It is Aston Villa and Derby who will be stepping out at Wembley in the Championship Play-Off Final. The Championship play-off final is the richest game in English football, with the huge prize being a place among the elite in the country next season.
Premier League football awaits one of these next season. Which one will it be? It is Aston Villa who are the 6/5 favourites with bookmakers to win the Wembley duel* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa 6/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.)
Aston Villa met their Midlands rivals West Brom in their Championship play-off semi-final. The Villains took a 2-1 lead at home in the first leg, so went to the Hawthorns with something to defend. They lost 1-0 on the night, as the Baggies came back hard at them. However, there is no away goal rule in the playoffs, which worked in Villa’s favour.
Instead, the game went to a penalty shootout. It was Villa who stormed out to a lead in that as West Brom missed their first two kicks. Tammy Abraham sealed the deal for Villa to give them a 4-3 shootout success. So after a three-year absence from the top flight, Aston Villa have just one more step to go to end that. They are 8/13 for Promotion* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 16th, 2019 at 3:16 p.m.).
Derby though pulled off some heroics in their semi-final against Leeds after looking down and out. The Rams were already 1-0 down in the tie from the first leg at home, and when they conceded the opening goal of the second leg at Elland Road, things looked pretty dire for them. On the stroke of half time, though, substitute Jack Marriott made the most of a mistake in the Leeds backline to tie the game up.
That changed the whole complexion of the game. Derby came out roaring in the second half, Mason Mount striking just after the restart which meant that it was game on. Derby stayed on the front foot picking up a stunning 4-2 win on the night to move through to the play-off final. It would be some achievement for Rams boss Frank Lampard in his first season in charge to get the club up to the top flight.
In the head to head between the two sides this season, it is Aston Villa who held a clear advantage. They powered their way to a 3-0 success at Pride Park in the first league meeting, before taking a 4-0 win over them back on home soil. Derby have taken just one win in their last nine games against Villa.
16th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This tie is still very much in the balance after the Villains took a 2-1 home win in the first leg of this semi-final tie. Will that be enough for them to defend as they head out to the Hawthorns? West Brom have been carrying some massively strong home form recently and may well be able to mount a fightback in this Midlands derby. Read our West Brom v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
West Brom 7/5
Aston Villa 7/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)
The Baggies have some home form behind them and that away goal in the first leg could prove to be crucial. It would have been a long way back without that one. West Brom have won their last five home games in a row, undefeated in seven now at the Hawthorns. It’s not just that, but they have been on fire in front of goal as well. Albion have netted at least two goals in each of their last five home games, so have enough in their current scoring form to turn this tie around. Each of the last five games played at the Hawthorns have ended up going over 2.5 goals. West Brom scored 68% of their home goals in the second half of matches but did also conceded 65% of goals after the break.
West Brom averaged 2.3 goals per home game this season, with 65% of games there making it over 2.5 goals. What should make this exciting is that they didn’t particularly have a great season of things in defence. West Brom only managed a clean sheet in 13% of their home games this season. That led to 83% of fixtures at the Hawthorns seeing both teams score in the game. Of the twelve home wins that West Brom took during the season, eight of them were by a margin of at least two goals.
The Villains are on a fantastic run of seven matches undefeated away from home. It has been brilliant stuff from them, with Villa picking up a win in five of those seven games. That was a five-match away winning streak that they had been on before they picked up a 1-1 draw at Leeds in their final away game of the regular season. The Villains though did fail to take an away win in any of their four games against the teams who finished above them (D2 L2). One of those was a 2-2 draw at West Brom, which would suit them just fine if it happened again. The overall away form of Villa during the regular season was W9 D8 L6.
Villa averaged 1.4 goals per away game, conceding at just over a goal per game. Of the wins that they took, six of the nine were by a margin of at least two goals. Aston Villa are on seven match scoring streak on their travels, scoring in each of their last fourteen games played now after the first leg of this semi-final. The Villains were sat level at the break in 14 of their 23 away games for the season. They produced 66% of their away goals in the second half of matches. Aston Villa finished the regular season as the third highest scorers in the Premier League games. One of the two teams to score more was West Brom.
West Brom do have the home form to get themselves back into this tie, with plenty of goals having been put on the scoreboard recently at the Hawthorns. However, Villa are a threat and it’s not going to be that easy for the home side. West Brom to win by a one-goal margin.
12th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Aston Villa make another attempt at the Championship play-offs, just as they did last season. The Villains who finished the season in pretty strong form will be taking on their Midlands rivals West Brom in what should be a heated play-off tie. There is not likely to be too many quarters given between them in this one. It should be a fiercely competitive nailbiter. Read our Aston Villa v West Brom betting tips for more.
Aston Villa evens
West Brom 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 5th, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.)
If you’re back towards the end of last year they didn’t look as if Aston Villa were going to be anywhere near the playoffs. However, when the start of March came along the Villains managed to put together a massive 10 match winning streak in the Championship. That got them over the finish line. They failed win either of their last two games in the regular season, claiming an away draw at Leeds before losing their very final game of the season against Championship winners Norwich. They won’t care about that though, they are in the playoffs with another shot at getting back to the top flight. During the course of the regular season, Aston Villa produced a home record of W11 D8 L4.
During the course of those games, Aston Villa averaged over two goals per home game and 74% of all fixtures at Villa Park went over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 70% of league fixtures there. Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 13 league games and in each of their last six on home soil. The Villains were also leading at the halftime break in 11 of their home fixtures this season. Aston Villa were on a five-match winning streak in the league at home before their final day reverse against Norwich. Of the goals which they did concede at home during the regular season, 64% were in the second half of fixtures. Aston Villa opened the scoring in 14 of their 23 home fixtures.
West Brom have won their last two visits to Villa Park
West Brom have three clean sheets in four against Villa
Villa are winless in four against the Baggies
Both teams have scored in one of the last five meetings
West Brom put together a pretty strong finish towards the end of the season, winning three of their final five matches (D1 L1). They did suffer a loss out at Derby, another of the playoff teams, on the final day of the season now. What really pushed them towards the finish was some powerful form at the Hawthorns. Funnily enough, they were going so strongly away from home up and still around mid-February and then things started to fall apart a bit with their away form. West Brom have claimed just one victory in their last six away games, losing four of those in a sequence. So that is a bit of a question mark over them for this first leg.
The overall away form of West Brom this season is W11 D4 L8 and they did win three of their four away games against other top five finishers this season (L1). That includes their 2-0 away victory at Villa Park. During the regular season campaign, West Brom averaged 1.5 goals per away game but this struggle defensively with a clean sheet in just 26% of fixtures. The Baggies have earned just one clean sheet in their last seven games out on the road. Of the 11 away wins that West Brom took during the regular season, eight of those were by a one-goal margin. West Brom were just one of two sides to score more league goals during their Championship campaign them Aston Villa.
This should be some fantastic play-off semi-final action between these two. There should be plenty of goals flying around over the course of the two matches. Perhaps West Brom’s away form isn’t quite there at the moment, so it may well be Aston Villa who claim an advantage in this fixture. Home win.
7th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
A point will be enough for Norwich to be crowned Championship champions this season. It would be a pretty fitting reward for such a powerful campaign. Aston Villa will be facing the stress of the playoffs after their superb run of form. They have locked down a fifth place finish. Read our Aston Villa v Norwich betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 19/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 3rd, 2019 at 4:54 p.m.)
The Villains had their ten-match winning streak snapped last weekend, as they were held to a 1-1 draw against Leeds. They are still running on a brilliant five-match home winning streak though and so they could have enough to trip up the Canaries. The home form this season of the Villains is W11 D8 L3 but they have had a few struggles on home soil against some of the stronger teams. They are D1 L2 in their home games against the current top four. Aston Villa are on a twelve match scoring streak in the league currently.
On home soil they have produced an average of 2.2 goals per home game and 73% of their home game have gone over 2.5 goals. Six of Villa’s eleven home wins this season have been by a one-goal margin. They have been leading at half time in 11 of their home games. Of the goals which they have conceded at Villa Park this season, 65% of them have been in the second half of games. The Villains have opened the scoring in 14 of their 22 home fixtures this season. Only Norwich and West Brom have produced more league goals than Villa this season.
Norwich earned a 2-1 home win over Villa earlier this season
Norwich have won the last two league meetings
Each of the last three meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Villa are on a four-match winning streak at home over Norwich
So can Norwich hold out for a point? This is actually a tricky game for them to finish with. They should have already had the league title locked down by now but they have drawn four of their last five games. They collected a 2-1 win over Blackburn last weekend to snap a four-match sequence of drawn games. This season on their travels Norwich have produced a superb return of W11 D9 L2. They are undefeated in their last six out on the road. If you combine home and away games, Norwich are unbeaten in 13.
The Canaries have scored in each of their last 26 league games, but they have not gone without a clean sheet in any of their last five. Six of their eleven away wins this season have happened by a one-goal margin. The Canaries have been level at half time in exactly half of their away games. They have come up with 65% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures. It has been a wonderful season from them. They boast the best away record in the division and they are also the league’s top goal scorers. Just one more point and they will handed the Championship trophy.
The draw is a good fit for this one. Aston Villa will be looking to defend their unbeaten run heading to the playoffs, while it is just a point that Norwich needs to get the title and shut the door in Sheffield United’s face. Draw.
4th May 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Leeds have fallen out of form at the wrong time, having lost their last two fixtures. They have missed out on automatic promotion. They go into a really tough game at Elland Road on Sunday as well as they face up to Villa. A huge surge of form from Villa has seen them lock down a playoff place. Will they be able to extend their massive winning streak? Read our Leeds v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 11/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 27th, 2019 at 9:00 p.m.)
Leeds have suffered back to back defeats against Wigan and Brentford. The fixture at home against the struggling Latics was a hammer blow for them in their push for automatic promotion. Not many people would have seen that result coming against such a poor away side. Leeds have posted a W14 D3 L5 record on home soil this season and they have won five of their last seven at Elland Road (L2). This is their final home fixture of the regular season and will be at least looking to try and get back into some kind of form. They have won five of their eight games at home against the current top ten sides (D1 L2).
Leeds average 1.7 goals per home game and their defence has stayed tight, conceiving at under a goal per game on average. In total, they have picked up a clean sheet in 41% of home games this term, which is superb. Of the home wins that they have taken, half of them have been by a two-goal margin at least. The Whites have been level at the halftime break in 11 of their home fixtures and they have scored 62% of their home goals in the second period of matches. Leeds have not been in involved in a league draw in any of their last thirteen played, home and away. In total, the Whites have opened the scoring in 13 home fixtures. Only Norwich and Sheffield United have better home records than Leeds do.
Leeds earned a 3-2 win at Villa earlier this season
There was a 1-1 draw in this corresponding fixture last season
Just one of the last seven meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Leeds are undefeated in their last five at Elland Road against Villa
Aston Villa took a 1-0 home win over Millwall last weekend which extended their winning streak ten games in the league. That’s been such a fantastic run from them since the start of March. Out on the road they are on a five match winning streak and are undefeated in their last six. The Villains have scored at least two goals in each of their last four away games now. Their overall away record is W9 D7 L6 this season, so it’s been this huge surge which has really bumped those numbers up. Villa’s away record this season against the other top four sides is W1 L2.
The Villains have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game this season, conceding at just over a goal per game. They have bagged a clean sheet in 27% of road games, and have two in their last five on the road. Six of their nine away success for the season have been by at least a two-goal margin. The Villains have been sat level at the halftime break in 13 of their 22 away fixtures. Overall home and away, they are unbeaten in their last eleven games and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last four on the road. 65% of Villa’s away goals have come in the second period of matches.
Leeds have to show a bit more character than what they have done in their last couple of games. They haven’t handled the pressure. They face a tough side in this one in the form of Aston Villa. But you feel that Villa’s winning streak has to end sooner or later. Draw.
27th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Villa will continue their push inside the top six with a home game against Millwall on Monday. Will they be able to keep up their hot winning streak at home, sinking the Lions into further trouble at the other end of the season at the same time? Read our Aston Villa v Millwall betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 8/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.)
The Villains are on a four-match winning streak of form at the moment on home soil in the Championship. They have scored at least two goals in each of those as well. Their last two home successes have been by a 2-1 scoreline over Blackburn and Bristol City. Their overall record at Villa Park this term is W10 D8 L3 and they have scored at an average of 2.3 per game.
76% of all league fixtures at Villa Park this season have gone over 2.5 goals. They have banked a clean sheet in 24% of their home fixtures. A reverse at home against West Brom in mid-February is their only defeat in their last nine at Villa Park. Villa have been leading at the half time break in ten of their home games this term. It is just a matter of getting to the finish line and securing their play off place.
Aston Villa lost 2-1 at The Den back in October
Millwall are undefeated in four against Villa in all competitions (W3 D1)
There was a 0-0 draw at Villa Park between them last season
Villa are unbeaten in six home games against the Lions
Can Millwall survive this away test? Last weekend they made a trip to Sheffield United and got a very good point for themselves. They have taken a W1 D1 L1 record in their last three away games. The overall away record of Millwall this season is W3 D5 L13 and just one of those three wins have come against a side sitting in the top half of the table currently. The pressure is seriously mounting on them now.
The Lions have averaged just over a goal per away game this season, earning a clean sheet in just 14% of road games. To their credit all three away wins have come since the turn of the new year. But they have still lost four of their last seven away from The Den. Nine of their thirteen away defeats this season have been by a one-goal margin. The Lions are on a six-match scoring streak on their travels.
Aston Villa’s form at home is red hot at the moment and they have been scoring freely. Millwall are not likely going to have enough to repel them at the end of the day. Backing Aston Villa to get a fairly comfortable home win at 8/11 is a solid option* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 10:19 p.m.).
19th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Bolton have to win this to have any chance of staying up this season. They are eleven points from safety with twelve to play for. Unfortunately for them, they are facing Aston Villa who are still in a big winning mood at the moment. The Villains look to have done enough to secure a top-six finish. Read our Bolton v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 4/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 16th, 2019 at 4:58 p.m.)
Bolton are almost down and out. They lost 4-0 at Derby on the weekend which was their third defeat on the bounce. The Trotters have lost five of their last six in the Championship, home and away. Bolton are just W4 D4 L13 this season at home in the league and they have lost their last three on home soil. They have actually lost five of their last six at home now. Bolton have managed only 13 goals at home this season which is an average of 0.6 goals per game.
77% of their home goals have been scored after the half time break. The Trotters have conceded at an average of 1.5 goals per home game this season, taking a clean sheet in 14% of home games. All of the eight wins that they have taken this season, home and away, have been by a one-goal margin. Bolton have been losing at half time in 12 of their home games and they have no clean sheet in eight at home. They have conceded exactly two goals in each of their last three home games.
Villa were 2-0 winners at home against the Trotters in November
Bolton won this corresponding fixture 1-0 last season
Each of the last three meetings have produced a home win to nil
Both teams have scored in two of the last six
Aston Villa extended their winning streak to eight on the weekend with a good home win over Bristol City. That really boosted their playoff chances. It has been so impressive from Villa, but they have taken just the one clean sheet in their last six played, despite their winning streak. Out on their travels in the Championship they are W8 D7 L6 and they are currently on a four-match winning streak away from Villa Park, unbeaten in five.
Villa have averaged 1.4 goals per away game, taking a clean sheet in 24% of road games. They haven’t earned a clean sheet in any of their last three on the road though. The Villains have scored at least two goals in each of their last six games, home and away, and in each of their last three on the road. Two-thirds of their away goals have been netted after the half time break. Norwich and West Brom are the only two sides in the league to have scored more goals than Villa have done this season.
Aston Villa can keep their streak going as there hasn’t been much quality coming from the Trotters recently. Villa just look too powerful and strong for the hosts at the moment. Aston Villa to win & both teams to score looks solid.
16th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This is going to be a huge showdown in the race for a playoff place finish in the Championship this season. Villa and City are fifth and sixth respectively and both have been on a good streak of form. The three points out of this would be highly precious to whoever can claim them. Read our Aston Villa v Bristol City betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 4/5
Bristol City 7/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 11th, 2019 at 3:44 p.m.)
The Villains made it seven wins on the bounce with a midweek away success at relegation-threatened Rotherham. It has been some streak of form from Aston Villa, who look likely to lock down a playoff spot. They go to the game one point above Bristol City and so maximum points from this home fixture would leave them so well situated in the top five. Villa are on a three-match winning streak at home at the moment. That is part of an overall W9 D8 L3 home record from them this term.
The Villains have averaged 2.30 goals per home game this season, while they have conceded at an average of 1.65. All that has totalled up to 75% of Villa’s home games having made it over 2.5 goals this season. Villa have earned a clean sheet in exactly a quarter of their home games this season, taking two in their last three there. They have scored in each of their last eight game in the division, with at least two goals netted in each of their last five. Each of their last five Championship games have also gone over 2.5 goals.
There was 1-1 draw between them earlier this season
Villa are undefeated in four against City
Aston Villa won this corresponding fixture 5-0 against City last season
The Robins have won one of their last seven against Villa in all competitions
The Robins have done well to get themselves back in the playoff picture. They are currently undefeated in five games now, winning three of those. Of the wins in that sequence, they have taken out Sheffield United, Middlesbrough and West Brom, all current top-seven teams. The wins over Boro and Sheffield United were away from home as well. The Robins have posted a fantastic W10 D4 L5 record on their travels this season in the Championship. They have the fifth-best away record in the league at the moment.
The Robins have scored in each of their last ten road games and their away record is now at W10 D4 L5. They have averaged 1.4 goals per away game this season and defensively they have been even better. The Robins have taken a clean sheet in 57% of their away games, with only 37% of their road games going over 2.5 goals. Of their ten away wins, eight of them have been by a one-goal margin. Bristol City have been level at the half time break in 11 of their 19 away fixtures. They have scored 63% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures.
What a game this should be. Bristol City are back on form and are going to pose a challenge for the Villains. However, Aston Villa at home should just have the extra scoring power about them to get over the finish line. Home win.
12th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
This has the making of being a fantastic clash at Hillsborough, where Sheffield Wednesday are no pushover. They are on a great streak of undefeated form in the Championship, but they face an Aston Villa side who in red hot form at the moment. The Villians will be looking for their sixth straight win. Read our Sheffield Wednesday v Aston Villa betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 13/10
Sheffield Wednesday 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 4th, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.)
It has been great stuff from Sheffield Wednesday recently as they have only lost one league game since the turn of the new year. Actually, they have suffered only the one defeat in their last seventeen league outings, winning eight of those. The Owls are undefeated in their last twelve. They are in great shape at Hillsborough with a ten-match undefeated streak of form going there. Their numbers overall on home soil this season are at W8 D8 L3.
However, they haven’t taken a home win this season against any side who are currently sat in the top eight, going D3 L3 from such matches. Sheffield Wednesday have produced 27 goals on home soil this season, conceding just an average of 1.1 goals per game. They have taken a clean sheet in 32% of all their fixtures at home. Five of their eight home wins have been by a one-goal margin. The Owls have conceded 73% of their home goals after the half time break.
The Owls took a 2-1 success at Villa Park in September
Sheffield Wednesday are W3 L2 in their last five against Villa
Each of the last three meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Villa have won three of their last four visits to Hillsborough
It is a five-match winning streak that Aston Villa find themselves on at the moment. It has been form which has seen them power their way into a playoff push. Overall, they are undefeated in their last six games. Out on the road, they hold a W6 D7 L6 record this season and they have won their last two away games, taking down Birmingham and Nottingham Forest. Those have been their only two wins in their last seven out on the road though. Villa taken a clean sheet in just 26% of away games.
The Villains have averaged 1.2 goals per away game with less than half of their road games going over 2.5 goals. They have been sat level at the halftime break in 11 of their 19 away games so far. Of the goals which they have come up with away from home, 58% of them have been in the second half of fixtures. Villa have scored at least two goals in each of their last three league games. There are only two sides in the division who have scored more league goals in this season’s Championship then Villa have done.
The Owls are a tough side to beat and they look a decent option to back to end Villa’s winning streak. The Villains will be coming up a very good home side in this one and may not be able to get maximum points, but they are still good enough to avoid defeat. Draw.
5th April 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting
Villa are still in great form with a four-match winning streak going now. That has left them in sixth place in the league, but everyone down to Notts Forest in eleventh can potentially draw level with them this weekend. There’s a lot of work to be done still. Blackburn pay a visit, but Rovers are well out of form at the moment. Read our Aston Villa v Blackburn betting tips for more.
Aston Villa 8/13
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Villa are steaming along at the moment and they produced a fantastic 3-0 home success over Middlesbrough in their last game before the recent international break. That was some result to strengthen their push for a playoff spot. That is a four-match winning streak they are on now and in that sequence, they have scored 11 and have conceded just 1. Overall this season at home in the Championship, Villa are at W8 D8 L3. They have won their last two at home, back to back clean sheet wins over Middlesbrough and Derby.
The Villains average 2.3 goals per home game this season with 74% of their home fixtures having gone over 2.5 goals. They haven’t been great at the back for the most part though, with an average of 1.7 goals against them per home game. There have been recent signs that they are getting that together at the back though. Villa have been leading at half time in 9 of their 19 home games (D7 L3). They have conceded 62% of their goals at home in the second period of fixtures. They are the third-highest scorers in the division currently.
Villa are on a five-match winning streak at home against Blackburn
Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings at Villa Park
Blackburn have won one of their last seven against Villa in all competitions
There was a 1-1 draw at Ewood Park earlier this season
Rovers are in a bit of a slump at the moment with just the one win in their last nine leagues (D1 L7). They have managed to take just the one point from their last five games on the road and they have been shipping a lot of goals. Rovers have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five away games, totalling 16 goals against in those 5 games. It has left them at W4 D5 L10 on their travels.
Blackburn have conceded at over two goals per away game on average this season, with 68% of their road fixtures going above 2.5 goals. They have themselves scored in each of their last six games away from Ewood Park but are without a clean sheet in five. 71% of their goals which they have conceded away from home have been after the halftime break. Only the current three in the table have conceded more league goals than what Rovers have done this season.
Aston Villa should be able to continue their good winning form at the moment. Blackburn are leaking goals all over the place and so the potential of this being a high scoring game as well, high. Villa to win & both teams to score.
28th March 2019 / lee - Category: Championship Betting