trend to continue.
Punters have clearly liked what they have seen so far from Brentford as they have taken backing to win the league this season. They opened with a big 5-1 win over Rotherham before playing out a 1-1 draw at Stoke. They then took a solid 2-0 home win over Sheffield Wednesday on Sunday. Like Villa, they also had an EFL Cup last week, which they won 4-2 out at Southampton. So the goals have been flowing very well from them and they have both Ollie Watkins and Neal Maupay with three league goals each this season. Maupay is at 7/4 and Watkins at 9/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (Betting Odds were taken from August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.).
Over 2.5 goals is at 19/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 19th, 2018 at 8:02 p.m.) for this fixture and it does look as if there is a decent chance of goals flying around. Brentford have produced more shots than Villa have done this season as well as having earned a lot more possession than the Villains have done over their respective three games. Six of Brentford’s seven league goals this season have come from open play and they look as if they will be a big threat to the home side. The Bees finished ninth in the Champions last season and the produced a W9 D4 L10 record on their travels.
Last season there was four points for Brentford from their two meetings with the Villains. They are actually undefeated in their last four Championship fixtures against the Villains with a W2 D2 record so they have done well. The last two league games between them at Villa Park have both ended in drawn fixtures.
This should be a pretty even contest between two solid teams. Neither have quite nailed the defensive side of things yet and we have to look over 2.5 goals in our Aston Villa v Brentford betting tips. As for a winner, we are just going to lean on home advantage nicking it.
22nd August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Hull were scrabbling around the bottom third of the table for most of last season’s Championship campaign and will be looking for some kind of improvement from somewhere. They get a start in a tough one fixture against Aston Villa who failed in last season’s play offs. The Villains have been backed heavily for promotion as they have had some heavy investment from backers over the summer. Read our Hull v Aston Villa predictions for more.
Aston Villa 15/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from August 1st, 2018 at 8:17 p.m.)
So the Tigers didn’t have a fun time of things in the Championship last season as they finished down in 18th position. They were comfortably enough above the drop zone despite winning just two of their final nine games of the term. Their home form read W7 D8 L8 last season. Transfer business has been slow from them over the summer and so the degree of improvement from last term is negligible. They are going to of course, come out with some fresh legs and enthusiasms and were are looking under 2.5 goals at 3/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 1st, 2018 at 8:17 p.m.). 61% of Hull’s home games last season in the division ended under the goal line and the most frequent scoreline at the KCom was a 0-0 draw. Hull weren’t short of goals last season and they were actually the top scoring team of the bottom half of the table finishers. Their defence was just a total shambles through which let the whole thing down.
So with a bit of fresh backing coming into the club after their costly failure to earn promotion to the Premier League through the play offs, things look brighter again for Aston Villa who are 12/1 odds to win the Championship outright this term* (Betting Odds were taken from August 1st, 2018 at 8:17 p.m.). Steve Bruce is staying on as boss and while they are expecting the impending departure of Jack Grealish. Villa have picked up young Portugal keeper Andre Moreira on a loan deal, that’s the height of their transfer business over the summer. However, they did have one of the strongest squads last term of course. They did win four of their five pre-season friendlies in the month of July and while there is plenty of experience in their squad, it’s not a particularly young one. We are going to back both teams not to score at even money odds* (Betting Odds were taken from August 1st, 2018 at 8:17 p.m.) as Villa collected a clean sheet in 43% of their away games last season but aren’t particularly prolific in front of goal.
Both league meetings last season ended in a draw and three of the last six have ended in parity. Hull are unbeaten in their last three home games against the Villains (W1 D2) so they do have that on their side. Both teams have scored in just three of the last thirteen meetings between Villa and Hull across all competitions.
We are just going to back the draw in this one. It’s early season so it’s not entirely clear how either side are going to be lining up. Neither club have made drastic changes to their respective squads over the summer and on the back of the draw matches last season, we are sticking with that trend for our Hull v Aston Villa betting tip.
1st August 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Maybe it is fitting that it has all come down to this in the Championship play-offs. At the end of the regular season, Fulham finished in third with Aston Villa in fourth. So outside of the two automatic promotion spots, these were the best two teams in the division. Now it is just a one-off match, dubbed as the richest match in English football, to decide who will be playing in the Premier League next season.
Fulham 13/10, Draw 21/10, Aston Villa 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018)
Aston Villa battled their way past Middlesbrough in a tight semi-final, with the Villains winning 1-0 on aggregate. It could be quite telling at the end of the day that Aston Villa have struggled for the goals lately. In five of their last seven games, they have scored exactly one goal in each while failing to score in one of the other two. So down the final stretch of the season they have done things by a pretty narrow margin. Taking that into consideration, it would be hard to imagine that Aston Villa would take a win by anything other than a one-goal margin.
What Aston Villa can bring to the table goal is a very solid defence and they have experienced players running through the squad to handle this big occasion. Villa have conceded just the one goal in their last three games and they did after all blank Middlesbrough in both legs of their play-off tie. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). Aston Villa have won just one of their last four games now (D2 L1) so aren’t quite bang in top form. Their opponents have posted a very good defence this season as well, so perhaps the question is whether or not Aston Villa really have the craft to open up Fulham and outscore their opponents if their own defence doesn’t hold up?
Only Championship winners Wolves scored more goals in the division than Fulham did this season. During their great 23 match undefeated streak in the Championship this season, they did secure a 2-0 win over Aston Villa. In the bet365 correct score market for the Championship play-off final, the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 90 min, with a Fulham 1-0 option at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). In their semi-final match up against Derby, Fulham did show some good character. After losing the first leg 1-0 at Pride Park, the Cottagers fought back well to produce the 2-0 home win to get through to the final. It is that extra scoring power, the extra attacking quality that will have appeal for punters on backing Fulham at Wembley. However just because of the situation and the massive prize that is at stake, it could be a low scoring game.
11 of the last 16 Championship play-off finals have all ended under 2.5 goals, which is a good trend to look for. Each of the last five finals have stayed under the goal-line. Ten of the last 16 finals have had only the one goal or less in them. Fulham will be taking on the second-best defence that the Championship produced this season, and the half time draw will have big appeal because Aston Villa were level at the break in eight of their last 11 games against top six sides. So this is going to boil down to the battle between Fulham’s fantastic attacking, and Aston Villa’s tough defence.
Fulham and Aston Villa traded home wins during the regular season, and both games were won with the victor scoring exactly two goals. There have been two wins for each in the last four meetings which have all been in the Championship, but if you look back just a little bit further, then Fulham have lost just two of their last eight fixtures against the Villains with a W5 D1 L2 in the head-to-head. Fulham have scored at least two goals in four of their last six games against Aston Villa.
There probably isn’t going to be too much to choose between these two on the weekend as they are two very good sides. However, if you’re looking for something to split them, then it could be the powerful attack of Fulham which wins the day. Aston Villa don’t quite have the same degree of punch and creativity going forward as the Cottagers do. Fulham to win.
23rd May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is the second leg of the Championship play-off in midweek and Villa will be looking to press home their advantage. They struck a 1-0 win at the Riverside with a goal early in the game and pretty much stifled the threat of Boro. So now Middlesbrough’s route to the Championship play-off finals looks pretty tough. They will certainly have to find more of a cutting edge than they did in the first leg that is for sure.
Aston Villa 5/4, Draw 23/10, Middlesbrough 13/5* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.)
A goal in the fifteenth minute from Mike Jedinak has given Aston Villa a solid advantage in this tie. The first leg at the Riverside was a bit short of goalmouth action and part of that is because Villa did a good job in nullifying the main threat of Boro’s Adama Traore and the Boro attack in general. Villa finished seven points above Boro at the end of the regular season and they were well in control in that first leg and never really looked in trouble in the match. Their home from across the course of the season was W14 D7 L2 and they finished the regular season with a four-match undefeated streak at Villa Park. They were defensively solid conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game and under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.). Villa took a clean sheet in 43% of their home games in the regular season and they didn’t lose a single game at home against a top half of the table finisher, so they are going to be hard to take down in this one. In the bet365 correct score market a Villa 1-0 is at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.).
Boro went W8 D7 L8 for the season away from home in the Championship and they won just one of their last five on the road (D3 L1). So not the greatest of road form and you got the feeling going into this one that they needed to gain some sort of footing in the first leg at home. Boro only went D2 L2 in their four away games at the top four finishers in the league this season, so they may not have enough to turn this around. Actually, they only won two games away from home against sides in the top fourteen. Boro were on good scoring form down the final stretch of the season as they scored exactly two goals in each of their last four games, but there was no sign of that potency in the first leg. Both teams not to score is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.). Middlesbrough were losing at half time in 13 of their 23 road games but they didn’t do too badly in front of goal with an average of 1.5 goals per game and they are on a seven-match scoring streak away from home. The problem is is that they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last five away from the Riverside.
This is now the fifth meeting between the two clubs this season and Villa are 2-1 up with the one drawn game. In the two meetings at Villa Park, there was a 0-0 played out between Villa and Boro in the league meeting before Boro took a 2-0 EFL Cup win there. Both teams have failed to score in the four other games this season and each of the last five matches between the two clubs have failed to get over 2.5 goals. Villa are actually winless in their last six home games against Boro (D3 L3).
Aston Villa have a good advantage for themselves in this tie now and they looked back to full strength and well in control of this tie. Boro were unusually quiet in the first leg but that was largely down to how well Villa did in snuffing out their threat. Home win to nil.
14th May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting