This is the pick of the bunch when it comes to international friendly matches this week. Germany will be taking on Argentina in Dortmund and it is the hosts who are favourites. Neither squad is going to be at full strength for this one, with Germany having taken a heavy hit with injuries. Read our Germany v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 8th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
Germany will be lining up against Estonia on the 13th in their one game in the European Championships qualifiers during this international break. They get a warm-up for that one by taking on Argentina on Wednesday night. The Germans have won four of their last five games played, the one exception in that run, a 2-4 loss at home against the Netherlands in the Euro 2020 qualifiers. That is their only loss in their last eight fixtures and they seem to be on the road to recovery after a difficult year from late 2017 through to the end of the Nations League.
They are scoring a lot more freely at the moment, Die Mannschaft having netted at least two goals in each of their last five games played. Just once in their last eight have they failed to score at least two goals in a fixture. Surprisingly they have won only one of their last four at home, but have scored at least two goals in five of their last six. Germany aren’t at full strength with several players like Toni Kroos, Ilkay Gundogan and Timo Werner sidelined.
The last meeting was a friendly in 2014 which Argentina won
Argentina have won two of the last three meetings
Germany trails the head to head W2 D3 L5
Both teams have scored in two of the last five meetings
Argentina are always a really hard side to read when it comes to international friendly matches. It is not always them at their strongest that you see. But they have a good record nonetheless. Argentina are undefeated in their last four international friendly games, conceding just one goal in that sequence of games. However, really since that 6-1 drubbing by Spain back in March last year, they haven’t faced anyone of note other than Brazil (L1) and Mexico (W3).
So their experiences against European nations are hard to gauge. They aren’t at full complement for this one, with Lionel Messi out injured, and the Albiceleste have some fresh faces in their squad. Argentina has suffered just one loss in their last 10 friendly away games. However, the quality of opposition has to come into question in that sequence against the likes of Hong Kong, El Salvador and Iraq.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
With both nations being deprived of some key figures, this may turn out to be a lower-key affair than expected. Germany certainly won’t want to risk too much ahead of their Euro 2020 qualifiers against Estonia. The Germans are a good home team, so they can grab the win by a one-goal margin.
8th October 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
It is a third-place showdown for these two. Argentina and Chile have met in the last two finals of the Copa America, but they both fell short this time around. Once again Lionel Messi will be finishing a major international tournament without a title. Can he at least guide them to third place? Read our Argentina v Chile betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 5th, 2019 at 7:53 p.m.)
Things were never quite right from the start from Argentina at the Copa America. They opened with a 2-0 defeat against Colombia which made life difficult for themselves. Then there was further frustration for them as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Paraguay. While Argentina rounded off the group action with a 2-0 win over Qatar, it was only good enough to put them through in second place. The problem with that finish was it put the Albiceleste on a collision course with Brazil in the semifinals
That happened with Argentina taking a 2-0 win over Venezuela in the quarterfinals. The Albiceleste fell short in that final four fixture, losing 2-0 against their great rivals. So despite all their wealth of attacking talent, it has been a pretty poor return from them. Their record in 2019 is now W4 D1 L3 and three of their four wins have been with a clean sheet. All three of the losses in that sequence of games were by a two-goal margin. Their wait for their first Copa America title since 1993 will have to go on. They are joint hosts next time in 2020.
Argentina beat Chile 1-0 in the last meeting in 2017
Chile beat Argentina on penalties in the 2015 and 2016 Copa America Finals
Chile are winless in seven against Argentina over 90 minutes
Argentina are W14 D6 L1 in the head to head against Chile
Chile have failed to make it three straight Copa America titles. Given that they haven’t been in great shape for the year, it is somewhat surprising that they have gotten this deep into the tournament. Chile finished second in the group stage. They took their chances in easier games against Ecuador and Japan, collecting wins, but lost their group decider against Uruguay. So that was the second place finish for them, putting them up against Colombia in the quarterfinals.
Chile were second best in that contest, but after a 0-0 draw managed to win the penalty shoot out. That gave them a semi-final tie against Peru. The Chileans were hot favourites to win that game but they had a major collapse. They were actually the ones who bossed possession and chances but somehow ended up losing 3-0. So that leaves Chile with just a W3 D2 L3 record for the 2019 calendar year. They have failed to score in their last three games now. But will they frustrate the Albiceleste once again?
Who knows how either of these will approach this game? Argentina should be winning games like this but they are struggling with their form as much as Chile are. This may not be settled in the 90 minutes so the outright draw looks a decent option.
6th July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
This is a massive semi-final clash and it is all because Argentina failed to win their group. That would have kept them apart until the final, which was sort of projected when the draw was made. So now one of them will fall and the winner will be the clear front runner to lift the title. The winner faces either Chile or Peru in the final. Read our Brazil v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 30th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)
The Brazilians did not have things all their own way in the group stage. Their own fans were against them in their opening couple of games. They were booed off at half time when they were 0-0 against group outsiders Bolivia (but Brazil won 3-0 in the end). They were booed again when their second fixture against Venezuela ended in a 0-0 draw. Brazil managed one shot on target only in that game. The Brazilians then found a bit of form as they crushed Peru 5-0 in their final group stage fixture. That kept the home support happy. In the quarterfinals, they were handed an easier tie against Paraguay.
Paraguay were one of the best third-place qualifiers. But the Brazilians were once again made to work hard and were highly frustrated. That game ended 0-0, but the Selecao squeezed through 4-3 on a penalty shootout. Brazil had been playing against ten men for the final half hour of the game. So it has just been hit and miss from them and they have looked short of quality up front as they are missing Neymar. Brazil are undefeated since October last year, posting a W11 D3 record in their last fourteen games.
Brazil beat Argentina 1-0 in a friendly last year
The Brazilians are W25 D15 L11 against Argentina
The last Copa America meeting was in 2007 with Brazil winning 3-0
Argentina have won one of the last four against Brazil (D1 L2)
Argentina have had their struggles through this Copa America campaign. It started when they lost their opening game 2-0 against Colombia. It continued when they were frustrated into a 1-1 draw against Paraguay in their second fixture, their opponents missing a chance to win the game from the penalty spot.
But they managed to claw their way into second place at the end of the day with a nervy win over Qatar, helped out with Paraguay failing to beat Colombia in their final fixtures. Their second place finish put them through to a quarter-final tie against Venezuela, which on paper didn’t look easy for the Albicestele as the Venezuelans were in a decent bit of form and had beaten them earlier this year in a friendly.
But Argentina produced a 2-0 win, Sergio Aguero assisting on both goals. They are the only team to have won their quarter-final tie in 90 minutes. But once again it has been a pretty poor return from such a sparkling array of forward talent. Lautero Martinez is their top scorer with two, Aguero and Lionel Messi both having netted only one each. Messi’s was from the penalty spot too. Argentina are W4 D1 L1 in their last six games and they were on a streak of just one clean sheet in five before securing the back to back 2-0 wins over Qatar and Venezuela in their last two fixtures.
Tough game to call with these two South American giants standing toe to toe. Both have looked flawed in attack at the tournament. So that means it may be worth expecting this to go beyond 90 minutes. Brazil do have home support on their side, so maybe that will just get them over the line and into the final. Brazil to win by a one-goal margin.
1st July 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
Argentina finally managed to earn second place in their group, but they certainly had some struggles along the way and have looked thoroughly underwhelming. But at least they are over the hurdle and next up for them is Venezuela in the quarterfinals. Venezuela finished second in their group, remaining undefeated. Read our Venezuela v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 24th, 2019 at 7:55 p.m.)
Venezuela went unbeaten in their three group stage fixtures. They opened with a 0-0 draw against Peru and then luck was on their side a bit as they took on Brazil. The Brazilians had three goals disallowed against Venezuela, and the game ended in a 0-0 draw. There were three points then picked up by Venezuela with a 3-1 win over Bolivia in their final group stage match. So that wasn’t a bad bank of work from them at all really. Now they are going up against one of the other big guns in Argentina.
Venezuela are a tough side to beat it would seem. They have lost just one of their last eleven games (W5 D5). They are currently on a four-match undefeated streak, winning two of those. In this sequence of positive form, Venezuela actually took a win over Argentina, which makes this fixture even more fascinating. They met them for a friendly in March this year and beat Argentina 3-1. So they are capable of those big wins on the day. Venezuela have conceded just one goal in their last four games in total. They could make this really interesting and tough for Argentina, who aren’t exactly playing all that well.
Venezuela are undefeated in three games against Argentina (W1 D2)
Both teams have scored in each of the last four meetings
The last Copa America meeting was in 2016 which Argentina won 4-1
W14 D2 L2 is Argentina’s lead in the head to head
Argentina were immediately on the back foot at the start of their Copa America 2019 campaign. That is because they lost 2-0 against Colombia. It was a tough blow for them because they had largely dominated the game but couldn’t get a breakthrough. They then were frustrated by Paraguay in their second group game, Lionel Messi saving them with an equaliser from the penalty spot. But the Albicelsete had a lucky break when Paraguay missed a penalty of their own to get back in front. Their group stage campaign was rounded off with a 2-0 win over Qatar.
But again Argentina struggled to get anything going and the game wasn’t put to bed until the final ten minutes when Sergio Aguero got their second. Argentina had looked really susceptible to quick counter-attacks by Qatar throughout the match and were never really comfortable. Argentina’s form reads W3 D1 L2 in their last six games. So they are far from being any kind of a complete package and their forward line just hasn’t been working all that well. Messi was anonymous against Qatar. They need their big players to start performing or else they will find the path to the title very difficult.
Argentina have looked pretty dull and lifeless so far apart from some bright spells in their opener against Colombia. Having already lost to Venezuela this year there is reason for them to be a little bit nervous. This may need more than the 90 minutes. Draw match outright.
24th June 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
Qatar can be pretty pleased with their efforts so far in the tournament. So much so that they have a chance to get through to the next round. They are sat in third place heading into the final round of matches one point behind second-placed Paraguay. Oh yes, Argentina, they are bottom of the group and need a win. Read our Qatar v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 20th, 2019 at 10:22 p.m.)
AFC Asian Cup champions Qatar have done well to hold their own so far. They played out a 2-2 in their opening game against Paraguay, having fought back from two goals down in that one. Then they looked to have battled to a point against Colombia in their second fixture, that was until four minutes from time when they conceded for a 1-0 loss. Now they have to stand toe to toe with Argentina and the winner of it could have a shot at second place as long as Paraguay don’t win their final group stage game against Colombia.
It is a three-match winless streak of form that Qatar are on at the moment (D1 L2) since winning the Asian Cup. They are without a clean sheet in four now. This was of course always going to be a tougher challenge than what they faced in the Asian Cup. Can they come up with some special and beat Argentina? That would be something. The other interesting scenario is that a draw for them, leaving them on two points, could be enough to get them through to the knockout stage as one of the best third-place finishers.
There has just been one previous meeting between the two nations
Argentina took a 3-0 international friendly win 2005
So nothing’s going right for Argentina at the moment then. They opened with a big blow for a 2-0 loss against Colombia, despite dominating for most of the game. Then they had to fight back from a goal down against Paraguay in their second fixture to collect a 1-1 draw. Lionel Messi equalized for them from the spot kick. Argentina then dodged a bullet has Paraguay had a penalty kick saved after that. Regardless, Argentina have to win this game to have any kind of a chance of making into the next round of competition. Can they dig out the win in this one?
Argentina are W2 D1 L2 in their last five games now and so it hasn’t been the greatest of form from them. They looked pretty disjointed in their 1-1 draw with Paraguay it has to be said. There wasn’t a great deal of cohesion from them. Paraguay were not a team with any kind of form behind them heading into the tournament either. Surprisingly, despite their wealth of attacking talent, Argentina have managed to score more than one goal in just one of their last five games now. They have just the one clean sheet in five as well. The pressure is on.
Argentina did not look a happy bunch at the end of their second game. But still, they will be expected to come and dig out a win in this one. Qatar have done a pretty good job but spent a lot of time chasing Colombia. Argentina to win to nil.
22nd June 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
Argentina flunked their first test of the Copa America, as they suffered a 2-0 reverse against Colombia. So that leaves them with some work to do and from there’s unlikely that they will get top spot. But they have a good chance of at least responding and getting a win in this one against Paraguay, who could only draw with Qatar in their opening fixture. Read our Argentina v Paraguay betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 17th, 2019 at 6:22 p.m.)
Despite their star-studded attack, Argentina could not find a way past Colombia in their opening match. Argentina dominated for large portions, but then conceded twice in the final twenty minutes to lost 2-0. That was a heavy blow for them. It leaves them at W2 L2 in their last four games played now and it’s not the momentum which they would have wanted at the start of the tournament for sure. But this does look to be a winnable game for them now against Paraguay. Argentina have only managed to score more than one goal in one of their last four games now.
That’s the thing about Argentina, they never quite seem to deliver as an attacking force. They did in the last edition of the Copa America though, scoring 18 goals in 5 games, but they couldn’t find their touch in the final and lost on a penalty shootout to Chile after a 0-0 draw. Lionel Messi seemed to take the loss against Colombia pretty hard as time is running out on him picking up an international title. In their last eight Copa America fixtures, Argentina are W5 D2 L1 (over 90 minutes). In each of the games that they failed to win in that sequence, they failed to score as well.
Paraguay won the last meeting 1-0 in World Cup 2018 qualifying
Argentina have won just one of the last four against Paraguay (D2 L1)
There was a 2-2 draw between them in the group stage of the 2015 Copa America
Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings
Paraguay are not a team in form. The way that they opened these championships won’t have given them a lift either. They were holding a 2-0 lead with around 35 minutes to go against Qatar. So it looked as if Paraguay were going to get the points. But then Qatar, who dominated possession in the game, pulled one back just before the 70th minute and then Paraguay’s Rodrigo Rojas put through his own net to settle the game at 2-2. Not the start that Paraguay would have wanted, but it was indicative of their form.
Paraguay have won just one game since the start of 2018. In their last eight games, they have taken a W1 D3 L4 record, the one win in that sequence coming in a recent friendly against minnows Guatemala. As a positive, they are W1 D2 in their last three games and they have put together a four-match scoring streak. Their only clean sheet in that eight-match sequence was against Guatemala. With their failure to beat Qatar that leaves Paraguay on a six-match winless streak of form in Copa America fixtures (W4 L2).
Even after their setback, we will still expect Argentina to produce a win in this fixture. They were really frustrated at the end of their game against Colombia, so it may take them a while to get going in this one though, but they can get there. Argentina to win to nil.
18th June 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
This is big heavyweight duel in Group B. These are the two powerhouses in the group and at the end of the day, it is expected that they will both be occupying the two automatic qualification spots available anyway. But this is a great chance for one of them to make a big statement of intent by opening with a victory. Read our Argentina v Colombia betting tips for more.
Argentina have been unable to get over the finish line in recent Copa America campaigns. They have finished as the runner up in four of the last five editions of the tournament. They have lost the last two finals via penalty shootout against Chile. In the last edition they were prolific in front of goal at the tournament, but fell flat and bottled it in the Final.
Can they go one better this time? They have Lionel Messi fit and playing, which is more than what Brazil have with their star player Neymar out injured. The attacking unit of Argentina is fantastic with Messia, Paulo Dybala and Sergio Aguero. That’s an enviable line-up, but will they be cohesive and actually perform? Despite their wealth of attacking talent, the Albicelse don’t always play the most expensive of games.
Their warm-up has been fairly low key and they are W6 D1 L2 in their last nine games. They have won four of their last five, three of them with a clean sheet, in fixtures against Mexico and Morocco. Coupled with those failures at the Copa America recently and a round of sixteen exit at last year’s World Cup, they will be feeling the pressure. They have at least managed to integrate more youth into their set up particularly in the middle of the park.
Colombia and Argentina drew 0-0 in a friendly in September last year
Both teams have scored in just one of the last eight
Argentina are W19 D8 L8 against Colombia
Colombia are winless in eight against Argentina
Colombia look to be a bit of a threat in this tournament. They have a W5 L1 record behind them in their build-ups and they look pretty fluent in front of goal. They have scored at least two goals in five of their last eight. Their final two warm-up matches ahead of the tournament were back to back 3-0 victories over Panama and Peru. Colombia made it to the round of sixteen at the 2018 World Cup where they were stopped on penalties by England. Three years ago at the last Copa America, they made a big impression.
They were the third place finishers after beating the USA 1-0 in the third-place playoff. That was their best result at the tournament since winning it in 2011. They do seem to be in pretty good shape and they are quite a youthful side as well. They are still persisting with Radamel Falcao up front and the goalscoring department is perhaps the one area in which they fall down. But after a good season with Atalanta, Duvan Zapata has a big chance to make a splash in the tournament after having been drafted in.
A big fixture for both to open with. At the end of the day, the draw does have the most appeal. Neither are going to want to lose and it may just all fall a bit flat. They would both be happy with a point each as well you imagine, given that they will both only have Paraguay and Qatar to come.
13th June 2019 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
This South American clash is going to be one of the highlights of the midweek international action. Whether the two produce strong starting eleven for the clash remains to be seen. Still, it is one of the most attractive looking fixtures in world football as the game is part of a small friendly tournament being held out in Saudi Arabia. Read our Brazil v Argentina betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 14th, 2018 at 5:28 p.m.)
Brazil manager Tite has selected a pretty strong squad for this small round-robin tournament which includes Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Brazil posted a 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia on Friday with Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus getting the opening goal of the game. They had pretty much a full complement of players, including Neymar, Fred, Philippe Coutinho, Richarlison and Allison Becker in the squad. Neymar is the 12/5 first goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken on October 14th, 2018 at 8:00 pm).
So they are strong and they have put together a three-match winning streak without conceding a single goal. Brazil to win to nil is at 11/8 odds* (betting odds taken on October 14th, 2018 at 8:00 pm). There is a trend there as each of Brazil’s last ten victories (competitive and friendly) have been without them conceding. Overall they have conceded just the three goals in their last thirteen games, with a clean sheet in eleven of those games.
Argentina have not taken their strongest squad with them, notable absentees being Lionel Messi and Angel di Maria. Argentina have a W2 D1 record in their last three games but those wins were expected ones over Guatemala back at the start of September and then a 4-0 win over Iraq last Thursday. So their choice of recently friendly matches has been a bit questionable. Like Brazil, they have a clean sheet in their last three and under 2.5 goals is at 21/20 odds* (betting odds taken on October 14th, 2018 at 8:00 pm).
Argentina have won three of their last six games (D1 L2). Despite these two being such heavyweights in the world game, we are going to lean towards both teams not to score at 11/10 odds* (betting odds taken on October 14th, 2018 at 8:00 pm). It is, after all, just a friendly and the recent head to head between the two suggests that that is the way to lean.
These two met last year with Argentina taking a 1-0 win on neutral soil. In the last six meetings, both competitive and friendly, Brazil are W3 D2 L1 against the Albiceleste in this fantastic rivalry. Surprisingly both teams have scored in just one of the last four meetings.
Brazil look the stronger of the two and would be even if both were at full strength. However the Selecao have taken a stronger squad than their rivals are and with them in better form, we are looking at the Brazil win.
15th October 2018 / lee - Category: International Football Betting
We have seen a pretty strange tournament at the 2018 World Cup so far. None of the front runners in the outright winner market have performed to their best. No-one has really lived up to their potential and we have seen some pretty big drama. None bigger than Germany finishing bottom of their as they suffered shock defeats against Mexico and South Korea in their campaign.
Argentina have been all over the place and just about as disjointed of a team as you can get. More of a band of individuals than a team, they did manage to scrape through to the round of sixteen but only through a late goal in their final group stage game. Spain have been a defensive mess, France haven’t hit any kind of rhythm yet and not even Brazil have gotten close to a top gear yet.
So the 2018 World Cup looks wide open and the top half of the draw is so congested with big teams that the draw is wide open for some to have a smooth run through the bottom half. That is where England are and the chances of the Three Lions having a good knockout phase have been boosted by what could be ahead. Here are our round of 16 predictions and odds for each of the games.
* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm)
France are going as the 29/20 favourites* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) to win this big duel with Argentina. France haven’t lived up to all of their pre-tournament hype at all as they stuttered through their group stage, having some struggles against Australia and Peru along the way. It hasn’t been convincing stuff from them and they haven’t managed to get Antoine Griezmann going in front of goal yet either.
However, Argentina have been a whole bunch worse. They are disjointed and not playing as a team and only managed to get past the group stage by the skin of their teeth. Their 3-0 defeat against Croatia showed just how poor they are, especially in the middle of the park and that is where France can dominate with the likes of Paul Pogba and N’Golo Kante. France are our tip to send Lionel Messi and co packing.
We get the feeling that this is going to be an intense ride all the way and it wouldn’t be a surprise if it went beyond the 90 minutes. Uruguay put in a slow start to the tournament but then came really good in their final group stage match as they stuffed Russia 3-0. That is the threat that La Celeste carry and it can’t be ignored in this tournament. Portugal were not convincing in their group stage campaign as they found themselves under some pressure by Iran and Morocco along the way. However, Portugal know how to grind things out even without looking like a particularly good side. But we have to stick with a South American success at 9/5 odds* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) for this one. The combined power of Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani is far better than that of Cristiano Ronaldo alone. Uruguay are also on a six match winning streak.
The Spaniards have clearly shown up at the 2018 World Cup with a poor defence and they look a mess across their back line. They have however produced some very good football going forward and they still carry a threat. Diego Costa is going well up front for them and if they can sort out the defence then there is going to be so much better to come from them. Russia started the tournament with a real bang but as highlighted in their 3-0 loss against Uruguay in their final group stage match, there is little proof that they can handle such a situation against a good side. We can’t see the Russians getting into this and we are rolling with Spain to win at 4/7 odds* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) and a bolder move is to back them to do it to nil.
Arguably no-one has looked better at the 2018 World Cup than Croatia have. They won all three of their group stage matches and delivered a big win over Argentina along the way. That shows the degree of threat that they are. They will be going into this all-European tie with Denmark and we can see it ending up under 1.5 goals simply by virtue of the pressures of knockout football and the fact that Denmark have conceded just two goals in their last eleven games. But the Danes can’t match the quality that Croatia have going forward so Croatia to win at 9/10 odds* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) looks good for our round of 16 prediction.
Everyone was getting pumped up about Mexico after they pulled out that victory over Germany in their opening game and it was a win that they deserved as well. They were great value for it and followed it up with a win over South Korea. But then in their final match Sweden hammered them and suddenly the shine went from the Central Americans. Brazil haven’t played well at all during this tournament but look the most efficient out of the big guns left in and we are backing them to get through and the Selecao are 8/15 odds* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) in the round of 16 betting odds.
This is the easiest one to call. Japan are the surprise package of the round of sixteen as they were favourites to actually get the wooden spoon in Group H ahead of the tournament. But they scraped through and their party is likely to come to an end here. Belgium look more than strong and competent enough to ease to a Win To Nil here.
One of these will be knocking around the quarter finals of the 2018 World Cup and that is a little unexpected. Which of them will it be though? Of the two European nations we have liked the look of Sweden more because of what they have produced in the group stage. They got off to a slow start in edging South Korea, but then came good in terms of playing well in throwing down a really big challenge to Germany but the Swedes were cruelly beaten in stoppage time. But they had the last laugh as they beat Mexico very well in their final group stage match while Germany went home. Sweden, although playing a direct style are likely to be too strong for Switzerland. Sweden are 21/20 underdogs* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) for this and that make them even more appealing.
The Three Lions have a great chance with the draw having opened up ahead of them. Get through this and it’s Sweden or Switzerland in the quarter finals. England have produced some good attacking play and won’t really have anything to fear against a Colombia side who have been hit and miss. The South Americans could be missing star man James Rodriguez too through injury. England are well rested after sending out their second string against Belgium and while we think this will go beyond 90 minutes England at 11/10 odds to win the match* (betting odds taken from June 28th, 2018 at 9:34 pm) can’t really be ignored.
30th June 2018 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting
The World Cup 2018 moves on to the knockout stage starting on June 30th. The heavy load of matches in the group stage of the tournament has all been completed and now the mode switches to straight knockout. This raises the stakes as teams have no safety net and caution is generally the buzzword of the day going into this knockout phase matches.
Things start to get intense now at the 2018 World Cup and there is always the looming threat of extra time and the dreaded penalty shootouts for teams as well. We have witnessed an exciting tournament so far, with major upsets, the big nations all struggling and a draw which is totally lopsided with the bulk of the front runners all squashed in the top half.
Here we take a look at World Cup 2018 Knockout Stage Predictions and Odds, starting with the round of sixteen.
* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.)
The top half of the draw contains Uruguay, Portugal, France, Argentina, Brazil and Belgium which is a blend of pre-tournament favourites and strong dark horses. Because the first two matches of the round of sixteen are Uruguay v Portugal and France v Argentina, come the semi-finals, three of those will have fallen by the wayside and that’s some big names going from just one-quarter of the draw. We are siding with the extra scoring power of Uruguay to get past the one-man-show of Portugal and the 1-0 correct score in favour of the South Americans is at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 pm) which takes our fancy in World Cup 2018 knockout stage odds.
We would also have to side with France to overcome Argentina in that heavyweight duel. Neither have looked particularly good but France have the better potential of pulling things together and getting things right on the day. They are likely to boss Argentine around in the midfield area and we have already seen the Albiceleste crash heavily because they were unable to compete in that area when they lost 3-0 to Croatia. We see the French making their way through and they are 4/6 To Qualify* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.). In the other matches in the top half of the draw which are Brazil v Mexico and Belgium v Japan we can only see those as being far more straightforward. It is more likely than not we will be looking at a fascinating Brazil v Belgium quarter-final.
Up in that top half of the draw, you have the reigning European champions in Portugal along with four former World Cup winners (Uruguay, France, Argentina and Brazil). In contrast looking at the bottom half of the draw you have Spain and England who have won the title once each before. That’s it in terms of champion pedigree. Spain go up against host nation Russia in their round of sixteen and even though there has been some uncharacteristic defensive collapses from the Red Fury, they still ooze quality and we can see them being comfortable against hosts, who lost heavily against Uruguay in their final group stage match. Even though Spain have been wide open at the back we would go with backing them to win to nil at bet365 for our World Cup 2018 knockout stage predictions.
England gets a shot against South American side Colombia in the round of sixteen and the Three Lions have not won a knockout stage fixture since beating Ecuador 1-0 at the 2006 World Cup. But England looks full to the brim of confidence and self-belief, even if the quality isn’t quite there. We can see them handling themselves against the South Americans who may crumble under the high-pressing game that Three Lions will throw at them. England are 11/10 odds in the match outright with bet365* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) and we are all over that for our World Cup 2018 knockout stage odds. The other games in the bottom half of the draw are Croatia v Denmark and Sweden v Switzerland.
Croatia have looked comfortable and strong so far through their campaign and recorded that convincing 3-0 win over Argentina in the group stage. We would fully expect them to get past a low scoring Denmark. But that should be a low scoring game as Denmark have earned nine clean sheets in their last eleven games. For the other all-European clash we are going with the underdogs of Sweden at 21/20* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.). Frankly, there isn’t too much to choose between these two, but Sweden looks to have a stronger, more direct game plan and may just simple muscle their way through this challenge.
So looking around World Cup 2018 knockout stage predictions and odds we are going to go and take some value at even money on Sweden To Reach Quarter Final, along with Uruguay at 10/11. You could pull in other options like England and France as well into a handy little knockout stage acca for your World Cup betting. Remember the benefit of looking at this market as opposed to the match outright for the individual games is that it doesn’t matter by what method a team gets through, be it in 90 minutes, extra time or penalties.
So for our World Cup 2018 knockout stage predictions we are projecting Uruguay v France, Brazil v Belgium, Spain v Croatia and Sweden v England for our quarter final line up. If you wanted to get further ahead with your betting to look for the early value, you can go and take a gander at the bet365 To Reach Semi-Finals market. Of course those are just our predictions and nothing is set in stone but we think there is great value at 13/10 on England making the final four* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) in this market, while the other stand out option in the bottom half of the draw is Croatia at 9/4 odds* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12pm) because they have the tools to take out Spain.
The key options from the two quarter-final matches in the top half of the draw will be leaning on France and Brazil to make it through to the semi-finals. Neither have looked particularly great but we see the potential of them both respectively putting things together at the business end of the tournament and France are great 6/4 odds* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) to reach the final four where Brazil, who are the tournament outright favourites are 4/5* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.).
Remember you don’t have to just pick a tournament winner, you can find plenty of value in backing a team to get to the final. Going based off of our predictions, we really fancy Croatia being the big dark horse of the tournament and they are 5/1* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) to come through that wide open bottom half of the draw and get through, while Brazil are 2/1 odds* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12pm) to make the showcase match.
The shortest-priced option in the market interesting is Spain at 7/4 and that is because of the favourable draw in the bottom half. But we see their defence coming under pressure if they end up meeting Croatia in the quarter-finals. England are 10/3 odds* (betting odds taken from June 29th, 2018 at 5:12 p.m.) to reach the 2018 World Cup final.
29th June 2018 / lee - Category: World Cup 2018 Betting