It is a big Midlands derby to light up Saturday afternoon. The Baggies are still holding their ground in a push for promotion but have won only two of their last six. Can Aston Villa, who have drawn a lot of games lately, break them? Read our Aston Villa v West Brom betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 6/4
West Brom 17/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 13th, 2019 at 3:34 a.m.)
Aston Villa suffered a late defeat at Brentford in midweek which leaves them with just the one win in their last eight league fixtures. They have put together a four-match undefeated streak at home, but only going W1 D3 in that sequence. Overall this season Aston Villa have produced a W6 D8 L2 record on home soil in the Championship. They have posted a great average of 2.3 goals per home game and have scored at least two goals in each of their last nine at Villa Park.
62% of Aston Villa’s home games this season have ended up over 3.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 81% of Aston Villa’s home fixtures. A huge positive for Aston Villa has been their scoring, as they have hit the back of the net in each and every home league game played. Only two sides in the division have scored more league goals than Aston Villa have. Defensively is where Villa have fallen down because only two sides in the league have conceded more than they have done this season.
There was a 2-2 draw between them at the Hawthorns in December
Each of the last two league meetings have been drawn
Two of the last six meetings only have ended over 2.5 goals
West Brom won their last league visit to Villa Park 1-0
West Brom were involved in an entertaining 2-2 draw at home against Nottingham Forest on Tuesday night. That leaves them with a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five league fixtures. Overall this season away from home in the Championship, West Brom are at W8 D3 L4. The Baggies will be looking for their third straight away success in the division, and they have actually won six of their last seven away from the Hawthorns.
So they are a side in pretty decent form at the moment and of course will be up for this big derby match. West Brom have improved to three clean sheets in their last four away games after not managing a single one in their opening 11 away games. West Brom have scored in each of their last 15 league fixtures, including a seven-match scoring streak on their travels. None of West Brom’s last nine away games have ended in a draw. There are still the top scorers in the Championship, and only the top two of Norwich and Leeds have earned more away points then the Baggies have done.
The draw looks a good fit for the Midlands derby here. West Brom don’t look likely to lose, but just aren’t quite delivering enough wins overall in current form. Aston Villa certainly know how to stick in there for a point. Draw in the match outright.
14th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains have been edging their way towards the top six in the Championship, starting the weekend four points outside of it. They could give their chances a big boost if they could take down Middlesbrough. Boro are sat in fifth place in the table and have put together a very good unbeaten run of five games. Read our Aston Villa v Sheffield United betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 31/20
Sheff Utd 17/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 6th, 2019 at 11:32 p.m.)
The Villains have lost one of their last seven league games, but they have been struggling to pick up wins at the same time. The are W2 D4 L2 in their last eight league fixtures. Last weekend they played out a 0-0 draw against the relegation-threatened Reading. Aston Villa have produced a W6 D7 L2 home record this season and they did take a win over Ipswich in their last home fixture. Villa are unbeaten in three on home soil in the Championship (W1 D2).
Villa have scored at an average of over two goals per home game this season, and 60% of their games at Villa Park have made it over 3.5 goals. There have been just the three clean sheets at home from them. Villa have hit the back of the net in all of their league home games this season. Their half time record is great at W7 D7 L1 at Villa Park. They have conceded two-thirds of their home goals in the second period of fixtures. Only the bottom two of Rotherham and Ipswich have worse league defensive records than Villa.
Sheffield United ran out comfortable 4-1 winners over Villa earlier this season
Villa have won just one of their last four against the Blades in all competitions (D1 L2)
Both teams have scored in four of the last five in all competitions
There was a 2-2 draw in last season’s corresponding fixture
The Blades have continued in some good form with only the one loss in their last eight league outings (W5 D2). They start the weekend up in third place in the league and as this is a Friday night fixture, a win will see them move top of the pile on goal difference over Norwich. The Blades have averaged 1.6 goals on their travels this season, with 60% of their road fixtures going over 2.5 goals. Sheffield United have taken a clean sheet in 27% of their away games.
The Blades have taken only the one win in their last four away from Bramall Lane though (D2 L1). Just twice all season have Sheffield United been losing at the halftime break in a league game. On both occasions, they were away from home. They have conceded the opening goal in nine of their fifteen away fixtures this season though. Only two sidehave a better defensive record this season in the Championship than Sheffield United. Both they and Villa have each scored 50 league goals.
This could be a great fixture. Sheffield United have a chance to go top on Friday and with that in mind, they may have an extra pep in their step. There are vulnerabilities in Villa’s defence that the Blades can cut through. Away win.
7th February 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
With these two have already met in the Championship twice this season, Aston Villa have reason to be confident. They have already banked back to back 1-0 wins over the Swan this season. But Swansea have won two of their last three visits to Villa Park and this could be another close scrap between the two of them. Read our Aston Villa v Swansea betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Aston Villa have collected 1-0 victories in both Championship fixtures against Swansea this season. They got the away win over Swansea just back on Boxing Day. There has been a trend of 1-0 score lines in meetings between the clubs recently. All but one of the last six meetings have ended in a 1-0 scoreline, with Villa winning two of those. The wins over Swansea that Aston Villa have picked up this season have been against the grain really. They were winless in seven against Swansea before that. Aston Villa’s defensive problems have led them to a D1 L3 record in their last four home games. But the positive from their current home form is that they have lost just one of their last eight played there across all competitions. Villa have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five home fixtures.
But then their defence has already blanked Swansea twice. So which way does this tie swing? Swansea are not particularly in any kind of hot form at the moment as they have gone W3 D1 L5 in their last nine games. Their defence has been having its problems lately as well as they have failed to get a clean sheet in any of their last nine games played. Looking specifically at their away from they have won only three of their last ten played away from the Liberty Stadium. But the goals have been there for them lately away from home. Swansea have tallied nine goals in their last three away games. Adversely they have one clean sheet in six on the road. While they have fallen twice to Villa this season, they can look at their inspiring run in the FA Cup last season where they made it to the quarterfinals. Both teams have scored in all but on Swansea last seven games away from home.
There may not be too much to split these two at the end of the day against. All of the recent head to heads between them have been tight so there’s no reason to expect any different. Home advantage may just the job done for Villa over the Swans again. Villa to win outright at 13/5 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 2nd, 2019 at 6:54 pm)
3rd January 2019 / lee - Category: FA Cup & League Cup Betting
The teams will get a break next weekend with the third round of the FA Cup swinging into action. So this is going to be an important push for three points for the teams on Tuesday. It will be a great way to start the new year with three points in the bag. Over the weekend the top two of Leeds and Norwich both lost.
Will they get back to winning ways? Will West Brom be able to muscle their way into the top-two? Down at the other end, Ipswich are now seven points adrift of safety after yet another defeat.
Here are our Championship Predictions and Tips for January 1st, 2019 and these are all 3.00 pm kickoffs.
Villa drew for the third time in five matches as they had to settle for a point out at Preston on the weekend. The Villains have lost only one of their last ten games now but they haven’t managed a win in any of their last three on home soil (D2 L1). Their defence keeps failing them time and time again. QPR are having a surprisingly good season and are unbeaten in four (W3 D1) after taking a point at Reading on the weekend. Their away form hasn’t been great but a win at Notts Forest in their last road game shows what they are capable off.
QPR are more than good enough to get a point at Villa Park. Rangers haven’t conceded in their last three and while they aren’t a high-scoringside, they can frustrate the hosts. The draw is at 14/5 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
The Tigers stepped up to the plate on the weekend as they sprung a surprise win out at league leaders Leeds. It was a solid 2-0 victory as well for the Tigers. That improved their current form to W5 D2 in their last seven and it was their fourth win on the bounce. They fired themselves up to mid-table safety on the weekend. They take on Bolton who can’t shake off the attention of the drop zone right beneath them. The Trotters were held to 0-0 draw at home against Stoke and are winless in ten on the road, losing their last three.
The Tigers are flowing with confidence at the moment and Hull to win to nil at 7/5 is a great looking option* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm). Bolton aren’t a threat in front of goal.
The Tractor Boys just can’t winning momentum going to help them get away from the foot of the table. They are five points behind Reading who are second from bottom now. Ipswich go at home in midweek against Millwall who are just above the drop zone after having picked up back to back wins. That’s the kind of thing Ipswich can only dream of at the moment. Millwall got themselves a fantastic three points at home against Nottingham Forest on the weekend. Their back to back wins have been at home though and the Lions have lost their last two away games and are searching for their first away success of the season.
If Millwall are ever going to break that winless duck away from home this season, it has to be in this one. They have form behind them and the simple option here is backing the away win at 13/10 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
This is a mid-table clash between the two sides who are sat level on 35 points each after 25 games of the season down. The Potters could only manage a 0-0 draw out at the struggling Bolton over the weekend. They are carrying a big home form though having won their last two on home soil to nil. They were wins against Ipswich and Millwall who are both in the bottom five though. They’ll get a tougher challenge from Bristol City. The Robins are undefeated in seven games now after edging Rotherham on the weekend. They don’t score a lot, but they score frequently.
The Robins may have enough about them to go and get a win. They did recently win at Birmingham who are up in seventh place. This just has a draw written all over it through. The outright draw is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm)
The Latics have slipped back lately and they need that great home form to resurface again. After such a great season on home soil where they lost just one of their opening ten home games, they have lost back to back fixtures there. It was that home form keeping them afloat too because it’s been rough on the road for them. Can the Latics rediscover their winning touch? It’s going to be tough with Sheffield United coming to town. The Blades are up into fourth after having posted back to back wins over Blackburn and Derby in the last weekend. They scored exactly three goals in both of those as well. With a four math u run going away from home, they could extend their winning streak.
The Blades look the more likely of the two to get the job done. It’s been good stuff from them over the last weekend and Wigan have a big slump to try and dig themselves out of. The straightforward away win at 11/10 odds is a good proposition* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on December 30th, 2018 at 9:49 pm).
31st December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is another action-packed day of Championship football on Saturday with all teams in action during the 3.00 pm kick offs. Leeds extended their lead at the top of the table with yet another win on Boxing Day. Behind them, Norwich and West Brom both continued their strong form as well in the push for promotion. One of the big games of the day is Norwich v Derby from Carrow Road.
Here are our Championship predictions and tips for Saturday, December 29th, 2018.
The Baggies are undefeated in their last eight Championship fixtures now and are running hot against. They won six of those eight fixtures and banked a 2-0 success at the Hawthorns over Wigan on Boxing Day. They have netted at least two goals in seven of their last eight games and will that be enough to see of Wednesday? The Owls pulled off a bit of a surprise in midweek in taking a 1-0 win at Middlesbrough which snapped some poor away form.
The Baggies take some stopping at home and they should enough about them to get the win with the clean sheet at 13/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
The Lions got themselves a much-needed win in midweek as they collected 1 -0 home success over Reading. That was a big survival scrap at The Den and it moves Millwall a point clear of the drop zone. Still, plenty of work to do for them but they are W1 D2 L1 in their last four at home now. They now face Nottingham Forest who were involved in another high-scoring draw. After their recent 5-5 thriller at Villa Park, Forest collected a 3-3 draw at Norwich on Boxing Day. That was despite being 3-0 up with fifteen minutes to go at Carrow Road. Still, it does suggest that they could come up with the goals to hurt the hosts.
The Lions have done alright at home, but Forest could turn up and find the goals to get past them. Away win for Forest at 6/4 * (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
What a big win the Blades got for themselves in midweek as they toppled Derby in a top-six clash at Bramall Lane. Can they drive on from there are strengthen their place inside the top four now? That is the question. The home win over Derby came after back to back home losses that the Blades had suffered. This will be their easiest home game for a while though after having faced West Brom and Leeds, with Blackburn just inside the bottom half of the table. Rovers almost had the beating of league leaders Leeds at Elland Road in midweek but conceded two goals after the 90th minute to end up losing 3-2. That’s the way things are going for them with only one victory in their last eight games. That was at home too.
Sheffield United have to build on that success over Derby in midweek. They are a good solid home option for Saturday and are worth a flutter to win to nil at 7/4* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.)
This could be quite the interesting clash. Preston have slipped to back to back defeats, but their general form at Deepdale this season in the Championship has been solid enough. They have gone W4 D2 L1 in their last seven league home fixtures, averaging over two goals per game. They were beaten there in a bit of an upset against Hull on Boxing Day though. But that continued their streak of scoring in every home game played this term. Aston Villa picked up a good away win at Swansea in midweek and they are W5 D3 L1 in their last nine games which is a good run. They have won three of their last four on the road as well (D1).
The two may be pretty evenly matched at the end of the day in terms of output. Neither defence is great and the draw has the most appeal in the match outright at 12/5 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 27th, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.).
28th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This is going to be a top clash for Sunday in the Championship. Leeds start the weekend as the league leaders and have the chance to finish as the Christmas number one in the Championship. That’s a big incentive there. Aston Villa though have strung together a great run of unbeaten form and will throw down a serious challenge. Read our Aston Villa v Leeds betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 13/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 5:37 p.m.)
Aston Villa have put together a great seven-match unbeaten streak of form in the Championship. They earned a point from a 2-2 draw against Stoke last weekend. In their last four games the Villains have collected three draws (W1). Their defence has been far from watertight and they have shipped nine goals in their last four games alone. Aston Villa have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five fixtures.
Overall this season their form is W5 D5 L1 for the term and they have remained undefeated in their last six Championship games at Villa Park. Aston Villa have netted in all eleven fixtures this season at home, having produced at least two goals in each of their last four home games. Villa have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three league games though. Over 2.5 goals has turned up in each of Aston Villa’s last six games.
Villa have averaged over two goals per home game this season and 55% of league games at Villa Park have gone over 3.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 73% of matches at Villa Park this season. About two-thirds of the goals they have conceded at home this season have been in the second period of fixtures. They haven’t been behind at the halftime break at Villa Park this season.
Aston Villa took a 1-0 home win over Leeds last season in the Championship
They are unwanted in three league games against Leeds (W1 D2)
Each of the last six league clashes have ended under 2.5 goals
Villa are undefeated in four home games against Leeds
Leeds are W3 D4 L1 in their last eight against the Villains
Leeds start the weekend at the top of the league after a 1 -0 win at Bolton last weekend. It has been a tremendous run of form from them having won five on the bounce. In that sequence of five league wins Leeds have conceded just the one goal. Their away form is a positive W6 D3 L2 record this season. So they do have a lot going for them. They will be looking for their third straight away win.
Their last two away wins were achieved by a 1-0 scoreline. On their league travels this season Leeds have tallied 18 away goals, conceding 12. 55% of their road games this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Eight of their eleven away games have been level at the halftime break so that’s been a strong trend. Leeds have found the back of the net each of their last sixteen league games.
They have scored 61% of their away goals after the halftime break in games. They have scored the first goal in five of their away games this term. Only Middlesbrough have a better defensive record in the division than Leeds have. A huge plus for Leeds is that they have the best away record in this season’s Championship.
There is a decent chance at an away win here. Leeds have shown some quality in being able to win tough away games recently. Aston Villa are in good form but have far more defensive issues than the visitors. Away win.
22nd December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
It is the final Championship action before Christmas. Who will finish top of the league? There’s a great day of action on Saturday which rounds off with Hull v Swansea. Current league leaders Leeds make a tricky trip to face Aston Villa on Sunday.
Here are our top predictions and tips for the Championship weekend action. Dates and kick-off times vary.
Sunday, 23rd December – 1.30 pm
If Aston Villa could defend then their chances of getting back up to the top flight would be greatly enhanced. They have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five games played. They have shipped a total of nine goals in their last three home games. They are being tough to beat though as they are unbeaten in seven league games now, but have drawn their last two.
Leeds come for a visit on the weekend with a massive point (or three) to prove at the top of the table. They have powered their way to a five-match winning streak and four of those were with a clean sheet. With a W6 L1 record in their last seven played, this should be some duel. They have won three of their four away games this season at the other three teams inside the top four currently. Villa are down in eight and Leeds will have a chance here.
We like the look of Leeds getting the edge over Villa. They have lost just one of their last eight against the Villains and can expose those big holes in Villa’s defence. Away win at 19/10 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 8:43 pm)
Saturday, 22nd December – 3.00 pm
The Bees are buzzing around inside the bottom six after a really tough sequence of results. They ran out of steam really in early October after a strong start and they are now W1 D1 L8 in their last ten games. That’s a rough ride and they are on a three-match losing streak at home in the Championship as well. They have shipped at least two goals in five of their last six games in the league.
However, they are W4 D1 at home this season against sides currently 16th or lower in the table. With Bolton sitting second from bottom, can Brentford ease some pressure? The Trotters are even worse off in current form with a D2 L6 run of games. They are just struggling so badly in front of goal that even against out of form sides they are hard to trust.
Brentford to squeeze out a win by a one-goal margin at 12/5 odds appeals* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 8:43 pm). Bolton aren’t terrible at the back, they just can’t score.
Saturday, 22nd December – 3.00 pm
The Tractor Boys celebrated a big three points for themselves last weekend. Those points came in a 1-0 home win over Wigan who are one of the worst away sides in the Championship. Ipswich won’t care. That was their first win of the season at Portman Road (D6 L4). Can they build on it? The chances of that happening aren’t all that great really as Sheffield United are coming for a visit.
The Blades slipped to a defeat in a big clash against West Brom last weekend, but have won six of their eleven road games this season. From their away games against the current bottom six this season, the Blades have gone W4 D1. Sheffield United scored at least two goals in each of those. They have made light work of games like this.
Sheffield United have had no problems seeing off the lower sides in the division. We are predicting that to continue. Away win at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 8:43 pm)
Saturday, 22nd December – 3.00 pm
Rotherham collected yet another point from a Championship League fixture last weekend. They drew 1-1 at home with Reading and that is five drawn matches in their last six games (L1). Looking back further they are now W1 D10 L2 in their last thirteen fixtures. They just can’t seem to shake that habit of drawing games. It means that both teams have scored in Rotherham’s last eight games. They are unbeaten in nine now on home soil.
West Brom start the weekend in third place in the table and the Baggies are on a good six-match streak of undefeated form. They have won their last three away games as well. There has been a trend in those three away wins as well because they have all ended in a 2-1 success for the Baggies and all five of their away wins this season have been by a one-goal margin. Is that form good enough to see them get past the Millers on the weekend?
West Brom to win by a one-goal margin at 11/4 odds takes our fancy here. Rotherham are resilient, but the Baggies are carrying good strong form* (betting odds taken from bet365 on December 19th, 2018 at 8:43 pm).
21st December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
There should be a great encounter in the Midlands derby on Friday night in the Championship. Aston Villa make their way over to the Hawthorns to take on West Brom. The Baggies are have put together a strong season in a push for promotion, but just recently they will have seen some great form coming together from Villa. The visitors suddenly look to be a threat. Read our West Brom v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
West Brom 6/5
Aston Villa 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 4th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
West Brom dropped points in a home draw against Brentford last weekend at the Hawthorns. They had been on a three-match winning streak before that. The draw against Brentford also left them with a W6 D2 L2 record at the Hawthorns this term in the second tier. West Brom are the current top scorers in the Championship and on home soil they have come up with an average of 2.7 goals per game. It has played a big part in 70% of their home games going over the 2.5 goal line. While their scoring has been strong, they have struggled to earn clean sheets having picked up just the one on home soil all season long. They don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last five home league fixtures. West Brom have scored in each of their ten home fixtures this term though.
Home and away they have no clean sheet in eleven league games. 74% of West Brom’s home goals this season have been scored in the second half of matches. They have been level at the half time break in half of their ten home games this season, while they have come up the first goal in all but three of their home fixtures. With Villa’s form on the rise, a home win in this one would see the Baggies at least keep a positive game between themselves and their rivals. West Brom are four points clear of the Villains going into the game.
This is the first meeting since the 2015/16 EPL
In the last meeting at the Hawthorns there was a 0-0 draw
Three of the last four meetings have ended under 1.5 goals
West Brom are W2 D1 L1 in their last four against Villa in the league
The Baggies are unbeaten in six at home against Villa in all competitions
Villa took an impressive 3-0 win at Middlesbrough last weekend and that extended some terrific form which Dean Smith’s men have been on lately. After all their struggles this season they have hit top gear and have gone to a W4 D1 record in their last five games. That has seem them head into the weekend now just three points outside of the top six. Out on the road the Villains have produced a W3 D3 L4 record so far. The notable feature about their upturn in form is their high-scoring output. They have fired off 17 goals in their last five league games now. Aston Villa have produced at least two goals in each of their last five games
That impressive run of scoring form has helped them move to an average of 1.5 goals scored per away game this term. 60% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals and also a factor in that has been the fact that Villains have only pikced up the two clean sheets away from home so far.The positive is, is that those two clean sheets have been in their last two league away games at Derby and Middlesbrough, two of the current top seven. The Villains have been level at the halftime break in six of their ten road games and 60% of villa’s away goals this season have been after the halftime break. Both teams have scored in 70% of Aston Villa’s away games and they have scored the opening goal in five of their ten road games.
Aston Villa have done so well in front of goal lately and have certainly started to put things together so well. They will face a stern test at the Hawthorns though and we are going to shade things towards the Baggies who have come back into form well. West Brom to win by a one-goal margin.
5th December 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa finally seem to be coming to life having found some recent winning form in the Championship. So they are definitely on the up at the moment and will look to challenge Boro at the Riverside on Saturday evening. Boro are no pushovers, of course, heading into the weekend in third place and on a good unbeaten streak of form. Read our Middlesbrough v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 12/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 3:55 p.m.)
Middlesbrough earned a point from a midweek trip to Preston which leaves them unbeaten in seven. They are W3 D4 in that sequence of fixtures. Overall this season at the Riverside Boro have posted a W5 D3 L1 record and they are unbeaten in their last three there, winning two. Just 11% of their home games have made it over 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is at 4/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm) and that looks a great place to start for Middlesbrough v Aston Villa predictions. Each of Middlesbrough’s last eight home games have gone under 2.5 goals
Boro have conceded just the three goals at the Riverside this season in total, which tallies up to a clean sheet in 78% of their home fixtures. They have two clean sheets in their last three. 56% of their home games have been won to nil. Middlesbrough to win to nil is at 12/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). Seven of their ten home goals this season have appeared in the first half of matches so there’s been a big trend there. Home and away Boro are on a five-match scoring streak in the league. Four of their eight home games have been at 0-0 at halftime
Boro and Villa met five times last season
Along with league meetings, there met in the championship playoffs and the EFL Cup
Villa won 1-0 twice at the Riverside last season
There were just four goals in the five meetings last season
Villa earned a clean sheet in four of the five meetings last season
Villa went W2 D2 L1 against Boro last term
Villa were involved in a crazy 5-5 draw at home against Nottingham Forest in midweek, Tammy Abraham scoring four. That leaves them W3 D1 in their last four. Aston Villa produced a 3-0 win in their last away games out at Derby, a good result against a strong side. That victory snapped them out of a three-match losing streak away from home too. Aston Villa haven’t been great on the road with just a W2 D3 L4 record having been posted in the Championship away from Villa Park. They have produced 12 goals in their nine away games, conceding 13 and 56% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. They have been vulnerable at the back as 78% of their away games has seen both teams score.
The Villains have conceded 62% of their away goals in the first half of games and yet they have been level at halftime in six of their nine road fixtures. Four of those halftime draws were 1-1 scorelines. The halftime draw is at 21/20 odds and a good proposition* (betting odds taken on November 28th, 2018 at 4:24 pm). In just 11% of their away games in the second tier this season, Aston Villa have banked a clean sheet. They have scored the opening goal in four of their away fixtures. The Villains have lost three of their four away games against sides currently in the top eight this season (W1).
Villa clearly had the better of things last season against Boro but they haven’t delivered the away form this season. Middlesbrough have been a tough beast at the Riverside and the narrow home win gets our nod.
29th November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
The Villains looked as if they were starting to turn their fortunes around just before the international break as they picked up back to back wins. They get back into action with a tough Midlands derby. Birmingham are right there level on points with their rivals in the middle of the Championship table. Read our Aston Villa v Birmingham betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 17/20
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 20th, 2018 at 8:13 p.m.)
Aston Villa produced back to back wins in the Championship before heading into the international break. Their last game was a fantastic 3-0 success on the road at Derby. That was the second time this season only that the Villains had managed to win back to back league games. Villa are unbeaten in three on home soil, winning their last two with a clean sheet. Aston Villa to win to nil is at 2/1 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm). Each of Villa’s last three home wins have been with a clean sheet so there is a trend.
In their eight home games in the Championship, the Villains have come up with the fifteen goals. That has helped them to a W4 D3 L1 record for the season at Villa Park. They have hit the back of the net in all of their home games thus far. 80% of the goals that Villa have conceded at home this season have been in the second half of games. So that should lean towards the half-time draw offering some decent appeal in the game at 6/5 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm).
Villas have won their last three at home against Birmingham to nil
Villa are unbeaten in their last 12 league games at the Blues (W8 D4)
Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings in all competitions
Birmingham have failed to score in four of the last five against Villa
The Blues last won at Villa Park in the 2004 top flight
Birmingham had a ding-dong battle in a 3-3 draw with Hull in their last Championship fixture. High scoring games has been a feature for them recently. That draw leaves the Blues with a good W4 D1 L1 record in their last six fixtures and they have need at least two goals in all but two of their last six. They have earned only the one clean sheet in their last eight though. Both teams to score is at 5/6 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm)
Birmingham’s away form in the Championship this season is W2 D3 L3. It is well worth a look at their form against sides in the top half of the table. The Blues are just W1 D6 L2 in nine game against top-half of the table sides. Birmingham have come up with an average of less than a goal per away games. 71% of their away goals have been scored in the first half of games. 78% of their away goals conceded have been in the second half. They have struck the back of the net in each of their last nine league games. In the correct score market the 1-1 draw is at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on November 20th, 2018 at 8:14 pm)
Villa have been good enough on home soil and have had a bit of momentum behind them, enough to go and get a win on the board in this one. It will probably only be by the one-goal margin though as they do look evenly matched.
22nd November 2018 / lee - Category: Championship Betting