Maybe it is fitting that it has all come down to this in the Championship play-offs. At the end of the regular season, Fulham finished in third with Aston Villa in fourth. So outside of the two automatic promotion spots, these were the best two teams in the division. Now it is just a one-off match, dubbed as the richest match in English football, to decide who will be playing in the Premier League next season.
Fulham 13/10, Draw 21/10, Aston Villa 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018)
Aston Villa battled their way past Middlesbrough in a tight semi-final, with the Villains winning 1-0 on aggregate. It could be quite telling at the end of the day that Aston Villa have struggled for the goals lately. In five of their last seven games, they have scored exactly one goal in each while failing to score in one of the other two. So down the final stretch of the season they have done things by a pretty narrow margin. Taking that into consideration, it would be hard to imagine that Aston Villa would take a win by anything other than a one-goal margin.
What Aston Villa can bring to the table goal is a very solid defence and they have experienced players running through the squad to handle this big occasion. Villa have conceded just the one goal in their last three games and they did after all blank Middlesbrough in both legs of their play-off tie. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). Aston Villa have won just one of their last four games now (D2 L1) so aren’t quite bang in top form. Their opponents have posted a very good defence this season as well, so perhaps the question is whether or not Aston Villa really have the craft to open up Fulham and outscore their opponents if their own defence doesn’t hold up?
Only Championship winners Wolves scored more goals in the division than Fulham did this season. During their great 23 match undefeated streak in the Championship this season, they did secure a 2-0 win over Aston Villa. In the bet365 correct score market for the Championship play-off final, the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 90 min, with a Fulham 1-0 option at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). In their semi-final match up against Derby, Fulham did show some good character. After losing the first leg 1-0 at Pride Park, the Cottagers fought back well to produce the 2-0 home win to get through to the final. It is that extra scoring power, the extra attacking quality that will have appeal for punters on backing Fulham at Wembley. However just because of the situation and the massive prize that is at stake, it could be a low scoring game.
11 of the last 16 Championship play-off finals have all ended under 2.5 goals, which is a good trend to look for. Each of the last five finals have stayed under the goal-line. Ten of the last 16 finals have had only the one goal or less in them. Fulham will be taking on the second-best defence that the Championship produced this season, and the half time draw will have big appeal because Aston Villa were level at the break in eight of their last 11 games against top six sides. So this is going to boil down to the battle between Fulham’s fantastic attacking, and Aston Villa’s tough defence.
Fulham and Aston Villa traded home wins during the regular season, and both games were won with the victor scoring exactly two goals. There have been two wins for each in the last four meetings which have all been in the Championship, but if you look back just a little bit further, then Fulham have lost just two of their last eight fixtures against the Villains with a W5 D1 L2 in the head-to-head. Fulham have scored at least two goals in four of their last six games against Aston Villa.
There probably isn’t going to be too much to choose between these two on the weekend as they are two very good sides. However, if you’re looking for something to split them, then it could be the powerful attack of Fulham which wins the day. Aston Villa don’t quite have the same degree of punch and creativity going forward as the Cottagers do. Fulham to win.
23rd May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is the second leg of the Championship play-off in midweek and Villa will be looking to press home their advantage. They struck a 1-0 win at the Riverside with a goal early in the game and pretty much stifled the threat of Boro. So now Middlesbrough’s route to the Championship play-off finals looks pretty tough. They will certainly have to find more of a cutting edge than they did in the first leg that is for sure.
Aston Villa 5/4, Draw 23/10, Middlesbrough 13/5* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.)
A goal in the fifteenth minute from Mike Jedinak has given Aston Villa a solid advantage in this tie. The first leg at the Riverside was a bit short of goalmouth action and part of that is because Villa did a good job in nullifying the main threat of Boro’s Adama Traore and the Boro attack in general. Villa finished seven points above Boro at the end of the regular season and they were well in control in that first leg and never really looked in trouble in the match. Their home from across the course of the season was W14 D7 L2 and they finished the regular season with a four-match undefeated streak at Villa Park. They were defensively solid conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game and under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.). Villa took a clean sheet in 43% of their home games in the regular season and they didn’t lose a single game at home against a top half of the table finisher, so they are going to be hard to take down in this one. In the bet365 correct score market a Villa 1-0 is at 5/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.).
Boro went W8 D7 L8 for the season away from home in the Championship and they won just one of their last five on the road (D3 L1). So not the greatest of road form and you got the feeling going into this one that they needed to gain some sort of footing in the first leg at home. Boro only went D2 L2 in their four away games at the top four finishers in the league this season, so they may not have enough to turn this around. Actually, they only won two games away from home against sides in the top fourteen. Boro were on good scoring form down the final stretch of the season as they scored exactly two goals in each of their last four games, but there was no sign of that potency in the first leg. Both teams not to score is at even money odds* (betting odds taken on May 13th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.). Middlesbrough were losing at half time in 13 of their 23 road games but they didn’t do too badly in front of goal with an average of 1.5 goals per game and they are on a seven-match scoring streak away from home. The problem is is that they haven’t taken a clean sheet in any of their last five away from the Riverside.
This is now the fifth meeting between the two clubs this season and Villa are 2-1 up with the one drawn game. In the two meetings at Villa Park, there was a 0-0 played out between Villa and Boro in the league meeting before Boro took a 2-0 EFL Cup win there. Both teams have failed to score in the four other games this season and each of the last five matches between the two clubs have failed to get over 2.5 goals. Villa are actually winless in their last six home games against Boro (D3 L3).
Aston Villa have a good advantage for themselves in this tie now and they looked back to full strength and well in control of this tie. Boro were unusually quiet in the first leg but that was largely down to how well Villa did in snuffing out their threat. Home win to nil.
14th May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Boro produced a strong finish to the end of the regular season to lock down a top-six finish and they will be a threat in this tie even though they are underdogs to qualify. They have been producing very strong form at the Riverside and will want to take their chances in the first leg on home soil. Aston Villa finished seven points above them but the Villains have been struggling a bit for positive form away from home. The second leg will be played on May 15th and the winner will play the winner of the Derby v Fulham tie.
Middlesbrough 6/5, Draw 11/5, Aston Villa 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 2:23 a.m. on May 8th, 2018)
Boro have had a good end of season run with a W3 D1 record in their last four played, holding their nerve together well. They have scored exactly two goals in five of their last six games played so are flowing well up front. At the Riverside, they have won each of their last three games and seven of their last eight there. So they should be a force to be reckoned with in this one and in the bet365 correct score market a Middlesbrough 1-0 option is at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:33 p.m. on May 8th, 2018). They know that they will be in for a tough away game after this so they have to press home their advantage at the Riverside. Boro have scored in each of their last eight home and at least two in each of their last three there. Overall home and away combined they are on a fourteen match scoring streak. So they have scoring power behind them and defensively they have done well at home too having conceded just 0.74 goals per game on average across the season. Just 39% of their home games made it over the 2.5 goal line and this should be tight.
Villa haven’t quite been at the races, not the road lately. They did manage to hold down fourth place in the league, but they are just W1 D1 L3 in their last five road games. They are a very strong home side though so anything that they can get out of this will enhance their chances in the second leg. Villa returned an average of 1.3 goals per game away from home across the seasons while they conceded an average of a goal per game. In eight of their road games during the season Aston Villa were 0-0 at half time which doesn’t look a bad punt in this one. Overall they were level at half-time in 10 of their 23 away games. They may see this as a test of survival more than anything and both teams not to score with bet365 is at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:33 p.m. on May 8th, 2018). Their overall away form for the season reads W10 D4 L9 and they were really on a good stretch of away form (W5 L1) before collapsing at the end of the season. Villa lost four of their five away games during the regular season against the other top six finishers.
Aston Villa 4/7, Middlesbrough 5/4* (Betting Odds taken at 2:23 a.m. on May 8th, 2018)
Aston Villa were on top in the league meetings between these two this season, collecting four points from the two games. Boro did take a win at Villa Park in an EFL Cup meeting as well though. But in the league meetings, Boro did not get a goal on the board against the Villains. In the last six league matches between them, Aston Villa are W2 D3 L1 against Boro so it is all pretty tight. Boro have failed to win any of their last five home games against Villa (D1 L4).
Middlesbrough have to be a bit of value to collect a home win in this one as they have to recognise that they need to earn a lead at the Riverside to make the second leg easier. They have been carrying good home form and are value in the match outright to sneak the win.
9th May 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains are heading towards the play offs and they have slipped back into good form as well with a three match winning streak going for themselves. After a big win over Ipswich on the weekend, they will be confident of taking down Derby who had to go through an extra tough midweek game. But the Rams took a hugely important win on Tuesday night to boost their play off chances.
Aston Villa 19/20, Draw 5/2, Derby 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018)
Villa are running on a three match winning streak in the Championship at the moment and each of their last four wins in the Championship have all been with a clean sheet. Aston Villa to win to nil with bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). Villa have actually kept five clean sheets in their last six games so they are carrying good form towards the play offs. Villa are on a three match winning streak at Villa Park as well and they have produced a fantastic W8 D1 L1 record in their last ten home games. So you would imagine that there is enough there to see them get the win on the board in this one. Villa’s overall record at home this season is W14 D6 L2 and they have averaged 1.8 goals per game, while they have conceded just the 18 goals in 22 fixtures. They have taken a clean sheet in 45% of their games at Villa Park this season. The Villains have netted in each of their last eleven home games and in the bet365 correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is going to appeal at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). Only the top two have a better home record than Villa to this season.
Derby took a massively important win over Cardiff in midweek which saw them move back above Millwall into sixth spot. Will they be able to hang on to that play off place with two to play? That was a huge result for them especially as they had lost their previous three on the trot. It is all excitingly getting down to the wire now and there’s no more margin for error. Derby have lost their last two away from home in the league and have won just one of their last eight away from Pride Park (D4 L3) so it’s fair to say that they haven’t been travelling well. They have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last four league games now so both teams to score with bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). That win over Cardiff has to have done their confidence the world of good. Derby’s overall away form for the season is W8 D9 L5 and they have averaged 1.3 goals per game on their travels. Matej Vydra was on the scoresheet again in the week and he is going to their best route to goal. Derby have scored in 73% of their away games in the Championship this season. They need another performance like the one that they just pulled out of their hat.
Aston Villa suffered a 2-0 defeat at Pride Park back in December but that continued a streak of both teams not scoring in any of the last five games between the two of them. Aston Villa though are up in the recent head to head with a W4 D1 L1 record in their last six meetings with the Rams. The Villains have won their last eight league matches on home soil against the Rams.
Villa have the home form to suggest that they can go and get themselves three points in the bag in this one. It’s just about momentum for them now as they really themselves for their postseason challenge. Derby did the business when they had to at home in midweek, but it is still going to be tough to get anything out of Villa at Villa Park. Home win to nil.
25th April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa are going to be heading to the Championship play offs this year unless a major collapse happens. It probably won’t and they will look to secure their position on Friday night with points against Leeds. The Whites have been struggling for any kind of form recently and are probably going to have a hard time taking points off a strong home side like the Villains. Their season has already petered out.
Aston Villa 4/7, Draw 3/1, Leeds 9/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:51 p.m. on April 10th, 2018)
The Villains got themselves back on track in midweek with a 1-0 win over Cardiff which blew the race for the top two wide open. That allowed Fulham to jump above Cardiff into second, while Villa stayed in fourth, now just the four points behind third-placed Cardiff. So there could be a dramatic finish still in the race for automatic promotion. Villa have had their struggles recently with only a W2 D1 L3 record in their last six league outings, but they have landed the two wins in their last three. Both wins too were at home and with a clean sheet. Aston Villa to win to nil at bet365 is at 13/8 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:35 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). Villa have a strong home record this term at W13 D6 L2 and they have scored a shade under two goals per game as well. Their defence has stood up to many a test and have averaged just 0.8 goals per game against them this season. Villa are currently on a ten-match scoring streak on home soil and in the bet365 correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 selection is at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:35 p.m. on April 10th, 2018).
Leeds have badly lost their way again with only the five points (W1 D2) picked up in their last eight league games. They lost again in midweek as they went down heavily at Preston. That is back to back away defeats which they have suffered and it moved them out to a big nine-match winless streak of away form. So there may not be much for them in this one at all. The Whites have shipped at least two goals in each of their last six road games now as well. Their overall record for the season now stands at W7 D3 L11 and they have badly slumped to a bottom half of the table finish for the season. Leeds have produced an average of 1.2 goals per game on the road, but their defence just hasn’t been at the races conceding an average of 1.6 per game away from Elland Road. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:35 p.m. on April 10th, 2018). Seven of their eleven losses away from home this season have been by a margin of at least two goals. There has been no clean sheet for them in any of their last eight games home and away combined and at this stage of the season against a top-four side, it’s hard to see the Whites coming away with anything.
The last two league meetings between Villa and Leeds have both ended in a 1-1 draw. From the three previous Championship clashes it is Leeds who are W1 D2 up over the Villains. Aston Villa though are unbeaten in their last three on home soil against the Whites with a W1 D2 record. Eight of the last nine meetings have ended under 2.5 goals and both teams have scored in just three of the eight.
Aston Villa can collect a good home win for themselves in this one. Leeds have just faltered badly and aren’t likely going to be strong enough to come away from Villa Park with anything on Friday night.
11th April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains are limping towards the finish line for the season at the moment with only the one win in their last five games played which has seen them lose control of third place. Cardiff are now under massive pressure from the in-form Fulham as they start just two points clear of the Cottagers in second place. Can the Bluebirds get themselves a boost after losing on the weekend?
Aston Villa 5/4, Draw 21/10, Cardiff 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 p.m. on April 8th, 2018)
Aston Villa are fading away with a W1 D1 L3 record in their last five league games. They went down heavily at Norwich on the weekend. Villa though did take a good 3-0 win over Reading in their last home game but they will be wondering where this dip in form has suddenly appeared from. They still look a surefire shot for a play off place though and overall this season they are W12 D6 L2 at home. The Villains have scored in each of their last nine home games, with each of their last three at Villa Park going over 2.5 goals. In the William Hill correct score market the 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 11/2 with a 1-0 success for Villa at 6/1* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 p.m. on April 8th, 2018). Villa have averaged almost two goals per game this season at home and have conceded 18 goals in their 20 home games. Their defence has just gotten a bit leaky lately though. Still, only the top two of Cardiff and Wolves have a better home record than Villa have this season.
Pressure is on Cardiff in this one. After their big winning streak of eight matches came to an end with a 1-1 draw at Sheffield United, which was a very lucky point for them, they lost in their big contest against league leaders Wolves at home on the weekend. So those have been big setbacks and now only have a two-point cushion over third-placed Fulham who are going like a steam train. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last six away games (W3 D3) and six of their nine away victories this term have been by a one-goal margin only. They have been level at the break in eleven of their nineteen road games so a half-time draw with William Hill should have good appeal. Cardiff have found the back of the net in each of their last five away games and 58% of their away goals have come in the second half of matches. Overall they have scored in 79% of their away games. Cardiff currently have the best defensive record in the Championship but can they come up with what would be a massive three points for themselves in the race for an automatic promotion spot now that the pressure is on them?
Cardiff took a big 3-0 win earlier this season against the Villians and that is back to back league wins they have taken over them. Villa did win their last home against the Bluebirds though (in the Premier League a couple of seasons ago) and looking back they are on a five-match winning streak on home soil against the Welsh club. Both teams have scored in just one of the last seven meetings in all competitions.
The draw may be the sensible option to back here. Villa are just not clicking at the moment and they are facing a good Cardiff side. But the Bluebirds have failed in their last two games which have been tougher battles and may come up short once more.
9th April 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Villa’s home form has been good enough recently to suggest that they can land themselves three points in his one. They are looking like a solid lock for a play off finish this season and aren’t going to lose ground in his one. Reading are having their issues at the other end of the table with the drop zone not too far behind them.
Aston Villa 1/2, Draw 10/3, Reading 5/1* (Betting Odds taken at 8:01 p.m. on March 30th, 2018)
The Villains made it three games without a win in the Championship now (D1 L2) as they collected a disappointing draw out at Hull on Saturday. So they are just stuttering along at the moment a little bit but they are comfortably inside the top four and that’s not going to change. So it is back to home soil for them then in midweek as they play host to Reading. Villa lost their last home game which was against QPR in a surprise result. They had won five of their previous six on home soil before that. Villa haven’t had any trouble sticking the ball in the back of the net at home, having scored 38 goals in their 19 home games, and they are on an eight-match scoring streak at Villa Park. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last three there though. Almost 40% of Villa’s home games this season have made it over 3.5 goals but because they aren’t quite clicking at the moment, under 2.5 goals at bet365 for this one is probably going to offer a little bit of value. Lewis Grabban goes as the 5/4 bet365 anytime goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken on March 31st at 2:29 p.m.) for the match.
Reading got their first win under Paul Clement as they sprung a 1-0 home success over QPR on Friday. That was a big three points for them as they looked to put distance between themselves and the relegation zone. It also snapped a dreadful nine-match winless sequence of form that they were on too (D4 L5). Their away form is nothing to get excited about at all though having lost their last two and having taken just the one win in their last nine on the road. Just for a comparison, they recently went to league leaders Wolves and were stuffed 3-0. So they may not get change out of Villa. In the bet365 correct score market an Aston Villa 2-0 is at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on March 31st at 2:29 p.m.). Reading have conceded in each of their last five away games and have shipped at least two in each of their last two away from home. Reading have averaged 1.2 goals per game away from home. Their overall away form for the season is W5 D5 L9 and they have taken a clean sheet in just 16% of their away fixtures. They have scored 78% of their away goals in the second half of games this term.
Reading have won the last two league meetings against Aston Villa now, after beating them 2-1 at home earlier this term. That was after the Royals took a 3-1 win at Villa Park last season. However, the Villains had won the six previous meetings between the two sides though in all competitions. Both teams have scored in seven of the last eight contests
Aston Villa have enough strength on home soil to make sure that what happened to them against QPR there in their last home game doesn’t happen against the Royals. Reading doesn’t have the away form to compete with them.
31st March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Hull start the weekend six points clear of the drop zone, so still, need to do a little more work to get safe down the run in. This is a tough one game for them as they face up to Aston Villa who are looking well set to lock in play off place. But the Villains did fall out of form before the international break, losing back to back games.
Aston Villa 13/8, Hull 17/10, Draw 11/5* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018)
Hull suffered a disappointing loss against the struggling Birmingham just before the international break. That was a setback because if Hull would have won it, they would be sitting a lot easier. It snapped a two-match league winning streak that they were on though and they haven’t done too badly at home recently. They are W2 D1 L1 in their last four at home which suggests that they could make life difficult for the Villains on the weekend. In their last home game, they edged Norwich 4-3 in a thriller. Each of Hull’s last four games have seen at least three goals so over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 7/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018). The Tigers have scored in each of their last four games at home but have conceded in their last three. They have scored really well on home soil at just under an average of two per game. 58% of their home games have made it over 3.5 goals actually and that’s because their defence has been leaky on top of everything.
Both teams to score at bet365 is 5/6 odds option* (Betting Odds taken at 07:01 p.m. on March 26th, 2018) for the game which looks reasonable. Villa slipped to back to back defeats against QPR and Bolton before the break, really halting a good run of form that they were on. They were on a three-match winning streak before that with goals flying in all over the place. They have won five of their last seven road games (L2) so that is still some pretty positive form. Overall this season on the road the Villains are W9 D3 L7. They have not drawn any of their last nine on the road now interestingly, but they have been level at the break in nine of their road games this season. They have averaged 1.3 goals per away games while they have conceded an average of a goal per game. A top two finish looks to have passed them by, so it’s just about consolidating a top six finish from now to the end of the season for them.
There was a 1-1 tie played out between these two earlier this season which was their first meeting since the 2014/15 Premier League season when the two of them traded home wins. In the last five meetings Villa are W2 D2 L1 up now it have taken only the one point away from their last two visits to the KCom. Both teams have scored in just three of the last ten meetings.
The Tigers have been digging out points at home and therefore a draw may be a nice option for this one. Aston Villa will hope to be recharged after the break, but they could just find the Tigers in a bullish mood and have to settle for a point.
28th March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Trotters have managed to put a six-point gap between themselves and the drop zone and just need to keep chugging away to stay afloat. They head into what could well be a difficult game for them on the weekend as they face up to Aston Villa. But they will have seen the villains taking a surprising tumble at home against QPR in midweek and have a bit of belief of their own.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 12/5, Bolton 7/2* (Betting Odds taken at 01:36 a.m. on March 14th, 2018)
The Trotters are without a win in their last four league games now (D3 L1) and they still have some work to put in. They head into the weekend six points clear of the drop zone and are scrapping out points, but a win would leave them breathing a little easier. At home, the Trotters have been doing alright as they have lost just one of their last seven (W4 D2) so that’s not bad form at all. The loss was in their last home game against Preston at the start of March. The Trotters have returned 21 goals in their 18 fixtures at home in the Championship and they are on a seven-match scoring streak as well there. Both teams to score at Paddy Power is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 07:06 p.m. on March 14th, 2018). Interestingly of the thirteen second-half goals, they have shipped at home this season, nine of those have been inside the final fifteen minutes. Only Burton and Birmingham have scored fewer goals than what Bolton have managed this season and just three teams have conceded more.
Villa were rocked by a midweek home loss to QPR and this is a tricky away game for them. The Villains are W9 D3 L6 for the season on their travels but they are carrying decent form away from Villa Park having gone W5 L1 in their last six road fixtures. Their setback against QPR in midweek was a blow to their hopes of getting into the top two as they start the weekend in third place now, seven points behind second-placed Cardiff. The Villains have been level at half time in half of their away games and of the goals they have conceded away from home, 61% of them have been after the break. So a half-time draw at Paddy Power for this one should have some appeal. Aston Villa have scored in 72% of their away matches with Albert Adomah and Robert Snodgrass joint top scorers away from home for them with five each. Lewis Grabban and Scott Hogan are the 9/5 joint anytime goalscorer favourites for the fixture with Paddy Power though, Grabban having scored in three of Villa’s last four games.
Aston Villa have won two of their last three visits to Bolton in the league with both of those wins coming by a one-goal margin. Aston Villa landed a 1-0 success over the Trotters earlier this season in the Championship and that game was their first coming together since the 2011/12 Premier League season when the two of them traded away wins.
The Trotters haven’t done enough winning recently to suggest that they can do what QPR did to Villa. There is the thought of that Villa will be fired up to quickly put that defeat behind them. Villa should have the goals in them to get the win on the board.
15th March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Villa landed a huge result on the weekend beating league leaders Wolves. That keeps the Villains still in the hunt for an automatic play off spot. But they need to keep their positive momentum going and follow that win over Wolves up with another home success in midweek. QPR are just stuck down in the middle of the table with nothing to play for.
Aston Villa 8/11, Draw 11/4, QPR 9/2* (Betting Odds taken at 7:33 p.m. on March 12th, 2018)
The Villains are now on a three-match winning streak of form in the league having collected a fantastic 4-1 home win over Wolves on the weekend. They are carrying great form in front of goal having scored eleven goals in their last three league fixtures. Their form at Villa Park has been fantastic as they are on a ten-match unbeaten streak there, having scored in each of their last seven at Villa Park. Overall their record at Villa Park is W11 D6 L1 for the Championship season. Villa have won five of their last six at Villa Park, only a recent draw against Preston stopping their big streak. Villa are averaging just under two goals per game at home while they have conceded an average of under a goal per game. In the bet365 correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 option is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 7:33 p.m. on March 12th, 2018) while the under 2.5 goals option is worth considering for the midweek action as well. They go into the fixture four points behind second-placed Cardiff so have to keep winning to keep up the pressure there.
Rangers are going nowhere in the bottom half of the table and their chances of winning this are slim because they are looking for what would be just their third away win for the entire season (D5 L10). So it’s unlikely that they will raise too much of a threat and they are on a three-match losing streak on the road as well currently. Their defence has shipped at least two goals in each of their last three goals and while a home win over the relegation-threatened Birmingham gave them a nice boost, it’s unlikely that their form is going to carry over into this one. QPR have averaged under a goal per game away from home this term and they have taken only the one clean sheet on their travels. So the problems are pretty evident. They have not taken a clean sheet in any of their last five games away from Loftus Road, conceding at least two goals in each of their last three. QPR have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game away from home.
Aston Villa were 2-1 winners at Loftus Road earlier in the season, which was their third win in a row over QPR. Each of those wins were by a one-goal margin as well, so that’s a decent trend. Villa are unbeaten in four league games against QPR now (W3 D1) and both teams have scored in just two of the last five clashes. Villa are W2 D2 in their last four home games against QPR.
Aston Villa have form and confidence and can push on to take the victory. Rangers don’t really have the away form to compete in this one and Villa 2-1 correct score has plenty of appeal.
12th March 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting